Bob Hope Chrysler Classic

[Stanley]

Outright plays (0.5 units):

Chris DiMarco to win 18/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and Victor Chandler
Has shown good form over the last two weeks, finishing 3rd in the Sony Open and earning a creditable 14th as defending champion last week in Phoenix. Just looks set to contend each week at the moment and with a best performance in this event last year (6th), he shouldn't be too far from the leaderboard.

John Huston to win 28/1 e.w. @ UKBetting
An impressive runners-up spot last week so looking for him to continue his habit of stringing good weeks together. His record in this event is also noteworthy - four top-10 finishes in the last six years - and no-one can better his 187-under-par record for the last 10 years in this event.

Davis Love to win 28/1 e.w. @ Bet365
Expected much lower odds and these are to be found elsewhere. Love has a solid record in this event with a number of top-20 finishes, but no top-5, but this does appear to be a very open event. Always wary of having money depend on this player, but this is such an overprice ...

 

[steved]

0.5 ew each
Tanaka 200/1 (VC), monster price for accurate multiple winner in Japan, popped up on occasion last week, 5th in Walt Disney pro-am last year.
McCarron 40/1 (365, missed 50's at Hill's), several top 20's here, playing well, as he usually does early doors...will he disappoint again this year, worth a chance to see at this price.
Huston 28/1 (365, missed 33!, too slow this week), unlucky last week and 2nd on avg scoring here last 10 years.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Outrights
With 5 days will defer on places wagers to in running hoping for better place odds if one stumbles a bit. Will be looking at Huston,Toms,Kelly,Dimarco and maybe Funk again--however will play a longshot as e/w with 1/2 unit win and 1/2 unit place initially.
Don't have place lines yet but do have win line.
Beckman 100/1 to win @ Wsex 1/2 unit.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

a couple 72 holes @ Wsex

Huston -120 over Verplank
Kelly +100 over Duval

Not a big fan of pro am events and will tread lightly this week as record not very steller past years in them.I think too much rides on how player jells with attitudes of different amateurs.

Huston over Verplank a hunch more than anything and they do not usually fair well.

Been looking for someone to oppose Duval with and 1st I found in lieu of Love who I never trust. Am always on wrong side of his Jeckle Hyde nature. Won't surprise me to see Love win and would not surprise me if he throws in another 76-73-72-cut like he did in At&T pro am last year.

 

[milpalm]

Kelly 40/1 Bet365. Played well so far this year. 5th last year.

McCarron 50/1 Willhill. Big-hitting player who hopefully got rid of the cobwebs last week.

Gamez 66/1 Betinternet. Has played very well this year and has a decent record in this event.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding 72 hole @ 365
Verplank -111 vs Baddeley (ties lose)
Verplank made cut 4 out of 5 last 5 years here and last year made cut in 3 out 3 pro ams Disney,Inv and Hope.
Giving Badds about 50/50 on making cut.

 

[bettingmad]

John Huston 33/1 Bet365
Looked unlucky at Phoenix were his tee shot on the 16th was the best shot of the season so far under severe Vijay pressure and in front of a massive crowd. Definitely deserved a birdie instead of a bad bounce off the flag which might have changed how the 17th was then played. Streaky player worth catching while doing well. Has a great record in this with 5 x top 10's in the last 9 years including a 2nd & 3rd. Looks another cracking Bet365 price as lots of 20/1 & 25/1 in other places - but then I thought that about the ill-fated Rocco Mediate last week

Scott McCarron 50/1 William Hill
Promising 11th last week. Top 20's here in last 2 seasons and four from the last 6. He also has 3 top 5's in the other 5 rounder at Vegas. Would prefer him to be finishing strongly rather than trying to defend a lead.

 

[Myron]

I really like Toms this week at 10/1 - put 5 units on him. Will also throw a few quid on Verplank at 40/1 e/w.

 

[Chadman]

Anybody hear why Chris Riley did not play last week? I see him slated back in the mix this week, and wondering what the reason for his pulling out was. Thanks!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Dimarco and Howell sure seem suited to pro ams.Dimarco played 3 last year Disney Inv and Hope and went 2-16-6 Howell played those 3 plus At&T and went 14-6-12-6. How strong is that.Wish there were a few more matches than pitted against each other.
Will definately look for in running outright if one is off slow.

 

[orient]

72 holes - 1unit:

McCarron Scott - Verplank Scott 1 1.80 expekt
Perry Kenny - Lowery Steve 1 1.85 expekt

5.5/5.65 +0.15

 

[hoss]

A real long shot here but I don't see why Cliff Kresge is 400/1 at V.C. :shrug:

He had a couple of good performances when he was invited to a couple of main Tour events at the back end of last year (didn't he shoot 62 to get in the frame somewhere?) + won twice on the Buy.com tour + had 3 top 20's in his last 4 starts.

Withdrew after an opening 73 in last weeks event - don't know why.

here's hoping for a miracle

 

[kjls04202]

Has anyone got any views on the rotation. I know that Elliot says not to play Bermuda Dunes first, but my limited records show that not to play Pga West last is a big negative. Has anyone got more stats on this than me? Or is it just fanciful nonsense?

If I follow this, two of my original four are scrubbed and I am left with Scott McCarron and Kevin Sutherland. I like Scott big time but all the fancy prices have gone. It is only 40/1 with Stanley now and I know that you cannot have a proper bet there. It is only 33/1 after that. Kevin Sutherland is a bit in and out and I thought that he would have been a bigger price.

On another note, The PGA site took ages to post the pairings, and then only posted the first days. So I got all four days tee times from this link http://www.bhcc.com/pairings.html

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (0.5 units unless stated):

Justin Leonard to beat Jeff Sluman -110 @ Bet365
Expecting another solid display from the consistent Texan. Two top-25 finishes this year with every round under-par and three solid finishes, including 6th last year, are supportive. Opposing Sluman who is also consistent, but is 4-11-0 h2h against Leonard in the past year.

Justin Leonard to beat Kirk Triplett -124 @ Pinnacle
Triplett record of six top-20 finishes in the last seven years is very impressive, but he has beaten Leonard only once in the last three times that they have both played here and Leonard also dominates the head-to-head record: 9-4-0 over the past year.

Justin Leonard to beat Aaron Baddeley -125 @ Paddy Power [1 unit]
Opposing Baddeley again. He missed the cut last week as expected and there is little reason to expect a major improvement this week. He has never played in this event (these courses) before this week and he has never played in one of the Tour pro-ams before this week. With the speed of his play, particularly on the greens, he does not seem ideally suited to partnering three amateurs.

Chris DiMarco to beat Charles Howell +100 @ Victor Chandler
A widely available matchup. Just think that DiMarco has been threatening to play extremely well in the past few weeks whereas Howell has hardly been in contention. DiMarco has beaten Howell the past two weeks and will side with him at these odds.

Brian Gay to beat Mark O'Meara -111 @ BetandWin
Can't see this one surviving until Sunday. O'Meara may have a decent record in this event, but he has missed his last four cuts and should struggle to avoid another one this week.

 

[Ian]

No time to explain but
Gamez 70
Durant 72 (Oly!)
Forsman 100
Petrovic 110

 

[warner]

bob hope

bob hope

up 310 last week +117 for the year
lots of plays for me this week
leonard 0 triplett 270/200
love 0 duval 195/150
huston 0 triplett 140/100
riley 0 kelly 100/105
lowery 0 sutherland 125/100
howell 0 kelly 135/100
dimarco 0 howell 115/100

 

[Stanley]

I'm surprised you had time to look for prices, Ian

I hope everything went well for you both :toast:

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Maybe he should be pricing diapers? Give us the lowdown Ian,
Boy,girl or punter?

adding
Finishing outright of E/W on Beckman
20/1 to place @ oly for remaining 1/2 unit.

72 holes
Haas -111 over Gogel @ B&W (ties lose)

Will try a few 1st rds against better judgement.
Leonard +100 over Duval @ 5dimes
Gamez -105 over Badds @ 5dimes
Dimarco -105 -1/2 stroke over Verplank @ WSEX

 

[nomad]

kjls04202, only saw your post just now

[B]Year	IW	AP	BD	LQ[/B]
'02	68.5	69.3	69.0	n/a
'01	68.2	69.1	68.9	70.6
'00	67.7	69.4	68.9	70.5
'99	70.0	70.8	72.5	n/a
'98	68.7	69.6	69.8	70.8
'97	68.9	n/a	69.8	70.9
'96	70.1	n/a	71.2	n/a
'95	69.7	n/a	69.7	69.7

 

[Myron]

Interesting. So whoever can do well at La Quinta today is in good shape.