CFL week 5

[kickserv]

Well Korn............make some good points.......but I think both DEFENSES will be scoring some points! And besides 50.5 seems just so good to me! I

But one thing I do know...........no matter how confident you feel it's never a guarentee!


And I will admit I really like Winnipeg +6.0 ...........hopefully my overconfidence doesn't bite me in the ass!


Anyways...........we shall see what happens!

 

[1837]

Winnipeg +6 and you like it?... Hum... Tough call... Montreal will win that game straight up for sure (Montreal will just pound the ball and bombers def line will collapse in the second half). Winnipeg can't win with 4 days rest vs a well rest team like the Al's my friend! Maybe will they lose by 4 or 5 but....:shrug: Anyhow, you got balls!

Props on second game went 1-2 and we lose one of our teaser by 1 pts so a 4-4 night and 8-5 record this week with 2 plays pending but i'll add more when i will see next props!

Yak, my play for you would be a teaser on Montreal +0.5 with BC at +11.

 

[kickserv]

Well..........1837.........you may be right........I imagined you bet a ton on the Montreal Moneyline huh


4 days rest is a big factor.........no question!!


well.......maybe we will both win

 

[1837]

I haven't bet a ton yet but will probably soon! Let's hope for a 5 points win!

 

[1837]

Good morning! i have a good prop for you today (agree Korn? )


Receiving yards by Vaughn over 59.5 yards -115 (2 units, lean to a 3 units!)

BC is better stopping the run than passes and with a back up qb you might think Edm will rely on the run? NO!!! I've heard they plan to throw the ball quite often so look for the back up to find out Vaughn or Tucker and i expect a big game from Vaughn because he knows he has to catch that ball!!!

 

[Korn]

If anything Over is the play on that one.... but for now I will have to pass on that one.... Last week BC played pretty good Pass D.... true it was only against Hamilton... but it helped build them some confidence after that poor showing against Toronto.... 2ndly I'm unsure how good this rookie QB is.... So I don't know if he'll have the ability to get Vaughn the ball enough....

All the other props the # seems to be right on today.... I would lean towards Damon Allen over 197.5 passing yards as his favourite reciever is returning to the lineup tonight... Action Jackson.....

So no prop plays for now for me...

GL

 

[1837]

2 marvelous props play now!!!! Santa Claus is with us!:com: :grins: $$$

Montreal-Winnipeg game:

Phillips under 99 1/2 yards -110 (5 units!!!!!!!)
Go til -150 with no prob!

Charles Roberts over 57.5 yards -120 (3 units!)

Hurry!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Korn]

Agree with 1837 on this one.... we were waiting for it... and he beat me to it and moved those lines on us.... :thefinger:

Phillips Under 99.5 rushing yards (-135) 6.75 to win 5.0 units! :firing:

Roberts is another good one.... but line now at -140 and thats too high for me.....

GL

 

[1837]

You mean PHILLIPS KORN, NOT PRINGLE!!!!! :nono:

back tonight guys!:bigun: :jump:

 

[Korn]

Doh... thats because my mind was on how much running Pringle will be doing this week compared to how much :walk: the sidelines Phillips will be doing..... right??? LOL

GL

 

[PerpetualCzech]

I get the feeling the oddsmakers are overdoing the "second game in a week" angle for the Winnipeg game and making the Bombers too much of an underdog. Their game against Ottawa was an easy one and they knew they had a tough game coming up soon so saving their energy was a big priority for them.

This stat is incredible: the Winnipeg defence is giving up only 178 YARDS PER GAME!! For the CFL this is just superb. (2nd behind them is Edmonton at 315) Because it is their second game in the week and they are on the road it makes sense that they should have a conservative approach (anyone read any articles that might shed some light on this?)

Winnipeg and Montreal are 1 and 2 in the league in points given up per game. Winnipeg is also first in points scored, but a lot of that is due to blowouts against teams like Toronto and Ottawa. This is a strong spot for an Under play and I'm going to throw in a medium-sized Winnipeg and Under parlay for good measure.

 

[PerpetualCzech]

Oh, and the reasons I gave above also point to a Montreal Team Total Under 30 play which I am taking for big as well.

 

[PerpetualCzech]

Anyone hear any news on Khari Jones' status?

 

[Korn]

Did you hear something about him being injured?? or do you mean about his wife?

GL

 

[Korn]

Adding a few more plays to tonights game...

I'm sick of passing on my leans on the props and them coming thru so will play them tonight for 1 unit each..

Damon Allen over 197.5 passing yards.... he's been pretty close to that number in each of his games so far... going over it twice and under twice... Tonight he gets WR Alfred Jackson back along with Thelwell..... Damon Allen is now calling his own plays and has started throwing a bit deeper.... with Jackson back look for him to go deep a few times tonight and hopefully connect....
1.2 to win 1.0 :firing:


I'll go with 1837 on this one and take Vaughn over 59.5 recieving yards.... Ed Hervey is back in the lineup for Edmonton which will open up some room for Vaughn and allow him to get more passes.... he's capable of 100 yard games but hasn't gotten the ball the past few games.... look for rookie Ray to look for him tonight....
1.2 to win 1.0 :firing:


I was lookin at the following all day... Edmonton under 27.5 team points.... and then someone hit it hard and the line went to -140.... I still like the play so I parlayed it with Utah ml (-700) in WNBA to even the odds.... (This killed me last time I tried it... but i'll try it again)
For the same reason I like BC winning this game, I like Edmonton to go below this total. Rookie QB should have trouble moving the ball....
Edmonton Under 27.5 (-140) and UTAH ml (-700) 1.05 to win 1.0 :firing:
Edmonton Under 14.0 (-135) 1st half and Utah ml (-700) 1.0 to win 1.0 :firing:

GL

 

[kickserv]

well...........doesn't look like anybody here agrees with me


anyway.......still sticking with the picks I made on Tuesady.....


Tonight
-------

BC vs. Edmonton Over 50.5 (still very confident!!!!!)


Saturday
-----------

Winnipeg +6.0 to beat Montreal


and hey 1837..............did ya bet a ton on Montreal Moneyline yet??? This will probably be the best time.......I see spread dropping to 5.0 by gametime...........of course I will be cheering for Winnipeg..........but they can lose.........just not by alot

 

[kickserv]

For those of you who want to follow my Over pick..............



Pinnacle............total just dropped to 50.5


just letting you guys know!



(of course everybody thinks is going to go Under.....but not me )

 

[kickserv]

but no matter what happens I'll still have a winning record.....guess that gives me some consolation



with two games left........here's where I stand:


Record on this forum (P/S and O/U).............10 wins 7 losses (59%)
*all odds are at $1.91/-110*

 

[PerpetualCzech]

Korn,

I meant regarding his wife, sorry. Judging by the how long he stayed in against Ottawa in a blowout with a tough game coming up in 5 days it sounds like he is in great shape.

 

[1837]

Kickserv, No, i haven't pound it yet. Might even not with all the props i have pending on that i just LOVE!!! I think they are more safe and i didn't have to lay -250!!!