This weeks write up from Vegas Runner.
This weeks write up from Vegas Runner.
Most agree WBO/WBA title holder Nonito Donaire (26-1, 18 KO?s) is the top bantamweight and also one of the best pound for pound fighters in the world.
But this Saturday night the next best at 118 lbs. will meet in the finale of Showtime?s four man single-elimination tournament. After losing his IBF title to Yonnhy Perez in 2009, Joseph Agbeko (28-2, 22 KO?s) recaptured it in their rematch just 13 months later.
They met in the first round of this bantamweight tournament and now Agbeko puts his title on the line against Abner Mares (21-0, 13 KO?s) who defeated Vic Darchinyan to advance to the final.
The tournament final was originally set back in April but after landing in Los Angeles and exiting baggage claim, Agbeko collapsed face down on the pavement as he made his way to a waiting car. Agbeko was diagnosed with sciatica, a painful condition that results in numbness of the legs.
A spokesman for Agbeko?s promoter Don King claimed the boxer ran several miles that morning and then had his plane delayed three times before finally making the five hour trip. Doctors believe that may have been the cause so the fight was postponed and moved from Mare?s backyard in LA, to Las Vegas and the Hard Rock Hotel and Casino.
Agbeko, the current IBF bantamweight champion with a 4-1 record in world title fights, is a surprising underdog to Mares. Oddsmakers list Mares a -180 favorite.
Since splitting with Hall of Fame trainer Ignacio "Nacho" Beristain to join forces with Golden Boy Promotions, Mares has been on the brink of becoming a star and the betting line definitely reflects that perception. Oddsmakers expect this fight to go to a decision, having made the OVER a -400 favorite at 9? rounds.
Mares, 25, had a distinguished amateur career and has already fought 145 rounds as a pro. He has a high work rate and is an extremely precise boxer who has also shown the ability to fight inside. The only problem seems to be a slow start and a lack of fight ending power against top-level competition.
Mares was unable to win the IBF title the first time around after fighting to a draw against Yonnhy Perez. Then against Darchinyan he was cut early and dropped, but came from behind to win a split decision.
At 31, Agbeko is actually considered to be in his prime. He may have been in nine more pro fights than his opponent, but has only had to endure 17 extra rounds. Agbeko is a slugger with very heavy hands, having gone the distance only eight times in 30 fights.
For a brawler, he?s able to work behind a strong jab and uses a lot of movement to throw his opponents off. His only weakness seems to be defense, but he?s busy enough to give more than receive.
The bottom line is that in the end, it will most likely fall in the hands of the judges and that is my only concern. The betting value is definitely on Agbeko at such generous odds but there?s more upside in a Mares win for boxing since he has the bigger "name recognition" among casual fans.
We?ve seen the power promoters carry in the past, none more than Golden Boy of late. That is the ONLY reason I haven?t yet been able to make Agbeko the premium play. With that said, the only way I can look in this matchup is to "King Kong." So my advice is to either bet the dog or leave the fight alone.
I will be holding a betting slip on Agbeko at +150 or better. Drop by and say hello to me at the fight. It?s nice to have a great night of boxing at the Hard Rock again.
VR?s fight record: 29-9 (at Pregame.com)