Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Cnotes53]

NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/25/2022...............12-12-0...................50.00%.....................- 3.20
11/23/2022...............17-13-0...................56.66%.....................+ 11.65
11/22/2022................3-1-0.......................75.00%.................... ..+ 9.50
11/21/2022...............14-6-0......................70.00%..................... .+ 42.35
11/20/2022................4-0-0.....................100.00%..................... .+26.80
11/19/2022..............16-14-0....................53.33%....................... + 2.85
11/18/2022..................1-1-0....................50.00%....................- 00.00
11/17/2022..............10-16-0....................38.46%....................-38.10
11/16/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%....................- 2.80
11/15/2022................10-8-0....................55.56%....................+12 .65
11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%....................+2 5.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%....................- 39.90
11/11/2022.................2-5-1.....................28.57%....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.....................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%.....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%.....................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%.....................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS.................174-181-5....................49.01%......................-82.45


BEST BETS

11/25/2022...................4-9-0....................30.76%..................- 18.70
11/23/2022...................8-7-0...................53.33%...................+ 17.00
11/22/2022...................3-1-0...................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/21/2022...................9-2-0...................81.81%...................+39.5 0
11/20/2022...................4-0-0.................100.00%...................+26.80
11/19/2022.................5-10-0..................33.33%....................- 30.11
11/18/2022...................1-1-0..................50.00%....................- 00.00
11/17/2022...................5-6-0..................45.45%....................- 4.00
11/16/2022...................2-2-0..................50.00%.....................- 2.80
11/15/2022...................6-6-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.20
11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%.....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.....................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%.....................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%.....................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%.....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%.....................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%.....................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%.....................- 21.95

TOTALS.................105-111-3....................48.61%.....................-+ 10.90

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
College basketball teams taking highest %age of 3-point shots:
55.2%— Lafayette— 55.2% of their shots are 3’s
53.7%— San Francisco
53.0%— Liberty
51.9%— Southern Illinois
51.8%— Fort Wayne
51.6%— Air Force

Quote of the Day
“Why do we park on driveways, but drive on parkways?”
Steven Wright

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Alabama, just before Nick Saban?

Friday’s quiz
When Tom Brady first became the Patriots’ starting QB, he replaced Drew Bledsoe.

Thursday’s quiz
Purdue-Indiana play annually for the Old Oaken Bucket.

*****************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy couple days………

Bills 28, Lions 25
— Buffalo drove 48 yards, kicked 45-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Bills are 4-2 SU on road, with wins by 21-4-3-3 points (2-4 ATS).
— Allen threw his 4th red zone INT, most in the league.
— Bills ran ball for 164 yards (5.7 yards/carry).
— Buffalo has 58 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 45)

— Loss snaps Detroit’s 3-game winning streak.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 7-20-1 SU, 20-9-1 ATS.
— Last four games, Detroit opponents converted 34-63 on 3rd down.
— Badgley missed a 29-yard FG wide left in third quarter.
— St Brown caught nine passes for 122 yards and a TD.

Cowboys 28, Giants 20
— Giants lost three of last four games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants converted 3-11 on third down, Dallas 7-11.
— Giants are still 8-3 ATS this season.
— Last two games, Barkley was held to 61 yards on 26 carries.
— Giants are 22-11 ATS in last 33 games as a road underdog (3-1 TY).

— Dallas trailed 13-7 at halftime.
— First 3 drives of 2nd half: 30 plays, 199 yards, 21 points.
— Cowboys won eight of their last ten games (7-3 ATS).
— Last five games, Dallas scored 21 TD’s on 50 drives.
— Lamb caught six passes for 106 yards.

Vikings 33, Patriots 26
— Vikings outscored New England 10-0 in fourth quarter.
— Nwangwu ran a kickoff back 97 yards for a Minnesota TD.
— Jefferson caught nine passes for 139 yards and a TD.
— Vikings won eight of last nine games (6-2-1 ATS).
— Despite being 9-2, Vikings have outscored foes by only 262-257.

— Game was tied 16-16 at halftime.
— New England is 6-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-5 giving up 20+.
— Patriots’ last three games: 3 TD’s, 11 FGA’s, 13 3/outs on 34 drives.
— New England converted 3-10 on third down, Vikings 8-15.
— Last six games, Patriots ran ball for only 84.7 yards/game.

Elsewhere in the world………
Why are all these pre-conference tournaments important? Nine of last 11 national champs won an in-season tournament- they’re a good indicator of talent/chemistry/depth.

— Tennessee 64, Kansas 50
Vols win Battle for Atlantis, giving up 53.7 ppg in the three games.
Tennessee survived 24 turnovers, made 12-27 on the arc.
Tennessee is forcing turnovers 27.8% of time (#10).

— Purdue 84, Gonzaga 66
Purdue outrebounded Gonzaga 46-31
Zags split their first four games vs top 30 teams (4-2 overall)
Boilers advance to play UConn in the finals Sunday

— Tough day for Tar Heel fans:
NC State 30, North Carolina 27 OT
Tar Heels scored TD on last play of regulation to force OT.
Tar Heels missed a 35-yard FG in overtime that ended the game.
UNC converted only 5-20 on 3rd down, but was 3-3 on 4th down.

Iowa State 70, North Carolina 65
Caleb Grill scored 31 points, making 7-11 on the arc.
Tar Heels made 3-18 on arc, after making 11-22 on Thursday.
Right now, UNC is #362 out of 363 teams in bench minutes.

— Portland 83, Villanova 71
Wildcats went 9-41 on the arc; no bueno.
Villanova is 2-4 in the first year of Jay Wright’s retirement.
Portland is #25 in country in continuity; they shot 23-56 on arc last two days.

— UConn 82, Alabama 67
Huskies outscored Alabama 32-19 over the last 10:00
UConn was +9 in turnovers (21-12)

— Bellarmine upset Louisville in its opener, but overall the Knights are 2-4 in their third season as a D-I team. The accountants are happy though; their schedule so far:

W67-66 at Louisville (crosstown trip)
L55-62 at Morehead State
W86-46 over Campbellsville, a non-D-I game
L66-76 at Clemson
L57-74 at Duke
L80-59 at Loyola Marymount— they play at UCLA Sunday.

Bellarmine doesn’t play a D-I team at home until December 10 vs Murray State.

— College hoop teams that have played the hardest schedule so far:
Robert Morris
NC-Wilmington
Oral Roberts
Bethune-Cookman
Southern Utah
Michigan State

— College hoop teams that have played the easiest schedule so far:
TCU
Denver
Fordham
Missouri
Marshall
Hawai’i

— Pittsburgh Pirates gave 1B Carlos Santana a one-year deal for $6.7M; with the shift being banned now, Santana’s production is expected to improve. It better improve; he hit .202 last year.214/.199 the two years before that.

— Nebraska Cornhuskers are said to be eyeing former Carolina Panthers’ coach Matt Rhule to be their new football coach. Rhule did a great job at Temple before trying his hand at the NFL, which didn’t go as well.

— Tulane 27, Cincinnati 24
Green Wave is 10-2, will host the AAC championship game.
Tulane drove 75 yards, threw 30-yard TD pass to win game with 5:10 left.
Cincinnati had to play its backup QB; he was 10-26/102 passing.

— Florida State 45, Florida 38
Seminoles outscored Florida 17-0 in third quarter.
Neither QB completed half his passes.
Gators had touchdown plays of 52-43-45 yards.

— Missouri 29, Arkansas 27
Razorbacks led 21-20 at halftime.
Mizzou ran ball for 226 yards, threw ball for 242 yards.
Tigers are now bowl eligible.

— Boise State 42, Utah State 23— Talk about bad beats, this was one of the worst I’ve seen in a long time. Boise State was favored by 16.5 points; with 1:20 left, they lead only 28-23, but Taylen Green runs 91 yards for a TD to make the score 35-23.

38 seconds later, Boise scores again, on a pick-6, to cover the spread. If you took Utah State and the 16.5 points, the betting gods owe you one.

 

[Udog]

NY RANGERS are 10-2 Under (7.8 Units) after a non-conference game in the current season.

CALGARY is 13-19 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 26-11 Over (13.9 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

TORONTO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in home games on Saturday games in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 78-69 ATS (2.1 Units) in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less since 1996.

VANCOUVER is 86-62 ATS (17.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

 

[Udog]

EDMONTON (10-10-0-0, 20 pts.) at NY RANGERS (10-7-0-4, 24 pts.) - 11/26/2022, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 184-134 ATS (-15.4 Units) in November games since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 2-6 ATS (-8.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 1-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)
CALGARY (9-7-0-3, 21 pts.) at CAROLINA (10-6-0-4, 24 pts.) - 11/26/2022, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 247-200 ATS (-34.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)


ST LOUIS (10-9-0-0, 20 pts.) at FLORIDA (10-8-0-2, 22 pts.) - 11/26/2022, 6:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 17-22 ATS (-14.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 14-2 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-15 ATS (+10.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 75-89 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
FLORIDA is 137-185 ATS (-52.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
FLORIDA is 2-6 ATS (-12.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
FLORIDA is 2-7 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)


WASHINGTON (8-10-0-3, 19 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (16-4-0-0, 32 pts.) - 11/26/2022, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 16-4 ATS (+21.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 10-1 ATS (+8.3 Units) in November games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 16-4 ATS (+10.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 11-3 ATS (+6.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NEW JERSEY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 235-276 ATS (+592.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 11-1 (+9.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 11-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)


TORONTO (11-5-0-5, 27 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (10-7-0-3, 23 pts.) - 11/26/2022, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)


PHILADELPHIA (7-8-0-5, 19 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (13-8-0-0, 26 pts.) - 11/26/2022, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-70 ATS (+121.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-34 ATS (+57.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 17-5 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 35-15 ATS (+16.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 33-11 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 8-4 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 8-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)


DALLAS (12-5-0-3, 27 pts.) at COLORADO (11-6-0-1, 23 pts.) - 11/26/2022, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 226-190 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 152-159 ATS (+345.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 2-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)


VANCOUVER (7-10-0-3, 17 pts.) at VEGAS (16-4-0-1, 33 pts.) - 11/26/2022, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 38-17 ATS (+12.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 86-62 ATS (+152.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 151-152 ATS (+331.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 180-168 ATS (+366.4 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 233-279 ATS (+615.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 3-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

 

[Udog]

NHL

Saturday, November 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edmonton @ NY Rangers
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games

Calgary @ Carolina
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games

St. Louis @ Florida
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home

Washington @ New Jersey
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Washington is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
New Jersey is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Toronto @ Pittsburgh
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

Philadelphia @ NY Islanders
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Islanders is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia

Dallas @ Colorado
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Dallas

Vancouver @ Vegas
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Vancouver's last 10 games on the road
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vegas's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Vancouver


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, November 26

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 26

EDM at NYR	01:00 PM	NYR -151 O 6.5	+500 +500
CAL at CAR	04:00 PM	CAL +131 O 6.0	+500 +500
STL at FLA	06:30 PM	FLA -214 O 6.5	+500 +500
TOR at PIT	07:00 PM	TOR +117 O 6.5	+500 +500
WAS at NJ	07:00 PM	NJ -187 U 6.5	+500 +500
PHI at NYI	07:30 PM	NYI -228 O 6.0	+500 +500
DAL at COL	09:00 PM	DAL +147 O 6.5	+500 +500
VAN at VEG	10:00 PM	VEG -157 U 6.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/26/2022.................8-8-0.....................50.00%....................- 11.75
11/25/2022...............12-12-0...................50.00%.....................- 3.20
11/23/2022...............17-13-0...................56.66%.....................+ 11.65
11/22/2022................3-1-0.......................75.00%.................... ..+ 9.50
11/21/2022...............14-6-0......................70.00%..................... .+ 42.35
11/20/2022................4-0-0.....................100.00%..................... .+26.80
11/19/2022..............16-14-0....................53.33%....................... + 2.85
11/18/2022..................1-1-0....................50.00%....................- 00.00
11/17/2022..............10-16-0....................38.46%....................-38.10
11/16/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%....................- 2.80
11/15/2022................10-8-0....................55.56%....................+12 .65
11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%....................+2 5.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%....................- 39.90
11/11/2022.................2-5-1.....................28.57%....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.....................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%.....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%.....................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%.....................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS.............182-189-5....................49.05%......................- 94.20


BEST BETS

11/26/2022...................3-5-0....................37.50%..................- 10.65
11/25/2022...................4-9-0....................30.76%..................- 18.70
11/23/2022...................8-7-0...................53.33%...................+ 17.00
11/22/2022...................3-1-0...................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/21/2022...................9-2-0...................81.81%...................+39.5 0
11/20/2022...................4-0-0.................100.00%...................+26.80
11/19/2022.................5-10-0..................33.33%....................- 30.11
11/18/2022...................1-1-0..................50.00%....................- 00.00
11/17/2022...................5-6-0..................45.45%....................- 4.00
11/16/2022...................2-2-0..................50.00%.....................- 2.80
11/15/2022...................6-6-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.20
11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%.....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.....................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%.....................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%.....................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%.....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%.....................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%.....................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%.....................- 21.95

TOTALS..............108-116-3....................48.21%.....................-+ 0.25

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack
College basketball teams forcing highest %age of turnovers
31.5%— UNLV (non D-I games don’t count)
30.5%— Iowa State
29.8%— Stephen F Austin
29.0%— Missouri
28.8%— Texas
28.6%— Kent State

Quote of the Day
“It’s none of my business what people say of me and think of me. I am what I am and I do what I do. I expect nothing and accept everything. And it makes life so much easier.”
Anthony Hopkins

Sunday’s quiz
New York Knicks have won two NBA championships; who was their coach back then?

Saturday’s quiz
Mike Shula was the football coach at Alabama, just before Nick Saban.

Friday’s quiz
When Tom Brady first became the Patriots’ starting QB, he replaced Drew Bledsoe.

**************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— This may come in handy when the bowl pairings are announced; conference records in games played outside their conference.

Best records ATS:
Big X 16-5-1 (5-1 as an underdog)
SEC 26-12-1 (22-8-1 as a favorite)
Sun Belt 17-13-2
Pac-12 12-10 (7-3 as an underdog)

Worst records ATS:
MAC 11-18-2 (0-3 as a favorite)
ACC 12-18-2 (3-8 as an underdog)
American 12-17 (4-10 as a favorite)
Mountain West 10-16 (8-5 as an underdog)

— South Carolina 31, Clemson 30
Gamecocks end 7-game losing streak in this rivalry.
Clemson led 30-21 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
Carolina QB Rattler was 25-39/360 with two TD passes
Clemson QB Uiagalelei was 8-29/99 passing.

— Michigan 45, Ohio State 23
Buckeyes led 20-17 at halftime.
Michigan averaged 11.1 yards/pass attempt, 21.4 yards/completion.
Wolverines won last two meetings, after losing previous eight series games.
9th year in a row this game went over the total.

— Oregon State 38, Oregon 34
Ducks led 34-17 with 14:00 left in game.
Oregon State completed only 6-13 passes the whole game, for 60 yards.
Beavers were also minus-3 in turnovers; they ran ball for 268 yards.
Beavers beat Oregon for just third time in last 15 series games.

— Texas Tech 51, Oklahoma 48 OT
Oklahoma led 17-0 early in second quarter.
Tech kicked a 43-yard FG with 0:03 left to force OT
Sooners outgained Tech, 672-599
Oklahoma finishes regular season 6-6.

— TCU 62, Iowa State 14
Horned Frogs have five wins by 8 or less points; this isn’t one of them.
12-0 TCU heads to the Big X title game next weekend.

— Upsets of the Week:
South Carolina (+14) 31, Clemson 30
Tulsa (+12) 37, Houston 30
Texas A&M (+10) 38, LSU 23
Nebraska (+10) 24, Iowa 13
West Virginia (+8.5) 24, Oklahoma State 19
Michigan (+7.5) 45, Ohio State 23
NC State (+6.5) 30, North Carolina 27 OT

— Texas A&M 38, LSU 23
Aggies converted 10-15 on third down, LSU 4-11
A&M ran ball for 274 yards (5.5 yards/carry)

— Central Florida 46, South Florida 39
Kid on UCF made a great catch in end zone with 0:20 left for the win.
Central Florida led 31-7 with 8:00 left in third quarter.
Knights ran for 345 yards, converted 10-12 on third down.

— Tex-San Antonio 34, UTEP 31
Miners led 31-14 with 10:00 left in third quarter.
Roadrunners threw TD passes of 65-70 yards, also scored on a pick-6.
UTSA is 10-2; they were outgained 498-458, but was +2 in turnovers.

— Western Kentucky 32, Florida Atlantic 31 OT
Hilltoppers went for 2 points and got it after their TD in overtime.
WKU’s QB Reed was 28-52/410 with three TD passes.
Hilltoppers are 8-5, will go bowling.

— Georgia Southern 51, Appalachian State 48 OT
App State outgained Eagles 629-487, ran ball for 376 yards.
Georgia Southern threw for 385 yards; they’re bowl eligible now.
Eagles are 3-2 SU in last five meetings; they were underdog in all five.

— East Carolina 49, Temple 46
Pirates threw a 38-yard TD pass with 1:11 left for the win.
EJ Warner was 45-63/527 with five TD passes for Temple.
East Carolina is 7-5, will go bowling.

— Bryant 73, Syracuse 72
Bryant was up 11 at halftime, by 13 with 13:05 left.
There was a scuffle in this game, multiple ejections.
Teams had last met two years ago; Syracuse won, 85-84.

— TCU 79, Iowa 66
Horned Frogs shot 60% inside the arc.
This was TCU’s first game against a team in the top 200.
Iowa shot 3-17 on the arc.

 

[Udog]

ARIZONA is 16-16 ATS (-1.6 Units) in road games after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons...

CHICAGO is 118-79 Under (31.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1996.

SEATTLE is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) on the road when the total is >=6 in the current season.

VANCOUVER is 5-23 ATS (-20.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days in the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) in November games in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Sunday, November 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ Minnesota
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona

Winnipeg @ Chicago
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

Seattle @ Anaheim
Seattle
Seattle is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 8 games

Vancouver @ San Jose
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Vancouver

Ottawa @ Los Angeles
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Ottawa


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, November 27

 

[Udog]

ARIZONA (7-9-0-3, 17 pts.) at MINNESOTA (9-9-0-2, 20 pts.) - 11/27/2022, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 15-21 ATS (+70.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 56-71 ATS (+177.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
ARIZONA is 18-14 ATS (+39.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 9-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)


WINNIPEG (12-6-0-1, 25 pts.) at CHICAGO (6-10-0-4, 16 pts.) - 11/27/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 83-82 ATS (+185.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 22-11 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 30-17 ATS (+47.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 23-14 ATS (+8.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 16-7 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-26 ATS (+36.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-43 ATS (+73.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)


SEATTLE (12-5-0-3, 27 pts.) at ANAHEIM (6-14-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/27/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-1 ATS (+7.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
SEATTLE is 8-2 ATS (+10.3 Units) in November games this season.
SEATTLE is 6-2 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
SEATTLE is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
SEATTLE is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
ANAHEIM is 9-40 ATS (+69.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 10-36 ATS (+74.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 3-1-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)


VANCOUVER (8-10-0-3, 19 pts.) at SAN JOSE (7-13-0-3, 17 pts.) - 11/27/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 4-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 446-428 ATS (-127.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 181-168 ATS (+367.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 11-32 ATS (+54.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 195-175 ATS (-86.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 6-24 ATS (+38.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 257-186 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 117-96 ATS (-78.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 3-0-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)


OTTAWA (7-12-0-1, 15 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (12-9-0-2, 26 pts.) - 11/27/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 4-20 ATS (+29.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 59-53 ATS (+154.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 8-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 28-12 ATS (+43.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 124-135 ATS (-78.7 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 8-18 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 2-0-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27

ARI at MIN	02:00 PM	ARI +254 U 6.5	+500 +500
WIN at CHI	07:00 PM	WIN -159 O 6.0	+500 +500
SEA at ANA	08:00 PM	SEA -176 O 6.0	+500 +500
VAN at SJ	08:00 PM	SJ +103 O 6.5	+500 +500
OTT at LA	10:30 PM	LA -146 U 6.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/27/2022.................6-4-0.....................60.00%....................+ 7.20
11/26/2022.................8-8-0.....................50.00%....................- 11.75
11/25/2022...............12-12-0...................50.00%.....................- 3.20
11/23/2022...............17-13-0...................56.66%...................+ 11.65
11/22/2022................3-1-0.......................75.00%................. ..+ 9.50
11/21/2022...............14-6-0......................70.00%................ .+ 42.35
11/20/2022................4-0-0.....................100.00%................. .+26.80
11/19/2022..............16-14-0....................53.33%.................... + 2.85
11/18/2022..................1-1-0....................50.00%....................- 00.00
11/17/2022..............10-16-0....................38.46%.....................-38.10
11/16/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%......................- 2.80
11/15/2022................10-8-0....................55.56%....................+12 .65
11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%.....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%.....................+25.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%.....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.......................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%......................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%......................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+10.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS.............188-193-5....................49.34%.....................- 87.00


BEST BETS

11/27/2022...................4-3-0....................57.14%.................+ 7.20
11/26/2022...................3-5-0....................37.50%................- 10.65
11/25/2022...................4-9-0....................30.76%................- 18.70
11/23/2022...................8-7-0...................53.33%.................+ 17.00
11/22/2022...................3-1-0...................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/21/2022...................9-2-0...................81.81%..................+39.50
11/20/2022...................4-0-0.................100.00%..................+26.80
11/19/2022.................5-10-0..................33.33%...................- 30.11
11/18/2022...................1-1-0..................50.00%...................- 00.00
11/17/2022...................5-6-0..................45.45%.....................- 4.00
11/16/2022...................2-2-0..................50.00%.....................- 2.80
11/15/2022...................6-6-0..................50.00%....................+ 3.20
11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%..................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%..................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%..................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%......................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1015
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%....................- 21.95

TOTALS..............112-119-3....................48.48%.....................-+ 7.45

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
— Purdue 75, Duke 56— Boilermakers win tournament in Portland.
— UConn 71, Iowa State 53— Huskies win other tournament in Portland.
— Oklahoma 59, Ole Miss 55— Sooners win tournament at Disney World.
— Siena 60, Seton Hall 55— Saints won two of three games at Disney.
— Gonzaga 88, Xavier 84— Zags made 13-24 shots on the arc.
— Oregon 74, Villanova 67— Wildcats have lost four in row, are off to 2-5 start.

Quote of the Day
“I was losing track of how many overtimes we were in there at the end. A lot of credit to our guys. I thought they showed a lot of character when we could have folded.”
Alabama coach Nate Oats, after his team won in four OT’s Sunday

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Philadelphia Eagles’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Sunday’s quiz
New York Knicks have won two NBA championships; Red Holzman was their coach back then.

Saturday’s quiz
Mike Shula was the football coach at Alabama, just before Nick Saban.

*******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Browns 23, Buccaneers 17 OT
— Bucs’ last seven drives: 32 plays, 95 yards, no points.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 5-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Nine of eleven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Buccaneers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games.
— Tampa Bay is 5-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-5 giving up 20+.

— Browns drove 46 yards, tied game on TD with 0:32 left in regulation.
— Browns drove 71 yards, scored TD to win game with 0:24 left in OT.
— Cleveland ran ball for 189 yards (5.6 yards/carry).
— Browns averaged only 4.3 yards/pass play.
— Cleveland has outgained nine of 11 opponents, but they’re 4-7.

Jaguars 28, Ravens 27
— Baltimore led 19-10 with 7:00 left in game.
— Ravens led by 9+ points in all four of their losses TY.
— Ravens kicked FG’s of 24-27-29 yards; poor in red zone.
— Jackson threw for 254 yards, ran for 89 more.
— Six of last eight Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.

— Down 27-20, Jaguars scored TD, got 2-point conversion with 0:14 left.
— Jaguars are 3-0 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Jaguars averaged 7.2 yards/pass attempt, their 3rd-best average this year.
— Zay Jones caught 11 passes for 145 yards.
— Last three games, Jacksonville outscored foes 45-25 in 2nd half.

Panthers 23, Broncos 10
— Broncos averaged 3.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Denver lost seven of its last eight games SU.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in nine of 11 games.
— Ten of eleven Denver games stayed under the total.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 69-33 in second half.

— Panthers haven’t allowed a TD in first half of last three games.
— Carolina ran ball for 185 yards, averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Panthers are 4-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Carolina has converted only 39-144 (27.1%) third down plays.
— Panthers covered five of their last six games.

Commanders 19, Falcons 13
— Falcons had ball on 4-yard line in last minute, but threw INT in end zone.
— Atlanta is 5-11 ATS last 16 games coming off a win (2-3 TY).
— Last three games, Falcons converted 9-30 third down plays.
— Commanders had 10-yard edge in field position.
— Falcons are 1-4 SU on the road, winning at Seattle in Week 3.

— Washington won six of last seven games (6-0-1 ATS).
— Heinicke is 5-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Washington is 4-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Eight of their last ten games stayed under the total.
— Commanders are 14-6-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.

Bengals 20, Titans 16
— Bengals’ first three drives: 13 plays, 21 yards, 2 first downs.
— Bengals rest of game: 54 plays, 339 yards, 20 points.
— Bengals are 7-1 when they score 20+ points.
— Cincinnati won seven of its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
— Cincy is 4-1 ATS this season coming off a win.

— Bengals held Derrick Henry to 38 yards on 17 carries.
— Titans’ three red zone drives: 2 FG’s, one missed FG (35 yards)
— Tennessee held last nine opponents under their team total.
— Seven of last eight Titan games stayed under the total.
— Titans have been outscored 120-62 in second half.

Dolphins 30, Texans 15
— Houston ran ball 14 times for 36 yards. Not good.
— Texans converted 2-13 on 3rd down (29.4% last five games)
— Texans are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
— Texans lost nine of their last ten games SU (2-7 ATS last nine).
— Texans are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS since their bye week, giving up 27.1 ppg.

— Dolphins led this game 30-0 at halftime.
— Miami scored defensive TD, had a 3-yard TD drive set up by an INT.
— Dolphins in first half: 46 plays, 284 yards, 23 points.
— Dolphins in first half: 29 plays, 69 yards, no points.
— Dolphins are 7-0 if they score more than 17 points.

Jets 31, Bears 10
— Bears’ first two drives: 18 plays, 142 yards, 10 points.
— Bears rest of game: 38 plays, 212 yards, no points.
— Chicago is 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog (1-5-1 TY).
— Last five games, Bears allowed 34.6 ppg.
— Chicago lost five in row, eight of its last nine games SU (2-6-1 ATS).
— With Fields hurt, backup QB Siemian played whole game.

— Mike White was 22-28/315 with 315 passing yards in first ’22 start.
— Jets outgained Chicago 466-292.
— Jets won/covered six of their last eight games.
— Jets held seven of last eight opponents under their team total.
— Jets are 6-0 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.

Raiders 40, Seahawks 34 OT
— Jacobs ran 86 yards for the game-winning TD in OT.
— Las Vegas drove 75 yards for game-tying TD with 1:54 left.
— Raiders outgained Seattle, 576-372.
— Last 10 games, Raiders’ opponent is 8-1-1 against its team total.
— Raiders are 14-7 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.

— Geno Smith was 27-37/328 passing, with two TD’s.
— Seahawks had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Las Vegas converted 8-14 on 3rd down, Seahawks 3-9.
— Last seven weeks, Seattle is 27-78 (34.6%) on 3rd down conversions.
— Seattle is 1-4 when it allows 27+ points, 5-1 when it allows less than 27.

Chargers 25, Cardinals 24
— Down 24-17, Chargers scored TD, got 2-point conversion with 0:15 left.
— Chargers averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Bolts had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Chargers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Chargers are 5-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-4 if they give up 27+.

— Arizona lost 10 of its last 11 home games SU.
— Cardinals lost six of their last eight games overall.
— Arizona’s last four drives: 11 plays, 16 yards, no first downs.
— Last six Arizona games went over the total.
— Arizona is 2-8 when it scores less than 29 points.

Chiefs 26, Rams 10
— Last two years, Rams are 0-7 SU in November.
— LA’s longest play of the game was 16 yards.
— Rams averaged 3.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Rams lost four in row, six of last seven games.
— Rams are 3-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-7 when they score less.

— Score is misleading; Chiefs outgained LA, 437-198.
— Chiefs won five in row, seven of last eight games (5-3 ATS).
— Chiefs were in red zone on six drives, only scored 19 points.
— Under is 6-1 in their home games.
— Last six weeks, Chiefs converted 54-89 (60.7%) third down plays.

49ers 13, Saints 0
— Saints were shut out for first time since 2001.
— Saints in first half: 21 plays, 104 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Last 4 games, Saints have 5 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 16).
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-5 when they score less.
— NO is 0-3 ATS as a road dog TY, after going 10-2 from 2018-21.

— Saints were in red zone on last two drives (lost fumble/stopped on downs)
— 49ers’ only TD came on a 57-yard drive in second quarter.
— San Francisco won its last four games (3-1 ATS).
— 49ers outscored last four opponents 57-0 in second half.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 33-64 on third down.

Eagles 40, Packers 33
— Eagles scored TD’s on three of first four drives.
— Philly ran ball 49 times for 363 yards. 363 freakin’ yards.
— Eagles have 38 touchdowns on 107 drives this season.
— Eagles converted 8-15 on third down, Packers 1-7.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 8-1 ATS as a home favorite (4-1 TY)

— Packers lost seven of their last eight games SU.
— Eagles led 27-20 at halftime.
— Last eight weeks, Green Bay gave up 171.3 rushing yards/game.
— Rodgers left in third quarter with an oblique injury.
— Jordan Love’s two drives: 11 plays, 113 yards, 10 points. Hmmmm…..

— Alabama 103, North Carolina 101, 4 OT’s
Crimson Tide shot 16-38 on the arc.
Tar Heels led by 8 with 8:56 left in regulation, also by 6 in third overtime.
Two subs played 40+ minutes for Alabama.

 

[Udog]

TORONTO is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games in November games in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 18-8 ATS (9.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 sea...

TAMPA BAY is 14-4 Over (9.6 Units) in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 8-0 Over (8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more in the current season.




NHL

Monday, November 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ Buffalo
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Buffalo
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 14 games

Vegas @ Columbus
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Columbus's last 16 games at home

Toronto @ Detroit
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games

New Jersey @ NY Rangers
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Jersey
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Dallas @ St. Louis
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Dallas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas

Florida @ Edmonton
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
Edmonton is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Florida


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 28

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 28​

NJ at NYR	07:00 PM	NJ -111 U 6.0	+500 +500
TOR at DET	07:00 PM	TOR -145 O 6.0	+500 +500
VEG at CLB	07:00 PM	CLB +263 O 6.5	+500 +500
TB at BUF	07:00 PM	BUF +129 O 6.5	+500 +500
DAL at STL	08:00 PM	STL +118 O 6.0	+500 +500
FLA at EDM	09:30 PM	EDM -108 U 6.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/28/2022.................4-7-1.....................37.50%....................- 17.00
11/27/2022.................6-4-0.....................60.00%....................+ 7.20
11/26/2022.................8-8-0.....................50.00%....................- 11.75
11/25/2022...............12-12-0...................50.00%.....................- 3.20
11/23/2022...............17-13-0...................56.66%...................+ 11.65
11/22/2022................3-1-0.......................75.00%................. ..+ 9.50
11/21/2022...............14-6-0......................70.00%................ .+ 42.35
11/20/2022................4-0-0.....................100.00%................. .+26.80
11/19/2022..............16-14-0....................53.33%.................... + 2.85
11/18/2022..................1-1-0....................50.00%....................- 00.00
11/17/2022..............10-16-0....................38.46%.....................-38.10
11/16/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%......................- 2.80
11/15/2022................10-8-0....................55.56%....................+12 .65
11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%.....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%.....................+ 25.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%.....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.......................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%......................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%......................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS.............192-200-6....................48.97%.....................- 104.00


BEST BETS

11/28/2022...................2-6-1....................25.00%................- 31.50
11/27/2022...................4-3-0....................57.14%.................+ 7.20
11/26/2022...................3-5-0....................37.50%................- 10.65
11/25/2022...................4-9-0....................30.76%................- 18.70
11/23/2022...................8-7-0...................53.33%.................+ 17.00
11/22/2022...................3-1-0...................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/21/2022...................9-2-0...................81.81%..................+39.50
11/20/2022...................4-0-0.................100.00%..................+26.80
11/19/2022.................5-10-0..................33.33%...................- 30.11
11/18/2022...................1-1-0..................50.00%...................- 00.00
11/17/2022...................5-6-0..................45.45%.....................- 4.00
11/16/2022...................2-2-0..................50.00%.....................- 2.80
11/15/2022...................6-6-0..................50.00%....................+ 3.20
11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%..................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%..................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%..................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%......................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 015
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%....................- 21.95

TOTALS..............114-125-4....................47.69%.....................- 24.05

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
— Pacers 116, Lakers 115— Indiana trailed by 17 at one point.
— 76ers 104, Hawks 101— Embiid had 30 points, 8 boards, 7 assists
— Wizards 142, Wolves 127— Washington led 77-58 at halftime.
— Nuggets 129, Rockets 113— Jokic had 32 points, 12 boards, 8 assists.
— Bulls 114, Jazz 107— DeRozan scored 26 points, had 6 assists.
— Suns 122, Kings 117— Devin Booker scored 44 points.

Quote of the Day
“After a thoughtful, thorough, and well-vetted search, we ended where we started, with Hugh Freeze. Of all the candidates we considered, Hugh was the best fit. Fit has several meanings, but the most important factors were student-athlete development, football strategy, recruiting and SEC experience.”
Auburn AD John Cohen, on hiring Hugh Freeze as football coach

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Aaron Rodgers play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
Ron Jaworski was the Philadelphia Eagles’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Sunday’s quiz
New York Knicks have won two NBA championships; Red Holzman was their coach back then.

****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— If you care about such things, some quick NBA betting trends. Here are teams’ records when they play the second night of a back/back so far this season:

Road teams who were home last night: 6-6-1 ATS
Road teams who were also on road last night: 20-17 ATS
Home teams who were also at home last night: 11-7-1 ATS
Home teams who were on road last night: 10-13-1 ATS

— Matt Rhule’s 8-year contract to coach football at Nebraska will pay him $74M, with 90% of it ($66.6M or so) guaranteed. Is this a great country or what?

Here are the highest paid NFL coaches:
$12M— Bill Belichick
$11M— Pete Carroll
$9M— John Harbaugh
$8.5M— Sean McVay
$8M— Andy Reid
$8M— Mike Tomlin

How on God’s green earth does Ruhle get paid more than all but three NFL head coaches?

Random fact: Carolina Panthers are 3-4 SU/5-2 ATS since they fired Rhule; they were 1-4 when they fired him.

— College football is wacky; here are some SEC coaches’ salaries:
$11.7M— Nick Saban
$11.25M— Kirby Smart
$9.5M— Jimbo Fisher
$9.5M— Brian Kelly
$9M— Lane Kiffin

Texas A&M had a lousy year this year, so Jimbo fired his offensive coordinator Monday— would be way too expensive for the school to fire Jimbo, so the OC became a scapegoat.

Steelers 24, Colts 17
— Steelers led 16-3 at halftime.
— Colts rallied to lead 17-16 after three quarters.
— Steelers drove 75 yards for game-winning TD early in 4th.
— Steelers ran ball for 172 yards (4.8 yards/carry).
— Steelers have no turnovers (+13) in their wins, 14 (-8) in losses.

— Colts drove to Pittsburgh 26 on last drive, were stopped on downs.
— Steelers converted 7-14 on third down, Colts 3-12.
— Trailing 16-10, Colts lost fumble on the Steelers’ 1-yard line.
— Colts lost five of their last six games SU.
— Underdogs covered nine of their 12 games.

— Colts’ coach Jeff Saturday already holds one record; most NFL games played in by a guy who later became a head coach (211).

— Cleveland Browns visit Houston this week, with QB Deshaun Watson active for the first time this season, playing against his old team. Good theater by the NFL; you don’t see a lot of 11-game suspensions.

Watson was 29-27 as the Texans’ QB, but his off-field issues sent him packing; Houston made the playoffs twice in Watson’s three years as the full-time starter, but he hasn’t played in a regular season game since 2020.

— Watson’s old team is terrible; last two games, Texans trailed 20-0/35-0 at halftime.

— Washington Commanders have an odd schedule: they visit the Giants Sunday, then have a bye week, then play the Giants again in Week 15.

— Eagles ran for 363 yards against Green Bay Sunday night, which made me wonder; what is the record for rushing yards in an NFL game?

Back in 1950, the Giants ran for 423 yards in a 55-20 win over the Colts; Bengals ran for 407 yards in a 2000 game against Denver.

— Minnesota Vikings are 9-2; only one of their wins was by more than 8 points- their two losses were 24-7/40-3.

— Baltimore Ravens’ kicker Justin Tucker is the best kicker ever.

— David Shaw is out as Stanford’s football coach; he went 96-54 coaching Stanford, 65-40 in Pac-12 games. The last four years, Stanford was only 14-28.

Shaw didn’t get fired, he resigned; am guessing he pops up on TV next year, seeing how he was an analyst on the NFL Draft the last few years.

— Auburn signed High Freeze to a 6-year deal, worth $6.5M a year; Freeze was 39-25 as head coach at Ole Miss (19-21 in SEC games), then 34-15 at Liberty.

— 32-year old Kenny Dillingham was named Arizona State’s new football coach; he is the first ASU alum to coach the Sun Devils. This season, he was offensive coordinator and QB coach for the Oregon Ducks.

— UNLV fired football coach Marcus Arroyo; Rebels went 5-7 this year, after going 2-10 last year. When a school has a new president and athletic director, the coach better win, or else they bring in their own people, to try and make a splash.

UNLV is a tough football job; they haven’t been to a bowl game since 2013, and before that, their last bowl was in 2000. Curious to see who they hire as their new coach.

— Former Cincinnati coach Luke Fickell signed a 7-year, $50M contract to be the new football coach at Wisconsin. Badgers just fired a guy who was 67-26, 43-18 in league games, so they have big expectations.

Cincinnati is moving from the AAC to the Big X, which is a much deeper pond than the AAC.

— This year is the first time ever that Texas Tech beat Texas/Oklahoma in the same season.

— Houston Cougars are #1 in the college basketball poll, for the first time since 1983, the Phi Slamma Jamma era.

— Houston Astros signed 1B Jose Abreu to a 3-year deal; he will turn 36 in January, but is an upgrade at 1B over Yuli Gurriel.

— Maryland has mobile sports betting now; they had 16.5M wagers placed Thanksgiving weekend, compared to 8.5M in Virginia, 6.7M in Indiana, 6.6M in Tennessee, and 3.8M in Colorado. New Jersey had 17.1M wagers placed overt the weekend.

— Struck gold with late-night TV over the weekend; HLN, a station I didn’t even know about, ran a 4-day marathon of The West Wing, one of the best TV shows ever, so that was fun. I’m usually watching CSI or Law and Order re-runs late at night, or replays of ballgames.