Cnotes 2019 WNBA News - Notes - Picks Thru The Playoffs !

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY OCTOBER 10, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
8:00 PM Connecticut Sun Washington Mystics The Entertainment and Sports Arena


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WNBA SEPT./ OCT. PLAYOFFS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

10/08/2019.......2-0-0.....100.00%......+10.00
10/06/2019.......1-1-0.......50.00%.........-0.50
10/01/2019.......1-1-0.......50.00%.........-0.50
09/29/2019.......1-1-0.......50.00%.........-0.50
09/22/2019.......0-4-0........0.00%........-22.00
09/19/2019.......2-1-1........66.67%.......+4.50
09/17/2019.......1-3-0........25.00%......-11.50
09/15/2019.......3-1-0........75.00%.......+9.50
09/11/2019...... 3-1-0 .......75.00% ......+9.50

Total.............14 -13-1.......51.85%........-1.50


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BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS............. ..UNITS...............O/U..............UNITS...........TOTALS

10/08/2019..............1 - 0...............+5.00...............1 - 0.............+5.00...........+10.00
10/06/2019..............0 - 1................-5.50...............1 - 0.............+5.00............-0.50
10/01/2019..............0 - 1................-5.50...............1 - 0.............+5.00............-0.50
09/29/2019..............0 - 1................-5.50...............1 - 0.............+5.00............-0.50
09/22/2019..............0 - 2................-11.00.............0 - 2..............-11.00...........-22.00
09/19/2019..............1 - 0................+5.00..............1 - 1..............-0.50............+4.50
09/17/2019..............0 - 2................-11.00..............1 - 1.............-0.50............-11.50
09/15/2019..............1 - 1................-0.50................2 - 0............+10.00..........+9.50
09/11/2019..............1 - 1................-0.50................2 - 0............+10.00..........+9.50

Totals......................4 - 9 ...............-25.50.............10 - 4...........+28.00............+2.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack

Trends for this week?s NFL games:

? Ravens covered once in last nine division games.

? Green Bay covered 10 of its last 13 games.

? Giants are 7-2 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

? Jaguars are 4-22 ATS in last 26 games vs NFC teams.

? Minnesota is 21-5-1 in last 27 games as a home favorite.

? Chargers covered twice in last 10 games as a home favorite.


Quote of the Day
?I thought it might happen last week after the Giants game ? based on reports. And [the Redskins] never said, ?You?re not getting fired,? so I assumed I was. I had a good staff there, and hopefully they can make it work in the last 11 games and stick around. It?s a good group.?
Jay Gruden

Wednesday?s quiz
Burgess Meredith was famous for playing Rocky Balboa?s trainer in the Rocky movies; what villain did he play on the old Batman TV series?

Tuesday?s quiz
Kansas City Chiefs were the first team to both win (IV) and lose (I) a Super Bowl.

Monday?s quiz
Russell Wilson played college football for NC State, Wisconsin.

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Wednesday?s Den: Notes on all the NFC teams??.

Arizona:
? Cardinals have only one takeaway in their last four games (-2 in TO?s for year).
? Arizona is 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games as a home underdog.
? Road team covered their last four games.

Atlanta:
? Falcons allowed 12 TD?s on their opponents? last 25 drives.
? Atlanta averaged 8.1+ yards/pass attempt in four of their five games.
? Falcons covered only four of their last 19 road games.

Carolina:
? Panthers are 3-0, scoring 32.7 ppg, with Kyle Allen at QB.
? Carolina has nine takeaways (+5) in its last three games.
? Panthers ran for only 39 yards in Week 2?s 20-14 home loss to Tampa Bay.

Chicago:
? Bears allowed total of 45 points in Weeks 1-4, then gave up 24 points to Oakland Sunday.
? Chicago was 8-13 on 3rd down vs Washington; other four games? 15-53
? Bears are 0-5 SU/ATS in their last five post-bye games.

Dallas:
? First three games: 18-31 on third down. Last two games: 6-19.
? Cowboys were outscored 26-3 in first half of their last two games.
? Dak Prescott: 35-18 as an NFL starter; 24-5 vs losing teams, 11-13 vs winning teams.

Detroit:
? All four Detroit games have been decided by 4 or fewer points.
? Lions have nine takeaways but also six giveaways in four games this year.
? Detroit won/covered six of its last seven post-bye games.

Green Bay:
? Packers are +7 in turnovers, won/covered four of first five games.
? Green Bay is 22-13-2 ATS in last 37 games as a home favorite.
? Packers scored 88 points in first half of games, 37 in second half.

LA Rams:
? Rams scored 69 points in last two games, but lost both of them.
? Under McVay, LA is 13-7 ATS away from home.
? Average points scored in 2nd half of Ram games this year: 34.8

Minnesota:
? Vikings ran ball for 172+ yards in 4 of 5 games; Bears held them to 40.
? Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 24-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? Under is 4-1 in Viking games, only one of which was decided by less than 10 points.

NY Giants:
? Giants scored 32-24 points in their wins, 17 or less in their losses.
? Big Blue is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.

? Giants covered 10 of their last 13 games on natural grass.

New Orleans:
? Saints are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 road games.
? NO opponents converted only 17 of last 49 third down plays.
? Saints won all three of Bridgewater?s starts, scoring 33-12-31 points.

Philadelphia:
? Eagles are 3-0 when they score 31+ points, 0-2 when they do not.
? Philly is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games as a road underdog.
? Eagles have converted 37-70 third down plays this year.

San Francisco:
? SF ran ball for 702 yards in their last three games.
? 49ers have 11 takeaways in four games, but also eight turnovers.
? Last time SF was NFC?s last unbeaten team was 1984.

Seattle:
? Seahawks scored 27+ points in each of their last four games.
? Seattle is just 21-59 on 3rd down, but scored 98 points on 16 red zone drives.
? Seahawks are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.

Tampa Bay:
? Buccaneers allowed 31+ points in four of their five games.
? Tampa Bay has eight takeaways (+6) in its last four games.
? Average total in Bucs? last three games: 71.0.

Washington:
? Redskins didn?t score in second half of their last two games.
? Washington is 0-5, with last four losses all by 10+ points.
? Would expect them to run ball with Callahan the new coach.

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Trends for this week?s NFL games:

? New England is 7-1 ATS in last eight games as a non-divisional home favorite.

? Jets are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.

? Miami covered twice of last nine games vs NFC teams.

? Bengals are 9-3 in last 12 games as a road underdog.

? Dallas is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games as a non-divisional road favorite.

? Falcons covered three of last 16 games outside their division.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud??

I had a good writeup all set for this spot today, then I watched the Dodgers? game Wednesday night and had to start all over again??.

13) Nationals 7, Dodgers 3 (10)? Tough night for LA fans; Dodgers blew a 3-1 8th inning lead, giving up back/back home runs. Howie Kendrick hit a 10th inning grand slam for the win.

Clayton Kershaw has never allowed home runs on consecutive pitches in the regular season; it has happened to him twice in playoff games.

12) There have been two extra inning grand slams in playoff history; Howie Kendrick last night and Nelson Cruz in Game 2 of the 2011 ALCS.

Max Scherzer was at both games; he was the starter for the losing Tigers in that 2011 game.

Twins exercised Cruz? $12M team option for 2020; the way he hit this year, that is a bargain.

11) Kendrick has played 14 years in the major league and has hit two grand slams, both of which came in extra innings.

10) Road teams are now 4-9 all-time in winner-take-all games that went to extra innings, with three of the four wins coming in the last four years.

9) Cardinals 13, Braves 1? St Louis is fourth team ever to score 10+ runs in an inning in a playoff game:

1929? Philadelphia A?s Game 4 of WS vs Chicago (B7)
1968? Detroit Game 6 of WS vs St Louis (T3)
2002? LA Angels Game 5 of ALCS vs Milwaukee (B7)
2019? St Louis Game 5 of NLDS vs Atlanta (T1)

8) Atlanta Braves hold a dubious major league record; they?re the only team to be eliminated from the playoffs at home for five consecutive seasons (2000-04).

7) Home teams in winner-take-all playoff games:
MLB? 56-60 (48.3%)
NHL? 133-91 (59.4%)
NBA? 177-62 (74.1%)

6) San Antonio Spurs have gone over their season win total 11 of the last 14 years.

5) Someone at the Westgate SuperBook wagered $5,000 at 8-1 odds this week that New England will finish the regular season 16-0.

4) Since 2016, teams coming off a loss are 5-21-1 ATS when playing the Patriots.

3) When Oregon trailed the Cal Bears 7-0 at halftime Saturday, it was the first scoreless 1st half for the Ducks since a 30-24 home loss to Indiana in 2004.

2) Why did the Houston Rockets used to be the NBA franchise worth the most money? Because Yao Ming played for Houston, and the Rockets? resulting lucrative connection to China was worth a boatload of cash. Notice I said ?was?

One critical tweet from Rockets? GM Daryl Morey has turned the Chinese government against the NBA and it is unclear whether the damage can be undone, which is going to cost everyone associated with the league a lot of money. A lot. Mucho dinero.

1) There were reports Wednesday that NBA teams preparing for the 2020-21 season are thinking the salary cap could drop as much as 15% after this season, all because of one 6-word tweet.

 

[Cnotes53]

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[Cnotes53]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, October 10


Connecticut @ Washington

Game 609-610
October 10, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
117.090
Washington
117.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
171
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6 1/2
175
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+6 1/2); Under

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WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 10

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CONNECTICUT (28 - 13) at WASHINGTON (30 - 11) - 10/10/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 9-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 8-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Thursday, October 10

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Trend Report
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Washington Mystics
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Washington is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Washington is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Washington is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 19 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Connecticut is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Washington
Connecticut is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Washington
Connecticut is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Connecticut's last 19 games when playing on the road against Washington

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CONN at WAS 08:00 PM

CONN +6.5

O 174.0

 

[Cnotes53]

Delle Donne leads Mystics to WNBA title
October 10, 2019
By The Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) The Washington Mystics won their first WNBA championship, getting 22 points from Emma Meesseman and 21 from banged-up league MVP Elena Delle Donne to beat the Connecticut Sun 89-78 in Game 5 of the Finals on Thursday night.

It was a fitting conclusion to an entertaining series and WNBA season. This was the seventh series in league history that had gone to a deciding Game 5, and the home team has won five of them.

Delle Donne, who has been dealing with a herniated disk in her back, scored four points during a decisive 8-0 run that gave the Mystics an 80-72 lead with under three minutes left. But it was Meesseman, the soft-spoken Belgian who unveiled a new, aggressive ''Playoff Emma'' persona during the title run, who was named MVP of the Finals.

Meesseman missed last season while playing with the Belgian national team.

''I don't think I'm the missing piece. I'm their teammate (and did what) I need to do help my team win a championship. This is my family right here,'' she said.

Delle Donne came to Washington three years ago in a trade from Chicago, hoping to get the Mystics their first title. She grew up about an hour from the city in Delaware and wanted to be closer to home. She's been battling injuries and illnesses all season, breaking her nose early in the year. She still wears a mask to protect it. Delle Donne also wears a knee brace on her right knee after suffering a bone bruise in last year's Finals.

The victory gave coach Mike Thibault his first WNBA championship. The league's all-time winningest coach had reached the Finals three times in his career - twice with Connecticut - and last season with Washington, but fell short each time.

The game got off to a slow start with choppy play, but it picked up during a back-and-forth second half.

The Mystics trailed by nine midway through the third quarter before rallying within two at the end of the period. The teams traded the lead in the final period until Delle Donne hit a tough fadeaway midway through the quarter. After a Connecticut miss, Kristi Toliver - the only player on either team who had won a title before - drove down the lane and hit a beautiful finger-roll layup to give the Mystics a 76-72 lead.

Delle Donne added another basket, and Meesseman capped the run with a jumper.

''Emma went to work inside. Elena does what she does. You have to beat them by defending them. All the players stepped up in the fourth quarter when we needed it,'' Thibault said.

Connecticut could only get within six points the rest of the way.

''They were just better down the stretch,'' Sun coach Curt Miller said. ''Defensively, it wasn't anything more than they were really physical. They were the physical team down the stretch when they needed it.''

Delle Donne got the final rebound and hugged her teammates at center court as the final buzzer sounded.

Jonquel Jones had 25 points for the Sun and Alyssa Thomas added 21 points and 12 rebounds.

Delle Donne said the team was aware that the only thing missing from its coach's resume was the championship and was thrilled to help give him his first.

''He's created such a family atmosphere here that the least we could do is win a title for him,'' she said.

The two shared a long embrace at center court as confetti rained down after the game.

Meesseman got rolling when the Mystics desperately needed her, with Connecticut leading by nine. She scored 11 points in the third period on array of post moves and outside shots to get the Mystics within 64-62 heading into the final quarter.

Meesseman said her motivation was simple.

''"The trophy,'' she said. ''It's a championship game. That's all I need. I'm just playing basketball. Today I just shot my shot.''

ALL RISE

Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan was in the crowd. Thibault met her once on a flight and the two struck became friendly. The Mystics visited the Supreme Court in June.

TIP-INS

Game 5 held to form with the other four as the team that led after the first quarter went on to win. Washington led 23-20 after one period and Conneticut led by one at the half. ... Mystics assistant coach Eric Thibault, Mike's son, is getting married next weekend. ... Connecticut lost in the Finals for the third time. They did it under Mike Thibault in 2004 and '05.