Buick Invitational

warner

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had another good week last week with my big play of choi over byrd barely winning up 580 so total for year 872 my goal of 3000 may actually happen

riley 0 sutherland 160/100
toms 0 howell 175/100
tataurangi 0 sabatini 130/100
tway 0 flesch 110/100
mattice 0 legget 125/100
geiberger 0 paulson 135/100
 

lostinamerica

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OUTRIGHTS:

This slate has about average appeal to me, so it may well struggle to play out respectably.

Stuart Appleby(33/1 and 40/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365
For the time being at least I rate Appleby as having edged ahead of his chum Allenby as most likely to bust through to the winner?s circle. There is still too much of his characteristic ?in and out? in his play, and I would realistically expect him to come up a little short if he goes close this week . . . I remember well that this tournament last year was my first week devoted to Monday to Sunday golf capping (and posting my plays and analysis). I remember that the ONLY reason I didn?t play John Daly in this event after traveling from Australia was a concern over fatigue, and Daly was there on the 72nd hole. The traveling Appleby also comes off a week of battling strong winds, but I think ocean breezes and links golf can sometimes set the best player?s rhythm, and some nasty weather and the potential for a stern test this week may play out as Appleby advantages. I just think he is tracking well and that it reflects his focus. I give him a hungry newlywed's full chance.

Tim Clark(80/1) for 0.50* @ Bet365
All the trappings look like a decent fit.

Kevin Sutherland(66/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet 365 and 5dimes
The California boys do fare well at this haven of championship junior golf. I passed on Sutherland last week with an eye to this week and the plan is not yet a bust. Currently No. 62 in the world rankings, does Sutherland as the defending champion miss out on the Accenture match play if not rated in the Top 64?

Rocco Mediate(30/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ 5dimes
I?ll concur on the basis of his approach, his health and some exceptional form.


MATCHUPS:

Singh(-115) over Mickelson (Tournament) for 1* @ 5dimes
Last year I didn?t need stats to tell me that Lefty was having a monster year driving the ball ? at least until he lurched toward kittywampus at Muirfield. This year I don?t need stats to tell me that Phil?s aggressive play that starts on the tee is not panning out. While the familiar targets at Torrey Pines should assist, I don?t think he?s poised to turn it completely around at this moment, and there are additional distractions likely this week that can help turn things around but usually don?t. While I don?t picture tumbling coastal golf when I think of Vijay at his best, if Singh has 72 holes to separate, I?ll take his current form over Phil?s course form.

GL
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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adding 2 more 72 @ B&W both -111
Have to shake my head having all 6 72 holes in ties lose jeopardy!
---but look like best shots this week.

Funk over Phil Tata-----
Sluman over Sabbatini

Both have higher ratings from all perspectives,both have superior cut ratio in 2002,both have significant head to head past year adv and both have better total driving and scambling stats,which I think will play a part considering course condition.
Two strong angles.Sabb missed 10 cuts in 23 events last year,a hot and cold player.Funk led tour in fairways hit and I highly expect with weather they may go to lift clean and place which would give him significant edge.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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an interesting stat:
Leading players with 4 events here in last 5 years in relation to par.
Woods -63
K Sutherland -41
Mick -35
Riley -34
Paulson -30
Lewis -26
 

lostinamerica

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MATCHUPS:

Haas(-110) over Faxon (Tournament) for 1* @ Bet365


3 BALLS:

I do like 3 Balls. The situational capping that goes into it, and tracking it after it starts. What I don?t care for about it is the fact it is easily the area in which my biggest posting jinx exists, but I don?t seem to care about that too much.

1st Round for 0.50* each @ Bet365:

Lehman(+225) over Howell/Estes
Tataurangi(+250) over Woods/Leggatt
Leggatt(+350) over Woods/Tataurangi
Calcavecchia(+138) over Sauers/Begay

GL
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Your double vs tiger sure looks better than what 5dimes offered on their prop if either wins and MUCH better if both win.

T.WOODS (1ST RND) -168 2/13/03 1:00 PM EST 414 TATURANG/LEGGAT (1ST RND) +148

Good Luck!
 

dawgball

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Why does fog stop a golf tournament? I thought they cancelled sporting events due to weather when it endangered the players. If everyone is playing in the fog, wouldn't it be fair to start the tournament?

Just curious.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Don't know brother dawg. I was out hitting golf balls,come home flip on the tube,immediately see leader board with Riley leading at -7,Sutherland at -5. I am in middle of high-fiving the cats and they flash the delay and then state it is rebroadcast of last year.
I go from :spotting: to :( in 10 seconds flat.
 

nomad

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If anyone is interested
Code:
Course    Avg.    Sub-Par
[B]North[/B]	70.61	53
[B]South[/B]	74.17	15
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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believe stats will show North played harder than 1st day and South easier than 1st day.
North greens were faster and South rough was not wet.

Big break to those that played North 1st day.They got best of both worlds each day.

Thanks for the stats as always,Nomad.
 

Stanley

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Mid-point update:

Appleby/Baddeley LOST by 1
Donald/Baddeley Leads by 4
Sluman/Baddeley LOST by 2
Haas/O'Meara WON (O'Meara withdrew)
Maruyama/Sabbatini Trails by 5
Cabrera/Cejka LOST by 2

Mediate dns
Estes 63rd
Riley 20th

Disappointing to lose three matchups by no more than two shots with the opponent making the cut on the line. Looks like being a poor result this week unless Riley can sneak into a top-5 finish to offset some of the losses.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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at the cut 2-4
Langer over Baddeley loss
Haas over Omeara win
Lewis over Perez loss
Toms over Howell loss
Funk over Tata------ win
Sluman over Sabba--- loss

All 72 holes decided at cut. Weird Shit! Langer,Toms and Sluman
collectively made 86% of their cuts last year and 90% of cuts in this tourney last 5 years and all go home at weekend. :mad:

Outrights Riley and Sutherland both make cut but have lots of work left.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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3rd rd
Kind of timid after 72 hole plauge but going to wade back in.
All these plays are players catching worst end of courses each day vs those catchibg best and sitting in similiar positions.

72 hole cont @ Oly
Maru -135 over Baddeley
(steep price but not considering the horses)

Tim Clark +110 over Perez -1/2 stroke @ Wsex
Tim Clark -112 over Beckman @ 5dimes
Sure hate to put 2 eggs on a youngin but has a 2-12-cut and 10th in 4 events this year and has not shot over par in 3rd and 4th rd.

Adding outrights to place @ Oly 1/2 unit each,both @ 100/1
Estes and Maruyama
:) Looks like desperation play,but this course is known for finishes coming from bottom tier--and these are both quite capable. Oly comes from -1 just making cut last year,to winners circle.All I'm asking is top 4 at MUCH better odds.
 

lostinamerica

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Tornament Diary: From Thursday to Friday to Today's New Adventures to . . .


San Diego Union Tribune (2/14/03):

. . .Woods, who was making his much-anticipated season debut after a two-month layoff following arthroscopic knee surgery.

The world's No. 1 player, who didn't start his round until 2:05 p.m., pounded the ground with his club more often than he hit fairways, reaching only two in eight chances while finding five greens in regulation.

Woods scrambled well enough, though, to suffer only one bogey while notching two birdies. At 1-under he was tied for 38th.

Just seconds before the horn sounded to suspend play for the last time, Woods teed off on the 10th and pushed his drive into the rough under a pine tree. It is from there that he will hit his next shot when play resumes today.

Walking back up the fairway to the clubhouse in a steady rain, Woods, chuckling, said of his scrambling performance: "I would rather not have done it."

Regarding his constant changing of clothes, he said, "The problem is that I didn't dress properly. I was either too hot or too cold. The sweater vest would have been perfect."

Woods' demeanor ran hot and cold in the round, which began on No. 1 with a drive into the right rough, followed by an expletive uttered under his breath. Woods' second shot to the easy par-5 was pin high but in the rough, and his chip stopped 30 feet short.

At the par-4 fourth, Woods found the right rough again, and when he caught a flier, he swore again, yelling, "Bite! Bite!" The next shot, a fluffed chip that got him just over the fringe, resulted in his only bogey.

There were some light moments, too. On the uphill, dogleg seventh, Woods' drive rolled just through the cart path, on which he had to take his stance. When a security guard barked to the crowd, "Back! Back!" Woods quipped, "I'm not playing that bad, am I?"

After play was suspended, Woods did his best to make light of the circumstances. Asked if he enjoyed being back, he said with a big smile and sarcastic tone, "On a bright, sunny day like today? Oh yeah, it was great."

http://www.signonsandiego.com/sports/golf/buick/images/030214woods.jpg

. . .The grounds crew at Torrey Pines has not been able to mow the greens since Monday, and their fuzzy state is causing the players a different set of problems from those to which they're accustomed.

"It was probably rolling at 6 on the Stimpmeter and we're used to 10," said veteran Jay Haas, who was 2-over through 15 holes on the South Course. "You have to just blast it and hope."

Phil Mickelson, who was at 3-under through 13 holes on the South, said that because of the wet fairways the course was playing considerably longer than its 7,568 yards. But its 1-year-old greens were also more forgiving than normal.

"This course wasn't playing hard today," said Mickelson, who went out in 33 and didn't have a bogey. "We were able to get up and down very easily because the greens were so receptive. We saw some low scores today because these guys were able to attack the pins."
 

lostinamerica

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Fred Funk(10/1) for 0.50* e.w. (Top 4) @ Bet 365
Follow your bliss.

PARLAY Fred Funk (To Win) and Tom Watson (To Win) for 0.25* IF offered @ Bet365

3rd Round for 1* each:
Funk(+150) over Faxon/Dawson @ Bet365
Riley(+110) over Stankowski/Morgan @ Bet365
Senden(-125) over Begay @ 5dimes
Clark(-112) over Beckman @ 5dimes
Stankowski(-125) over Kendall @ 5dimes

GL
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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adding one more outright to place @ SIA for 1 unit giving total of 4 for week.
Sabb--- 8.25/1

Thoughts these as generous considering Oly has @ 5/1 and Sabb sitting in top 20 with a top 5 finish last year.
 
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