Boxing 4/23 - 26

[Andrey]

Thanks for the answer. I understand now.

Exactly, if you play Dzinziruk straight at -650 you have no options left other than to buy out or let it ride. Since I've been building up parlays on him for the last couple months (using sure thing favorites to lower the odds) now I can put a very small amount on Konecny at +600 to cover almost all of my risk while still leaving 80% of the profits to be gained.

When you use parlays to lower the odds, you give yourself plenty of options to hedge or middle your original play when the time comes. If I played Dzinziruk -650 I would be left with a huge straight wager at horrible odds and taking Konecney +600 would do nothing but reduce my odds on the fight.

There are 2 reasons why I play parlays in boxing...

1) I very rarely lay more than 3-1 on a boxing match, for obvious reasons, if I lay $100 on a wager I expect to get back at least $30-$40 on my investment. Any payout less than that is not worth it at all. By using parlays I can make money on the heavy favoriters that are priced too high to play straight, which is -350 and above...imo.

2) Some of this is covered in #1, but the main point is that without parlays I wouldn't have the confidence to play alot of the wagers I make money on. I'm very big on Dzinziruk tomarrow at -150...thanks to the parlays I've been building up since the line opened. If my only option was to play Dzinziruk straight at -650, I wouldn't have played him at all and I wouldn't have made a ton of money on him. Like I said, I'll lay 3-1 odds, but I won't lay 7-1, as any experienced sports gambler will tell you...laying heavy wood is very risky and no way to consistently make money betting sports. In fact, most of the best sports-bettors I know won't lay more than -110 on anything


gl bl

 

[ces]

Agree on the parlay angle. Had minimal money in acct. but was able to parlay a bunch of big favs with St. Pierre at even odds for about a month. At one time he was as high as -550. Hedged on day of fight with a sure profit and that is a great feeling. Keep up the good work.

 

[joelatti]

4/26

Sarritzu over Inom -225...lay 1.5 to win .70


Is this fight today or NEXT week...I thought it was today but Boxrec has it set for next week wtf??

 

[Romi]

A bit too close for my liking on Dzin...MD win for him. Somebody on boxrec actually had the other guy winning or at least a draw. I do want to add part of my strategy and others is giving alot of consideration to the hometown guy (dzin). I don't place that particular wager at a neutral venue. A loss there would have killed many of us this wkend. Where was my obligatory warning Tony??? Blain won a ud so I collected on both fights...A BIG sigh of relief here after having quite a bit on those 2 fights. Now Guzman needs to come through next week to complete 2 parlays. I had another decent week and probably having my best month ever. April has been phoenomenal.

 

[gardenweasel]

any word on shitzu/imam?confused ....like to see that over come in

:SIB

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Boxrec shows next weekend, has to be right as there are no results anywhere. Dzinziruk getting it done was crutial as most of my Sarritzu Over parlays were tied to that. Now I'm sitting in great position, have a ton on the Over 9.5 at even money, and I saw some Under 10.5's at +300 before they pulled it. If that number resurfaces I'll be forced to hedge a little, been on a nice run lately, don't want to give anything back


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Romi...I apologize for being a little harsh, just seemed a little rude to only congratulate punch on the winner. I thought it was intentional...my bad

gl bl

 

[Romi]

Romi...I apologize for being a little harsh, just seemed a little rude to only congratulate punch on the winner. I thought it was intentional...my bad

gl bl

nothing was intentional...all is cool. Congrats on another good week.

 

[Zerwas]

Dzindziruk couldnt deal with Konecny's style.
He's lucky that he came away with the win.
It was also surprising to see how easy he was to hit.