Cnotes 2020/2021 NHL Season Long Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WAS at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -145.............2 - 1
O 6.0............LOSER

TOR at EDM 08:00 PM
TOR -120............6 - 1
O 6.5.................WINNER

STL at ANA 09:30 PM
ANA +140............3 - 2....LOSER
U 5.5...................WINNER


ARI at LA 10:00 PM
LA -110.............3 - 2
U 5.5............WINNER

MIN at VEG 10:00 PM
MIN +120..............1 - 5...LOSER
U 5.5.............LOSER


COL at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +180..........4 - 0.....LOSER
O 6.0.................. LOSER




CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75

TOTALS........................13 - 15........52.63%...........- 6.50


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25
 
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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week?s Arnold Palmer Invitational:
17-2? Rory McIlroy
12-1? Viktor Hovland
13-1? Bryson DeChambeau
17-1? Tyrrell Hatton
21-1? Patrick Reed, Sungjae Im
23-1? Matthew Fitzpatrick

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 518,900
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.



**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud??..

13) If the month of March goes anything like the Horizon League tournament, this could quite an interesting month. Here?s a summation of Tuesday?s quarterfinals:

? Milwaukee 94, Wright State 92, OT? #1-seed Raiders led by 24 with 6:26 left, but lost.
? Cleveland State 108, Fort Wayne 104, 3OT? Vikings were down 5 in second OT.
? Northern Kentucky 70, Detroit 69? Norse scored last six points of the game.
? Oakland 89, Youngstown State 83, OT? Four Oakland starters played 40:00+.

Three overtime games; the fourth game ended 70-69.

12) Villanova 72, Creighton 60? Villanova star Collin Gillespie suffered ?a serious knee injury? and is likely out for the season. Huge blow for a team whose bench plays minutes #329. Not a lot of depth there.

As for Creighton, coach Greg McDermott urged his players to ?stay on the plantation? in a postgame locker room talk after a 77-69 loss at Xavier Saturday. People in the Creighton program were offended by the word ?plantation?

Deeply offended.

11) Oregon State 75, Utah 70? For the first time in 18 years, Beavers have won three consecutive Pac-12 road games. Picked for last in preseason polls, Oregon State is in 6th place.

10) Oregon 82, UCLA 74? Things I learned from listening to Bill Walton:
? The city of Eugene, OR was founded by a guy named Eugene Skinner
? Mr Skinner was born in Essex, NY, a long way from Oregon.
? His brother was assistant postmaster under President Andrew Johnson.

9) St John?s 81, Providence 67:
? Friars led by 11 at the half, but scored only 26 points in 2nd half.
? St John?s hasn?t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000; they?ve only made the tournament four times since then. They probably won?t make it this year, either.

8) Northwestern 60, Maryland 55? This is NOT the way to impress the Selection Committee. Terps have a win over Illinois, one over Wisconsin and not much else. They?re 4-10 in games against teams ranked in the top 50.

7) Mississippi State 63, Texas A&M 57? Aggies didn?t play a game in February; they ended their 32-day pause here and shot 4-25 on the arc.

6) Spring training means preparing for fantasy baseball; got queasy last night when I read that over the last two years, Giancarlo Stanton has played in 41 of his team?s 226 games. Not good.

Then I remember that Stanton knocked in 13 runs in seven playoff games last year, and I feel a little better. My team needs Stanton to be healthy; can only imagine what the people who pay his $30M+ salary are thinking.

5) Astros? starting P Framber Valdez broke the ring finger on his pitching hand when fielding a comebacker Tuesday. Valdez was 5-3, 3.57 in 10 starts LY, striking out 76 and walking 16 in a team-high 70.2 IP.

4) 76ers 131, Jazz 123, OT: Quote of the Day, part 2, from Utah star Donovan Mitchell:

?Now, I?m never ever one to blame a ref, to blame an official ? I can say I could have done more ? but this is getting out of hand. There have been games like this that we?ve won; there have been games like this that we?ve lost. But this whole refereeing stuff. ? We?re nice, we don?t complain, like, we don?t get frustrated, we fight through things, and the fact that we continually get ? screwed, in a way, by this. You know??

3) There is going to be a lot of cost-cutting in the NFL the next few weeks, as teams try to stay below a salary cap that may be going down some this season. New Jersey Giants cut WR Golden Tate

2) Was eerie seeing Jack Murphy Stadium in San Diego getting dismantled last week; lot of history in that stadium- Super Bowls, the Holy Roller play, lot of Padres/Aztecs games. Dan Fouts became famous in that stadium, and now it doesn?t exist.

1) Get well soon to Aaron Boone, who took a medical leave of absence after having surgery Wednesday to get a pacemaker. The 47-year-old Boone had open-heart surgery in 2009; he is expected to be back with the team in a few days.

In his absence, Carlos Mendoza is the interim manager.
 

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21PHILADELPHIA -22 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.

23DETROIT -24 CAROLINA
DETROIT is 0-20 ATS (-22 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

27WINNIPEG -28 MONTREAL
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the current season.

29FLORIDA -30 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

31TAMPA BAY -32 CHICAGO
TAMPA BAY is 41-18 ATS (15 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

33COLUMBUS -34 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-9 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

35OTTAWA -36 CALGARY
OTTAWA is 287-293 ATS (-95.7 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.

37TORONTO -38 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 3-13 ATS (-10.1 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

47BUFFALO -48 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 41-30 ATS (10.7 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

49NY RANGERS -50 NEW JERSEY
NY RANGERS are 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.


-------------------------------------

NHL

Thursday, March 4


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Trend Report
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Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

Winnipeg @ Montreal
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games

NY Rangers @ New Jersey
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Buffalo @ NY Islanders
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Tampa Bay @ Chicago
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Florida @ Nashville
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Florida
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Columbus @ Dallas
Columbus
Columbus is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
Columbus is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Columbus

Ottawa @ Calgary
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Toronto @ Vancouver
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto


--------------------------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 4


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PHILADELPHIA (11-5-0-3, 25 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (12-8-0-1, 25 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-42 ATS (+16.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 94-95 ATS (+210.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

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DETROIT (7-15-0-3, 17 pts.) at CAROLINA (15-6-0-1, 31 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-72 ATS (+148.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-25 ATS (+52.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-326 ATS (-115.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 10-37 ATS (+76.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-42 ATS (+82.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-59 ATS (+126.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 109-131 ATS (-64.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 55-29 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 54-63 ATS (-37.7 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 223-188 ATS (-58.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-5 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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WINNIPEG (14-7-0-1, 29 pts.) at MONTREAL (10-6-0-5, 25 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 52-45 ATS (-1.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 17-6 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 46-56 ATS (-33.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 19-26 ATS (-18.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 18-26 ATS (-14.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 155-159 ATS (-70.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
MONTREAL is 8-16 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-3-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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FLORIDA (13-4-0-4, 30 pts.) at NASHVILLE (10-12-0-0, 20 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 122-178 ATS (+301.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 185-182 ATS (+406.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 46-49 ATS (-27.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 8-14 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (14-4-0-1, 29 pts.) at CHICAGO (12-7-0-4, 28 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 13-17 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 20-13 ATS (+36.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 137-63 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-12 ATS (+14.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-10 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-1 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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COLUMBUS (9-10-0-5, 23 pts.) at DALLAS (6-6-0-4, 16 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 13-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 274-183 ATS (+41.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 244-170 ATS (+28.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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OTTAWA (8-16-0-1, 17 pts.) at CALGARY (10-11-0-2, 22 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 4-19 ATS (+35.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-27 ATS (-19.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-4 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (18-4-0-2, 38 pts.) at VANCOUVER (9-15-0-2, 20 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-11 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 82-119 ATS (-61.7 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
TORONTO is 52-42 ATS (-27.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 152-156 ATS (-76.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-1 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (6-11-0-3, 15 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (12-6-0-4, 28 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-1 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)

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NY RANGERS (8-9-0-3, 19 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (7-9-0-2, 16 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 18-14 ATS (+37.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 2-9 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 5-5 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 5-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.0 Units)

-----------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, March 4


attachment.php
 

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THURSDAY, MARCH 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT +105...............4 - 3......LOSER
O 6.0................WINNER


NYR at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ +100.................PPD
U 5.5


WIN at MON 07:00 PM
MON -155.............4 - 3
O 5.5................WINNER

DET at CAR 07:00 PM
DET +240............2 - 5....LOSER
O 5.5................WINNER


BUF at NYI 07:00 PM
NYI -185............2 - 5
U 5.0..................LOSER

TB at CHI 08:00 PM
TB -220............3 - 2
O 5.5............LOSER

FLA at NAS 08:00 PM
FLA -140..............5 - 4
U 5.5..............LOSER

CLB at DAL 08:30 PM
CLB +120............3 - 2.......WINNER
U 5.5.........................WINNER


OTT at CAL 09:00 PM
OTT +165.............3 - 7....LOSER
O 6.0..................WINNER


TOR at VAN 10:00 PM
TOR -160............1 - 3
U 6.5................WINNER



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75

TOTALS........................20 - 21.......48.78%.............- 3.50


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25
 
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Friday?s 6-pack
Six most experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)

6) UMBC (14-5)
5) Texas Southern (12-8)
4) Georgia Tech (14-8)
3) North Carolina Central (5-8)
2) Nicholls State (17-6)
1) Cal-Bakersfield (15-10)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 519,867
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?He?s like Luka Doncic, but a center. He passes like a point guard, can shoot off the leg like Dirk [Nowitzki]. He?s a point guard.?
Western Conference assistant coach, talking about Nikola Jokic

Friday?s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and who else?

Thursday?s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A?s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)

Wednesday?s quiz
Paul Westhead was coach of the Lakers when they won the NBA title in 1980, Magic Johnson?s rookie year.

************************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here??.

13) Creighton suspended basketball coach Greg McDermott for Sunday?s regular season finale, after he used racially insensitive language in a postgame talk at Xavier last weekend.

According to a story on the Interweb, McDermott said this: ?Guys, we got to stick together. We need both feet in. I need everybody to stay on the plantation. I can?t have anybody leave the plantation.? Ummmm??not an outstanding choice of words.

When a head coach gets suspended for Senior Day, it is conceivable that McDermott won?t be back in Omaha next season. Imagine him recruiting on the heels of this?

12) Multimedia sports brand Overtime will be starting a professional basketball league that will offer high school basketball players an alternative to college in preparation for the NBA.

Overtime Elite will begin in September 2021 and will feature 30 of the nation?s top prospects from ages 16-18. The athletes will be given a guaranteed minimum salary of $100,000, in addition to bonuses and equity in the league.

Players will also have access to healthcare and disability benefits. If an Overtime Elite athlete chooses not to pursue an NBA career, the league will pay them up to $100,000 to go towards college tuition, that?s assuming they graduated high school.

Carmelo Anthony is on Overtime Elite?s board of directors.

11) 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger will be the Steelers? QB again next fall, after agreeing to a deal with the team? it is assumed he took a large pay cut to remain a Steeler.

10) Baylor 81, Oklahoma State 70? Bears held OSU star Cade Cunningham to four points in first half, then survived Cunningham?s 20-point explosion in the second half. Cowboys lost despite shooting 63.6% inside the arc.

Baylor is 20-1 after beating West Virginia/Oklahoma State within 48 hours, which kind of sounds like an NCAA Tournament weekend.

9) Kansas 67, Texas-El Paso 62:
? This was supposed to be a glorified workout for the Jayhawks, but they trailed 34-20 at the half, 48-33 with 13:46 left to play.
? UTEP is 12-11, 8-8 in Conference USA; they?re ranked #135.

8) Texas 69, Oklahoma 65? Sooners were on an 8-1 roll in this strangest of seasons, then they lost their last four games, likely putting them in a play-in game at the Big X tourney next week.

7) Vanderbilt 78, Cincinnati 64? This score doesn?t bode well for the AAC; Cincy had won six of its last eight games, then gets whacked at home by an SEC doormat. Memphis/SMU are near or on the NCAA bubble; they had to cringe when they saw this score.

6) Stetson 73, Bellarmine 70? Upset in the A-Sun: Bellarmine went 10-3 in the Atlantic Sun this year, their first season in Division I, but they got upset here by the gritty Hatters, who had lost to Bellarmine twice during the season.

5) New Orleans Saints cut Thomas Morstead, their punter for the last 12 years.

4) OF Jackie Bradley Jr signed a 2-year, $24M contract with Milwaukee.

3) Arizona OF Kole Calhoun hurt his knee, is out for six weeks.

2) Since 2015, Astros? C Martin Maldonado has thrown out 37.7% of runners trying to steal a base, the best %age of any catcher with 200+ attempts against him in that timespan.

1) Wizards 119, Clippers 117? Good coaching job by Scott Brooks; Wizards are 8-3 in their last 11 games, after starting the season 6-17. They?re within two games of the #8-seed in the East.
 

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61WASHINGTON -62 BOSTON
BOSTON is 158-138 ATS (-74.4 Units) in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.

63TAMPA BAY -64 CHICAGO
TAMPA BAY is 41-18 ATS (15 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

65MINNESOTA -66 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS (9.8 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

67ST LOUIS -68 LOS ANGELES
ST LOUIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 straight close wins by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.

69ANAHEIM -70 COLORADO
ANAHEIM is 31-64 ATS (-39.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

71VEGAS -72 SAN JOSE
VEGAS are 28-29 ATS (-24 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the last 2 seasons.


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NHL

Friday, March 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Boston
Washington
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Boston's last 23 games when playing at home against Washington

Tampa Bay @ Chicago
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Chicago is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games at home

Minnesota @ Arizona
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

Anaheim @ Colorado
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

St. Louis @ Los Angeles
St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Los Angeles is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Vegas @ San Jose
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games


-------------------------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, March 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (13-5-0-4, 30 pts.) at BOSTON (12-5-0-3, 27 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 136-89 ATS (+26.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 215-254 ATS (+546.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 40-46 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 149-145 ATS (-79.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (15-4-0-1, 31 pts.) at CHICAGO (12-7-0-5, 29 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 15-9 ATS (+25.5 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 138-63 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 38-12 ATS (+15.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-1 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (12-7-0-1, 25 pts.) at ARIZONA (10-9-0-3, 23 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 15-29 ATS (+44.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-2 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (13-8-0-2, 28 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (9-8-0-4, 22 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 211-203 ATS (+429.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
LOS ANGELES is 180-187 ATS (-18.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ANAHEIM (6-12-0-5, 17 pts.) at COLORADO (12-7-0-1, 25 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 100-96 ATS (-93.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 5-3 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 5-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VEGAS (14-4-0-1, 29 pts.) at SAN JOSE (8-10-0-2, 18 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 181-150 ATS (-72.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 199-172 ATS (-91.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 9-7 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 9-7-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

-----------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Friday, March 5


attachment.php
 

Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, MARCH 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WAS at BOS 07:00 PM
WAS +110...........1 - 5......LOSER
U 6.0..................PUSH


TB at CHI 08:00 PM
TB -185...........3 - 4
O 6.0..............WINNER

ANA at COL 09:00 PM
ANA +210............2 - 3....LOSER
O 5.5.............LOSER


STL at LA 09:00 PM
LA +110...........3 - 2.........LOSER
U 5.5...........WINNER


MIN at ARI 09:00 PM
MIN -140..........5 - 1
O 5.5................WINNER

VEG at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +180............5 - 4,,,,,LOSER
O 6.0................WINNER




CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75

TOTALS........................24 - 26.......48.00%.............- 5.50


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 
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Cnotes53

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Saturday?s 6-pack
Six least experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)

342) Kennesaw State (5-19)
343) Presbyterian (7-15)
344) Duke (11-10)
345) Stetson (11-14)
346) Auburn (12-14)
347) Alabama A&M (6-8)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?It?s about the money. And when they say it?s not about the money, then it is definitely about the money.?
Former Giants? GM George Young

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, which Hall of Fame outfielder makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins? season?

Friday?s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and the Phillies.

Thursday?s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A?s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)

*********************

Saturday?s Den: NBA trends at the halfway point??.

Atlanta:
? Won both their games since changing coaches.
? 1-4-1 ATS in last six road games.
? 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
? Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

Boston:
? Won their last four games (2-2 ATS), all at home.
? 0-6 SU/ATS in last six road games.
? 3-4 ATS if they played the night before.
? Five of last six home games went over.

Brooklyn:
? Won/covered 10 of last 11 games.
? Won/covered last seven home games.
? 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
? Over is 13-3 in their last sixteen road games.

Charlotte:
? 7-5 SU in their last dozen games.
? 9-5 ATS in their last 14 road games.
? 5-3 ATS if they played the night before.
? Over is 12-1 in their last 13 road games.

Chicago:
? Won six of their last nine games.
? 10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
? 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
? Over is 8-4 in their last dozen road games.

Cleveland:
? Won four of their last five games (5-0 ATS)
? 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
? 8-6 ATS in their last 14 home games.
? Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

Dallas:
? Won nine of their last 11 games.
? 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
? 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
? Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Denver:
? Won/covered their last four games.
? 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
? 9-6 ATS in their last fifteen road games.
? Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.

Detroit:
? Lost seven of their last nine games.
? 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
? 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
? Last three road games went over the total.

Golden State:
? Lost last three games, by 26-2-22 points.
? 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
? 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.
? Last six road games stayed under the total.

Houston:
? Lost their last thirteen games (1-12 ATS)
? 1-7 ATS as a home underdog.
? 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Under is 11-2-1 in their home games.

Indiana:
? Lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS)
? 6-12 ATS at home.
? 4-2-1 ATS if they played night before.
? Over is 5-0-1 in their last six road games.

LA Clippers:
? Lost four of last five games, all on the road.
? 7-5 ATS in last dozen home games.
? 6-0 ATS if they played the night before.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

LA Lakers:
? Lost six of their last eight games.
? 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
? 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
? Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Memphis:
? 8-5 SU in their last thirteen games.
? 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
? 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
? Last eight games stayed under the total.
 

Cnotes53

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1BUFFALO -2 NY ISLANDERS
BUFFALO is 1-9 ATS (-8.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

3NY RANGERS -4 NEW JERSEY
NY RANGERS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

5PHILADELPHIA -6 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

7FLORIDA -8 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 5-14 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons.

9WINNIPEG -10 MONTREAL
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the current season.

11TORONTO -12 VANCOUVER
TORONTO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

13MINNESOTA -14 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS (9.8 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

15ANAHEIM -16 COLORADO
ANAHEIM is 1-10 ATS (-11.1 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

15ANAHEIM -16 COLORADO
DALLAS EAKINS is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against (Coach of ANAHEIM)

17COLUMBUS -18 DALLAS
DALLAS are 468-355 ATS (77.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses since 1996.


--------------------------------


NHL

Saturday, March 6


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ New Jersey
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
NY Rangers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Buffalo @ NY Islanders
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Florida @ Nashville
Florida
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Florida

Minnesota @ Arizona
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games

Winnipeg @ Montreal
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Montreal's last 14 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home

Toronto @ Vancouver
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Vancouver's last 11 games when playing Toronto

Anaheim @ Colorado
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Anaheim

Columbus @ Dallas
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus

St. Louis @ Los Angeles
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games

Calgary @ Edmonton
Calgary
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

Vegas @ San Jose
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games


--------------------------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 6


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (6-12-0-3, 15 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (13-6-0-4, 30 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 113-90 ATS (+230.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 8-1 (+7.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 8-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (9-9-0-3, 21 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (7-10-0-2, 16 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 18-15 ATS (+38.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 158-149 ATS (+320.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 5-12 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 2-10 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 6-5-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (12-5-0-3, 27 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (12-9-0-1, 25 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-42 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 95-95 ATS (+211.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-4 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (14-4-0-4, 32 pts.) at NASHVILLE (10-13-0-0, 20 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 185-183 ATS (+407.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 26-13 ATS (+11.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 46-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 18-21 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 1-6 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 8-15 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 11-15 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 5-2 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 5-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (15-7-0-1, 31 pts.) at MONTREAL (10-6-0-6, 26 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 15-8 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 15-8 ATS (+6.3 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-7 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-6 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 46-57 ATS (-34.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 19-27 ATS (-20.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 18-27 ATS (-16.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-13 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 15-25 ATS (-11.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-3 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (18-5-0-2, 38 pts.) at VANCOUVER (10-15-0-2, 22 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 7-13 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 153-156 ATS (-74.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (13-7-0-1, 27 pts.) at ARIZONA (10-10-0-3, 23 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 18-9 ATS (+28.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
ARIZONA is 3-10 ATS (+13.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-7.4 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-30 ATS (+45.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ANAHEIM (6-12-0-6, 18 pts.) at COLORADO (13-7-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 314-259 ATS (+29.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
COLORADO is 101-96 ATS (-92.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 5-4 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 5-4-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLUMBUS (10-10-0-5, 25 pts.) at DALLAS (6-7-0-4, 16 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 5-11 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a division game this season.
DALLAS is 1-6 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-1 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 5-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (14-8-0-2, 30 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (9-8-0-5, 23 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 212-203 ATS (+430.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
LOS ANGELES is 180-188 ATS (-19.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-5 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (11-11-0-2, 24 pts.) at EDMONTON (14-11-0-0, 28 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 20-27 ATS (-19.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-17 ATS (-15.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 23-12 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 16-23 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 209-207 ATS (-1.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 91-106 ATS (-79.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-5-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VEGAS (15-4-0-1, 31 pts.) at SAN JOSE (8-10-0-3, 19 pts.) - 3/6/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 181-151 ATS (-58.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 199-173 ATS (-92.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 10-7 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 10-7-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-1.7 Units)

-----------------------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 6


attachment.php
 

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, MARCH 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at PIT 01:00 PM
PHI -110.............3 - 4
O 6.0...................WINNER

NYR at NJ 01:00 PM
NYR -110..........6 - 3
U 5.5...................LOSER

BUF at NYI 01:00 PM
BUF +190.........2 - 5......LOSER
O 5.5........................WINNER


FLA at NAS 02:00 PM
NAS +125.............6 - 2....LOSER
O 5.5......................WINNER


WIN at MON 07:00 PM
WIN +115.............1 - 7
O 5.5.............................WINNER


MIN at ARI 07:00 PM
MIN -140................2 - 5
U 5.5......................LOSER

TOR at VAN 07:00 PM
TOR -185................2 - 4
O 6.5...................LOSER

ANA at COL 08:00 PM
ANA +180............5 - 4......WINNER
U 5.5.....................LOSER


CLB at DAL 08:00 PM
DAL -135............0 - 5
U 5.0.....................PUSH

STL at LA 09:00 PM
STL -140...........3 - 4
U 5.5...............LOSER

CAL at EDM 10:00 PM
EDM -115...........2 - 3
O 6.5..................LOSER

VEG at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +180...........4 - 0....LOSER
O 6.0..................LOSER




CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR., 06,2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75

TOTALS........................29 - 36.......44.61%.............- 26.50


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25
 
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Sunday?s 6-pack
Six best college basketball teams, at 2-point FG% (W-L record)


41.2%? Saint Peter?s (13-10)
41.7%? Michigan (19-2)
42.1%? USC (21-6)
42.4%? Jackson State (11-5)
42.6%? Houston (20-3)
42.9%? Cal-Irvine (16-8)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?There are no ongoing discussions. The (NBA?s) logo is iconic. ? It doesn?t feel to me that this is the appropriate moment (to change it).?
NBA commish Adam Silver

Sunday?s quiz
What actor who was a star in Animal House also played the Vice President in the old TV series, The West Wing?

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, Ken Griffey Jr makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins? season.

Friday?s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and the Phillies.

************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) OVC tournament: Morehead State 86, Belmont 71
This game started at 8:00pm ET; these players had their COVID tests at 8:30 or 9:30am, 11 or so hours before the game, then had shootarounds, then went back to their hotels for the rest of the day. Not the ideal way to prepare for the biggest game of the year.

Last six years, Belmont is 91-15 regular season OVC games; they?ve only won the OVC tourney once in those six seasons, going 6-5 in OVC tournament games.

Morehead State is in the NCAA?s for the first time in ten years.

12) Tough day for #1-seeds in low/mid major tournaments: Texas State, Wagner, Navy, UMBC all got beat Saturday. Play-in games in Dayton in 10 days are going to have some odd teams playing. NCAA Tournament is more fun when higher seeds win the smaller leagues.

11) Oklahoma State 85, West Virginia 80:
? Cowboys won even though their star player (Cunningham) didn?t play (ankle).
? Oklahoma State won six of its last seven games.
? ESPN?s Fran Fraschilla may be campaigning to be the agent for OSU coach Mike Boynton; the last couple times he worked Cowboy games, he made Boynton sound like a combination of Dean Smith/John Wooden.
? Seeing how Boynton hired Cunningham?s brother as an assistant coach, paying him a reported $200,000/year, comparing him to Larry Brown would be more accurate.
? 30+ years ago, Kansas hired Danny Manning?s dad as an assistant coach; couple years later, Brown?s Jayhawks won the national title, led by Danny Manning. It is legal, and it happens a decent amount, but it doesn?t make you Dean Smith.

10) St John?s 81, Seton Hall 71:
? Pirates led this game, 18-0. Eighteen to nothing.
? Seton Hall lost its last four games (hello NIT??)
? St John?s won nine of its last 12 games.

9) Purdue 67, Indiana 58? Boilermakers have beaten Indiana nine times in a row; Archie Miller?s seat keeps getting hotter.

People on social media scoffed at me (imagine that???) for suggesting that Steve Alford would be a good coach for Indiana. He obviously played there; he?s been a good coach at five other D-I schools. He?d energize the fanbase, then all he?d have to do is win. A lot.

8) Notre Dame 83, Florida State 73? This score clinches the ACC regular season title for Virginia. Couple weeks ago, I was prepared to declare the Seminoles as my dark horse choice to win the national title, now I?m queasy. Florida State doesn?t have a star, that one guy who is a 100% cinch to get a basket/free throws, anytime they need one.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Morehead State (+7) 86, Belmont 71
? Oklahoma State (+7) 85, West Virginia 80
? Appalachian State (+5) 76, Texas State 73, OT
? UAB (+4.5) 65, North Texas 61
? Providence (+4) 54, Villanova 52

6) MVC tournament:
? Loyola 65, Indiana State 49? Ramblers won 16 of their last 17 games.
? Drake 71, Missouri State 69? Drake is down two starters to injury; they split a pair of games with Loyola three weeks ago. Bulldogs didn?t have to play Friday because Northern Iowa had COVID issues, and that helped them in this difficult game against Missouri State.

5) Southern Conference tournament:
? #2/#3-seeds both got upset Saturday, leaving NC-Greensboro a clear path to their 2nd NCAA bid over the last 20 years.
? Either VMI/Mercer is going to be in the SoCon final; neither finished over .500 in conference games during the regular season.

4) Summit League tournament:
? South Dakota State 84, Omaha 71?
? South Dakota 86, Western Illinois 69? Finally, a league where the better teams win.

3) Sun Belt tournament:
? Appalachian State 76, Texas State 73 OT? Last September, Texas State fired Danny Kaspar, because of he was accused of using racially insensitive language toward his players. Kaspar had been at Texas State for seven years, going 45-22 the last two years.

This season, assistant Terrence Johnson led the Bobcats to an 18-7 record, 12-3 and top seed in the Sun Belt, but they stumbled in this game and now appear headed to the NIT.

2) WCC tournament:
? Saint Mary?s 52, LMU 47? James Naismith was turning over in his grave during this game; not a very good exhibition of offense.
? Pepperdine 78, Santa Clara 70? Waves play BYU Monday night; WCC smartly takes Sunday off, but mostly it is because BYU isn?t allowed to play games on Sundays.

1) America East tournament:
? UMBC/Vermont tied for the regular season title; they both lost Saturday, leaving Hartford and Mass-Lowell to play for the conference title next Saturday. Hartford is ranked #199, Lowell #217; winner will obviously go to Dayton for a play-in game. This is only second time in last six years the regular season champ didn?t win the conference tournament.
 

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25BUFFALO -26 NY ISLANDERS
BUFFALO is 1-10 ATS (-9.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

27TAMPA BAY -28 CHICAGO
TAMPA BAY is 42-19 ATS (14.1 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

29FLORIDA -30 CAROLINA
FLORIDA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite in the current season.

31NEW JERSEY -32 BOSTON
NEW JERSEY is 13-10 ATS (11.5 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

33WASHINGTON -34 PHILADELPHIA
ALAIN VIGNEAULT is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)

33WASHINGTON -34 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 19-4 ATS (13.4 Units) in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

35NY RANGERS -36 PITTSBURGH
NY RANGERS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

37NASHVILLE -38 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-10 ATS (-10.4 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

39OTTAWA -40 CALGARY
OTTAWA is 0-9 ATS (-9 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.


------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, March 7


attachment.php



----------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 7


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (6-13-0-3, 15 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (14-6-0-4, 32 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-21 ATS (+37.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-23 ATS (+36.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 114-90 ATS (+230.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 20-6 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 9-2 ATS (+6.5 Units) in home games after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-1 (+8.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (15-4-0-2, 32 pts.) at CHICAGO (13-7-0-5, 31 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 20-14 ATS (+36.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 138-64 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 38-13 ATS (+13.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (15-4-0-4, 34 pts.) at CAROLINA (16-6-0-1, 33 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 56-29 ATS (+16.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 134-141 ATS (+310.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
FLORIDA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 7-2 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 7-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW JERSEY (7-11-0-2, 16 pts.) at BOSTON (13-5-0-3, 29 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 12-8 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 11-8 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-46 ATS (-33.0 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 150-145 ATS (-78.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 241-184 ATS (-72.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 4-5 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (13-6-0-4, 30 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (12-6-0-3, 27 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-43 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-8 ATS (+13.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-21 ATS (+54.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-12 ATS (+7.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 144-121 ATS (+283.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 107-95 ATS (+211.4 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 136-90 ATS (+25.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-5 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (10-9-0-3, 23 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (13-9-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 103-119 ATS (-52.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 ATS (+6.6 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
NY RANGERS are 159-149 ATS (+320.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (10-14-0-0, 20 pts.) at DALLAS (7-7-0-4, 18 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 46-51 ATS (-27.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 16-25 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 3-9 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 139-139 ATS (+300.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 10-7 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 10-7-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (8-17-0-1, 17 pts.) at CALGARY (11-12-0-2, 24 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 3-16 ATS (+27.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 20-28 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-3 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

-----------------------------------


NHL

Sunday, March 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Buffalo @ NY Islanders
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Tampa Bay @ Chicago
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games at home

Florida @ Carolina
Florida
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

New Jersey @ Boston
New Jersey
New Jersey is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Boston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

NY Rangers @ Pittsburgh
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Pittsburgh is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

Nashville @ Dallas
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Nashville's last 13 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville

Ottawa @ Calgary
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa


---------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, MARCH 7
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


BUF at NYI 12:00 PM
NYI -225..............2 - 5
U 5.5............LOSER

TB at CHI 02:30 PM
CHI +175.........6 - 3.....LOSER
O 5.5...................WINNER


NJ at BOS 05:00 PM
NJ +215................1 - 0....WINNER
U 5.5..........................WINNER


FLA at CAR 05:00 PM
CAR -140...........2 - 4
U 6.0.....................PUSH

WAS at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI -105..........3 - 1
O 6.0..................LOSER

NYR at PIT 07:30 PM
NYR +125............1 - 5....LOSER
O 6.0....................PUSH


NAS at DAL 08:00 PM
DAL -160.........4 - 3
U 5.5..........................LOSER

OTT at CAL 09:30 PM
CAL -170.........4 - 3
O 6.0......................WINNER



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75

TOTALS........................33 - 41.......44.59%.............- 28.25


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25
 
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Monday?s 6-pack
Six best college basketball teams, at 2-point FG% offense (W-L record)


64.4%? Gonzaga (24-0)
60.8%?Furman (16-9)
59.4%?Belmont (26-4)
58.0%? Loyola, Chi (24-4)
57.6%? Weber State (17-5)
57.4%? Colorado State (17-5)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Fact of the Day
This is the first time since 1996 where no ACC team is ranked in the nation?s top 10, heading into the ACC tournament. Only 5th time it has ever happened.

Monday?s quiz
What was the name of the domed stadium where the Mariners/Seahawks used to play?

Sunday?s quiz
Tim Matheson was a star in Animal House and also played Vice President Hoynes in the old TV series, The West Wing.

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, Ken Griffey Jr makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins? season.

*****************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend??

13) An underrated aspect of this college basketball season is that EVERY SENIOR in the country can come back and play in college again next season. The better seniors will take their talents and try to make money playing pro ball, but that?s just the tip of the iceberg. Will be curious to see what I think will be a huge amount of player movement this spring/summer.

12) Liberty 79, North Alabama 75? Liberty won the Atlantic Sun title here; they had already clinched the league?s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, because North Alabama just moved to D-I and isn?t eligible yet to play in March Madness.

Liberty has been in the A-Sun three years; they?ve won the league title all three years.

11) Michigan State 70, Michigan 64? This win makes the next week a little easier for fans, players and coaches in East Lansing. Would appear that this win gets the Spartans into the field of 68, but the more they do this coming week the better- playing Maryland Thursday afternoon in the Big 14 tournament is next on Michigan State?s calendar.

10) NCAA Tournament, like everything else, will be different this year; the second weekend of the tournament, usually Thursday-Sunday, will now be Saturday-Tuesday, with the regional finals being played Monday/Tuesday night, March 29-30.

9) USC 64, UCLA 63? Trojans swept their crosstown rivals this year; they?ll be the #2-seed in the Pac-12 tournament. UCLA lost its last three games and is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after a 12-2 start.

8) From 2006-08, under coach Ben Howland, UCLA made the Final Four three years in a row, going 97-17 those three years, but five years later, Howland got fired after a 25-10 season, saying his style of play wasn?t exciting enough. When a team wins seven national titles in a row, like UCLA did under John Wooden, the fanbase has unrealistic expectations.

In those three Final Four years, UCLA ranked #298-251-209 in tempo, but they went 97-17, so no one said anything. Howland?s last year, the 25-10 season, they were #35 in tempo, but they lost in the first round of the NCAA?s, and a change was made. They played faster, like people wanted, but they didn?t make the Final Four.. Some people are never happy.

7) My point is this: Mick Cronin is now UCLA?s coach; he is 36-20 at UCLA, 25-12 in Pac-12 games, solid numbers. But this is a fanbase who didn?t like Ben Howland?s style; here are the tempos that Mick Cronin?s teams have played the last eight years:

2021: #333 17-8 record (13-6 Pac-12)
2020: #325 19-12, 12-6 (no NCAAs)
2019: #338 28-7, 14-4 AAC (0-1 NCAA)
2018: $330 31-5, 16-2 (1-1)
2017: #330 30-6, 16-2 (1-1)
2016: #333 22-11, 12-6 (0-1)
2015: #339 23-11, 13-5 (1-1)
2014: #328 27-7, 15-3 (1-1)

Cronin went 6-9 in NCAA tourney games at Cincinnati, made one Sweet 16. At this time next year, the UCLA fanbase is going to start mumbling, if they aren?t already. Cronin wins a lot, his teams defend well, but fact of the matter is, he is no Ben Howland.

6) St Bonaventure-VCU are going to play in the A-14 championship game, but that game isn?t until Sunday in Dayton. Both teams are expected to make the NCAA Tournament, which will be held entirely in Indiana, and Dayton is close to Indiana, so the teams can get on a bus and go right from Dayton to their hotel where they?ll hunker down for the NCAA Tournament.

5) Florida basketball coach Mike White played college basketball at Ole Miss, where his roommate was teammate Keith Carter, who is now the athletic director at Ole Miss. Athletic director is a nice way of saying ?lead fundraiser?; Carter raised a record $45.6M in cash contributions for the Rebels, in 2015-16.

Couple of very successful friends there; you wonder how many college roommates are both making six-figure salaries these days (White makes seven figures).

4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit Foxboro next season, which obviously is Tom Brady going back home to face his former employers. Would love to see the backroom negotiating with the TV networks who want to televise that game; it won?t be in Week 1- the Super Bowl champ opens the next season at home. But you know NBC/ESPN/FOX all want that game.

3) Speaking of which, apparently the NFL schedule will be released in May this year, a little later than usual. Schedule usually comes out before the draft, but with the COVID situation still developing, it makes sense to release the schedule a little later.

2) 31-year old Blake Griffin signed on with the Brooklyn Nets, after accepting a buyout from Detroit; Griffin has already earned $255M in his playing career and is due another $29.5M next year, so he is joining Brooklyn for the rest of this year, to try and win a championship.

1) Astros have injury issues in their pitching rotation; they signed Jake Odorizzi this weekend to a 2-year deal. Odorizzi has a 62-56 career record, was 15-7 for Minnesota in 2019- he started only four games LY, because of bruised ribs and a blister.
 

Cnotes53

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41VEGAS -42 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

43OTTAWA -44 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

45ARIZONA -46 COLORADO
ARIZONA is 15-9 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

47MONTREAL -48 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

49LOS ANGELES -50 ANAHEIM
LOS ANGELES are 34-29 ATS (2.1 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 8


attachment.php





NHL

Monday, March 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vegas @ Minnesota
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona

Ottawa @ Edmonton
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Ottawa is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games

St. Louis @ San Jose
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Los Angeles @ Anaheim
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles

Montreal @ Vancouver
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Montreal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games


-------------------------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, March 8


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VEGAS (16-4-0-1, 33 pts.) at MINNESOTA (13-8-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/8/2021, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 4-3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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OTTAWA (9-17-0-1, 19 pts.) at EDMONTON (15-11-0-0, 30 pts.) - 3/8/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 4-27 ATS (+57.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 13-10 ATS (+29.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 210-207 ATS (-62.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 92-106 ATS (-78.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-2 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

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ARIZONA (11-10-0-3, 25 pts.) at COLORADO (13-7-0-2, 28 pts.) - 3/8/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 16-30 ATS (+47.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-8 ATS (+10.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-9 ATS (+28.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 9-13 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 9-3 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 9-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (11-6-0-6, 28 pts.) at VANCOUVER (11-15-0-2, 24 pts.) - 3/8/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 47-57 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 20-27 ATS (-14.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 19-27 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 417-401 ATS (-44.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 7-2 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOS ANGELES (10-8-0-5, 25 pts.) at ANAHEIM (7-12-0-6, 20 pts.) - 3/8/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 10-5 ATS (+16.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 13-25 ATS (+44.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (14-8-0-3, 31 pts.) at SAN JOSE (8-11-0-3, 19 pts.) - 3/8/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 7-14 ATS (-9.7 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 61-67 ATS (+164.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 181-152 ATS (-75.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 199-174 ATS (-93.5 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 39-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 10-6 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 10-6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-1.4 Units)

-----------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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MONDAY, MARCH 8
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


VEG at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -105.............O - 2
U 5.5.........................WINNER

STL at SJ 09:00 PM
SJ +135...................2 - 3....WINNER
O 6.0....................LOSER


ARI at COL 09:00 PM
COL -180................3 - 2
U 5.5......................WINNER

OTT at EDM 09:00 PM
OTT +195..............2 - 3......LOSER
O 6.5.........................LOSER

MON at VAN 10:00 PM
VAN +125.........1 - 2.......WINNER
U 6.0.............................WINNER


LA at ANA 10:00 PM
ANA +110...............5 - 6.........WINNER
U 5.5..................LOSER




CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS........................39 - 45.......46.42%.............- 17.25


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Pac-12 tournament this week:
+150- USC
+200- Colorado
+350- Oregon
+400- UCLA
+2000- Stanford
+2500- Arizona State
+3300- Utah
+8000- Washington State
+10000- Oregon State
+20000- California, Washington

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: NBA trends at the halfway mark??.

Miami
? Won seven of last eight games SU.
? 5-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
? Last three games stayed under the total.

Milwaukee:
? Won six of last seven games SU.
? 10-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? 6-10 ATS as a road favorite.
? Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Minnesota:
? 0-5 SU/ATS since they changed coaches.
? Lost 13 of last 14 games SU, are 0-9 ATS in last nine.
? 6-9 ATS as a home underdog.
? Four of their last five games went over.

New Orleans:
? Lost three of their last four games SU.
? 2-8 ATS as a home favorite.
? 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
? 12 of their last 14 games went over.

New York
? Won eight of last ten games SU.
? 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? 7-5 ATS in last dozen road games.
? Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight road games.

Oklahoma City
? 4-6 SU in their last ten games.
? 5-10 ATS as a home underdog.
? 8-3 ATS in last eleven road games.
? Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Orlando
? Lost their last five games SU.
? 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
? 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
? Last four road games stayed under total.

Philadelphia
? Won six of their last eight games SU.
? 13-6 ATS at home.
? 0-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games.

Phoenix
? Won/covered 16 oof their last 19 games.
? 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
? Covered eight of last nine road games.
? Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Portland
? Won their last four games.
? 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
? 12-6 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Sacramento
? Lost 11 of their last 13 games SU/ATS.
? 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
? 9-7 ATS on the road this season.
? 11 of their last 12 games went over.

San Antonio
? Spurs split their last eight games SU.
? They?re 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
? Covered nine of their 13 road games.
? Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

Toronto
? Raptors lost four of their last five games.
? 6-10 ATS in Tampa, their temporary home.
? 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
? Last four Toronto games went over.

Utah
? Jazz finished with a 1-3 road trip, after a 21-2 run.
? Utah is 13-0-1 ATS in its last 14 home games.
? Covered only one of last five road tilts.
? Over is 9-3 in their last twelve games.

Washington
? Won eight of their last eleven games SU.
? Covered five of last six home games.
? Covered five of last six road games.
? Four of last five series games stayed under.
 

Cnotes53

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51NY RANGERS -52 PITTSBURGH
NY RANGERS are 20-10 ATS (17.3 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

53BUFFALO -54 PHILADELPHIA
BUFFALO is 1-11 ATS (-10.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

55NASHVILLE -56 CAROLINA
NASHVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.1 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

57NEW JERSEY -58 WASHINGTON
NEW JERSEY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

59BOSTON -60 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 7-0 ATS (7.2 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

61FLORIDA -62 COLUMBUS
FLORIDA is 19-5 ATS (11.3 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

63WINNIPEG -64 TORONTO
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (6.7 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

65TAMPA BAY -66 DETROIT
DETROIT is 5-36 ATS (-34.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

67CHICAGO -68 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.


----------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 9


attachment.php



---------------------------------


NHL

Tuesday, March 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ Pittsburgh
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Rangers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Nashville @ Carolina
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
Nashville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Nashville

Boston @ NY Islanders
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games when playing NY Islanders
Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Islanders is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Buffalo @ Philadelphia
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Buffalo is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo

New Jersey @ Washington
New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Jersey is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Florida @ Columbus
Florida
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Florida
Columbus is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Florida

Winnipeg @ Toronto
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Winnipeg is 18-4 ATS in its last 22 games
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg

Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Chicago @ Dallas
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago


-----------------------------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 9


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (10-10-0-3, 23 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (14-9-0-1, 29 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 10-2 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-2 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
NY RANGERS are 140-142 ATS (+307.3 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 28-30 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 7-3 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 7-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (6-14-0-3, 15 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (12-7-0-3, 27 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-17 ATS (+26.9 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 6-17 ATS (+26.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
BUFFALO is 6-22 ATS (+38.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-24 ATS (+37.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-44 ATS (+120.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (11-14-0-0, 22 pts.) at CAROLINA (17-6-0-1, 35 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 47-51 ATS (-26.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 1-9 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 1-9 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 57-29 ATS (+17.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 140-139 ATS (+301.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
CAROLINA is 224-188 ATS (-60.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 5-1 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW JERSEY (8-11-0-2, 18 pts.) at WASHINGTON (14-6-0-4, 32 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 137-90 ATS (+18.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 13-8 ATS (+26.4 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 118-110 ATS (+242.3 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-3 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (13-6-0-3, 29 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (15-6-0-4, 34 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 115-90 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 233-180 ATS (+47.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 236-259 ATS (+547.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-5 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (15-5-0-4, 34 pts.) at COLUMBUS (10-11-0-5, 25 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 27-13 ATS (+12.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 8-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-2 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 6-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (15-8-0-1, 31 pts.) at TORONTO (18-6-0-2, 38 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
WINNIPEG is 53-46 ATS (-1.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 19-14 ATS (+34.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WINNIPEG is 14-6 ATS (+7.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (16-4-0-2, 34 pts.) at DETROIT (7-16-0-3, 17 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 441-440 ATS (-131.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 139-64 ATS (+24.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 39-13 ATS (+14.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-10 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-73 ATS (-124.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-327 ATS (-239.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 10-38 ATS (+76.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-43 ATS (+81.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-60 ATS (+126.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 109-132 ATS (-60.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (13-8-0-5, 31 pts.) at DALLAS (7-7-0-5, 19 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 395-392 ATS (-143.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
DALLAS is 6-12 ATS (-8.5 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-3 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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TUESDAY, MARCH 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NYR at PIT 06:00 PM
PIT -165................2 - 4
O 6.0.......................PUSH

BOS at NYI 07:00 PM
NYI -110.................1 - 2
U 5.5.......................WINNER

FLA at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB +110...........4 - 2.......LOSER
O 5.5..........................WINNER


NAS at CAR 07:00 PM
CAR -220..........2 - 3
O 6.0................LOSER

BUF at PHI 07:00 PM
BUF +205..........4 - 5....LOSER
U 6.0...................LOSER

WIN at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -185............4 - 3
O 6.0...............WINNER

NJ at WAS 07:00 PM
NJ +170..........4 - 5....LOSER
U 6.0........................LOSER


TB at DET 07:30 PM
DET +275..........4 - 3.....LOSER
O 5.5..................WINNER


CHI at DAL 08:30 PM
CHI +115..........1 - 6.....LOSER
U 5.5......................LOSER




CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 09, 2021...............4 - 9.........30.76%............- 29.50
MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS........................43 - 54.......44.32%.............- 46.75


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25
 
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Cnotes53

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Big 14 tournament this week:
+150- Michigan
+350- Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State
+1000- Purdue
+1500- Wisconsin
+2500- Rutgers
+3500- Michigan State
+5000- Maryland, Minnesota
+6600- Indiana
+20000- Northwestern
+30000- Nebraska

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 525,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) Gonzaga 88, BYU 78:
? BYU led this game 53-41 at halftime.
? Gonzaga outscored BYU 18-5 on foul line.
? Gonzaga made 12-26 on arc, BYU 11-28.

One of the first questions I?ll be asking myself Sunday night, after the NCAA brackets come out, is whether Gonzaga has been tested enough this season. They haven?t won a game by single digits since December 2 vs West Virginia. The WCC isn?t as good as it usually is, and the Zags have breezed thru this season, while other leagues are way more competitive.

Baylor-Michigan-Illinois have had lot of tough games; it has to make you a better team.

12) Dallas Cowboys? QB Dak Prescott signed a 4-year, $160M deal, $123M guaranteed. By way of comparison, and without any editorial comment, here are some facts:

Prescott: 42-27 regular season record, 1-2 in playoffs
Jared Goff: 42-27 regular season record, 2-3 in playoffs, which doesn?t include his win in relief at Seattle in this year?s playoffs.

11) Interesting discussion on Mets? TV the other day about whether a team can improve a lot on defense, without changing the players who are in the field.

Was reminiscent of Troy Aikman saying on NFL broadcasts how quarterbacks cannot learn to become more accurate passers. Aikman believes that once you get to the NFL level, you are what you are, though Buffalo Bill fans would bring up Josh Allen and dispute that.

Bottom line is, Keith Hernandez/Ron Darling didn?t paint an optimistic picture of the Mets? defense for this season.

10) Last Friday, Troy State upset Texas-Arlington 91-86 in the Sun Belt tournament, which on the surface is no big deal, but there is an interesting back story.

From 2007-18, Scott Cross was Tex-Arlington?s coach; the last three years he was there, UTA went 72-33 overall, 37-15 in Sun Belt games. Damn good record, but they fired Cross because he didn?t win make the NCAA tournament? he made it once, in 2008, Cross? second year there.

Since they told Cross to take a hike, Tex-Arlington is 44-47 overall, 31-26 in Sun Belt games. Not exactly an upgrade.

I?m guessing when Troy State beat UTA last week, their coach took special satisfaction in the win, seeing how that coach was Scott Cross.

9) I watched Hoosiers for the 50th or so time the other day; watching the credits at the end, they thanked the governor of Indiana, who at the time was a guy named Robert Orr.

Bobby Orr was the governor of Indiana? I thought he was a Canadian!!! (Its a joke)

8) Miami Marlins used 61 players in 60 games last year, 37 of them pitchers; their spring training must be a mess this year, trying to whittle down those 61 guys down to a roster of 26 players. Don Mattingly did a great job in a weird season last year; choosing the right guys for a 162-game season is a much different dilemma.

7) Angels? broadcaster Jose Mota played one of the Detroit Tigers in the 1999 baseball movie, For Love of the Game, with Kevin Costner. Mota?s character makes a great play to preserve Billy Chapel?s perfect game; he and Mark Gubicza were talking about it on the Angels? broadcast the other night. Mota said it was an easier play to make, since he read the script and knew where the ball was going to be hit.

Looking at the Angels? website, they haven?t filled Victor Rojas? play-by-play slot yet; they should choose Mota. He and Gubicza have a good chemistry.

6) Last season, 12 major league umpires opted out of working, because of COVID; at least three of them are back this year. The Athletic did an interesting article, talking to Phil Cuzzi, Gerry Davis and Brian Gorman about coming back to work and sitting out last year.

Davis has umpired 4.957 major league games; only three umps have gotten to 5,000 games, so that?ll be a big deal when Davis gets to 5,000.

Umpire Brian Gorman?s late wife was a Los Angeles Times staff photographer and picture editor who was a two-time recipient of the Pulitzer Prize.

5) Today is Wednesday of Championship Week, and there are already 300+ names in the college basketball transfer portal. People who sell game programs are going to clean up next year. Guys who write Blue Ribbon Yearbook are going to get headaches. Lot of kids jumping from team-to-team.

4) Colorado Rockies? 1B CJ Cron is playing for his fifth team in the last five years; he started his career playing four years for the Angels, then went to Tampa Bay in 2018, Minnesota the next year, Detroit last year, and now Colorado.

He hit 55 homers in 2018-19; curious to see how many at-bats he gets this season.

3) NHL will be back on ESPN starting next season; curious to see if the league gets its own daily half-hour show, like the NBA has now. ESPN had forgotten about hockey since they last showed games in 2004. Good news for Steve Levy and Berry Melrose.

2) Turned on the TV when I woke up the other day, and all they?re talking about it is the royal family in England. I don?t give a rat?s ass about the royal family. Seriously, don?t want to hear one word about them, and I was an avid fan of Suits on USA Network, so I?m familiar with Meghan Markle?s work. She married a prince, good for her. Don?t want to hear about it.

Only Royals I care about are Whit Merrifield and Carlos Santana, Kansas City Royals.

1) I was fiddling around on the Interweb at 4am the other night when it dawned on me that in most years, this is my favorite two weeks of the whole year, conference tournaments this week, the NCAA?s next week. Watching basketball and eating pizza, good times.

The last year has seemed 10 years long; things are slowly getting better? several of my friends have gotten their vaccines and that?s a good thing. Watching basketball all week will also be a good thing? we didn?t get to do that last year. Getting back to normal will be the best thing.
 
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