Boxing 9/28 - 9/29

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YTD Total: +15.95 units
2 units: 1-0 +2.0
1 unit: 5-1 +3.70
1/2 unit: 49-23 +3.60
Dogs: 48-63 +6.90
LT's: 1-12 -0.30


9/28 Dog

Elcock over Eastman +265...lay .15 to win .40 (winner)


9/29

Agbeko-Perez Over 10.5 -165...lay .40 to win .25 (loser)

Dawson-Mendoza Under 8.5 -120...lay .70 to win .60(winner)
Scalp Over 8.5 +155...lay .25 to win .35 (loser)

Dogs

Agbeko over Perez +158...lay .15 to win .25 (winner)

Berto by 12 round decision +219...lay .10 to win .20 (loser)

Taylor by 12 rd decision +320...lay .30 to win .95 (loser)


Parlays

Woods over Gonzalez -290 / Dawson over Mendoza -1700...(-235)...lay .80 to win .35 (winner)
Hedge Mendoza inside distance +2160...lay .05 to win 1.1 (loser)

Valuev over Bergeron -1375 / Florida over Auburn -1450 / San Diego over KC -700...(-320)...lay .95 to win .30 (loser)

Tsypko-Gogiya Over 9.5 -410 / Berto over Estrada -360 / San Diego over KC -700...(-122)...lay .35 to win .30 (loser)


Done for the week

gl bl
 
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Futures


10/6 Barerra over Pacman +270...lay .15 to win .40

10/13 Julio Diaz over Juan Diaz +400...lay .10 to win .40

11/3 Calzaghe by 12 round decision +209...lay .30 to win .65

11/10 Haye over Mormeck +130...lay .40 to win .50

11/23 Mayorga over Vargas +160...lay .30 to win .50



Pending Parlays (all posted in previous threads)

Johnson over Wills -350 (winner) / Ibragimov -555...lay .45 to win .25

Litzua over Lucero -1075 (winner ) / Ibragimov -565...lay .60 to win .20

Larsen over Hamdan -1000 (winner) / Ibragimov -565...lay .65 to win .20
 
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Romi...quit sleeping on the job...

Romi...quit sleeping on the job...

Just playin'

But seriously, where are all the boxing guys, we finally have a busy week after a 4 week drought...and nobody shows up?
 
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varybarry

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I'm just starting to get into boxing... so expect to hear a lot from me in the future.
 
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s_dooley24

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Box-

Is the Taylor play a value one? and will you be hedging?

What do you think about playing Taylor straight and then the under for what I risk on Taylor, to cover a Pavlik KO or Taylor wins i-t-d and both cash?
 
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s_dooley24 said:
Box-

Is the Taylor play a value one? and will you be hedging?

What do you think about playing Taylor straight and then the under for what I risk on Taylor, to cover a Pavlik KO or Taylor wins i-t-d and both cash?
Click to expand...


dools the Taylor by 12 decision is definitly a value play, esp now that almost every solid boxing guy I know is backing Pavlik to stop Taylor at some point. The odds on Taylor by decision are now around +250, I played the prop b/c I knew the line was way too high, and I really think thats the only way Taylor can win this fight...therefore value

As of right now I'm not sure if I'll hedge at all, but if I do, I'll probaly play Pavlik by stoppage. If he lands enough punches to win a decision over Taylor, he will knock him out before it gets that far. Right now I'm letting the prop ride and watching the line move, I'll get back to you if I decide to hedge

gl bl
 
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The Sponge

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dools the Taylor by 12 decision is definitly a value play, esp now that almost every solid boxing guy I know is backing Pavlik to stop Taylor at some point. The odds on Taylor by decision are now around +250, I played the prop b/c I knew the line was way too high, and I really think thats the only way Taylor can win this fight...therefore value

As of right now I'm not sure if I'll hedge at all, but if I do, I'll probaly play Pavlik by stoppage. If he lands enough punches to win a decision over Taylor, he will knock him out before it gets that far. Right now I'm letting the prop ride and watching the line move, I'll get back to you if I decide to hedge

gl bl
Click to expand...

I can't believe this over and under line is 11.5. I was all in with Taylor and now im having my Weasel like doubts. This could be a great fight if the Taylor of old shows up. this is one of those fights that if i bet Taylor and lose i wouldn't be all that upset. Pavlik looks to be a pretty decent kid. Im thinking of putting a small wager on Pav to win a decision to hedge my Taylor play. Pav wins by a knockout im doomed.:00x32
 
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tonymontana

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I like Berto inside at 220. This kid is fast and he can punch. He got greedy vs rivera who fought a smart fight. I was impressed and i am still impressed with Berto.
he has a fair chance to take him out
 
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tonymontana

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woh didnt see that one coming normally this english local fighter fail when they step up.
well done

I am losing it. I had quite some money on escobedo straight and inside and after two rounds i didnt like it at all. Mandoza looked dangerous and with my luck lately i turned off the stream and watched a movie.
When i switched back it is all over. Escobedo via ko in 6. A win is a win but this is not the way to make money if you look a the risk reward relation.

BTW if i were you i would buy me some under 11 and a half to hedge your taylor dec bet.
 
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Romi

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I know it's after the fact, but I added a med play on escobedo to make 2 bens. I also have a lrge play on Woods. GL everybody.
 
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tonymontana said:
woh didnt see that one coming normally this english local fighter fail when they step up.
well done

I am losing it. I had quite some money on escobedo straight and inside and after two rounds i didnt like it at all. Mandoza looked dangerous and with my luck lately i turned off the stream and watched a movie.
When i switched back it is all over. Escobedo via ko in 6. A win is a win but this is not the way to make money if you look a the risk reward relation.

BTW if i were you i would buy me some under 11 and a half to hedge your taylor dec bet.
Click to expand...


Thanks, my play was more against Eastman than it was for Elcock if you know what I mean. I read several reports on Eastman's last 2 fights and it souded like he was showing signs of a shot fighter. The hometown advantage for "the penus" is what sealed the deal for me

Congrats on Escobedo, I turned it on right as the fight was being stopped, didn't get to watch him fight. Thanks to your post, I put Escobedo in a parlay to cover my small personal play on the Thompson Over 3.5 +250 last night

I'll take your advise into consideration as I deside what to do, might just let it ride at a great price so I don't run the risk of losing both bets

Where my homies?
 
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tonymontana

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@ Boxlocks that maybe a good idea. I did a horrible job of hedging a big parlay with chuck as last link. i hedged with jardine inside.Costed me two big ones.

De leon is on now and this going under i hope.
 
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Adding


Parlay

Valuev over Bergeron -1375 / Florida over Auburn -1450 / San Diego over KC -700...(-320)...lay .95 to win .30
 
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tonymontana

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first round and lopez is coming to fight and he tooksome good shots but was rocked.
The under looks good, not much on it and franks chickened out(joke) but it looksgood
 
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