CNOTES 2021-2022 NHL TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Cnotes53

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............44-47-1.........48.35%..........-62.00


BEST BETS:

11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........26-28-1............48.14%.........-18.50


UPDATED 11/11/2021
 

Udog

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Friday?s 6-pack:
NBA scoring leaders:
29.5? Kevin Durant, Bkln
27.4? Steph Curry, GSt
26.7? Paul George, LAC
26.6? Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
26.5? Ja Morant, Mem
26.0? DeMar DeRozan, Chi

Quote of the Day
?I?m against it (pineapple on pizza). I?m staunchly opposed. It?s my mom?s favorite type of pizza ? ham and pineapple ? and I love pineapple, too.?
Mike Leach

Friday?s quiz
Who was coach of the Miami Dolphins last time they won a playoff game?

Thursday?s quiz
Before moving to Oakland in 1968, A?s played in Kansas City; before that, Philadelphia.

Wednesday?s quiz
Florida Gators won NCAA Tournament in 2006 and 2007, last time a college basketball team won consecutive national titles.

*****************************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here, and NBA trends

13) Dolphins 22, Ravens 10:
? This was Ravens? first road game since October 3rd.
? Baltimore punted eight times in this game.
? Ravens kicked FG on first drive, didn?t score again until 4:16 was left.
? Baltimore trailed at halftime in four of last five games.
? Last four games, opponents are 15-52 on third down

? Miami allowed 16-9-10 points in their wins.
? Dolphins scored defensive TD to make score 15-3.
? QB Brissett got hurt in 3rd quarter, Tagovailoa finished up.
? Last six years, Miami is 15-10-1 ATS as home underdogs.
? Dolphins held Baltimore to 94 rushing yards.

12) Aaron Rodgers got fined $14,650 by the NFL for mostly ignoring the COVID protocols when he wasn?t vaccinated; I?m not here to talk about that, I?m just wondering how they came up with that amount. Where does $14,650 come from? Why not just $15,000? $14,500?

11) I?ve said many times that as a Rams? fan, I trust Sean McVay/Les Snead to do the right stuff, so I don?t stress out over decisions they make. I?ll stick with that today. I?ll just say this:

? Rams? Super Bowl odds before signing Odell Beckham: 8-1
? Rams? Super Bowl odds after signing Odell Beckham: 8-1

10) Carolina Panthers signed Cam Newton/Matt Barkley this week; unsure which of their three QB?s will start this week in Arizona.

Newton played nine years for Carolina, lead them to Super Bowl six years ago. He played for the Patriots last year, was released this summer.

9) Watched Heat-Lakers game Wednesday, good ballgame. Jeff Van Gundy is an excellent NBA analyst- so is his brother Stan.

Many moons ago, November 1980, I was student manager of our college team at Albany- the Great Danes. We were Division III and we had a strong team. The higher level of Division III was very good basketball. This was so long ago, ESPN had just signed on the airwaves.

We?re playing in a tournament at Brockport State in western NY, near Rochester. Coach for the host team was a short guy wearing a neck brace? he had been in a car accident. He had also been a junior college coach in California, now he was in Brockport, a decided downgrade in weather.

Coach?s name was Bill Van Gundy, father of Jeff/Stan. What are the odds that the two sons of a Division III coach in western NY would both wind up being NBA coaches, and TV stars?

8) Connecticut Huskies hired Jim Mora Jr to handle the big job of rebuilding their horrendous football program. UConn was underdog to an Ivy League team this year; they?re 0-7 vs I-A teams, 1-1 vs I-AA teams- they beat Yale. Jim Mora Jr has a lot of work to do.

Mora was 46-30 in six years at UCLA, 29-24 in Pac-12 games, 2-2 in bowls. He was 32-34 in four years as an NFL head coach, with Falcons/Seahawks.

7) Mike White will start at QB for the Jets this week against Buffalo. Joe Flacco will be his backup; Josh Johnson threw for 317 yards last week and gets demoted to 4th-string.

6) Underdogs are 78-56-1 ATS in the NFL so far this season; last year at this time, underdogs were??.. 77-56 ATS.

5) Astros? OF Jake Meyers had surgery for a torn labrum, isn?t expected to be ready for the start of next season. Meyers hit .260 in 49 games for Houston this season.

4) John Beilein has been a highly successful college basketball coach, winning 754 games; he tried his hand at the NBA, but that didn?t go too well in Cleveland. Now, at age 68, Beilein is an assistant coach for the Detroit Pistons? first time in his life he?s been an assistant coach.

3) Good rule change in the NFL; the replay official can chime in and overrule an obviously wrong call, saving teams from using a challenge, while keeping the game going.

2) Cal-Riverside 66, Arizona State 65? Kid on Riverside drained a 65-footer at the buzzer to five the Highlanders (+8.5) one of the best wins in their program?s D-I history.

1) Pitt 30, North Carolina 23 OT:
? Pitt led 23-7 at halftime, didn?t score in second half.
? UNC kicked 20-yard FG with 0:57 left to force OT
? Carolina had 12 penalties for 104 yards; Pitt 6 for 55.
? Tar Heels (+6.5) were obviously a bad beat.
 

Udog

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WASHINGTON is 10-0 ATS (10.1 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 11-41 ATS (-34.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 50-63 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games against terrible power play teams - scoring on < 13% of their chances since 1996.




NHL

Friday, November 12


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Calgary @ Toronto
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Calgary is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Edmonton @ Buffalo
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Philadelphia @ Carolina
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Washington @ Columbus
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing Washington

Arizona @ Chicago
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona


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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 12
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PHI at CAR 07:00 PM
PHI +160
U 5.5

+500 +500

WAS at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB +115
U 5.5

+500 +500

EDM at BUF 07:00 PM
EDM -175
O 6.0
+500 +500

CAL at TOR 07:00 PM
CAL +167
U 5.5

+500 +500

ARI at CHI 08:30 PM
CHI -225
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............49-52-1.........48.51%..........-63.75


BEST BETS:

11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........30-32-1............48.38%.........-16.50


UPDATED 11/12/2021
 

Udog

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Saturday?s 6-pack:
Six highest-paid players in NBA:
$45,780,966? Steph Curry, Warriors
$44,310,840? John Wall, Rockets
$44,211,146? Russell Westbrook, Lakers
$43,848,000? James Harden, Nets
$43,750,000? Damian Lillard, Trailblazers
$41,180,544? Lebron James, Lakers

Quote of the Day
?We (Bulls) won because we played team basketball, which hadn?t been the case my first two seasons, when Doug Collins was our coach. That?s what was special about playing for the Bulls: the camaraderie we established with one another, not that we felt blessed to be on the same team with the immortal Michael Jordan.?
Scottie Pippen

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, Sid lets his son-in-law drive his favorite car to Las Vegas for his bachelor party. What kind of car was it?

Friday?s quiz
Dave Wannstedt was coach of the Miami Dolphins last time they won a playoff game- they beat the Colts 23-17 in the 2000 playoffs.

Thursday?s quiz
Before moving to Oakland in 1968, A?s played in Kansas City; before that, Philadelphia.

****************************

Saturday?s Den: Happy Felix Unger Day!!!

13) ?On November 13, Felix Unger was asked to leave his place of residence. That request came from his wife??..?

When I was a kid, The Odd Couple was one of my favorite TV shows; that is how the show started every week, with Tony Randall?s character Felix sadly leaving his home, and showing up at the door of his friend, sportswriter Oscar Madison (Jack Klugman), needing a place to live.

It was a great TV show, very funny. If you find The Odd Couple on TV somewhere, it is well worth your time.

Today is November 13; happy Felix Unger Day!!!

12) West Virginia 74, Pitt 59:
? 902nd career win for Bob Huggins, tying Bob Knight for 5th on all-time list.
? How is Huggins not in the college basketball Hall of Fame?
? 24 NCAA tournaments, two Final Fours, four Elite 8?s, nine Sweet 16?s. All in all, 33-24 in NCAA Tournament games. He is a Hall of Famer, for sure.

11) Furman 80, Louisville 72 (OT):
? Furman (+9) made 12-28 on arc, Louisville 7-29.
? Paladins start four seniors; this is a great win for them.
? Louisville coach Mack is suspended for first few games, for off-court stuff.

10) Oakland (+16.5) 56, Oklahoma State 55
? Oakland lost by 27 to West Virginia Tuesday.
? Oakland played 8 guys, including five freshmen, one senior.
? Oklahoma State was only 6-12 on foul line.

9) North Carolina 94, Brown 87? Is this a red flag for the Tar Heels? Brown hadn?t played a Division I game in over 600 days;

8) UCLA 86, Villanova 77, OT
? Villanova?s 7th man played only 7:00- they?re not deep.
? Villanova led by 10 with 9:24 left.
? Wildcats lost despite making 11-24 on the arc.

? UCLA outrebounded Villanova 46-32.
? Bruins shot 52.5% inside arc; Villanova, 38.6%.
? High-level game for November 12.

7) When Cal-Riverside upset Arizona State Thursday night, they also banked an $85,000 check from the Sun Devils, what they call ?a guarantee game?. If you?re paying a team $85,000 to show up and play, they?re not supposed to beat you.

6) NC-Greensboro 70, Northern Kentucky 69 OT
? UNCG led by 10 points at halftime.
? UNCG trailed by 7 with 7:54 left.
? Northern Kentucky was 10-33 on arc, 13-32 inside arc.

5) Eastern Michigan 103, Illinois State 98, 2OT:
? Illinois State led by 16 late in first half.
? EMU was 32-43 on foul line, ISU 23-28.
? Illinois State turned ball over 22 times (-7).

4) Denver Broncos? offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur tested positive for COVID, won?t be calling plays Sunday, when Denver hosts the Eagles. Former Alabama coach Mike Shula is expected to be the Broncos? play caller.

3) Brent Strom quit as pitching coach of the Astros couple weeks ago, signed on with the Diamondbacks Friday; lot of people thought Strom was retiring. Back in the 60?s, Strom was the second person to have Tommy John Surgery on his elbow- he pitched five years in the majors, for three different teams.

2) Lefty hurler Andrew Heaney signed a one-year, $8.5M deal with the Dodgers. Heaney was 8-9, 5.83 in 23 starts this past year, but the Dodgers signed him up.

1) Cincinnati 45, South Florida 28? Bearcats are now 0-4 ATS in last four games; unsure if it matters to pollsters, but it can?t help much. Cincinnati led 31-7 early in second half- they outgained USF 506-346, but turned ball over three times. USF had four turnovers.
 
Last edited:

Udog

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BOSTON is 234-223 ATS (45.1 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.

FLORIDA is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 13-8 ATS (4.2 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

MONTREAL is 8-15 ATS (-15.4 Units) against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 20-10 ATS (9 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 3-19 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 14-5 ATS (9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 25-8 ATS (16.6 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 0-6 ATS (-8.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

COLORADO is 89-69 ATS (23.4 Units) against excellent starting goalies - saving >= 93% of shots against since 1996.

VEGAS are 29-6 ATS (20.8 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NHL

Saturday, November 13


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ New Jersey
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

Los Angeles @ Winnipeg
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Toronto @ Buffalo
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games

NY Rangers @ Columbus
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Columbus
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Montreal @ Detroit
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
Detroit is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Ottawa
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Florida @ Tampa Bay
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

St. Louis @ Carolina
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Philadelphia @ Dallas
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

Arizona @ Nashville
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games at home
Nashville is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

San Jose @ Colorado
San Jose
San Jose is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games

Minnesota @ Seattle
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

Vancouver @ Vegas
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 8 games
Vegas
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 13
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


BOS at NJ 01:00 PM
BOS -150
U 5.5
+500 +500

LA at WIN 07:00 PM
LA +155
U 5.5

+500 +500

MON at DET 07:00 PM
DET -125
O 5.5
+500 +500

NYR at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB +120
+500

PIT at OTT 07:00 PM
OTT +130
U 5.5

+500 +500

TOR at BUF 07:00 PM
TOR -192
+500

FLA at TB 07:00 PM
FLA -105
O 5.5
+500 +500

STL at CAR 07:30 PM
CAR -135
+500

ARI at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS -300
+500

SJ at COL 09:00 PM
SJ +185
O 6.0

+500 +500

MIN at SEA 10:00 PM
MIN -115
U 5.5
+500 +500

VAN at VEG 10:00 PM
VAN +125
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............58-63-1.........47.93%..........-75.50


BEST BETS:

11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........33-41-1............44.59%.........-49.50


UPDATED 11/13/2021
 

Udog

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Sunday?s 6-pack:
Highest paid college football coaches:
$9,753,221? Nick Saban, Alabama
$9,012,917? Ed Orgeron, LSU
$8,924,683? David Shaw, Stanford
$8,370,775? Dabo Swinney, Clemson
$7,672,710? Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma
$7,570,000? Dan Mullen, Florida

Quote of the Day
?Everyone thinks I?m a hypochondriac. It makes me sick.?
Felix Unger

Sunday?s quiz
In The Odd Couple, what did Felix Unger do for a living?

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, Sid lets his son-in-law drive his favorite car to Las Vegas for his bachelor party. The car was a silver Mercedes.

Friday?s quiz
Dave Wannstedt was coach of the Miami Dolphins last time they won a playoff game- they beat the Colts 23-17 in the 2000 playoffs.

******************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Baylor 27, Oklahoma 14:
Good news for Baylor: They don?t beat Oklahoma very often. Bears are 8-2 this season.

Bad news for Baylor: LSU, USC and (probably) Florida have head coach openings; all three will come after Baylor coach Aranda with their checkbooks wide open.

12) Kansas (+31) 57, Texas 56 OT:
? Texas coach Steve Sarkisian makes $5,450,000 a year; this won?t go over well.
? Longhorns are 4-6, losing their last five games.
? Kansas ran for 218 yards, converted 11-17 on third down.
? Kansas coach Leipold won six national titles in D-III; he has to be a helluva coach, to win that much at any level.

11) Wake Forest 45, NC State 42:
? Wake Forest improves to 9-1, 6-0 in ACC games.
? When Wake lost to North Carolina last week, it wasn?t a conference game.
? Demon Deacons allowed 42+ points in three of last four games.
? Wolfpack had 13 penalties for 119 yards, Wake 5 for 50.

10) Texas Tech 41, Iowa State 38? Jonathan Garibay walked it off with a 62-yard FG; Red Raiders were 12-point home underdogs. Hell of a kick.

Iowa State called timeout before the kick to put a kid back under the goalposts, to return the kick when it was short, but Garibay drilled it and that was that.

9) Florida 70, Samford 52:
? I-AA Samford led this game 42-35 at halftime.
? Most points a I-AA team ever scored against a I-A team.
? penalties: Florida 12-94 yards; Samford 3-30

8) College football upsets this week:
? Kansas (+31) 57, Texas 56
? Georgia State (+12.5) 42, Coastal Carolina 40
? Texas Tech (+12) 41, Iowa State 38
? Old Dominion (+6.5) 30, FAU 16
? Rutgers (+6.5) 38, Indiana 3
? Ohio (+6) 34, Eastern Michigan 26
? Mississippi State (+5.5) 43, Auburn 34

7) Mississippi State 43, Auburn 34:
? Auburn led this game 28-3 late in 2nd quarter.
? Miss State?s Rogers was 25-27/272 passing, just in second half.
? In his career, Mike Leach is 39-27 ATS as a road underdog.

6) Saturday?s college basketball upsets:
? Mass-Lowell (+18) 59, Dayton 58
? Dartmouth (+16) 69, Georgetown 60
? Air Force (+15) 59, Tulsa 58
? Southern (+12.5) 73, Tulane 70
? Howard (+12.5) 76, Bradley 64
? Wagner (+11) 58, VCU 44

5) Michigan 21, Penn State 17:
? Michigan threw a 47-yard TD pass with 3:29 left for the win.
? Penn State was 6-21 on 3rd down, 3-6 on 4th down

4) Old Dominion 30, Florida Atlantic 16:
? At one point, Old Dominion led this game 4-3.
? Monarchs scored two first half safeties (sack/intentional grounding).

3) Arkansas 16, LSU 13:
? Both teams scored only one TD.
? Arkansas gained only 281 yards, converted 3-16 on third down.
? Razorbacks are 7-3, LSU 4-6. Go figure.

2) NFL news:
? Ben Roethlisberger (COVID protocols) is out for Pittsburgh.
? Rams WR Robert Woods tore his ACL, is out for the year.

1) Bad Beat of the Week? Late Friday night, Wyoming (+13.5) threw a 74-yard TD pass with 0:04 left. If you had Wyoming, you went to bed smiling; if not, the gambling gods owe you one.
 

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CALGARY is 3-9 ATS (-11.3 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in road games on Sunday games in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 4-9 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 167-142 ATS (-72.6 Units) in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.

TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 0-6 ATS (-7.2 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.
 

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NHL

Sunday, November 14


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Trend Report
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Calgary @ Ottawa
Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary

Edmonton @ St. Louis
Edmonton
Edmonton is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Edmonton is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
St. Louis is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Edmonton

Montreal @ Boston
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 11 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

New Jersey @ NY Rangers
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey

Pittsburgh @ Washington
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Vancouver @ Anaheim
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 11 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games


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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 14
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


CAL at OTT 05:00 PM
CAL -200
+500

NJ at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -135
+500

EDM at STL 07:00 PM
STL +100
+500

MON at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -245
+500

PIT at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -130
+500

VAN at ANA 08:00 PM
ANA -145
+500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............63-64-1.........49.60%..........-55.50


BEST BETS:

11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........33-42-1............44.00%.........-54.50


UPDATED 11/14/2021
 

Udog

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ArmadilloSports

Monday?s 6-pack:
Six interesting college football spreads:
? Wake Forest @ Clemson (-3.5)
? Oregon @ Utah (-3)
? Arizona State (-2.5) @ Oregon State
? UCLA (-3) @ USC
? Iowa State @ Oklahoma (-5)
? Baylor @ Kansas State (-1)

Quote of the Day
?It has nothing to do with ability. It?s about execution and being a smart football team. We?re a very dumb football team. And that?s a reflection on the coaches.?
Tampa Bay coach Bruce Arians

Monday?s quiz
How many NFL teams play their home games in a domed stadium?

Sunday?s quiz
In The Odd Couple, Felix Unger was a photographer (portraits a specialty)

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, Sid lets his son-in-law drive his favorite car to Las Vegas for his bachelor party. The car was a silver Mercedes.

*******************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Detroit 16, Pittsburgh 16:
? Detroit is winless, has gone WLWLWLWW vs spread.
? Lions ran ball for 229 yards, threw for only 77.
? Detroit converted 4-18 third down plays.
? Lions missed 48-yard FG in overtime.

? Rudolph was 30-50/242 passing, starting on short notice.
? Steelers were minus-3 in turnovers, didn?t lose.
? Pittsburgh?s only TD came on their first drive of game.
? Last five games, Steelers gave up 18.4 ppg.
? Underdogs are 6-0 ATS in Pittsburgh home games this year.

Tampa Bay (6-2) @ Washington (2-6)
? Tampa Bay lost last two games, giving up 36-29 points.
? Brady threw INT?s on two of first three drives.
? Buccaneers? two TD drives were 43-47 yards.
? Underdogs are 7-0-1 ATS in last eight meetings with Washington.

? Washington converted 11-19 on third down, 2-2 on 4th down.
? Washington in 1st half: four drives- a TD, three field goals.
? Heinicke threw for 256 yards and a TD.
? Last four Washington games stayed under the total.

Tennessee 23, New Orleans 21:
? Saints scored TD with 1:16 left, failed on 2-point play to tie game.
? Saints? kicker missed PAT on other two TD?s.
? Underdogs are 8-1 ATS in New Orleans games this season.
? Last three years, Saints are 8-1-1 ATS coming off a loss.

? Tennessee won eight of last nine games (7-2 ATS)
? Titans? two TD drives were 56-19 yards.
? Saints outgained Tennessee, 373-264.
? Last four games, Titans ran for only 82.8 yards/game.
? First six weeks, Titans ran for 165 yards/game.

Indianapolis 23, Jacksonville 17:
? Jaguars gave up blocked punt for TD on their first series.
? Jacksonville is minus-10 in turnovers (4-14)
? Jaguars are 4-1-2 ATS in last seven visits to Indy.
? Jaguars ran ball for 179 yards, averaged 4.0 yards/pass.

? Indy?s first two series: 18 plays, 116 yards, 10 points.
? Colts rest of game: 44 plays, 167 yards, 6 points.
? Colts have 20 takeaways in last nine games (+11)
? Last seven weeks, Colts outscored opponents 105-54 in first half.
? Last five years, Indy is 7-12-2 ATS in AFC South home games.

New England 45, Cleveland 7:
? Cleveland had 84-yard TD drive first time it had ball.
? Rest of game, Browns ran 46 plays for 162 yards, no points..
? Browns scored 17 or fewer points in four of last five games.
? Cleveland is 8-13 ATS in last 21 road games.
? Over is 4-1 in Browns? five road games.

? Patriots were 7-9 on third down, Cleveland 1-11.
? New England had ball eight times, scored six TD?s.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? New England won five of last six games, scoring 34 ppg.
? Since 2013, Patriots are 44-23-3 ATS at home.

Dallas 43, Atlanta 3:
? Falcons threw INTs on three straight drives in 2nd half.
? Falcons converted 1-11 on third down, had only 11 first downs.
? Atlanta has been outscored 153-82 in second half.
? Atlanta is 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.

? Cowboys blocked punt for TD; they led 36-3 at halftime.
? In first half, Cowboys had four TD?s on five drives.
? Dallas outgained the Falcons, 431-214.
? Dallas covered eight of nine games this season.

Buffalo 45, NJ Jets 17:
? Buffalo averaged 11.7 yards/pass attempt.
? Bills scored TD on first three drives of second half.
? Last seven games, Bills are +14 in turnovers.
? Over is 8-3-2 in Bills? last 13 road games.

? Jets gave up 54-31-45-45 points in last four games.
? Last six Jet games went over the total.
? Last four years, Jets are 13-25 ATS coming off a loss.
? Jets have been outscored 61-14 in first quarter, 168-47 in first half.

Minnesota 27, LA Chargers 20:
? Vikings drove 66-68 yards for second half TD?s to win game.
? Minnesota had 10-yard edge in field position.
? Eight of Vikings? nine games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
? Five of Vikings? last seven games stayed under the total.
? Last eight years, Vikings are 21-10 ATS vs AFC opponents.

? Chargers lost three of last four games, after a 4-1 start.
? Chargers ran 55 plays for 253 yards, Vikings 72 for 381 yards.
? Herbert averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
? Last four years, LA is 5-16-1 ATS as home favorites.
? Chargers are 6-9-1 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.

Carolina 34, Arizona 10:
? Panthers had TD drives of 15-41 yards, in first 6:21 of game.
? Panthers had an 11-yard edge in field position.
? Six drives in first half, Carolina scored two TD?s, kicked three FG?s.
? Carolina allowed 14 or fewer points in all five of its wins.

? Backup QB?s McCpy/Steveler struggled with starter Murray (ankle) out.
? Carolina outgained the Cardinals 341-169.
? Arizona converted 4-13 on third down, Carolina 7-15.
? Last seven years, Arizona is 11-21 ATS as a home favorite.

Green Bay 17, Seattle 0:
? Seahawks get shut out for first time in ten years.
? Seattle gained only 208 yards, averaged 3.1 yards/pass attempt.
? Seahawks lost six of their last eight games overall.
? Four of Seahawks? last five games stayed under total.

? Packers didn?t score TD until 10:37 mark of 4th quarter.
? Green Bay won eight of last nine games (8-0-1 ATS)
? Last three years, Green Bay is 14-6 ATS as a home favorite (4-0 in ?21).
? Last seven Packer games stayed under the total.

Philadelphia 30, Denver 13:
? DB Slay ran fumble back 83 yards for TD when Eagles led 20-13.
? Philly in first half; five drives- 43 plays, 270 yards, 2 TD?s, 2 FG?s.
? Last four weeks, Philly converted 25-48 on third down.
? Philly 236-176-214 YR last three games (98.6 ypg previous five games)

? Broncos were 1-11 on third down, Eagles 6-13.
? Denver?s last four drives: 19 plays, 105 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
? Eight of ten Denver games stayed under the total.
? Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 26.2 ppg in losses.
 

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NY ISLANDERS are 28-16 ATS (14.9 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 5-29 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Monday, November 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit @ Columbus
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Detroit is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

NY Islanders @ Tampa Bay
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Islanders


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