Cnotes 2020 WNBA Season News,Trends,Picks !

[Cnotes53]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 20

Connecticut @ Las Vegas

Game 611-612
September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
113.902
Las Vegas
117.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 3 1/2
170
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 6 1/2
163 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+6 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Seattle

Game 613-614
September 20, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.228
Seattle
114.607
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 6 1/2
162 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+6 1/2); Under




WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (12 - 12) vs. LAS VEGAS (18 - 4) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 4-4 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 4-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (15 - 8) vs. SEATTLE (18 - 4) - 9/20/2020, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 8-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 8-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Sunday, September 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Connecticut @ Las Vegas
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Connecticut's last 9 games when playing Las Vegas
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Minnesota @ Seattle
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 20

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CONN at LV 01:00 PM
LV -6.0
O 163.5
+500 +500

MIN at SEA 03:00 PM
SEA -8.0
U 163.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

Totals......38-37-0........50.66%.....-8.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six interesting spreads for Week 3 NFL games:
? Miami @ Jacksonville (-3, 47.5)
? Las Vegas @ New England (-6.5, 47)
? LA Rams @ Buffalo (-2.5, 47)
? Houston @ Pittsburgh (-3.5, 45)
? San Francisco (-4.5, 41) @ NJ Giants
? Tennessee (-2.5, 47.5) @ Minnesota

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 199,938
Please wear a mask when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Las Vegas 34, Saints 24
? Penalties: Saints 10-129 yards, Raiders 3-13 yards
? Saints averaged 7.4 yards/play, converted 7-11 on 3rd down.
? New Orleans lost eight of its last ten road openers.

? Raiders converted 16-28 on 3rd down, scored 68 points in winning their first two games.
? Las Vegas ran 76 plays, the Saints only 57, but were outgained by 49 yards.
? AFC West teams are 5-0-1 ATS outside their division.

12) Raiders have spent $52.6M of their salary cap on their offensive line, the most of any team in the league.

When the Raiders? move to Las Vegas was approved by the league, the vote was 31-1; for some unknown reason, Miami Dolphins were the team that voted against the move.

11) Being a head coach involves having both onions and a feel for your team.

3rd quarter Sunday, Rams lead 21-16 at Philly, 6:51 left in 3rd quarter. LA has 4th and a foot on their own 29, after intercepting a Wentz pass in the end zone on the Eagles? previous drive. Most coaches, maybe 90%, maybe higher, punt the ball there.

McVay has the Rams go for it, Goff sneaks for the first down, and Rams go down and kick a FG on a drive that went 68 yards on 16 plays and gave his defense a nice rest.

10) NFL injury issues:
? Giants? RB Saquon Barkley is out for the year.
? Panthers? RB Christian McCaffrey is out 4-6 weeks.
? Broncos? QB Drew Lock is out for 3-5 weeks.

9) With Lock out for a while, Jeff Driskel figures to be backed up by Brett Rypien, who played college ball at Boise State but has to make his NFL debut.

8) So far this season, NFC West reams are 6-0 ATS outside their division; AFC West teams are 5-0-1 ATS. NFC East teams are 1-5.

7) Deion Sanders is going to be the football coach at Jackson State, where his son will undoubtedly follow him to play quarterback.

Shedeur Sanders has verbally committed to play at Florida Atlantic, but that?s about to change; the kid is an accurate passer, a 4-star recruit. He played on ESPN a few weeks ago, and looked pretty good. Deion Sanders is the offensive coordinator for his son?s high school team.

6) They were talking on a ballgame the other night how hitters are no longer allowed to watch videos in between their at bats, and it has screwed up some hitters, who are used to doing that and need it to adjust their approach. Thank the Astros and their garbage can for that.

5) ESPN had Ian Happ miked while he played the outfield Sunday night; this bothers me, it is an intrusion on the game. Alex Rodriguez actually was busting Happ?s chops because he roots for the Cleveland Browns. Who in the commissioner?s office thinks BS like that is a good idea?

4) I?m thinking that if the expanded baseball playoffs that start next week are popular with fans, they?ll become a permanent part of the major leagues, in combination with a slightly shorter regular season (154 games?)

One thing I DO NOT want to see ever are automated umpires for balls/strikes; no thank you.

3) 203 ballplayers have made their major league debut this season, 18 of them play for the Miami Marlins. Someone?s going to write an interesting book about this unusual season.

2) Of the 30 current major league managers, Colorado?s Bud Black is the only one who was a pitcher in the major leagues. 10 of the 30 skippers were catchers in their playing days.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don?t):
AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
AL Central: Chicago, Minnesota
AL West: Oakland, Houston
AL wild cards: Cleveland, Toronto

NL East: Atlanta, Miami
NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
NL wild cards: Philadelphia, Cincinnati

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 22

Connecticut @ Las Vegas

Game 617-618
September 22, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
111.948
Las Vegas
119.202
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 7 12
166
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 5
163
Dunkel Pick:
Las Vegas
(-5); Over

Minnesota @ Seattle

Game 615-616
September 22, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
110.228
Seattle
120.607
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 10 1/2
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 8
164
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-8); Under




WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, September 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (15 - 8) vs. SEATTLE (18 - 4) - 9/22/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 8-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 8-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (13 - 12) vs. LAS VEGAS (18 - 5) - 9/22/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 5-4 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-4 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Tuesday, September 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Connecticut @ Las Vegas
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Las Vegas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 22

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CONN at LV 07:00 PM

CONN +5.5

O 160.5

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/22/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

Totals......38-39-0........49.35%.....-19.50

 

[Cnotes53]

At the heart of each of us, whatever our imperfections, there exists a silent pulse of perfect rhythm, which is absolutely individual and unique, and yet which connects us to everything else.



Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six interesting spreads for this week?s college games:
? Florida State @ Miami (-14)
? Louisville @ Pittsburgh (-3)
? Tennessee (-3.5) @ South Carolina
? West Virginia @ Oklahoma State (-7)
? Kentucky @ Auburn (-8)
? Duke @ Virginia (-5.5)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 201,617
Please wear a mask when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) We talked yesterday about the LA Chargers? QB situation; Wednesday afternoon, word came out that on Sunday, Tyrod Taylor was getting a pain-killing shot for bruised ribs before the game, when the Chargers? team doctor accidentally punctured Taylor?s lung with the needle.

Oy.

Rookie QB Justin Herbert is likely to start again this week; it?ll be interesting to see how this plays out, going forward. I?m thinking the Chargers might also have a new team doctor soon.

12) Thinking out loud here, but is it better to be the #3 seed in the American League than the #2 seed?

#3 seed would play the 2nd-place team with the worst record, which right now would be the Astros, who are 28-28.

#2 seed would play the #1 Wild Card team, which right now would be Cleveland, which is 32-24.

The #1 Wild Card team figures to be a team that ended the regular season on a roll; this is such a unique situation, no real way of knowing until it all plays out.

11) There could be extra games before the playoffs begin; St Louis may have to play a doubleheader on Monday if they?re still in contention to make the playoffs, then there is the possibility that three teams tie for the two Wild Cards in the National League- that could be very cumbersome.

10) Tuesday night in Washington, the Nationals beat Philly 9-8 when 32-year old rookie Yadiel Hernandez hit a walk-off homer for Washington. Hernandez is now the oldest player in MLB history whose first career home run was also a walk-off blast.

9) Tampa Bay 8, New York Mets 5? Rays win their first AL East tile since 2010.

8) RIP to the great running back Gale Sayers, 77, who passed away this week after suffering from dementia the last few years. RIP, sir.

Sayers was a great running back, fast, elusive- he scored six TD?s in a game against the 49ers, but he also hurt his knee in a later game against San Francisco and played only seven years in the NFL. Sayers was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame when he was 34.

7) Back in the early 70?s, ABC had a Tuesday night movie of the week, where the movies were made just for showing on TV, not in theaters. Brian?s Song was one of those, but what a cast: Billy Dee Williams, James Caan, Jack Warden.

The movie chronicled a great friendship between Sayers and teammate Brian Piccolo; Piccolo replaced Sayers when he got hurt, but Piccolo was discovered to have cancer, and he passed away way too young. Very sad movie, but Brian?s Song is one of the best-ever sports movies.

6) Miami 112, Boston 109 (Heat leads 3-1):
? Tyler Herro scored 37 points in 36:00 off the bench.
? Miami was +11 (19-8) in turnovers.
? Celtics took 40 3-point shots, 42 2-point shots.

5) It is interesting to me the total lack of major league catchers who are good hitters; JT Realmuto is far and away the best of the bunch, everyone else is hit-and-miss. Modern baseball values defense more than offense behind the plate.

4) Tuesday night was a rough night for an Australian gambler; this is from Ben Fawkes, who works for VSIN:

? This person wagered $228,733 on Lakers money line (-263) pre-game

? The person then cashed out for $97,624 in the 2nd quarter with Denver leading 44-32

? The person placed all that money on Denver -9.5

Denver won 114-106 after Alex Caruso made an unguarded layup w/ 1.6 sec left. Not good.

3) Random stat: Yu Darvish is having a great season for the Cubs; nine of his 11 starts have been at home at Wrigley Field, but in his two road starts, he?s allowed only one run in 13 innings.

2) Here is some obscure trivia: In many East Asian cultures, including China, Korea, Japan and Taiwan, the number 4 is considered unlucky.

You probably wouldn?t see a button indicating the 4th floor on an elevator because most apartment buildings and hospitals skip the number four altogether. In Beijing, it?s not even possible to get a vehicle license plate that has the number 4 on it. The Chinese word for the number 4 sounds much like the Chinese word for death., and that is why it is considered unlucky.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don?t):
AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
AL Central: Minnesota, Chicago
AL West: Oakland, Houston
AL wild cards: Cleveland, Toronto

NL East: Atlanta, Miami
NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
NL wild cards: Cincinnati, San Francisco

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LAS VEGAS (19 - 5) vs. CONNECTICUT (13 - 13) - 9/24/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 5-5 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-5 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (15 - 9) vs. SEATTLE (19 - 4) - 9/24/2020, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 8-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 9-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Thursday, September 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota @ Seattle
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Las Vegas @ Connecticut
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Las Vegas


------------------------------------------------------------


WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, September 24

Las Vegas @ Connecticut

Game 619-620
September 24, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
114.634
Connecticut
116.516
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 2
165
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 6 1/2
161
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+6 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Seattle

Game 631-632
September 24, 2020 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
112.866
Seattle
117.969
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 5
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 7 1/2
164
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+7 1/2); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces

The Sun are a bit of an improbable story. While the 2019 runners-up probably fall short of a ?Cinderella? moniker, it would be understandable if their tumultuous offseason and 0-5 start to 2020 left you with a bit of doubt regarding their chances to get back to the WNBA Finals.

Nevertheless, the Sun overcame that slow start and early depth concerns to peak at the right time. The team?s 10-12 regular-season record means little at this point; after 13- and 14-point victories over Chicago and Los Angeles, respectively, Connecticut is once again forging ahead with a workmanlike, underdog mentality, affectionately dubbed ?DISRESPECT.?

Don?t expect that to stop anytime soon. Standing in the Connecticut?s way is a Las Vegas team that earned the No. 1 overall seed in the twilight of the regular season. After star forward A?ja Wilson was named league MVP on Thursday, the Aces are surely more confident than ever and they?re well-rested, too. Sunday will mark exactly a week since they last took the court. This could be a significant advantage for Las Vegas.

Then again, it?s the postseason and Connecticut?s Alyssa Thomas has a way of shrugging off heavy workloads when the stakes are the highest. Her performance in 2019?s postseason was the stuff of legend: 16 points, 9.3 rebounds, 6.6 assists and 2.4 steals per game in 37 minutes per contest, with several games featuring her for the entire 40. The Sun will no doubt be leaning on Thomas? durability once again as they fight for the upset.

2020 regular season: Aces win, 2-0

The regular-season series between Connecticut and Las Vegas was one-sided in favor of Vegas. The Aces defeated the Sun 99-78 in mid-August, then won by double-digits again two weeks later. Wilson was magnificent in the series, shooting a combined 18-of-26 from the field and scoring 45 points, but it was big performances from Kayla McBride, Dearica Hamby and Jackie Young that put the Aces over the top.

The high scores of those games indicate a problem for Connecticut ? a team that has relied on defense to win its games. The Aces want to get out and run ? they led the WNBA in pace this season ? and with a 46.9 percent effective field goal percentage, the Sun do not have the firepower to get into a shootout. They?ll need to load up on Wilson and try to make these games stingy half court battles to avoid a repeat of those regular-season results.

Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm

The fourth-seeded Lynx played like a top-four team for most of the regular season, and, although their second-round victory over the Mercury was a bit too close for comfort, all that matters in a single-elimination round is a win and they got it.

Cheryl Reeve?s team will now face its toughest test yet and one it has yet to solve in 2020: the No. 2 seed Storm. Seattle entered the 2020 season as one of the favorites to win the title and though the No. 1 overall seed ultimately slipped through its fingers, the extended period of dominance it showed in the regular season did little to dispel the notion that it is the team to beat.

With Breanna Stewart, Natasha Howard, Sue Bird and Jewell Loyd, the Storm boast a blend of length, athleticism and skill that, on paper, is unmatched. Factor Swiss-army knife forward Alysha Clark and a deep bench into the equation and you have all the makings of a championship team ? especially in a season in which most other contenders are missing significant pieces.

Seattle hasn?t been invincible, however. It dropped both games to Las Vegas in the regular season and the health of Bird and Stewart has been a worry for weeks now. While the duo has played up to par while on the court, both players have missed time down the stretch due to nagging injuries.

Storm fans hope that was precautionary. Lynx fans hope it?s a sign of weakness. Minnesota recently got center Sylvia Fowles back from a calf injury after she missed much of the regular season; if she remains good to go while Seattle remains limited, it could help turn a mismatch on paper into a much more evenly-matched series.

2020 regular season: Storm win, 2-0
Just like the Sun and Aces? regular-season series, recent history strongly favors the higher-seeded team here. Seattle dominated Minnesota 90-66 in late July and won comfortably again in their second meeting ? a game in which Fowles did not play.

Minnesota does have the talent to make this series interesting though, and it goes well beyond Fowles. Second-year forward Napheesa Collier has been excellent all season long, averaging 16.1 points and nine rebounds per game while scoring the ball on a highly efficient 60.5 true shooting percentage. Meanwhile, point guard Crystal Dangerfield took home Rookie of the Year honors as the 2020 WNBA Draft?s No. 16 overall pick. She provided an unusually steady hand for a rookie in such a position and gave the Lynx the boost they needed before Odyssey Sims came back from pregnancy. The Lynx will need all these players to be consistent and at their best if they?re going to overcome the Storm?s waves of talent.


Semifinals ? Begin Sunday, Sept. 20

Game 1 Seattle ? 88 Minnesota ? 86 (Storm leads series 1-0)
Game 2 Thursday, Sept. 24 Minnesota (4) at Seattle (2) 4:30PM PT ESPN2
Game 3 Sunday, Sept. 27 Seattle (2) at Minnesota (4) Noon PT ABC
*Game 4 Tuesday, Sept. 29 Seattle (2) at Minnesota (4) TBD
*Game 5 Thursday, Oct. 1, Minnesota (4) at Seattle (2) TBD

* ? If Necessary

************************************


Series Schedule

Game 1: CON 87, LVA 62: Recap | Box Score | Charts
Game 2: LVA 83, CON 75: Recap | Box Score | Charts
Game 3: Thursday, Sept. 24 ? 9:30 PM ET (ESPN2)
Game 4: Sunday, Sept. 27 ? 1:00PM ET (ESPN)
Game 5: TBD

 

[Cnotes53]

[B]THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 24

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS[/B]

LV at CONN 09:30 PM

CONN +6.5

O 160.5

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/22/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

Totals......39-40-0........49.36%.....-20.00

 

[Cnotes53]

That best portion of a good man's life; His little, nameless, unremembered acts Of kindness and of love.


Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Major league leaders in hits:
76? Jose Abreu, Trea Turner
75? Marcell Ozuna
72? Freddie Freeman
70? Whit Merrifield
69? DJ LeMahieu
68? Trevor Story, Manny Machado

I apologize for not posting the SuperContest picks; as of 3am Saturday night, they haven?t been posted- they haven?t been posting them on Saturday this year.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 203,481
Please wear a mask when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Mississippi State 44, LSU 34:
? Stanford transfer Costello was 36-60 for 623 yards, five TD?s; 623 freakin? yards.
? Three different MSU receivers had 120+ receiving yards.
? Bulldogs turned ball over four times (-2), still scored 44 points.

12) Mike Leach is a legend, as far as coaching quarterbacks goes; his record against the spread as a road underdog:
? Texas Tech 15-12 ATS
? Washington State 19-11 ATS
? Mississippi State 1-0 ATS
? total 35-23, 60.3%

11) Kansas State 38, Oklahoma 35:
? Sooners led 35-14 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
? K-State upset Oklahoma for second year in a row.
? Wildcats blocked a punt for second week in a row.

Since 2009, Oklahoma has lost six games when they were favored by 20+ points; during that time, no one else in the country has lost more than three such games.

10) Texas 63, Texas Tech 56 OT:
? Seems like lot of teams haven?t practiced tackling much this fall.
? Tech led 56-41 with 3:00 left in the game; quite a comeback.

9) Upsets of the Day:
? Kansas State (+28) 38, Oklahoma 35
? Mississippi State (+16.5) 44, LSU 34
? UTEP (+9.5) 31, UL-Monroe 6
? Syracuse (+7.5) 37, Georgia Tech 20

8) Lakers 117, Nuggets 107 (LA wins 4-1)
? James/Davis combined for 65 points.
? Lakers held Jamal Murray to 19 points.
? Caruso was +16 in 26:00 off the bench.

7) AL Central update:
? Twins 7, Reds 3? Minnesota leads division by a game
? White Sox 9, Cubs 5? Pale Hose snapped a six-game skid.
? Pirates 8, Indians 0? Cleveland needs a win Sunday and a Chicago loss to get home field in the first round of the playoffs.

6) Iowa State 37, TCU 34? Horned Frogs scored a TD at the gun to make it 37-34; spread was either TCU +2.5 or +3, but they didn?t kick the PAT, which made some people happy, and other people very unhappy.

5) Louisiana 30, Georgia Southern 28? Ragin? Cajuns? kicker split the uprights with a 53-yard field goal on the last play of the game, as Louisiana improved to 3-0- their last two wins were by a total of five points, and they were a 13-point underdog in the other game.

4) Georgia 37, Arkansas 10? Hogs led 7-5 at halftime. Here is Georgia?s QB situation:
? Presumptive starter Jamie Newman opted out of this season.
? USC transfer JT Daniels hasn?t been cleared to play yet.
? 3rd-stringer D?Wan Mathis went 8-17 for 55 yards, was benched.
? 4th-stringer Stetson Bennett, a 5-10 former walk-on, was 20-29 for 211 yards, two TD?s.

3) UCF 51, East Carolina 28? Officials in this game may need rotator cuff surgery soon; Golden Knights were penalized 19 times for 139 yards. ECU was penalized 11 times for 105 yards.

2) COVID has made subbing players in/out easier in goal-line situations in college football, since the benches now extend to the 15-yard line, instead of the 30, the way it used to be.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don?t):
AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
AL Central: Minnesota, Clev/CWS
AL West: Oakland, Houston
AL wild cards: Clev/CWS, Toronto

NL East: Atlanta, Miami
NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
NL wild cards: Cincinnati, Milwaukee

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 27

Las Vegas @ Connecticut

Game 623-624
September 27, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
113.419
Connecticut
117.731
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 4 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 4 1/2
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+4 1/2); Under

Seattle @ Minnesota

Game 625-626
September 27, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
124.259
Minnesota
106.576
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 17 1/2
172
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 8
163 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-8); Over




WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LAS VEGAS (19 - 6) at CONNECTICUT (14 - 13) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 6-5 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 6-5 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (20 - 4) at MINNESOTA (15 - 10) - 9/27/2020, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 9-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 10-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Sunday, September 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Las Vegas @ Connecticut
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Connecticut
Connecticut is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games

Seattle @ Minnesota
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Seattle

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 27

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LV at CONN 01:00 PM
LV -4.5
O 158.5
+500 +500

SEA at MIN 03:00 PM
SEA -8.0
U 163.5
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks.....REVISED TOTAL 09/27/20

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/27/2020 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
09/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/22/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

Totals......43-40-0........51.80%.....-13.00.

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 29

Connecticut @ Las Vegas

Game 627-628
September 29, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
116.233
Las Vegas
114.927
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 1 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 4
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+4); Under




WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, September 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (14 - 14) vs. LAS VEGAS (20 - 6) - 9/29/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 158-119 ATS (+27.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 6-6 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 6-6 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Tuesday, September 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Connecticut @ Las Vegas
Connecticut
Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Las Vegas is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 29

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CONN at LV 07:30 PM

CONN +3.5

O 157.0

 

[Cnotes53]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks.....REVISED TOTAL 09/27/20

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/29/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/27/2020 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
09/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/22/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

Totals......44-41-0........51.76%.....-13.50.

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds to win the college hoop national title next April:
10-1? Gonzaga
12-1? Baylor
14-1? Villanova
16-1? Kentucky
18-1? Virginia
20-1? Duke, Texas Tech

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 206,005
Please wear a mask when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday

13) From James Logan: This week?s NFL games come with an average over/under of 49.9 points; since 2006, that would be the highest average over/under for any NFL weekend.
48.7- Week 11, 2018
48.2- Week 3, 2020
48.0- Week 10, 2018
47.8- Week 8, 2018
47.7- Week 9, 2018
47.3- Week 5, 2018
47.3- Week 7, 2018
47.1- Week 13, 2018
46.9- Week 11, 2014
46.8- Week 2, 2019

Ironic thing is that in those ten weeks, under wound up going 85-59-1 (59%)

12) Penalties per game are down about 1.5 flags per game over the previous four years; holding calls are down roughly 40%. Another reason for more scoring, higher totals.

11) Reader named Greg sent me this stat Thursday morning: over last 33 NFL games, if you bet first half totals, over is now 26-7, 16-1 in the last 17 games played.

Good weather is part of it, but is it easier to run an offense with no crowd noise? Fair question.

10) A?s 6, White Sox 4 (Oakland wins series 2-1)
? 17 pitchers were used in this game; none of them got more than six outs.
? Chicago led 3-0 after third inning.
? A?s win their first playoff series since 2006.
? For season, White Sox wound up 15-0 vs lefty starters, 23-27 vs righties.
? Tim Anderson had nine hits in three games for Chicago.

9) Braves 5, Reds 0 (Atlanta wins series 2-0):
? Cincinnati scored zero runs in 22 innings in this series. Zero. None. Bupkis.
? Rookie Anderson threw six shutout innings for Atlanta.
? Ozuna, Duvall both homered in a 4-run 8th inning.

8) Padres 11, Cardinals 9 (series 1-1):
? St Louis led 4-2 after five innings, before the Padres? bats exploded.
? Fernando Tatis homered twice, knocked in five runs.
? 17 pitchers were used in this game, too.

7) Dodgers 3, Brewers 0 (LA wins series 2-0)
? Kershaw threw eight shutout innings, struck out 13.
? Milwaukee had a guy picked off first when they were down 3-0 in 8th inning; no bueno.
? At no point this season were the Brewers ever over .500.

6) Sunday?s Steeler-Titans game was postponed until later this season, after more Tennessee players tested positive for COVID.

5) Marlins? OF Starling Marte broke his pinkie Wednesday; he can still pinch-run or play the field, but he can?t swing a bat for a while.

4) Philadelphia 76ers acted quickly, named Doc Rivers their new head coach.

3) Week or so ago, New York catcher Gary Sanchez was called for catcher?s interference three times in a 5-game stretch; he is the first major league catcher to do that since Vic Roznovsky of the Cubs, on September 28-29, 1965.

2) Philadelphia Eagles have been outscored 49-16 in second half of games this year.

1) Denver 37, NJ Jets 28:
? McManus drilled a 52-yard FG with 3:08 left for the win.
? Rookie QB Rypien was 19-31/242 in his first NFL start, but he did throw three INT?s.
? AFC West teams are 7-3-1 ATS outside their division.

? Jets had six personal fouls in this game, four in the first half.
? Jets lost their first four games, allowing 32.5 ppg.
? Jets are 6-11-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.