CNOTES 2023- 2024 HNL NEWS BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 12​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ARI at PIT07:00 PMPIT -195
O 6.0		+500 +500
TOR at NYR07:00 PMNYR -172
O 6.0		+500 +500
CAR at OTT07:00 PMOTT +115
U 6.5		+500 +500
DET at STL07:30 PMDET +124
O 6.5		+500 +500
PHI at NAS08:00 PMPHI +123
O 6.0		+500 +500
CHI at EDM10:00 PMCHI +413
O 6.5		+500 +500
FLA at SEA10:00 PMSEA +144
U 6.0		+500 +500
TB at VAN10:00 PMTB +111
O 6.5		+500 +500
CAL at VEG10:00 PMCAL +170
O 6.0		+500 +500
WIN at SJ10:30 PMSJ +177
O 6.0		+500 +500
 
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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

12/12/2023............................6 - 8.....................................42.85%........................- 6.45
12/11/2023............................3 - 4.....................................42.85%.........................- 6.05
12/10/2023............................4 - 7......................................36.36%.........................- 16.55
12/09/2023..........................10 - 6......................................62.50%.........................+ 8.30
12/08/2023............................5 - 1......................................80.00%.........................+ 16.70
12/07/2023.........................8 - 12 - 1................................40.00%.........................- 21.05
12/06/2023............................2 - 4 - 1...............................33.33%.........................- 10.50
12/05/2023............................3 - 8 - 0...............................27.27%.........................- 19.15
12/04/2023............................7 - 1 - 1...............................87.50%........................+ 34.90
12/03/2023............................2 - 5 - 0...............................28.57%........................- 20.50
12/02/2023............................7 - 4 - 0...............................63.63%.........................+ 20.05
12/01/2023............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%.........................+ 11.20

TOTALS................................59 - 62 - 3...............................48.76%.........................- 9.10
 
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads for Week 15:
— Chiefs (-9.5) @ New England
— 49ers (-13.5) @ Arizona
— Commanders @ Rams (-6.5)
— Cowboys @ Buffalo (-2.5)
— Ravens (-3.5) @ Jacksonville
— Eagles (-4) @ Seattle

Quote of the Day
“It’s an honor to be who we are.”
Joseph Campbell

Wednesday’s quiz
Since 2006, Chargers have started only 3 quarterbacks; Philip Rivers, Justin Herbert and who else?
Hint: He is still in the NFL, as a backup QB

Tuesday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers won the first two Super Bowls, beating Chiefs/Raiders.

Monday’s quiz
Alex Smith was the Chiefs’ starting QB before Patrick Mahomes.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..​

— Be careful when handicapping college football bowl games; players are opting out of bowls to avoid injury/get ready for the NFL Draft. There have also been a few coaching changes involved with bowl teams.
This is from Brad Powers; teams with most starters opting out of bowls:
11- Texas A&M, Oregon State (both head coaches are gone)
10- James Madison (head coach bolted)
9- North Carolina, Notre Dame (both QB’s bolted)
7- Miami, Kansas State
6- Clemson, Duke (Duke’s QB/HC both bolted)
5- Ohio U, Western Kentucky

— Our write-ups for the first eight bowl games are posted on the College Football page.

— Duke QB Riley Leonard bolted to Notre Dame this week; the Fighting Irish are now like those rich baseball teams who poach the best players off less wealthy teams- they’re just going to buy a veteran QB every year.

— If you wager on season-long over/under win totals, the LA Chargers clinched their under bet again this year, 5th year in a row they came in under their win total. Not good.

— I mentioned couple weeks ago how the Arizona Cardinals lost the field position battle in their first 12 games, then of course they went out and won field position by 13 yards in their win at Pittsburgh in Week 13. You win field position by 10+ yards, you generally win the game.
Thru Week 13, NFL teams who won field position by 10+ yards were 51-3 in those games.

— San Francisco Giants signed Korean OF Jung Hoo Lee to a 6-year, $113M contract; he played the last seven years for the Kiwoom Heroes, hitting .340- he was the KBO’s MVP in 2022. He is 25 years old; his father was also an MVP in the KBO.

— Mets’ IF Ronny Mauricio tore his ACL Sunday while playing in the Dominican Winter League; he hit .248 in 26 games as a rookie for the Mets this past year.

— Kansas City Royals are signing P Seth Lugo to a 3-year, $45M deal; he was 8-7, 3.57 in 26 starts for San Diego last year, his first season since 2017 as a starter.

— RIP to Vic Davalillo, who passed away this week in Venezuela. Davalillo played 16 years in the major leagues, winning World Series rings with the Pirates (’71), A’s (’73). He hit .279 in his career, and made the All-Star Game in 1965 for Cleveland.
An outfielder, Davalillo played for six different teams over three decades. RIP, sir.

— Word of the Day: Ambidextrous- a person who can use their right/left hands equally well.

College basketball knowledge………
— Some of the teams playing the fastest tempo in America:
3- Samford
4- Western Kentucky
5- Arizona
6- Tulane
Some of the teams playing the slowest tempo in America:
362- Towson
361- Virginia
360- Middle Tennessee
359- St Thomas

— Teams turning the ball over the most:
362- Stephen F Austin 25.2% of time
360- Siena 24.9%
359- Sacramento State 24.5%
358- Wyoming 23.8%

Teams turning the ball over the least:
2- Richmond 11.7%
3- Kentucky 11.9%
4- Northwestern 12.0%
5- Denver 12.8%

— Teams with best shooting %age inside the arc:
1- UConn 64.2%
2- Tulane 63.5%
3- Creighton 62.7%
4- Cornell 62.3%

— Teams getting highest %age of points on the arc:
43.4%- Creighton
42.7%- St Joe’s
42.2%- Georgia Southern
41.3%- Cal-Riverside

— Teams getting highest %age of points on the foul line:
28.2%- Grand Canyon
27.9%- Tulane
26.8%- Maryland
26.8%- Nevada

— Teams whose subs play the most minutes:
Samford
Vanderbilt
Stephen F Austin
Auburn
Teams whose subs play the least minutes:
Princeton
West Virginia
Oral Roberts
Southern Mississippi

— Teams with best continuity:
Columbia
Drexel
Marquette
Florida Atlantic
Teams with least continuity:
New Mexico State
Iona
Utah State
Idaho
 
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PITTSBURGH is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 19-59 ATS (-45.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 20-1 ATS (18.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games off an home win scoring 4 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 7-0 Under (7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 13

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NHL

Wednesday, December 13

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Trend Report
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Pittsburgh @ Montreal
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Boston @ New Jersey
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Jersey's last 14 games at home
New Jersey is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Anaheim @ NY Islanders
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games

Buffalo @ Colorado
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Buffalo is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Winnipeg @ Los Angeles
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 13​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PIT at MON07:00 PMMON +129
O 6.0		+500 +500
ANA at NYI07:30 PMANA +168
O 6.0		+500 +500
BOS at NJ07:30 PMBOS +111
O 6.0		+500 +500
BUF at COL10:00 PMBUF +157
U 6.5		+500 +500
WIN at LA10:30 PMLA -167
U 5.5		+500 +500
 
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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

12/13/2023............................1 - 8.....................................11.11%.......................- 37.00
12/12/2023............................6 - 8.....................................42.85%........................- 6.45
12/11/2023............................3 - 4.....................................42.85%.........................- 6.05
12/10/2023............................4 - 7......................................36.36%.........................- 16.55
12/09/2023..........................10 - 6......................................62.50%.........................+ 8.30
12/08/2023............................5 - 1......................................80.00%.........................+ 16.70
12/07/2023.........................8 - 12 - 1................................40.00%.........................- 21.05
12/06/2023............................2 - 4 - 1...............................33.33%.........................- 10.50
12/05/2023............................3 - 8 - 0...............................27.27%.........................- 19.15
12/04/2023............................7 - 1 - 1...............................87.50%........................+ 34.90
12/03/2023............................2 - 5 - 0...............................28.57%........................- 20.50
12/02/2023............................7 - 4 - 0...............................63.63%.........................+ 20.05
12/01/2023............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%.........................+ 11.20

TOTALS................................60 - 70 - 3...............................46.15%.........................- 46.10
 
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Thursday’s 6-pack:
College hoop teams who have played the easiest schedules so far:
— TCU
— Samford
— Cal-Northridge
— Longwood
— Georgetown
— Presbyterian

Quote of the Day
“When you watch the film, penalties in critical moments, turnovers in critical moments. Yeah, it’s frustrating, but at the same time, we know a lot of it is self-inflicted, and we know that, moving forward, it can be fixed and we have the guys to be able to get it fixed.”
Chiefs’ TE Travis Kelce

Thursday’s quiz
What actress played Mrs Griswold (Chevy Chase’s wife) in the Vacation movies?

Wednesday’s quiz
Since 2006, Chargers have started only 3 quarterbacks; Philip Rivers, Justin Herbert and Tyrod Taylor. Easton Stick becomes the 4th Thursday night.

Tuesday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers won the first two Super Bowls, beating Chiefs/Raiders.

************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..​

— There was a cool moment Tuesday night that unfortunately didn’t get onto TV until about 1:15am, during the NBA postgame show on TNT.
TNT’s Ernie Johnson was inducted into the Sports Broadcasting Hall of Fame in New York City on Tuesday night; when you listened to the people on TNT talk about him, with a universal reverence from people who aren’t usually that way, it was touching.
Ernie Johnson is so well-loved/respected that Shaquille O’Neal, Kenny Smith and Charles Barkley showed up at the award ceremony unannounced, to surprise their partner on TNT.
All the people working on TNT that night were wearing t-shirts with Ernie’s picture on it; in an era where people can’t agree about anything, it was great to see a person honored who everyone loves/respects.

— In the NFL, “explosive plays” are defined by:
Running plays of 10+ yards
Passing plays of 20+ yards
Teams that have allowed the fewest explosive plays this season:
54- Vikings
57- Dolphins
59- Patriots
60- Bears, 49ers

Teams that have allowed the most explosive plays this season:
96- Bengals
85- Giants
84- Packers
83- Broncos

— There is a fine line between success/failure in the NFL:
Best records in games decided by 8 or fewer points:
Eagles 7-1
Steelers 7-2
Browns, Colts 5-2
Lions, Giants 4-2

Worst records in games decided by 8 or fewer points:
Panthers 1-5
Patriots 3-7
Cardinals 1-4
Bills 3-6

— NFL teams who won the field position battle by 10+ yards are 51-3 this season; the three teams that lost:
Vikings, Week 3 vs Chargers
Giants, Week 5 at Miami
Buccaneers, Week 9 at Houston

— NFL announced that there will be a regular season game in Brazil next season, the NFL’s first game in South America. It is likely that the Miami Dolphins will be one of the teams playing; it is likely the game would be in Week 1 next season.
Dolphins have exclusive Brazilian marketing rights for NFL stuff, which is why it is likely that they’ll be one of the teams playing in the game.

— Giants’ QB Tommy DeVito is making $44,000/game this season; he’ll make $915,000 next year, while the Giants pay injured starting QB Daniel Jones $40M a year. Awkward.

— Coastal Carolina QB Grayson McCall bolted to NC State, after starting for the Chanticleers for the last four seasons.

— Word of the Day: Mercenary- a person primarily concerned with making money at the expense of ethics.

— Shohei Ohtani will make $2M a year for the next ten years, then $68M a year from 2034-43; meanwhile, Mookie Betts also has a ton of deferments in his contract:
2033-37- $8M/year
2038-39- $10M/year
2040-44- $11M/year
In 2043, Betts/Ohtani will bank a combined $79M; Betts will be 50 years old, Ohtani 48.

— Do the agents for these players have their fees deferred too? If Ohtani’s agent is banking 3%, which is normal, his take is $21M, but he’ll only see $600,000 of it in the next ten years.

— Ohtani doesn’t have an opt out, by the way, unless president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman or controlling owner Mark Walter loses his role with the Dodgers. Then he would.

— MLB Network needs to show more baseball games during the off-season; what else is there? Promote your sport; show Ohtani, show Trout, show some Japanese games with this Yamamoto guy pitching. Stop with the goofy talk shows, unless they’re talking about free agent signings or trades- anything else is a waste of time.

— UNLV 79, Creighton 64
Bluejays shot 8-29 on the arc; they were shooting 40.3% coming into the game.
Keylan Boone scored 10 points off the bench in his UNLV debut; his brother Kalib scored 25 points, with 7 rebounds, 4 steals. UNLV had great energy in this game.

— Chicago State 75, Northwestern 73:
Huge win for the 4-9 Cougars, who had been 0-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 29-16-9 points.
Northwestern led this game by 10 points in first half; how do you beat Purdue and lose this game?
Chicago State’s three previous wins were over teams #336-347-244

— Arkansas State 75, Louisville 63:
Louisville was 4-28 last year, is 4-6 this year; hard to believe that Kenny Payne will still be the Louisville coach next season.
Arkansas State is 4-7; they shot 5-25 on the arc and still won.

— RIP to actor Andre Braugher, who passed away this week at age 61; I remember him from his role as Detective Frank Pembleton on Homicide back in the 90’s- he was great in that show, which was set in Baltimore. RIP, sir.
 
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COLUMBUS are 20-14 ATS (4.6 Units) off a home loss by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 16-4 Over (11.6 Units) in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 26-19 ATS (5.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) in road games off a road loss by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 160-118 Over (30.2 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996.
 
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NHL

Thursday, December 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Columbus @ Toronto
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games

Carolina @ Detroit
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

Calgary @ Minnesota
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Calgary is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing at home against Calgary
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Ottawa @ St. Louis
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Edmonton
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Chicago @ Seattle
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Chicago

Florida @ Vancouver
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games on the road
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 14​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLB at TOR07:00 PMCLB +204
O 6.5		+500 +500
WAS at PHI07:00 PMPHI -127
O 6.0		+500 +500
CAR at DET07:30 PMDET +157
U 6.5		+500 +500
CAL at MIN08:00 PMMIN -144
U 6.5		+500 +500
OTT at STL08:00 PMSTL +111
U 6.5		+500 +500
TB at EDM09:00 PMEDM -169
U 6.5		+500 +500
CHI at SEA10:00 PMSEA -235
U 6.0		+500 +500
FLA at VAN10:00 PMVAN +108
U 6.5		+500 +500
 
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/14/202312-4-075.00%+4170Detail
12/13/20233-7-030.00%-2435Detail
12/12/20239-10-147.50%-335Detail
12/11/20234-4-050.00%-55Detail
12/10/20237-7-250.00%-155Detail
12/09/202315-9-062.50%+3435Detail
12/08/20235-1-083.33%+2170Detail
12/07/202310-14-242.31%-2685Detail
12/06/20233-4-143.75%-550Detail
12/05/20234-10-028.57%-2595Detail
12/04/20238-3-170.83%+2715Detail
12/03/20233-7-030.00%-2175Detail
12/02/202315-10-060.00%+2100Detail
12/01/20232-2-050.00%+1120Detail
 
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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

12/14/2023...........................10 - 3...................................76.92%.......................+ 39.95
12/13/2023............................1 - 8.....................................11.11%.......................- 37.00
12/12/2023............................6 - 8.....................................42.85%........................- 6.45
12/11/2023............................3 - 4.....................................42.85%.........................- 6.05
12/10/2023............................4 - 7......................................36.36%.........................- 16.55
12/09/2023..........................10 - 6......................................62.50%.........................+ 8.30
12/08/2023............................5 - 1......................................80.00%.........................+ 16.70
12/07/2023.........................8 - 12 - 1................................40.00%.........................- 21.05
12/06/2023............................2 - 4 - 1...............................33.33%.........................- 10.50
12/05/2023............................3 - 8 - 0...............................27.27%.........................- 19.15
12/04/2023............................7 - 1 - 1...............................87.50%........................+ 34.90
12/03/2023............................2 - 5 - 0...............................28.57%........................- 20.50
12/02/2023............................7 - 4 - 0...............................63.63%.........................+ 20.05
12/01/2023............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%.........................+ 11.20

TOTALS................................70 - 73 - 3...............................48.95%.........................- 6.15
 
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Friday’s 6-pack:
All-time passing yardage leaders for the Raiders:
35,222— Derek Carr
19,078— Ken Stabler
17,585— Rich Gannon
16,655— Daryle Lamonica
12,665— Jim Plunkett
11,760— Marc Wilson

Quote of the Day
“You don’t lose if you get knocked down. You lose if you stay down.”

Muhammad Ali
Friday’s quiz
What is the only division in the NFL where all four teams have won a Super Bowl?

Thursday’s quiz
Beverly D’Angelo played Mrs Griswold (Chevy Chase’s wife) in the Vacation movies.

Wednesday’s quiz
Since 2006, Chargers have now started only 4 quarterbacks; Philip Rivers, Justin Herbert, Tyrod Taylor and Easton Stick.

*****************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

Its funny the things you remember sometimes………

— Long time ago, 41 years ago, I lived in an apartment in downtown Albany with six friends of mine; I had just graduated college and was working midnight-to-8am for NY State- the other six guys were still in college, at UAlbany.
At one point during the year, two pieces of paper were taped on the dining room wall; one was the NBA’s “1 Club”, NBA players who scored one point in a game. Doesn’t happen that much; for example, this past Wednesday night, in nine NBA games, two guys scored one point; Cam Payne and Oscar Tshiebwe (it was Tshiebwe’s first-ever NBA point).

— The other list was called “Square Pegs”, named after an obscure TV show that was on for only one season back then. Square Pegs were people who did something unusual/funny; the seven of us would vote on whether a person was a Square Peg or not.
This is 41 years ago, I can’t remember all the details, but one of the first Square Pegs was a guy named Curtis Sharp, who hit the lottery for $5M, back when they first started the lottery.
It was a big deal; they had a news conference, and Curtis Sharp shows up, with his wife AND his girlfriend!!!! The three of them were yukking it up, they were all rich, and Curtis Sharp was one of the first Square Pegs.
I’m trying to think of who would be a Square Peg today; we didn’t vote that many people in, but I’m thinking that Tommy DeVito’s agent would definitely get on the list.

— Random Square Pegs trivia; on the actual TV show, Sarah Jessica Parker and Jami Gertz were two of the stars, while Bill Murray, Tony Dow (Wally Cleaver on Leave it to Beaver) and Jerry Seinfeld were all in an episode or two.

— Raiders 63, Chargers 21
Chargers trailed this game 42-0 at halftime, a dismal performance.
Bolts are 0-5 ATS in last five games as an underdog.
LA is 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chargers are 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 AFC West road games.
Raiders are first team since 1950 to have 8 different players score a TD.
Raiders scored two defensive TD’s in the second half.
Las Vegas is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite (4-1 TY)
Only 2nd time all season Raiders went over their team total.
This is the same Raiders team that lost 3-0 at home last week.

— By the time you read this, Brandon Staley might not be the Chargers’ coach anymore; this was as putrid a performance as I’ve seen an NFL team have.

— RIP to basketball star George McGinnis, who passed away this week at age 73; he was a 3-time ABA All-Star and a 3-time NBA All-Star who was inducted into the Naismith Hall of Fame in 2017. He is one of four Indiana Pacers to have his number retired.
A sturdy power forward, McGinnis scored over 17,000 points in his pro career; he led the ABA in free throws taken three years in a row, grabbed 10+ rebounds/game seven years in a row.
RIP, sir.

— Word of the Day: Debacle- a complete failure.

— College football bowl games start Saturday; here is some quick knowledge on how the conferences break down, bowl-wise:
AAC- six teams in bowls, four of them are underdogs.
ACC- 11 teams in bowls, six of them are underdogs.
Big X- nine teams in bowls, seven of them are favored.
Big 14- nine teams in bowls, six of them are underdogs.
Conference USA- four teams in bowls, 2 favorites, 2 underdogs.
MAC- six teams in bowls, all of them are underdogs.
Mountain West- seven teams in bowls, four of them are underdogs.
Pac-12- eight teams in bowls, four of them are underdogs.
SEC- nine teams in bowls, six of them are favored.
Sun Belt- 12 teams in bowls (12!!!!), eight of them are favored.

— Dodgers acquired P Tyler Glasnow and OF Manuel Margot from Tampa Bay; Glasnow has to sign a contract extension for the deal to go thru, but that is expected to happen.
In return, Tampa Bay gets P Ryan Pepiot and a minor league outfielder.
Glasnow has thrown 100+ innings in only two of his eight major league seasons; he threw a career high 120 IP last year, going 10-7, 3.53.

— Detroit Tigers signed P Jack Flaherty to a one-year, $14M contract; he was 8-9, 4.99 in 27 starts last year, for the Cardinals/Orioles.
Texas Rangers signed P Tyler Mahle for two years, $22M; Mahle had Tommy John surgery last May, won’t be ready to pitch until the middle part of the ’24 season.

— Portland Trailblazers were favored over Utah Thursday, the first time this season they’ve been favored, the last NBA team to be favored in a game this season. Celtics are the only team that hasn’t been an underdog this season.

— NFL teams who have gone under the total the most this season:
Vikings and Steelers have both gone under 10 of 13 games; Raiders/Chargers had also gone under in 10 of 13 games, until Thursday night’s debacle.

— There are six teams tied for the last playoff spot in the AFC, with 7-6 records; there might be tie-breakers involved by the time we get to Week 18.

— Cleveland Browns signed QB Joe Flacco to a contract for the rest of this season, getting him off the taxi squad; Flacco has thrown for 565 yards in two games, with 5 TDs, 2 INT’s.
Browns’ kicker Dustin Hopkins is 8-for-8 this season on field goals of 50+ yards.

— Remember last week, when there was a private jet flying from Anaheim to Toronto, and people thought Shohei Ohtani was flying to Canada to sign with the Blue Jays?
Turns out it was Canadian businessman Robert Herjavec on that jet; apparently he is on that Shark Tank TV show with Mark Cuban. Have never seen the show, but he must be really rich, if he rents private planes.
 
Udog

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ANAHEIM is 19-60 ATS (-47 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 9-2 Under (6.8 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

BOSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 6-0 Over (6 Units) in road games off a road loss by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Friday, December 15

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NHL

Friday, December 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Anaheim @ NY Rangers
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Anaheim is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim

Nashville @ Carolina
Nashville
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games
Carolina
Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home

Boston @ NY Islanders
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 8 games

Ottawa @ Dallas
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games

San Jose @ Arizona
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing at home against San Jose
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Buffalo @ Vegas
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 15​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ANA at NYR07:00 PMANA +264
U 6.0		+500 +500
BOS at NYI07:30 PMNYI +107
O 5.5		+500 +500
NAS at CAR07:30 PMNAS +157
O 6.0		+500 +500
OTT at DAL08:00 PMOTT +178
O 6.5		+500 +500
SJ at ARI09:00 PMSJ +172
O 6.5		+500 +500
BUF at VEG10:00 PMBUF +174
U 6.5		+500 +500
 
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/15/20235-6-145.45%+055Detail
12/14/202312-4-075.00%+4170Detail
12/13/20233-7-030.00%-2435Detail
12/12/20239-10-147.50%-335Detail
12/11/20234-4-050.00%-55Detail
12/10/20237-7-250.00%-155Detail
12/09/202315-9-062.50%+3435Detail
12/08/20235-1-083.33%+2170Detail
12/07/202310-14-242.31%-2685Detail
12/06/20233-4-143.75%-550Detail
12/05/20234-10-028.57%-2595Detail
12/04/20238-3-170.83%+2715Detail
12/03/20233-7-030.00%-2175Detail
12/02/202315-10-060.00%+2100Detail
12/01/20232-2-050.00%+1120Detail
 
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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
30,351
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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

12/15/2023.............................6 - 6...................................50.00%.......................+ 0.55
12/14/2023...........................10 - 3...................................76.92%.......................+ 39.95
12/13/2023............................1 - 8.....................................11.11%.......................- 37.00
12/12/2023............................6 - 8.....................................42.85%........................- 6.45
12/11/2023............................3 - 4.....................................42.85%.........................- 6.05
12/10/2023............................4 - 7......................................36.36%.........................- 16.55
12/09/2023..........................10 - 6......................................62.50%.........................+ 8.30
12/08/2023............................5 - 1......................................80.00%.........................+ 16.70
12/07/2023.........................8 - 12 - 1................................40.00%.........................- 21.05
12/06/2023............................2 - 4 - 1...............................33.33%.........................- 10.50
12/05/2023............................3 - 8 - 0...............................27.27%.........................- 19.15
12/04/2023............................7 - 1 - 1...............................87.50%........................+ 34.90
12/03/2023............................2 - 5 - 0...............................28.57%........................- 20.50
12/02/2023............................7 - 4 - 0...............................63.63%.........................+ 20.05
12/01/2023............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%.........................+ 11.20

TOTALS................................76 - 79 - 3...............................49.03%.........................- 5.60
 
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