Cnotes 2020/2021 NHL Season Long Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

[Udog]

45VANCOUVER -46 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 26-6 ATS (17.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

47BOSTON -48 WASHINGTON
BOSTON is 231-219 ATS (46.9 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.




NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, May 15

NHL

Saturday, May 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Vancouver @ Edmonton
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Vancouver is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Boston @ Washington
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


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[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, MAY 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

VAN at EDM 03:30 PM
EDM -185
O 6.0
+500 +500

BOS at WAS 07:15 PM
BOS -125
U 5.5
+500 +500

 

[Udog]

Sunday?s 6-pack
MLB leaders in RBI:
33? JD Martinez Bos, Jose Abreu CWS
32? Jesus Aguilar, Mia
31? Trey Mancini Blt, Rafael Devers Bos
30? Mitch Haniger Sea, Yuli Gurriel Hst
29? Jared Walsh, LAA
28? Guerrero, Grichuk, Peralta

Quote of the Day
?Sometimes you have to go through the worst in order to get to the best.?
Anonymous

Sunday?s quiz
What well-known actor (now deceased) played A?s manager Art Howe in Moneyball?

Saturday?s quiz
Mark Jackson was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr.

Friday?s quiz
Roy Hobbs played for the New York Knights in Robert Redford?s baseball movie, The Natural.

****************************************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Tough day physically for some baseball stars:
? Bryce Harper has a bad shoulder, is day-to-day.
? JT Realmuto has a left wrist issue, is day-to-day.
? Corey Seager broke his right hand, is done for a while.

In a related issue, we?re all day-to-day.

12) Phillies have scored at least one first inning run 10 of their last 13 games, but with their two biggest stars banged up, that seems less likely to happen for a while.

11) Takes a lot of players for a team to make the playoffs in baseball, more than the 26 on a roster at one time. The 2012 A?s made an unlikely run to the playoffs with a lot of late-inning wins, one of which was when a guy named Brandon Hicks hit a walk-off homer vs Texas.

Hicks hit one of the biggest homers of that season for the A?s, but he only batted for them 70 times that whole season? a very unlikely hero.

10) Underrated TV channel is AMC, #254 on DirecTV. Did my writing tonight while watching Moneyball and A Few Good Men, two excellent movies.

9) Eagles-Cowboys have played on Sunday Night Football once every year since 2010, but this year they won?t, they?ll meet on Monday Night Football instead, in Week 3.

Sunday night games have become higher profile than the Monday night matchups; both those teams had losing records last year, which is probably why they got shuffled to Monday.

8) Albert Pujols is going to sign a deal with the Dodgers, to provide a bat off the bench; will he be their DH next year, when the universal DH probably kicks in for every team?

7) Last six times I?ve been to a McDonald?s (two different ones) the milkshake machine only worked once. This is a problem; their milkshakes are very good.

6) The Jimmy John?s commercials with Brad Garrett have become annoying; they?re on a lot, and they?re not funny.

5) I?ve been a big Bill James fan since I was in college; have always bought his books and read them. Don?t always agree with what he says, but he?s had a great impact on baseball, which is pretty awesome for a guy who was a security guard at a pork and beans company when he started writing those books.

In 1983, I wrote Bill James a letter and he answered me back, a hand-written note that is still around here somewhere. I?m wondering if/when things in baseball will start swinging back towards more traditional baseball thinking.

Will bullpens get worn out later this summer? Do starting pitchers need to be trained to go deeper into games? Is so much shifting a good idea? (Hopefully, shifting will be banned or greatly reduced soon).

4) Pirates 8, Giants 6? San Francisco led 6-2 in 7th inning, but Jacob Stallings hit a walk-off homer to send everyone home happy. Stallings? father Kevin used to be the basketball coach at Vanderbilt and Pitt.

3) Tigers 9, Cubs 8? Chicago is 5-12 on the road; they?re going to be an interesting team to follow in July. Will they have a fire sale? Bryant/Rizzo would bring back a pretty good haul.

2) Astros 6, Rangers 5? Houston has won eight of its last ten games.

1) Six years ago today, we lost my dad, a very sad night. He was a great friend, an honest guy who loved to play golf and root for the Mets. I miss him every day.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

61CALGARY -62 VANCOUVER
CALGARY is 8-14 ATS (-11.9 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.

63NY ISLANDERS -64 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games in the current season.

65TAMPA BAY -66 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 34-17 ATS (13.8 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

67MINNESOTA -68 VEGAS
VEGAS are 26-4 ATS (19 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, May 16

NHL

Sunday, May 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Islanders

Minnesota @ Vegas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Vegas is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

Tampa Bay @ Florida
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

Calgary @ Vancouver
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, MAY 16
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYI at PIT 12:00 PM
NYI +110
U 5.0
+500 +500

MIN at VEG 03:00 PM
VEG -170
O 5.5
+500 +500

TB at FLA 07:30 PM
TB -125
O 5.5
+500 +500

 

[Udog]

Monday?s 6-pack
NFL over/under win totals for 2021:
? Arizona Cardinals 8.5, +100
? Atlanta Falcons 7.5, -105
? Baltimore Ravens 10.5, -150
? Buffalo Bills 10.5, -155
? Carolina Panthers 7.5, +100
? Chicago Bears 7.5, -115

Quote of the Day
?He?s never been better, I can say that. He?s been great for a long time, though, so it?s hard to say he?s at his best now because he?s been like this for years.?
Warriors coach Steve Kerr, talking about Steph Curry

Monday?s quiz
Who was the Seattle Mariners? manager last time they made the playoffs? (Hint: He won a World Series managing a different team)

Sunday?s quiz
Philip Seymour Hoffman played A?s manager Art Howe in Moneyball.

Saturday?s quiz
Mark Jackson was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr.

*********************************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Knicks 96, Celtics 92:
? Knicks finish 41-31, the #4 seed in the East
? Last time they made the playoffs? Eight years ago.
? Last year, Knicks ranked 27th in opponents? field goal %age. This year? They rank #1
? Tom Thibodeau is an excellent coach.

12) Matchups for the NBA play-in tournament this week:
East:
? 7-8 game: Washington @ Boston
? 9-10 game: Charlotte @ Indiana

West:
? 7-8 game: Golden State @ LA Lakers
? 9-10 game: San Antonio @ Memphis

? Winner of the 7-8 games make the playoffs
? Loser of the 9-10 games is eliminated
? Winner of the 9-10 games play the loser of the 7-8 games, for the last spots.

11) Gambling can be stressful:

If you bet on the Brewers Sunday, they led Atlanta 8-0 after six innings- they took starter Freddy Peralta out of the game, figuring they?d coast home.

Then the Braves scored 7 runs in the top of the 7th, but Milwaukee held on to win, 10-9, not before inducing some heartburn in Brewer backers.

10) Gambling can be traumatic:

If you bet on Colorado Sunday, they led the Reds 6-0 after seven innings; they took starter Antonio Senzatela out after the first batter of the 8th inning reached base. Cincinnati went on to rally for an unlikely 7-6 win, avoiding a series sweep.

9) A?s 7, Minnesota 6? Can?t remember the last time I saw a team do less to score the winning run in the last inning.

? Batter reaches base on catcher?s interference.
? Next batter hits a tapper to the mound; pitcher throws to second, but the guy there is the 3B because of the shift? he isn?t used to turning double plays, and he misses the throw, which goes into centerfield. Runner goes to third base.
? Next pitch is a wild pitch, and the go-ahead run scores.

8) San Diego Padres are 14-1 when they score 5+ runs, 10-16 if they do not.
Arizona Diamondbacks are 17-6 when they score 5+ runs, 1-17 if they do not.

7) Since 2017, most home runs against one team:
26? Mike Trout, vs Seattle
24? Aaron Judge, vs Baltimore
23? JD Martinez, vs Baltimore

6) White Sox catcher Yasmani Grandal is only 10-76 (.132) at the plate this season, but he?s also walked 29 times- his on-base %age is .388, which is really good.

5) Cubs? pitching has been shaky on the road; they?re 1-4 in road games where they?ve scored 6 or more runs. Overall, Chicago is 6-12 away from Wrigley.

4) Jeremy Hefner is the Mets? pitching coach; he pitched in 50 games for the Mets in 2012-13, starting 36 of them.

Odd Fact of the Day: At the plate, Hefner was only 2 for 52, but one of the hits was a home run, off Joe Blanton of the Phillies.

3) Washington State?s football program has a guy whose job title is: Director of Transfer Recruiting. This is the new wave in college recruiting, poaching kids from other schools, because teams are sure as hell trying to poach your players.

2) Other NBA playoff matchups:
? East: Miami-Milwaukee, Atlanta-New York
? West: Portland-Denver, Dallas-LA Clippers

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don?t):
NL: Mets, Cardinals, Giants Wild Card: Los Angeles @ San Diego
AL: Red Sox, White Sox, A?s Wild Card: Toronto @ Houston

 

[Udog]

1BOSTON -2 WASHINGTON
BOSTON is 231-220 ATS (45.6 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.

3NASHVILLE -4 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (8.4 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.

5ST LOUIS -6 COLORADO
ST LOUIS are 6-16 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, May 17

NHL

Monday, May 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Washington
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Nashville @ Carolina
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Nashville
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

Tuesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the PGA Championship:
11-1? Rory McIlroy
14-1? Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm
16-1? Bryson DeChambeau
18-1? Dustin Johnson
22-1? Xander Schauffele
25-1? Viktor Hovland

Quote of the Day
?I believe that sex is one of the most beautiful, natural, wholesome things that money can buy.?
Steve Martin

Tuesday?s quiz
From 1975-84, Biff Pocoroba was a catcher for which major league team?
(Hint: He played in the 1978 All-Star Game)

Monday?s quiz
Lou Piniella was Seattle Mariners? manager last time they made the playoffs, in 2002.

Sunday?s quiz
Philip Seymour Hoffman played A?s manager Art Howe in Moneyball.

*************************

Tuesday?s Den: Schedule notes for AFC teams

Ravens:
? Three of their first four games are on the road.
? They play in Denver October 3; their next road game isn?t til November 11.
? Weeks 10-14, they play four road games in five weeks.

Bills:
? Four primetime games; three of them are on the road.
? Play in New Orleans Thanksgiving night.
? Two games with New England are late, in weeks 13/16.

Bengals:
? Only primetime game is Week 4 vs Jacksonville.
? Weeks 6-8; three straight road games.
? Four of their first six games are against NFC North teams.

Browns:
? Go to Baltimore in Week 12, have Week 13 bye, host Ravens in Week 14
? Have three primetime games, including January 3 in Pittsburgh.
? Christmas Day at Lambeau Field should be nice and toasty.

Broncos:
? Four of their first seven games are in Eastern time zone.
? Only primetime game: Week 7 in Cleveland.
? Play Chargers/Chiefs in Weeks 12-13, then again in Weeks 17-18.

Texans:
? 13 games at 1:00 Sunday; not a lot of faith from the NFL.
? Only primetime game: Week 3 vs Carolina.
? From October 11-November 27, have only one home game.

Colts:
? Weeks 3-5: three straight road games.
? Three of their four primetime games are on the road.
? Week 14 bye; latest possible bye.

Jaguars:
? Only primetime game: Week 4 at Cincinnati.
? Weeks 16-17 at Jets/Patriots, cold weather games.
? Week 6, they play the Dolphins over in England.

Chiefs:
? From October 25-December 15, have only one road game.
? Three of their last four games are on the road.
? Week 16 Thursday game at Chargers is long trip on short week.

Raiders:
? First Allegiant Stadium game with fans; Week 1 Monday nighter vs Ravens.
? Play the Cowboys in Dallas Thanksgiving Day.
? Weeks 14-15, have consecutive trips east, to Kansas City/Cleveland.

Chargers:
? First SoFi Stadium game with fans: Week 2 vs Dallas.
? Have three primetime games, all at home.
? Play Chiefs in Week 3, then not again until Week 15.

Dolphins:
? Play New England in Week 1, then not again until Week 18
? In Week 6, play Jaguars over in England.
? Have only two 4:00 games, none after Week 3.

Patriots:
? Host Tom Brady/Buccaneers in Week 4 Sunday night game.
? Patriots? other two primetime games are on road.
? Four of their eight road games are in domes.

Jets:
? Visit Sam Darnold/Panthers in season opener.
? In Week 5, play Falcons over in England.
? Only night game: Week 9 Thursday game at Indianapolis.

Steelers:
? Play the normal five primetime games, three of them at home.
? Play rival Ravens in Weeks 13/18.
? Host Las Vegas in Week 2, after Raiders played on Monday nite in Week 1.

Titans:
? Week 16 Thursday game vs 49ers is tough spot for the visitors.
? Play 13 games at 1:00 Sunday; not lot of faith from the NFL.
? Week 2 at Seattle is their only 4:00 game all season.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

11CALGARY -12 VANCOUVER
CALGARY is 9-14 ATS (-10.9 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.

13NY ISLANDERS -14 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite in the current season.

15TAMPA BAY -16 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more in the current season.

17MINNESOTA -18 VEGAS
VEGAS are 24-6 ATS (14.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, May 17

NHL

Tuesday, May 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Calgary @ Vancouver
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 10 games on the road
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary

NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of NY Islanders's last 22 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Tampa Bay @ Florida
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Tampa Bay's last 21 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Minnesota @ Vegas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Vegas is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Over/under win totals for NFL teams:
? Cincinnati Bengals, 6.5, -125
? Cleveland Browns, 10,-150
? Dallas Cowboys, 9.5, +110
? Denver Broncos, 8.5, -140
? Detroit Lions, 5, +125
? Green Bay Packers 9, -115

Remember, this year it is a 17-game schedule for first time.

Quote of the Day
?Despite not looking so good, I feel as close to normal as possible. ? I feel good. I feel lucky.?
Mets? OF Kevin Pillar, who got hit in the face with a pitch Monday, suffering nasal fractures

Wednesday?s quiz
Before the Texas Rangers moved to the Lone Star State, where did they play?

Tuesday?s quiz
From 1975-84, Biff Pocoroba was a catcher for the Braves.

Monday?s quiz
Lou Piniella was Seattle Mariners? manager last time they made the playoffs, in 2002.

********************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??..

13) I have a suggestion that I think would help our country; instead of Presidents having four-year terms, and being limited to two terms, I suggest that they serve only one term, but the term would be six years long. That way, they just do the work, and don?t worry about re-election.

What do you think?

12) Baseball analytics people have defenses shifting a lot, which puts players in places on the field that they?re not used to being, and that weakens the defense. I?m sure someone keeps track of this, but hits saved/hits given up by the shift would be an interesting statistic to study.

There have to be pitchers who lose their mind when they give up a soft ground ball to the opposite field, and it goes thru the infield for a hit. I?m thinking of Madison Bumgarner; he gave up one of those Monday night in LA, and he didn?t look very happy about it.

11) Genius alert: Braves rookie pitcher Huascar Ynoa broke his right (pitching) hand when he punched the dugout bench following a poor start at Milwaukee Sunday. Not good.

Ynoa had the lowest ERA on the Braves? staff; he is out for couple months.

10) Umpire Joe West worked a Giants? game the other night, with Mike Yasztrzemski playing for San Francisco. West has been around so long, he was in the big leagues the last eight years that Hall of Famer Carl Yastrzemski played in the majors? that?s Mike?s grandfather.

Giants have homered in 15 consecutive road games, by the way.

9) Detroit Tigers re-did their TV crew last season, and improved it greatly; now the analysts are Jack Morris, Kirk Gibson or Dan Petry- they?re all very good, especially Morris. Listening to him is like taking a college course on pitching. He speaks his mind, good or bad.

8) Last week was the anniversary of a game where the Phillies beat the Cubs 23-22 in Wrigley, on a day when the wind was blowing out, obviously.

? For some reason, Larry Bowa batted 2nd for Philly, ahead of Pete Rose/Mike Schmidt. A career .260 hitter with no pop (15 homers in 16 years), he would definitely bat 8th these days.
? Bob Boone caught for Philly, hit a homer; his son manages the Bronx Bombers now.
? Tug McGraw pitched in relief that day; his son Tim is a very famous singer.
? Bill Buckner was 4-7, knocked in seven runs that day.
? Dave Kingman hit three homers for the Cubs.

7) Baseball stuff:
? Mike Trout (calf strain) is out 6-8 weeks
? Mets acquired Cameron Maybin to give them some OF depth
? Braves put P Huascar Ynoa (hand) on the IL

6) Since the start of the 2018 season, Aaron Judge/Giancarlo Stanton have played on the same day only 163 of 426 games, 38.2% of the time.

Two of the best abilities: availability, durability.

5) Cincinnati Reds are 11-2 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on; Chicago White Sox are 2-8 in those games.

4) Dodgers lost their last eight one-run games, not a good thing.

3) Not to be the old guy on his lawn, but??..
? In Larry Bird?s first seven NBA seasons, he missed a total of 13 games
? Artis Gilmore was a very good 7-foot-2 center; in his first eight years as a pro, he didn?t miss a game, and the ABA played 84 games, not 82. Teams didn?t have private jets, either.
? In 2012-13, the year Kevin Durant scored 28.1 ppg, while shooting 41.6% on arc, 53.9% inside arc and 90.5% from the line, he played in 81 games, missing only one.

My point here is that NBA players today are soft; they take nights off when they?re not hurt.

2) RIP to the great actor Charles Grodin, who passed away at age 86. Funny man.

RIP to former big league infielder Rennie Stennett, 72, who played on two World Series title teams with the Pirates.

1) In 1975, Stennett went 7-7 in a game at Wrigley Field. 7 for freakin? 7.
? Pirates won the game 22-0, scoring 9 times in first inning.
? Stennett scored five runs that day; when he was taken out of the game, a young 2B named Willie Randolph pinch-ran for him
? Pete LaCock was an OF for the Cubs that day; his dad was Peter Marshall, host of the Hollywood Squares, a very popular game show back in the day.
? Rick Reuschel started game for the Cubs; his brother Paul mopped up last two innings.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

21VANCOUVER -22 CALGARY
CALGARY is 2-7 ATS (-8.4 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against in the current season.

23WASHINGTON -24 BOSTON
WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite in the current season.

25NASHVILLE -26 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS (9.4 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.

27WINNIPEG -28 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 26-7 ATS (15.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

29ST LOUIS -30 COLORADO
ST LOUIS are 6-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, May 19

NHL

Wednesday, May 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vancouver @ Calgary
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games on the road
Calgary
Calgary is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Calgary is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Vancouver

Washington @ Boston
Washington
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Nashville @ Carolina
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Winnipeg @ Edmonton
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Winnipeg is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

Thursday?s 6-pack
Over/under win totals for NFL teams:
? Houston Texans 4.5, -115
? Indianapolis Colts 10, +100
? Jacksonville Jaguars 6.5, +110
? Kansas City Chiefs 12.5, -105
? Las Vegas Raiders 7, -115
? Los Angeles Chargers 9, -160

Remember, this year it is a 17-game schedule for first time.

Quote of the Day
?[The Jets] tried switching him to tight end, and he wasn?t good. That?s what people don?t acknowledge.?
Former NFL QB Greg McElroy, talking about Tim Tebow

Thursday?s quiz
Steph Curry?s dad Dell Curry played 16 years in NBA; where did he play his college ball?

Wednesday?s quiz
Before Texas Rangers moved to the Lone Star State, they were the Washington Senators.

Tuesday?s quiz
From 1975-84, Biff Pocoroba was a catcher for the Braves.

*********************************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) 76-year old Tony LaRussa is already in the Hall of Fame as a manager, but he came back this season, after a 10-year absence, to manage the White Sox. So far, the results are mixed.

On the field, Chicago is doing well; they?re 26-16, atop the AL Central.

Off the field, there have been issues.
? LaRussa didn?t know the extra inning rule, and put closer Liam Hendriks in as a ghost runner to start an extra inning, when he could?ve used the guy who hit before Hendriks? spot in the order. LaRussa has a law degree; this would qualify as malpractice.

? LaRussa went out of his way to publicly rip one of his players when the guy hit a home run off a position player while the White Sox led, 15-4. If he has a problem with the ?unwritten rules? of the game, tell the guy in private. Publicly calling him clueless was a tone-deaf move.

? Despite their good record, White Sox are 2-9 in games where the winning scored from the 7th inning on- those games are where managers can make a difference.

If LaRussa loses the respect of the players, a promising season could go in the ashcan.

12) Grizzlies 100, Spurs 96:
? Valanciunas was +26 in his 38:00; they were minus-22 when he was on bench.
? DeRozan shot only 5-21 from the floor.
? Memphis visits the Warriors Friday night, in a play-in game.

Lakers 103, Warriors 100:
? Golden State was up 13 at the half.
? Caruso scored 14 points in 30:00 off bench for LA.
? Lakers move on to play Phoenix in the playoffs.

11) Padres 3, Rockies 0? Not only is Colorado 2-17 on the road, they?ve been shut out in seven of the 17 losses.

10) Why some teams win, and some teams lose; this trade was made July 31, 2018:
? Pittsburgh Pirates got Chris Archer.
? Tampa Bay Rays got Tyler Glasnow, Austin Meadows and a minor leaguer.

Archer was 6-12, 4.92 in 33 starts for the Pirates.
Glasnow is 16-9, 3.08 in 43 starts for the Rays.
Meadows has an .855 OPS in 224 games for Tampa Bay.

9) MLB teams with best record in games where winning scores from 7th inning on:
11-2? Cincinnati, Oakland
9-4? NY Mets
9-5? San Diego

MLB teams with worst record in games where winning scores from 7th inning on:
2-9? White Sox
4-11? Minnesota
5-13? Atlanta
4-8? LA Dodgers, Baltimore

8) Tigers 6, Mariners 2? Detroit has quietly won eight of its last ten games.

7) New York 2, Texas 0? Corey Kluber throws a no-hitter on 101 pitches, already the 7th no-hitter this season. Three teams (Seattle/Cleveland/Texas) have been no-hit three times each.

6) Scheduling quirk: A?s have played only nine of their first 44 games against AL West rivals, all of them against Houston. Astros played 29 of their first 43 games against division rivals.

5) Brandon Woodruff has been pitching really well for Milwaukee, but he hasn?t been getting lot of support at the plate; four of his nine starts have been 0-0 after five innings.

4) Mets traded for OF Cameron Maybin, then batted him 3rd in their game in Atlanta last night. 34-year old Maybin is on his 10th team in his 14-year career.

At the time of the trade, Maybin was hitting .103 in the minors; not sure why he batted third.

3) NBA hasn?t expanded since 2004; rumors are that the league will expand soon, to make up some of the money they lost during the pandemic. Cities rumored to be in the running for an expansion team: Seattle, Louisville, Las Vegas.

2) Sports betting was legalized in Florida this week.

1) Happy 84th birthday this week to the great 3B Brooks Robinson; had the chance to meet Mr Robinson long time ago, maybe 1990 or so, at an event in Glens Falls. Bunch of us were huddled around a TV, watching an NFL playoff game; something strange happened in the game; Brooks just shook his head and laughed ?Can you believe people bet on this stuff??

Very nice man, one of the greatest fielders ever. Happy birthday, sir.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

33FLORIDA -34 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 15-1 ATS (13.9 Units) in home games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

35PITTSBURGH -36 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 11-1 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

37MONTREAL -38 TORONTO
MONTREAL is 19-30 ATS (-21.3 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

39VEGAS -40 MINNESOTA
VEGAS are 25-6 ATS (15.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, May 20

NHL

Thursday, May 20

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Trend Report
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Florida @ Tampa Bay
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Florida

Pittsburgh @ NY Islanders
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Montreal @ Toronto
Montreal
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Vegas @ Minnesota
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Vegas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home


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[Udog]

Friday?s 6-pack
Teams who have been no-hit twice at home, in the same season:
1923- Philadelphia A?s
1971- Cincinnati Reds
1973- Detroit Tigers
2001- San Diego Padres
2015- New York Mets
2021- Seattle Mariners, Texas Rangers

Quote of the Day
?It?s disappointing to not be at 85% as a team. We?ve worked hard to try and convince or educate the people that have been reluctant. We?re at a place right now ? I?m not going to give up hope we?re going to get there ? my level of optimism is waning. It is disappointing.?
Cubs? president Jed Hoyer, on Cubs not having 85% of their people vaccinated

Friday?s quiz
Nine years after he retired as a player, Hall of Famer Ted Williams took over as manager of which American League team?

Thursday?s quiz
Steph Curry?s dad Dell Curry played 16 years in NBA; he played college ball at Virginia Tech.

Wednesday?s quiz
Before Texas Rangers moved to the Lone Star State, they were the Washington Senators.

**************************************************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here??..

13) Kyle Gibson is pitching for the Texas Rangers tonight; he is 3-0, 1.67 in his last eight starts, and seems like a shoo-in to make the All-Star team this summer. Not bad for a who got KO?d from his first start this season in the first inning, giving up five runs to Kansas City.

Did he suddenly make adjustments? Did he just have a bad day Opening Day?

12) Seattle Mariners are hitting .198 as a team; the whole team. Some of these over-educated fools who get hired to run big league squads put together bad rosters, simple as that.

The people in Texas decided that having Joey Gallo/Khris Davis back/back in the same was somehow a good idea? why? They?re both all or nothing guys, mostly nothing.

11) There are several reasons why scoring in baseball is down:
? The baseball is a little less lively.
? Guys try too hard to hit home runs.
? Not enough guys take hits by going against the shift.

But to me, the biggest reason is that only the best pitchers are allowed to face hitters a third time thru the order. If a hitter faces a different pitcher every time, up, its a lot harder to hit.

Tampa Bay?s Josh Fleming has been taken out of two games this season, when he was throwing a shutout in the 6th inning? he had thrown 65-53 pitches, but faced 18-16 hitters.

10) Dodgers 3, Arizona 2? Albert Pujols hit his first home run as a Dodger.

9) Wizards 142, Pacers 115? Washington scored 48 points in the third quarter; how does an NBA team that is playing to extend its season give up 48 points in 12:00? Seriously?

8) Atlanta Hawks? coach Nate McMillan said ?the NBA wants the Knicks in the playoffs, they need the Knicks in the playoffs? somehow that spouting of truth cost him $25,000. How do you fine someone for saying something that is true?

7) Rough week for the Minnesota Twins:
? Monday-Wednesday, lost two of three at home to the White Sox.
? Flew to California, split a makeup twinbill with the Angels Thursday
? Open a weekend series in Cleveland tonight.

6) if the baseball playoffs started today (they don?t):
NL? Mets, Cardinals, Giants. Wild Card: Dodgers @ Padres
AL? Red Sox, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Rays vs A?s

5) If someone asked me which NFL team had the highest-paid center, I would?ve been wrong with my guesses. Very wrong.

Detroit Lions gave C Frank Ragnow a four year, $54M deal; he is the NFL?s highest-paid center.

4) Corey Conners is the 8th player since 1983 to lead the PGA Championship by multiple strokes after Round 1. None of the previous seven went on to win that tournament; last player who did?

Raymond Floyd (led by 3) in 1982 at Southern Hills.

3) When Drew Pearson gets inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in July, his presenter will be Roger Staubach, his QB with the Cowboys.

When you get inducted, you get to choose who introduces you; it is filmed now instead of live, because Steve Young?s father wouldn?t shut up when he was introducing his son a few years ago, but it is still a great honor.

I?m convinced that if Roger Staubach had wanted to enter politics after he played football, he would?ve eventually been elected President, that?s how highly respected he is, having gone to the Naval Academy and then serving four years in the Navy before his NFL days.

2) Happy 94th birthday to Bud Grant, former Vikings? coach who also played in the NBA; he played in the lowest-scoring NBA game ever, for the Minneapolis Lakers.

Bud Grant?s Vikings made my teenage years a less happy place; the Rams never could beat his teams in the playoffs, except once in the late 70?s. But then they?d lose in the Super Bowl and I?d laugh- they were a 17-point favorite when they lost Super Bowl IV to the Chiefs.

Anyway, happy birthday coach, even though you ruined my 10th birthday (23-20, Vikings)

1) People pay $49 a month for that Peloton exercise bike, so the lady can yell at you while you pedal away; this is a good thing? I drink Cherry Coke while I ride my exercise bike, no one yells at me, and I save $49 a month. Advantage, me.