British Bulldogs World Series Plays

goldcupsports

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BB brought up some great points. Sure Pedro is the best out there. ALl you have to do is keep it close regardless of the boston starter then you get to go to that very soft bullpen. Nice job BB
 

british bulldog

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COMING BACK FOR MORE NLDS GAME 3's

COMING BACK FOR MORE NLDS GAME 3's

Well it certainly is unusual to have the best two teams in the National league as both dogs, admittally on the road. Here are my views and takes on the game.


Atlanta (Maddux) @ Chicago (Prior)

Mark Prior has been red hot going 10-1 in his last 11 starts with a 1.50 ERA in that span. He enters the game in good KW form with a KW of 37/5 and a 1.13 WHIP ratio. Prior is 3-12-2 under in his last 17 starts. Greg Maddux enters the game in excellent KW form with a KW of 5/0 and an unbelievable .53 WHIP off his last 3 starts. The Braves Greg Maddux is 3-1 with a 1.89 ERA in his team starts in Chicago the last 3+ years and the Braves are 14-7 in the 21 career starts made by Maddux in Wrigley Field. The Cubs Mark Prior is the real deal, but this is his first Post-Season start of his career.

Selections;

1 unit Atlanta @ Chicago UNDER 8.5 +100

1 unit ATLANTA +132


San Francisco (K. Rueter) @ Florida (M. Redman)

The Giants come to Pro Player Stadium off possibly their worst defensive game of the entire season. The Giants are still 7-2 in their last 9 head-to-head meetings with Florida. Kirk Rueter toes the rubber today who ending the season with a number of quality starts and allowing 1 run in his last two starts. Is September's performance's a true indication of his ability? I believe it is and the Giants have won his last five starts. I will be interested to see how Redman reacts to his first post season start. After pitching for the Tigers his move to Florida has seen him finish with a career high 14-9 and an ERA of 3.59 . The Giants have bettor personnel than Florida and I look for them to win and regain home field advantage. This is also a battle of southpaws here in Game 3. Opposing southpaw starters at Pro Player Stadium have shown 8 overs, 11 under, 2 pushes on the year. Florida southpaws at home show 12 overs, 19 unders, 3 pushes. Mark Redman's over/under count at home is 5 overs, 9 unders.

Selections;


1 unit San Francisco @ Florida UNDER 8.5 +116

1 unit SAN FRANCISCO +108
 
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Robbo

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Don't ignore the fact that Florida is 17-6 vs lefties at home and today they have one they've hit well.
 

british bulldog

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Thanks Robbo, I was aware of the fact. I am not knocking Florida in any way, I love to see the underdog stick it to the chalk whenever they can. I know Florida is the fav in this game but that I take as the home field advantage.

I like the way Rueter (Woody from toy story) has pitched over the last month. Don't forget he spent some time on the D.L. earlier in the season and I also feel he took time to get his game back on track. I also realise that he is a better pitcher at Pac Bel than on the road but the price is just to enticing. The Giants were pathetic in game 2 and I think it will be quite some time before we see such a poor defensive performance.

The Giants hit southpaws better than right handers by over .03 OBP (.286 compared with .255) and this is their best opportunity to win and kill of the fish in this series.

Florida are relying heavily on winning tonight and that may just be a hindrence as they won't be playing as lose as they usually do.
 

british bulldog

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Split last night going 2-2 and a very small profit of 0.16 units.

A little unfortunate to not collect on the Giants and after saying their defense couldn't play any worse than it did in game 2, well egg on my face as a simple catch in right field allowed Florida to win. How the Giants could have twice as many hits and strand 19 runners on base and not win is what little league is all about.

Anyway, playoff record now 8 - 5 for a profit of + 5.40 units
 

british bulldog

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Last game of the divisional series and the record moves to 9 - 6 and + 5.80 units


Boston are very fortunate to find themselves still in this series. Big mistake by Oakland failing to touch home plate which would have given them the win and almighty blunder by umpires who award a run for obstruction at third base to Boston, yet a clear push when Oakland rounding third and he's given out at home.

All I could think at the time was that these were home team calls and if it had happened in Oakland then the roles would probably be reversed.

Whilst all this is going on, the Yankees are chuckling away. Both Boston or Oakland will have to operate with their top pitcher working on 4 days rest twice in Championship series. Take Pedro, obviously Boston will want him to pitch twice and that will be game 3 on 4 days rest and I am sure they would not want to leave him back for a possible seventh game so that leaves game 6 which will be on 3 days rest. Lowe will have to pitch two games home and away so he will operate on 5 days if pitching game 2 and then 3 days rest if pitching game 5. All this is speculation but pitching make ups are not in Boston's favour. Oakland already without Mulder could be without Hudson and that spells trouble so what ever the outcome tonight the Yankees will have all four of their rotation working on atleast 5 days rest for the first four games and only the Moose coming back for Game 5 on 4 days rest.

Anyway thats enough ramblings and I have decided to make two more play's on this series. I have Oakland for the series and I still stand by that choice but because Oakland are a nice price dog again tonight I will step in and play again.


Boston Red Sox @ Oakland A's Game 5

A's won last 6 games at home.
A's are 59-24 on the season at home.
Zito's last 7 starts vs the Red Sox have gone under.
BoSox are 42-41 on the road this season.
BoSox are 0-2 in both of Martinez's starts vs A's in 2003 (including game one of this series)

Both teams send their aces to the mound. The A's send lefty Barry Zito while the Red Sox counter with their powerful right hander Pedro Martinez. The A's after taking a 2-0 series lead succumbed to the Red Sox in both games at Fenway. Big games like this are usually won with defense and pitching. That edge goes to the A's who have progressed to this point of the season with staunch defence and very consistent pitching. I am expecting both Martinez & Zito to pitch strong games tonight and for this tilt to end up being a pitchers duel that will be decided in the late innings. The curse of the Bambino looms large as the A's send the Red Sox packing.

1 unit Oakland A's +150
1 unit UNDER 7.5 -125
 

skulldog

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BB, your a good handicapper and congrats on your run in Bases, but your blined by your dislike of the sox.

How about giving varitek(sp) some credit for blocking the plate, how about Byrnes pushing him as he was going for the ball and he should have went back and touched HP, instead of whining about being hurt:violin::bsflag.

I've heard all about the "CALL and it seems to be 50/50 split on the play, quit crying and move on. The A's have a perfecr opportunity to win yesterdays game, they fudged their undies:thefinger

If the A's have any heart, which they don't, they'll " COWBOY UP and take this one at home, and should that happen, I'll give them their props.

GL
 

british bulldog

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Skulldog

I am certainly not a Boston Redsox hater. I have nothing against them what so ever. In case your wondering I don't care to much for the Yankees either. I feel that Boston have been a decent side to fade against this season because with Pedro out of the rotation I feel that they have a decent pitcher in Lowe but he is certainly no top twenty or thirty for that matter, and the others would only hold a top position in Detroit's rotation. If the offense does not perform then Boston struggles and as they say good pitching will always beat good batting.

You have your opinion and I have mine. I didn't criticise Varitek and is block of home plate, that is within the rules. I mention that Byrnes (although I couldn't remember his name) made a complete hash of things, if he had touched H.P. then Oakland would have been in a very strong position to win.

As for the other comments about interference at third base, I stand by my comments and I am sure that if the same happened in tonights game the run would be awarded to Oakland and possibly not to Boston. I do feel that both incidents should have been called interference and a run awarded to both sides.

Hats off to Boston for Cowboying Up, they have thought hard to get back in the series, but this is not the Boston side of the regular season. The middle of the order has struggled but showed signs yesterday that they may be coming out of their slump.

My call tonight is the same as in game one. Pedro is always to much chalk when he takes the mound and I have won money this year opposing him in plenty of situations, like game 1. He pitched well but was matched by Hudson. I expect Zito to do the same again tonight as he did in game 2, so Pedro will have to pitch just aswell. If both leave the game after 7 innings and it's a 3-3 tied game, I know where my money would rather be.

If Boston don't get to Zito in the first three innings it could be a lights out job with his big change up and sinker.

I personnally for entertainment purposes would like to see Boston play Yankees for the American League Championship. This will offer plenty of betting opportunities as the Yankee pitchers wont be to inflated against Lowe and Pedro and those guys will be pitching on 4 and 3 days rest if they pitch twice each in the first six games.

Lowe game 2 and 5, Pedro game 3 and 6. Opposing them will be Pettitte in game 2 and Mussina in game 5, two tough games there for Lowe and Pedro will be up against Clemans in game 3 and Pettitte in game 6. That leaves Mussina in game one for an easy win over Wakefield, Wells in game 4 over either Wakefield or Burkett, probably another win to New York there. So do Boston fancy taking atleast 3 of the 4 games that Lowe and Pedro pitch to force a game 7 with Wakefield or Burkett against Clemans. Just can't see it happening. Infact if Boston win tonight they lose in six and possibly five to New York and if Oakland win tonight they lose to the Yankees in five and possibly six.

But these are only my opinions and I am guessing that this is how Boston will match up with their pitching.
 

skulldog

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BB, great debating w/you and congrats on the plus units, what a game no matter who you were cheering for:eek: Derek Lowe sacked up big time and if he lost that gm, he's so fragile, his career(sp) might have been over.

Gl
 

british bulldog

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NATIONAL LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES .... GAME 1


Florida Marlins @ Chicago Cubs

Two clubs not expected to be around at this stage of the season battle it out for the National League Title and the right to move on to the World series. The Chicago Cubs come into this game having dominated the Florida Marlins in recent meetings winning 8 of the last 10 matchups. However, the Marlins have been red hot entering this years NL showdown having won 9 of their last 11 games overall. The Marlins have had some success playing in the windy city winning 7 of the last 11 matchups at Wrigleyville. I see Game One going to the Marlins who will start Josh Beckett(1-2 with a 2.57 ERA). Beckett took the loss in his one post season start vs Giants but went a strong 7 innings allowing 2 hits and 1 run. He is currently in better form than Cubs starter Zambrano(0-1 L3 with a 8.22 ERA) and his team record is 5-12 at home in the second half of this season. Zambrano had the jitters in his first ever post season start versus the Braves allowing 11 hits 3 runs over 5.2 innings of work but look for him to settle down knowing he sports an 0.73 ERA versus the Marlins this year.

Chicago went under the total in four of its first round games versus Atlanta. Its pitching and defense is in rare form. Florida had two high scoring games versus the Giants but those were as much due to the Giants defensive lapses as to their own offense. I see Zambrano getting into a pitchers duel here with Beckett making runs a scare item. With the pitchers involved and the regular season producing 1-4-1 (O/U) for the season, I can't see anyother way to go accept under the posted total.

1 unit Florida +110

1.5 units Under 8 -103


Adding

2 units Chicago Cubs (series) -180

In my opinion the Cubs have too much pitching for two teams hitting about the same. Marlins have to face Prior and Wood twice each. Marlins have a sense of destiny about them, but nowhere near that of the Cubs. Perhaps the Baseball Gods may be setting up an unexpected match-up of Cubs and Sox World Series. Both Cubs and Marlins playing well and with urgency and I see a few under plays in the series. Cubbies to win this series, probably in 6.
 
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british bulldog

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Just for you Scott-Atlanta

Florida's bullpen has an ERA of 4.16 (WHIP 1.427) on all the season increasing to 5.55 (WHIP 1.561) on the road on 228.2 innings pitched. Overall they have a save percentage of 71.1 (63.6% on the road).

When relieving for Beckett they have pitched 65 innings on 24 games, allowing 27 runs (23 earned) for an ERA of 3.18 with 6 saves and 3 blown.

In the divisional series against the Giants the bullpen pitched 14.2 innings allowing 4 runs (3 earned). 14 hits and 9 free passes wioth no home runs.


Chicago's bullpen have slightly better numbers. A 4.09 ERA (WHIP 1.329) on the season with a slightly higher ERA at home of 4.16 (WHIP 1.417) on 229.1 innings pitched at home. They have a save percentage of 72.5% but 65.4% at home.

Whilst in 30 games of relief for Zambrano, they have pitched 83.2 innings allowing 41 runs (40 earned) for an ERA of 4.30. They managed 5 saves and 3 blown.

In their divisional series with Atlanta the bullpen had less work than the Marlins but worse figures. 9.1 innings pitched allowing 4 runs on 6 hits and 6 free passes with one of those runs being a home run.
 

Robbo

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Any opinion on whether or not the high pitch counts will ever catch up with Cubs starters?
 

british bulldog

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Only Prior has had a particular large pitch count over his last six games. He pitches game 2 on four days rest. Wood also has four days between his starts, pitching game 3. Prior will then pitch game 5 on full (5 days) rest.

Both Prior and Wood have young arms and appear to be work horses. It may be a case of later than sooner with these two and that could be in the World Series itself, if the Cubbies get there.

The bullpen has not had much work, only appearing more than the two innings that would normally be expected for both of Zambrano's and Clement's starts. I don't know if Dusty is truelly confident behind his bullpen as he appears reluctant to use them in the late innings when Prior and Wood toe the rubber.

We all know what can happen and usually does when pitchers pitch on short rest. I thought Zito would get to the 7th yesterday before pulling him but I was wrong. I played this because he has seveal years experience pitching in the majors and finds ways to get hitters out. It was a bad management move not to have pulled him after walking Damon staright after the tieing home run.

It is Boston I would be more concerned about than Chicago. Both Lowe and Pedro will pitch on short rest for their first starts and short rest on their second start. Little appears to have found 4 solid relief guys but these have been over worked already and there will be no doubt more extra work to come. I don't want to upset the Boston fans here but with the way their starters are going to match up with the Yankees and their number one and two guys pitching all their starts on four and three days rest. Unless of course Lowe and Pedro pitch games 2 & 3 followed by 6 & 7 and then it is only Lowe who has five days of rest in his second start. It may not affect them in their first trip to the mound but in their second, well that spells T.R.O.U.B.L.E. Both Pitchers would being pitch three times in the space of 10 days including days when they pitched.
 

vanbasten

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BB

BB

great info. thanks for sharing. just looked at your community page as well. looks good.

good luck to you.
 

british bulldog

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Off a 1-1 and a loss of 0.44 units brings post season record to 11 - 9 + 3.36 units

Tonight see's game 2 in the National League and the matchup of the entire series in the American League.

I have just played these lines and I think the book is well out of line, unless they have large liabilities. Unfortunatly they are with a UK bookmaker (skybet)


2 units Chicago Cubs (game 2) -200 (1/2)

1.5 units Florida / Chicago UNDER 8 -105 (20/21)

2 units NY Yankees (game 1) -160 (5/8)

3 units NY Yankees (series) -150 (4/6)
 
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