Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
Teams who get the highest %age of their points on 3-point shots:
44.6%— Chattanooga (18-17, 7-11)
43.8%— Penn State (21-12, 10-10)
42.2%— Lafayette (11-23, 7-11)
41.1%— North Florida (14-17, 9-9)
41%— San Francisco (20-14, 7-9)
41%— Liberty (26-8, 15-3)

Quote of the Day
“Very few players play for only one team, and obviously Brett (Favre) had a great career, Aaron had a great career here, and regardless of what happens, Aaron will be in the Pro Football Hall of Fame, he’ll be in our Hall of Fame and we’ll bring him back and retire his number. But this is just one of the things that you go through as a team. Again, we want to try to achieve something that’s good for both Aaron and us.”
Green Bay Packers president Mark Murphy, talking about Aaron Rodgers

Saturday’s quiz
Which NBA team drafted Kobe Bryant?

Friday’s quiz
Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.

Thursday’s quiz
When Ichiro Suzuki played for the Seattle Mariners, he wore number 51.

*****************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy night of basketball……..

WAC tournament
Southern Utah 89, Utah Valley 88— Thunderbirds trailed by 23 with 15:42 left in game; they scored 37 points in last 10:00, and now advance to play Grand Canyon is finals of WAC tourney tonight. Grand Canyon knocked off #1-seed Sam Houston State 78-75 Friday, making 16 of 30 shots on the arc.

MAAC tournament
Marist 69, Saint Peter’s 57— Red Foxes came into MAAC tournament on a 3-10 skid, but they’ve won three games this week, giving up only 55.3 ppg. Marist hasn’t been to the NCAA’s since 1987; they play #1-seed Iona today- they’ll be a big underdog.

C-USA tournament
UAB 76, North Texas 69— Blazers jumped out to a 22-2 lead, coasted home; they play #1-seed Florida Atlantic Saturday. 30-3 FAU is likely in the NCAA’s no matter what, but they’ll sleep better Saturday night if they beat the Blazers.

I’m not kidding about that; when I was the student manager of our basketball team in college, one year we were right on the bubble to get into the Division III tournament; waiting for that phone call was a very long Sunday (we got in thankfully).

MAC tournament
Toledo 82, Ohio U 75— Last three years, Toledo is 48-9 in MAC regular season games, but they haven’t won the MAC tournament since 1980, which was also the first year the MAC had a conference tournament. This is a good team that could give a higher seed fits next week, but first they have to beat Kent State in the MAC final Saturday.

Mountain West tournament
Utah State 72, Boise State 62— Aggies started this week as a bubble team; they trailed this game 36-28 at halftime, but they outscored Boise 44-26 in second half, and word now on the Interweb is that Utah State will make the NCAA’s- their game with San Diego State Saturday can’t hurt their resume any.

SEC tournament
Vanderbilt 80, Kentucky 73— On February 1st, Vandy was 10-12; they lost a game to Alabama by 57 points (101-44). Since that loss, the Commodores are 10-1; there are mixed opinions as to whether Vandy will get in the tournament or not. They play Texas A&M today; win that game, and there will be very little doubt they’re getting in.

Missouri 79, Tennessee 71— Vols are 5-7 in their last 12 games; their point guard is out for the year. Will be interesting to see where they’ll be seeded; they’re struggling right now.

Big East tournament
Marquette 70, UConn 78— Rough day for the Hurley family; Danny Hurley’s team lost this game, Bobby Hurley’s Arizona State squad lost in the Pac-12 tournament.

Marquette has won eight games in a row, the last three by 2-2-2 points. They started five sophomores Saturday; their subs were three freshmen and another soph. If Shaka Smart can keep all those kids from bolting elsewhere, Marquette will be even better next season.

Big West tournament
Cal-Fullerton 83, Cal-Irvine 80— Titans made 10-17 on arc, knock off #1-seed Anteaters in a terrific game to watch. 70 possessions, lot of pace with good shooting. Fullerton has won the Big West tournament twice in last four years; they play UCSB Saturday. Big West’s level of play has improved a lot this season.

Big 14 tournament
— I have trouble listening to broadcasts on the Big 14 Network; their announcers are such shills. Some guy was touting Ohio State as “the 14th best team in country since February 1st”. WTF???

Ohio State went thru a 1-14 skid this season; they’ve rallied to win three games this week in the conference tournament, but when you’re touting a 16-18 team for postseason play, its time to stop talking, You lose your credibility.

Penn State 67, Northwestern 65 OT— Wildcats had two players bolt their program last spring, one to Duke, one to North Carolina. What were the odds that Northwestern would make the NCAA’s this season, while North Carolina wouldn’t? Go figure.

AAC tournament
Houston 60, East Carolina 46— This is the last time Jim Nantz will announce the Final Four; he is a Houston alum, the Cougars will be a #1-seed and the Final Four is in Houston. Anyone out there think they won’t make the Final Four?

Elsewhere in the world………
— Chicago Bears traded the #1 pick in next month’s draft to Carolina; in exchange, they get:
Carolina’s 1st round pick this year (#9 pick)
Carolina’s 2nd round pick (pick #61)
Carolina’s 1st round pick in 2024
Carolina’s 2nd round pick in 2025
WR DJ Moore

Seeing how Chicago already has a young QB (Justin Fields) and how a lot of pundits don’t think this year’s crop of college QB’s is that good, consensus was that the Bears won this trade.

— This is the 7th time since 1990 that a team traded up for the #1 pick:
2016— Rams traded up for QB Jared Goff
2001— Falcons traded up for QB Michael Vick
1997— Rams traded up for OT Orlando Pace, a Hall of Famer
1995— Bengals traded up for RB Ki-Jana Carter
1991— Cowboys traded up for DT Russell Maryland
1990— Colts traded up for QB Jeff George

— Sad news in baseball; former big league OF Jesus Alou passed away at age 80. One of three brothers who all played in the major leagues— they once started a game in the same outfield for the Giants, in 1963 against the Pirates.

Later on, all three brothers played for the A’s, at one time or another. Jesus Alou helped the A’s win World Series in 1973 and 1974.

On July 10, 1964, Jesus Alou went 6-6 in a game against the Cubs; reader Glen points out that he got the six hits against six different pitchers, which couldn’t have happened very many times.

RIP, sir.
 

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DETROIT is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more in the current season.

BUFFALO is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) after a huge blowout loss by 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 30-32 ATS (-5.2 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) on Saturday games in the current season.

MONTREAL is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 22-24 ATS (-4.4 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

EDMONTON is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 14-7 ATS (6.3 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

CAROLINA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in home games after 2 straight close wins by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.

OTTAWA is 19-18 ATS (-0.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) after having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons.
 

Udog

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NHL

Saturday, March 11


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Trend Report
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Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Boston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Detroit

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home

NY Rangers @ Buffalo
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games at home

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona
Colorado is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Arizona

Vegas @ Carolina
Vegas
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Carolina is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games

St. Louis @ Columbus
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 17 of St. Louis's last 24 games on the road
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing St. Louis

Winnipeg @ Florida
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

New Jersey @ Montreal
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Chicago @ Tampa Bay
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Edmonton @ Toronto
Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Washington @ NY Islanders
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games at home

Dallas @ Seattle
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Ottawa @ Vancouver
Ottawa
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home

Nashville @ Los Angeles
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ San Jose
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Jose's last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota


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Udog

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NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, March 11


sevDP1O.png
 

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, MARCH 11
DET at BOS01:00 PMBOS -425
U 6.0
+500 +500
PHI at PIT03:30 PMPIT -300
O 6.5
+500 +500
NYR at BUF05:00 PMNYR -150
O 6.5
+500 +500
ARI at COL06:00 PMARI +325
O 6.5
+500 +500
NJ at MON07:00 PMNJ -275
U 6.5
+500 +500
CHI at TB07:00 PMTB -500
O 6.5
+500 +500
STL at CLB07:00 PMCLB +110
O 6.5
+500 +500
EDM at TOR07:00 PMTOR -130
O 7.0
+500 +500
WIN at FLA07:00 PMFLA -135
O 6.5
+500 +500
VEG at CAR07:00 PMVEG +175
O 6.0
+500 +500
WAS at NYI07:30 PMNYI -130
O 5.5
+500 +500
DAL at SEA10:00 PMSEA +100
O 6.0
+500 +500
OTT at VAN10:00 PMOTT -125
O 6.5
+500 +500
NAS at LA10:30 PMLA -170
O 6.0
+500 +500
MIN at SJ10:30 PMSJ +155
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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DETROIT (29-27-0-8, 66 pts.) at BOSTON (49-10-0-4, 102 pts.) - 3/11/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 49-14 ATS (+70.3 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 28-7 ATS (+15.1 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-3 ATS (+17.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
BOSTON is 30-4 ATS (+22.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 149-129 ATS (+282.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-3 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack
Teams who play the fastest tempo (shortest possessions on offense)
14.9 seconds— Marshall (24-8)
15.0— Long Beach State (17-16)
15.1— Cornell (17-11)
15.2— Alabama (28-5)
15.2— Portland State (12-19)
15.3— St John’s (18-15)

Quote of the Day
“How do you know when you run out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright

Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; what famous musician played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows?

Saturday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant with the 13th pick of the 1996 NBA Draft, then traded him to the Lakers, for Vlade Divac.

Friday’s quiz
Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.


************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Brackets come out at 6:00 tonight; all the speculation ends and we can handicap the actual matchups. Champ Week has been fun, but it is time to move on to the main event.

— There were five conference tournaments in Las Vegas this week; must be tough living in a place where there are legitimately fun things to do every day.

Marquette 65, Xavier 51— Surprisingly easy win for Marquette, which has won 14 of its last 15 games. This was Marquette’s conference tournament title since 1997, when they won the C-USA tournament.

Texas 76, Kansas 56— Longhorns allowed 54.3 ppg in their three wins this weekend. This game had two interim coaches leading the teams, with Rodney Terry taking over for the fired Chris Beard, while Norm Roberts is replacing Kansas coach Bill Self, who has been ill.

Cal-Santa Barbara 72, Cal-Fullerton 62— Gauchos get to the NCAA’s for second time in three years; before that, they hadn’t been there since 2011.

I was on the UCSB campus a long time ago, 1990 if I remember right. They should have no trouble recruiting ballplayers; what a beautiful area. More than half the cars in the parking lot had a surfboard on the roof. Had I gone to school there, would’ve taken me about a month to flunk out. Who wants to study when you can go for a walk on the beach?

San Diego State 62, Utah State 57— Aggies led 26-15 early on, but San Diego State wins this tournament for third time in last six years. Bracketology says Utah State is in the Field of 68, but they’ll be tossing and turning tonight, waiting for tomorrow’s verdict.

ESPN”s bracket guy has Arizona State in; the CBS bracket guy has the Sun Devils out; CBS has Utah State going to Dayton for a play-in game. ESPN has the Aggies ranked higher than that.

Arizona 61, UCLA 59— UCLA hasn’t won the Pac-12 tournament since 2014; Arizona won it for fourth time in last six tries. Bruins are banged up; how much does the Selection Committee weigh their injuries into the seedings?

— Purdue guard David Jenkins should write a book about his experience playing college ball; he’s played all over the place:

2017-19— South Dakota State
2020-21— UNLV
2021-22— Utah
2022-23— Purdue

— New Mexico star Jaelen House is the grandson of former UCLA star Henry Bibby, who also played nine years in the NBA.

— Unfortunately, this time of year schools fire coaches who didn’t win as much as people hoped:
Buffalo fired Jim Whitesell (45-27 in MAC games in four years)
Georgia Tech fired Josh Pastner (11-29 in ACC games the last two years)
South Florida fired Brian Gregory (32-72 in AAC games)
Wichita State fired Isaac Brown (48-34 in three years).

Wichita fired Gregg Marshall three years ago, because Marshall hurt people’s feelings— he also went 331-121 with the Shockers, 233-53 his last eight years, with a Final Four in 2013.

Missouri gave hoop coach Dennis Gates a $1.5M/year raise, extended his contract thru 2029; Tigers are 24-9 in Gates’ first season in Columbia.

You fire a guy who was 331-121, you understand why they fired a guy who was 48-34.

— St John’s hasn’t played in the semi-finals of the Big East tournament since 2014, even though they play the tournament in Madison Square Garden, the Red Storm’s second home.

— Bronx baseball team put P Carlos Rodon on the IL with a strained forearm; Rodon signed a six-year, $162M contract this past winter.

— Teams that won the first four World Baseball Classics:
Japan, Japan, Dominican Republic, United States

— Arizona Diamondbacks gave OF Corbin Carroll an 8-year, $111M contract; Carroll has played in only 32 big league games, hitting .260 with 4 homers as a 21-year old last year.

— Washington Nationals signed C Keibert Ruiz to an 8-year, $50M contract; Ruiz hit .251 with seven homers last season, in his first season as a starter.

— Houston Texans were fined $175K, lost a 5th-round draft pick this year because of a salary cap reporting violation involving Deshaun Watson back in 2020.

Texans also signed WR Robert Woods to a 2-year contract, a smart move. Woods caught 53 passes for 527 yards with AFC South rival Tennessee last year.

— Minnesota Vikings cut WR Adam Thielen for salary cap reasons; Thielen caught 534 passes for 12.5 yards/catch in nine years for Minnesota, 55 of them for touchdowns.

— San Francisco QB Brock Purdy finally had his elbow operation this week; they said it was a six-month rehab for his elbow, so he figures to miss the start of the regular season.

— Random stat: Golden State Warriors are 4-13 as a road favorite this season.

— Remember to turn your clocks ahead an hour!!!
 

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DETROIT is 18-12 ATS (4.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) after 3 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 21-6 Over (14.4 Units) after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 3-9 ATS (-6.9 Units) in home games in March games in the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 19-18 ATS (-0.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 2-21 ATS (-21.1 Units) revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 Over (8 Units) in road games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NHL

Sunday, March 12


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Detroit
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Detroit
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

NY Rangers @ Pittsburgh
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Rangers is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Vegas @ St. Louis
Vegas
Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas

Carolina @ New Jersey
Carolina
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Jersey is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Winnipeg @ Tampa Bay
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg

Ottawa @ Calgary
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games at home

Nashville @ Anaheim
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Anaheim is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Minnesota @ Arizona
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


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Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, MARCH 12
BOS at DET01:30 PMBOS -235
U 6.0
+500 +500
NYR at PIT04:00 PMNYR +100
O 6.5
+500 +500
VEG at STL07:00 PMVEG -140
O 6.5
+500 +500
WIN at TB07:00 PMTB -185
O 6.5
+500 +500
CAR at NJ07:00 PMNJ -110
U 6.0
+500 +500
OTT at CAL09:00 PMOTT +165
O 6.5
+500 +500
NAS at ANA09:30 PMNAS -160
U 6.0
+500 +500
MIN at ARI09:30 PMARI +175
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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Monday’s 6-pack
Teams who play the slowest tempo (longest possessions on offense)21.3 seconds— North Texas (26-7)
20.4— Charlottte (18-14)
20— Jacksonvville (13-16)
19.4— Virginia (25-7)
19.4— Saint Mary’s (26-7)
18.7— Northern Kentucky (22-12)

Quote of the Day
“All season, our focus and goal have been on being the best team we can possibly become and reaching our full potential to give us another opportunity to compete, play for and win an NCAA championship. Although we no longer have that opportunity and this season wasn’t what we had hoped for, I want to thank our players and staff for their hard work and love for Carolina Basketball.”
North Carolina basketball coach Hubert Davis

Monday’s quiz
When was the last time three #1-seeds got to the Final Four?

Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; Meat Loaf played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows.

Saturday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant with the 13th pick of the 1996 NBA Draft, then traded him to the Lakers, for Vlade Divac.




**************************************************


Monday’s Den: Some quick thoughts on the Field of 68

— Last three years, only four of the 12 Final Four teams were #1-seeds.

— Three of this year’s #1-seeds play Thursday-Saturday this week.

— Top-ranked teams who missed the Field of 68: Rutgers (#35), Oklahoma Sate (#38) and Oregon (#41).

— Arizona State is in the First Four for third time in last five tournaments; they lost 60-56 to Syracuse in 2018, beat St John’s 74-65 the next year.

Think about it; on February 25, Sun Devils beat rival Arizona 89-88 when they sank a 55-foot desperation jumper at the buzzer. Without that win, Arizona State is in the NT.

— Speaking of the NIT, North Carolina declined to play in it after being the first preseason #1 team ever to miss the NCAA Tournament.

Some trends on how some conferences have fared in first round games:
— Lot has been said this year about how the Big X is by far the best conference this year; over the last three years, Big X teams are 14-5 ATS in Round of 64 games.

— Mountain West got four teams in the NCAA’s this year; over the last three years, MW teams are 0-8 SU/ATS in Round of 64 games.

— Charleston is a 5-point underdog vs San Diego State Thursday; Cougars play pace #29, while Aztecs play pace #252, so a contrast of styles here.

Over last nine years, CAA teams are 0-9 SU, but 5-4 against the spread.

— Florida Atlantic is 31-3, their best season ever; will they be able to keep coach Dusty May? You go 31-3 at a mid-major, a coach usually works his way up to a bigger $$$ job.

Last seven years, Conference USA teams are 5-2 SU in Round of 64 games.

— VCU beat Dayton 68-56 to win the A-15 tournament; Rams are 27-7, but they weren’t getting in the NCAA’s if they lost this game. This was first time since 2005 that the A-15 got one team in the tournament- they had 12 teams in the league back then.

— Big Sky teams haven’t won a tournament game since Montana (+7) upset Nevada 87-79 way back in 2006. Big Sky teams went 3-11-1 ATS in those losses.

Montana State is this year’s Big Sky team; they’re 22-4 in their last 26 games, are experience team #47. Bobcats play #3-seed Kansas State in their first round game.

— Last three years, SEC teams are 7-4-2 ATS in first round games.

— Kent State-Indiana play in Albany Friday night; Kent coach Ron Senderoff is an Albany alum and he also worked at Indiana, from 2006-08.

Over last six years, MAC teams covered all six of their games in Round of 64.

— Over last ten years, Horizon League teams are 0-10 SU, 3-7 ATS; Wright State did win a play-in game last year.

— I’ll have a lot more on the tournament as the week goes on.
 

Udog

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COLORADO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the current season.

BUFFALO is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more in the current season.

SEATTLE is 29-16 Over (11.4 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Monday, March 13


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Trend Report
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Colorado @ Montreal
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Buffalo @ Toronto
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Dallas @ Seattle
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


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Cnotes53

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MONDAY, MARCH 13
COL at MON07:30 PMMON +215
O 6.5
+500 +500
BUF at TOR07:30 PMBUF +210
O 7.0
+500 +500
DAL at SEA10:00 PMSEA +105
O 6.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history:
2012— Norfolk State (+21.5) 86-84 over Missouri
2018— UMBC (+20.5) 74-54 over Virginia
1993— Santa Clara (+20) 64-61 over Arizona
1997— Coppin State (+18.5) 78-65 over South Carolina
2022— Saint Peter’s (+18) 85-79 over Kentucky
2001— Hampton (+17.5) 58-57 over Iowa State
1986— Ark-Little Rock (+17.5) 90-83 over Notre Dame

Quote of the Day
“When you look at the r?sum?, they had 18 opportunities in the Quad 1, and they won only six games. And they had opportunities in the non-conference schedule to win some games to enhance their r?sum?, and they fell a little short.”
Chris Reynolds, the NCAA tournament committee chairman, talking about Oklahoma State

Tuesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team lower than a #4 seed got to the Final Four?

Monday’s quiz
2015 was the last time three #1-seeds got to the Final Four.

Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; Meat Loaf played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows.

**************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……

— NCAA Tournament teams this year who lost their first conference tournament game:
#3-seed- Kansas State
#3-seed- Baylor
#6-seed- Kentucky
#7-seed- Michigan State
#7-s3ed- Northwestern
#8-seed- Iowa
#9-seed- Auburn
#9-seed- Illinois
#10-seed- USC

In the last 20 years, no team that lost its first conference tournament game won the national championship that season,

— College basketball coaching hires:
Ole Miss hired former Texas Tech/Texas coach Chris Beard, who has a 237-98 career record but got fired at Texas this season because of a domestic violence issue.

Georgia Tech hired Damon Stoudamire, who had been an assistant coach with the NBA’s Celtics; he was 71-77 in five years coaching Pacific in the WCC (23-10 three years ago).

— Be careful moving #4-seed Tennessee too far up your brackets; their point guard Zakai Zeigler is out for the season.

— Teams ranked in top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency:
Baylor, UConn, Houston, Texas
 
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