<< BOWL GAMES >>

[Bucknut1]

Plays and logic for the games today to follow, but went hunting for a good line in the Knights/Bears game and found it so wanted to get this one out there.

UCF - BAYLOR

This is an explosive Baylor offense and i'm not saying anything we (AND O'LEARY) don't already know. Two totally contrasting styles as Baylor wants to run play after play after play while O'Leary and the Knights run a slow styled offense. UCF has managed to control the clock in most of their games and will look to try and do that tonight. If they can control the pace, move the chains ands tick to the plan and play the type of D they have all year, i think this one is much closer than the number suggest. In fact, THIS TEAM IS FLAT OUT PISSED AND MOTIVATED FOR THE SIMPLE FACT THAT THEY ARE COMPLETELY DISRESPECTED HERE AND NOT EVEN SAID TO HAVE A CHANCE! Last time O'Leary had extra time to prepare, they went on the road TO LOUISVILLE as ~15 point dogs and and beat them outright (Coach used the same motivation going to L'Ville as he is here). They have earned the right to be favorites in their last X amount of games and rightfully so. They were getting points only 3 times all year -
> +~15 at Louisville and beat them outright
> +7 vs SOUTH CAROLINA and nearly won this game (lost 25-28 and had them 10 - 0 at the half!!!)
> +4' vs Penn State. They go on the road into HAPPY VALLEY WHICH IS A TOUGH PLACE TO PLAY, and win outright.
This dog can flat out bite! 3-0 ats in the puppy role on the year
Love O'Leary with time to prepare - he is a solid coach!
UCF is 4-0 ATS lifetime vs the Big 12
UCF is 5-0 ATS last 5 non-con games

I took the 17' and played a little on the ML (can be found anywhere from 485 to 600).

Back with the others.

6* UCF +17':bigun::bigun::bigun:
1* UCF ML +505

 

[Bucknut1]

Additional thoughts and plays:

Georgia - Nebraska
I really think the loss of Murray hurts Georgia in a big way. Not huge on this game, but throwing it out there nonetheless. Will these kids play for Pelini today or send him off in a different fashion:shrug:
Pelini does well against the lesser defensive squads and his su and ats record shows that. Dogs D not very strong, i will take the points.

North Texas - Vegas
I do like this QB for the Rebels, but think their D is suspect. Mean Green faired well in the first season in the new conference and should be able to move the ball pretty well in front of a home crowd. Small play N Tex

WISKY - SC
Think the BAdgers look to pound the ball jsut like they do and this one is close to the end. I took a pissed off Wisky team to beat the ole ball coach on the ML.

IOWA - LSU
Not a strong opinion on the side here, but do expect both teams to step it up defensively and i like the under in both the game and 1H.

3* NEB +9
2* MEAN GREEN -6(120)
Also like MEAN GREEN pk in a teaser (i am closing an open-ended one with UCLA from yesterday)
4* BADGERS - pk -125
4* IOWA UNDER 49'
4* IOWN UNDER 24' 1H

 

[Bucknut1]

Adding 2 overs:

2* WISKY OVER 51
2* OVER 13 1H NEB
-------------------------------------------------

17-11 bowl record into today (+19 units)

 

[Bucknut1]

SOLID START TO THE NEW YEAR :00hour:00hour:00hour

Sparty - Cardinal

Two great coaches, two disciplined teams, this is going to be a great one. Love both D coordinators too... Sparty is fired up to be in this bowl and is ready to leave it all out on the field. Losing Bullough most certainly hurts, but i think Elsworth has had plenty of time to get the reps and come prepared. Stanford does a lot of motion, movement and different looks, but they will be prepared. Not touching the total (lean under), but do feel good about grabbing the generous 7 points with a well coached Dantonio squad that is fired up and ready to play.

I took Sparty plus the 7.

4* SPARTY +7

Let's keep it rolling right into my nightcap :00hour:00hour:00hour

 

[smax]

My God Buck.... Just churning out some goodies there ! :0008

May your year be fruitful (profitable)

 

[Bucknut1]

My God Buck.... Just churning out some goodies there ! :0008

May your year be fruitful (profitable)

Thanks, smax. All the best to you as well this year! :toast:

Happy for Dantonio! Now if O'Leary and the Knights show up tonight, this was a HUGE day.

:00hour:00hour

 

[Bucknut1]

Hell of a day yesterday. Picked up 27 units on the day capped with the big UCF Knighta outright victory :00hour:00hour:00hour

Bowl Record now - 26-13 (+38 units)

Bama - OKL

Just way too much talent on the Bama side of the ball. Played this one earlier at 15' and putting more on it at 17. McCarron is solid, wideouts are fantastic (love Cooper), TJ is a beast running the ball and Saban's D is stout as always! As much as this is a play on Bama, it is equally or more of a play against Stoops and the Sooners! Too many weapons,,, A pissed off Bama squad ends up covering the number in this one IMO.

Saban in a big bowl game. Count me in (4-0 ats last 4 bowls).

4* BAMA -15'

Keep it rollin... Roll Tide :0074

 

[Bucknut1]

After watching the Tigers get trounced by Auburn, can't back that D against a highly motivated and talented Okie State crew. 21 seniors go out in style tonight:00hour

Urban Meyer is ready to light up the scoreboard.

3* OK ST -3
4* OSU -2'
3* OSU OVER 36'

 

[Bucknut1]

Wrapped up at my boys basketball tournament yesterday and failed to post the Red Wolves. Another strong day, been on a little roll here, let's keep the bankroll nice and stout for the rest of college hoops.

My take tonight:

THE ONLY WAY AUBURN HAS A CHANCE IS TO CONTROL THE CLOCK. Auburn has a solid rush attack, but just don't think it is enough to win or cover for that matter. They stand NO CHANCE in a shootout and Gus knows that. Ground game by Auburn critical to my top play tonight! Do think this one starts a bit sluggish and more points are scored in the 2H. BOL to all.

6* UNDER 69:bigun::bigun:
4* UNDER 35 1H
4* FSU -4 / UNDER 75 TEASER
3* FREEMAN OVER 86 Rushing Yards
3* Mason OVER 1 RECEPTION