Patching some things together here, but no real strong plays on tap for me:
R. Gonzales (-500) - med. Lot's of chalk, but I think it's solid. First fight with Rosas was close, but Gonzales still looked the higher class. He's got experience in Japan, and I just don't see him losing his first here.
Gonzales-Rosas OVER 11.5 (+100) - small 11.5 is a long way to go, but Rosas never stopped. Their first fight went the distance. Looks like a distance tilt to me.
E. Lazcano (-160) - med./small Money has gone on undefeated Seguilan, but on paper I like Lazcano. He has fought and beaten a higher standard of opposition. Glaring thing for me is that Seguilan has had a couple close fights against soft opposition. Couldn't get any info on Seg amateur status, but I know Lazcano was a decent one. Could be a close one, but I'm going with Lazcano who has been better tested to date. This will be a significant jump in class for Seg, for Laz, not so much.
Parlay - Gonzales, Gutierrez, Kamegai (-180) - med./small Kamegai would seem to be the more questionable leg, but the more I looked into this one, the more I like him. He seems a very confident sort, and on the upswing. They are very high on him in Japan. Alfaro can be better than expected, but his beard is also suspect. Kamegai is a big hitter, and I think he will get to him. Under may also be worth a small shot.
Good luck guys!
