Boxing 5/31 - 6/3

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +2.65 units
1 unit plays: 5-2 -0.9
1/2 unit plays: 44-17 +0.75
Dogs: 25-37 +2.80



5/31 Dogs

Baloyi over Medina +125...lay .3 to win .4 (winner)

Gogoladze by 10 round decision +168...lay .2 to win .35 (winner)


6/1 Dog

Muttley by decision +175...lay .2 to win .35 (loser)


6/2

Phillips-Karass over 9.5 -260...lay .5 to win .2 (loser)

Dogs

Karass over Phillips +240...lay .1 to win .25 (winner)

Harding over Dawson +250...lay .1 to win .25 (loser)

Florez by 12 round decision +396...lay .1 to win .4 (loser)


More to come

gl bl

 

[frank s.]

Yea, box, was leaning that direction myself. Am quite familiar with Medina; even met him at the Orleans just before he fought Marquez. He is durable, no doubt, but long in the tooth. How much does this guy have left? Of course, he has to feed his family still, but any possible monents of glory may be over and done. I like it.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

frankie

I read an interview with Medina before he beat Alvarez a few months ago. He admitted that his best days were behind him, and that if he were to beat Alvarez and get a shot at Barerra, he would retire after that for sure. Well he did beat Alvarez, but he didn't get his shot at Barrera...yet. Either way, the guy is on the way out and he knows it.

Baloyi is 2" taller with a 5" reach advantage and he's a southpaw who boxes and counters well. He should be able to pick Medina apart as the shorter guy tries to get inside.

This is a Banner promotion, so you have to watch out, but I did my homework. Medina is with Guilty, and Baloyi is taking the place of 3K Battery who is a Banner guy that pulled out of the fight.

At +125 I really like Baloyi who seems to have every advantage but the location which doesn't really favor Medina either. Medina's been stopped 4 times, twice by southpaws.

Can't wait to see Joey's opener

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Futures

6/10 Tarver over Hopkins -210...to win 1/2 unit
6/10 Hopkins by decision +415...to win 1/2 unit
6/17 Wright-Taylor DRAW +1700...to win 1.7
7/15 Skelton-Williams DRAW +2500...to win 2.5
7/22 Baldomir over Gatti +400...to win 1 unit
8/12 Maskaev over Rahman +298...to win 1 unit

 

[BOXLOCKS]

This one's for you Flipper

This one's for you Flipper

Adding

Corrales by ko,tko,dq +450...lay .1 to win .45


Let me start by saying that Corrales by stoppage shouldn't be +450 in any fight at 135, let alone a fight against a guy he has already stopped

Castillo has an excellent chin at 135, but its not his chin that I'm worried about here. In the first fight Castillo was exhausted when he was caught on the ropes in the 10th. In the 2nd fight Castillo started 2 pounds off the 135 mark and missed by 3 lbs the next try, obviously he has trouble making lightweight.

From what I've heard, Corrales will not fight unless Castillo makes 135. So if Castillo pulls the same sh*t as last time my wager will be voided. If Castillo makes weight he will be completely dehydrated and he'll be there for the taking late in the fight.

I don't see Corrales winning a decision here, so getting +450 on the stoppage has good value

gl bl

 

[frank s.]

Well, Mr. Spock, you are dazzling us with you logic. Will Castillo really be that shot IF he makes weight? Reports are circulating that he is being monitored very closely and may make weight and not kill himself in the process. Corrales should not fight him if he doesn't IMHO. I think Chico will be highly motivated here. I did'nt like the last situation with all the weight crap, and Castillo's guy trying to put his foot under the scale!

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding


Harding over Dawson +250...lay .1 to win .25


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding


Muttley by decision +175...lay .2 to win .35



The good news...I smell home cookin'

The bad news...line is only available at bet365


Small play here as Anderson is the naturaly bigger guy, he's younger, has a little more power, and could be the better fighter. The odds suggest the previous with all books opening Anders a small favorite despite the location and promotion favoring Muttley.

So why am I playing Muttley by decision?

1) I seriously dought he'll stop Anderson

2) Boxing politics...The location of the fight favors Muttley, and the fight is promoted by Errol Johnson who happens to be Muttley's trainer. In his last fight, Muttley won a split decision over Michael Jennings who is a F. Warren fighter from England. Looks like Errol might have a little pull.

Anderson really hasn't done a whole lot. Joshua Okine is the biggest win on his resume and that was a very close split decision in Anderson's back yard with Okine coming all the way from Ghana.

The early money at 5dimes went to Anderson but has since moved back to the original spot. Bet365 is a Euro book, they opened -140 but moved back to -130.

I'll see what else I can dig up on this one

gl bl

 

[Flipper13]

Box, glad to see you are on my guy this time...I have been told the samething if Castillo doesn't make the weight so I hope Corrales would back down if Castillo comes in heavy again...

Although what if Corrales comes out boxing like he did against Casa in the rematch? If he boxes with Castillo instead I don't think Castillo would be ko'd...Maybe more value with just taking Corrales +200?

ps-I would like to see you put more than .1 units on Chico. ;-)

 

[gardenweasel]

a brit friend likes anderson to outwork mutley by decision......but,i had the same concerns as you... homecourt and the promotional reins......i`m waiting for his reply...

i guess the consensus is that this thing goes to the cards...

also like the corrales inside the distance(great odds...i have castillo in a par)and i`ve always liked eric hardng...

i don`t know what happened during the time frame that harding collapsed vs tarver and was outworked by johnson....

in the tarver loss,harding was easily heading toward his second points win vs tarver when he seemed to fade in the 4th...he had no stamina...and was pinned on the ropes in the 5th and caught....

if you saw the first tarver fight,it was obvious who the better guy was...

he followed that up with a horrible performance vs johnson....he was lifeless...

and then he faded from the scene...rumors were that he picked up some "unsavory" habits....

sooo...he`s 33 now...has a couple good wins under his belt.....worth a shot at +250....or anything over +200

there was a time when harding,imo,was the second best lt heavy in the world...

what`s left?.....we`ll see...

also on baloyi.....the overs in harding/dawson...baloyi/medina...and mutley/anderson....look interesting...maybe a very small longshot parlay...hard to hit 3 overs.....just for fun....

g.l.

 

[frank s.]

Well, at this point, I'm leaning toward Castillo by KO again. I think he JUST makes weight, then puts on ten pounds overnite. I've always been a big fan of Chico Corrales, but trying to read between the lines, his interviews sound like promos and not the Corrales I remember. I also think Castillo has a tad more confidence going in. We all know how hard Corrales can hit so I my be wrong, but I just feel Castillo makes this his best and last fight at 135, than moves on.

 

[gardenweasel]

franks...did you read the article at fightnews?....

something interesting was mentioned...

""Roger Mayweather was overheard advising the Castillo camp to expect a differnent kind of fight from Corrales, saying Castillo will have to pressure him and "go after him" like his nephew Floyd did."

goossen going to finally try and utilize corrales` height and do a little boxing?.....hmmmmm....

probably a smart move...if he can keep diego disciplined....which will be extremely difficult once the fur starts flying....

chico should have been k.o`ed in the first fight...if not for the mothpiece issue....and he was brutally whacked in the second....

they say the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different resul(or something to that effect)...

it would be silly for goossen to keep sending corrales out to fight castillo`s fight...


i expect something different from corrales...

 

[MayorgaFan]

Corrales isn't the better boxer and he's not more skilled either. It's a big misconception that Corrales can outbox Castillo if he tries. Corrales has short arms and gets caught a lot when people feint him. That was how he got caught in the first fight and dropped. In 1 of his interviews he admitted he isn;t comfortable outside with Castillo, it's because Castillo is very skilled and hard to outbox.

 

[Flipper13]

Can Corrales though stay outside and do damage to Castillo? Albeit Corrales would have to win by ko as he may have to give up rounds to Castillo, but it worked against Freitas...

Also, no one thought Corrales could box at all going into the Casa rematch and he proved that he could do that as well...

I expect to see the best out of both fighters for this one.

As a bettor, I love the value that sides with Corrales as he was a small favorite the first two times against Castillo...Just wish I knew a little more if the plan is to take the fight into the late rounds or not.

 

[frank s.]

Thanks GW. Will check it out. Corrales fought super smart versus Frietas, I feel. Bide his time and outsmarted the fox. Castillo is just a SOB and shrewd to boot. Diego will have to defend himself when Castillo comes after him. Best defense theory? I guess my perspective stems from the awful beat down Chico got last time out. Guys carry some of this destruction into the next fight at times. Still go with Castillo at this point.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding


Gogoladze by 10 round decision +168...lay .2 to win .35


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

For the record...


If this fight was at 138, I'd play Castillo...BIG


I still think Castillo is the better fighter, and I agree with MF about Corrales trying to outbox Castillo, it won't happen.

My play on Corrales inside distance is a value play at +450 knowing that Castillo has to make 135 for it to have action. UI have not made my final plays on this fight, the rest will come after the weigh-in. I just had to get my money down early on the Corr by ko prop as the line will drop big time if Castillo struggles to make weight.

If I get word that Castillo had a great camp and had no problem making 135, my Corr by ko play will become a small hedge for a big play on Castillo.


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Great Start

Great Start

Gogoladze wins by 10 round UD

Nice +168 winner



Baloyi-Medina are fighting now...close fight after 5

 

[Flipper13]

If Castillo makes the weight which I think he will, I think it has been and will be difficult for him to make as I have heard him for a year now state that he is moving up in weight because making 135 is too difficult...I believe you need to throw out the last fight when handicapping these two guys...I have reasons I stated here, and I have my other reasons...I believe the fight should be a pick as it will be very closely contested like the first fight...Or maybe Corrales will just decide to open up the whooping stick early and pay back Castillo....(Sorry I just couldn't help myself ;-)~~ )

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Sweeet!!!

Sweeet!!!

Baloyi stops Medina in the 11th

2-0 on the night...both dogs

Very Nice