CNOTES 2021-2022 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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Monday?s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 13 NFL spreads:
? Dallas (-5.5) @ New Orleans
? Arizona (-7) @ Chicago
? Denver @ Kansas City (-9.5)
? Baltimore (-3) @ Pittsburgh
? San Francisco (-2.5) @ Seattle
? Minnesota (-7) @ Detroit

Quote of the Day
?Sweat equity is the most valuable equity there is. Know your business and industry better than anyone else in the world. Love what you do or don?t do it.?
Mark Cuban

Monday?s quiz
In the classic movie All the President?s Men, which famous actors played writers Woodward and Bernstein?

Sunday?s quiz
Green Bay beat the Chiefs 35-10 in the first Super Bowl.

Saturday?s quiz
Neil Armstrong was the first man to walk on the moon, in 1969.

*********************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

New England 36, Tennessee 13:
? Tennessee ran ball for 270 yards, but was minus-4 in turnovers.
? Titans averaged only 3.7 yards/pass attempt.
? Patriots had 10 drives; three TD?s, tried six field goals
? New England had TD drives of 37-56-21 yards.
? Patriots had 17-yard edge in field position.

? New England won seven of last eight games, scoring 33.1 ppg.
? Patriots scored 135 points in winning last three home games.
? Since 2015, New England is 30-14-3 ATS as home favorites.
? Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
? New England has 22 takeaways in last eight games (+15)

NJ Jets 21, Houston 14:
? Jets outscored Houston 10-0 in second half.
? Jets ran ball for 157 yards, outgained Texans 266-202.
? Six of last eight Jet games went over the total.
? Jets have been outscored 68-24 in first quarter, 189-65 in first half.

? Texans in second half: 21 plays, 45 yards, 3 first downs.
? Houston is 2-8 ATS last ten games as home favorites.
? Under is 7-2 in Texans? last nine games.
? Underdogs are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.

NY Giants 13, Philadelphia 7:
? Eagles turned ball over four times on 10 drives (minus-4)
? Philly averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
? Philly ran ball for 215.2 ypg last five games (98.6 ypg previous five)
? Eagles are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a road favorite.

? Giants won their last three home games.
? Eagles outgained Giants 332-264.
? Giants are 11-6 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
? Last five Giant games stayed under the total.

Tampa Bay 38, Indianapolis 31:
? Fournette had 131 total yards, four TD?s.
? Tampa Bay ran ball for 142 yards (5.3 yards/carry).
? Bucs have 42 TD?s on 117 drives this season.
? Last ten games, Tampa Bay is +11 in turnovers.

? Indianapolis led 24-14 at halftime.
? Bucs in 2nd half: 30 plays, 222 yards, 24 points.
? Colts turned ball over three times in five 2nd half drives.
? Six of their last eight games went over the total.

Atlanta 21, Jacksonville 14:
? Atlanta was perfect in red zone (21 points/3 drives)
? Atlanta is 4-2 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
? Falcons led seven of last nine games at halftime.
? Atlanta has been outscored 176-89 in second half.

? Jacksonville converted 9-16 on 3rd down, outgained Atlanta 357-332.
? Jaguars are 7-14 ATS in last 21 home games.
? Last five games, Jacksonville was outscored 77-21 in first half.
? Jaguars lost 24 of their last 26 games.

Miami 33, Carolina 10:
? Newton was 5-21 passing, with two INT?s; not good.
? Carolina lost seven of last nine games after a 3-0 start.
? Carolina is 0-6 if it allows more than 14 points.
? Last nine games, Panthers were outscored 128-63 in second half.

? Dolphins won last four games, giving up 11.5 ppg.
? Miami gave up four TD?s on opponents? last 47 drives.
? Dolphins allowed 17 or less points in their wins.
? Dolphins are 0-7 when they give up more than 17 points.
? Miami is 22-12-3 ATS in last 36 home games.

Cincinnati 41, Pittsburgh 10:
? Steelers are 0-2-1 in last three games, giving up 41-41 points in last two.
? Bengals took opening kickoff, drove 75 yards for quick 7-0 lead.
? Bengals led 31-3 at halftime after a pick-6 with 0:23 left in half.
? Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games on artificial turf.

? Cincy?s first four drives: 34 plays, 226 yards, 24 points.
? Mixon ran ball for 165 yards, two TD?s.
? Cincinnati scored 31+ points in five of last six games.
? Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
? Cincinnati won three of last four series games.

Denver 28, LA Chargers 13:
? Chargers lost four of last six games, after a 4-1 start.
? LA?s first four drives: 21 plays, 64 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
? Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
? Last five games, Chargers lost field position by 8+ yards four times.

? Denver is 25-7 ATS in their last 32 post-bye games
? Surtain broke game open with third quarter pick-6.
? Nine of 11 Denver games stayed under the total.
? Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 26.6 ppg in losses.

San Francisco 34, Minnesota 26:
? Over is 5-0 in Vikings road games this year.
? Nwangwu ran a kickoff back 99 yards for a Viking TD.
? Minnesota has been outscored 91-22 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Minnesota has led by 7+ points in every game this year.

? 49ers won four of their last five games.
? San Francisco outgained Vikings 423-323.
? Last three games, 49ers ran ball for 156-171-208 yards.
? Niners had 10-yard advantage in field position.

Green Bay 36, LA Rams 28
? Rams were 0-3 in November, giving up 28-31-36 points.
? Stafford threw a pick-6 all three of those games.
? Last three games, Rams are minus-5 in turnovers.
? Last seven games, LA converted only 28-83 on 3rd down.

? Packers won/covered all five home games TY.
? Green Bay started three drives inside Rams? 30-yard line.
? Pack is 11-5-2 ATS last 18 games with spread of 3 or less points.
? Last three years, Green Bay is 9-0 ATS coming off a loss.

Baltimore 16, Cleveland 10:
? Browns scored 17 or fewer points in six of last seven games.
? Cleveland ran ball 17 times for only 40 yards.
? Last four games, Cleveland converted 16-56 third down plays.
? Browns are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC North road games.

? Jackson threw INT?s on 3 straight drives in 2nd quarter.
? NFL teams had lost 52 games in row when throwing 4+ INTs.
? Baltimore?s last three wins were by 3-3-6 points.
? Ravens won 23 of last 27 series games.

? USC hired 38-year old Lincoln Riley as its new football coach; Riley went 55-10 in his time coaching the Sooners. Unclear if Oklahoma?s bolting to the tougher SEC was a factor in Riley?s decision to jump ship.

Baseball signings:
? Toronto signed P Kevin Gausman to a 5-year, $110M deal.
? Texas signed SS Marcus Semien to a 7-year, $175M deal.
? Rangers also signed P Jon Gray for four years, $56M
? Marlins gave P Sandy Alcantara a 5-year, $65M extension.
? Minnesota gave OF Byron Buxton a 7-year, $100M deal.
 

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ORLANDO is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 5-23 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

WASHINGTON
is 194-247 ATS (-77.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996.

PORTLAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

NEW ORLEANS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 29


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Udog

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NBA

Monday, November 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Orlando @ Philadelphia
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando

Denver @ Miami
Denver
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Charlotte @ Chicago
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chicago's last 16 games when playing Charlotte

Oklahoma City @ Houston
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Indiana @ Minnesota
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Cleveland @ Dallas
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Cleveland is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Washington @ San Antonio
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Washington

Portland @ Utah
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
Utah is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Portland

New Orleans @ LA Clippers
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 11 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games


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Udog

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Miami has covered the spread in six of its last seven home games.
Denver has failed to cover the spread in six straight games.
Denver has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight road games.
 

Cnotes53

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[SUB]MONDAY, NOVEMBER 29
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


ORL at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI -14.0
U 205.5
+500 +500

DEN at MIA 07:30 PM
MIA -6.5
U 206.5
+500 +500


IND at MIN 08:00 PM
IND +2.5
O 218.0
+500 +500

OKC at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU -2.0
O 217.0

+500 +500

CHA at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI -4.5
U 223.0

+500 +500

WAS at SA 08:30 PM
WAS -3.0
O 215.0
+500 +500

CLE at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -6.5
U 210.0

+500 +500

POR at UTA 09:00 PM
POR +7.5
O 223.0

+500 +500

NO at LAC 10:30 PM
LAC -7.0
U 211.0
+500 +500[/SUB]
 

Udog

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Tuesday?s 6-pack:
Conference championship games this weekend:
Big X? Oklahoma State (-5) vs Baylor
Pac-12? Utah (-3) vs Oregon
AAC? Cincinnati (-10.5) vs Houston
SEC? Georgia (-6.5) vs Alabama
ACC? Pittsburgh (-3) vs Wake Forest
Big 14? Michigan (-10.5) vs Iowa

Quote of the Day
?When we met with the team today, I communicated to our players that our program is about them. It will always be bigger than any one person. And just as it?s always been, Oklahoma football is positioned for greatness.?
Oklahoma AD Joe Castiglione

Tuesday?s quiz
Only one NFL team hasn?t tried a 2-point conversion this year; which one?

Monday?s quiz
In the classic movie All the President?s Men, Robert Redford, Dustin Hoffman played writers Woodward and Bernstein.

Sunday?s quiz
Green Bay beat the Chiefs 35-10 in the first Super Bowl.

*******************************

Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??..

13) Washington 17, Seattle 15:
? Seahawks scored TD with 0:15 left, but 2-point play failed.
? DK Metcalf caught only one pass for 13 yards.
? Seattle is 3-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-7 if it doesn?t.
? Six of Seahawks? last seven games stayed under the total.

? Washington is 3-0 since its bye, scoring 24.3 ppg.
? Washington is 8-4-1 in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less.
? Washington is 13-7 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
? Five of last six Washington games stayed under the total.

12) Max Scherzer signed a 3-year, $130M deal with the Mets Monday, as billionaire owner Steve Cohen opens his wallet to improve his ballclub. Mets have spent $258M or so on free agents in the last four days.

11) Texas Rangers are also spending a lot of money; they gave 2B Marcus Semien $175M Sunday, then gave SS Corey Seager a 10-year, $325M deal Monday.

Part of reason playing in Texas appeals to free agents is the tax status there; Rangers play 81 home games, nine in Houston, nine in Seattle and three in Tampa, all states with zero tax status for athletes. That?s 102 games, nearly two-thirds with zero tax status. It matters.

10) If I?m a free agent pitcher, I?d want to know if the universal DH is going to be a thing, before I picked my next employer. Hopefully the universal DH will become official this winter.

Seattle Mariners signed P Robbie Ray to a 5-year, $115M deal Monday.

9) Oklahoma Sooners had a rough few days:
? Football coach Lincoln Riley jumped to USC
? Backup QB Spencer Rattler entered the transfer portal
? A hotshot high school QB who committed to Oklahoma de-commited. Wonder where he is going to wind up (USC?)

8) Minnesota 100, Indiana 98? Domantas Sabonis had 16 points, 25 rebounds, 10 assists for the Pacers; he is the first NBA player with 25 rebounds and 10 assists in a game since Maurice Lucas in 1980.

7) When Michigan plays Iowa this weekend in the Big 14 title game, it?ll be the first time the Wolverines have played in the championship game. Was surprised when I heard that. Hell, Northwestern?s even played in two of them.

Big 14 started playing a league championship game in 2011.

6) Random stat: over the last three football seasons, Big 14 teams are 17-4 ATS when playing teams from the MAC. There were no meetings in 2020 because of COVID, so that is 17-4 over two seasons.

5) Drew Brees is keeping busy since he retired from the NFL; he works for NBC, has an endorsement deal with Lowe?s, has stock in an online betting company, and now has a deal where he reads Bible verses on pray.com

Interesting contrast; not lot of people get paid for reading the Bible while also endorsing sports betting.

4) One of the funnier parts of NFL games is when an official throws a flag for pass interference, then one or two other refs throw a flag too, selling the call to make it look like an obvious foul.

3) Dallas Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy tested positive for COVID, will miss Thursday night?s game in New Orleans.

2) Florida Gators hired U of Louisiana coach Billy Napier to be its next football coach; Napier is 39-12 coaching the Ragin? Cajuns- he will coach them in the Sun Belt title game this week, then is off to Gainesville.

1) LSU hired football coach Brian Kelly away from Notre Dame; Kelly was 113-40 in South Bend? he won more games there than Knute Rockne. Notre Dame made the national playoff two of last three years- they?re 11-1 this year, ranked 6th in country.
 

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BROOKLYN is 28-14 ATS (12.6 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games in the current season.

DETROIT is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.




NBA

Tuesday, November 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Brooklyn
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 10 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Memphis @ Toronto
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis

LA Lakers @ Sacramento
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games

Golden State @ Phoenix
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

Detroit @ Portland
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Portland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit


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Udog

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Tuesday, November 30


g7B3yVu.png






Nets are 4-6 ATS the last 10 games
Nets are 3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS last three vs. Knicks
Knicks are 0-6 SU/ATS last six off a win
Knicks are 9-1 to Under in last 10 games


Phoenix has won 16 straight games.
The point total has gone UNDER in eight of the last nine meetings.
Phoenix has covered the spread in five of its last seven home games.
 

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 30
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


NY at BK 07:30 PM
NY +6.0
O 216.5

+500 +500

MEM at TOR 07:30 PM
MEM +3.0
O 215.0
+500 +500

DET at POR 10:00 PM
POR -6.5
U 210.0
+500 +500

LAL at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC +4.0
O 227.5

+500 +500


Not sure why the line isn't up for the SUNS/WARRIORS MATCH UP
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/30/2021........5-3-0........62.50%.........+8.50
11/29/2021......5-11-2........33.33%.........-35.50
11/28/2021.......7-3-0........70.00%.........+18.50
11/27/2021........7-9-0.......43.75%..........-14.50
11/26/2021.......16-8-0.......66.66%.........+36.00
11/24/2021.....12-14-0.......46.15%..........-17.00
11/23/2021........2-5-1........28.57%..........-17.50
11/22/2021.......6-11-0........35.29%.........-30.50
11/21/2021.........7-3-0........70.00%........+18.50
11/20/2021.......10-8-0.........55.56%.........+6.00
11/19/2021.......10-8-0.........55.55%..........+6.00
11/18/2021.........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
11/17/2021.......8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/16/2021.........4-2-0.........66.67%..........+9.00
11/15/2021........12-9-0.........57.14%........+10.50
11/14/2021..........5-9-0........35.71%..........-24.50
11/13/2021..........4-9-1........30.76%..........-29.50
11/12/2021........8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/11/2021.........3-3-0..........50.00%..........- 1.50
11/10/2021......15-10-1..........60.00%.........+20.00
11/09/2021..........2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%..........-18.50
11/07/2021..........6-4-1..........60.00%..........+ 8.00
11/06/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%..........-29.00
11/05/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
11/03/2021..........7-4-0..........63.64%.........+13.00
11/02/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%............-2.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%............-2.00

TOTALS:........196-200-6..........49.49%..........- 120.00


BEST BETS:

11/30/2021..........4-2-0...........66.66%.....+9.00
11/29/2021..........2-8-2..........20.00%......-34.00
11/28/2021..........3-2-0..........60.00%.....+4.00
11/27/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.....-18.00
11/26/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/24/2021..........5-6-0..........45.45%......-8.00
11/23/2021..........2-5-1..........28.57%......-17.50
11/22/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%......-29.00
11/21/2021..........5-2-0..........71.42%.....+14.00
11/20/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/19/2021..........9-2-0..........81.81%.....+34.00
11/18/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.......+8.50
11/17/2021..........4-8-0..........33.33%.......-24.00
11/16/2021..........3-2-0..........60.00%......+ 4.00
11/15/2021..........9-5-0..........64.28%......+17.50
11/14/2021..........4-6-0..........40.00%.......-13.00
11/13/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.......-18.00
11/12/2021..........7-9-0..........43.75%.......-14.50
11/11/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%.........-6.50
11/10/2021 B E S T B E T S N O T P O S T E D
11/09/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%........- 6.50
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%........-18.50
11/07/2021..........4-3-0..........57.14%........+3.50
11/06/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%........-18.00
11/05/2021..........3-4-0..........42.85%.........-.7.00
11/03/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%.........- 1.50
11/02/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:.........117-124-3.........48.54%.........-97.00


UPDATED 11/30/2021
 

Udog

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Wednesday?s 6-pack:
Some of the leading 3-point shooting teams in college ball:
2) Colorado State (Lipscomb is 1st)
3) Purdue
4) Davidson
5) Jacksonville State
6) South Dakota State
7) Loyola-Chicago

Quote of the Day
?I don?t know what there is to address. Like I said, for a guy that keeps his head down and very rarely ever answers his phone or does anything like that, I don?t talk to a whole lot of people. So there is nothing. That?s the crazy thing. It?s all whatever is being said out there and different things. So there is no speculation. Is the (Notre Dame) job open? I guess it is. But I wouldn?t know if somebody didn?t tell me.?
Cincinnati football coach Luke Fickell

Wednesday?s quiz
Where did Brett Favre play his college football?

Tuesday?s quiz
Arizona Cardinals are the only NFL team hasn?t tried a 2-point conversion this year.

Monday?s quiz
In the classic movie All the President?s Men, Robert Redford, Dustin Hoffman played writers Woodward and Bernstein.

*****************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) Average salary for an NFL head coach is $6.7M; there are now eight college coaches who make more than that, as schools jockey to lure big-name coaches to their school, while players bolt from one place to another, trying to find their way to the NFL. Strange times we live in.

12) Fresno State football coach Kalen DeBoer bolted to Washington to become the Huskies? new coach; few hours later, Fresno?s quarterback Jake Haener entered the transfer portal- wonder where he is going.

11) Unclear who will coach Notre Dame in their bowl game, now that Brian Kelly has bolted to Baton Rouge.

10) Alabama is a 6.5-point underdog to Georgia in the SEC title game Saturday; it ends a streak of 92 straight games where the Crimson Tide was favored to win, dating back to 2015.

9) Ohio State 71, Duke 66:
? Second time in five nights the #1 team in country got beat.
? Duke didn?t score for the last 4:29 of the game.
? Buckeyes survived 11-22 shooting on foul line.
? This result helps to explain why Duke avoids pre-conference road games, at all costs.

8) Over their last four games, New England outscored opponents 63-0 in second half.

7) IF Javier Baez signed a 4-year, $140M contract with the Detroit Tigers; lot of money flying around this week, between baseball and college football coaches.

6) Nevada sportsbooks took in $1.1B in bets during October, breaking the previous single-month record of $786.5M wagered during September.

5) Former Michigan/Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez will be named football coach at Jacksonville State, a I-AA team that beat Florida State earlier this fall. Gamecocks are moving up to I-A and the Sun Belt Conference for the 2023-24 season.

Rodriguez?s coaching resume:
2001-07? 60-26 at West Virginia
2008-10? 15-22 at Michigan
2012-17? 43-35 at Arizona

I would be remiss if I didn?t point out that Jacksonville State is the alma mater of Dieter Brock, a quarterback who led the Rams to the NFC West title in 1985, his only season in the NFL, after he had a great CFL career.

4) In three seasons as a pro, Zion Williamson has played in 85 NBA games; he?s missed 81 games with injury. As the old saying goes, the best ability is??.availability.

3) Group that owns the Boston Red Sox bought the NHL?s Pittsburgh Penguins this week; things could get awkward in Beantown if Bruins/Penguins ever cross paths in the playoffs.

2) Colorado 80, Stanford 76:
? First conference game of this year?s college basketball season.
? Stanford led 21-10 early, but was minus-9 (15-6) in turnovers.

1) When the clock strikes midnight Wednesday, baseball is expected to slip into a lockout, which is exactly what the sport doesn?t need. This week has been fun, with free agent signings and some trades; that?s what the sport needs, not lawyers quibbling over how to divide their millions that they make year after year.

Here?s my solution:
? Expand the playoffs
? Add Sunday doubleheaders to condense the regular season
? Universal DH
? Ban shifts.

Shake hands, and play ball, it isn?t that difficult.
 

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WASHINGTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game in the current season.

BOSTON is 29-12 ATS (15.8 Units) after 2+ road games in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 9-31 ATS (-25.1 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, December 1


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota @ Washington
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Atlanta @ Indiana
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Indiana is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta

Denver @ Orlando
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games at home

Philadelphia @ Boston
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Cleveland @ Miami
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Charlotte @ Milwaukee
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Houston @ Oklahoma City
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston

Dallas @ New Orleans
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Orleans's last 15 games at home

Sacramento @ LA Clippers
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Boston has won 13 of its last 16 home games when facing Philadelphia.
Boston has gone OVER the point total in four straight home games.
Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in three straight games.
 

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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 1
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MIN at WAS 07:00 PM
MIN +4.0
+500

ATL at IND 07:00 PM
IND -1.0
+500

DEN at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +8.0
+500

CLE at MIA 07:30 PM
U 206.0
+500

PHI at BOS 07:30 PM
U 206.5
+500

HOU at OKC 08:00 PM
HOU +2.5
+500

DAL at NO 08:00 PM
DAL -3.0
+500

CHA at MIL 08:00 PM
CHA +9.0
O 230.5

+500 +500

SAC at LAC 10:30 PM
U 216.5
+500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/01/2021 7-3-0 70.00% +18.50


TOTALS:


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/01/2021.............4 -1-0................80.00%............+14.50


TOTALS:


UPDATED 12/01/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday?s 6-pack:
NFL teams with best turnover ratio:
+12- Indianapolis
+10- New England
+9- Buffalo, Green Bay
+8- Arizona, Tampa Bay
+5- Minnesota, NJ Giants
+4- Dallas, New Orleans

Quote of the Day
?)Notre Dame) Players, largely fed up with the distant, CEO-type approach of Kelly, made it abundantly clear throughout the day to Swarbrick and to anyone else who would listen that they wanted 35-year-old defensive coordinator Marcus Freeman to become their next head coach,?
from The Athletic

Thursday?s quiz
Which actress played Anfernee Hardaway?s mother in the basketball movie Blue Chips?

Wednesday?s quiz
Brett Favre played his college football at Southern Mississippi.

Tuesday?s quiz
Arizona Cardinals are the only NFL team hasn?t tried a 2-point conversion this year.

*******************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud

13) NC State 104, Nebraska 100, 4OT:
? Four players were ejected in a fracas.
? Nebraska led by 14 with 9:31 left in regulation
? Only the fifth 4-OT game in the history of ACC basketball.

? Free throws: NC State 32-42, Nebraska 11-15
? NC State?s Seabron played 57:00? he scored 37 points, 12 rebounds, was 17-20 on foul line. He took more foul shots than the whole Nebraska team.

12) Been watching a ton of college basketball; I?m wondering if home court advantage is going to be bigger than usual this season, since there were no fans last season? playing in front of hostile crowds isn?t that easy, and fans might actually might little more zealous this season, after having to stay home last winter.

Something to watch as we move thru pre-conference play.

11) Cincinnati 59, Miami OH 58:
? Bearcats had the onions to play a pre-conference road game, and barely survive it.
? Miami led by 8 with 12:37 left.
? Cincinnati was 2-10 from foul line.

10) Next time someone says Mike Krzyzewski is the best college basketball coach ever, remind them that Duke hasn?t won an ACC regular season title since 2006. He is a great coach for sure, but when John Wooden was coaching UCLA, there was no conference tournament- he had to win the Pac-12 regular season title, just to get into the NCAA tournament, and he won seven national championships in a row, ten in all.

9) Duke alum Marcus Stroman announced on Twitter that he?ll be pitching for the Cubs next year; Stroman is 61-60, 3.73 in 173 career starts. He threw 179 innings LY (10-13, 4.35), after opting out of the 2020 season. He got $71M from the Cubs on a 3-year deal.

8) Taysom Hill will start at QB for New Orleans Thursday night against the Cowboys. Hill is this generation?s Tim Tebow; more of a runner than a passer. He went 3-1 starting at QB for the Saints last year, his only NFL starts at quarterback.

7) Notre Dame hired defensive coordinator Marcus Freeman as their new coach; he was the defensive coordinator at Cincinnati from 2017-20, has never been a head coach.

Interesting that Kelly will have to hire two coordinators at LSU, since Freeman/Tommy Rees both elected to stay at Notre Dame.

6) Georgia 82, Memphis 79:
? Memphis led by 5 with 4:19 left.
? This is a bad loss for Memphis; Georgia had lost four games in a row.
? Tom Crean wins his 400th game as a head coach.

5) North Carolina 72, Michigan 51? Wolverines looked terrible; UNC outscored them 43-24 in second half.

4) Washington State 51, Arizona State 29? This is a final score; ASU is now 2-6- they?ve lost five games in a row. Sun Devils shot 21.1% from floor in this game.

3) About 10 or so years ago, I was sitting at an AAU basketball tournament at Siena College; guy sitting next to me was a great coach at the Division II level, and I knew him to say hello to, so I picked his brain a little bit, asked him what he looked for while evaluating talent.

?What is his college skill?? was his reply. He told me that he considered getting loose balls a skill, just like passing or shooting or defense. Learned a lot that day, and I appreciate it.

2) I?m watching The Bodyguard on TV late Tuesday night; excellent movie, but it was on a commercial station, and there were A LOT of commericials during the movie, so I had to look it up. Movie is 2:09, the time slot it was in was four freakin? hours!!!!

? Movie is 2 hours, 9 minutes
? With 1 hour, 51 minutes of commercials.

Yikes.

1) I?m concerned that the geniuses who run baseball are killing the golden goose; Texas is going to pay their 2B/SS a combined $57M a year for the next seven years, so you can?t tell me they?re not making money, but now a lockout is underway, and who knows when it will end.

Players are making a fortune, owners wouldn?t be in it if it wasn?t profitable, but some of the owners don?t try to win- they throw scrub teams out on the field and expect fans to still some to the ballpark and pay lot of money to watch cruddy teams play.

Get in a room and find a middle ground, before it is too late.
 
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