3 parlay - F. Sturm, J. Zaveck, O.Romero (+100) - medium well
Also have Seda from last week involved in some parlays with first two. All of these look solid to me. Lorenzo hits hard and could land a lucky punch, but odds are he doesn't have the complete skill set to get it done. I also like the looks of the Sturm by dec. prop.
Zaveck fight feels a bit dangerous, but I think he's fighting very well now. Home field should be the difference here.
To me, Romero should be a bigger favorite. I got him at -5, and he has gone up now. I suppose there is a chance of a letdown after the Mayol fights, but I really can't see him surrendering the title he worked so hard to acquire.
C. Ota (-115) - medium well Two fighters on different trajectories I think. Ota seems very much on the upswing, with a string of solid victories, including his last which as an excellent win over top Aussie prospect King Davidson. This was a clear upset. Ota seems to hit quite hard. Yuba is 33. He's a tall, lanky, and fragile guy who has been ko'd and down on various occasions. I see a passing of the guard type of fight here, with Ota scoring the knockout.
R. Burns (+350) - medium Here's my upset play of the week. I think Martinez if over rated in general. He has been tested by guy's he really should have dominated. Struggle against very average Feider Viloria is glaring. Scotland is a long way to go, and a tough place for visiting fighters. Burns is a slick boxer, and I think the timing is right here for Burns to put in an excellent performance and pull it off.
I also think M. Omura (+220) and N. Espinoza (+675) are viable upset shots worth a little fun. The Japanese fight is, to me, even money. Lazarte at home again in Argentina and he'll probably rough house his way to another win, but I'm not sold on the little guy, even after his surprising win against Tamara. Before Tamara, he hadn't beaten anyone at all, and even lost a decision, in Argentina, to D. Reyes, who had repeatedly gotten outclassed by any decent fighter at the weight.
Good luck fellas!
