Cnotes 2020 NHL Playoffs Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

[Cnotes53]

11TAMPA BAY -12 NY ISLANDERS
TAMPA BAY is 20-2 ATS (17.8 Units) after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (56-25-0-7, 119 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (48-28-0-13, 109 pts.) - 9/17/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 100-79 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 29-27 ATS (+63.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 118-56 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 33-16 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-3 ATS (+14.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-9 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 6-8 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 8-6-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL

Thursday, September 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
NY Islanders is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay


--------------------------------------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, September 17

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders

Game 11-12
September 17, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
13.879
NY Islanders
12.423
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-165
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-165); Over

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TB at NYI 08:00 PM
NYI +130
O 5.5
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/17/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/15/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -400 Detail
09/14/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +750 Detail
09/13/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -325 Detail
09/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1125 Detail
09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


TOTALS....19-18-1.......51.35%....+9.25

 

[Cnotes53]

21DALLAS -22 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 21-2 ATS (18.8 Units) after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, September 19

Dallas @ Tampa Bay

Game 21-22
September 19, 2020 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
12.544
Tampa Bay
13.836
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-160
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-160); Under




NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, September 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (50-32-0-8, 108 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (57-25-0-7, 121 pts.) - 9/19/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 119-56 ATS (+177.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 34-16 ATS (+34.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 22-9 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 12-1 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 13-8 ATS (+22.0 Units) when playing in a neutral arena this season.
DALLAS is 32-23 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 17-11 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 4-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL

Saturday, September 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Tampa Bay
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DAL at TB 07:30 PM

DAL +138

U 5.0

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/19/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +690 Detail
09/17/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/15/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -400 Detail
09/14/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +750 Detail
09/13/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -325 Detail
09/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1125 Detail
09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


TOTALS....20-18-2.......52.63%....+16.15

 

[Cnotes53]

23DALLAS -24 TAMPA BAY
DALLAS are 24-11 ATS (17.4 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, September 21

Dallas @ Tampa Bay

Game 23-24
September 21, 2020 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
14.367
Tampa Bay
12.013
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-150
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+130); Under




NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, September 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (51-32-0-8, 110 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (57-26-0-7, 121 pts.) - 9/21/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 39-54 ATS (-25.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 119-57 ATS (+179.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 61-26 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 13-2 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 273-260 ATS (+591.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 51-40 ATS (+4.1 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 14-8 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing in a neutral arena this season.
DALLAS is 10-5 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
DALLAS is 33-23 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 20-15 ATS (+36.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL

Monday, September 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Tampa Bay
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games when playing Dallas

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 21

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DAL at TB 08:00 PM

DAL +135

O 5.0

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/21/2020 0-1-1 25.00% -500 Detail
09/19/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +690 Detail
09/17/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/15/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -400 Detail
09/14/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +750 Detail
09/13/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -325 Detail
09/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1125 Detail
09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


TOTALS....20-19-3.......51.28%....+11.15

 

[Cnotes53]

25TAMPA BAY -26 DALLAS
DALLAS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 23

Tampa Bay @ Dallas

Game 25-26
September 23, 2020 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
12.602
Dallas
13.779
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-160
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+140); Under




NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (58-26-0-7, 123 pts.) vs. DALLAS (51-33-0-8, 110 pts.) - 9/23/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 51-41 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 14-9 ATS (+3.0 Units) when playing in a neutral arena this season.
DALLAS is 25-16 ATS (+8.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
DALLAS is 33-24 ATS (+5.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 20-16 ATS (+3.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 120-57 ATS (+21.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 62-26 ATS (+17.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-10 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 39-55 ATS (+110.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-3 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL

Wednesday, September 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


--------------------------------------------------------------


Stanley Cup Game 3 Odds - Stars vs. Lightning
Matt Blunt

Game 3 - Tampa Bay at Dallas

Playoffs: Stanley Cup Finals
Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2020
TV-Time: NBCSN, 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Rogers Place
Location: Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Under normal circumstances this would be a 1-1 series tie with Dallas going home and I think in any scenario it's still something I'd take being on the Stars for the series.

The only advantage here for Dallas is getting last change, and given that they are 1-2 SU in these playoffs in those initial games with the last change, it hasn't been all that advantageous for them.

Two outright losses and needing OT to knock off the Knights last round. Not exactly the best track record but the price makes up for it, and any underdog is always going to have some flaws.

But really, if I'm the Stars, I'm frustrated we dropped Game 2, but more because it was the same old mistake cropping up for them: one bad stretch of hockey ? a period or less ? that buries them. This time it was the 1st period that saw a undisciplined period turn into a 3-0 hole. They had that awful 1st period in Game 5 of that series with Colorado, an awful final eight minutes or so in Game 3 of that series too, and one bad 2nd period in their only loss to Vegas (Game 2) last round.

There was no sitting back being timid after that 1st period went awry for the Stars, and they looked the better team for the majority of the rest of that Game 2 loss to Tampa. You can't blame them for not putting complete 60-minute efforts together on a nightly basis, but had they not had some of those awful periods and ultimately flipped a few of those games in their favor, we'd be talking about one of the best all-time playoff runs by a team that there ever has been.

For whatever reason they let the 3rd period of Game 1 carry over to the beginning of Game 2 and paid the price for it. A lesson this team is all too familiar with in these playoffs.

Khudobin's already got part time residence in the opposition's head for how often he's stolen games for the Stars in these playoffs, and as long as the guys in front of them can piece together a full 60 minute effort, I still don't believe these prices are where they should be.

The Stars went 2-0 SU off a loss vs Calgary, 2-1 SU off a loss vs Colorado, and 1-0 SU off their loss to Vegas.

That's a 5-1 SU run in this role for a team that clearly understands how to make adjustments and work their perceived advantages from there. We saw it from the 1st intermission last game when the Stars to a 14-6 deficit in the shot department after 20 minutes and went 18-5 in shots the other way the following 20 minutes.

Dallas is a team that's just so tough to put away, and one you don't want to be trying to catch up on late. That's always going to be a great profile for any underdog in the line.

The Stars have been through tough results like that in those prior series to fully understand how to not let that bad 1st period in Game 2 spiral into a 2-1 series hole.

They find a way to grab yet another series lead as the prohibitive underdog.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 23

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TB at DAL 08:00 PM

TB -145

O 5.0

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/23/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/21/2020 0-1-1 25.00% -500 Detail
09/19/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +690 Detail
09/17/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/15/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -400 Detail
09/14/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +750 Detail
09/13/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -325 Detail
09/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1125 Detail
09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


TOTALS....22-19-3.......53.65%....+21.15

 

[Cnotes53]

27TAMPA BAY -28 DALLAS
DALLAS are 24-13 ATS (15.4 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Friday, September 25

Tampa Bay @ Dallas

Game 27-28
September 25, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
11.984
Dallas
12.896
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-155
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+135); Under




NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, September 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (59-26-0-7, 125 pts.) vs. DALLAS (51-34-0-8, 110 pts.) - 9/25/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 22-15 ATS (+4.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-11 ATS (+28.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
DALLAS is 273-180 ATS (+43.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 33-25 ATS (+4.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 18-13 ATS (+33.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 121-57 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 63-26 ATS (+18.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 24-10 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 39-56 ATS (-36.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-3 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL

Friday, September 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay


-----------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

Stanley Cup Game 4 Odds - Stars vs. Lightning
Matt Blunt

Game 4 - Tampa Bay at Dallas

Playoffs: Stanley Cup Finals
Date: Friday, September 25, 2020
TV-Time: NBC, 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Rogers Place
Location: Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Wasn't able to get there with the Stars in Game 3, as it was another case where one really bad frame (it was the 2nd period in Game 3) really did them in.

Dallas was outshot 21-4 in that middle frame, and a 2-1 deficit after one period ballooned into a 5-1 hole that they just weren't going to come back from. It's just the second time in these playoffs that the Stars have found themselves trailing in a series ? they were down 2-1 to Calgary in the first round as well ? and that Game 4 saw the Stars escape with a 5-4 OT victory.

Can the same type of magic happen again for Dallas? Or will Tampa put this thing away quickly now that Stamkos is back and he's already found his way to the scoresheet?

The score sheets may only look like Tampa's benefited from two very strong periods in this series, but for the most part in all three games they've controlled and dictated the play.

It's been impressive to say the least, seeing the Lightning come into the series as the prohibitive favorite and play like they deserved that chalk and praise through the majority of the first three games.

Seeing the Lightning play like that, and re-inserting Stamkos into things and not missing a beat in Game 3 has got me really hesitant to continue backing Dallas as strongly in this series, although I do still believe the Stars win at least one more game in this series.

But being in the position with Dallas futures already out there, any play on the side is going to be Dallas or nothing in general, but for Game 4 it looks to be best to stay on the sidelines there.

That being said, if the Stars are to say win Game 4, or even a Game 5 to stay alive, what is their best path to get there?

Should they sit back like they did in the final period of Game 1, just squatting on the lead they built? They tried sticking with that out of the gates in Game 2 and got blown out early.

Should they go out and battle guns blazing with the Lightning, trying to outscore them in higher scoring 4-3 or 5-4 type games like they did vs Colorado? That was the only other time Dallas lost twice in a row in these playoffs in that series (Games 5 and 6), and it was in the next game that the Stars came away with a 5-4 OT win. Not to mention that a 5-4 OT score was the exact result in that Calgary series when the Stars last trailed in a playoff series in the bubble.

All that being said, maybe outside of the ultra longshot in calling the exact result to be a 5-4 Dallas win in OT in Game 4 vs Tampa, I believe Dallas has to settle on taking the guns blazing route and do their best to match Tampa goal for goal.

The Lightning are probably a bit more sound defensively then Colorado was, and definitely have the better netminder, so it's not going to be easy for the Stars, but that's the way they've got to approach things. Believing they need at least 4 goals to win.

If they get four and Khudobin stands on his head for them great, but all that is a long winded way of saying the best bets on these games going forward is likely seeing the 'over' come in another time or two.

Dallas has no shot at trying to win three of four games in a low-scoring 2-1 or 3-1 fashion, and who knows, maybe Khudobin's magical run in these playoffs has finally hit a wall.

The Stars realize they've got to bury the chances they do come up with now, because Tampa's going to threaten at least three goals every night.

Not sure who ends up on top here, but the final score is at least 4-2 for one of them.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TB at DAL 08:00 PM

TB -158

O 5.0

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/25/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/23/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/21/2020 0-1-1 25.00% -500 Detail
09/19/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +690 Detail
09/17/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/15/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -400 Detail
09/14/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +750 Detail
09/13/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -325 Detail
09/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1125 Detail
09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


TOTALS....24-19-3.......55.81%....+31.15

 

[Cnotes53]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, September 26

Tampa Bay @ Dallas

Game 29-30
September 26, 2020 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
14.327
Dallas
12.053
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-155
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-155); Under




NHL

Saturday, September 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Tampa Bay
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Dallas

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 26

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DAL at TB 08:00 PM

TB -157

O 5.0

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/26/2020 0-1-1 25.00% -785 Detail
09/25/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/23/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/21/2020 0-1-1 25.00% -500 Detail
09/19/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +690 Detail
09/17/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/15/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -400 Detail
09/14/2020 1-0-1 75.00% +750 Detail
09/13/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -325 Detail
09/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1125 Detail
09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


TOTALS....24-20-4.......54.54%....+23.30

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Playoff matchup/odds:
Dodgers (-300) vs Brewers (+240)
Braves (-125) vs Reds (+105)
Cubs (-190) vs Marlins (+160)
Padres (-175) vs Cardinals (+145)

Rays (-210) vs Blue Jays (+170)
A?s (-135) vs White Sox (+110)
Twins (-120) vs Astros (+100)
Indians (+110) vs Yankees (-135)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 203,481
Please wear a mask when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

New England 36, Raiders 20
? Raiders lost three fumbles (-2 in TO?s) converted 3-9 on third down.
? Las Vegas has given up 32 ppg so far this season.
? Last three years, Raiders are 9-15 ATS as a road underdog.

? New England ran ball for 250 yards; Michel ran 9 times for 117 yards.
? Since 2013, Patriots are 17-8 ATS coming off a loss.
? Last 4+ years, New England is 26-13-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Buffalo 35, Rams 32
? Rams were down 28-3, rallied to take lead, but lost on a TD with 0:15 left.
? LA is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
? Rams have run ball for 153-191-167 yards, converting 22-39 on 3rd down.

? Buffalo?s first five drives: 36 plays, 251 yards, 28 points.
? Bills converted a 3rd-and-22 on the game-winning drive.
? Bills won first three games, scoring 27-31-35 points, gaining 1,303 yards.
? Buffalo?s coaches have done very well developing QB Allen?s skills.

Pittsburgh 28, Texans 21
? Texans in first half: six drives- three 3/outs. 3 touchdowns.
? Houston in 2nd half: 17 plays, 41 yards, 2 first downs, 0 points.
? Texans lost their first two games, giving up 34-33-28 points.

? Steelers won their first three games, scoring 26-26-28 points.
? Pitt outgained Houston 387-260, ran ball for 169 yards.
? Steelers? last seven drives of game: 60 plays, 349 yards, 21 first downs, 25 points.

49ers 36, NJ Giants 9
? 49ers sweep their New Jersey road trip, beating Jets/Giants in consecutive weeks.
? 49ers had eight drives; four TD?s, three FG?s, one missed FG.
? NFC West teams are 8-2 ATS outside their division this year.

? Giants lost their first three games, by 10-4-27 points.
? Giants have been outrushed 369-170 this season.
? Big Blue is 1-12 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog.

Titans 31, Minnesota 30
? Tennessee won its first three games, by total of six points.
? Gostkowski kicked six field goals; he made 54, 55-yard FG?s in final 6:31 for the win.
?Tannehill threw for 321 yards; no Titan caught more than five passes.

? Vikings lost their first three games, allowing 43-28-31 points.
? Minnesota lost field position by 14-15-11 yards; they?re minus-5 in turnovers.
? Last 4+ years, Vikings are 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Cleveland 34, Washington 20
? Washington trailed 17-0/20-0 in their two games; they trailed 17-7 at half here.
? Washington rallied to lead 20-17 after third quarter, was outscored 17-0 in 4th quarter.
? Redskins turned ball over four times, averaged only 5.2 yards/pass attempt.

? Cleveland?s first three drives: 25 plays, 85 yards, no points.
? Cleveland?s last nine drives: 52 plays, 229 yards, 34 points.
? Chubb ran 19 times for 108 yards, two TD?s.

Bengals 23, Philadelphia 23
? Bengals are 0-2-1; their games were decided by total of 8 points.
? Cincy allowed 545 rushing yards in their first three games.
? Last 3+ years, Bengals are 16-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.

? Eagles are 0-2-1 in first three games, were outscored 49-13 in 2nd half.
? Philly turned ball over eight times in three games, is -7 in turnovers.
? Eagles are 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.

Bears 30, Atlanta 26
? Chicago won its first three games, by four points each.
? Foles replaced Trubisky at QB in 3rd quarter, went 16-29 for 188 yards, three TD?s
? Bears? first 10 drives: 59 plays, 268 yards, 10 points.
? Bears? last three drives: 17 plays, 161 yards, 20 points.

? Atlanta led this game 26-10 with 7:00 left.
? Falcons lost 40-39 in Dallas LW, blowing 29-10 halftime lead- how many games like this do they have to lose before they fire the coach?
? Falcons are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Indianapolis 36, Jets 7
? Jets lost first three games, by 10-18-29 points- they were outscored 59-13 in first half.
? Jets? offense was outscored 16-7 by the Colts? defense in this game.
? Jets are 8-18-1 ATS in last 27 games as a road underdog.

? Colts outgained their first three opponents by an average of 384-228/game.
? Indy had a 16-yard advantage in starting field position, not counting the two pick-6?s.
? Colts are 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

Panthers 21, LA Chargers 16
? Carolina despite scoring only one TD- they kicked five field goals.
? Panthers won field position by 13 yards in this game; they were +4 in turnovers.
? Carolina is 4-0 against the Chargers in California.

? Chargers outgained Carolina 436-302, but turned ball over four times.
? LA lost its first two games at SoFi Stadium, by total of 8 points.
? Chargers are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Lions 26, Arizona 23
? Detroit was +3 in turnovers, won field position by 17 yards.
? NFL teams that were +2 or better or turnovers are 9-0 this week.
? Detroit is 2-0-1 in its last three visits to the desert.

? Arizona had only three plays of 20+ yards; they had 11 in first two games.
? Last 5+ years, Cardinals are 8-15 ATS as a home favorite.
? DeAndre Hopkins caught 10 balls for 137 yards, but no TD?s.

Buccaneers 28, Denver 10
? Tampa Bay held Denver to 226 yards, was +2 in turnovers.
? Buccaneers are 7-3-3 ATS in last 13 gamest AFC teams.
? Last 4+ years, Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.

? Denver lost its first three games, by 2-5-18 points.
? Backup QB Driskel got the start; he is now 1-8 as an NFL starter. 3rd-stringer Rypien replaced him, was 8-9 for 53 yards, with an INT.
? McManus did make a 56-yard field goal for the Broncos.

Seattle 38, Cowboys 31
? Dallas gave up 39-38 points in splitting its last two games.
? Cowboys threw ball for 461 yards, outgained Seattle by 110 yards, but turned ball over three times (-2)
? Dallas missed two PAT?s and a 2-point conversion.

? Seahawks won their first three games, scoring 38-35-38 points (15 TD?s/33 drives).
? Seattle has run 188 plays; only 29 of them have been on third down.
? Seahawks won four of last five series games,.

Packers 37, New Orleans 30
? Green Bay won its first three games, scoring 43-42-37 points (13 TD?s/27 drives)
? Packers scored on seven of nine drives in this game (4 TD?s, 3 FG?s)
? Lazard caught six passes for 146 yards, including a 72-yard TD.

? Kamara caught 13 passes for 138 yards, ran ball 12 times for 58 yards.
? Over is 3-0 in New Orleans games this season.
? Saints are 5-12 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.