CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
SATURDAY, MARCH 11
| NY at LAC | 04:00 PM | NY +5.0 O 227.5 | +500 +500 |
| IND at DET | 07:00 PM | IND -5.5 U 229.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIA at ORL | 07:00 PM | ORL +2.5 O 220.0 | +500 +500 |
| UTA at CHA | 07:00 PM | UTA -2.5 O 231.0 | +500 +500 |
| BOS at ATL | 07:30 PM | BOS -5.0 O 235.5 | +500 +500 |
| DAL at MEM | 08:00 PM | MEM -5.5 U 224.0 | +500 +500 |
| CHI at HOU | 08:00 PM | HOU +7.5 O 224.0 | +500 +500 |
| OKC at NO | 08:30 PM | NO -2.0 O 233.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIL at GS | 08:30 PM | GS -1.0 U 240.5 | +500 +500 |
| SAC at PHO | 09:00 PM | SAC +3.0 O 241.0 | +500 +500 |
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks
| 03/11/2023 | 11-9-0 | 55.00% | +550 | Detail |
| 03/10/2023 | 7-5-0 | 58.33% | +750 | Detail |
| 03/09/2023 | 8-4-0 | 66.67% | +1800 | Detail |
| 03/08/2023 | 8-6-0 | 57.14% | +700 | Detail |
| 03/07/2023 | 7-9-0 | 43.75% | -1450 | Detail |
| 03/06/2023 | 7-5-0 | 58.33% | +750 | Detail |
| 03/05/2023 | 6-14-0 | 30.00% | -4700 | Detail |
| 03/04/2023 | 7-5-0 | 58.33% | +750 | Detail |
| 03/03/2023 | 8-12-0 | 40.00% | -2600 | Detail |
| 03/02/2023 | 4-4-0 | 50.00% | -200 | Detail |
| 03/01/2023 | 11-6-1 | 63.89% | +2200 | Detail |
Sunday’s 6-pack
Teams who play the fastest tempo (shortest possessions on offense)
14.9 seconds— Marshall (24-8)
15.0— Long Beach State (17-16)
15.1— Cornell (17-11)
15.2— Alabama (28-5)
15.2— Portland State (12-19)
15.3— St John’s (18-15)
Quote of the Day
“How do you know when you run out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright
Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; what famous musician played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows?
Saturday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant with the 13th pick of the 1996 NBA Draft, then traded him to the Lakers, for Vlade Divac.
Friday’s quiz
Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.
************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….
— Brackets come out at 6:00 tonight; all the speculation ends and we can handicap the actual matchups. Champ Week has been fun, but it is time to move on to the main event.
— There were five conference tournaments in Las Vegas this week; must be tough living in a place where there are legitimately fun things to do every day.
— Marquette 65, Xavier 51— Surprisingly easy win for Marquette, which has won 14 of its last 15 games. This was Marquette’s conference tournament title since 1997, when they won the C-USA tournament.
— Texas 76, Kansas 56— Longhorns allowed 54.3 ppg in their three wins this weekend. This game had two interim coaches leading the teams, with Rodney Terry taking over for the fired Chris Beard, while Norm Roberts is replacing Kansas coach Bill Self, who has been ill.
— Cal-Santa Barbara 72, Cal-Fullerton 62— Gauchos get to the NCAA’s for second time in three years; before that, they hadn’t been there since 2011.
I was on the UCSB campus a long time ago, 1990 if I remember right. They should have no trouble recruiting ballplayers; what a beautiful area. More than half the cars in the parking lot had a surfboard on the roof. Had I gone to school there, would’ve taken me about a month to flunk out. Who wants to study when you can go for a walk on the beach?
— San Diego State 62, Utah State 57— Aggies led 26-15 early on, but San Diego State wins this tournament for third time in last six years. Bracketology says Utah State is in the Field of 68, but they’ll be tossing and turning tonight, waiting for tomorrow’s verdict.
ESPN”s bracket guy has Arizona State in; the CBS bracket guy has the Sun Devils out; CBS has Utah State going to Dayton for a play-in game. ESPN has the Aggies ranked higher than that.
— Arizona 61, UCLA 59— UCLA hasn’t won the Pac-12 tournament since 2014; Arizona won it for fourth time in last six tries. Bruins are banged up; how much does the Selection Committee weigh their injuries into the seedings?
— Purdue guard David Jenkins should write a book about his experience playing college ball; he’s played all over the place:
2017-19— South Dakota State
2020-21— UNLV
2021-22— Utah
2022-23— Purdue
— New Mexico star Jaelen House is the grandson of former UCLA star Henry Bibby, who also played nine years in the NBA.
— Unfortunately, this time of year schools fire coaches who didn’t win as much as people hoped:
Buffalo fired Jim Whitesell (45-27 in MAC games in four years)
Georgia Tech fired Josh Pastner (11-29 in ACC games the last two years)
South Florida fired Brian Gregory (32-72 in AAC games)
Wichita State fired Isaac Brown (48-34 in three years).
Wichita fired Gregg Marshall three years ago, because Marshall hurt people’s feelings— he also went 331-121 with the Shockers, 233-53 his last eight years, with a Final Four in 2013.
Missouri gave hoop coach Dennis Gates a $1.5M/year raise, extended his contract thru 2029; Tigers are 24-9 in Gates’ first season in Columbia.
You fire a guy who was 331-121, you understand why they fired a guy who was 48-34.
— St John’s hasn’t played in the semi-finals of the Big East tournament since 2014, even though they play the tournament in Madison Square Garden, the Red Storm’s second home.
— Bronx baseball team put P Carlos Rodon on the IL with a strained forearm; Rodon signed a six-year, $162M contract this past winter.
— Teams that won the first four World Baseball Classics:
Japan, Japan, Dominican Republic, United States
— Arizona Diamondbacks gave OF Corbin Carroll an 8-year, $111M contract; Carroll has played in only 32 big league games, hitting .260 with 4 homers as a 21-year old last year.
— Washington Nationals signed C Keibert Ruiz to an 8-year, $50M contract; Ruiz hit .251 with seven homers last season, in his first season as a starter.
— Houston Texans were fined $175K, lost a 5th-round draft pick this year because of a salary cap reporting violation involving Deshaun Watson back in 2020.
Texans also signed WR Robert Woods to a 2-year contract, a smart move. Woods caught 53 passes for 527 yards with AFC South rival Tennessee last year.
— Minnesota Vikings cut WR Adam Thielen for salary cap reasons; Thielen caught 534 passes for 12.5 yards/catch in nine years for Minnesota, 55 of them for touchdowns.
— San Francisco QB Brock Purdy finally had his elbow operation this week; they said it was a six-month rehab for his elbow, so he figures to miss the start of the regular season.
— Random stat: Golden State Warriors are 4-13 as a road favorite this season.
— Remember to turn your clocks ahead an hour!!!
Teams who play the fastest tempo (shortest possessions on offense)
14.9 seconds— Marshall (24-8)
15.0— Long Beach State (17-16)
15.1— Cornell (17-11)
15.2— Alabama (28-5)
15.2— Portland State (12-19)
15.3— St John’s (18-15)
Quote of the Day
“How do you know when you run out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright
Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; what famous musician played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows?
Saturday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant with the 13th pick of the 1996 NBA Draft, then traded him to the Lakers, for Vlade Divac.
Friday’s quiz
Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.
************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….
— Brackets come out at 6:00 tonight; all the speculation ends and we can handicap the actual matchups. Champ Week has been fun, but it is time to move on to the main event.
— There were five conference tournaments in Las Vegas this week; must be tough living in a place where there are legitimately fun things to do every day.
— Marquette 65, Xavier 51— Surprisingly easy win for Marquette, which has won 14 of its last 15 games. This was Marquette’s conference tournament title since 1997, when they won the C-USA tournament.
— Texas 76, Kansas 56— Longhorns allowed 54.3 ppg in their three wins this weekend. This game had two interim coaches leading the teams, with Rodney Terry taking over for the fired Chris Beard, while Norm Roberts is replacing Kansas coach Bill Self, who has been ill.
— Cal-Santa Barbara 72, Cal-Fullerton 62— Gauchos get to the NCAA’s for second time in three years; before that, they hadn’t been there since 2011.
I was on the UCSB campus a long time ago, 1990 if I remember right. They should have no trouble recruiting ballplayers; what a beautiful area. More than half the cars in the parking lot had a surfboard on the roof. Had I gone to school there, would’ve taken me about a month to flunk out. Who wants to study when you can go for a walk on the beach?
— San Diego State 62, Utah State 57— Aggies led 26-15 early on, but San Diego State wins this tournament for third time in last six years. Bracketology says Utah State is in the Field of 68, but they’ll be tossing and turning tonight, waiting for tomorrow’s verdict.
ESPN”s bracket guy has Arizona State in; the CBS bracket guy has the Sun Devils out; CBS has Utah State going to Dayton for a play-in game. ESPN has the Aggies ranked higher than that.
— Arizona 61, UCLA 59— UCLA hasn’t won the Pac-12 tournament since 2014; Arizona won it for fourth time in last six tries. Bruins are banged up; how much does the Selection Committee weigh their injuries into the seedings?
— Purdue guard David Jenkins should write a book about his experience playing college ball; he’s played all over the place:
2017-19— South Dakota State
2020-21— UNLV
2021-22— Utah
2022-23— Purdue
— New Mexico star Jaelen House is the grandson of former UCLA star Henry Bibby, who also played nine years in the NBA.
— Unfortunately, this time of year schools fire coaches who didn’t win as much as people hoped:
Buffalo fired Jim Whitesell (45-27 in MAC games in four years)
Georgia Tech fired Josh Pastner (11-29 in ACC games the last two years)
South Florida fired Brian Gregory (32-72 in AAC games)
Wichita State fired Isaac Brown (48-34 in three years).
Wichita fired Gregg Marshall three years ago, because Marshall hurt people’s feelings— he also went 331-121 with the Shockers, 233-53 his last eight years, with a Final Four in 2013.
Missouri gave hoop coach Dennis Gates a $1.5M/year raise, extended his contract thru 2029; Tigers are 24-9 in Gates’ first season in Columbia.
You fire a guy who was 331-121, you understand why they fired a guy who was 48-34.
— St John’s hasn’t played in the semi-finals of the Big East tournament since 2014, even though they play the tournament in Madison Square Garden, the Red Storm’s second home.
— Bronx baseball team put P Carlos Rodon on the IL with a strained forearm; Rodon signed a six-year, $162M contract this past winter.
— Teams that won the first four World Baseball Classics:
Japan, Japan, Dominican Republic, United States
— Arizona Diamondbacks gave OF Corbin Carroll an 8-year, $111M contract; Carroll has played in only 32 big league games, hitting .260 with 4 homers as a 21-year old last year.
— Washington Nationals signed C Keibert Ruiz to an 8-year, $50M contract; Ruiz hit .251 with seven homers last season, in his first season as a starter.
— Houston Texans were fined $175K, lost a 5th-round draft pick this year because of a salary cap reporting violation involving Deshaun Watson back in 2020.
Texans also signed WR Robert Woods to a 2-year contract, a smart move. Woods caught 53 passes for 527 yards with AFC South rival Tennessee last year.
— Minnesota Vikings cut WR Adam Thielen for salary cap reasons; Thielen caught 534 passes for 12.5 yards/catch in nine years for Minnesota, 55 of them for touchdowns.
— San Francisco QB Brock Purdy finally had his elbow operation this week; they said it was a six-month rehab for his elbow, so he figures to miss the start of the regular season.
— Random stat: Golden State Warriors are 4-13 as a road favorite this season.
— Remember to turn your clocks ahead an hour!!!
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
- 17
- 38
HOUSTON is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher in the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-3 Under (10.7 Units) in the second half of the season in the current season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.
PORTLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season in the current season.
LA LAKERS are 10-2 Under (7.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season.
BROOKLYN is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-3 Under (10.7 Units) in the second half of the season in the current season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.
PORTLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season in the current season.
LA LAKERS are 10-2 Under (7.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
- 17
- 38
NBA
Long Sheet
Sunday, March 12
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BROOKLYN (38 - 29) at DENVER (46 - 21) - 3/12/2023, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
DENVER is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 96-65 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CLEVELAND (42 - 27) at CHARLOTTE (22 - 47) - 3/12/2023, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-54 ATS (-23.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (31 - 36) at PHILADELPHIA (44 - 22) - 3/12/2023, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 64-81 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-6 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTLAND (31 - 36) at NEW ORLEANS (32 - 35) - 3/12/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 65-82 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 34-50 ATS (-21.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OKLAHOMA CITY (32 - 35) at SAN ANTONIO (17 - 49) - 3/12/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 624-540 ATS (+30.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 219-176 ATS (+25.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 111-75 ATS (+28.5 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 447-380 ATS (+29.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-39 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW YORK (39 - 30) at LA LAKERS (33 - 34) - 3/12/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 123-100 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 284-229 ATS (+32.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA LAKERS are 171-214 ATS (-64.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long Sheet
Sunday, March 12
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BROOKLYN (38 - 29) at DENVER (46 - 21) - 3/12/2023, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
DENVER is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 96-65 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CLEVELAND (42 - 27) at CHARLOTTE (22 - 47) - 3/12/2023, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-54 ATS (-23.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (31 - 36) at PHILADELPHIA (44 - 22) - 3/12/2023, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 64-81 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-6 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTLAND (31 - 36) at NEW ORLEANS (32 - 35) - 3/12/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 65-82 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 34-50 ATS (-21.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OKLAHOMA CITY (32 - 35) at SAN ANTONIO (17 - 49) - 3/12/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 624-540 ATS (+30.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 219-176 ATS (+25.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 111-75 ATS (+28.5 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 447-380 ATS (+29.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-39 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW YORK (39 - 30) at LA LAKERS (33 - 34) - 3/12/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 123-100 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 284-229 ATS (+32.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA LAKERS are 171-214 ATS (-64.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
- 17
- 38
NBA
Sunday, March 12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Brooklyn @ Denver
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Cleveland @ Charlotte
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Portland @ New Orleans
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
Oklahoma City @ San Antonio
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
New York @ LA Lakers
New York
New York is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
New York is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
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Sunday, March 12
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Trend Report
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Brooklyn @ Denver
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Cleveland @ Charlotte
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Portland @ New Orleans
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
Oklahoma City @ San Antonio
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
New York @ LA Lakers
New York
New York is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
New York is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SUNDAY, MARCH 12
| BK at DEN | 03:30 PM | BK +9.0 O 230.5 | +500 +500 |
| CLE at CHA | 05:00 PM | CHA +8.5 O 220.0 | +500 +500 |
| WAS at PHI | 06:00 PM | PHI -7.5 O 227.0 | +500 +500 |
| OKC at SA | 07:00 PM | SA +3.0 O 236.5 | +500 +500 |
| POR at NO | 07:00 PM | NO +2.0 O 230.5 | +500 +500 |
| NY at LAL | 09:00 PM | NY +3.0 O 226.0 | +500 +500 |
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks
| 03/12/2023 | 8-4-0 | 66.67% | +1800 | Detail |
| 03/11/2023 | 11-9-0 | 55.00% | +550 | Detail |
| 03/10/2023 | 7-5-0 | 58.33% | +750 | Detail |
| 03/09/2023 | 8-4-0 | 66.67% | +1800 | Detail |
| 03/08/2023 | 8-6-0 | 57.14% | +700 | Detail |
| 03/07/2023 | 7-9-0 | 43.75% | -1450 | Detail |
| 03/06/2023 | 7-5-0 | 58.33% | +750 | Detail |
| 03/05/2023 | 6-14-0 | 30.00% | -4700 | Detail |
| 03/04/2023 | 7-5-0 | 58.33% | +750 | Detail |
| 03/03/2023 | 8-12-0 | 40.00% | -2600 | Detail |
| 03/02/2023 | 4-4-0 | 50.00% | -200 | Detail |
| 03/01/2023 | 11-6-1 | 63.89% | +2200 | Detail |
Monday’s 6-pack
Teams who play the slowest tempo (longest possessions on offense)21.3 seconds— North Texas (26-7)
20.4— Charlottte (18-14)
20— Jacksonvville (13-16)
19.4— Virginia (25-7)
19.4— Saint Mary’s (26-7)
18.7— Northern Kentucky (22-12)
Quote of the Day
“All season, our focus and goal have been on being the best team we can possibly become and reaching our full potential to give us another opportunity to compete, play for and win an NCAA championship. Although we no longer have that opportunity and this season wasn’t what we had hoped for, I want to thank our players and staff for their hard work and love for Carolina Basketball.”
North Carolina basketball coach Hubert Davis
Monday’s quiz
When was the last time three #1-seeds got to the Final Four?
Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; Meat Loaf played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows.
Saturday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant with the 13th pick of the 1996 NBA Draft, then traded him to the Lakers, for Vlade Divac.
**************************************************
Monday’s Den: Some quick thoughts on the Field of 68
— Last three years, only four of the 12 Final Four teams were #1-seeds.
— Three of this year’s #1-seeds play Thursday-Saturday this week.
— Top-ranked teams who missed the Field of 68: Rutgers (#35), Oklahoma Sate (#38) and Oregon (#41).
— Arizona State is in the First Four for third time in last five tournaments; they lost 60-56 to Syracuse in 2018, beat St John’s 74-65 the next year.
Think about it; on February 25, Sun Devils beat rival Arizona 89-88 when they sank a 55-foot desperation jumper at the buzzer. Without that win, Arizona State is in the NT.
— Speaking of the NIT, North Carolina declined to play in it after being the first preseason #1 team ever to miss the NCAA Tournament.
Some trends on how some conferences have fared in first round games:
— Lot has been said this year about how the Big X is by far the best conference this year; over the last three years, Big X teams are 14-5 ATS in Round of 64 games.
— Mountain West got four teams in the NCAA’s this year; over the last three years, MW teams are 0-8 SU/ATS in Round of 64 games.
— Charleston is a 5-point underdog vs San Diego State Thursday; Cougars play pace #29, while Aztecs play pace #252, so a contrast of styles here.
Over last nine years, CAA teams are 0-9 SU, but 5-4 against the spread.
— Florida Atlantic is 31-3, their best season ever; will they be able to keep coach Dusty May? You go 31-3 at a mid-major, a coach usually works his way up to a bigger $$$ job.
Last seven years, Conference USA teams are 5-2 SU in Round of 64 games.
— VCU beat Dayton 68-56 to win the A-15 tournament; Rams are 27-7, but they weren’t getting in the NCAA’s if they lost this game. This was first time since 2005 that the A-15 got one team in the tournament- they had 12 teams in the league back then.
— Big Sky teams haven’t won a tournament game since Montana (+7) upset Nevada 87-79 way back in 2006. Big Sky teams went 3-11-1 ATS in those losses.
Montana State is this year’s Big Sky team; they’re 22-4 in their last 26 games, are experience team #47. Bobcats play #3-seed Kansas State in their first round game.
— Last three years, SEC teams are 7-4-2 ATS in first round games.
— Kent State-Indiana play in Albany Friday night; Kent coach Ron Senderoff is an Albany alum and he also worked at Indiana, from 2006-08.
Over last six years, MAC teams covered all six of their games in Round of 64.
— Over last ten years, Horizon League teams are 0-10 SU, 3-7 ATS; Wright State did win a play-in game last year.
— I’ll have a lot more on the tournament as the week goes on.
Teams who play the slowest tempo (longest possessions on offense)21.3 seconds— North Texas (26-7)
20.4— Charlottte (18-14)
20— Jacksonvville (13-16)
19.4— Virginia (25-7)
19.4— Saint Mary’s (26-7)
18.7— Northern Kentucky (22-12)
Quote of the Day
“All season, our focus and goal have been on being the best team we can possibly become and reaching our full potential to give us another opportunity to compete, play for and win an NCAA championship. Although we no longer have that opportunity and this season wasn’t what we had hoped for, I want to thank our players and staff for their hard work and love for Carolina Basketball.”
North Carolina basketball coach Hubert Davis
Monday’s quiz
When was the last time three #1-seeds got to the Final Four?
Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; Meat Loaf played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows.
Saturday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant with the 13th pick of the 1996 NBA Draft, then traded him to the Lakers, for Vlade Divac.
**************************************************
Monday’s Den: Some quick thoughts on the Field of 68
— Last three years, only four of the 12 Final Four teams were #1-seeds.
— Three of this year’s #1-seeds play Thursday-Saturday this week.
— Top-ranked teams who missed the Field of 68: Rutgers (#35), Oklahoma Sate (#38) and Oregon (#41).
— Arizona State is in the First Four for third time in last five tournaments; they lost 60-56 to Syracuse in 2018, beat St John’s 74-65 the next year.
Think about it; on February 25, Sun Devils beat rival Arizona 89-88 when they sank a 55-foot desperation jumper at the buzzer. Without that win, Arizona State is in the NT.
— Speaking of the NIT, North Carolina declined to play in it after being the first preseason #1 team ever to miss the NCAA Tournament.
Some trends on how some conferences have fared in first round games:
— Lot has been said this year about how the Big X is by far the best conference this year; over the last three years, Big X teams are 14-5 ATS in Round of 64 games.
— Mountain West got four teams in the NCAA’s this year; over the last three years, MW teams are 0-8 SU/ATS in Round of 64 games.
— Charleston is a 5-point underdog vs San Diego State Thursday; Cougars play pace #29, while Aztecs play pace #252, so a contrast of styles here.
Over last nine years, CAA teams are 0-9 SU, but 5-4 against the spread.
— Florida Atlantic is 31-3, their best season ever; will they be able to keep coach Dusty May? You go 31-3 at a mid-major, a coach usually works his way up to a bigger $$$ job.
Last seven years, Conference USA teams are 5-2 SU in Round of 64 games.
— VCU beat Dayton 68-56 to win the A-15 tournament; Rams are 27-7, but they weren’t getting in the NCAA’s if they lost this game. This was first time since 2005 that the A-15 got one team in the tournament- they had 12 teams in the league back then.
— Big Sky teams haven’t won a tournament game since Montana (+7) upset Nevada 87-79 way back in 2006. Big Sky teams went 3-11-1 ATS in those losses.
Montana State is this year’s Big Sky team; they’re 22-4 in their last 26 games, are experience team #47. Bobcats play #3-seed Kansas State in their first round game.
— Last three years, SEC teams are 7-4-2 ATS in first round games.
— Kent State-Indiana play in Albany Friday night; Kent coach Ron Senderoff is an Albany alum and he also worked at Indiana, from 2006-08.
Over last six years, MAC teams covered all six of their games in Round of 64.
— Over last ten years, Horizon League teams are 0-10 SU, 3-7 ATS; Wright State did win a play-in game last year.
— I’ll have a lot more on the tournament as the week goes on.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
- 17
- 38
DETROIT is 15-4 Over (10.6 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents in the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS are 72-45 ATS (22.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.
HOUSTON is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher in the last 3 s...
GOLDEN STATE is 61-33 Over (24.7 Units) in home games revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 34-18 Under (14.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents in the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS are 72-45 ATS (22.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.
HOUSTON is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher in the last 3 s...
GOLDEN STATE is 61-33 Over (24.7 Units) in home games revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 34-18 Under (14.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
- 17
- 38
NBA
Long Sheet
Monday, March 13
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDIANA (31 - 37) at DETROIT (15 - 53) - 3/13/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 252-303 ATS (-81.3 Units) after a division game since 1996.
DETROIT is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MINNESOTA (34 - 34) at ATLANTA (34 - 34) - 3/13/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEMPHIS (40 - 26) at DALLAS (34 - 34) - 3/13/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games this season.
DALLAS is 506-420 ATS (+44.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 291-234 ATS (+33.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 90-66 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 61-44 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UTAH (33 - 35) at MIAMI (36 - 33) - 3/13/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MIAMI is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BOSTON (47 - 21) at HOUSTON (15 - 52) - 3/13/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 92-76 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 39-68 ATS (-35.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PHOENIX (37 - 30) at GOLDEN STATE (35 - 33) - 3/13/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 87-73 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 93-69 ATS (+17.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MILWAUKEE (48 - 19) at SACRAMENTO (40 - 26) - 3/13/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 337-399 ATS (-101.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 266-318 ATS (-83.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 73-108 ATS (-45.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long Sheet
Monday, March 13
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDIANA (31 - 37) at DETROIT (15 - 53) - 3/13/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 252-303 ATS (-81.3 Units) after a division game since 1996.
DETROIT is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MINNESOTA (34 - 34) at ATLANTA (34 - 34) - 3/13/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEMPHIS (40 - 26) at DALLAS (34 - 34) - 3/13/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games this season.
DALLAS is 506-420 ATS (+44.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 291-234 ATS (+33.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 90-66 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 61-44 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UTAH (33 - 35) at MIAMI (36 - 33) - 3/13/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MIAMI is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BOSTON (47 - 21) at HOUSTON (15 - 52) - 3/13/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 92-76 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 39-68 ATS (-35.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PHOENIX (37 - 30) at GOLDEN STATE (35 - 33) - 3/13/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 87-73 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 93-69 ATS (+17.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MILWAUKEE (48 - 19) at SACRAMENTO (40 - 26) - 3/13/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 337-399 ATS (-101.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 266-318 ATS (-83.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 73-108 ATS (-45.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
- 17
- 38
NBA
Monday, March 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Indiana @ Detroit
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Utah @ Miami
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Utah
Memphis @ Dallas
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Minnesota @ Atlanta
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Boston @ Houston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Phoenix @ Golden State
Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee @ Sacramento
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, March 13
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indiana @ Detroit
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Utah @ Miami
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Utah
Memphis @ Dallas
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Minnesota @ Atlanta
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Boston @ Houston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Phoenix @ Golden State
Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee @ Sacramento
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
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MONDAY, MARCH 13
| IND at DET | 07:00 PM | IND -3.5 U 226.0 | +500 +500 |
| UTA at MIA | 07:30 PM | UTA +7.5 O 226.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIN at ATL | 07:30 PM | ATL -5.5 U 244.5 | +500 +500 |
| MEM at DAL | 07:30 PM | DAL +1.0 O 224.5 | +500 +500 |
| BOS at HOU | 08:00 PM | BOS -12.5 O 231.5 | +500 +500 |
| PHO at GS | 10:00 PM | GS -4.5 U 236.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIL at SAC | 10:00 PM | SAC +2.0 O 244.5 | +500 +500 |
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks
| 03/13/2023 | 6-8-0 | 42.85% | -1400 | Detail |
| 03/12/2023 | 8-4-0 | 66.67% | +1800 | Detail |
| 03/11/2023 | 11-9-0 | 55.00% | +550 | Detail |
| 03/10/2023 | 7-5-0 | 58.33% | +750 | Detail |
| 03/09/2023 | 8-4-0 | 66.67% | +1800 | Detail |
| 03/08/2023 | 8-6-0 | 57.14% | +700 | Detail |
| 03/07/2023 | 7-9-0 | 43.75% | -1450 | Detail |
| 03/06/2023 | 7-5-0 | 58.33% | +750 | Detail |
| 03/05/2023 | 6-14-0 | 30.00% | -4700 | Detail |
| 03/04/2023 | 7-5-0 | 58.33% | +750 | Detail |
| 03/03/2023 | 8-12-0 | 40.00% | -2600 | Detail |
| 03/02/2023 | 4-4-0 | 50.00% | -200 | Detail |
| 03/01/2023 | 11-6-1 | 63.89% | +2200 | Detail |
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
- 17
- 38
Armadillo Sports
Tuesday’s 6-pack
Biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history:
2012— Norfolk State (+21.5) 86-84 over Missouri
2018— UMBC (+20.5) 74-54 over Virginia
1993— Santa Clara (+20) 64-61 over Arizona
1997— Coppin State (+18.5) 78-65 over South Carolina
2022— Saint Peter’s (+18) 85-79 over Kentucky
2001— Hampton (+17.5) 58-57 over Iowa State
1986— Ark-Little Rock (+17.5) 90-83 over Notre Dame
Quote of the Day
“When you look at the r?sum?, they had 18 opportunities in the Quad 1, and they won only six games. And they had opportunities in the non-conference schedule to win some games to enhance their r?sum?, and they fell a little short.”
Chris Reynolds, the NCAA tournament committee chairman, talking about Oklahoma State
Tuesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team lower than a #4 seed got to the Final Four?
Monday’s quiz
2015 was the last time three #1-seeds got to the Final Four.
Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; Meat Loaf played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows.
**************************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……
— NCAA Tournament teams this year who lost their first conference tournament game:
#3-seed- Kansas State
#3-seed- Baylor
#6-seed- Kentucky
#7-seed- Michigan State
#7-s3ed- Northwestern
#8-seed- Iowa
#9-seed- Auburn
#9-seed- Illinois
#10-seed- USC
In the last 20 years, no team that lost its first conference tournament game won the national championship that season,
— College basketball coaching hires:
Ole Miss hired former Texas Tech/Texas coach Chris Beard, who has a 237-98 career record but got fired at Texas this season because of a domestic violence issue.
Georgia Tech hired Damon Stoudamire, who had been an assistant coach with the NBA’s Celtics; he was 71-77 in five years coaching Pacific in the WCC (23-10 three years ago).
— Be careful moving #4-seed Tennessee too far up your brackets; their point guard Zakai Zeigler is out for the season.
— Teams ranked in top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency:
Baylor, UConn, Houston, Texas
Tuesday’s 6-pack
Biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history:
2012— Norfolk State (+21.5) 86-84 over Missouri
2018— UMBC (+20.5) 74-54 over Virginia
1993— Santa Clara (+20) 64-61 over Arizona
1997— Coppin State (+18.5) 78-65 over South Carolina
2022— Saint Peter’s (+18) 85-79 over Kentucky
2001— Hampton (+17.5) 58-57 over Iowa State
1986— Ark-Little Rock (+17.5) 90-83 over Notre Dame
Quote of the Day
“When you look at the r?sum?, they had 18 opportunities in the Quad 1, and they won only six games. And they had opportunities in the non-conference schedule to win some games to enhance their r?sum?, and they fell a little short.”
Chris Reynolds, the NCAA tournament committee chairman, talking about Oklahoma State
Tuesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team lower than a #4 seed got to the Final Four?
Monday’s quiz
2015 was the last time three #1-seeds got to the Final Four.
Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; Meat Loaf played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows.
**************************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……
— NCAA Tournament teams this year who lost their first conference tournament game:
#3-seed- Kansas State
#3-seed- Baylor
#6-seed- Kentucky
#7-seed- Michigan State
#7-s3ed- Northwestern
#8-seed- Iowa
#9-seed- Auburn
#9-seed- Illinois
#10-seed- USC
In the last 20 years, no team that lost its first conference tournament game won the national championship that season,
— College basketball coaching hires:
Ole Miss hired former Texas Tech/Texas coach Chris Beard, who has a 237-98 career record but got fired at Texas this season because of a domestic violence issue.
Georgia Tech hired Damon Stoudamire, who had been an assistant coach with the NBA’s Celtics; he was 71-77 in five years coaching Pacific in the WCC (23-10 three years ago).
— Be careful moving #4-seed Tennessee too far up your brackets; their point guard Zakai Zeigler is out for the season.
— Teams ranked in top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency:
Baylor, UConn, Houston, Texas
