CNOTES 2021-2022 NHL TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Udog]

NHL

Sunday, March 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Carolina @ Pittsburgh
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Toronto @ Buffalo
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

Nashville @ Minnesota
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games on the road
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games

Vegas @ Columbus
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vegas's last 10 games on the road
Columbus
Columbus is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas

Winnipeg @ St. Louis
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Winnipeg is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
St. Louis is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home

Montreal @ Philadelphia
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Montreal

Anaheim @ NY Islanders
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Anaheim is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Calgary @ Colorado
Calgary
Calgary is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

Florida @ Los Angeles
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games at home
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida

Tampa Bay @ Vancouver
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Vancouver
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, March 13

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, MARCH 13
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

CAR at PIT 01:00 PM
PIT -138
O 6.0
+500 +500

TOR at BUF 04:00 PM
TOR -297
U 6.5
+500 +500

MON at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI -146
O 6.0
+500 +500

NAS at MIN 07:00 PM
MIN -156
O 6.5
+500 +500

WIN at STL 07:00 PM
STL -132
O 6.0
+500 +500

VEG at CLB 07:00 PM
VEG -166
U 6.5
+500 +500

ANA at NYI 07:30 PM
NYI -174
O 5.5
+500 +500

CAL at COL 08:00 PM
COL -158
O 6.5
+500 +500

FLA at LA 10:00 PM
FLA -217
U 6.5
+500 +500

TB at VAN 10:00 PM
TB -138
U 6.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS..............107-93-1............53.50%..........-117.75



BEST BETS:

03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS...............63-47-2..............57.27%...........+58.80


UPDATED ON 03/13/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday?s 6-pack
NCAA tourney teams with best 2-point shooting %age:
? Gonzaga
? Vermont
? Arizona
? Alabama
? South Dakota State
? Colorado State

Quote of the Day
?My wife put me in the transfer portal.?
TV analyst/former coach Pete Gillen

Monday?s quiz
When was last time a #15-seed beat a #2-seed in NCAA Tournament?

Sunday?s quiz
15 major league teams have spring training in Florida, 15 train in Arizona.

Saturday?s quiz
Jim Harrick was UCLA?s basketball coach in 1995, last time they won the NCAA Tournament.

********************************

Monday?s Den: Some quick thoughts after first glance at the brackets

This is going to be fairly short; it is time to get to work on the four play-in games, and 28 first-round games where we know the matchups.

? Last time the #1 team in top 25 on Selection Sunday won the national title title was Kentucky in 2012. Gonzaga is the #1 team right now.

? When Richmond upset Davidson Sunday to win the A-14 tournament, they bounced Dayton out of the tournament.

? High drama for the San Francisco Dons; their matchup with Murray State was second-last one revealed on CBS; they had to be thinking they were on the outside looking in, before CBS showed that matchup. Just getting in is a big deal; USF was last in the NCAA?s in 1998.

? Murray State-Kentucky second round game would get Racer fans fired up, getting to play their in-state big brother. I?m thinking Murray-USF is my favorite first round game.

? I thought Gonzaga got a tougher draw than Duke; Memphis in the second round? Gonzaga has to hope Penny Hardaway?s Tigers look past Boise State and get beat by the Broncos.

Georgia State won its last ten games; I?d rather play Cal-Fullerton than the Panthers. Sun Belt is a better league than the Big West.

Duke plays a Fullerton team that won Big West final by a point- Titans shot 11-20 on arc and won by a point? Fullerton is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 7-10-13 points. Whoever survives the Davidson-Michigan State game won?t be as tough an opponent as Memphis-Boise winner.

? Big 14 got nine of its 14 teams in tournament; they got nine teams in last year, too, going a combined 8-9. Michigan was only team to survive the first weekend last year.

? Tennessee just won the SEC tournament for first time since 1979, winning on Sunday; they got a Thursday/Saturday draw, which is tough, but they?re playing Longwood in first round, a Lancers? squad making its first NCAA appearance.

? Shaka Smart got to the Final Four back in 2011; he lost his second round game in both 2012 and 2013, but since then, he is 0-5 in NCAA Tournament games. Marquette-North Carolina is an excellent 8-9 first round game. Winner will be a tough second-round game for #1-seed Baylor.

? Purdue is 3-7 this season when they score less than 70 points, 24-0 when they score 70+; Yale won?t run with Boilers, but they?re also 0-5 vs top 100 teams this season, with four losses by 14+ points (closest of those losses was 61-53 at Vermont). Ivy League teams are 9-2 ATS in last eleven first round games.

? Vermont won its three America East tourney games by 39-32-39 points, but America East is a cruddy league. Vermont is 22-1 since December 10; Catamounts lost by 11 at Maryland, by 10 at Providence, their highest-profile games this season. Vermont-Arkansas is an intriguing 4-13 tilt.

? Wisconsin gets to play the first weekend in Milwaukee; their second round game is the winner of Iowa State-LSU. Cyclones lost their last three games, are 8-12 in 2022. LSU just fired their coach for being a shameless cheater. Seems like an easy first weekend for Wisconsin.

Back to Iowa State; they lost their last three games, scoring 48.3 ppg, they look like a dead team, but were carried into the tournament by their 12-0 pre-conference mark, which included wins over Iowa, Creighton, Memphis.

? Wright State plays Bryant of the NEC in a play-in game; last two years, Wright State is 4-0 vs Robert Morris, winning by 9-30-10-2 points. Robert Morris jumped from the NEC to the Horizon League two years ago, so Wright State appears to be a superior team there.

Bryant lost to these higher-profile teams:
? 83-64 at Rhode Island
? 93-70 at Clemson
? 111-44 at Houston
? 73-58 at Cincinnati

Bryant?s only wins over team in top 200 were two wins over Wagner, whose best player was hurt and didn?t play.

? South Dakota State is 30-4; they haven?t lost since December 15. Jackrabbits are making 44.2% of their 3?s, best in country. Intriguing matchup with Providence- opponents shot 31.2% on arc against the Friars this season (#57 in country).

Jackrabbits are 2-2 vs top 100 teams; they beat Bradley/Washington State, lost to Alabama by 16, by 12 at Missouri State.

? I?ll obviously be back every day with more tidbits; sometimes you can learn stuff when you look at the times when these games will be played. If the powers-that-be sense an upset, that game ain?t going to be played at 3 in the afternoon, I?m just saying.

Time to get to work.

 

[Udog]

ARIZONA is 4-0 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 14

NHL

Monday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ Ottawa
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Ottawa's last 25 games


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[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, MARCH 14
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

ARI at OTT 07:30 PM
ARI +142
O 6.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/14/2022..........2-0-0..........100.00%..........+12.10
03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS..............111-93-1............54.41%..........-105.65



BEST BETS:

03/14/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.........+12.10
03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS...............65-47-2..............58.03%...........+70.90


UPDATED ON 03/14/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday?s 6-pack
NCAA tourney teams who get highest %age of points on 3?s:
38.9%? Colgate
38.4%? Villanova
38.2%? Virginia Tech
37.8%? Notre Dame
37.6%? Jacksonville State
36.8%? San Francisco

Quote of the Day
?Why would you want to dance with someone who doesn?t want to dance with you??
Adam Sandler, The Wedding Singer

Tuesday?s quiz
76ers? C Joel Embiid played one year of college hoop; where did he play?

Monday?s quiz
#15-seed Oral Roberts upset #2-seed Ohio State in last year?s NCAA Tournament.

Sunday?s quiz
15 major league teams have spring training in Florida, 15 train in Arizona.

***************************

Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??..

13) #4-seed Providence is a 2-point favorite over #13-seed South Dakota State in a first round game Thursday; that?s the lowest spread ever in a 4-13 first round game.

Next lowest spreads in a 4-13 game:

2003, Dayton was -2.5 over Tulsa; Tulsa won 84-71.
2010, Vanderbilt was -3 over Murray State; Racers won 66-65.

12) Delaware is coached by Martin Inglesby; his Blue Hens play Villanova in first round.

? Inglesby?s father/uncle both played basketball at Villanova.
? Inglesby?s father had his number retired by Villanova.
? Inglesby?s sister is married to Baker Dunleavy, who played/coached at Villanova.

Delaware center Dylan Painter played for Villanova three years ago, then transferred to the CAA school. Villanova beat the Blue Hens 78-70 in a neutral court game two years ago.

11) Jerry Palm was saying on CBS Sports Network Sunday night that Rutgers has the worst net rating of any at-large team to make the NCAA Tournament since at least 1994. Big 14 moving to a 20-game conference schedule is helping more of their teams get into the NCAA?s.

Rutgers played the 4th-easiest non-conference schedule in the country this season.

10) Florida basketball coach Mike White bolted the Gators for conference rival Georgia, an odd move if ever there was one.

White replaced Hall of Famer Billy Donovan at Florida; he was there for seven years, getting past the first weekend once in his four NCAA tournaments with the Gators.

9) NFL schedule makers had to re-boot the 2022 schedule process when Tom Brady announced he will back with the Buccaneers next season.

8) Random NBA stat: Washington Wizards are 1-9 ATS on first end of a back/back.

7) Oh yeah, they finally started spring training, all while the winter meetings are kind of going on at the same time.

My A?s fandom got a little more depressing when Oakland dealt 1B Matt Olson to Atlanta for four prospects, including OF Christian Pache, who is a great fielder but has a career batting average of .119 in 67 at-bats.

C Shea Langeliers hit 22 homers in the AA Southern League last year.

If you own a pro sports franchise, you should try to win, or sell the team to someone who will try to win. You can win and make a lot of money too.

6) Cincinnati Reds are in the same boat as the A?s; they?re letting Nick Castellanos walk, they dealt Sonny Gray and now they?ve traded Jesse Winker (and Eugenio Suarez) to Seattle for prospects. Reds went 83-79 last year, figure to be lot worse this year.

5) DH Nelson Cruz signed a one-year, $13M deal with the Washington Nationals.

4) Minnesota traded 36-year old 3B Josh Donaldson to Bronx, along with Isiah Kiner-Falefa and a catching prospect, for C Gary Sanchez and IF Gio Urshela, which means New York is moving Gleyber Torres back to 2B.

New York will be Donaldson?s fifth team in five years; he is owed $43.5M the next two years.

3) Underrated baseball record; Shawn Green once had 19 total bases in one game- he hit four home runs, a double and a single for the Dodgers against Milwaukee in a 2002 game.

2) Former big league OF Yasiel Puig is playing pro ball in Korea these days, as he tries to revive his career and get back to the majors down the road.

1) College basketball coaching moves:
? South Carolina fired Frank Martin, who was in Final Four five years ago.
? Missouri fired Cuonzo Martin, who was 35-53 in SEC games with the Tigers.
? LSU fired Will Wade, who has the NCAA knocking on LSU?s door.
? Western Michigan, Citadel, East Carolina, South Dakota, Kansas State are all looking for new coaches.

 

[Udog]

WASHINGTON is 6-12 ATS (-16 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

NY RANGERS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

ARIZONA is 5-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

DALLAS are 12-6 ATS (7.4 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 10-23 ATS (-17.9 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the season.

NASHVILLE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a road win scoring 4 or more goals in the current season.

CHICAGO is 4-21 ATS (-15.4 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

DETROIT is 4-26 ATS (-24.6 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-30 ATS (-25.6 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 32-24 ATS (11.7 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

FLORIDA is 21-3 ATS (17.7 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 6-0 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the season in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 4-11 ATS (-12.6 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 48-47 ATS (-3.7 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more since 1996.

SEATTLE is 6-18 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NHL

Tuesday, March 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ Montreal
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Arizona

Anaheim @ NY Rangers
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim

Dallas @ Toronto
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

NY Islanders @ Washington
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

Pittsburgh @ Nashville
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games at home
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Vegas @ Winnipeg
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Vegas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vegas

Boston @ Chicago
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

Detroit @ Edmonton
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

New Jersey @ Vancouver
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Vancouver's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Colorado @ Los Angeles
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

Florida @ San Jose
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games
San Jose is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 15

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, MARCH 15
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

ANA at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -202
O 6.0
+500 +500

ARI at MON 07:00 PM
ARI +145
U 6.5
+500 +500

DAL at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -140
U 6.5
+500 +500

NYI at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -154
O 5.5
+500 +500

PIT at NAS 08:00 PM
PIT -109
U 6.0
+500 +500

VEG at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -126
O 6.0
+500 +500

BOS at CHI 08:30 PM
BOS -162
U 6.0
+500 +500

DET at EDM 09:00 PM
EDM -241
O 6.5
+500 +500

NJ at VAN 10:00 PM
NJ +131
O 6.0
+500 +500

COL at LA 10:30 PM
LA +181
U 6.0
+500 +500

FLA at SJ 10:30 PM
FLA -249
U 6.5
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/15/2022........18-4-0...........81.82%...........+71.30
03/14/2022..........2-0-0..........100.00%..........+12.10
03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS..............129-97-1............57.07%..........-34.35



BEST BETS:

03/15/2022..........12-2-0..............85.71%.........+49.00
03/14/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.........+12.10
03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS...............77-49-2..............61.11%...........+119.90


UPDATED ON 03/15/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday?s 6-pack
NCAA tourney teams who force highest %age of turnovers:
25.3%? LSU
24.6%? Iowa State
23.6%? Texas Tech
23.3%? Texas
22.9%? Baylor, Tennessee
22.7%? Georgia State

Quote of the Day
???when I look at my time here with the Rams, it?s no different ? I feel great about my time here and what I?ve done. But I?m somebody, if you know me well enough, I?m always chasing something. I just felt like right now, I felt like I?m at a time in my life where maybe chasing the best dad I can be, the best husband, best friend are things to me that are important to me.?
Super Bowl champ Andrew Whitworth, who retired as a player this week

Wednesday?s quiz
Pete Maravich holds the single-game scoring record for a D-I player, set against Alabama in 1970. How many points did he score in that game?

Tuesday?s quiz
76ers? C Joel Embiid played one year of college hoop, at Kansas.

Monday?s quiz
#15-seed Oral Roberts upset #2-seed Ohio State in last year?s NCAA Tournament.

*******************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) Texas Southern 76, A&M-Corpus Christi 67:
? Texas Southern was 26-35 on foul line, Corpus Christi 9-19.
? Texas Southern is #3 in country in experience; their subs play the most minutes.
? Tigers move on to play #1-seed Kansas Thursday.

12) Indiana 66, Wyoming 58:
? Hoosiers were too tall for the gritty, gutty Cowboys.
? One kid on Wyoming had 10 turnovers by himself; he was awful.
? Hoosiers move on to play 5-seed Saint Mary?s Thursday.

11) As far as the play-in games go, do the 16-seeds benefit from playing in them? When else will Texas A&M-Corpus Christi get on national TV? Has to help their recruiting, right?

The 16-seeds that don?t play in the play-in games (this year Norfolk State/Georgia State) are going to lose in anonymity and then they go home, unless they can pull a UMBC and shock a top-seed. Getting exposure on TV can help your recruiting.

10) Monday, Oakland traded 1B Matt Olson to the Braves; Tuesday, Olson got an 8-year contract worth $168M from Atlanta. All of which reminds me of a story.

June 15, 1976, I?m finishing my junior year in high school, a nerdy 16-year old. Was playing basketball up the street, then went home, where my dad was sitting in a lawn chair under the big tree on our front lawn. He had a weird look on his face.

Me: What?s up?
Dad: Your A?s just traded their three best players (Joe Rudi/Rollie Fingers to Boston, Vida Blue to Bronx, all for cash)

I?m carrying my brand-new Walt Frazier-brand Puma sneakers; I?m not happy. I think about what he said, got a little upset and one by one, threw my new sneakers over our house into the backyard, kind of close to the woods behind our house.

Not my finest moment.

Back then, June 15 was the trade deadline. Now, 46 years later, I?m a little cooler when the same stuff still happens. No more throwing stuff, I?m just disgusted that these rich people would own teams, and don?t try to win. Whats the point?

9) Which brings to my next point; I now have more interest in my fantasy league and on picking winners in baseball than I do in rooting for the A?s, because it is damn well obvious that the A?s are going to suck for the next couple years, at least.

P.S. on the June 15, 1976 trades: the commissioner voided the trades, the three players went back to Oakland after a week in limbo, and the A?s just missed making the playoffs that year. Then those players left after the season anyway, and the A?s were dreadful the next three years.

8) San Diego Padres? star Fernando Tatis broke his wrist, is out at least three months; word is he broke his wrist in a motorcycle accident. Oy.

7) NFL quarterback news:
? New Jersey Giants gave Tyrod Taylor two years, $11M, with up to another $6M in incentives. Taylor has a 26-26-1 mark as an NFL starter. Giants will be Taylor?s sixth NFL team.
? Mitchell Trubisky signed with the Steelers for two years, $17M, with up to another $10M in incentives. Trubisky has a 29-23 record as an NFL starter.

6) They announced the other day that Carolina Panthers were interested in Deshaun Watson being their new QB; now Carolina?s division rivals Saints/Falcons are also said to be interested.

My question is this: Do teams sometimes pretend to have interest in a player, to drive the price up for those who really do have an interest?

5) Vanderbilt 82, Belmont 71? These schools are less than five miles apart, but they don?t play each other; this was an NIT game. Why would these schools not play each other?

In an era where everyone wants to make $$$, you would think that this is an annual money maker for sure, unless Vanderbilt doesn?t want to visit Belmont?s gym now and then. Maybe that?s the hangup. Belmont might not want this to be a road game every year.

4) 1B Anthony Rizzo gets two years, $32M to stay in the Bronx, as Freddie Freeman turned the New Yorkers down. Still several good ballplayers who are free agents.

3) Weird college football game this fall; October 8 in Las Vegas of all places, Notre Dame will play BYU at Allegiant Stadium. Why there?

2) Minnesota Timberwolves star Karl-Anthony Towns scored 60 points Monday night, as the T-Wolves beat the Spurs in San Antonio. Towns was 7-11 on the arc, 12-20 inside arc, 15-16 on the foul line- he had 17 rebounds. Tremendous performance.

Best part of it was after the game, how happy his teammates were for him. So much in the NBA you hear guys whining about this or that; was fun to see guys enjoying the moment.

1) Some conference trends for the first round of the NCAA?s:
? Last six years, underdogs are 14-10 ATS in 6-11 games.
? Since 2009, MEAC teams are 2-7 ATS in this round.
? Last six years, Big South teams are 1-5 ATS in this round.
? Since 2014, A-14 teams are 9-12 ATS in this round.

? Last 11 years, Gonzaga is 7-4 ATS in first round games.
? Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 1-16 games.
? Last five tournaments, Big East teams are 6-13-1 ATS in first round.
? Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in first round.

? Last 10 tournaments, WAC teams are 3-7 ATS in first round.
? Last five tournaments, underdogs are 12-8 ATS in 5-12 games.
? Since 2010, MAAC teams are 2-10 ATS in NCAA?s.
? Last three tournaments, SEC teams are 9-12 ATS in first round

? Last ten years, America East teams are 6-4 ATS in this round.
? Last three years, underdogs are 9-3 ATS in 4-13 games.
? OVC teams are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 first-round games.
? Last eight years, favorites are 18-13 ATS in 7-10 games.

 

[Udog]

COLUMBUS are 6-0 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd hlf of the season.

CALGARY is 20-11 ATS (8.1 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

SEATTLE is 6-18 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 16

NHL

Wednesday, March 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Minnesota
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

Columbus @ Ottawa
Columbus
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Columbus is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Ottawa's last 25 games

Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games

New Jersey @ Calgary
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Calgary is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New Jersey


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 16
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

BOS at MIN 07:30 PM
MIN -105
U 6.0
+500 +500

CLB at OTT 07:30 PM
OTT -133
U 6.5
+500 +500

NJ at CAL 10:00 PM
CAL -330
O 6.0
+500 +500

TB at SEA 10:00 PM
TB -267
O 6.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MARCH NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/16/2022..........4-1-1..........75.00%............+13.35
03/15/2022........18-4-0...........81.82%...........+71.30
03/14/2022..........2-0-0..........100.00%..........+12.10
03/13/2022.........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-22.20
03/12/2022........9-11-0............45.00%............-16.80
03/11/2022..........5-3-0............62.50%...........+4.35
03/10/2022.......14-11-1............55.77%.............-9.35
03/09/2022..........2-2-0.............50.00%............-0.50
03/08/2022.......10-12-0.............45.45%..........-35.30
03/07/2022...........4-5-1.............45.00%...........-9.85
03/06/2022...........9-7-0.............56.25%..........+4.80
03/05/2022..........13-7-0............65.00%.........+15.35
03/04/2022............9-5-0............64.29%.........+12.95
03/03/2022............9-8-1............52.78%...........-30.65
03/02/2022............3-5-0............37.50%...........-30.30
03/01/2022...........10-8-0............55.56%............-0.25

TOTALS..............133-98-1............57.57%..........-21.00



BEST BETS:

03/16/2022............2-1-1..............66.66%.........+ 4.50
03/15/2022..........12-2-0..............85.71%.........+49.00
03/14/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.........+12.10
03/13/2022............6-3-0..............66.66%.........+13.50
03/12/2022............5-6-0..............45.45%...........- 8.00
03/11/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%...........+9.50
03/10/2022............8-7-1..............53.33%...........+1.75
03/09/2022............1-2-0..............33.33%............- 6.00
03/08/2022............8-5-0..............61.53%..........+12.50
03/07/2022............3-4-1..............42.85%............- 7.00
03/06/2022............5-5-0..............50.00%............- 2.35
03/05/2022............8-3-0..............72.72%..........+25.40
03/04/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%...........+ 3.50
03/03/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%...........+ 8.50
03/02/2022............2-2-0..............50.00%............- 1.00
03/01/2022............5-3-1..............62.50%............+ 8.50

TOTALS...............79-50-3..............61.24%...........+124.40


UPDATED ON 03/16/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Valspar golf tournament this week:
10-1? Justin Thomas.
11-1? Viktor Hovland, Collin Morikawa
16-1? Collin Morikawa
20-1? Xander Schauffele
22-1? Louis Oosthuizen
25-1? Tyrrell Hatton, Paul lCasey

Quote of the Day
?At the time, I thought ?I could be doing this for 30 years and never move up?. I had $40,000 in law school debt and I had an opportunity to go and work for a prestigious law firm in Houston ? or run the risk of slipping into the ether of nothingness. That was my perspective at that time.?
Longwood basketball coach Griff Aldrich, who was a lawyer 20 years ago

Thursday?s quiz
What was the last college hoop team to win consecutive national titles?

Wednesday?s quiz
Pete Maravich holds the single-game scoring record for a D-I player, set against Alabama in 1970. He scored 69 points in that game.

Tuesday?s quiz
76ers? C Joel Embiid played one year of college hoop, at Kansas.

*******************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.
.
13) Kris Bryant signed with Colorado Rockies for seven years, $182M; Kris Bryant is on my fantasy baseball team. This is very good news.

There is a scene in the classic gambling movie Let It Ride, where Richard Dreyfuss is on a hot streak at the racetrack; he yells out ?What a day!! What a fabulous day!!?

No one wants to play for Colorado, because they usually don?t pay their best players a lot of money- they let Nolan Arenado walk last year, Trevor Story is currently a free agent, but they gave out serious money to Bryant here, and for that I am grateful.

12) With Jesse Winker getting traded to Seattle, looks like I?ll be watching lot of Mariner games this season; I have their #1-3-4 hitters on my fantasy squad.

11) Wright State 93, Bryant 82? Kris Bryant had a very good day; Bryant Bulldogs, not so much. Tanner Holden scored 37 points, Wright State advances to play Arizona Friday.

10) Notre Dame 89, Rutgers 87, 2OT:
? Notre Dame put in an offensive rebound with 0:01.4 left for the win.
? Rutgers was +12 on boards, only 4-6 on foul line; ND was 9-16.
? Notre Dame moves on to play Alabama Friday afternoon.

9) HBO has a new series called Winning Time, about the LA Lakers in the Magic Johnson era; not sure if the show is 100% factual, but wow, did they do a hatchet job on Jerry West, who was coach of the Lakers when they drafted Magic- he quit before the next season started. They made West look like a something of a wacko.

They?ve had two episodes so far; Lakers tried to hire Jerry Tarkanian at one point, so that should be this week?s episode. John C Reilly is very good as Jerry Buss, owner of the Lakers.

8) Chicago Cubs gave Japanese OF Seiya Suzuki $85M for five years, the highest-ever salary for a Japanese position player. He hit 38 homers in Japan last season.

7) Funny thing, while having lunch Wednesday, I?m watching a replay of Tuesday night?s Cleveland State-Xavier NIT game; a notice comes on my cellphone: Xavier fired basketball coach Travis Steele- they fired the guy a day after his team won a game, which tells you how irrelevant the NIT is.

6) LB Von Miller gets $51M guaranteed to sign with the Buffalo Bills; Miller just helped the Rams win the Super Bowl. Thought he might re-sign in LA, but he took the $$$ and ran. Can?t say that I blame him.

5) Other baseball stuff:
? P Zach Greinke gets $13M for one year from Kansas City
? OF Joc Pederson gets $6M for one year from San Francisco.

4) Major League Baseball added 30 doubleheaders to the schedule Wednesday, as they re-tool the schedule to replace the week of games that got postponed by the lockout. Some teams will have a shorter All-Star break; they put some makeups games in there.

3) Louisville Cardinals hired Knicks? assistant Kenny Payne as their new head coach; Payne is said to be a great recruiter. Louisville was 13-19 this season; he has some work to do.

2) Thursday/Friday are always two of my favorite days of the year; wall-to-wall basketball, plus this year, exhibition baseball starts. This should be an excellent weekend.

1) Just for the record, I?m picking Arizona Wildcats to win the national title.

 

[Udog]

CAROLINA is 21-8 ATS (12.3 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 10-32 ATS (-21.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

MONTREAL is 7-29 ATS (-19.6 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 10-2 ATS (11.8 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

NY RANGERS are 11-0 ATS (11 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game in the current season.

BUFFALO is 242-269 ATS (23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

SAN JOSE is 12-6 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 4-27 ATS (-25.7 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 4-9 ATS (-9.1 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the year.