CFL week 5

[1837]

Here there are:

Winnipeg -8 over Toronto Total 51

Hamilton -5 over Ottawa Total 48

Saskatchewan -2.5 over Calgary Total 52

Edmonton -6.5 over BC Total 51


At first look i kinda like Calgary to finally win one while Sask is still on cloud nine after beating Edmonton last week. On the other hand, Edmonton should roar vs BC and i like them too. My lean are Calgary and Edmonton. Ottawa at home +5 might be good too with Winnipeg -8

One thing for sure, i will bet on Montreal (unless the spread is 6 or higher on them) saturday vs a tired Winnipeg team with 4 days of rest. Every team this season will go through that tough spot of playing 2 football games in 4-5 days and this week, it is Winnipeg turn. No one yet has won the second game and the story should be the same here.

 

[1837]

First play:

Winnipeg -2 with Edmonton -0.5 (2 units)

YTD 15-15-1

 

[1837]

If i had known before...

Reading Winnipeg newspaper on the net and learned that 2 players from the Bombers ( Troy Mills and Arland Bruce ) got severely beating in a bar and probably won't play tomorrow. In addition, Qb Khari jones's wife should give birth at any moment and Jones has the permisson to leave to team to join his wife. May miss tomorrow's game or saturday vs Montreal.

Still like the teaser on them but i now lean to tease Toronto! If Khari Jones is out vs Montreal and Montreal is favorite within 5 points i will definitely POUND that game hard!!!! Montreal will then roll!!!

 

[1837]

2nd wager:

Toronto +17 with under 58 (2 units)

 

[tt boy]

playing this monster

TOR +20
TOR UN 63
OTT +17
CAL +14.5

 

[Valuist]

1837--

Thanks for the heads up on Winny. Toronto struggles to score but I don't think the Blue Bombers put up 55 this week. I'm going under 50.5.

 

[1837]

Thanks Valuist, more news... Edmonton QB's Haas is unlikely to play this friday after being injured in his last game... (pulled the trigger to quick on them i guess... ) Fade me and tease BC!

 

[Korn]

20-19 YTD +14.9 units :spotting:

Too many factors that could change tonights game.... its a no play for me tonight.... With Mills and Bruce injured and the fact that QB Jones can leave at anytime if his wife has a baby... This game is too tough to tell what will happen.... Toronto will have some experience at backup QB tonight with Reggie Slack returning to the CFL... If Bishop gets off to a bad start Reggie may get in the game and could help this weak Toronto O.....
With the total... I would lean towards the under.... but because Winnipeg has the ability to score that many by themself I will pass on that as well....

However.... There are a few props that I do like....

Milt Stegall over 79.5 recieving yards.... 2.4 to win 2.0
-He has only been below that total once so far in 4 games.... He is averaging 114 yds per game and last time they played Toronto Stegall had 140 yards.... With Bruce out that should give Stegall a few more receptions tonight... This would be a larger play if I knew QB Jones would be guaranteed to play tonight...

Charles Roberts over 44.5 yards rushing... 2.4 to win 2.0
-He also has only been below this # once so far this year... and that was the game against Ottawa where they fell behind early and had to give up on the running game and throw to comeback.... He's had games of 124 (against Toronto), 76, 39, 131..... So only needing 44.5 seems like a gift... But again due to the many factors of tonights game it will remain a 2 unit play...

Another prop that I like but am not playing it is QB Bishop Under 179.5 passing yards.... He has had a tough time getting that many yards so far and if he throws a few early INT's or just can't move the ball then look for him to be replaced early by Reggie Slack... He prob knows this could be his last chance.. so I think there's a chance he may perform well tonight... that being the reason I will pass on this one...


GL

 

[1837]

Didn't know the props were up so early!
Geeh i just love them!!!!

Agree with you Korn except i found these play very strong!

Charles Robert over 44.5 rushing -120 (5 units!!!)

Steagall over 79.5 receiving -120 (4 units)

I think we should have a fun game to watch!!!

 

[Korn]

ya... I find them very strong as well.... just with all those other factors kinda scared me..... but since you loved them aswell I added 2 more units each on them... 4 unit total for each...

I still can't watch the game... no cable yet

GL

 

[1837]

They changed their lines quickly after we pound them!

I'll keep you update on the game Korn but why not going to watch in a sports bar?:shrug: Chicken wings free (when you will hit your prop play) with beer...:drinky:...

 

[Meestermike]

WEEK #5...Meester M's ~ CFL plays TUE. July 23rd

WEEK #5...Meester M's ~ CFL plays TUE. July 23rd

TODAY ~ JULY 23rd...
Toronto Argonauts +9.5 ** units
1st Half Winnipeg Blue Bombers -3.5 *
1st Half Total Points Under 26 *
WIN/TOR Total Points Under 51.5 *

As I watch the lines drastically change today, IMO the Argos will cover the large original spread of +9.5. Both teams are still lacking scoring phoenese so I will roll with the unders here.

RESULTS...Wk #4 ~ ...(3-4) (-1.40 UNITS)
1st Half Winnipeg Blue Bombers -7? * W
Winnipeg Blue Bombers -13 * W
OTT/WIN Total Points UNDER 53? * L
Calgary +5 * L
Hamilton +1.5 * L
HAM/BC UN 50 * L
Saskatchwan +4 * W[/color]

Results YTD... +8.59 units

RESULTS...WK #1 ~ (1-3) (-0.41 UNITS)
RESULTS...WK #2 ~ (2-4) (-2.40 UNITS)
RESULTS...Wk #3 ~ (8-1-1) (+11.90 units)
RESULTS...Wk #4 ~ (3-4) (-1.40 UNITS)

GL

 

[hawkeye]

under 51 1/2--winnipeg/tor---gl

 

[Korn]

1837, I would love to go to sports bars to watch this stuff..... but I would be the only one watching if they even put it on..... They'd probably have baseball on instead... Nobody cares about the CFL out here.... just look at the attendence.... both games combined so far still add up to less than what other teams get for 1 game.... And if people don't watch their own lions, why would they give a damm about a game like Winnipeg vs Toronto.... LOL....

So i'll prob end up listening to it on the net......
Should have cable back for next weeks games!

GL

 

[1837]

Korn, too bad to hear that but i guess you're right... If you want, i'll post some comments about the game as i see it on tv during halftime.

I'm ready to fired up!:bigun:

 

[Korn]

sure.... that would be great.... I would appreciate that...

I just sent ya an email...

GL

 

[Korn]

Any last minute news on Khari Jones????

Thanks

Korn

 

[1837]

he'll be playing!

 

[1837]

2nd half play: over 24 -115 at five dimes

both team spoiled points in the first half so....

 

[Korn]

2nd half taking Winnipeg -4... 2.2 to win 2.0

Gives me Winnipeg -2 for the game.... I'll take that... Toronto's RB was injured late in the half.... Winnipeg is a 2nd half team... especially Khari Jones.... Like I mentioned a few weeks ago... his QB rating gets better as the game progress's and its avg over 94 for the 2nd half all year last year....

Props not looking good so far.....

GL