CNOTES 2021-2022 NHL TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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Tuesday?s 6-pack
? Virginia 62, Virginia Tech 53? Hokies have won six in a row.
? Kansas State 78, West Virginia 73? WVU lost nine of its last ten games.
? Fort Wayne 102, Cleveland State 98, 3OT? Mastodons made 15-35 on arc.
? UNCW 80, Wm & Mary 73, OT? Seahawks are 3-0 in overtime this season.
? Northern Colorado 100, Southern Utah 95? NC shot 73% inside arc, 10-20 on arc.
? St Bonaventure 83, Saint Louis 79? Bonnies? bench played total of 11:00.

Quote of the Day
?Someone once told me: The hardest thing about winning the Super Bowl is you wake up the next morning and it?s the next season. It?s over. And to be fair, I think that?s daunting to some degree, when you wake up this morning and you realize, ?I?ve got to go do it all over again,? and you don?t have the energy. So I think the talk is actually natural. When you look at someone like Aaron Donald and what he?s accomplished, this was obviously a legacy piece.?
Rams COO Kevin Demoff

Tuesday?s quiz
Bob Huggins is best known for coaching Cincinnati/West Virginia; in between those two stops, he coached somewhere else, for one season. Where was it?

Monday?s quiz
In Matthew Stafford?s 12 years in Detroit, he played for three head coaches:
? Jim Schwartz 29-52
? Jim Caldwell 36-30
? Matt Patricia 13-29-1

Sunday?s quiz
Baltimore Ravens have won two Super Bowls; Trent Dilfer/Joe Flacco were the two QB?s that won them.

*******************************

Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) On June 14, 1974, Nolan Ryan walked 10, struck out 19 batters in 13 innings in a 4-3 Angels win that lasted 15 innings. Ryan threw 235 pitchers in this game; 235!!!!!!!!

Ryan had a 3-1 lead in ninth inning, but Carl Yastrzemski hit a 2-run homer to tie the game.

Luis Tiant pitched the whole game for the Red Sox.

12) So, when is spring training starting? Too bad the baseball owners/players are all rich nitwits who can?t agree what day it is. They need to end the lockout and get spring training started.

11) They had a draft of players for the NBA All-Star Game last week; how would you like to be the last guy picked for that game?

When I was a kid, I wasn?t usually the last guy picked, but I was closer to the bottom than the top and it sucks. Imagine making $47.2M a season and being the last guy picked? Well, guess making $47.2M would soften the blow some, but still it sucks.

Enough said.

10) Huge overlap in seasons now; I?m still basking in the glow of the Super Bowl, while there is a college hoop game on TV and I?m listening to a podcast on fantasy baseball. Only 26 days until Selection Sunday, 44 days until Opening Day of baseball.

9) MLB Network is televising a college baseball tournament this weekend; not sure how that will be, but some baseball is better than none.

8) John Calipari had a cameo on Showtime?s Billions Sunday night; he gave the hedge fund traders a pep talk, telling them to put their first million dollars away, for security. Once you have security, he says, you lose your fear of failure.

?I?ve had 52 players drafted in the NBA, have 35 players in the league now???

A terrific 1:49 scene, very well done, complete with Calipari waving his national title ring in the air, to impress the traders. Excellent scene.

7) Underdogs are now 10-5 ATS the last fifteen Super Bowls.

6) Last eight Super Bowls, the team that won the coin toss lost the game.

5) Kirk Cousins? salary cap number next year is $45M. Oy.

4) February 2, Syracuse won 89-82 at NC State; three Syracuse subs played a total of 20:00, took one shot the whole game (it missed). None of the starters scored 20 points, which is weird; they all scored between 16-19 points.

You sit in a 2-3 zone, have to rest some on defense; Boeheim?s two sons played 38-40 minutes. This will be a good team to avoid betting on in the ACC tournament, once you get past the first day.

3) NBC is re-booting Law & Order February 24; it is supposed to be pretty much similar to what it was it went off the air 12 years ago. Sam Waterston/Anthony Anderson return to their old roles; one terrific addition to the cast will be Jeffrey Donovan, who was great on an old USA Network series Burn Notice, which ran from 2007-13.

2) Prediction made without judgment: NFL will eventually award a 3rd-round draft pick to teams who hire a minority head coach. NFL needs more teams to hire minority head coaches; a 3rd-round pick is a damn good incentive.

Joe Montana, Terrell Davis, Cooper Kupp were all 3rd-round picks.

1) Sam Ryder made a hole-in-one on the 16th hole at the Phoenix Open Saturday, the hole where 50,000 people watch in a stadium-like setting. Hundreds of water bottles were thrown on the green in celebration. Seeing how the tournament was sponsored by Waste Management, didn?t take long to clean up the bottles, but it was a fun thing to see.
 

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ST LOUIS are 23-27 ATS (-22.9 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 4-25 ATS (-23.8 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 0-4 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the 2nd half of the season.

NY RANGERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current s...

CALGARY is 11-1 ATS (8.5 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the current season.

LOS ANGELES
are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NHL

Tuesday, February 15


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Trend Report
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Boston @ NY Rangers
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

NY Islanders @ Buffalo
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games

Tampa Bay @ New Jersey
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
New Jersey
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Jersey's last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

St. Louis @ Ottawa
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Ottawa's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Ottawa's last 10 games at home

Washington @ Nashville
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Washington

Columbus @ Calgary
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Dallas @ Colorado
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
Colorado is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

Edmonton @ Los Angeles
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

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Dunkel

Tuesday, February 15


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Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 15
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PHI at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT -311
O 6.5
+500 +500

BOS at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -142
O 5.5
+500 +500

STL at OTT 07:00 PM
STL -221
+500

NYI at BUF 07:00 PM
NYI -186
O 5.5
+500 +500

TB at NJ 07:00 PM
TB -298
U 6.5
+500 +500

WAS at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS -139
U 6.0
+500 +500

CLB at CAL 09:00 PM
CAL -284
O 6.5
+500 +500

DAL at COL 09:00 PM
COL -248
O 6.5
+500 +500

EDM at LA 10:30 PM
LA -105
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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Wednesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Genesis Invitational golf tournament this week:
+950? Jon Rahm
+1200? Patrick Cantlay
+1600? Justin Thomas
+1800? Dustin Johnson
+2000? Collin Morikawa
+2200? Rory McIlroy

Quote of the Day
?Be yourself; everyone else is already taken.?
Oscar Wilde

Wednesday?s quiz
Where did Aaron Rodgers play his college football?

Tuesday?s quiz
Bob Huggins is best known for coaching Cincinnati/West Virginia; in between those two stops, he coached Kansas State for one season.

Monday?s quiz
In Matthew Stafford?s 12 years in Detroit, he played for three head coaches:
? Jim Schwartz 29-52
? Jim Caldwell 36-30
? Matt Patricia 13-29-1

**********************************

Wednesday?s Den: Conference tournament trends??..

College tournaments aren?t that far away; here are some trends for how teams have done in their tournaments.

13) Since 2004, Gonzaga is 37-4 in the WCC tournament; since 2010, Saint Mary?s is 17-9. BYU is 9-8 in their last 17 tourney games.

Other than those three teams, not lot of wins left in the WCC.

12) Despite playing the Big East tournament on its home floor at Madison Square Garden, since 2003, St John?s is 8-14 in Big East tournament.

Similar thing for UNLV, which hosts the Mountain West event; since 2009, Rebels are 11-13 in conference tournament games- they last won the tournament in 2009.

11) Since 2013, Iona is 24-3 in MAAC tournament games, 17-1 since 2016.

On other hand, Marist is 1-9 in last nine MAAC tourneys.

10) Since 2003, under five different coaches, VCU is 34-14 in conference tournament games.

9) Cincinnati is 10-2 in its last four conference tournaments, winning two of them.

8) Last eight conference tournaments, George Washington has gone W-L seven times.

7) 11 of the last 12 years, San Diego State has won at least two games in the Mountain West tournament; since 2009, they?re 27-9 in the conference tournament.

6) Last four years, Utah State is 10-2 in Mountain West tournament.

5) San Jose State is 0-8 in its last eight Mountain West tournaments, with last seven losses all by 13+ points.

4) From 2012-14, Louisville went 10-0 in winning three straight conference tournaments; since then, Cardinals are 2-5 in conference tournament games.

3) Last five years, Oklahoma is 0-4 in Big X tournament games.

2) Since 2015, Arizona is 11-2 in Pac-12 tournament games; since 2009, Washington State is 1-10 in tournament games.

1) Since 2015, Cal-Irvine is 13-4 in Big West tournament games; last five years, Hawaii is 0-4.
 

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MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

FLORIDA is 0-9 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 48-18 ATS (21.8 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.




NHL

Wednesday, February 16


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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Winnipeg
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

Florida @ Carolina
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

Anaheim @ Calgary
Anaheim
Anaheim is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Colorado @ Vegas
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado


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Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 16
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MIN at WIN 07:00 PM
MIN -143
O 6.0
+500 +500

FLA at CAR 07:30 PM
FLA -106
O 6.5
+500 +500

ANA at CAL 09:30 PM
CAL -223
O 5.5
+500 +500

COL at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG +119
O 6.5

+500 +500
 

Udog

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Thursday?s 6-pack
? Texas Tech 83, Baylor 73? Baylor is 6-5 in its last 11 games, after a 15-0 start.
? Rutgers 70, Illinois 59? Rutgers won last four games, giving up 62.8 ppg.
? Pitt 76, North Carolina 67? Bad loss for UNC, a bubble team.
? UNLV 60, Fresno State 57? Rebels allowed 59.7 ppg in last three wins.
? UConn 70, Seton Hall 65? Pirates are only 6-8 in Big East play.
? Miami 70, Louisville 63? Cardinals have lost 7 in row, 10 of last 11 games.

Quote of the Day
?You have to be honest with people- brutally honest. You have to tell them the truth about their performance, you have to tell it to them face-to-face, and you have to tell it to them over and over again. Sometimes the truth will be painful, and sometimes saying it will lead to an uncomfortable confrontation. So be it.?
Bill Parcells

Thursday?s quiz
In the movie The Natural, where Robert Redford plays OF for the New York Knights, what famous actor was the manager of the Knights?

Wednesday?s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.

Tuesday?s quiz
Bob Huggins is best known for coaching Cincinnati/West Virginia; in between those two stops, he coached Kansas State for one season.

******************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) Definition of a bad day: Sunday, a gambler placed $1M on the Rams over 13.5 points in the first half (+115). Rams botched the snap on the extra point after their second TD- they didn?t score again that quarter, led 13-10 at the half. Under by half a point.

Guy lost $869,500 because they botched the snap on a PAT, only time they did it all season.

12) Definition of a good day: last fall, Juan Soto turned down a 13-year. $350M contract offer from the Washington Nationals. Soto can?t be a free agent for another three years; if he waits until then for a new contract, he?ll be expecting to break the bank then.

11) Speaking of the Nationals, Ryan Zimmerman retired this week, after a 16-year career; he hit 284 homers in his career, helped Washington win the 2019 World Series.

10) Used to discuss/argue with a friend of mine, what makes a QB great?

I thought about this a lot; concluded that lot of the things that make a QB great are things you and I cannot see, its behind the scenes stuff.
? Is the QB a good teammate? Do his teammate believe in him?
? Does he do a little extra on study/prep work?

Texas basketball coach Chris Beard says ?3:30 guys don?t win championships? His point is that players improve the most with the work they do before/after practices.

? Physical skills are obviously important; toughness is probably more important.
? When the offense gets in the huddle, 80-yards from the game-winning score, do his teammates believe that QB will lead them to a score? That seems to be the biggest thing.

Arizona Cardinals/Kyler Murray are having problems; it is unclear what they are exactly, but Murray?s body language during games isn?t good. You don?t seem him talking to teammates on the sideline very much. The QB is a leader, but the other players won?t follow unless they believe in the leader.

9) In college basketball, I think a team should have to finish at least .500 in their league to make the NCAA Tournament; you lose more than you win in league play, how do you get to compete for a national title?

1992 Iowa State Cyclones finished 5-9 in the Big 8, was still a 10-seed in March Madness, the worst conference record for any at-large team in the NCAA Tournament.

8) Three weeks to go in the Big Sky regular season, only one team has less than four losses; Montana State leads at 12-2, two games ahead of Weber State/Southern Utah/Northern Colorado. Going to be a very good conference tournament.

7) NFL teams that could have a new starting quarterback next year:
? Houston
? Washington
? Tampa Bay
? San Francisco
? Pittsburgh
? Indianapolis
? Denver

Deshaun Watson will be the first domino that causes the other ones to start falling.

6) We talked on Monday about Brycen Hopkins catching four passes for 47 yards in the Super Bowl, after being the Rams? fifth tight end to play this season. Turns out that Hopkins? dad is Brad Hopkins, who played against the Rams in Super Bowl XXXIV for Tennessee.

Brad Hopkins played offensive tackle for 13 years with the Oilers/Titans.

5) This season in the NFL, there were an average of 11.8 penalties per game, for 102.1 yards. During the playoffs, penalties dropped to 9.4 per game, for 75.4 yards.

4) Super Bowl TV ratings were up 14% this year from last year.

3) NFL is very good at staying in the spotlight; March 3-6, the rookie combine will be on the NFL Network, in primetime. If you like to watch guys run the 40-yard dash or do shuttle drills, you?ll enjoy watching that.

2) Cincinnati Bearcats gave football coach Luke Fickiell $5M a year thru 2028; Cincinnati is moving up to the Big X, with Texas/Oklahoma moving to the SEC.

1) I went to college at UAlbany, spent lost of time in the campus center there, where there used to be lot of protests. Various things, some more serious than others. I was more interested in watching game shows in the TV lounge, but there were a lot of protests.

Prices in the vending machines were lower than most places; when they tried to raise the prices once, a protest happened. Politicial issues, protests. Labor issues, protests. You get the idea.

One day I?m walking past a protest and it occurred to me; there was a core of people who seemed to be at all of these protests, like they were professional protestors, so from that point on, always looked for those people and sure enough, most times they were there.

Wonder what the going rate was for being a protestor?
 

Udog

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TORONTO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) off a road win by 2 goals or more in the current season.

NY RANGERS are 12-1 ATS (10 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 13-31 ATS (-16.4 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

BUFFALO is 15-54 ATS (-44.4 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

MONTREAL is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 3-17 ATS (-15.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

SEATTLE is 11-27 ATS (-16.1 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

CHICAGO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 83-63 ATS (13.7 Units) in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less since 1996.

VANCOUVER is 0-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.
 

Udog

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NHL

Thursday, February 17


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Trend Report
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St. Louis @ Montreal
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games at home

Ottawa @ Buffalo
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Ottawa's last 13 games
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Detroit @ NY Rangers
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Rangers's last 12 games when playing Detroit
NY Rangers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 16 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Toronto
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games

Boston @ NY Islanders
Boston
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

Seattle @ Winnipeg
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 11 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Columbus @ Chicago
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus

Anaheim @ Edmonton
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games

Vancouver @ San Jose
Vancouver
Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games


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Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 17
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PIT at TOR 07:00 PM
PIT +135
O 6.5

+500 +500

DET at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -193
O 5.5
+500 +500

STL at MON 07:00 PM
STL -269
O 6.5
+500 +500

OTT at BUF 07:00 PM
BUF -127
O 6.0
+500 +500

WAS at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI +148
O 6.0

+500 +500

BOS at NYI 07:30 PM
NYI -111
O 5.5
+500 +500

SEA at WIN 08:00 PM
SEA +118
O 6.0

+500 +500

CLB at CHI 08:30 PM
CHI -124
O 6.0
+500 +500

ANA at EDM 09:00 PM
ANA +193
U 6.5

+500 +500

VAN at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +103
O 5.5

+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday?s 6-pack
Draft order for the USFL, which starts play in April
1) Michigan Panthers
2) Tampa Bay Bandits
3) Philadelphia Stars
4) New Jersey Generals
5) Houston Gamblers
6) Birmingham Stallions
7) Pittsburgh Maulers
8) New Orleans Breakers

Jeff Fisher is Michigan?s coach; expect them to draft a defensive player first

Quote of the Day
?You have to be honest with people- brutally honest. You have to tell them the truth about their performance, you have to tell it to them face-to-face, and you have to tell it to them over and over again. Sometimes the truth will be painful, and sometimes saying it will lead to an uncomfortable confrontation. So be it.?
Bill Parcells

Friday?s quiz
in the original USFL (1983-85), which team did Steve Spurrier coach?

Thursday?s quiz
In the movie The Natural, where Robert Redford plays OF for the New York Knights, Wilford Brimley played the manager of the Knights.

Wednesday?s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.

***************************************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) If your favorite NFL teams needs a quarterback, would you want them trading for Deshaun Watson? He?s going to get traded somewhere this year, just a question of where.

Watson has a 28-25 W-L record in four years; he didn?t play this past season, has a mountain of legal problems to deal with, but if he gets past those (since he is rich he probably will), he?s better than most NFL QB?s.

Very curious to see where all this ends up; Houston figures to net a bonanza of draft picks to build back its roster when they trade Watson- they need the help.

12) The quality of play in college basketball has taken a dive; the transfer portal has to be at least partially responsible. Teams being cobbled together in the offseason; there are more than a few teams with 10+ new players from last season. Hard to have cohesive play that way, with players changing teams almost on the fly.

Makes handicapping teams lot harder; teams are more erratic.

11) Speaking of transfers, Arizona State QB Jaylen Daniels, who started the last three years for the Sun Devils, entered the transfer portal this week. Bad news for Herm Edwards? ASU squad.

10) Gonzaga has been the #1 basketball team in the country in 17 of last 31 top 25 polls; they?re not going to lose any WCC games the rest of this season, which makes them a tough team to gauge heading into March Madness. Does playing in a mid-major league hurt their chances of winning it all?

Since 2015, Gonzaga is 16-6 in NCAA?s; they haven?t lost a first round game since 2008.

Under Mark Few, here is how Gonzaga has fared in the NCAA?s:
? 1st round: 18-3
? 2nd round: 8-10
? regional semis: 4-6
? regional final: 2-2
? national semis 2-0
? national title games: 0-2

9) This season, Gonzaga won its first three WCC road games by by 32-30-33 points, so the guys who set the odds in Las Vegas made them minus-31 at Pepperdine Wednesday. Sportsbooks are obviously tired of taking bets on the Zags, who won 86-66.

Very seldom is a road team ever favored by 31 points in a conference game.

8) New York State took in $2B in wagers for their first month with the mobile betting app; took the politicians lot of time to make sports betting mobile, but they finally did and with a taxation rate 51% of the proceeds, the state is starting to rake in big $$$$.

7) Michigan signed football coach Jim Harbaugh to a $7M/year contract; he is 61-24 in seven years at Michigan, 42-17 in conference games, 1-5 in bowls.

6) Happy to report that Showtime?s excellent series Billions was renewed for a 7th season; very good show to watch, if you have access to Showtime.

5) Minnesota Vikings introduced Kevin O?Connell as their new head coach; funny how teams go from a defense-oriented coach to an offense-oriented one and vice versa. Vikings went 72-56-1 under the last coach, Mike Zimmer (2-3 in playoff games), but Zimmer had six different offensive coordinators the last six years. Now Minnesota has an offensive-minded leader.

4) Just read stuff on the Interweb about how the Kansas City Chiefs, and how Eric Bieniemy hasn?t gotten a head coaching job, despite 15 interviews with various teams.

Turns out that Bieniemy doesn?t get along that well with Patrick Mahomes; during AFC title game, Andy Reid wanted to overrule one of Bieniemy?s play calls, Mike Kafka the QB coach says ?We?re blowing this game? and Mahomes says ?Call a bleeping play or I will?

If an assistant coach (on offense) doesn?t get along with Mahomes, I?m guessing the coach will wind up on the highway leaving town.

3) Miami 111, Charlotte 107 OT? Hornets are 0-6 in overtime games this season.

2) Samford 100, VMI 99, OT? VMI made 16-34 on arc, scored 1.36 ppp, which is really good, but they still lost. That almost never happens. Samford was 12-24 on the arc.

47.4% of shots in SoCon games are 3?s, highest %age of any league in country.

1) Long time ago, maybe 2003 or 2004, I was in Florida, watching AAU national tournament at Disney?s Wide World of Sports; had a media pass, so I was sitting amongst the coaches under the basket on one of the six courts in the building.

Think the kid?s name was Devan Downey; he was a good guard, and lot of coaches were there to see him play. Only seat empty was the chair on my right.

I hear a voice say ?Anyone sitting here?? It was Tubby Smith, who was then Kentucky?s coach. He sits next to me; few minutes later I ask him if he minded if I asked him a few questions for this blog I write? I promised him they would be easy questions.

?There are no easy questions? he says, smiling, but he politely answered five questions and I had a big part of this space for the next day. For the first four years of this blog, that day was the day with most traffic, so thanks to coach Smith.

Tubby Smith retired this week, passing on the head coaching mantle at High Point to his son; Tubby Smith finished with 642 wins at seven different schools, winning the 1998 national title at Kentucky. Really good coach; his teams were fun to watch.

Enjoy your retirement coach; appreciate you talking with me.
 

Udog

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NASHVILLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 18-4 ATS (12.9 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

CHICAGO is 3-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 23-20 ATS (5.8 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Friday, February 18


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NHL

Friday, February 18


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nashville @ Carolina
Nashville
Nashville is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville

Florida @ Minnesota
Florida
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Florida

Dallas @ Chicago
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Dallas

Los Angeles @ Vegas
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

NAS at CAR 07:00 PM
CAR -159
O 5.5
+500 +500

FLA at MIN 08:00 PM
FLA -128
O 7.0
+500 +500

DAL at CHI 08:30 PM
DAL -157
O 5.5
+500 +500

LA at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG -158
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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48
FEBRUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

02/18/2022.........5-2-0........71.43%............+11.60
02/17/2022.......5-15-0........25.00%.............-68.65
02/16/2022.........4-4-0........50.00%..............-3.15
02/15/2022.........9-8-0........52.94%.............-10.90
02/02/2022.........3-6-1........35.00%.............-22.55
02/01/2022.......13-9-0........59.09%............+35.10

TOTALS...........39-44-1.........46.98%............-58.55


BEST BETS:

02/18/2022........3-1-0..........75.00%............+9.50
02/17/2022.......4-11-0.........26.66%............-40.50
02/16/2022.........2-3-0.........40.00%.............-5.50
02/15/2022.........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
01/02/2022.........0-6-0.........00.00%.............-33.00
02/01/2022.........7-8-0.........46.66%............+10.75

TOTALS............20-33-0.........37.73%.............-60.75


02/18/22
 
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Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday?s 6-pack
National leaders in 2-point FG %age:
62.2%? Gonzaga
61.5%? Belmont
58.9%? Wake Forest
58.7%? Vermont
58.3%? Oklahoma
57.5%? Arizona

Quote of the Day
?I?m almost in disbelief at how lackadaisical my team was.?
Illinois coach Brad Underwood, after the Illini lost 70-59 at Rutgers

Saturday?s quiz
In the original USFL (1983-85), which future NFL head coach was coach of the Philadelphia Stars?

Friday?s quiz
In the original USFL (1983-85), Steve Spurrier coached the Tampa Bay Bandits.

Thursday?s quiz
In the movie The Natural, where Robert Redford plays OF for the New York Knights, Wilford Brimley played the manager of the Knights.

*********************************

Saturday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) MLB cancelled the first week of spring training games, which is bad news; the two sides are going to negotiate every day next week, which is long overdue. Why haven?t they been doing this all along? If there isn?t a deal by March 1, then the start of the regular season figures to be delayed.

Lot of people plan vacations to Florida/Arizona in March, to see spring training.

12) After starting season 2-9 vs D-I teams, Long Beach State has caught fire, winning its last 11 games, covering last ten.

It has been ten years since Long Beach State was in NCAA Tournament; they were 18-26 in Big West games the last three years, but this year?s team is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time in conference games- they?re on a roll.

11) VCU 77, Richmond 57:
? Rams sweep cross-town rivalry this season
? VCU outscored Richmond 49-29 in second half.

10) Best NBA teams, against the spread:
? Memphis 39-20-1
? Oklahoma City 35-19-4
? Chicago 35-23-1
? Toronto 34-23

9) How basketball has changed:
Ten years ago, Orlando Magic averaged 27 3-point shots a game, most in the NBA.

This season, Chicago Bulls are averaging 29.8 3?s a game; thats 30th (last) in the NBA.

8) College football playoff is going to stay at four teams for the next four seasons; I?m not sure why. Am pretty confident an 8 or 12-team playoff would be very popular, but the bowl system is so entrenched. Having more meaningful games would be a good thing.

7) Last year, Tampa Bay Rays had 14 different pitchers earn a save, which is a lot; makes it tough if you?re in a fantasy league with saves as a category.

6) Tex-San Antonio 98, Southern Miss 79 OT? Not often a team wins by 19 in overtime, but the Roadrunners outscored Southern Miss 22-3 in OT, snapping a five-game losing skid. UTSA made 15-32 3-point shots; they trailed by 11 early on. Southern Miss has lost eight in a row.

5) Oklahoma City?s Josh Giddey is only second NBA rookie ever to have triple-doubles in three straight games, joining the great Oscar Robertson on that list.

4) Saw an ad on Twitter where Allegiant Stadium has a concert next September 9, with Def Leppard, Motley Crue, Poison and Joan Jett. September 9 is a Friday, two days before the NFL season starts, which leads me to believe that the Raiders are opening 2022 on the road.

3) St John?s 91, Butler 57:
? Red Storm was 11-22 on arc; they?re shooting only 32.8% on arc in Big East games.
? Butler is 6-10 in Big East, 40-50 the last five years. This is Butler?s ninth year in Big East; they?ve had three winning seasons in Big East conference games.

2) Yale 81, Pennsylvania 72:
? Bulldogs won seven games in row, lead Ivy League by a game.

1) Cleveland State 78, Milwaukee 71? Vikings maintain their one-game lead on top of the Horizon League standings.
 

Udog

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BUFFALO is 15-55 ATS (-45.5 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

EDMONTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 5-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

BOSTON is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

CALGARY is 6-11 ATS (-12.2 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games when playing 3 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.
 
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