My largest play of the season so far goes tonight...
Sask -2 @ Calgary....
These are 2 teams going in opposite directions.... Calgary is falling and Sask is Rising.... I believe Calgary has lost belief in themselves while Sask is playing great together and right now believe they can beat anyone.... But I don't think they are overconfident.... they are preparing for Calgary and know that an 0-4 desperate team can be dangerous... Sask currently has the best rushing game avging over 200 yards a game.... Calgary has the worst rushing D.... Sask steamrolled edmonton on the ground last week and did so with very basic running plays up the middle.... nothing fancy and didn't show much of their playbook... If it ain't broke then don't fix it... thats what they did last week...
-This week Calgary will be missing their top Reciever Moore.... He is being replaced with a Rookie... and that thins their recievers down even more... Sasks D is underrated right now... everyone has just really seen their running game stand out.... but their D has been great... and they now have a pretty experienced secondary that has played together now for a few years.... Add Shante and Jacobs on the ends and they have been a menace to opposing teams aswell...
-I think Greene may do a few more play actions and roll out scrambles today... he didn't fake anything last week as they didn't have to... just ran it up the middle every time.... I look for Sask to play the same type of game this week as last week and pound the ball on the ground against the weak Calgary dline....
To sum it up.... Sask: team that believes, best rushing O, pretty good passing D, very conditioned... Calgary: team in turmoil... lost confidence, worst rushing D.... Missing top WR....
:director: Sask -2 7.9 to win 7.5 units :thumb:
Sask -0.5 1st qtr... 1.1 to win 1.0
Sask has outscored the other team 40-11 in the 1st qtr
Calgary has been outscored 52-11 in the 1st qtr
I also like a few props in this game.... nothing MAJOR like 1837 said but theres a few decent ones...
Crandell under 255.5 passing yards (+100) 2.0 to win 2.0
Missing his top reciever he may have troubles passing this total...
Greene Under 224.5 passing yards (-115) 2.3 to win 2.0
Looking for the Riders to continue to just run the ball over and over again here...
Other leans on props would be Flutie over 65.5 recieving yards and T. Davis under 89.5 rushing yards..
In the other game I like Ottawa.... both teams comming off of gettin their butt kicked.... I think Mcmanus may still be a little woozy after the hit he took last week... and I think Ottawas' D line will be in his face today... Hamilton hasn't looked good all season and Ottawa has been decent except for last week... They are looking forward to rebounding tonight at home...and Hamilton is the team to do it against...
Ottawa +5 1.1 to win 1.0
Ottawa ml (+175) 1.0 to win 1.75
TODAY ~ JULY 25th...
Hamilton Tiger Cats @ Ottawa Renegades
1st Half Hamilton Tiger Cats -2.5 *
1st Half Total Points UNDER 25 *
Ottawa Renegades +5 **
GM Total Points OVER 49 ***
Saskatchewan Roughriders @ Calgary Stampeders
Calgary Stampeders To Win +135 **
Calgary Stampeders +3 **
GM Total Points OVER 53 **
RESULTS...Wk #5 ~ ...(1-3) (-3.31 UNITS)
Toronto Argonauts +9.5 ** units LOSS
1st Half Winnipeg Blue Bombers -3.5 * LOSS
1st Half Total Points Under 26 * WIN
WIN/TOR Total Points Under 51.5 * LOSS
I like the play too 1837. May not be a bad idea to press it. Calgary can't stop the run. I believe Greene will easily get 80 yards tonight. I'm also leaning to the NO for a safety in the game. The last 5 games have had safeties which is ridiculous. I did a quick run through of the box scores for this year and only in the last 2 weeks did teams start getting safeties. And you have 2 good punters in the game so there is no reason for either team to run it out of the end zone. The Hamilton game I'm not quite as confident about since Ottawa's punter is crap.