Boxing 4/23 - 26

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +6.50
1 unit play: 1-1 -0.30
1/2 units: 25-8....+5.40
Dogs: 13-28....+1.30
LT's: 1-11....+0.10


4/23 Dog

Urango-Vilchez Over 8.5 +170...lay .20 to win .35 (loser)

4/25

Martinez-Favela Over 9.5 -255...lay 1.0 to win .40 (winner)

Parlay

Martinez-Favela Over 9.5 -255 / Blain-Bahari Over 9.5 -400...(-135)...lay .60 to win .45 (winner)


4/26

Sarritzu over Inom -225...lay 1.5 to win .70


Pending Parlays

Quillin over Echols -325 / Dzinziruk over Konecny -650...(-200)...lay .60 to win .30 (winner)

Hernandez over Bravo -300 / Calzaghe +15.5 pts -800 / Dzinziruk -730...(-140)...lay .35 to win .25 (winner)

Hernandez -300 / Calzaghe starts rd 8 -715 / Dzinziruk over Konecny -730...(-135)...lay .35 to win .25 (winner)

Johnson -650 (winner) / Dzinziruk over Konecny -650 (winner) / Guzman over Arthur -600...(-180)...lay .80 to win .45

Johnson Over (winner) / Calzaghe over 7 (winner) / Dzinziruk -730 (winner) / Sarritzu O9.5 -340...(+110)....lay .30 to win .35

Johnson Over (winner) / Calzaghe +15.5 -800 (winner) / Dzinziruk -730 (winner) / Sarritzu O9.5 -340...(even)....to win .25

Calzaghe-Hopkins Over 11.5 -320 (winner) / Sarritzu-Inom Over 9.5 -340...(-140)...lay .90 to win .65

Woods-Tarver Over 11.5 -210 (winner) / Sarritzu-Inom Over 9.5 -350...(-110)...lay .55 to win .50


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Future Parlays

Adamek over Bell -155 (winner) / Holt over Torres -325....(+115)...lay .30 to win .35

Quillin over Echols -325 (winner) / Holt over Torres -325...(-140)...lay .35 to win .25


Futures

5/3 Guzman-Arthur Over 9.5 +150...lay .40 to win .60

5/31 Judah over Mosley +425...lay .10 to win .40

6/7 Quintana-Williams Over 10.5 -130...lay .95 to win .75

6/7 Quintana over Williams +145...lay .30 to win .45

7/26 Lean Only....Margarito over Cotto +150


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Sportsbook and 5dimes both have the Sarritzu fight on 4/26...but boxrec now shows it on 5/3

I assume boxrec is right and the fight is next weekend, but anyone know for sure?

 

[Romi]

Sportsbook and 5dimes both have the Sarritzu fight on 4/26...but boxrec now shows it on 5/3

I assume boxrec is right and the fight is next weekend, but anyone know for sure?

Maxboxing also has the fight for 4/26, but perhaps the card was delayed a week.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

4/23

Urango-Vilchez Over 8.5 +170...lay .20 to win .35


gl bl

 

[Romi]

I have dzineruk in a few parlays and straight up as well. The new lines have yet to come out for Fri fights...more to come.

 

[punchmaster]

I have dzineruk in a few parlays and straight up as well. The new lines have yet to come out for Fri fights...more to come.

Guzman has visa problems, suprise suprise. At fightnews. If he can't work things out, a slight fight postpoment is possible. Guzmas is so far above Arthur in class that I know a few of us have him in the middle of parlays. Better not be any crap , weight making problems, time zone issues, etc. Could you guys believe that Guzman made the 130 weight for Soto and walked into the ring at 148. That has to be a record. He had 13 pounds on Soto that night. That has me a little concerned at his age but he's a freak, use to make 122.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

Martinez-Favela Over 9.5 -255...lay 1.0 to win .40

Parlay

Martinez-Favela Over 9.5 -255 / Blain-Bahari Over 9.5 -400...(-135)...lay .60 to win .45


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

As posted, I'm laying 2.65 units to win 1.85 on Dzinziruk in parlays

Personaly I have about $750 of profits riding on the German. With the lines moving in my direction, and +600 now available on the other side...I'll probably end up laying .35 to win 2.1 ($100 to win $600) on Konecny just to be safe. Will still profit 1.5 units and $650 on a Dzin win...

And that is the beauty of using parlays to set up a big play on a heavy favorite, at much better odds, with a much higher payout, without risking as much money


gl bl

 

[Andrey]

One thing I don't understand. What is the advantage of using parlays? I see no difference to bet straight or parlay. Except maybe psychological difference( by using parlay you bet less money, but risk equally increases because now you have to win every fight in parlay to win)
If your original bet was -650 on Dzinziruk. And now
you want to bet on Konechny at +600. Then how
it can be profitable? What am I missing?

As posted, I'm laying 2.65 units to win 1.85 on Dzinziruk in parlays

Personaly I have about $750 of profits riding on the German. With the lines moving in my direction, and +600 now available on the other side...I'll probably end up laying .35 to win 2.1 ($100 to win $600) on Konecny just to be safe. Will still profit 1.5 units and $650 on a Dzin win...

And that is the beauty of using parlays to set up a big play on a heavy favorite, at much better odds, with a much higher payout, without risking as much money


gl bl

 

[Zerwas]

You are right!

If you combine 3 or 4 fights in a parlay, you win just as much as if you bet your stake plus the accumulated winnings one by one.

It makes sense though, if you dont have enough money in your bankroll or you fear that the lines might drop and you dont want to risk a geat deal of your bankroll....

I'm not such a big fan of parlays either...

 

[gardenweasel]

You are right!

If you combine 3 or 4 fights in a parlay, you win just as much as if you bet your stake plus the accumulated winnings one by one.

It makes sense though, if you dont have enough money in your bankroll or you fear that the lines might drop and you dont want to risk a geat deal of your bankroll....

I'm not such a big fan of parlays either...

it`s the risk aspect...and it`s worked well for me....i never take a big hit....nothing worse than losing a large wager and having to dig out...

and,there are some medium sized wagers that you may have a strong lean on,but you don`t feel comfortable taking a chance with at the odds...so you look for a more certain "parlay partner" to fit it into your budget...

never have felt comfy laying big odds...and it`s worked well for me....of course,i`m tighter than a knat`s sphincter.......

 

[Romi]

My plays are Dzin straight up and in 2 parlays and the over on bahari/blain -420. I'm considering the over on martinez/Favela tonight but a 9th rd stoppage loss to zavalito has me a little concerned. I may still take that wager @-300.

 

[punchmaster]

My plays are Dzin straight up and in 2 parlays and the over on bahari/blain -420. I'm considering the over on martinez/Favela tonight but a 9th rd stoppage loss to zavalito has me a little concerned. I may still take that wager @-300.

I went with it at -260. That stoppage was at 3:00 of the ninth which means a decision was made to stop the fight by somebody. Looks like Favela has been fighting 135-140 for numerous fights while Martinez has been 130.

 

[weepaul]

I have one play this week on Feliciano at just under +300.

I was going to sit this weekend out but those odds are too good on evenly matched fighters. I was not impressed with Tsurkan against Foreman. He seemed to have the fight won and Foreman looked like he wanted to quit but then Tsurkan let him back into the fight again.
I was happy about that as I had money on Foreman.

Good Luck.

 

[Romi]

I went with it at -260. That stoppage was at 3:00 of the ninth which means a decision was made to stop the fight by somebody. Looks like Favela has been fighting 135-140 for numerous fights while Martinez has been 130.

Good call. Congrats on the win. I guess i fell asleep on that one or just wasn't willing to pull the trigger. I looked at the line after your comments and bets were off by then. -260 was a steal.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Good call. Congrats on the win. I guess i fell asleep on that one or just wasn't willing to pull the trigger. I looked at the line after your comments and bets were off by then. -260 was a steal.

LOL

Who was the first to post a big play on the Over? Sure wasn't punchmaster...thats allright Romi everyone makes mistakes.
If you would've looked at the line when I posted the big play...you would've cashed. I guess somehow you missed my play posted in my thread...no biggie

Huge Night

gl bl

 

[Romi]

LOL

Who was the first to post a big play on the Over? Sure wasn't punchmaster...thats allright Romi everyone makes mistakes.
If you would've looked at the line when I posted the big play...you would've cashed. I guess somehow you missed my play posted in my thread...no biggie

Huge Night

gl bl

Good call Box...I just slept on it. That's a typical over that I put the bucks on but that 1 stoppage loss spooked me for some reason. I didn't really know anything about these guys other than a few comments I heard. Congrats on the big night!

 

[BOXLOCKS]

One thing I don't understand. What is the advantage of using parlays? I see no difference to bet straight or parlay. Except maybe psychological difference( by using parlay you bet less money, but risk equally increases because now you have to win every fight in parlay to win)
If your original bet was -650 on Dzinziruk. And now
you want to bet on Konechny at +600. Then how
it can be profitable? What am I missing?

Exactly, if you play Dzinziruk straight at -650 you have no options left other than to buy out or let it ride. Since I've been building up parlays on him for the last couple months (using sure thing favorites to lower the odds) now I can put a very small amount on Konecny at +600 to cover almost all of my risk while still leaving 80% of the profits to be gained.

When you use parlays to lower the odds, you give yourself plenty of options to hedge or middle your original play when the time comes. If I played Dzinziruk -650 I would be left with a huge straight wager at horrible odds and taking Konecney +600 would do nothing but reduce my odds on the fight.

There are 2 reasons why I play parlays in boxing...

1) I very rarely lay more than 3-1 on a boxing match, for obvious reasons, if I lay $100 on a wager I expect to get back at least $30-$40 on my investment. Any payout less than that is not worth it at all. By using parlays I can make money on the heavy favoriters that are priced too high to play straight, which is -350 and above...imo.

2) Some of this is covered in #1, but the main point is that without parlays I wouldn't have the confidence to play alot of the wagers I make money on. I'm very big on Dzinziruk tomarrow at -150...thanks to the parlays I've been building up since the line opened. If my only option was to play Dzinziruk straight at -650, I wouldn't have played him at all and I wouldn't have made a ton of money on him. Like I said, I'll lay 3-1 odds, but I won't lay 7-1, as any experienced sports gambler will tell you...laying heavy wood is very risky and no way to consistently make money betting sports. In fact, most of the best sports-bettors I know won't lay more than -110 on anything


gl bl

 

[punchmaster]

LOL

Who was the first to post a big play on the Over? Sure wasn't punchmaster...thats allright Romi everyone makes mistakes.
If you would've looked at the line when I posted the big play...you would've cashed. I guess somehow you missed my play posted in my thread...no biggie

Huge Night

gl bl

Christ Box. Didn't you make some comment about me using this forum to boost my own ego? Well what the heck was that?. You have to jump in and point out that you were the first to say you were playing that over and give me a slight? Your numbers are there for everyone to see, no need to point them out. If your a good capper people will know.