CNOTES 2023-2024 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS + NEWS AND NOTES

Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads for this week:
— Missouri (-7) @ Arkansas
— Air Force @ Boise State (-4)
— Oregon State @ Oregon (-13)
— Florida State (-7) @ Florida
— Kentucky @ Louisville (-7)
— Clemson (-9) @ South Carolina

Quote of the Day
“I think he should go back to Division III football where he belongs. Look, this guy. Look at his resume, man. I mean, I’m sorry. He spent one year coordinating a team that my wife could coach with Aaron Donald and all those guys. Stop it. And trust me, she’d do a hell of a lot better job than this guy’s doing with his defense. They’re the second-highest payroll in the National Football League and they’re the second-worst. Like, this team is atrocious.”
ESPN’s Rex Ryan, talking about Chargers coach Brandon Staley

Tuesday’s quiz #1
The last time the Angels made the baseball playoffs was 2014; what team swept them in the divisional round?

Tuesday’s quiz #2
Who is the all-time leading in passing yardage for the Rams?

Sunday’s quiz
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh was an NFL QB for 14 years, playing for four different teams; he played the most games (89) with the Chicago Bears, 53 more with the Colts.

***************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— ESPN needs to bring Jon Gruden out of retirement to do the interviews he does with QB prospects for the NFL Draft. This is going to be a fascinating year for drafting QB’s, and Gruden is the best I’ve seen at grilling kids and learning what they’re about.

Eagles 21, Chiefs 17
Kansas City led 17-7 at halftime.
Swift ran ball 12 times for 76 yards and a TD.
Eagles won nine of first ten games (6-2-2 ATS)
Hurts is 34-14 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs in first half: 38 plays, 200 yards, 17 points.
Chiefs in 2nd half: 37 plays, 137 yards, no points.
Last three games, KC was outscored 38-0 in second half.
Chiefs averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.

— Next football season, I’m going to change the definition of turnover in my stats, to include teams who go for it on 4th down outside of field goal range and don’t get the first down. It is basically the same as a turnover, maybe worse.
Chargers-Packers game, both teams went for it in 4th down around midfield on their first series of the game, and both failed. I know it is 2023 and all, but field position is still important.

— 45 years ago Sunday was the infamous Joe Pisarcik fumble, when the Giants were going to beat the Eagles in a close game, but teams didn’t take a knee at the end back then, they just handed the ball off to a RB, but Pisarcik fumbled the handoff, and Herm Edwards ran the ball into the end zone for a very unlikely, disturbing loss for the Giants.
As a Rams fan, the game turned out to be oddly significant; Dick Vermeil was coaching the Eagles back then; 23 years later, he won a Super Bowl coaching the Rams.
Back then, John McVay was coaching the Giants, Sean McVay’s grandfather.

— Cleveland Browns signed QB Joe Flacco to be a backup for Dorian Thompson-Robinson; Flacco has played 15 years in the NFL— he started four games for the Jets last year.
From 2010-12, he went 40-16 as the Ravens’ QB, winning the Super Bowl 11 years ago, but since 2019, he is 3-14 as an NFL starter. Lot of experience, though.

— Jets are benching Zach Wilson, he won’t even be the backup this week. Tim Boyle (0-3 as an NFL starter) will get the start, with Trevor Siemian the backup.

— Falcons will start QB Desmond Ridder this week; Taylor Heinicke started Atlanta’s last couple games.

— Cowboys’ DB DaRon Bland has four pick-6 touchdowns this year, giving him as many TD’s this season as the Raiders’ star WR Davante Adams.

— We need an LSU-Iowa bowl matchup; under is 10-2 in Iowa games, over is 11-0 in LSU games.
Iowa played three games in a row that ended 15-6/12-10/10-7.
LSU lost a game 55-49, won other games 49-39/52-35.
Contrast of styles make for interesting bowls.

— USC’s football team the last two years:
2022- 11-3, they were +21 in turnovers
2023- 7-5, they’re minus-2 in turnovers.

— There are ten I-A college football coaches who are the head coach at their alma mater.

— Word of the Day: Doppelgänger- A double of a person; having a keen resemblance between two otherwise unrelated people.
Example: Lakers’ GM Rob Pelinka and the actor Rob Lowe.

— Happy birthday to the great actress Sally Field, who turned 77 last week; she was the star of The Flying Nun when I was a kid, kind of a weird show. She’s won two Academy Awards, and recently played the mother of Lakers’ owner Jerry Buss in HBO’s Winning Time.
Happy 79th birthday to Danny DeVito, who was Louis DePalma in Taxi and was great in Other People’s Money and The Rainmaker. Now we see him all the time in Jersey Mike’s commercials.

— Long Beach State 94, Michigan 86
This win helps raise the Big West’s profile.
Illinois State 61, Long Beach State 52
This loss doesn’t raise the Big West’s profile.

— San Diego State 100, Washington 97, OT
This game was played late Sunday night, after I had posted yesterday’s Den.
Aztecs led by 12 with 4:23 left in regulation; they blew that lead, but won in OT- they were 31-41 on the foul line. Washington was 18-21.

— Washington-Washington State won’t be in the same league anymore after this season, but the good news is, the schools agreed to play each other in football every year thru 2028, with next year’s Apple Cup game in Seattle, then the next four years at campus sites.

— Syracuse fired football coach Dino Babers, who went 41-55 coaching the Orange; he had gone 18-9 in two seasons at Bowling Green, but couldn’t parlay that success into winning in the ACC.

— Phillies signed P Aaron Nola to a 7-year deal worth around $24.5M a year.

— This is a great week for college basketball, lot of good tournaments, but I do miss the Great Alaskan Shootout, which used to always be this week. ESPN killed the event by hosting their tournaments in warm weather places, more appealing for players/fans to go to.
But the Alaskan Shootout was unique; the last first round game the first two nights would begin around 2am here in the east, so you could watch ball all night.
Dwyane Wade, Klay Thompson were both MVP’s of the Shootout; one year, Cincinnati beat Duke in the final— they attracted really good teams. It was fun to watch.

— Tennessee 73, Syracuse 56
Last time Jim Boeheim wasn’t the Syracuse coach, I was in 10th grade, long time ago; they play man-to-man defense now, and try to run more. Syracuse shot 35% in this game, which isn’t going to win many games, especially against good teams.

— Purdue 73, Gonzaga 63
Boilers outscored Gonzaga 43-28 in second half.
Zags were 6-32 behind the arc.
Purdue big guy Edey had 25 points, 14 rebounds.

— Kentucky 96, St Joe’s 88, OT
Underdog Hawks made 15-37 on the arc.
Kentucky outscored Hawks 18-9 on foul line.
Wildcats played eight guys, including five frosh and a sophomore.
 

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 21

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BGSU at WMU07:00 PMBGSU -2.5
U 50.5
+500 +500
EMU at BUFF07:30 PMBUFF -5.0
O 37.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
11/21/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
11/18/202356-55-150.45%-2250Detail
11/17/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
11/16/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
11/15/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
11/14/20231-4-125.00%-1700Detail
11/11/202351-59-046.36%-6950Detail
11/10/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
11/09/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
11/08/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
11/07/20235-1-083.33%+1950Detail
11/04/202357-52-352.23%-100Detail
11/03/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
11/02/20234-2-066.67%+900Detail
11/01/20231-2-137.50%-600Detail
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/21/2023.........................2 - 2.......................................50.00%.........................- 1.00
11/18/2023.......................30 - 34 - 0..............................46.87%.........................- 37.00
11/17/2023...........................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
11/16/2023...........................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.........................- 11.00
11/15/2023............................2 - 2 - 0..............................50.00%.........................- 1.00
11/14/2023............................1 - 4 - 1...............................20.00%.........................- 17.00
11/11/2023.........................33 -29 ...................................53.22%.........................+ 5.50
11/10/2023............................3 - 1.....................................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
11/09/2023............................1 - 3.....................................25.00%..........................- 11.50
11/08/2023............................2 - 3.....................................40.00%..........................- 6.50
11/07/2023............................5 - 1.....................................83.33%..........................+ 19.50
11/04/2023.........................29 - 29 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 14.50
11/03/2023.............................3 - 1...................................75.00%............................+ 950
11/02/2023.............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 9.00
11/01/2023.............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%............................- 6.00

TOTALS...........................118 - 117 - 1.............................50.21%............................- 53.50
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads for this week:
— Packers @ Detroit (-7.5)
— Commanders @ Dallas (-11)
— 49ers (-7) @ Seattle
— Dolphins (-9.5) @ NJ Jets
— Jaguars (-1.5) @ Houston
— Buccaneers @ Indianapolis (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“My intent is never to go viral, and honestly, if I say something in jest that nobody laughs at, sometimes that’s the funniest outcome for me. So I pay it no mind. I’m not trying to be anything but myself. I’m very aware that sometimes myself doesn’t come off hilarious to everybody, and it is what it is.”
Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was head coach of the Miami Dolphins before Mike McDaniel?

Tuesday’s quiz #1
The last time the Angels made the baseball playoffs was 2014; they got swept by the KC Royals in the divisional round.

Tuesday’s quiz #2
Jim Everett is the all-time leading in passing yardage for the Rams.

**************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Maui Classic:
Purdue 71, Tennessee 67- Purdue was 29-48 on foul line in a very physical game.
Marquette 73, Kansas 59- Marquette shot 59% inside arc.
championship game is 5:00 Wednesday.

— Florida State 77, Colorado 71 OT
Seminoles have won their last 14 overtime games, which apparently is a record.
Colorado had 20 turnovers, shot 38.5% inside arc.
— James Madison 82, Southern Illinois 76- JMU is 5-0 for the first time since 1982.

— So far this season, teams from the WCC (Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s league) are 2-10 against the spread as a favorite. It is possible the league is a little bit down this season.

— This is modern college basketball- UNLV has 14 guys on its basketball team; three freshmen, and 11 guys who transferred into UNLV. Handicapping early season basketball is a crapshoot.
November is about coaches figuring out who/what they have, and what they want to do with it. Teams with excellent continuity have a big advantage right now.

— Teams with most continuity right now:
Florida Atlantic
Columbia
Marquette
Drexel
Cal-Davis
North Dakota State

— Teams with least continuity right now:
New Mexico State
Iona
Utah State
Idaho
Notre Dane
Southern Utah

— Jackson State doesn’t have a home game until January 6th; they play 11 road games, two more on neutral floors before that. After an 0-5 start, they upset Missouri Sunday.
All the road games pay the tab for their program: trips to San Diego, Memphis, Mizzou, Los Angeles, Houston, Georgetown, Northwestern- lot of guarantee games. Winning is a bonus.

— Pretty sure I watched Bill Vinovich officiate an NFL game Sunday, then late Monday night, he was a ref at the Cal-UTEP basketball game, somewhere near Los Angeles. Vinovich turns 63 years old next week; he is officiating on back/back days, but lot of guys in the NBA who are half his age and are making a boatload of $$$ can’t play on back/back nights. Go figure.

— Good to see former Memphis/Georgia Tech coach Josh Pastner working on ESPN; long time ago, I crossed paths with coach Pastner on the AAU circuit couple of times, once in Florida, once in Las Vegas. We were watching games, and I was asking him lot of questions, picking his brain.
He had no reason to be nice to me, but he was, both times. Hope he enjoys his time in the TV studio, and then gets himself another coaching job next season.

— Word of the Day: Rejuvenate- giving new energy or vigor to something.

— St Louis Cardinals signed two starting pitchers this week:
Lance Lynn was 7-2, 4.36 in 11 starts for the Dodgers LY, after they acquired him from the White Sox, where he was 6-9, 6.47 in 21 starts. Lynn started his career in St Louis (2011-17).
Kyle Gibson was 15-9, 4.73 in 33 starts for Baltimore LY.
Cardinals are rebuilding after a dismal 71-91 season this past year.

— San Diego Padres hired Mike Shildt as their new manager; he went 252-199 managing the Cardinals, was surprisingly fired after a 90-72 season in 2021.

— Odd stat: the last 12 years, Dallas Cowboys are 5-7 SU/1-11 ATS on Thanksgiving Day.

— Pittsburgh Steelers fired offensive coordinator Matt Canada, despite their 6-4 record; this is the first time the Steelers have made a midseason change at head coach or coordinator since 1941- they’ve only had three head coaches since 1969.
Steelers missed the playoffs three of last five years; they haven’t won a playoff game since 2016.

— Over their last three games, Denver Broncos are +9 in turnovers; they were minus-4 in their first seven games.

— Carolina Panthers are 1-9 this season, playing a rookie QB on a team that has an offensive coordinator in his first year in that job. I’m not sure what the point of playing QB Bryce Young is right now; maybe sitting back and watching veteran Andy Dalton would be beneficial, in the long run.
Dalton started one game this year; Carolina lost 37-27 in Seattle, but they scored 27 points. In their last four games, they scored 15-13-13-10 points.
Patrick Mahomes didn’t start a game until the last game of his rookie year; sometimes the old way of doing things is still the better way.

— Random NBA trends:
Golden State is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite
Minnesota is 6-0 ATS at home.
Over is 12-1 in Indiana Pacer games.
Speaking of which……….

— Indiana 157, Atlanta 152
Hawks led 86-73 at halftime, this was like an old ABA game.
Atlanta led by 20 points in the first half.
Tyrese Haliburton scored 37 points, dished out 16 assists.

— Happy 79th birthday to Earl (the Pearl) Monroe, one of the best basketball players ever; he was a great player for the Baltimore Bullets, then got traded to the Knicks, where he helped them win the 1973 NBA title, their second (and last) NBA title.
Happy birthday, sir.
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Thursday’s game
Mississippi
@ Mississippi State
Ole Miss (9-2, 6-2)
— Ole Miss won six of its last seven games, scoring 33.3 ppg
— Rebels were held to 10-17 points in their two losses.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 6-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— In his career, Kiffin is 17-16 ATS as a road favorite.
— Rebels are +9 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 16-12-1 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 14-17-1 ATS in the SEC.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.


Mississippi State (5-6, 1-6)
— Miss State lost three of its last four games.
— Bulldogs are 4-0 if they score 31+ points, 1-6 if they don’t.
— Miss State gave up 36.7 ppg in its losses.
— Miss State already fired their first-year head coach.
— Bulldogs need this win to become bowl eligible.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU is 1-10 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
— Bulldogs are 4-12 ATS in last 16 SEC games.
— MSU is 12-10 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
— six of last nine Miss State games went over the total.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.


— These rivals split their last eight meetings.
— Ole Miss is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Starkville.
— Last six series games stayed under the total.
— SEC home underdogs are 6-14 ATS.




NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 13


UHwudzN.png
 

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MISS at MSST07:30 PMMISS -10.0
U 54.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads for this week:
— Jaguars (-2) @ Houston
— Browns @ Denver (-1.5)
— Chiefs (-8.5) @ Las Vegas
— Bills @ Philadelphia (-3.5)
— Ravens (-3.5) @ LA Chargers
— Bears @ Minnesota (-3.5)

Quote of the Day
“Coach Smith and I have had ongoing conversations for more than a month regarding his future at Oregon State and our path forward for football specifically and our athletic department generally. He has embraced our short and long term plans……..
……..Coach Smith and I have also discussed our commitment to extending assistant coaches’ contracts and increasing the salary pool for his staff to retain the continuity of what they have all built together for Beaver Nation.”
Oregon State athletic director Scott Barnes

Thursday’s quiz
When he was a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff started seven games for the Rams; what QB started the other nine games for the Rams that year?
Hint: He is still in the NFL, but he isn’t a starter

Wednesday’s quiz
Brian Flores was head coach of the Miami Dolphins before Mike McDaniel.

Tuesday’s quiz
The last time the Angels made the baseball playoffs was 2014; they got swept by the KC Royals in the divisional round.

**********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Happy Thanksgiving, everyone…….

— Purdue 78, Marquette 75- Big guy Zach Edey had 28 points, 15 rebounds as Purdue wins a very tough Maui Classic. Boilermakers hit 10-21 on the arc.
Tyler Kolek had 22 points, 6 assists for Marquette, which leaves Hawai’i with wins over UCLA and Kansas, so it was a good week for them, even though they lost this game.

— Kansas 69, Tennessee 60- Rough couple of days for the Vols, who scored 0.91/0.87 points per possession in losses to Purdue/Kansas— they shot 17-63 on the arc in those two games, but they have a good defensive team and figure to make the NCAA’s in March.
Hunter Dickinson scored 17 points, grabbed 20 rebounds for Kansas, which shot 57.5% inside the arc, after trailed by 7 early on.

— Gonzaga, 69, UCLA 65
Zags rebound from loss to Purdue with wins over Syracuse, UCLA
Antone Watson scored 32 points for the Zags.
Gonzaga has won its last four games with the Bruins.

— Arkansas 77, Stanford 74, 2OT
Brickfest: teams combined to shoot 14-49 on the arc.
Stanford led by 9 with 14:21 left in game.
Arkansas shot 30.3% from floor, 26-33 on foul line.

— Southern Illinois 81, New Mexico State 54- You don’t see this often; Aggies shot 31.9% from the floor, 0-9 on the arc. In this day and age, you almost never see a team go a whole game without making a 3-pointer.

— In the Horizon League, Oakland Grizzlies have a player Jack Gohlke; so far this season, he’s shooting 24-72 on the arc, 1-2 inside the arc. All the freakin’ guy does is shoot 3’s. Seems like a fun job to have.

— Word of the Day— Gratitude- the quality of being thankful; readiness to show appreciation for and to return kindness.

— Movie of the Day- Class Action (1991)- An attorney representing a traumatized accident victim finds that his opponent is a very familiar defense attorney – his own daughter.
Gene Hackman is the lawyer, Mary Elizabeth Mastrantonio is his daughter. Laurence Fishburne, Fred Thompson, Jonathan Silverman, Joan McMurtrey and the guy who was the coroner on CSI are all in this movie- very good cast.

— In baseball, Seattle Mariners traded 3B Eugenio Suárez to Arizona, for C Seby Zavala and P Carlos Vargas; the move frees up $11,285,715 that Suarez will be paid next year. Luis Urias is expected to be the Mariners’ 3B next season.

— Bowling Green 34, Western Michigan 10
Falcons clinch their first winning season since 2015.
Bowling Green led 31-3 at halftime; they had a pick-6 to make score 17-0.
Falcons averaged 8.1 yards/pass attempt.

— Eastern Michigan 24, Buffalo 11
Underdog Eagles led 24-0 at halftime; they’re bowl eligible now.
EMU ran ball 46 times for 226 yards (4.9 yards/carry).
3-9 Buffalo lost three fumbles, completed only 12-28 passes.

— NFL stuff:
Jets are starting 3rd-string QB Tim Boyle against the Dolphins Friday; Boyle started three games for Detroit in 2021, lost ‘em all. He played college ball at UConn/Eastern Kentucky.
Falcons are going back to QB Desmond Ridder for their game against the Saints this week; they’re 4-6 overall this season, 4-4 in Ridder’s starts.

— Nebraska 89, Duquesne 79
Cornhuskers scored on their first 16 possessions of the second half; I can’t remember seeing a team do that before.

— Last 17 years, favorites are 15-2 ATS in Detroit Lions’ Thanksgiving Day games.
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
11/23/20231-0-175.00%+500Detail
11/21/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
11/18/202356-55-150.45%-2250Detail
11/17/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
11/16/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
11/15/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
11/14/20231-4-125.00%-1700Detail
11/11/202351-59-046.36%-6950Detail
11/10/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
11/09/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
11/08/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
11/07/20235-1-083.33%+1950Detail
11/04/202357-52-352.23%-100Detail
11/03/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
11/02/20234-2-066.67%+900Detail
11/01/20231-2-137.50%-600Detail
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/23/2023.........................1 - 0 - 1.................................75.00%........................+ 5.00
11/21/2023.........................2 - 2.......................................50.00%.........................- 1.00
11/18/2023.......................30 - 34 - 0..............................46.87%.........................- 37.00
11/17/2023...........................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
11/16/2023...........................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.........................- 11.00
11/15/2023............................2 - 2 - 0..............................50.00%.........................- 1.00
11/14/2023............................1 - 4 - 1...............................20.00%.........................- 17.00
11/11/2023.........................33 -29 ...................................53.22%.........................+ 5.50
11/10/2023............................3 - 1.....................................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
11/09/2023............................1 - 3.....................................25.00%..........................- 11.50
11/08/2023............................2 - 3.....................................40.00%..........................- 6.50
11/07/2023............................5 - 1.....................................83.33%..........................+ 19.50
11/04/2023.........................29 - 29 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 14.50
11/03/2023.............................3 - 1...................................75.00%............................+ 950
11/02/2023.............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 9.00
11/01/2023.............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%............................- 6.00

TOTALS...........................119 - 117 - 2.............................50.42%............................- 48.50
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
— Colorado State 69, Creighton 48- Rams’ PG Stevens is one of best PG’s in country.
— Arizona 74, Michigan State 68- Arizona led 34-19 early, held on at the end.
— FAU 91, Butler 86- Owls are #1 team in country in continuity.
— Villanova 83, North Carolina 81 OT- Wildcats were 32-36 on foul line.
— Memphis 84, Arkansas 79- David Jones scored 36 points, had 5 steals.
— Oklahoma 79, Iowa 67- Sooners shot 61% inside the arc.

Quote of the Day
“It’s good to celebrate and you need to. You need to smell the roses when you walk through the garden, as our guys did today. Because when you’re on the other side, it’s hard.”
Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy

Friday’s quiz
Who was coaching the Washington Commanders the last time they won a playoff game?

Thursday’s quiz
When he was a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff started seven games for the Rams; Case Keenum started the other nine games at QB for the Rams that year.

Wednesday’s quiz
Brian Flores was head coach of the Miami Dolphins before Mike McDaniel.

*******************************************

Friday’s Den: NBA trends to be thankful for…….

NBA trends (thru Thanksgiving)
I’ll try to post this once a week like the NHL trends…….

Hawks (7-7):
— lost three of their last four games.
— 0-6 ATS as a home favorite
— over 7-1 at home

Celtics (12-3):
— won seven of last eight games SU (0-4 ATS last four)
— 4-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 4-0 last four home games.

Nets (6-8):
— lost their last three games.
— 5-1 ATS at home, 5-2 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games.

Hornets (5-9):
— 2-8 ATS at home.
— 0-3 ATS as a favorite.
— over 5-0 on the road

Bulls (5-11)
— lost five of their last six games.
— 2-6 ATS as a favorite.
— under 5-1 last six games.

Cavaliers (8-7):
— won four of their last five games
— 2-5 ATS at home
— over 6-2 last eight games.

Mavericks (10-5):
— split last 8 games, after a 6-1 start.
— 6-3 ATS on the road.
— over 7-2 on road.

Nuggets (10-5):
— lost five of last six games (0-7 ATS last seven).
— 1-7 ATS as road favorites
— under 6-2 on road.

Pistons (2-13):
— lost their last nine games (4-5 ATS).
— 7-7 ATS as an underdog, 0-1 as a favorite.
— over 4-2 last six home games

Warriors (7-9):
— lost seven of last eight games SU
— 0-6 ATS as a home favorite
— over 6-1 last seven games.

Rockets (7-6):
— 7-1 SU at home, 0-5 on road
— 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
— under 6-1 last seven games.

Pacers (8-6):
— over 13-1
— 3-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— 3-0 ATS first night of back/back

Clippers (6-7):
— won last three games SU.
— 3-3 ATS in LA, 2-5 ATS on road.
— under 7-1 last eight games.

Lakers (9-7):
— won six of their last eight games SU
— 3-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 5-0 last five games.

Grizzlies (3-11):
— 2-3 SU last five games, after a 1-8 start.
— 2-5 ATS as a favorite.
— under 4-2 at home

Heat (10-5):
— won nine of last ten games SU.
— 1-4 ATS as a home favorite, 4-2 as road favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.

Bucks (10-5):
— won four of last five games (5-0 ATS)
— 1-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 5-3 last eight home games.

Timberwolves (11-3)
— won 10 of last 11 games (7-4 ATS)
— 7-0 ATS at home, 1-6 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games.

Pelicans (8-7):
— won four of last five games (5-0 ATS)
— 8-3 ATS as an underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games.

Knicks (8-6):
— won/covered three of last four games
— 6-1 ATS as a favorite, 3-3-1 as an underdog
— over 5-2 last seven games

Thunder (11-4):
— won/covered their last six games.
— 6-2 ATS as a favorite, 6-1 as an underdog.
— three of last four games went over total.

Magic (10-5):
— won/covered their last five games.
— 5-1 ATS at home, 7-2 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games.

76ers (10-5):
— 2-4 last six games, after an 8-1 start.
— 8-3 ATS as a favorite, 1-3 as an underdog.
— over 5-1 last six home games.

Suns (9-6):
— won their last five games (3-2 ATS)
— 4-3 ATS as home favorite, 1-3 as road favorite.
— over 11-2 last 13 games

Trailblazers (4-11):
— lost seven of last eight games (1-5 ATS last six)
— 2-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 4-1 last five home games

Kings (8-6):
— lost last two games, after a 6-0 run.
— 4-0 ATS as an underdog.
— under 6-2 last eight road games

Spurs (3-12):
— lost their last 10 games (2-8 ATS)
— 2-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— over 11-4

Raptors (7-8):
— 4-4 ATS at home, 4-3 on road.
— 2-4 ATS in game after a win, 5-3 after a loss.
— over 4-1 last five games.

Jazz (4-11):
— lost last four games SU, giving up 130.5 ppg.
— 2-6 ATS on the road
— over 6-1 at home

Wizards (2-12):
— lost last seven games (2-5 ATS).
— 1-5 ATS at home.
— over 4-1 last five home games.
 

Udog

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Sep 10, 2018
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Friday/Saturday’s top 13 games
Texas-San Antonio
@ Tulane
Texas-San Antonio (8-3, 7-0)
— UTSA won its last seven games, after a 1-3 start.
— Roadrunners scored 34+ points in last seven games (19.3 ppg/first four)
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 42 games.
— under Traylor, UTSA is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Traylor, UTSA is 20-12-1 ATS in conference games.
— UTSA is 17-13-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
— UTSA is +1 in turnovers (+22 from 2020-22)
— under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Roadrunners went 0-3 in bowls the last three years.


Tulane (10-1, 7-0)
— Tulane won its last nine games since 37-20 loss to Ole Miss.
— Three of their last four wins were by 3 or fewer points.
— Green Wave is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 130 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 33 starts
— Tulane is 17-7 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite (1-3 ATS).
— In his career, Fritz is 28-17 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under Fritz, Green Wave is 37-28-1 ATS in league games.
— Nine of last ten Tulane games stayed under the total.
— Tulane is 3-1 SU/ATS in its last four bowls.


— These teams haven’t met since 2013.
— AAC home favorites are 10-16 ATS.


Missouri @ Arkansas
Missouri (9-2, 5-2)
— Mizzou is 7-2 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 24.3 ppg.
— Mizzou gave up 49-30 points in losses to LSU/Georgia.
— Mizzou is 8-0 when it gives up less than 30 points.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in eight of their last nine games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 5-3 ATS as road favorite.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 18-15 ATS in SEC games.
— three of last four Mizzou games stayed under the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.


Arkansas (4-7, 1-6)
— Hogs lost 7 of last 9 games (five losses by 7 or less points).
— H0gs are 0-5 when they score less than 28 points.
— Arkansas is 1-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 19-12-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 6-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— Hogs are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
— last three Arkansas games went over the total.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.


— Missouri won eight of last ten series games.
— Tigers are 2-2 SU/0-4 ATS in last four visits to Arkansas.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 6-19 ATS.


Oregon State @ Oregon
Oregon State (8-3, 5-3)
— 7 of Oregon State’s 8 wins TY are by 12+ points.
— Beavers are 0-3 in games decided by less than 7 points.
— under Smith, Beavers are 13-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— OSU is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— OSU is 19-7 ATS in last 26 Pac-12 games.
— Beavers are 6-0 when they allow less than 22 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 28 games at Clemson.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— Beavers are 2-3 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five).


Oregon (10-1, 7-1)
— Oregon has scored 33+ points in every game this season.
— Eight of their ten wins were by 14+ points.
— Ducks’ only loss was 36-33 at Washington.
— Last three games, Oregon threw ball for 439.7 yards/game.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 96 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB Nix QB has 47 career starts, 34 of them at Auburn.
— Last 5+ years, Ducks are 55-17 SU.
— under Lanning, Ducks are 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 11-5-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 13-4 ATS coming off a win.
— Over is 4-2 in Oregon’s last six games.
— Ducks are 3-2 in last five bowl games; all three wins were by one point.


— Ducks won 12 of last 15 games in this rivalry.
— Beavers are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Eugene.
— Five of last six meetings went over the total.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 12-6 ATS.


Ohio State @ Michigan
Ohio State (11-0, 7-0)
— Last six games, Ohio State allowed 8.5 ppg.
— Buckeyes are 5-0 on road TY, scoring 28 ppg.
— since 2018, Buckeyes are 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
— Buckeyes have only 2 wins (Notre Dame/Penn St) by less than 14 points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line; had 3 starters drafted last spring.
— junior QB McCord has completed 66.4% of his passes, with 22 TD’s, 4 INT’s.
— Buckeyes are 29-19-2 ATS in last 50 games coming off a win.
— Ohio State is 24-16-1 ATS in last 41 conference games.
— Under is 7-1 in Ohio State’s last eight games.
— Ohio State split last six bowls, giving up 52-45-42 points in last three.


Michigan (11-0, 8-0)
— Wolverines are 8-0 SU/5-2-1 ATS in Big 14 games.
— all six of their home wins are by 24+ points.
— Michigan is 4-8-2 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Last two games, Michigan gained 287-291 TY.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 145 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB McCarthy has 13 career starts (22 TD passes, 5 INT LY).
— Last 2+ years, Michigan is 17-8-2 ATS in conference games.
— Michigan is 19-13-3 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
— six of last seven Michigan games went over the total.
— Michigan is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five bowls, giving up 40.3 ppg in last four


— Michigan won last two series games, 45-23/42-27
— Buckeyes are 7-3 SU/5-5 ATS in last ten visits to Ann Arbor.
— Last nine meetings went over the total.
— Big 14 home favorites are 15-16 ATS.


Kentucky @ Louisville
Kentucky (6-5)
— Kentucky lost five of last six games, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats gave up 51-38-33-49-17 points in losses (28 or less in wins)
— Kentucky is 1-5 scoring less than 28 points.
— Kentucky was held under 300 TY in five of last six games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— under Stoops, Wildcats are 19-19-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— in his career, Stoops is 40-48 ATS in SEC games.
— Kentucky is 10-15-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Six of last eight Kentucky games went over the total.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).
— SEC road underdogs are 1-4 ATS out of conference.


Louisville (10-1)
— Louisville has ACC title game next week.
— Cardinals won last four games, last two 31-24/38-31.
— Louisville has five wins by 7 or fewer points.
— Louisville’s only loss (38-21 (-7.5) at Pitt)
— Cardinals are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
— Louisville is 14-17 ATS in its last 31 games coming off a win.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 150 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 12 games at Cal last year.
— In his career, Brohm is 33-28 ATS at home.
— under is 4-2 in their home games.
— Cardinals went bowling five of last seven years (2-3).
— ACC home favorites are 9-5 ATS out of conference.


— Kentucky won last four series games, scoring 44 ppg.
— Wildcats covered their last four visits to Louisville.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.


Texas A&M @ LSU
Texas A&M (7-4, 4-3)
— A&M won three of last four games, after a 4-3 start.
— Despite that, A&M fired its coach last week.
— A&M is 0-3 TY in games decided by 12 or less points.
— Aggies are 7-2 when scoring 27+ points (0-2 score less than 27).
— Aggies are 7-1 giving up 22 or less points (0-3 giving up 26+).
— A&M is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 15-7-3 points.
— 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line.
— 3rd-string soph QB is 27-42/410 passing (4 TD’s, no INTs)
— since 2020, Aggies are 1-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— A&M is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 SEC games.
— over is 3-1 in their games away from home TY.
— A&M won its last three bowls, scoring 52-24-41 points.


LSU (8-3, 5-2)
— LSU won five of last six games, scoring 48+ points in wins.
— Tigers allowed 45-55-42 points in losses.
— LSU gained 500+ yards in nine of last ten games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 102 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 43 starts, 29 of them at Arizona State.
— under Kelly, LSU is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, Kelly is 50-43-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— since 2017, LSU is 36-22-1 ATS in SEC games.
— LSU is 24-16 ATS in last 40 games coming off a win.
— Over is 10-1 in LSU games this season.
— LSU is 4-1 SU/ATS in bowls the last five years.


— Home team won last six series games.
— Aggies are 0-5 SU/ATS in last five visits to Baton Rouge.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 18-12 ATS.


San Jose State @ UNLV
San Jose State (6-5, 5-2)
— Spartans won their last five games, after a 1-5 start.
— San Jose allowed 35+ points in four of five losses.
— Spartans are bowl eligible for third time in four years.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 35 games, 23 at Hawai’i.
— under Brennan, Spartans are 16-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Brennan, San Jose is 31-22-1 ATS in conference tilts.
— Last three games, San Jose gave up 0-18-13 points.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— San Jose made bowls two of last three years, but lost both.


UNLV (9-2, 6-1)
— UNLV goes to Mountain West title game if they win here.
— Rebels won eight of last nine games, scoring 38.2 ppg.
— Rebels’ losses: 7-35 (+37) at Michigan/24-31 (+10) @ Fresno.
— UNLV has gained 397+ yards in every game but Michigan game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line, but there isn’t much depth.
— frosh QB has completed 64% of passes (13 TD’s, 6 INT)
— In his career, coach Odom is 16-10 ATS as home favorites (2-1 TY).
— since 2020, Rebels are 4-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— UNLV is 14-9 ATS in its last 23 Mountain West games.
— Six of their last nine games went over the total.
— Rebels haven’t been to a bowl game since 2013.
— UNLV’s last bowl win was in 2000.


— San Jose won nine of last eleven series games.
— Spartans are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Las Vegas.
— Over is 3-1 in last four meetings played here.
— Mountain West home favorites are 12-14 ATS


James Madison @ Coastal Carolina
James Madison (10-1, 6-1)
— JMU lost its first game LW, 26-23 at home to App State.
— Last four games, Dukes threw ball for 355.5 yards/game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line- lot of experience.
— junior QB has completed 68.4% of his passes, thrown 27 TD’s, 8 INT’s.
— JMU is 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
— Dukes are 4-1 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— JMU is 5-3 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— James Madison’s appeal to go to a bowl was turned down this week.


Coastal Carolina (7-4, 5-2)
— Coastal won five of its last six games.
— Chanticleers are 0-4 giving up 27+ points, 7-0 giving up less than 27.
— Coastal is 3-1 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— since 2020, Chanticleers are 6-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 39 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 34 career starts.
— Coastal is 17-15 ATS in its last 32 Sun Belt games.
— under is 8-2 in their I-A games this season.
— LW, CC lost 28-21 at Army; Cadets ran for 365 yards, were 0-2 passing.
— Coastal has played in bowls the last three years, their first three bowls.


— JMU (-14.5) whacked Coastal Carolina 47-7 LY.
— Dukes outgained Coastal, 502-185, were +2 in turnovers.
— It was teams’ first meeting as I-A programs.
— Sun Belt home underdogs are 10-7 ATS.


Alabama @ Auburn
Alabama (10-1, 7-0)
— Alabama won its last nine games (6-2 ATS).
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Alabama gave up 20+ points in its last five I-A games.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite (2-2 TY)
— Alabama is 25-17-1 ATS in last 43 games coming off a win.
— Crimson Tide is +4 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 6-1 ATS in SEC games this season.
— five of their last six games went over.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.


Auburn (6-5, 3-4)
— Auburn lost 31-10 at home to New Mexico State LW, a bad loss.
— Before that, Tigers had won three in row, giving up 13-15-10 points.
— Auburn allowed 15 or less points in wins, 27+ in losses.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 23-24 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 10-5 ATS as a home dog (1-1 TY).
— Auburn is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
— Tigers are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.


— Alabama won seven of last nine Iron Bowls.
— Crimson Tide is 2-7 ATS in last nine visits to Auburn.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.
— SEC home underdogs are 6-14 ATS.


Florida State @ Florida
Florida State (11-0)
— FSU QB Travis is out for the year.
— Florida State has ACC title game next week.
— Five of Seminoles’ last six I-A wins were by 17+ points.
— Last three games, FSU is +5 in turnovers.
— Seminoles have three wins by 7 or less points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 206 starts back on offensive line; ton of experience.
— soph backup QB was 13-23/217 passing LW, vs a I-AA team.
— This will be his first college start.
— Seminoles are 10-8-1 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
— in his career, Norvell is 15-8 ATS as a road favorite
— under Norvell, FSU is 16-16 ATS in the ACC.
— Over is 6-4 in their games this season.
— ACC road favorites are 3-3 ATS out of conference.
— Seminoles went bowling LY for first time since 2019
— FSU has played in one bowl since 2019 (3-1 last four SU)


Florida (5-6)
— Florida QB Mertz is out for this game.
— Florida lost its last four games, giving up 41.8 ppg.
— Gators scored 34 ppg in last three games, lost all three.
— Florida gave up 465+ TY in its last five games.
— Gators are minus-4 in turnovers this season.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 74 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 32 games at Wisconsin
— under Napier, Florida is 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
— in his career, Napier is 18-7-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Gators are 12-9-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
— Florida’s last seven games went over the total.
— SEC underdogs are 2-4 ATS out of conference.
— Gators lost last three bowls, by a combined 114-40.


— Florida won three of last four meetings.
— Seminoles are 4-1-1 ATS in last six visits to Gainesville.
— Over is 4-1 in last five series games.


Kansas @ Cincinnati
Kansas (7-4, 4-4)
— Jayhawks lost their last two games, by 3-4 points.
— Their last five games were all decided by 7 or less points.
— Kansas gave up 40-39-16-31 points in its three losses.
— Jayhawks are 7-1 when they give up 30 or less points.
— Jayhawks gained 400+ total yards in five of eight I-A games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back /
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 0-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Those are only times in last 11 years Kansas was a road favorite.
— in his career, Leipold is 7-9 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 12-13-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 8-10 ATS coming off a loss.
— last three Kansas games stayed under the total.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
— Jayhawks won three of their last four bowl games.


Cincinnati (3-8, 1-7)
— Bearcats lost eight of their last nine games.
— Bearcats gave up 424 YR in LW’s 42-21 loss at West Virginia.
— Cincinnati is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS at home vs I-A opponents.
— Cincinnati’s only I-A wins: 27-21 @ Pitt, 24-14 @ Houston.
— Cincy ran ball for 204+ yards in 7 of 10 I-A games.
— 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 20 starts back on offensive line; not much experience.
— senior QB Jones started 7 games at Arizona State LY.
— since 2017, Cincinnati is 3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— New coach Satterfield is 5-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— over is 6-4 in their I-A games this year.
— Cincinnati lost its last three bowls SU; favorites covered 4 of last 5 bowls.


— These teams haven’t met since 1997.
— Big X home underdogs are 15-7 ATS.


North Carolina @ NC State
North Carolina (8-3, 4-3)
— UNC lost three of last five games, after a 6-0 start.
— UNC gave up 436+ TY in four of last five I-A games.
— Carolina gave up 31+ points in its last five I-A games.
— Tar Heels are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Last eight games, UNC is +11 in turnovers.
— in 4+ years under Brown, UNC is 19-23 ATS in ACC games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has 14 starts; he threw 38 TD’s last year.
— over is 3-2-1 in their last six games
— Carolina went bowling last four years, lost last three.


NC State (8-3, 5-2)
— NC State won its last four games, giving up 14.3 ppg.
— Last four games, Wolfpack is +6 in turnovers.
— NC State was held to 24-10-3 points in its losses.
— State is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— QB Armstrong started 30 games at Virginia.
— under Doeren, State is 11-11-1 ATS as a home underdog (3-1 TY).
— Last four years, Wolfpack is 19-14 ATS in ACC games.
— six of their last eight games stayed under total.
— NC State lost last three bowls; their last bowl win: 2017.


— State won five of last seven series games.
— Tar Heels are covered their last five visits to Raleigh.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.
— ACC home underdogs are 14-7 ATS.


Iowa State @ Kansas State
Iowa State (6-5, 5-3)
— Cyclones won last three road games, scoring 30-30-45 points.
— ISU is 6-0 when it scores 27+ points, 0-5 when it doesn’t.
— Cyclones are 6-5, have a +9 turnover ratio.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is completing 63.4% of passes (17 TD’s/8 INTs).
— under Campbell, ISU is 12-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— This year, Iowa State is 5-3 ATS in conference games.
— under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— ISU is 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).


Kansas State (8-3, 6-2)
— K-State won five of last six games (lost 33-30 at Texas).
— Last six games, K-State has a +12 turnover ratio.
— Wildcats are 7-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— Wildcats are 5-0 SU at home, scoring 45.4 ppg.
— K-State is 8-0 scoring 31+ points (27-21-30 in losses)
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— under Klieman, K-State is 15-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 19-10 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 30-15 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 22-14 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 6-4 in their I-A games
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.


— Iowa State won three of last five meetings.
— Cyclones covered three of last four visits to the Little Apple.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.
— Big X home favorites are 18-15 ATS.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 24

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
UTSA at TULN03:30 PMUTSA +3.5
O 52.0
+500 +500
USU at UNM03:30 PMUNM +6.5
O 60.0
+500 +500
AFA at BSU04:00 PMAFA +7.0
O 46.0
+500 +500
MIZZ at ARK04:00 PMMIZZ -9.0
O 55.5
+500 +500
PSU at MSU07:30 PMPSU -21.5
U 43.0
+500 +500
TTU at TEX07:30 PMTEX -14.0
U 52.5
+500 +500
ORST at ORE08:30 PMORST +13.5
U 62.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
11/24/20238-5-160.71%+1250Detail
11/23/20231-0-175.00%+500Detail
11/21/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
11/18/202356-55-150.45%-2250Detail
11/17/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
11/16/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
11/15/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
11/14/20231-4-125.00%-1700Detail
11/11/202351-59-046.36%-6950Detail
11/10/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
11/09/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
11/08/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
11/07/20235-1-083.33%+1950Detail
11/04/202357-52-352.23%-100Detail
11/03/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
11/02/20234-2-066.67%+900Detail
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/24/2023.........................6 - 4 - 1.................................60.00%........................+ 8.00
11/23/2023.........................1 - 0 - 1.................................75.00%........................+ 5.00
11/21/2023.........................2 - 2.......................................50.00%.........................- 1.00
11/18/2023.......................30 - 34 - 0..............................46.87%.........................- 37.00
11/17/2023...........................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
11/16/2023...........................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.........................- 11.00
11/15/2023............................2 - 2 - 0..............................50.00%.........................- 1.00
11/14/2023............................1 - 4 - 1...............................20.00%.........................- 17.00
11/11/2023.........................33 -29 ...................................53.22%.........................+ 5.50
11/10/2023............................3 - 1.....................................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
11/09/2023............................1 - 3.....................................25.00%..........................- 11.50
11/08/2023............................2 - 3.....................................40.00%..........................- 6.50
11/07/2023............................5 - 1.....................................83.33%..........................+ 19.50
11/04/2023.........................29 - 29 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 14.50
11/03/2023.............................3 - 1...................................75.00%............................+ 950
11/02/2023.............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 9.00
11/01/2023.............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%............................- 6.00

TOTALS...........................125 - 121 - 3.............................50.81%............................- 40.50
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Oklahoma 69, TCU 45- Sooner QB Gabriel threw for 400 yards, 3 TD’s.
— Utah State 44, New Mexico 41 OT- Aggies are now bowl eligible.
— Oregon 31, Oregon State 7- Teams’ last meeting as Pac-12 rivals.
— Iowa 13, Nebraska 10- Another Hawkeye game stays under the total.
— Toledo 32, Central Michigan 17- Rockets finish regular season 11-1.
— Tulane 29, UTSA 16- Green Wave heads to the AAC championship game.

Quote of the Day
“As God is my judge, I thought turkeys could fly!!!”
Mr Carlson, from WKRP in Cincinnati

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Michigan, before Jim Harbaugh?

Friday’s quiz
Joe Gibbs was coaching the Washington Commanders the last time they won a playoff game, way back in 2005.

Thursday’s quiz
When he was a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff started seven games for the Rams; Case Keenum started the other nine games at QB for the Rams that year.

*************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff, with the weekend here……..

Packers 29, Lions 22
Packers won three of last four games, after an 0-4 skid.
Green Bay averaged 8.4 yards/pass attempt.
Last four games, Green Bay is 27-55 on third down.
Packers are 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
Packers led 23-6 at halftime.
Green Bay ran fumble back for TD to take 20-6 lead.
Last two games, Lions turned ball over 7 times on 20 drives.
Detroit lost its last seven Thanksgiving games.

Cowboys 45, Commanders 10
Cowboys’ first four drives: 26 plays, 263 yards, 3 TD’s.
Cowboys averaged 10.3 yards/pass attempt.
Dallas won its five home games TY by 20-35-23-32-35 points.
Dallas is 16-4 ATS in last 20 NFC East home games.
Dallas outscored Commanders 25-0 in second half.
Washington lost eight of last ten games SU (4-5-1 ATS)
Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-7 giving up more than 17.
Opponents’ team total: over 9-3

49ers 31, Seahawks 13
49ers ran ball for 169 yards, led 24-3 at halftime.
SF outgained the Seahawks, 377-220.
49ers are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games NFC West road games.
SF scored 34-27-31 points in winning its three post-bye games.
Seattle’s only TD was a pick-6 in third quarter.
Seahawks are 0-5 when they score less than 20 points.
Last five games, Seattle converted only 17-64 third down plays.
Seahawks are 3-6 ATS in last nine NFC West home games.

Dolphins 34, Jets 13
Miami scored on a 99-yard pick-6 on last play of first half.
Dolphins were 11-16 on third down, Jets 5-14.
Favorites are 9-1 ATS in Miami’s last ten games.
Waddle had 114 receiving yards, Hill had 102.
Jets in first half: 19 plays, 37 yards, INT run back for a TD.
Miami outgained Gang Green, 395-159
Jets lost last four games, by combined 109-37.
Under Saleh, Jets are 15-22 ATS as an underdog

— Washington Commanders fired DC Jack Del Rio after Washington’s 45-10 loss in Dallas on Thursday. HC Ron Rivera is expected to call defensive signals the rest of the year.

— Jets’ WR Allen Lazard was a healthy scratch Friday; he is making $12M this year, after coming over from Green Bay.
Meanwhile, the Packers’ seven WR’s are earning a combined $7.5M this season.

— Word of the Day: Scapegoat- a person who is blamed for the wrongdoings, mistakes, or faults of others, to take the focus off the person/people who made the mistakes.

— Ohio State 92, Alabama 81- Buckeyes start four sophomores, Alabama start four seniors; OSU shot 10-18 on the arc. Buckeye G Thornton scored 29 points (13-14 on foul line).

— Baylor 95, Florida 91- Bears shot 14-25 on the arc, scored 1.21 points/possession; game was 41-41 at halftime.

— Florida Atlantic 96, Texas A&M 89- Owls made 16-30 on the arc; their last two wins are over Big East/SEC teams. Not a lot of defense in this game; Aggies scored 1.33 points/possession, and they lost, which almost never happens.

— Villanova 79, Memphis 63- Wildcats were winning this game 44-14 at one point; Memphis outscored them 34-15 over the last 10:00, still lost by 16.
Villanova won its last four games, all against top 60 teams.

— Oklahoma 72, USC 70- Sooners tipped in a shot for the win with 0:01 left in game; they trailed by 8 with 17:29 left to play.

— Evansville 85, Chattanooga 77 OT- Mocs led by 20 with 11:40 left in game; they were 14-41 on the arc, 14-28 inside arc. Evansville is 5-0 this season vs schedule #322, forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#11 in country).

— Indiana State 76, Toledo 74- Rockets led by 5 with 4:58 left, got outscored 14-7 rest of the way; Toledo has lost three games in a row, giving up 92-77-76 points.

— Movie of the Day: Less Than Zero (1987)- A college freshman returns to Los Angeles for the holidays at his ex-girlfriend’s request, but discovers that his former best friend has an out-of-control drug habit.
Andrew McCarthy/Robert Downey Jr are the friends, Jamie Gertz is girlfriend. This is a good movie, but not a very pleasant one, because the one character is so self-destructive.
In real life, Jamie Gertz has represented the Atlanta Hawks at the NBA Draft Lottery a couple times; she’s been married to Hawks’ owner Anthony Ressler since 1989.

— LSU’s football team won the 2019 national championship; 30 players from that team have played in the NFL. Thirty!!!!

— NFL needs to fix their onside kick rule; no one recovers onside kicks anymore, they need to go to the gimmick rule they use in one of the spring leagues.
Team A trails by 10 with 1:00 left, they score a TD, now trail by 3. Instead of an onside kick, Team A gets the ball on their own 30-yard line, 4th-and-15, and the teams play on from there. I’m telling you, this would make the end of close games a lot more interesting.

— In case you were wondering, the record for most pick-6’s in a career is Rod Woodson, with 12.

— BYU has a basketball player Spencer Johnson who is 26 years old; he’s older than Jayson Tatum, who has been in the NBA for seven years.

— Princeton Tigers are off to a 5-0 start; they’re first college basketball team in the last 15 years to start a season 5-0, with four true road wins.
 

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 25

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NAVY at SMU12:00 PMSMU -19.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
CONN at MASS12:00 PMMASS +1.0
O 52.0
+500 +500
UK at LOU12:00 PMLOU -7.5
O 49.5
+500 +500
HOU at UCF12:00 PMHOU +14.0
U 60.5
+500 +500
NIU at KENT12:00 PMNIU -19.5
O 44.5
+500 +500
PITT at DUKE12:00 PMDUKE -4.5
U 42.0
+500 +500
OSU at MICH12:00 PMOSU +3.5
U 47.0
+500 +500
IU at PUR12:00 PMPUR -4.5
O 54.0
+500 +500
TAM at LSU12:00 PMLSU -13.0
O 66.0
+500 +500
MTU at SHSU12:00 PMMTU -3.5
O 51.0
+500 +500
TROY at USM12:00 PMTROY -17.0
U 48.0
+500 +500
M-OH at BALL12:00 PMM-OH -4.0
U 35.0
+500 +500
FAU at RICE01:00 PMRICE -4.0
U 48.0
+500 +500
WAKE at SYR02:00 PMSYR -2.5
U 43.5
+500 +500
TLSA at ECU02:00 PMECU -3.0
U 44.5
+500 +500
UAB at UNT02:00 PMUNT -2.5
O 73.5
+500 +500
GSU at ODU02:00 PMODU -2.5
U 52.0
+500 +500
SJSU at UNLV03:00 PMUNLV -2.5
U 59.5
+500 +500
COLO at UTAH03:00 PMUTAH -20.5
U 47.0
+500 +500
ULM at ULL03:00 PMULL -13.0
U 54.0
+500 +500
WKU at FIU03:00 PMWKU -10.5
U 54.0
+500 +500
ARST at MRSH03:30 PMMRSH -1.5
U 53.5
+500 +500
MD at RUTG03:30 PMRUTG +2.0
U 44.0
+500 +500
LIB at UTEP03:30 PMLIB -16.5
U 55.0
+500 +500
VT at UVA03:30 PMUVA +2.5
O 53.0
+500 +500
NW at ILL03:30 PMNW +6.0
U 47.5
+500 +500
VAN at TENN03:30 PMTENN -27.0
O 57.0
+500 +500
BYU at OKST03:30 PMBYU +16.0
O 56.0
+500 +500
WIS at MINN03:30 PMWIS -2.5
U 44.5
+500 +500
ARIZ at ASU03:30 PMARIZ -11.5
O 49.5
+500 +500
ALA at AUB03:30 PMALA -13.0
O 47.5
+500 +500
GASO at APP03:30 PMAPP -9.5
U 63.0
+500 +500
JMU at CCU03:30 PMJMU -8.5
U 50.0
+500 +500
JSU at NMSU04:00 PMNMSU +3.0
O 49.5
+500 +500
WSU at WASH04:00 PMWASH -16.0
U 66.0
+500 +500
WVU at BAY07:00 PMWVU -11.5
U 54.5
+500 +500
ND at STAN07:00 PMSTAN +26.0
O 50.5
+500 +500
FSU at FLA07:00 PMFLA +6.5
U 49.0
+500 +500
USA at TXST07:00 PMUSA -6.0
U 58.0
+500 +500
KU at CIN07:30 PMKU -7.0
U 58.0
+500 +500
CHAR at USF07:30 PMUSF -6.5
O 57.0
+500 +500
CLEM at SOCAR07:30 PMCLEM -7.5
O 49.0
+500 +500
UGA at GT07:30 PMUGA -24.0
U 60.0
+500 +500
ISU at KSU08:00 PMKSU -10.0
U 46.0
+500 +500
UNC at NCST08:00 PMUNC -2.5
O 55.0
+500 +500
WYO at NEV09:00 PMWYO -10.0
U 41.5
+500 +500
FRES at SDSU10:30 PMFRES -5.0
U 47.0
+500 +500
CAL at UCLA10:30 PMUCLA -10.0
O 51.0
+500 +500
CSU at HAW11:00 PMCSU -5.5
O 53.5
+500 +500
 
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