I agree. I thought Tampa was the best team in the East from the start. However, I do like the momentum the Caps have as well as having Holtby. He was spectacular against Pittsburgh. I think the Caps strategy will be to play like they played in game 6 against the Pens. Play strong in front of the net, limit penalties, be solid defensively and take advantage of defensive breakdowns when they can. They do not want to get into a track meet with the Lightning.
Backstrom has to be back for them to win also. His line has to produce points for them to be able to win as the Lightning will focus on shutting down Ovechkin. My guess is whoever's 3rd and 4th lines produces the most wins the series.
Momentum and great goaltending is always a key in the playoffs. Both teams are riding high and I expect a great series that may be more defensive than people think. Both teams will want to stay out of the penalty box.
That said, I do not think the Lightning should be -190 for the Series. I am not betting the Series, but this price looks very steep to me and I would not touch it at that price.
I have been around long enough that I rarely bet with emotion anymore. Sure, I get pissed off as much as the next guy, but as you age, it wears off a lot faster. Most of my emotion is spent on the leagues/brass trying to change the game, the poor state of officiating and replay. I know I can be very opinionated and I have no issues with healthy arguments as long as they do not get personal.
I am excited to enjoy some great playoff hockey as I get ready for the World Cup!!