CNOTES 2021-2022 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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Monday?s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads
? Raiders @ Indianapolis (-7.5)
? Giants @ Chicago (-4)
? Cardinals @ Dallas (-2.5)
? Eagles (-2.5) @ Washington
? Chiefs (-4) @ Cincinnati
? Dolphins @ Tennessee (-3.5)

Quote of the Day
?It should just be more thought out, to have windows and you know when they?re leaving. They should have this, just like coaches do. There?s no window. And also, they?re not being advised very well. You have thousands of kids going into the portal, but there?s not thousands of spots for people to take.?
Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin, on the transfer portal

Monday?s quiz
Which current NFL head coach was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League?

Sunday?s quiz
Aaron Rodgers completed his first NFL pass against Dallas.

Saturday?s quiz
In the baseball movie A League of Their Own, Madonna?s character plays leftfield for the Rockford Peaches- she wore number 5, Joe DiMaggio?s number.

******************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Buffalo 33, New England 21
? Bills are now tied for first in AFC East, with Patriots.
? Buffalo was 6-12 on third down, Patriots 1-10
? Last five games, Bills outscored opponents 78-32 in second half.
? Over is 5-2 in last seven Buffalo games.

? Patriots lost last two games, giving up 27-33 points.
? Jones was 14-32 passing for only 139 yards, two INT?s.
? Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.
? New England is 5-11 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or less.

LA Rams 30, Minnesota 23:
? Rams clinch 4th playoff berth in five years under McVay.
? Before McVay, Rams had gone 13 years with no playoff berths.
? Michel ran ball 27 times fir 131 yards and a TD.
? Powell ran a punt back 61 yards for a TD to make score 20-10.
? Under McVay, LA is 8-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.

? Rams were 7-14 on third down, Minnesota 2-12.
? Vikings had 12-play, 84-yard drive that ended with red zone INT.
? Minnesota?s first TD was a 2-yard drive after an INT.
? Over is 6-2 in Vikings? last eight games.
? Minnesota has been outscored 115-31 in last 2:00 of each half.

Houston 41, LA Chargers 29:
? Horrific loss for 8-7 Chargers, who are 4-6 in last ten games.
? LA falls to #9 seed in AFC with this loss.
? Over is 7-2 in Chargers? last nine games.
? Chargers converted 37 of last 74 third down plays.
? Last 11 games, Chargers allowed 30.6 points/game.

? Texans won their last two games, scoring 30-41 points.
? Burkhead ran ball for 149 yards (6.8 yards/carry).
? Rookie QB Mills averaged 8.9 yards/pass attempt.
? Houston is +10 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).

Cincinnati 41, Baltimore 21
? Ravens lost last four games, giving up 28.8 ppg
? Bengals led 31-14 at halftime.
? Last three games, opponents are 21-44 on third down
? TE Andrews caught eight passes for 125 yards and a TD.

? Burrow threw for 525 yards and four TD?s.
? Bengals in first half: 5 drives, 34 plays, 333 yards, 31 points.
? Bengals are 8-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
? Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Bengal games.

Tampa Bay 32, Carolina 6:
? Vaughn scored Bucs? first TD with a 55-yard run.
? Tampa Bay outgained Carolina, 391-273.
? Under is 5-2 in Tampa Bay?s last seven road games.
? Buccaneers are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Charlotte.

? Carolina lost 10 of last 12 games after a 3-0 start.
? Carolina is 0-10 if it allows more than 14 points.
? Panthers are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as home underdogs.
? Last 11 games, Panthers were outscored 167-83 in second half.
? These teams play again in two weeks.

Philadelphia 34, NY Giants 10:
? Game was 3-3 at halftime.
? Eagles outgained Giants, 324-192.
? Giants lost five of six games since their bye (1-5 ATS)
? Giants have been outscored 90-19 in last 2:00 of each half.

? Eagles? first TD was on a 21-yard drive.
? Philly scored two TD?s 0:21 apart early in 4th quarter.
? Philly held Giants to 2.3 yards/pass attempt.
? Fromm was 6-17 for 25 yards in his first NFL start.
? Eagles won 14 of last 17 series games.

Atlanta 20, Detroit 16:
? Starting QB Goff (COVID) didn?t play.
? Lions are 1-5-1 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
? Detroit covered six of its last seven games.
? Ten of last thirteen Detroit games stayed under the total.
? Lions are 8-2 ATS in domed stadiums this season.

? Falcons picked off a pass on their 1-yard line with 0:33 left.
? Detroit outgained the Falcons, 338-254.
? Atlanta is 6-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-6 if it gives up 26+.
? Atlanta is 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season.

NJ Jets 26, Jacksonville 21:
? Jacksonville had ball on Jets 1-yard line in last 0:30, didn?t score.
? Jaguars first three drives: 35 plays, 161 yards, only 12 points.
? Jaguars lost seven in row, 28 of their last 30 games.
? Jaguars are 0-6 ATS the last six weeks.

? This was first time Jets were favored in last 27 games.
? Rookie QB Wilson ran 52 yards for Jets? first TD.
? Jets ran a kickoff back 102 yards for their second TD.
? Over is 9-3 in last twelve Jet games.

Chicago 25, Seattle 24:
? Chicago scored TD, got game-winning 2-point conversion with 1:01 left.
? Bears are 3-2 with Dalton/Foles starting, 2-8 with rookie QB Fields.
? Seahawks led 24-14 after three quarters.
? Bears converted 7-14 on third down, Seattle 3-10.

? Seahawks lost five of their last seven games.
? Seattle ran ball for 170 yards, were outscored 18-7 in second half.
? Penny ran ball 17 times for 135 yards on a snowy day in Seattle.
? Seattle lost five of seven home games SU this season.

Kansas City 36, Pittsburgh 10:
? Steelers in first half: 27 plays, 109 yards, no points.
? Kansas City led 23-0 at halftime.
? Steelers have been outgained eight games in a row.
? Last six games, Steelers were outscored 114-19 in first half.
? Pittsburgh covered once in last six visits to Arrowhead.

? Chiefs? first four drives: 36 plays, 250 yards, 24 points.
? Chiefs won last eight games, covering last six.
? Kansas City converted 25 of last 51 third down plays.
? Chiefs have 20 takeaways in last seven games (+14)
? Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-4 if they allow more.

Las Vegas 17, Denver 13:
? Denver scored 10 points in a 0:22 span late in first half.
? Broncos are 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
? Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-7 if it doesn?t.
? 12 of 15 Denver games stayed under the total.
? Broncos are 0-6 ATS in last six road series games.

? Raiders outgained Denver, 342-158
? Jacobs carried ball 27 times for 129 yards.
? Las Vegas was 6-12 on third down, Broncos 1-10
? Raiders won last five meetings (4-1 ATS)
? Last eight games, Raiders are minus-13 in turnovers (4-17)

Dallas 56, Washington 14:
? Dallas outgained Washington, 497-257.
? Cowboys converted 10-15 on 3rd down, averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
? Washington covered once in last five visits to Dallas.
? Washington is 8-18-2 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss.
? Last three games, Washington converted 12-40 on third down.

? Cowboys scored a TD on four of first five drives.
? Dallas scored TD?s on a pick-6, blocked punt.
? Dallas won/covered its last four games.
? Last three games, Dallas led 24-0/15-3/42-7 at halftime.
? Cowboys has outscored foes 85-9 in last 2:00 of each half.

If the NFL playoffs started today (they don?t):
#1 seeds? Kansas City, Green Bay
#2?s? Tennessee, Dallas
#3?s? Cincinnati, LA Rams
#4?s? Buffalo, Tampa Bay
#5?s? Indianapolis, Arizona
#6?s? New England, San Francisco
#7?s? Baltimore, Philadelphia
 

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HOUSTON is 21-47 ATS (-30.7 Units) after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 272-217 ATS (33.3 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game since 1996.

UTAH is 195-152 ATS (27.8 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.

PHOENIX is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 113-146 ATS (-47.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
 

Udog

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NBA

Monday, December 27


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Trend Report
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Houston @ Charlotte
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing at home against Houston

Chicago @ Atlanta
Chicago
Chicago is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Chicago

Boston @ Minnesota
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Boston

Utah @ San Antonio
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 10 games when playing at home against Utah
San Antonio is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Utah

Memphis @ Phoenix
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Phoenix is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

Dallas @ Portland
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

Brooklyn @ LA Clippers
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn


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Udog

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NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 27


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Udog

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The Bulls are 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
The Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against Atlanta.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Hawks' games.


The Nets are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
The Clippers are 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Nets' games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven Clippers' games.
 

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

HOU at CHA 07:00 PM
O 234.0
+500

CHI at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +4.0
O 212.0

+500 +500

BOS at MIN 08:00 PM
O 214.5
+500

UTA at SA 08:30 PM
SA +7.0
O 230.5

+500 +500

MEM at PHO 09:00 PM
MEM +8.5
U 221.0

+500 +500

DAL at POR 10:00 PM
DAL +1.0
+500

BK at LAC 10:30 PM
LAC +3.5
O 213.0

+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/27/2021..........5-6-0.........44.45%..........-8.00
12/26/2021..........8-8-0.........50.00%..........-4.00
12/23/2021........13-7-2.........65.00%.......+26.50
12/22/2021..........5-5-0.........50.00%..........-2.50
12/21/2021..........4-6-0.........40.00%.........-13.00
12/20/2021..........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
12/19/2021..........6-5-0.........54.55%..........+2.50
12/18/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%..........+8.00
12/17/2021........5-11-0.........31.25%..........-35.50
12/16/2021..........5-3-0.........62.50%...........+8.50
12/15/2021........14-7-0.........66.66%..........+31.50
12/14/2021..........4-1-0.........80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%.............-7.50
12/12/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%............+8.00
12/11/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:.........105-115-5..........47.72%............-48.30


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BEST BETS:

12/27/2021.............4-6-0................40.00%........-13.00
12/26/2021.............7-5-0................58.33%........+ 7.50
12/23/2021.............7-4-0................63.63%........+13.00
12/22/2021.............2-5-0................28.57%.........-17.50
12/21/2021.............3-4-0................42.85%...........-7.00
12/20/2021.............4-2-0................66.66%..........+9.00
12/19/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%..........- 1.50
12/18/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/17/2021.............2-7-0................22.22%...........-28.50
12/16/2021.............5-1-0................83.33%..........+19.50
12/15/2021.............9-4-0................69.23%..........+23.00
12/14/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021.............3-6-1................33.33%...........-18.00
12/12/2021.............4-3-0................57.14%...........+3.50
12/11/2021.............4-3-0................57.14..............+3.50
12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:.............93-107-1................46.50%...........- 123.50


UPDATED 12/27/2021
 

Udog

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Tuesday?s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads
? LA Rams (-3.5) @ Baltimore
? Broncos @ LA Chargers (-6)
? Texans @ San Francisco (-15)
? Lions @ Seattle (-6.5)
? Vikings @ Green Bay (-6.5)
? Browns (-3) @ Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
?The uncertainty surrounding what the market is going to look like post-lockout is the clearest reason why some of these fringe players are going overseas.?
Unnamed baseball agent, on why some big leaguers have signed to play in Asia

Tuesday?s quiz
In the Showtime series, Ray Donovan, what famous actor plays Ray?s father?

Monday?s quiz
Bears coach Matt Nagy was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League.

Sunday?s quiz
Aaron Rodgers completed his first NFL pass against Dallas.

******************************

Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

12) ACC plays its first bowl Tuesday, when Louisville/NC State take the field; over last two seasons, ACC teams are 4-13 SU in bowl games, 5-12 ATS (2-5 as favorites, 3-7 as dogs).

11) Last five games, Pittsburgh Steelers were outscored 97-9 in the first half.

Steelers offensive line coach Adrian Klemm left Pittsburgh to take the same job at Oregon, not exactly a positive career move, which makes you believe he was getting fired from the Steelers, so they let him leave gracefully.

10) As a basketball stats nerd, I?m a big believer that assists for 3-pointers should count as 1.5 assists, and that assist opportunities that lead to made free throws should count for half an assist apiece. Its a more accurate way of telling who the best playmakers are.

9) Nick Foles is the Bears? 3rd-string QB, but he?s won a Super Bowl, has a 33-29 career won-lost record in the NFL. Why didn?t Chicago trade him for draft picks? Lot of teams could use him, and the Bears could sure as hell use the extra draft picks.

Think about it; how many current starting QB?s is he better than?

8) This week in the NFL, just this week, teams went for it on fourth down 54 times, getting the first down 34 times (63%).

7) NFL flip-flopped start times for two games this week; Rams-Ravens moves from 4:25 to 1:00, while Buccaneers-Panthers becomes a 4:25 game.

Does this mean Lamar Jackson isn?t going to play?

6) NFL turnover knowledge:
? Last four games, Green Bay is +9 in turnovers.
? Last three games, Raiders are minus-10 in turnovers.
? Last seven games, Kansas City is +14 in turnovers.

5) Western Michigan 52, Nevada 24:
? Broncos ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
? Total yardage was 514-242.
? MAC teams improve to 2-5 in bowls this year.
? Nevada?s coach bolted, their QB bolted; this was 31-10 at halftime.
? Favorites have rallied, are now 8-8 ATS in bowls this year.

4) Apparently the Saints called Drew Brees, Philip Rivers last week, seeing if they were interested in making a comeback. They weren?t, so Ian Book/Blake Bortles were the Saints? QB?s Monday night.

3) LA Clippers star Paul George hurt his right elbow, is out 3-4 weeks.

2) USC is #7 in the latest college basketball poll, highest they?ve been ranked since 1975.

1) Seeing those commercials for Olympic skiing on TV, I?m reminded of the three times I went skiing in my life. I despise cold weather, hate snow; skiing wasn?t my thing, but the bar in the ski lodge was fun.

As for the actual skiing, I enjoyed the chair lift; after that, it was all downhill!!!
 

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MILWAUKEE is 97-154 ATS (-72.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) on Tuesday nights in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Tuesday, December 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ Orlando
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games

Washington @ Miami
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 15 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Philadelphia @ Toronto
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Toronto is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

LA Lakers @ Houston
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games

New York @ Minnesota
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing New York
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Cleveland @ New Orleans
Cleveland
Cleveland is 15-1 ATS in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Denver @ Golden State
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Golden State is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Oklahoma City


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Udog

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The Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
The Heat are 5-0 SU in their last five home games.
The Wizards are 3-8 SU in their last 11 matchups against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the last 15 meetings between Washington and Miami.


The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Warriors are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of the last 17 Nuggets' games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven matchups between Golden State and Denver.
 

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 28
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

MIL at ORL 07:00 PM
MIL -14.5
U 216.0

+500 +500

PHI at TOR 07:30 PM
PHI -6.0
U 216.0
+500 +500

WAS at MIA 07:30 PM
WAS +6.5
U 208.5
+500 +500

LAL at HOU 08:00 PM
LAL -5.5
U 225.5
+500 +500

NY at MIN 08:00 PM
NY -4.5
U 211.0
+500 +500

CLE at NO 08:00 PM
CLE -3.5
O 213.0

+500 +500

OKC at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC -5.5
U 224.0
+500 +500

DEN at GS 10:00 PM
GS -7.5
U 217.5

+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/28/2021........6-10-0.........37.50%.........-25.00
12/27/2021..........5-6-0.........44.45%..........-8.00
12/26/2021..........8-8-0.........50.00%..........-4.00
12/23/2021........13-7-2.........65.00%.......+26.50
12/22/2021..........5-5-0.........50.00%..........-2.50
12/21/2021..........4-6-0.........40.00%.........-13.00
12/20/2021..........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
12/19/2021..........6-5-0.........54.55%..........+2.50
12/18/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%..........+8.00
12/17/2021........5-11-0.........31.25%..........-35.50
12/16/2021..........5-3-0.........62.50%...........+8.50
12/15/2021........14-7-0.........66.66%..........+31.50
12/14/2021..........4-1-0.........80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%.............-7.50
12/12/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%............+8.00
12/11/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:.........111-125-5..........47.03%............-73.30


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/28/2021.............5-5-0................50.00%........-2.50
12/27/2021.............4-6-0................40.00%........-13.00
12/26/2021.............7-5-0................58.33%........+ 7.50
12/23/2021.............7-4-0................63.63%........+13.00
12/22/2021.............2-5-0................28.57%.........-17.50
12/21/2021.............3-4-0................42.85%...........-7.00
12/20/2021.............4-2-0................66.66%..........+9.00
12/19/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%..........- 1.50
12/18/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/17/2021.............2-7-0................22.22%...........-28.50
12/16/2021.............5-1-0................83.33%..........+19.50
12/15/2021.............9-4-0................69.23%..........+23.00
12/14/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021.............3-6-1................33.33%...........-18.00
12/12/2021.............4-3-0................57.14%...........+3.50
12/11/2021.............4-3-0................57.14..............+3.50
12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:.............98-112-1................46.66%...........- 126.00


UPDATED 12/28/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday?s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in touchdowns
19? Jonathan Taylor, Ind
17? Austin Ekeler, LAC
16? Joe Mixon, Cin/James Conner, Az
14? Cooper Kupp, Rams
12? Elliott Dal, Samuel SF, Harris NE
11? Cordarrelle Patterson, Atl/Mike Evans, TB

Quote of the Day
?The road to Easy Street goes through the sewer.?
John Madden

Wednesday?s quiz
Where was the first Super Bowl played?

Tuesday?s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight plays Ray?s father.

Monday?s quiz
Bears coach Matt Nagy was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League.

***********************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) Strange Stat of the Day: NFL quarterbacks who went to Notre Dame have lost their last 24 starts; last time a Notre Dame QB won an NFL game was Brady Quinn, in 2012.

12) Miami Dolphins are first NFL team ever to win seven games in a row and also lose seven games in a row, both in the same season.

11) Saw a clip on Twitter this week that showed Steph Curry making 105 three-point shots in a row, which is freakin? impressive. He might be the greatest shooter ever.

Curry?s success has done a lot to improve basketball, making it cool for kids to work on their shooting. Passing/shooting makes for attractive basketball; the Warriors do lot of that, and now teams all over the country have been doing more of that.

10) Colts? QB Carson Wentz isn?t vaccinated, now he has COVID and is likely to miss Sunday?s game against the Raiders. No bueno, unless you root for the Raiders.

Wentz is being paid $15.4M in base salary this year and also got a $10M signing bonus; as one of the most important people working for a franchise worth around $3B, you?d think he would get the vaccine, but no.

Getting your vaccine shots is like wearing a seat belt; you might get in a car accident, but you?re way more likely to survive it. This isn?t a political issue, it is a medical one.

Sam Ehlinger will be the Colts? QB if Wentz doesn?t play; he?s taken 18 snaps in three games of mop-up duty, but hasn?t thrown his first NFL pass yet.

9) Boise State/Miami backed out of their bowl games, so Washington State-Central Michigan will face each other in the Sun Bowl in El Paso Saturday.

8) Air Force 31, Louisville 28:
? Air Force had TD passes of 61-64 yards, which is unlike them.
? Falcons completed 9-10 passed, for 225 yards. Go figure.
? Louisville ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
? ACC teams slip to 4-14 SU, 5-13 ATS in their last 18 bowls.
? Flyboys finish a very successful season 10-3.

7) San Diego State won its bowl game last week 38-24 over Texas-San Antonio; Aztecs? QB Lucas Johnson threw threw for 333 yards and three TD?s. Aztecs finished the season 12-2, everyone is happy, right?

Not so much; Johnson entered the transfer portal Tuesday. Very curious where he will play his last year of college football. It just seems like teams are almost openly poaching players off of other rosters.

6) Carolina Panthers gave coach Matt Rhule $62M for seven years? Why?

Rhule went 47-43 as a college coach (Temple/Baylor); going 28-23 at Temple was impressive- they don?t win a lot at Temple. He went 1-11 his first year at Baylor, 11-3 his third/final year.

If Carolina were to fire Rhule after this season, it would be an expensive buyout, but Panthers owner David Tepper is the NFL?s wealthiest owner ($13B) so he can afford it.

5) Minnesota Vikings? last 12 games were all decided by eight or less points.

4) When the TV show Law and Order started in 1990, the District Attorney character?s name was Adam Schiff, played by Steven Hill.

Still strikes me as weird how today, 31 years later, one of our most prominent Congressmen is also named Adam Schiff. Weird coincidence.

3) Long time ago, 2004 or so, I got to watch a Chiefs-Giants preseason game from the press box at Giants Stadium. Good way to watch a game.

Before the game, they have a free buffet for the press (yes, this website is considered press) and I was on line to eat- the Chiefs radio crew was right behind me.

I actually felt guilty that I was on line in front of Len Dawson, the Chiefs QB who led them to two of the first four Super Bowls. Not guilty enough to give up my spot on line, though.

That was a fun night; also met Dick Vermeil and Al Saunders that night; they were both coaches for the Rams when they won the Super Bowl a few years before that. All in all, a fun night.

2) If you have Showtime, Billions makes its season premiere January 23; the Ray Donovan movie premieres January 14.

1) RIP to coach John Madden, who passed away Tuesday at age 85.

Madden coached the Raiders for ten years, going 112-39-7. Oakland won Super Bowl XI over the Vikings. He was a Hall of Fame coach who became even bigger as a broadcaster and spokesman for the wildly popular video game bearing his name.

RIP, coach.
 

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NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus horrible offensive teams - scoring <=104 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game in the current season.

BOSTON is 40-23 ATS (14.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 12-4 ATS (7.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

UTAH is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, December 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Detroit
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games

Charlotte @ Indiana
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

LA Clippers @ Boston
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Atlanta @ Chicago
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

LA Lakers @ Memphis
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Lakers's last 13 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 13 games when playing LA Lakers

Miami @ San Antonio
Miami
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of San Antonio's last 21 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Phoenix
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home

Utah @ Portland
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
Portland is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Utah

Dallas @ Sacramento
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Grizzlies games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Lakers' games.
The Grizzlies are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games.
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday?s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in points by kickers:
136? Matt Gay Rams/Nick Folk, NE
124? Greg Joseph, Minn
123? Tyler Bass, Buff
122? Daniel Carlson, LV
120? Evan McPherson, Cin
118? Greg Zuerlein Dal/Jake Elliott, Phil

Quote of the Day
?I understood their (initial) decision and I respected it. I really had to sit back and think and try to not become too emotionally attached to what they were deciding to do. I had to sit down and really evaluate things and see it from their perspective, meaning the organization and my teammates??..I knew the consequences. I wasn?t prepared for them, by no stretch of imagination.?
Kyrie Irving

Thursday?s quiz
Where did Patrick Mahomes play his college football?

Wednesday?s quiz
First Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum.

Tuesday?s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight plays Ray?s father.

**********************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??..

13) Pittsburgh Steelers social media has been buzzing this week; the Steelers are 7-7-1 with two weeks left, Ben Roethlisberger looks to be retiring, things aren?t looking up in Steel City.

Some fans are clamoring for Mike Tomlin to be fired; the guy has never had a losing season. Meanwhile, Bill Cowher was inducted into the Hall of Fame last summer.

A comparison:
Bill Cowher:
regular season 149-90-1
playoffs 12-9
Super Bowl 1-1

Mike Tomlin:
regular season 152-84-2
playoffs 8-8
Super Bowl 1-1

Looks pretty similar to me.

12) Last seven weeks, teams are 7-0 SU/ATS the week after playing the Denver Broncos. Denver played the Raiders last week.

11) Oklahoma City Thunder rookie Josh Giddey had a game last week where he grabbed ten rebounds, dished out 10 assists, but didn?t score any points. None. Zero, Bupkis.

He?s the first player with a double-double on zero points since Norm Van Lier in 1971.

10) Auburn 70, LSU 55:
? First loss in 13 games for LSU.
? Auburn sprinted out to a 21-4 lead.
? LSU shot 28.6% for the game.

9) Alabama 73, Tennessee 68:
? Tennessee played without two starters.
? Teams combined to make only 14-60 3-pointers.
? Gurley scored 20 points in 32:00 off bench for Alabama.

8) Air Force 49, Utah State 47:
? Falcons were a 13-point home underdog in their Mountain West opener.
? Bad loss for 9-5 Utah State (now has losses to teams #198/#278)

7) Oklahoma 47, Oregon 32:
? Sooners led 30-3 at halftime, coasted to an easy win.

? Oklahoma ran ball for 322 yards.
? Bob Stoops? son Drake caught a TD pass.
? Favorites have covered last nine bowl games.

6) Clemson 20, Iowa State 13:
? Clemson converted 9-18 third down plays.
? This snaps 12-game bowl losing streak for ACC teams.
? Cheez-Its make enough $$$ to sponsor a bowl? Never liked them much.

5) Maryland 54, Virginia Tech 10:
? Maryland opened scoring with a 92-yard punt return.
? Terps outscored Va Tech 30-0 in second half.
? Taulia Tagovailoa (Tua?s brother) was 20-24/265 passing.

4) NFL tidbits:
? Sam Darnold will start at QB for Carolina this week.
? Sam Ehlinger (no NFL passes) will start for the Colts if Carson Wentz doesn?t.
? Vikings? WR Adam Thielen (ankle) is out this week.

3) I belong to AARP; you can save some money by belonging (15% off every time you eat at Denny?s, for example), so the AARP Magazine comes to my house every month.

Felt really old this week when the magazine came and Michael J Fox was on the cover; Alex Keaton is over 55 too? I think George Clooney was on last month?s cover.

Oy.

2) Former Seattle Mariners? 3B Kyle Seager retired Wednesday; he hit 35 homers LY, knocked in 101 runs, but hit only .212, with a .285 OB%.

Seager played his entire 11-year big league career with the Mariners.

1) Sports handicapping has never been easy, but the COVID era has made it way harder; you never know who is going to play, from game-to-game. Right now, there are five NBA coaches on the COVID list.

Handicapping bowls has always been kind of random; which team is motivated to win, what players/coaches have one foot out the door to their next destination. Throw in the COVID issues and it is often a guessing game. Proceed at your own risk.
 
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