Cnotes 2019-2020 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

Udog

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Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night ? Nuggets at Mavericks ? 7:35 PM EST

Six teams in the Western Conference own a winning percentage of .635 or higher as two of those squads hook up at American Airlines Center. Denver (25-11 SU, 14-18-4 ATS) closes out a five-game road swing that has seen plenty of ups and downs as the Nuggets have split the first four contests. Things began in Houston as the Nuggets lost by 26 points to the Rockets, but Denver knocked off Indiana two nights later.

Mike Malone?s team was stunned by Washington as a 13-point favorite, 128-113 last Saturday before rebounding with a 123-115 victory at Atlanta to barely cover as seven-point chalk. Not only did the Nuggets avenge an earlier home loss to the Hawks, but center Nikola Jokic posted a career-high 47 points, as Denver has hit the OVER in six consecutive games. Denver has yielded at least 115 points in five straight contests, while topping the 119-point mark in each of the past four wins.

The Mavericks (23-13 SU, 19-16-1 ATS) continue a six-game homestand which only gets more difficult after facing the Nets, Hornets, and Bulls. Dallas won two of those three contests with the lone loss coming to Charlotte in overtime last Saturday as 11 ?-point favorites, but the Mavs rebounded by beating the Bulls on Monday, 118-110. After Denver visits ?Big D? on Wednesday, the Mavericks host the Lakers on Friday, followed by the 76ers invading the AAC on Saturday.

Dallas held off Denver in the first matchup at Pepsi Center on October 29 as 5 ?-point underdogs, 109-106. In a rare occurrence, the Mavericks had nine players score in double-figures, led by Tim Hardaway, Jr. and Maxi Kleber with 14 points apiece. Mavs? star Luka Doncic was limited to 12 points on 3-of-12 shooting from the floor, but Dallas outscored Denver, 26-18 in the fourth quarter to avenge a three-game sweep by the Nuggets last season.

Heat at Pacers ? 7:05 PM EST

Many people wouldn?t have anticipated that Miami (26-10 SU, 21-13-2 ATS) would own the best home record in the league at 17-1. The lone defeat came to the Lakers in December, while beating the likes of the Jazz, 76ers, Raptors, and Pacers since December 23 to maintain a firm hold of first place in the Southeast division. Now, Miami has to prove it can win consistently away from American Airlines Arena as the Heat own a 9-9 road mark with contests at Brooklyn and New York this week.

The Pacers (23-14 SU, 20-16-1 ATS) have held their own at Bankers Life Fieldhouse by winning 15 of 19 home contests. However, Indiana has posted a 2-4 SU/ATS record since Christmas, although one of those victories came on Monday night in a 115-104 triumph at Charlotte as six-point favorites. The Pacers are riding a 6-1 OVER run, while topping the 111-point mark six times during this stretch, including four straight occurrences at home.

Indiana swept the three-game season series from Miami last season, but the Heat edged the Pacers in a 113-112 thriller in south Florida on December 27. The Pacers cashed as five-point underdogs, marking their fifth consecutive cover against the Heat since March 2018, but Goran Dragic put the Heat in front for good with a short jumper in the final seconds.

Spurs at Celtics ? 7:05 PM EST

It?s been a long time since San Antonio (15-20 SU, 13-21-1 ATS) finished with a losing record. In fact, the Spurs last missed the playoffs and owned a below .500 mark in 1997, but Gregg Popovich?s team has work to do to jump back into a positive area. The Spurs are fresh off probably their most impressive victory of the season by routing the Eastern Conference-leading Bucks, 126-104 as eight-point home underdogs on Monday. San Antonio knocked down 19 three-pointers, while DeMar DeRozan paced the Spurs with 25 points on 11-of-15 shooting.

The Celtics (25-9 SU, 20-12-2 ATS) remain atop the Atlantic division in spite of a surprising 99-94 setback to the Wizards on Monday as nine-point favorites. Boston connected on only 8-of-37 three-point attempts (22%), while guard Kemba Walker has yet to suit up in 2020 by missing the last three games due to illness. Walker hopes to play on Wednesday as the Celtics are 2-1 in this stretch without the former UConn star, while Boston is 4-0 this season off a loss in which it was held below 100 points.

The Spurs swept the Celtics last season, but Boston routed San Antonio at AT&T Center in early November, 135-115 as two-point road underdogs. Jaylen Brown led the Celtics with 30 points as Boston snapped a seven-game skid at San Antonio dating back to 2012. The Spurs embark on a four-game road trip as they have covered four in a row away from the Alamo, although three of those came in a loss in the underdog role.

Bucks at Warriors ? 10:05 PM EST

Last season, this looked to be the NBA Finals matchup as Milwaukee (32-6 SU, 21-17 ATS) was two wins away from knocking out Toronto in the Eastern Conference Finals. However, the Bucks? final victory of the season came in Game 2 as they lost the next four to the Raptors, who eventually captured their first title in franchise history.

Over six months later, Milwaukee and Golden State is the battle of the haves and have nots. The Bucks own the top record in the league, while the Warriors (9-29 SU, 17-21 ATS) are playing out the string after a multitude of injuries and having basically no shot in the same division as the Lakers and Clippers.

The Bucks saw their five-game winning streak come to an end in Monday?s 22-point setback at San Antonio, marking the third consecutive contest that Milwaukee suffered an ATS loss. Mike Budenholzer?s team has compiled a solid 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS mark off a loss this season, while the Bucks have won 25 of their last 26 regular season contests off a defeat.

Golden State is riding a five-game skid since winning a season-high four consecutive games in late December. The Warriors have failed to cover in the last three trips to the court, but they have cashed in six of the past nine opportunities as a home underdogs. Although the recent series history doesn?t mean much due to Golden State?s drastically different roster, Milwaukee has won each of its previous two meetings in the Bay Area and is a road favorite against the Warriors for the first time since 2012.
 

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565MIAMI -566 INDIANA
INDIANA is 34-18 ATS (14.2 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

567WASHINGTON -568 ORLANDO
WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons.

569SAN ANTONIO -570 BOSTON
SAN ANTONIO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

571DENVER -572 DALLAS
DENVER is 5-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after scoring 120 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

573HOUSTON -574 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

575CHICAGO -576 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

575CHICAGO -576 NEW ORLEANS
Mark Slessinger is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) as a favorite (Coach of NEW ORLEANS)

577NEW YORK -578 UTAH
NEW YORK is 83-105 ATS (-32.5 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

579MILWAUKEE -580 GOLDEN STATE
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Wednesday, January 8


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Trend Report
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Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing Miami
Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Indiana is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Heat
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 14 games
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana

Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Charlotte is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing Toronto
Charlotte is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto
Charlotte is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Charlotte's last 18 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Charlotte
Toronto is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Toronto is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Toronto's last 18 games when playing on the road against Charlotte

Orlando Magic
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games
Orlando is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games at home
Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Orlando is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Washington
Orlando is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
Orlando is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Washington is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Orlando
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Washington is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando

Boston Celtics
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Boston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games at home
Boston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing San Antonio
Boston is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing San Antonio
Boston is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Boston
San Antonio is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing Boston
San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
San Antonio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston

Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
Atlanta is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Rockets
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 24 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Houston is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 8-12-3 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Denver
Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Denver is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
New Orleans is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home
New Orleans is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
New Orleans is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Chicago
New Orleans is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
New Orleans is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 17 of New Orleans's last 23 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Chicago is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Chicago's last 23 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

Utah Jazz
Utah is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Utah is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games at home
Utah is 5-20 ATS in its last 25 games when playing New York
Utah is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing New York
Utah is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against New York
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
New York is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
New York is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
New York is 20-5 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Utah
New York is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Utah
New York is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Utah
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Golden State is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 12 games at home
Golden State is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Milwaukee
Golden State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Golden State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games
Milwaukee is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Golden State
Milwaukee is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Golden State
Milwaukee is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State


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Long Sheet

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TORONTO (24 - 13) at CHARLOTTE (15 - 24) - 1/8/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (26 - 10) at INDIANA (23 - 14) - 1/8/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (12 - 24) at ORLANDO (17 - 20) - 1/8/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (15 - 20) at BOSTON (25 - 9) - 1/8/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
BOSTON is 123-96 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 86-66 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 373-296 ATS (+47.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 370-307 ATS (+32.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 139-181 ATS (-60.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (25 - 11) at DALLAS (23 - 13) - 1/8/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 67-49 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (24 - 11) at ATLANTA (8 - 29) - 1/8/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (13 - 24) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 25) - 1/8/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 93-58 ATS (+29.2 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 182-143 ATS (+24.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (10 - 27) at UTAH (24 - 12) - 1/8/2020, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 51-65 ATS (-20.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 37-51 ATS (-19.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (32 - 6) at GOLDEN STATE (9 - 29) - 1/8/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 289-346 ATS (-91.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 68-49 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 60-42 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 61-79 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 50-68 ATS (-24.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Dunkel

Wednesday, January 8



San Antonio @ Boston

Game 569-570
January 8, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
123.817
Boston
121.980
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6
220
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(+6); Under

Toronto @ Charlotte


Game 563-564
January 8, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
121.227
Charlotte
122.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-2 1/2); Under

Miami @ Indiana


Game 565-566
January 8, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
115.849
Indiana
120.056
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 1
211
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-1); Over

Washington @ Orlando


Game 567-568
January 8, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
113.509
Orlando
119.291
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 6
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 10 1/2
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+10 1/2); Under

Houston @ Atlanta


Game 573-574
January 8, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
122.426
Atlanta
109.580
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 13
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 8
238 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-8); Under

Denver @ Dallas


Game 571-572
January 8, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
115.049
Dallas
121.871
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 3
221
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-3); Over

Chicago @ New Orleans


Game 575-576
January 8, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
117.925
New Orleans
120.033
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4); Over

New York @ Utah


Game 577-578
January 8, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
113.944
Utah
122.392
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 8 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 12 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+12 1/2); Over

Milwaukee @ Golden State


Game 579-580
January 8, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
125.340
Golden State
108.514
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 17
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 13 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-13 1/2); Under
 

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Thursday?s 6-pack
? Pitt 73, North Carolina 65? Panthers end 22-game ACC road losing skid.
? Northridge 95, Long Beach St 77? Matadors shot 73% inside the arc.
? A&M Corpus Christi 73, SF Austin 72? Big upset in Southland Conference.
? Marist 70, Fairfield 58? Red Foxes were a 13-point underdog.
? Bradley 72, Evansville 52? Purple Aces are 6-7 since beating Kentucky.
? Auburn 83, Vanderbilt 79? Game was tied in last minute.

Quote of the Day:
?One of the most expensive things you?ll ever do is pay attention to the wrong people.?
Tobias Harris

Thursday?s quiz
Which three NFL teams was Wade Phillips head coach of?
(His three interim HC jobs don?t count)

Wednesday?s quiz
Duquesne coach Keith Dambrot was Lebron Janes? high school coach.

Tuesday?s quiz
Martin Sheen played President Bartlet in the old TV series, The West Wing.

*****************************************************************************

Thursday?s Den: Thoughts on college basketball

13) Big X? Four teams in top 25; is Baylor the best team in the country? If the top 68 teams in the country made the NCAA tournament, Kansas State would be the only Big X team left out.

12) ACC? 15 teams in a league is too many; North Carolina is down this year, looks like Duke, Florida State, Louisville are by far the three best teams. Curious to see if NC State can play their way into an at-large bid.

11) Big East? Butler, Seton Hall, Villanova are three best teams; Providence sleep-walked thru a 7-6 pre-conference slate, but started conference play 3-0. Friars are experience team #19, can they keep winning and get an at-large bid?

10) Big 14? Michigan State is gaining momentum; Ohio State lost four of last six games after a 9-0 start. Nebraska/Northwestern are by far the two worst teams; large cluster of teams in the middle of the pack here- Juwan Howard?s Michigan team is 10-4, but 0-3 in true road games.

9) SEC? Auburn made the Final Four LY, is 14-0 TY. Florida won its first NCAA tourney game the last three years; they?re 10-4 now and headed towards playing in March again. Kentucky is getting better with each game; Eric Musselman has Arkansas at 12-2 in his first year there.

8) Pac-12? Much-improved league this year, with five top 50 teams; Colorado/Washington should both make NCAA?s. Arizona is young, talented, Oregon always gets better as the season goes on. Stanford is a surprise team, UCLA is disappointing.

7) Right now, the NCAA Tournament figures to be missing some familiar faces; North Carolina, Cincinnati, Syracuse, UCLA and Iowa State are likely NIT teams, at best.

6) American? Memphis is a rising power nationally; Cincy/Temple/UCF are a little down, but SMU, Wichita, Houston are all good. Ron Hunter will make Tulane relevant; UConn is still a year away. Just like last year, AAC has three teams in top 50.

5) Atlantic 14? Dayton is going to be a fashionable Final Four sleeper on Selection Sunday; VCU will be an interesting team in March. Richmond has rebounded this year; Duquesne is getting better, but Davidson/St Joe?s are down, only half of the league is in the top 100.

4) WCC is still Gonzaga-Saint Mary?s-BYU, but Santa Clara/Pacific are on the rise, and the bottom half of the league doesn?t have any doormats. Gonzaga?s program now is what UNLV had in the Tark the Shark era 30 years ago; big fish in a small pond that attracts prominent transfers.

3) Mountain West? San Diego State is 16-0; Aztecs missed NCAAs three of last four years. Utah State lost last three games after a 13-2 start; unclear who the 2nd-best team is. Steve Alford has Nevada at 10-6 with a totally-revamped roster. New Mexico is playing well; UNLV is a year away. Wyoming and San Jose State are terrible.

2) Missouri Valley? Too bad Wichita State/Creighton jumped to bigger ponds- that really hurt this league. Northern Iowa is the only top 100 team right now, Evansville upset Kentucky, then lost its coach to off-court issues. Missouri State has been little disappointing. Loyola/Drake are in line behind UNI at the top of the standings.

1) Conference USA? Six teams are 2-0 in the conference; six more are 0-2, with North Texas, Marshall 1-1. Louisiana Tech appears to be the best team; Western Kentucky won its first two conference games, but they lost big man Bassey with a leg injury.
 

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501CLEVELAND -502 DETROIT
CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in January games in the last 3 seasons.

503BOSTON -504 PHILADELPHIA
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.

505PORTLAND -506 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.



NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 9


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (10 - 27) at DETROIT (14 - 24) - 1/9/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 55-75 ATS (-27.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
DETROIT is 123-172 ATS (-66.2 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (25 - 10) at PHILADELPHIA (24 - 14) - 1/9/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-5 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (16 - 22) at MINNESOTA (14 - 22) - 1/9/2020, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (25 - 11) at OKLAHOMA CITY (21 - 16) - 1/9/2020, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 9


Cavaliers-Pistons
Cleveland lost its last five games (1-4 ATS); they?re 3-7 ATS in last ten road games. Last four Cleveland games went over. Detroit lost nine of last 12 games; they?re 4-5 ATS as a home favorite. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Cavaliers lost five of last six games with Detroit, losing by 3 points at home Tuesday; they?re 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Detroit. Last five series games went over.

Celtics-76ers
Boston lost its last two games after an 8-1 run; they covered four of last five road games, are 3-2 ATS if they played night before. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Philly lost four of its last five games; they?re 10-4 ATS in last 14 home games. Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.

Celtics lost their last three games with the 76ers; they?re 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Philly (under 4-1).

Trailblazers-Timberwolves
Portland lost six of its last eight games; they?re 2-6 ATS in last eight road games. Under is 8-2 in their last two road games. Minnesota won four of its last seven games; they?re 2-9 ATS in last 11 home games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten home games.

Trailblazers won six of last seven games with Minnesota; they?re 2-2 ATS in last four visits to the Twin Cities. Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

Rockets-Thunder
Houston eight of last ten games; they?re 0-3 ATS in last three road games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. OKC won 10 of its last 12 games; they?re 6-1 SU in last seven home games. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Rockets lost five of last eight games with the Thunder; they?re 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.




NBA

Thursday, January 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games
Philadelphia is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Boston
Philadelphia is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Boston
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
Philadelphia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
Boston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Detroit is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games
Minnesota is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games
Minnesota is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Minnesota is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games at home
Minnesota is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Portland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Portland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Portland is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 10 games on the road
Portland is 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Portland is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing Houston
Oklahoma City is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
Oklahoma City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Rockets
Houston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
Houston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Houston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Thursday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night ? Rockets (-2.5) at Thunder, 9:40 p.m.

We?re going to get another rare occurrence of fans welcoming back an opposing player with open arms.

While Toronto fans were treated to Kawhi Leonard for just a season and he went 1-for-1 in winning them a championship, Oklahoma City raised Russell Westbrook. They stood by him and his mistakes and he stood by them, emerging as the last man standing after James Harden and Serge Ibaka were traded and Kevin Durant left for Golden State.

Westbrook should get a rousing ovation in his return to Chesapeake Energy Arena. He was the one who stayed and then recruited Paul George to join him and hang around. He wanted to build in a small market and averaged a triple-double there for three consecutive seasons before being dealt over the summer.

GM Sam Presti issued a statement that ended with the line that ?it?s going to be a unique moment? a chance for people to recognize someone that will always figure prominently in the history of our city.?

Although Westbrook has had a contentious relationship with fans in opposing arenas, Thursday?s matchup should be all love. Oklahoma City jerseys with the number ?0? will be present as far as the eye can see and his imprint on the game should surpass even Harden?s, who had a 41-point triple-double in Wednesday?s 122-115 win in Atlanta.

Westbrook, who has sat on the second-half of every back-to-back this season, opted to sit out the Hawks game instead, leaving him free to play in what will be the Rockets? lone scheduled stop in OKC this season.

The Thunder, on paper, are also a far tougher opponent than Atlanta, coming in with wins in six of their last seven. Oklahoma City is on a 15-5 run since Nov. 29 and would open as the No. 7 seed if the Western Conference playoffs opened today. Thanks to the Nuggets? win in Dallas last night, the Rockets enter Thursday in third, but this could certainly be a playoff matchup down the road. While it would be fascinating to see what a drama-filled postseason series would do to the love affair between Westbrook and the Thunder fans, for one evening, we should see fans cheering both.

Harden shot just 9-for-34, slowing down considerably after a 22-point first quarter in which the Rockets scored 45 on the Hawks and kept Atlanta playing from behind. He was the reason the Hawks nearly came back, missing 16 of his 18 second-half shots. Mike D?Antoni said a few guys ran out of gas, which makes sense since Eric Gordon made his largest contributions since returning from arthroscopic knee surgery, scoring 17 points.

P.J. Tucker came up with 17 rebounds and Clint Capela finished with 22 points and 22 rebounds but they joined Harden, Danuel House, Ben McLemore and Gordon in playing 30 or more minutes against the Hawks. The Rockets are 2-2 SU/ATS on the second night of a back-to-back, dropping the last two against Detroit at home on Dec. 14 and most recently at New Orleans on Dec. 29. Harden has only played in three of the games but is averaging 44 points on 41 percent shooting, so he?ll likely rely on the 3-ball more with Steven Adams clogging up the paint.

Westbrook faced his former teammates in the season?s third game and finished with 21 points, 12 boards and nine assists in a 116-112 win, but returning to Chesapeake Energy makes this a completely different game for him. He?s shot poorly in Houston, connecting on 21 percent from 3-point range in November, 22.8 percent in December and entering this game on a 1-for-14 run from beyond the arc.

There?s no way Westbrook won?t be more aggressive here and Harden is likely to defer more, so a lower-scoring game may be in the cards. Harden scored 40 points and dished out seven assists in the first meeting with the Thunder and has averaged 40 points per game on the road.

Houston has won eight of its last 10 games but only covered in six of them after falling just short against the Hawks on Wednesday. Most of their totals have covered in the 225-235 range, but last night?s game closed at 237 and ended up pushing. Oklahoma City?s largest total of the season closed 229 against the Pelicans on Nov. 29 and went ?under.? The low side has prevailed in six of eight involving the Thunder.

Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and sixth man Dennis Schr?der are averaging nearly combined 60 points over the Thunder?s last 18 games. They combined for 59 in the first meeting with the Rockets, shooting a combined 22-for-48.

OKC small forward Danilo Gallinari is dealing with a calf contusion and backup center Nerlens Noel is bothered by a nasty ankle sprain. Both are listed as questionable.

Best of the Rest

Celtics at 76ers (-2.5/216.5), 7:10 p.m. ET:
Only one of the top two teams in the Atlantic Division will be at full strength for this game.Joel Embiid's gruiesome finger injury suffered the other night will keep him out, thrusting Al Horford into a larger role against his former team. For Boston, Kemba Walker is over his illness, Marcus Smart has returned from his eye infection and Jaylen Brown is playing through a shoulder issue, so the Celtics have everyone on board, a rarity they've only been able to enjoy barely a quarter of the season. Gordon Hayward has even looked more like his usual self since coming back. Sixers rookie elite wing defender Matisse Thybulle (knee) is hoping to be back after missing multiple games. Smart and Horford were missing for Philadelphia?s 115-109 win on Dec. 12 that ended Boston?s unbeaten run at TD Garden this season. The 76ers blew out the Celtics 107-93 on Oct. 23 and have no won three straight against a team it had lost 21 of 24 against since the beginning of the ?14-?15 season. Boston hasn?t lost four straight in this series vs. Philly since ?01-?02

Cavaliers at Pistons (-7/220), 7:10 p.m. ET:
Detroit will look for another win over the Cavs after posting a 115-113 comeback win on Tuesday. Derrick Rose scored the winning basket and finished with 24 points and seven assists. Andre Drummond finished with 23 points and 20 rebounds as Detroit closed out a six-game road trip. The Pistons are home for the first time since Dec. 26. The Cavs are opening a six-game road trip and won't have rookie guard Kevin Porter, Jr. available.

Blazers (-3) at Timberwolves, 8:10 p.m. ET:
Karl-Anthony Towns is expected to miss his 12th straight contest, but the Wolves have been better at navigating his absence of late, winning four of seven since Dec. 26. Portland comes off an upset in Toronto, getting a season-high 28 points from Carmelo Anthony. The Blazers are hoping to finish up a road trip by at 3-2 with a victory here, which would be their seventh in eight tries over the Wolves. Andrew Wiggins scored 15 points in Minnesota's 119-112 loss to the Grizzlies on Tuesday. C.J. McCollum has been dealing with an upper respiratory infection but is expected to play.
 

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Hoop Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Thunder are 9-0 ATS (7.89 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Timberwolves are 0-12 ATS (-9.79 ppg) as a home dog with less than two days rest after a loss in which they led after each of the first three quarters.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Pistons are 11-0-1 OU (14.88 ppg) at home off a road game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-12 OU (-16.54 ppg) as a road dog off a loss as a dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, January 9



Cleveland @ Detroit

Game 501-502
January 9, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
108.963
Detroit
112.961
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 7
220
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+7); Over

Boston @ Philadelphia


Game 503-504
January 9, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
121.432
Philadelphia
119.857
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+2 1/2); Over

Portland @ Minnesota


Game 505-506
January 9, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
118.139
Minnesota
112.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 5 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 2
224
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-2); Under

Houston @ Oklahoma City


Game 507-508
January 9, 2020 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
124.843
Oklahoma City
117.416
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 7 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
227
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-3); Under
 

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Friday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Lakers at Mavericks ? 9:45 PM EST

Unfortunately, this is the final regular season meeting between these two Western squads, who may see each other again in the postseason. The Lakers (30-7 SU, 19-17-1 ATS) are riding a six-game winning streak since losing at home to the Clippers on Christmas night, which includes a 108-95 triumph at Staples Center over the Mavericks on December 29. Los Angeles swept a five-game homestand, capped off by a 117-87 blowout of New York on Tuesday as 13-point favorites, but star forward Anthony Davis sustained a bruise on his buttocks and is questionable for Friday?s matchup.

Dallas (23-14 SU, 19-17-1 ATS) continued a negative recent trend by falling to 1-7 in the last eight games off a win after dropping a one-point heartbreaker to Denver, 108-107 on Wednesday. Kristaps Porzingis remains out for Dallas with a sore right knee as the Mavericks are 2-4 in the last six games, which includes three losses by five points or less. Since winning at Philadelphia on December 20, the Mavs are 4-5 with four losses to teams owning winning records, while the four victories are against squads with losing records.

The Lakers own a 15-3 record on the highway, which includes erasing a 15-point halftime deficit in a 119-110 overtime thriller at American Airlines Center on November 1. The Mavs picked up revenge at Staples Center exactly one month later in a 114-100 victory as 6 ?-point underdogs, highlighted by 27 points and 10 assists from Dallas star Luka Doncic. In the most recent matchup back in L.A. in late December, the Lakers pulled away late in the first quarter and cruised to a 13-point win as five-point favorites to improve to 7-1 in the past eight meetings with the Mavericks.

Heat at Nets ? 7:35 PM EST
The beat goes on for Miami (27-10 SU, 22-13-2 ATS), who not only is in control of the Southeast division, but also is currently the second seed in the Eastern Conference behind Milwaukee. The Heat rolled past the Pacers, 122-108 in a heated contest on Wednesday for its second victory over Indiana in the last three weeks. Miami owns an incredible 7-2 record against five of the top six teams in the East (Milwaukee, Boston, Toronto, Philadelphia, Indiana), but the Heat has lost on the road in the last month to Memphis, Washington, and Orlando.

Brooklyn (16-20 SU, 16-20 ATS) knew it wouldn?t have Kevin Durant at their disposal this season, but Kyrie Irving has missed the last 25 games with a shoulder injury. The Nets won nine of 12 games when Irving was initially sidelined, but have gone backwards of late by posting a 3-10 record the last 13 trips to the court, while riding a seven-game skid. Brooklyn last won a game on December 21 against Atlanta, while coming off a tough overtime loss to Oklahoma City on Tuesday, 111-103 as they were outscored, 10-2 in the extra session.

The Heat moved above the .500 mark on the road (10-9) with Tuesday?s rout of Indiana, as Miami seeks its second victory at Barclays Center this season. On December 1, the Heat escaped Brooklyn with a 109-106 triumph as 4 ?-point favorites and won in spite of shooting 39% from the floor. Miami is looking for consecutive road wins for the second time this season, while Brooklyn has failed to cover the spread in each of its past 10 defeats.

Spurs at Grizzlies ? 8:05 PM EST
These teams are pretty close in the standings although many didn?t believe Memphis would own as many wins as San Antonio in early January. The Grizzlies (16-22 SU, 19-18-1 ATS) are riding a three-game winning streak, while posting an incredible 11-4-1 ATS the last 15 contests dating back to December 9. The most recent victory came against the Timberwolves on Tuesday, 119-112 to cash as 4 ?-point home favorites, led by the backcourt duo of Dillon Brooks and Ja Morant, who combined for 53 points.

The Spurs (16-20 SU, 14-21-1 ATS) have been one of the biggest disappointments so far this season, but San Antonio is fresh off a pair of impressive blowout victories over Milwaukee and Boston. After knocking off the Bucks at home by 22 points, the Spurs went into TD Garden and dominated the Celtics, 129-114 as seven-point underdogs on Wednesday. Gregg Popovich?s team is on an 8-2 OVER run the last 10 games, while eclipsing the 117-point mark in five of the past six contests.

San Antonio still owns one of the worst ATS marks in the league, but it has been better recently by covering in eight of the last 11 trips to the court. One of those covers came in a 145-115 rout of Memphis at FedEx Forum on December 23 as short one-point favorites, highlighted by a 46-point first quarter. San Antonio shot lights out by hitting 67% of its attempts from the floor, led by LaMarcus Aldridge?s 40 points, while DeMar DeRozan knocked down 10-of-11 shots for 26 points.
 

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511MIAMI -512 BROOKLYN
BROOKLYN is 68-48 ATS (15.2 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points in the last 3 seasons.

515NEW ORLEANS -516 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in the last 3 seasons.

517INDIANA -518 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

519LA LAKERS -520 DALLAS
DALLAS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite in the current season.

521CHARLOTTE -522 UTAH
CHARLOTTE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games in the current season.

523ORLANDO -524 PHOENIX
ORLANDO is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

527GOLDEN STATE -528 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 31-13 ATS (16.7 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Long Sheet

Friday, January 10


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ATLANTA (8 - 30) at WASHINGTON (12 - 25) - 1/10/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (27 - 10) at BROOKLYN (16 - 20) - 1/10/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 237-189 ATS (+29.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
MIAMI is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (16 - 20) at MEMPHIS (16 - 22) - 1/10/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1107-980 ATS (+29.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 374-296 ATS (+48.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 446-370 ATS (+39.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (13 - 25) at NEW YORK (10 - 28) - 1/10/2020, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 49-75 ATS (-33.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 37-50 ATS (-18.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 77-47 ATS (+25.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
NEW YORK is 51-66 ATS (-21.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 37-52 ATS (-20.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (23 - 15) at CHICAGO (13 - 25) - 1/10/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 182-144 ATS (+23.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
INDIANA is 234-175 ATS (+41.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
CHICAGO is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 38-51 ATS (-18.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (30 - 7) at DALLAS (23 - 14) - 1/10/2020, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 67-50 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (15 - 25) at UTAH (25 - 12) - 1/10/2020, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 25-48 ATS (-27.8 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 194-244 ATS (-74.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 57-42 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (18 - 20) at PHOENIX (14 - 23) - 1/10/2020, 9:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (33 - 6) at SACRAMENTO (15 - 23) - 1/10/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 289-347 ATS (-92.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 68-50 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 60-43 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-43 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (9 - 30) at LA CLIPPERS (26 - 12) - 1/10/2020, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-79 ATS (-24.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-68 ATS (-23.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-5 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 10


Hawks-Wizards
Atlanta lost 13 of its last 15 games; they?re 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog. Hawks? last three road games stayed under total. Washington split its last six games; they?re 2-4 ATS as a home favorite. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Wizards won six of last ten games with the Hawks; Atlanta is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Washington. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Heat-Nets
Miami won seven of its last nine games; they?re 4-3 ATS as a road favorite. Over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Brooklyn lost its last seven games; they?re 9-5 ATS in last 14 home games. Under is 8-4 in their last dozen home games.

Nets are 5-3 in last eight games with Miami; Heat covered once in their last four visits to Brooklyn. Under is 3-0-1 in last four series games.

Spurs-Grizzlies
San Antonio is 9-6 SU in its last 15 games; they?re 5-11 SU on road. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Memphis won/covered its last three games; they covered five of last six home games. Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.

Spurs won seven of last ten games with the Grizzlies; they?re 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Memphis (over 3-2)

Pelicans-Knicks
New Orleans won six of its last eight games; they covered six of last seven road games. Pelicans? last six games went over total. Knicks lost their last four games; they?re 3-2 ATS at home since coaching change. Three of their last four games went over.

Pelicans won five of last seven games with New York; they?re 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Pacers-Bulls
Indiana lost five of last seven games; they?re 5-2-1 ATS in last eight road games. Pacers? last eight games went over. Chicago lost its last five games; they?re 6-9 ATS in last 15 home games. Four of their last five games went over.

Pacers won their last six games with the Bulls (3-3 ATS); they covered once in their last four trips to Chicago. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Lakers-Mavericks
Lakers won their last six games, last five at home; they covered once in last five road games. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Dallas lost four of its last six games; they?re 1-6-1 ATS in last eight home games. Three of their last four games went over.

Lakers won seven of their last eight games with the Mavericks; they covered three of last four visits to Dallas. Six of their last seven games stayed under.

Hornets-Jazz
Charlotte lost eight of its last ten games; they?re 1-4 ATS in last five home games. Hornets? last four games all went over. Utah won its last seven games; they covered their last four home games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

Hornets lost their last four games with Utah (1-3 ATS); they?re 2-3 ATS in last five visits to SLC (under 4-1).

Magic-Suns
Orlando won four of its last five games; they?re 7-3 ATS in last ten road games. Under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Phoenix lost three of last four games; they?re 4-9 ATS in last 13 home games. Over is 4-1 in their last five home games.

Magic won five of last six games with the Suns; they covered their last four visits to Phoenix. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Bucks-Kings
Milwaukee won 27 of its last 30 games; they?re 11-8 ATS on road TY. Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Sacramento won three of its last four games; they?re 2-8 ATS in last ten home games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Bucks won their last six games with the Kings (4-2 ATS); they?re 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Sacramento. Last ten series games went over the total.

Warriors-Clippers
Golden State lost its last six games; they?re 5-2 ATS in last seven road games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Clippers won three of last four games; they?re 1-4 ATS in last five home games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Clippers-Warriors split their last six games; Golden State covered three of last four series games played here. Five of last six series games went over.
 

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Friday, January 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta

New Orleans @ New York
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of New York's last 19 games at home

Miami @ Brooklyn
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 13 games when playing Miami
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami

Indiana @ Chicago
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

San Antonio @ Memphis
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games

Charlotte @ Utah
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Orlando @ Phoenix
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Phoenix's last 17 games at home

LA Lakers @ Dallas
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Milwaukee @ Sacramento
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Golden State @ LA Clippers
Golden State
Golden State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Golden State


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Dunkel

Friday, January 10



Atlanta @ Washington

Game 509-510
January 10, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
108.165
Washington
112.687
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
237
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-1 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ New York


Game 515-516
January 10, 2020 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
122.123
New York
111.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 10 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4
225
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-4); Over

Miami @ Brooklyn


Game 511-512
January 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
120.217
Brooklyn
110.649
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 9 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3
218
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-3); Under

Indiana @ Chicago


Game 517-518
January 10, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.688
Chicago
116.835
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3 1/2); Over

San Antonio @ Memphis


Game 513-514
January 10, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
125.365
Memphis
120.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 5
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
Pick
231 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
Over

Orlando @ Phoenix


Game 523-524
January 10, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
122.113
Phoenix
113.518
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 8 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 3
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+3); Over

Charlotte @ Utah


Game 521-522
January 10, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
114.326
Utah
123.747
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 9 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 13
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+13); Over

LA Lakers @ Dallas


Game 519-520
January 10, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
125.702
Dallas
119.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 6
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+2 1/2); Over

Milwaukee @ Sacramento


Game 525-526
January 10, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
123.757
Sacramento
116.194
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 7 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 9
223
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+9); Under

Golden State @ LA Clippers


Game 527-528
January 10, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
110.096
LA Clippers
107.104
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 7
237
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 15
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(+15); Over
 

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Saturday?s 6-pack
Most passing yards prop bet from Caeser?s for this weekend:
3-2? Patrick Mahomes
4-1? Deshaun Watson
6-1? Russell Wilson
7-1? Aaron Rodgers
10-1? Jimmy Garoppolo
22-1? Lamar Jackson
22-1? Ryan Tannehill
30-1? Kirk Cousins

Quote of the Day:
?With some of these early departures and graduations, keep an eye on former Wake Forest QB Jamie Newman. He will be a very hot commodity as a Grad-Transfer. He has a ton of talent and potential.?
ESPN College Football analyst Greg McElroy, before Newman committed to Georgia Friday

Saturday?s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon played QB for which Division I school?

Friday?s quiz
William Henry Harrison is the American President died a month after taking office.

Thursday?s quiz
Wade Phillips was head coach in Buffalo, Dallas, Denver.

************************************************************************

Saturday?s List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind??

13) Most underrated sports story of this century so far:

Chris Correa was a St Louis Cardinals scouting director; he hacked the Houston Astros? database illegally and not only was banned from the sport, he was given a 46-month prison sentence.

Almost four years in jail, thats a big deal.

Now the Astros are awaiting their penalty in this sign-stealing debacle; it sounds like GM Jeff Luhnow and maybe even manager AJ Hinch are going to be suspended, possibly for a decent amount of time. Pretty big mess on MLB?s hands.

12) One way around future problems with teams stealing signs electronically; just make it legal. Leave it up to teams to find a better way to pass signs along.

11) Eight years ago, Clemson lost its bowl game 70-33 to West Virginia; since then, they?re 9-2 SU in playoff/bowl games (10-1 ATS), despite being an underdog in nine of the 11 games.

10) LSU?s defensive coordinator Dave Aranda makes $2.5M a year; Clemson?s DC Brent Venables makes $2.2M- thats $4.7M a year for two guys who aren?t head coaches!!!!

9) By the way, the strength coach at Iowa makes $800,000 a year; very important position- the strength coach may have more contact with the players in off season training than the coaches do, but $800K seems a bit excessive.

8) When Golden State Warrior rookie Ky Bowman was in high school, he was such a good football player that he was offered football scholarships by both Alabama and Auburn. He played basketball at Boston College instead, and now it is paying off.

7) Apparently, Seinfeld and Curb Your Enthusiasm creator Larry David once called the Jets? front office before the 2018 NFL Draft and advised them to take Lamar Jackson.

David says he got former Jets GM Mike Maccagnan on the phone and passed along his advice, which obviously was ignored. Must be nice to have enough clout to get the GM on the phone.

6) Georgia QB Jake Fromm declared for the NFL Draft; Mel Kiper Jr has Fromm listed as the #5 QB in the draft.

5) When giving out assists in basketball, an assist on a 3-point shot should be 1.5 assists; a pass that leads to a free throws taken should also count 0.5 assists for every foul shot made.

4) Scapegoat watch: Philadelphia Eagles fired OC Mike Groh.

3) Eagles? QB Josh McCown played in his first NFL playoff game last week at age 40; now it turns out that he played the second half of that game with a torn hamstring, and will have surgery next week. Ouch.

2) Former Michigan coach Brady Hoke is taking over as the head coach at San Diego State with Rocky Long stepping down as the Aztecs head coach.

1) There is a movie coming out where John Malkovich plays the Pope; I?ve seen Malkovich in two things- as Teddy KGB, the Russian gangster in Rounders, and Grigor Andolov, a Russian business tycoon in Billions. I?m guessing the collection plate would be pretty full on Sundays if Malkovich became the Pope. Or else.
 

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529MINNESOTA -530 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

531NEW ORLEANS -532 BOSTON
NEW ORLEANS are 55-88 ATS (-41.8 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games since 1996.

533CHICAGO -534 DETROIT
CHICAGO is 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) when the total is 210-219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

535LA LAKERS -536 OKLAHOMA CITY
LA LAKERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

535LA LAKERS -536 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent in the current season.

537PHILADELPHIA -538 DALLAS
DALLAS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

539CLEVELAND -540 DENVER
CLEVELAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

541MILWAUKEE -542 PORTLAND
MILWAUKEE is 32-16 ATS (14.4 Units) in road games vs. losing teams in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 11


Timberwolves-Rockets
Minnesota won three of its last four games; they?re 2-7-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog. Three of their last four games went over. Houston won eight of its last 11 games; they covered their last three home games. Under is 6-2 in last eight Houston games.

Rockets won four of last six games with the Timberwolves; three of last four series games went under. Minnesota covered once in its last five visits to Houston.

Pelicans-Celtics
New Orleans won seven of its last nine games (9-0 ATS); they covered seven of last eight road games. Pelicans? last seven games went over total. Boston lost its last three games; they?re 0-4 ATS in last four home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Celtics won seven of last ten games with the Pelicans; under is 5-3 in last eight series games. New Orleans is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Boston.

Bulls-Pistons
Chicago lost its last six games; they?re 0-2-1 ATS in last three road games. Bulls? last four games went over total. Detroit lost five of its last seven games; they?re 3-7 ATS in last ten home games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Bulls won/covered their last three games with the Pistons; they covered once in their last five trips to Detroit. Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

Lakers-Thunder
Lakers won their last seven games; they covered twice in last six road games. Four of their last six games stayed under total. OKC won 11 of its last 13 games; they covered four of their last five home games (under 4-1).

Lakers won five of last seven games with the Thunder; they?re 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma. Three of last four series games went over.

76ers-Mavericks
Philly lost its last four road games; home side is 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Dallas lost five of its last seven games; they?re 1-7-1 ATS in last nine home games. Four of their last five games went over.

Dallas is 6-4 in its last ten games with the 76ers, covering last four series games. Sixers covered once in their last four visits to Dallas. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Cavaliers-Nuggets
Cleveland lost five of its last six games; they?re 8-9-1 ATS on road this year. Cavaliers? last five games went over. Denver won five of its last seven games; they?re 1-3-2 ATS in last six home games. Over is 11-3 in their last 14 games.

Cavaliers lost four of last five games with the Nuggets; they?re 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Denver. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Bucks-Kings
Milwaukee won 28 of its last 31 games; they?re 12-8 ATS on road TY. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Portland lost seven of its last nine games; they?re 6-11 ATS at home. Four of their last five games stayed under.

Bucks won eight of last ten games with Portland; they?re 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Oregon. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.
 

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Saturday, January 11


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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Houston
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

New Orleans @ Boston
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston
Boston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Chicago @ Detroit
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Philadelphia @ Dallas
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Cleveland @ Denver
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games

Milwaukee @ Portland
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Milwaukee is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games


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