Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 14
NYI at OTT05:30 PMOTT +109
O 6.5
+500 +500
LA at CAL08:30 PMCAL -165
U 6.0
+500 +500
CAR at CHI08:30 PMCHI +204
O 6.0
+500 +500
STL at COL09:00 PMSTL +160
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%....................+2 5.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%....................- 39.90
11/11/2022.................2-5-1.....................28.57%....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.....................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%.....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%.....................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%.....................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS..................84-107-5....................43.97%......................-144.15


BEST BETS

11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%.....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.....................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%.....................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%.....................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%.....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%.....................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%.....................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%.....................- 21.95

TOTALS.....................58-67-3....................46.40%.....................- 44.65
 

Udog

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 11 NFL spreads
— Commanders (-2.5) @ Houston
— Raiders @ Denver (-2.5)
— Cowboys (-1.5) @ Minnesota
— Bengals (-4.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Chiefs (-7) @ LA Chargers
— 49ers (-8) vs Arizona (@ Mexico City)

Quote of the Day
“People in today’s world want instant gratification. The guy’s coached nine games. We’re 2-7, not the results we’re looking for but at the same time we’ve lost six one-score games with the ball and a chance to win at the end. I gave him my vote of confidence when I signed him to a contract to be coach of the Raiders. That’s when I gave it to him. Rome was not built in a day.”
Raiders’ owner Mark Davis

Tuesday’s quiz
Butler Bulldogs played in the national title game in both 2010, 2011, when Brad Stevens was their coach. What league was Butler in back then?

Monday’s quiz
Hue Jackson coached the Browns during their 0-16 season in 2017.

Sunday’s quiz
Cleveland Browns went 0-16 five years ago, the NFL’s last winless team.

************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Commanders 32, Eagles 21
— Washington converted 12-21 third down plays.
— Robinson ran for 86 yards and a TD.
— McLaurin caught eight passes for 128 yards.
— Joey Slye kicked four FG’s, three of them from 44, 58, 55 yards out.
— Only 2nd win for Washington in their last 11 games against the Eagles.

— This was first time all season Eagles trailed in the second half.
— Eagles had 4 turnovers; they had total of 3 in first eight games.
— Commanders ran 81 plays, Eagles 47.
— Philly scored TD’s on first two drives, only one on last eight.
— Philly has converted 55-107 3rd down plays this year.

— Washington ran 51 plays in the first half Monday night; by contrast, Saints ran 45 plays the whole game in Pittsburgh Sunday. Seattle ran only 50 plays the whole game against Tampa Bay.

— In their three post-bye games, Buffalo Bills have been outscored 33-12 in the second half, scoring no TD’s on 15 drives, with six turnovers.

— Baker Mayfield will start at QB for Carolina this week; PJ Walker has a sprained ankle. Sam Darnold will be the backup.

— Player of the Week in Mountain West football this week is San Diego State QB Jalen Mayden, who was 17-22/268 passing, with 2 TD’s vs San Jose State. He also ran the ball 13 times for 78 yards.

What makes this more interesting is that this summer, Mayden wasn’t listed in the top 5 of QB’s on the Aztecs’ roster, but he’s the man now for a team that has won four of its last five games. He threw six passes for San Diego State last year; good for him for hanging in there, instead of just transferring somewhere else.

— Ohio State WR Kamryn Babb caught a TD pass at the end of their game with Indiana last week; normally wouldn’t be a big deal, since it made the score 56-14, but this kid has endured four ACL operations, is a senior and has overcome a lot just to be out on the field.

His teammates elected him a captain; they went nuts when he scored the TD. A good moment.

— Texas Longhorns are 6-4 this year, 11-11 in two years under Steve Sarkisian. Longhorns fired the previous coach, Tom Herman, after he went 32-18 as head coach. Awkward.

— West Virginia fired their athletic director, which could be bad news for their football coach. Mountaineers are 4-6 this year, 21-24 in four years under Neal Brown, The natives are restless.

— Football fans at Mississippi State ring cowbells during home games, for whatever reason; the school bookstore sells cowbells- they sell an average of 200 a day on football weekends.

— Houston Astros just won the World Series, with the #9 payroll in baseball; they manage their payroll by signing lot of international players, whose bonuses are generally lower than players taken in the amateur draft in this country.

Framber Valdez made $3M this year.
Luis Garcia made $1,251,500
Cristian Javier made $749,100

Curious to see if they re-sign Justin Verlander this winter. They did give reliever Rafael Montero a 3-year deal for $34.5M this week.

— There is another Matt Ryan (not the Colts’ QB) in pro sports; Lakers have a Matt Ryan, who is averaging 4.7 points/game in 10 games, playing 12.2 minutes/game.

He played ball at three colleges- Notre Dame, Vanderbilt, Chattanooga, shooting 36.3% on the arc over four seasons.

Ryan gets his first NBA paycheck today; he is making $1.64M this year, but has to stick on the roster until January 10 to have the contract fully guaranteed. Not bad for a guy who recently worked as a delivery driver for DoorDash and worked at his grandfather’s business run out of a graveyard in White Plains, NY.

Shooting is marketable in the NBA; Ryan is 13-31 on the arc (41.9%) this year. He keeps that up, and he won’t be driving DoorDash anymore.

— Joel Embiid had a HUGE game Sunday; he scored 57 points, had 11 rebounds, 8 assists, 7 blocked shots as the 76ers beat Utah 105-98. He scored over half their points. 76ers were +25 while Embiid was on the court.

— Big East is playing Big 14 this week, in series of games:
DePaul 69, Minnesota 53— Blue Demons had 20 offensive rebounds.

Penn State 68, Butler 62— Nittany Lions made 11-24 on the arc, took only five foul shots the whole game (4-5). Jalen Pickett scored 15 points, had 9 rebounds, 11 assists.

Northwestern State 64, TCU 63— Pretty big upset here; Horned Frogs led by 12 with 12:54 left in the game. TCU was a preseason top 25 team, but they beat Ark-Pine Bluff 73-72, are off to a slow start.

Stetson 68, South Florida 67— Hatters have wins over Florida State, USF; solid start to the season for the Hatters, who play in the Atlantic Sun, which has 14 teams in it this year.

Florida Atlantic 76, Florida 74— Another upset in the Sunshine State. Owls shot 21-45 on the arc in splitting a pair of games against SEC opponents Ole Miss/Florida.

— Big-time recruit DJ Wagner signed on to play basketball at Kentucky next year; his father Dujuan Wagner played for John Calipari at Memphis; his grandfather Milt Wagner was just hired as an assistant coach by Louisville.

— RIP to Leo Anthony Gallagher, 74, a comedian who passed away last week. His stage name was simply Gallagher; back in the 80’s, he was a regular on talk shows, with an act that usually included smashing a watermelon with a sledgehammer. People in the first couple rows at this shows would often wear ponchos, so the spray from the ill-fated watermelon wouldn’t get on their clothes.

Oddly, he graduated from college with a chemical engineering degree; you wouldn’t think that would lead to a career in comedy.

Back in my high school/college days, I was a big fan of stand-up comedy; Gallagher was one of the better ones. He was freakin’ funny. RIP, sir.
 

Udog

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WASHINGTON is 137-125 ATS (-0.5 Units) in road games off a road loss since 1996.

DALLAS are 14-4 Under (9.6 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) off a home loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the last 3 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 27-7 Over (19.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

VEGAS are 6-0 Under (6 Units) in home games in all games in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 0-22 ATS (-24.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.
 
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Udog

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NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 15


B1nR60j.png
 

Udog

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NHL

Tuesday, November 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vancouver @ Buffalo
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver

Washington @ Florida
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 14 games when playing Florida
Florida
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

New Jersey @ Montreal
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing New Jersey

Toronto @ Pittsburgh
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Dallas @ Tampa Bay
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Philadelphia @ Columbus
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Columbus's last 10 games at home

Minnesota @ Nashville
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Nashville
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Nashville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Detroit @ Anaheim
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing Detroit

San Jose @ Vegas
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games
San Jose is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games at home
Vegas is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Jose


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 15
TOR at PIT07:00 PMTOR -111
O 6.5
+500 +500
NJ at MON07:00 PMNJ -186
U 6.5
+500 +500
DAL at TB07:00 PMDAL +118
O 6.0
+500 +500
VAN at BUF07:00 PMBUF -105
O 6.5
+500 +500
WAS at FLA07:00 PMFLA -200
O 6.5
+500 +500
PHI at CLB07:30 PMPHI -114
O 6.5
+500 +500
MIN at NAS08:00 PMMIN -109
O 5.5
+500 +500
DET at ANA10:00 PMDET -112
O 6.5
+500 +500
SJ at VEG10:00 PMSJ +223
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !




11/15/2022................10-8-0....................55.56%....................+12 .65
11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%....................+2 5.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%....................- 39.90
11/11/2022.................2-5-1.....................28.57%....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.....................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%.....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%.....................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%.....................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS..................94-115-5....................44.97%......................-131.50


BEST BETS



11/15/2022...................6-6-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.20
11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%.....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.....................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%.....................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%.....................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%.....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%.....................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%.....................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%.....................- 21.95

TOTALS.....................64-73-3....................46.71%.....................- 41.45
 

Udog

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 11 college spreads
— Texas Tech @ Iowa State (-3.5)
— Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma (-7.5)
— Ole Miss (-2.5) @ Arkansas
— USC (-1.5) @ UCLA (total, 75.5)
— Syracuse @ Wake Forest (-10)
— Utah @ Oregon (-3)

Quote of the Day
“I don’t have to defend myself. I am absolutely comfortable in who I am. I respect all those guys. Whoever has whatever negative opinion, I can assure you, it’s not gonna change who I am or what I believe I’m called to do. I have no idea, and I still don’t, how successful I’ll be, but we’re gonna work hard at it and I believe I can lead men and lead the staff. I’m excited about the opportunity.”
Colts coach Jeff Saturday, responding to criticism of his being hired by the Colts

Wednesday’s quiz
When UNLV won the national title in 1990, who did they beat in the final?

Tuesday’s quiz
Butler Bulldogs played in the national title game in both 2010, 2011, when Brad Stevens was their coach. Butler was in the Horizon League back then.

Monday’s quiz
Hue Jackson coached the Browns during their 0-16 season in 2017.

*********************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

College basketball notes from Tuesday:
— Michigan State 86, Kentucky 77, 2OT
Spartans made 23-27 on foul line.
Oscar Tshiebwe had 22 points, 12 rebounds off the bench.
Kentucky was +10 in 34:eek:o Tshiebwe played, -19 in 16:00 he sat out.

— Early season college basketball needs more games like this one.

Was excellent to hear Dick Vitale on the mike; glad his medical issues seem to have gone away. I admire his enthusiasm and energy.

Kansas 69, Duke 64
Teams combined to shoot 6-40 on the arc.
Duke shot 35.8% from floor.
Duke had 8 assists on 24 baskets; Kansas had 21 assists on 31 hoops.

Vanderbilt 89, Temple 87— Commodores win despite going 4-13 on foul line; Temple made 14-29 on the arc, but Vandy shot 55.6% inside the arc.

Saint Louis 90, Memphis 84— Solid win for the Billikens, who were 27-36 on foul line.

Appalachian State 61, Louisville 60— Cardinals are off to an 0-3 start, the only team in the last 40 years to start out 0-3, with three 1-point losses.
L66-67 vs Bellarmine
L72-73 vs Wright State
L60-61 vs Appalachian State

Colgate 80, Syracuse 68— Colgate made 19-38 on the arc.

Purdue 75, Marquette 70
Marquette led 58-49 with 9:54 left to play.
Purdue shot 62% inside the arc.

— Not a great night for the Pac-12:
Cal-San Diego 64, Cal 62
Prairie View 70, Washington State 59
San Diego State 74, Stanford 62
USC did beat Vermont……..by 2
.

— If you like college basketball, I highly recommend getting ESPN+; it only costs a few bucks a month- they show lot of games.

While you were sleeping Monday night, I was watching the Yale-Hawai’i game on my phone, which ended after 2am. Good game; Yale won in overtime.

— Last five years, Xavier is 2-5 in the Big East basketball tournament; four of the five losses came in overtime, the fifth loss was by 4 points. Xavier is 2-0 this year under its new coach Sean Miller, who is also their old coach (120-47 from 2004-09).

— 10 years ago, Missouri jumped from the Big X to the SEC; I’m guessing they made a boatload of money on the move, but has it helped them on the field/court?

Their last four years in the Big X, Mizzou was 107-34 in basketball, 44-22 in conference games, making the NCAA tournament all four years. Since then, Tigers are 154-168, 69-115 in SEC games, making the NCAAs three times in 10 years. Not great.

In football, Missouri was 48-19 their last five years in the Big X, going 3-2 in bowl games. Since joining the SEC, Mizzou is 69-56 in football, 38-44 in league games- they’re 2-3 in bowls since joining the SEC.

Again, not great. Wonder what the boosters think of all this.

— With Loyola-Chicago moving in from the MVC, Atlantic 10 now has 15 teams, which is a bad number. Makes the conference tournament a little awkward.

— ACC has had 3+ players taken in the first round of the NBA Draft every year for the last 13 drafts.

— Five players who spent time in the G-League, before becoming NBA All-Stars:
Rudy Gobert
Khris Middleton
Dejounte Murray
Pascal Siakam
Fred VanVleet

Baseball stuff:
— Tyler Anderson gets a 3-year, $39M deal from the Angels.
— Anthony Rizzo gets a 2-year, $40M deal from Bronx.
— Joc Pederson (Giants), Martin Perez (Rangers) each took the $19.65M qualifying offer to stay with their current team.

— Word of the Day: Shenanigans— a mischievous or deceitful trick.
Synonyms: mischief, horseplay, nonsense

— The classic TV show M*A*S*H was based on a book written by Richard Hornberger, who was an Army surgeon during the Korean War. It took Dr Hornberger 12 years to write his book, another five years for someone to buy the rights to it.

Eventually, Dr Hornberger sold the TV rights for $500 an episode, $125,500 in all. Pretty good deal for CBS; M*A*S*H is one of the best TV shows of all time.

— Last three weeks, Chicago Bears have allowed either a defensive TD or a special teams TD; they’ve scored 29-30-32 points in the three games, but giving away points is a big reason why they lost all three of those games.

— Colorado State’s QB is Clay Millen, whose dad Hugh played nine years in the NFL, for four teams. Hugh Millen started 25 games in the NFL.

One of the cool things I’ve gotten to see in my life was July 1986, a free scrimmage in Anaheim with the Rams and Chargers. The starters played 7-on-7, then the rookies had a full contact scrimmage. There were about 25,000 people there.

Watching Dan Fouts throw a football was awesome, especially with no pass rush. Rams won their division the year before; this was just before they traded for Jim Everett, so things were generally positive with the fans, except the Rams seemed to have a different QB every year.

Rams had drafted Hugh Millen in the 3rd round that year, but that night in Anaheim, he broke his ankle during the scrimmage, which may have accelerated the Everett trade talks.

That was a fun week back in 1986; the scrimmage and also my first trip to Las Vegas. Deson’t seem like 36 years ago.

— Charlotte 49ers hired a new football coach Tuesday; 62-year old Biff Poggi, the associate head coach at Michigan. Poggi was a successful high school coach in Maryland for a long time before going to Michigan.

A graduate of Duke, Poggi began his career as a teacher before managing a successful hedge fund. He led Gilman School to 13 Maryland Interscholastic Athletic Association conference championships.

I’ll admit that I’m biased, but I’ll say this; if you’re in your early 60’s and your name is Biff, you must be really, really smart. You think?!?!?!
 

Udog

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BUFFALO is 14-6 ATS (7.4 Units) off a close home loss by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 27-14 ATS (11.6 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) in road games first half of the season in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 16


wBctENj.png





NHL

Wednesday, November 16


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Buffalo @ Ottawa
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo

St. Louis @ Chicago
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Los Angeles @ Edmonton
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games on the road
Edmonton
Edmonton is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Edmonton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Los Angeles


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 16
BUF at OTT07:00 PMOTT -161
O 6.5
+500 +500
STL at CHI07:30 PMCHI +144
O 6.0
+500 +500
LA at EDM10:00 PMEDM -146
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/16/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%....................- 2.80
11/15/2022................10-8-0....................55.56%....................+12 .65
11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%....................+2 5.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%....................- 39.90
11/11/2022.................2-5-1.....................28.57%....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.....................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%.....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%.....................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%.....................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS...............97-118-5....................45.11%......................-134.30


BEST BETS

11/16/2022...................2-2-0..................50.00%.....................- 2.80
11/15/2022...................6-6-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.20
11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%.....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.....................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%.....................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%.....................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%.....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%.....................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%.....................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%.....................- 21.95

TOTALS..................66-75-3....................46.80%.....................- 44.25
 

Udog

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Thursday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in net punting average:
46.4— Tommy Townsend, KC
45.6— AJ Cole, LV
45.3— Ryan Stonehouse, Tenn
45.2— Michael Dickson, Sea
44.4— Tress Way, Wash
43.8— Jake Camarda, TB

Quote of the Day
“I think he is a good coach. All ‘the greatest’ and ‘we’ve never seen anything like him,’ that’s bullcrap. He’s had Tom Brady. If you take away Tom Brady, you know what he is? He’s under .500.”
Former NFL RB LeSean McCoy, talking about Bill Belichick

Thursday’s quiz
When was the last time the defending Super Bowl champ didn’t make the playoffs?

Wednesday’s quiz
When UNLV won the national title in 1990, they beat Duke 103-73 in the final.

Tuesday’s quiz
Butler Bulldogs played in the national title game in both 2010, 2011, when Brad Stevens was their coach. Butler was in the Horizon League back then.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— Buck Showalter has now won Manager of the Year four times, in four different decades, for four different teams:

1994 New York (A)
2004 Texas
2014 Baltimore
2022 New York (N)

Showalter has a 10-16 record in playoff games, making the playoffs six times in 21 seasons.

Texas 93, Gonzaga 74— This is what Bob Huggins was talking about couple weeks ago, when he said that Gonzaga wouldn’t fare as well if they move from the WCC to the Big X. It is good to be a big fish in a small pond; the Big X is a very big pond, no easy wins there.

Northern Kentucky 64, Cincinnati 51— Norse held Cincinnati to 11 second half points; great win for the Horizon League. Bearcats shot 6-21 on the arc.

Iowa 83, Seton Hall 67— Pirates shot 35.6% inside arc, were 11-13 on foul line, Iowa was 28-33 on line; after falling behind 10-2, Hawkeyes dominated this game. Kris Murray scored 29 points for Iowa.

Arizona State 63, VCU 59— VCU led 56-48 with 6:20 left in the game, got outscored 15-3 the rest of the way. Rams’ PG Baldwin didn’t play in this game, which obviously hurt them. /

Watched this game on my laptop with ESPN+; I’ll say it again, if you like college basketball, ESPN+ is worth the investment, which isn’t very much anyway.

BYU 66. Missouri State 64— Cougars scored a hoop with 0:02 left as they survived 11-20 shooting on the charity stripe. BYU played 10 guys 10+ minutes; they have good depth.

UNLV 60, Dayton 52— Good win Tuesday night for Kevin Kruger’s Rebels, who have a chronologically-old team, but one with players who played on six teams other than UNLV last season. Kruger has utilized the transfer portal very wisely. Dayton didn’t score a basket in the last 6:46 of this game.

UNLV ranks #60 in country in experience, but #252 in continuity, which suggests that they should get stronger as the season progresses, as they get more used to each other. Rebels have forced turnovers on 34.9% of possessions this season, #1 in the country

— Early season rankings of college basketball conferences, by KenPom.com:
1) Big X
2) SEC
3) Big 14
4) Big East
5) ACC
6) Pac-12

— How favorites/underdogs are faring in college football conference games:
AAC— road teams are 20-10-1 ATS
ACC— home underdogs are 11-9 ATS
Big 14— underdogs are 22-18-2 ATS
Big X— home teams are 20-13-2 ATS
C-USA— home favorites are 11-9 ATS
Mountain West— home favorites 7-7 ATS, home dogs 9-9
Pac-12— home favorites are 15-8 ATS
SEC— home favorites are 14-15 ATS
Sun Belt— home favorites are 10-15 ATS

— Alabama is playing Austin Peay in football this weekend; why????

Austin Peay is a I-AA team; this might be an interesting basketball game, because Austin Peay is D-1 in hoops, but it is ludicrous for the best football program in the country to be playing a I-AA team. Plus, it cheats the fans of seeing a more competitive game.

Play a Sun Belt team.
Play a MAC team
Play a team from Conference USA
Play an SEC team in a non-conference game.

Alabama isn’t the only team that does it, but it is more obvious when it happens in November. Mississippi State is doing same thing this week, playing East Tennessee State. No bueno.

— Bryce Harper is having elbow surgery Thursday; the timeframe for his recovery is unclear, since they don’t know if he needs Tommy John surgery.

— Read an interesting article about Astros’ owner Jim Crane, how he has become more involved in the decision making process with his team. Crane also solicits advice from ex-players (Jeff Bagwell, Reggie Jackson, as well as others) to balance the analytics-based info they use.

Looking forward to see who Crane picks for his next GM, seeing how he just canned a guy who won him a World Series.

— In the NBA, Oklahoma City Thunder should be good going forward; they have FOUR first round draft picks in 2024, then THREE more in 2025.

Only 15 guys on a roster; unsure if the Thunder will package those picks for a star player, but it’ll be interesting to find out.
 

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COLUMBUS are 0-13 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) in home games after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in November games in the current season.

FLORIDA is 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 25-13 Over (10.7 Units) first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 14-43 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 12-4 Over (7.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 7-0 Under (7 Units) in November games in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 17-6 Over (10.4 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 2-8 ATS (-11.3 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

ARIZONA is 15-18 ATS (-4.8 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.

DAVID QUINN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) (All games)
 

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NHL

Thursday, November 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Boston
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Colorado @ Carolina
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing Colorado

Montreal @ Columbus
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games on the road
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Columbus is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal

Dallas @ Florida
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Calgary @ Tampa Bay
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary

New Jersey @ Toronto
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey

Pittsburgh @ Minnesota
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

NY Islanders @ Nashville
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Islanders is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders

Washington @ St. Louis
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

Anaheim @ Winnipeg
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Winnipeg is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

NY Rangers @ Seattle
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of NY Rangers's last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Rangers's last 14 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games

Arizona @ Vegas
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games at home

Detroit @ San Jose
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 9 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 17
PHI at BOS07:00 PMPHI +277
O 6.0
+500 +500
MON at CLB07:00 PMCLB -114
U 6.5
+500 +500
DAL at FLA07:00 PMFLA -181
O 6.5
+500 +500
COL at CAR07:00 PMCAR -130
O 6.0
+500 +500
CAL at TB07:00 PMCAL +109
U 6.5
+500 +500
NJ at TOR07:00 PMNJ +128
U 6.5
+500 +500
PIT at MIN08:00 PMMIN -106
O 6.5
+500 +500
ANA at WIN08:00 PMANA +195
O 6.0
+500 +500
WAS at STL08:00 PMSTL -107
U 6.5
+500 +500
NYI at NAS08:00 PMNYI +104
O 5.5
+500 +500
NYR at SEA10:00 PMSEA +122
O 6.0
+500 +500
ARI at VEG10:00 PMARI +332
U 6.5
+500 +500
DET at SJ10:30 PMSJ -125
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

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Nov 5, 2017
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NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/17/2022..............10-16-0....................38.46%....................-38.10
11/16/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%....................- 2.80
11/15/2022................10-8-0....................55.56%....................+12 .65
11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%....................+2 5.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%....................- 39.90
11/11/2022.................2-5-1.....................28.57%....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.....................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%.....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%.....................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%.....................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS..............107-134-5....................44.39%......................-172.40


BEST BETS

11/17/2022...................5-6-0..................45.45%....................- 4.00
11/16/2022...................2-2-0..................50.00%.....................- 2.80
11/15/2022...................6-6-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.20
11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%.....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.....................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%.....................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%.....................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%.....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%.....................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%.....................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%.....................- 21.95

TOTALS..................71-81-3....................46.71%.....................- 48.25
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
— Titans 27, Packers 17— Tennessee won seven of last eight games.
— Sunday’s Browns-Bills game was moved to Detroit, because of a blizzard
— Sam Houston State 65, Utah 55— Upset win for the Bearkats.
— Murray State 88, Texas A&M 79— Racers post an upset win.
— Arizona State 87, Michigan 62— Impressive win for the Sun Devils.
— Mariners traded OF Kyle Lewis to Arizona for C/OF Cooper Hummel

Quote of the Day
“Russ (Wilson) is losing his mind out there. He’s using audibles from the Seahawks. The guys don’t know the audibles. He’s using codewords that the guys don’t know.”
Former Denver OL Tyler Polumbus, on sports radio in Denver

Friday’s quiz
Before the Titans moved to Tennessee in 1997, where did they call home?

Thursday’s quiz
2016 was the last time the defending Super Bowl champ didn’t make the playoffs, when Denver missed the playoffs after Peyton Manning retired.

Wednesday’s quiz
When UNLV won the national title in 1990, they beat Duke 103-73 in the final.

***********************

Friday’s Den: NBA trends

NBA trends (thru November 17)


Hawks (9-6):
— 2-3 in last five games SU.
— 4-3-1 ATS as favorite, 3-4-1 as underdog
— over 6-1 on road

Celtics (12-3):
— won last eight games SU (4-3-1 ATS).
— 3-4-1 ATS as a road favorite
— over 6-1 at home

Nets (7-9):
— covered six of their last eight games.
— 2-4 ATS at home
— under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Hornets (4-12):
— 1-9 last ten games SU.
— 1-6 ATS at home
— over 3-1 last four road games

Bulls (6-9)
— lost last three games SU, giving up 121.7 ppg
— 3-0 ATS as a home favorite, 1-4 as home dog.
— have already played 4 back/backs: 1-3 ATS first nite, 2-2 2nd nite
— under 4-1 last five games

Cavaliers (8-6):
— lost last five games SU
— 6-3 ATS as a favorite.
— over 4-1 home games

Mavericks (8-6):
— 2-3 last five games SU.
— 1-7-1 ATS as a home favorite
— over 3-1 last four road games

Nuggets (9-5):
— 7-3 SU their last ten games
— 3-2 ATS as home favorite, 2-4 as road favorite
— under 5-0 home games

Pistons (3-13):
— lost their last five games SU (1-3-1 ATS)
— 3-5 ATS on the road.
— under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Warriors (6-9):
— 0-8 SU on road (1-7 ATS)
— 4-3 ATS as a home favorite
— under 3-0 last three home games.

Rockets (3-12):
— 5-8-2 against the spread, all as an underdog
— 1-3 ATS as home underdog
— over 4-2 last six games

Pacers (7-6):
— won six of last eight games (8-0 ATS).
— 7-3 ATS as an underdog
— over 3-1 last four games

Clippers (9-7):
— won seven of last ten games SU (6-3 ATS last nine)
— 0-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 8-1 in their hone games.

Lakers (3-10):
— 0-4 SU/ATS on the road
— 3-8 ATS as an underdog.
— 0-2 ATS as a favorite
— under 3-1 on road

Grizzlies (9-6):
— 3-7 ATS in last ten games.
— 3-2 ATS as home favorite, 2-4 as road favorite.
— 0-3 ATS as a road underdog
— under 4-1 last five road games

Heat (7-8):
— won three of last four games SU.
— 2-7 ATS as a home favorite
— over 3-0 last three home games.

Bucks (11-3):
— 2-3 SU last five games
— 7-2 ATS as a home favorite
— under 4-1 on the road.

Timberwolves (7-8):
— 3-6 ATS at home
— 1-3 ATS as an underdog
— under 3-1 last four home games

Pelicans (9-6):
— won/covered last four games.
— 4-3 ATS at home
— under 4-1 last five home games
— over 6-2 road games

Knicks (8-7):
— won three of last four games SU.
— 2-5 ATS at home, 5-3 on road
— under 5-0 last five road games

Thunder (7-8):
— won three of last four games (4-0 ATS).
— 6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— last five games went over

Magic (4-11):
— 0-4-2 ATS as road underdog
— 6-2 ATS as home underdog
— under 3-1 last four games.

76ers (7-7):
— won three of last four games SU
— 3-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 6-2 home, over 4-2 road

Suns (9-5):
— 3-4 last seven games SU
— 5-2 ATS as home favorite, 1-3 road favorite
— under 3-1 last four home games

Trailblazers (10-5):
— won four of last six games SU
— 9-2 ATS as an underdog.
— under 6-2 on road

Kings (8-6):
— won last five games SU, covered last six
— 7-1 ATS as an underdog.
— last five home games went over.

Spurs (6-10):
— lost eight of last nine games SU (4-5 ATS)
— 1-4 ATS last five road games
— under 5-2 last seven games

Raptors (9-7):
— 1-4-1 ATS in last six games
— 4-3 ATS at home.
— over 3-1-1 last five games

Jazz (10-6):
— lost four of last five games SU (0-3 ATS last three)
— 9-2 ATS as an underdog
— under 4-2 at home

Wizards (8-7):
— won of last five games SU (5-1 ATS last six)
— 5-3 ATS as an underdog.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
 

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LOS ANGELES are 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Friday, November 18


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Los Angeles @ Vancouver
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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