CNOTES 2023- 2024 HNL NEWS BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

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OCTOBER NHL BEST BESTS !

10/29/2023..............................3 - 4...............................42.85%.....................- 9.75
10/28/2023..............................8 - 5 - 1.........................61.53%.....................+ 14.10
10/27/2023..............................6 - 4...............................60.00%.....................+ 18.70
10/26/2023..............................9 - 7...............................56.25%.....................+ 22.20
10/25/2023..............................0 - 2...............................00.00%.....................- 12.20
10/24/2023............................10 - 12 -1.......................45.45%.....................- 1.35
10/23/2023...............................2 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 13.05
10/22/2023...............................4 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 20.70
10/21/2023.............................10 - 8 - 3......................55.55%......................+ 1.01
10/20/2023..............................2 - 2..............................50.00%.....................+ 0.65
10/19/2023..............................8 - 9.............................47.05%......................- 9.45
10/18/2023..............................2 - 1............................66.66%.......................+ 5.00
10/17/2023..............................4 - 8.............................33.33%......................- 23.35
10/16/2023...............................3 - 4............................42.85%......................+ 3.40
10/15/2023...............................2 - 1 - 1........................62.50%....................+ 12.40
10/14/2023.............................10 - 6.............................62.50%....................+ 18.10
10/13/2023...............................1 - 2.............................33.33%.....................- 11.8582
10/12/2023...............................6 - 5.............................54.54%.....................+ 3.50
10/11/2023...............................5 - 3..............................62.50%....................+ 8.00

TOTALS.................................95 - 83 - 6........................53.37%......................+ 72.86
 
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Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football games for this week:
— TCU @ Texas Tech (-1)
— Miami (-5) @ NC State
— Oregon State (-11) @ Colorado
— UCLA @ Arizona (pick)
— Washington (-4) @ USC
— Kansas State @ Texas (-5)

Quote of the Day
“He’s a really talented guy, but this is his first year. He’s still learning everything: the game, how quick it is, where is (he at) an advantage, where is [he at] a disadvantage. I think he needs to be a little bit fatter, to be honest. But yes, he has a talent that is unique.”
Nikola Jokic, talking about Oklahoma City’s Chet Holmgren

Monday’s quiz
Where did Jared Goff play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
Randall Cunningham is the only UNLV football player who has had his number retired by the Rebels.

Saturday’s quiz
Boston Red Sox have won four World Series since 2004, under Terry Francona, John Farrell, Alex Cora.

*********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..​

Eagles 38, Commanders 31
— Washington led 17-10 at halftime.
— Eagles’ last five drives: 22 plays, 155 yards, 4 TD’s.
— Hurts was 29-38/319 passing, with four TD’s.
— Eagles won seven of first eight games (4-2-2 ATS)
— Washington lost five of last six games SU (2-3-1 ATS)
— Commanders scored 31-31 points vs Philly TY, lost both games.
— Washington kicker Slye made a 61-yard FG to end the first half.
— Commanders threw 26-yard TD pass with 1:01 left to push the spread.

Saints 38, Colts 27
— Derek Carr was 19-27/310 passing, with two TD’s.
— New Orleans averaged 11.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Saints are 17-10-2 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss.
— Saints are 3-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-3 scoring less than 20.
— New Orleans outgained the Colts, 511-371.
— Saints led 21-20 at halftime.
— Colts are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Colts gave up 31-29-37-39-38 points in losses; 20-19-16 in wins.

Jaguars 20, Steelers 10
— Jaguars won/covered their last five games.
— Jacksonville’s first six drives: 3 field goals, 3 turnovers.
— Jaguars converted 6-13 on third down, Pittsburgh 3-12.
— Jacksonville outscored last four opponents 75-19 in first half.
— Steelers’ first four drives: 12 plays, 12 yards, four punts.
— Jaguars outgained Pittsburgh, 377-261
— Six of seven Steeler games stayed under the total.
— Steelers scored 26-23-17-24 points in wins, 7-6-10 in losses.

Panthers 15, Texans 13
— Piniero kicked a 23-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— Panthers ran ball 24 times for only 44 yards.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Carolina is 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
— In Young’s six starts, Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Total yardage in game: 229-224, Houston.
— since 2016, Houston is 1-6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Texans scored 37-30-20 points in wins (9-20-19-13 in losses)
— Texans are 1-5 ATS in last six post-bye games.

Cowboys 43, Rams 20
— Cowboys led 33-3 with 2:00 left in first half.
— Dallas scored TD on pick-6, got a safety on a blocked punt.
— Prescott was 25-31/304 passing with four TD’s.
— Stafford hurt his right thumb, sat out most of second half.
— Five Dallas wins were by a combined score of 171-50.
— Cowboys won their three home games, 30-10/38-3/43-20.
— Dallas is 13-5 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in last eight post-bye games.

Dolphins 31, Patriots 17
— Patriots lost four of their last five games.
— Patriots were outscored 82-26 in first half of those games.
— Dolphins outgained New England, 390-218.
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-31 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Waddle had 121 receiving yards, Hill 112.
— Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in last ten AFC East home games.
— At home, Miami has scored 24 TD’s on 44 drives.
— Dolphins’ six wins are over teams with a combined 10-30 record

Jets 13, Giants 10 OT
— Jets kicked 35-yard FG at gun to force overtime.
— Jets won their last three games (3-0-1 ATS in last four)
— Jets’ only TD drive was one play, 50 yards.
— Jets’ opponents’ team total: under 6-1
— Giants went 3/out on 11 of their 17 drives.
— Taylor/DeVito completed 6-14 passes, for 7 yards. Seven.
— Giants were 2-19 on third down, Jets 2-15.
— Giants lost five of their last six games (2-0-1 ATS last three)

Titans 28, Falcons 23
— Rookie QB Levis was 19-29/238 with 4 TD’s, in his NFL debut.
— Tennessee led 14-3 at halftime.
— Titans won/covered three of their four home games.
— Tennessee won its last eight post-bye games (7-0-1 ATS)
— Falcons in first half: 30 plays, 90 yards, 3 points.
— Falcons in second half: 38 plays, 253 yards, 20 points.
— Backup QB Heinicke was 12-21/175 passing off the bench.
— Atlanta has been outscored 97-49 in first half of games.

Vikings 24, Packers 10
— Minnesota QB Cousins left in 4th quarter with an achilles injury.
— Vikings converted 10-18 on third down, Green Bay 5-14.
— Under is 7-1 in Minnesota games this season.
— Vikings allowed 13-13-17-10 points in wins, 27.3 ppg in losses.
— Green Bay lost last four games, scoring 20-13-17-10 points.
— Last five games, Packers were outscored 73-9 in first half.
— Vikings outgained Green Bay in this game, 346-270.
— Green Bay is 4-7 ATS in last eleven games coming off a loss.

Seahawks 24, Browns 20
— Seattle drove 52 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:38 left.
— Seahawks’ first three drives: 20 plays, 183 yards, 17 points.
— Seahawks’ next seven drives: 30 plays, 117 yards, no points.
— Seattle won five of its last six games (4-1-1 ATS).
— Last 3 weeks, backup QB Walker was 48-97/618, with one TD, 5 INT’s
— Browns’ last three games (2-1) were decided by total of seven points.
— Last three weeks, Cleveland ran ball for 160-150-155 yards.
— Browns are 11-19-3 ATS in last 33 games with spread of 3 or less.

Broncos 24, Chiefs 9
— Denver ends a 16-game losing streak to the Chiefs.
— Denver’s TD drives were short: 39-50-10 yards.
— Broncos ran ball for 153 yards, converted 6-14 on third down.
— Broncos are 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 games as a home underdog.
— Kansas City turned ball over on three of first six drives.
— In two games vs Denver TY, Chiefs scored one TD on 20 drives.
— KC is 11-15-1 ATS in last 27 games as a road favorite (2-2 TY).
— Team total this season: under 6-2

Bengals 31, 49ers 17
— Bengals won four of their last five games (3-1-1 ATS).
— Cincy’s first two drives: 16 plays, 143 yards, 14 points.
— Only eight of Bengals’ 62 plays were on third down.
— 134 rushing yards, 7.6 yards/pass attempt are Bengal season highs.
— 49ers lost last three games, were outgained 1,186-1,000, scoring 17-17-17 points.
— SF scored 30+ points in all five of its wins.
— In this game, 49ers lost despite averaging 10.5 yards/pass attempt.
— 49ers turned ball over on three of their last four drives.

Ravens 31, Cardinals 24
— Last five games, Ravens outscored opponents 91-16 in first half.
— Ravens scored 24+ points in its wins, 19-10 in losses.
— Baltimore is 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite (0-2 TY)
— Edwards carried ball 19 times for 80 yards, with three TD’s.
— Arizona is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS last five games, losing by 19-14-17-10-7 points.
— Cardinals scored 17 points in last 6:32 for the backdoor cover.
— Last six games, Arizona gave up 27.7 ppg.
— Cardinals have lost 18 of last 21 games SU (8-10 ATS in last 18).

Chargers 30, Bears 13
— Chargers’ first five drives: 46 plays, 294 yards, 27 points.
— Herbert was 31-40/298 passing, with three TD’s.
— under Staley, Bolts are 8-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Chargers have 7 takeaways (+4) in wins, three (minus-1) in losses.
— Bears’ first three drives: 14 plays, 67 yards, no points.
— Chicago ran ball 25 times for only 73 yards.
— Chicago is 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 games as road underdogs.
— Last 2+ years, Bears are 11-31 SU/15-25-2 ATS.
 
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PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 89-65 ATS (17.5 Units) in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals since 1996.

TAMPA BAY is 9-2 Under (6.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 11-3 Under (7.7 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 14-9 ATS (4.1 Units) off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 19-11 ATS (6.9 Units) off a home loss by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 11-42 ATS (-35.2 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 37-20 Under (15 Units) after a division game in the last 3 seasons.
 
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NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 30

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NHL

Monday, October 30

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Trend Report
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Florida @ Boston
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

Carolina @ Philadelphia
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
Philadelphia is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Carolina

Anaheim @ Pittsburgh
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Anaheim is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim
Pittsburgh is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Anaheim

Seattle @ Tampa Bay
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Detroit @ NY Islanders
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

NY Rangers @ Winnipeg
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Columbus @ Dallas
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Columbus's last 11 games on the road
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus

Chicago @ Arizona
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games at home

Montreal @ Vegas
Montreal
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Vegas
Vegas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


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MONDAY, OCTOBER 30​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ANA at PIT07:00 PMANA +210
O 6.5		+500 +500
FLA at BOS07:00 PMBOS -160
O 6.5		+500 +500
SEA at TB07:00 PMTB -131
U 6.5		+500 +500
CAR at PHI07:00 PMPHI +164
O 6.5		+500 +500
DET at NYI07:30 PMNYI -156
U 6.0		+500 +500
NYR at WIN07:30 PMNYR -117
U 5.5		+500 +500
CLB at DAL08:00 PMCLB +244
U 6.0		+500 +500
MON at VEG10:00 PMMON +196
U 6.5		+500 +500
CHI at ARI10:00 PMARI -182
U 6.0		+500 +500
 
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OCTOBER NHL BEST BESTS !

10/30/2023..............................4 - 10............................28.57%.....................- 28.55
10/29/2023..............................3 - 4...............................42.85%.....................- 9.75
10/28/2023..............................8 - 5 - 1.........................61.53%.....................+ 14.10
10/27/2023..............................6 - 4...............................60.00%.....................+ 18.70
10/26/2023..............................9 - 7...............................56.25%.....................+ 22.20
10/25/2023..............................0 - 2...............................00.00%.....................- 12.20
10/24/2023............................10 - 12 -1.......................45.45%.....................- 1.35
10/23/2023...............................2 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 13.05
10/22/2023...............................4 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 20.70
10/21/2023.............................10 - 8 - 3......................55.55%......................+ 1.01
10/20/2023..............................2 - 2..............................50.00%.....................+ 0.65
10/19/2023..............................8 - 9.............................47.05%......................- 9.45
10/18/2023..............................2 - 1............................66.66%.......................+ 5.00
10/17/2023..............................4 - 8.............................33.33%......................- 23.35
10/16/2023...............................3 - 4............................42.85%......................+ 3.40
10/15/2023...............................2 - 1 - 1........................62.50%....................+ 12.40
10/14/2023.............................10 - 6.............................62.50%....................+ 18.10
10/13/2023...............................1 - 2.............................33.33%.....................- 11.8582
10/12/2023...............................6 - 5.............................54.54%.....................+ 3.50
10/11/2023...............................5 - 3..............................62.50%....................+ 8.00

TOTALS....................................99- 93 - 6........................51.56%......................+ 44.31
 
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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL games this week:
— Dolphins vs Chiefs (-2.5)
— Seahawks @ Baltimore (-5.5)
— Cardinals @ Cleveland (-8)
— Vikings @ Atlanta (-4.5)
— Colts (-2.5) @ Carolina
— Cowboys @ Philadelphia (-3)

Quote of the Day
“I’ll never watch baseball again if that happens!”
Hall of Fame pitcher Tom Glavine, on a suggestion that balls/strikes could be subject to instant replay challenges

Tuesday’s quiz
On the old TV show Friends, what well-known actress played Chandler’s mother?

Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Golden Bears.

Sunday’s quiz
Randall Cunningham is the only UNLV football player who has had his number retired by the Rebels.

*******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..​

— When I was a kid, two guys in our neighborhood drove Cadillacs; the guy who owned a funeral parlor, and the guy who owned a beer distributorship.
There’s a lesson in there for kids; get into a line of work where you’ll never, ever run out of customers. Dying and drinking fit that description.

— Monday was the Sports Equinox, the only day in 2023 where all four pro sports were in action on the same day. Only the 29th time it has ever happened.

— Saturday night in Fort Collins, Colorado State was penalized after their fans threw snowballs at the Air Force bench during the Falcons’ 30-13 win. Problem is, the game was 13-13 when the snowballs were thrown; Air Force scored a touchdown on the drive after the penalty.

— NHL has struck gold with their Stadium Series games, where teams play outdoors; they draw very large crowds. Flames-Oilers in Edmonton Sunday drew 55,411 fans.

— Lions 26, Raiders 14
Lions outgained the Raiders, 486-157.
Detroit won/covered five of its last six games.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Campbell, Lions are 29-12-1 ATS overall.
Raiders in 2nd half: 22 plays, 76 yards, no points.
Raiders’ only TD in 2nd half was 75-yard pick-6 by Peters.
Las Vegas lost last three road games, by 28-17-18-12 points.
Raiders’ team total: under 8-0
— Through eight weeks of the NFL season, seven rookie QB’s have started a game, the most of any year in the Super Bowl era.

Rangers 3, Diamondbacks 1
Texas scored 3 runs in 2nd inning; Seager hit a 2-run homer.
Scherzer left after three innings with a bad back.
Texas bullpen got 18 outs, allowed only one run.
Rangers lead series, 2-1

— Rangers’ OF Adolis Garcia left the game with left side tightness.

— It is good to watch the World Series live again; this time last year, I had DirecTV and they were at war with the local FOX station, so no live baseball— watched the replays of the World Series at 2:30am on MLB Network. Watching them live is more fun.

— Whoever invented the multi-view, with football game/baseball game next to each other on the same screen, that person deserves a raise, a big raise.

— In case you were wondering, there have been 20,533 major league baseball players; it is difficult to make it to the big leagues, even harder to stay there.

— Word of the Day: Camaraderie— Mutual trust and friendship among people who spend a lot of time together.

— College football conference trends:
AAC— home favorites are 5-11 ATS, home underdogs are 4-8.
ACC— home underdogs are 10-4 ATS
Big X— home favorites are 12-9 ATS, home underdogs are 9-4
Big 14— home underdogs are 3-11 ATS
C-USA— home favorites are 5-8 ATS, home underdogs are 2-8
MAC— home favorites are 6-8 ATS, home underdogs are 3-7
Mountain West— home favorites are 6-8 ATS, home underdogs are 5-7
Pac-12— home underdogs are 10-4 ATS
SEC— home favorites are 13-7 ATS, home underdogs are 4-10
Sun Belt— home favorites are 8-12 ATS.

— Iowa-Northwestern total for this week is 29.5, the lowest college football total on record. Five of the six meetings in this series stayed under the total. This game is in Chicago, not Evanston.
Iowa offensive coordinator Brian Ferentz, the head coach’s son, will finish out this season, then take a hike, the school announced Monday. Nice way of saying he got fired.

— NFL divisional trends:
NFC East teams are 12-9 ATS outside the division.
NFC North teams are 9-12-1 ATS outside the division.
NFC South teams are 7-14-1 ATS outside the division.
NFC West home teams are 6-3 ATS outside the division.
AFC East underdogs are 3-5 ATS outside the division.
Underdogs are 5-0 ATS in AFC North divisional games.
AFC South underdogs are 11-5 ATS outside the division.
AFC West underdogs are 0-5 ATS outside the division.

— UNLV’s football program is 6-2, their best year in a long time; it turns out that the last time UNLV went thru an entire season with the same starting QB was 1996, when John Denton was the Rebels’ quarterback. Thats a lot of instability at a very important position.

— San Jose State shut Hawai’i out 35-0 Saturday; it was the first time since 1998 that Hawai’i was shut out at home.

— I’m curious about the mechanics of the transfer portal; who contacts who? If Player A wants to bolt his current school, does he have people contract other schools, or do schools contract players who want to bolt? Or both?

— If the World Series goes seven games, Game 7 is Saturday night on FOX, the same time as the Alabama-LSU football game on CBS. Good time for multi-view on YouTube TV.

— Chiefs-Dolphins play Sunday morning at 9:30, in Germany; was this a good idea, having one of the marquis matchups of the season at 9:30am?
Kansas City wanted the game to be in Germany; every team has to play an international game once every eight years, and the Chiefs wanted their game to be in Germany since they have global marketing rights there.

— NFL trades (trade deadline is Tuesday at 4:00):
Giants traded DE Leonard Williams to Seattle, for a 2nd and 5th-round draft pick.
Philadelphia traded DT Kentavius Street and a 2025 7th-round pick to Atlanta, for a 2024 6th-round pick.

— Cardinals benched QB Joshua Dobbs; rookie Clayton Tune will start this week in Cleveland, unless Kyler Murray is deemed healthy enough to make his return from ACL surgery.
 
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LOS ANGELES are 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 10-3 ATS (11 Units) against good defensive teams - allowing <=2.55 goals/game in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 31

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NHL

Tuesday, October 31

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Trend Report
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Los Angeles @ Toronto
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Nashville @ Vancouver
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 8 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games on the road
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home


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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 31​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LA at TOR08:00 PMLA +137
U 6.5		+500 +500
NAS at VAN10:00 PMVAN -144
O 6.0		+500 +500
 
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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Six teams that won the World Series after trailing 3-1:
1925— Pirates over Washington Senators
1958— Bronx over Milwaukee Braves
1968— Tigers over Boston
1979— Pirates over Baltimore
1985— Royals over St Louis
2016— Cubs over Cleveland

Quote of the Day
“After much thought about what the Raiders need to move forward, I have decided to part ways with Josh (McDaniels) and Dave (Zeigler, GM). I want to thank them both for their hard work and wish them and their families nothing but the best.”
Raiders’ owner Mark Davis

Wednesday’s quiz
Raiders lost the Super Bowl after the 2002 season; since then, how many head coaches have the Raiders had? (not including interim coaches)

Tuesday’s quiz
On the old TV show Friends, Morgan Fairchild played Chandler’s mother.

Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Golden Bears.

********************************

2 Dens for Wednesday: NHL trends, and midweek musings…….

NHL trends (thru October 31)
I’ll try to post this once a week……..

Anaheim 5-4
— won their last four games.
— Ducks are 1-2 at home, 4-2 on road
— last three road games went over total

Arizona 4-4
— scored 5 goals in first three games, 23 goals in last five.
— 2-1 at home, 2-3 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games

Boston 8-0-1
— only loss was in OT to Anaheim
— 4-1 at home, 4-0 on road.
— allowed 14 goals in nine games.

Buffalo 4-5
— 0-3 in game after a win
— 3-3 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 5-1 at home

Calgary 2-6-1
— lost last five games, outscored 20-6.
— 1-2 at home, 1-4-1 on road.
— over 4-2 on road

Carolina 6-4
— won last three games, outscoring foes 9-4
— 3-0 at home, 3-4 on road.
— over 5-2 on road.

Chicago 3-6
— lost four of last five games.
— 0-2 at home, 3-4 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games

Colorado 6-2
— lost 4-0/4-0 last two games, after a 6-0 start
— 2-0 at home, 4-2 on road.
— under 4-1 last five road games

Columbus 3-4-2
— lost their last four games
— 2-3-1 at home, 1-1-1 on road.
— under 5-1 at home; over 3-0 on road

Dallas 5-1-1
— won four of last five games
— 3-1 at home, 2-0-1 on road.
— under 3-0 at home
— 4-0 if they score more than two goals

Detroit 6-3-1
— lost three of last four games
— 3-1-1 at home, 3-2 on road.
— over 4-1 at home

Edmonton 2-5-1
— lost four of first five games.
— 1-2-1 at home, 1-3 on road.
— over 3-1 on road

Florida 4-3-1
— won four of last six games.
— 3-1 at home, 1-2-1 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games

Los Angeles 5-2-2
— won five of last seven games.
— 1-2-2 at home, 4-0 on road.
— over 6-2

Minnesota 3-4-2
— lost five of last six games
— 2-1-1 at home, 1-3-1 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games

Montreal 5-2-2
— won four of last six games
— 4-2 at home, 1-0-2 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games

Nashville 4-5
— 4-0 allow two or fewer goals, 0-5 allow 3+ goals
— 3-2 at home, 1-3 on road.
— under 3-1-1 at home

New Jersey 5-2-1
— won three of last four games
— 3-2-1 at home, 2-0 on road.
— over is 8-0

NY Islanders 4-2-2
— lost four of last six games.
— 3-1-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— under 2-0 on road

NY Rangers 7-2
— won last five games, giving up 7 goals.
— 1-1 at home, 6-1 on road.
— under 7-2

Ottawa 4-4
— 3-2 at home, 1-2 on road.
— over 5-0 at home
— scored 5+ goals in wins, 0-4 scoring less than 5 goals.

Philadelphia 4-4-1
— lost four of last five games.
— 3-2 at home, 1-2-1 on road.
— allowed 5 goals in wins, 23 in losses

Pittsburgh 3-6
— lost last five games, giving up 23 goals.
— 2-4 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 5-3-1

St Louis 3-3-1
— 0-3 in game after a win
— 2-1 at home, 1-2-1 on road.
— under is 6-1

San Jose 0-8-1
— lost their first nine games.
— 0-3-1 at home, 0-5 on road.
— under is 7-1-1
— scored nine goals in nine games

Seattle 3-5-2
— 3-3 in last six games, after an 0-4 start.
— 1-2 at home, 2-3-2 on road.
— under is 5-2 on road

Tampa Bay 4-2-3
— 4-0-2 at home, 0-2-1 on road.
— over 6-3
— 0-3 in OT/SO

Toronto 5-3-1
— lost last two games, 3-2/4-1
— 2-2 at home, 3-1-1 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored 25 goals in wins, 5 in losses

Vancouver 6-2-1
— won four of last five games
— 3-0-1 at home, 3-2 on road.
— over 6-3

Vegas 9-0-1
— only loss was in OT to Chicago
— 5-0-1 at home, 4-0 on road.
— over 3-1 on road

Washington 4-3-1
— won last three games, scoring 12 goals.
— 3-2 at home, 1-1-1 on road.
— under 6-2

Winnipeg 4-3-2
— 3-0 allow 2 or fewer goals, 1-3-2 if they allow 3+ goals
— 2-2-1 at home, 2-1-1 on road.
— 1-2 in OT/SO

********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………

— I’m wondering about how they compute TV ratings; Monday night, I had the split-screen on YouTubeTV the whole night, with the Raiders-Lions game on one side and the World Series game on the other.

Does each game get half-credit for me watching them? Inquiring minds would like to know.

— Rangers 11, Diamondbacks 7
Texas scored 5 runs in 2nd inning, 5 more in third.
Marcus Semien scored twice, knocked in five runs.
Rangers are now 10-0 on road in the playoff.
Texas leads series 3-1, can win first World Series title tonite.

From July 8-August 11, Arizona had the worst record in the major leagues, but they still made it this far, so even if they lose this World Series, they’ve had an excellent season.

— Around 1:10am, it came across the Interweb that the Las Vegas Raiders fired both their coach and general manager.

Raiders lost 26-14 in Detroit Monday night; game wasn’t nearly as close as the score indicated. Las Vegas is 3-5 this year, 9-16 in its 1.5 years under coach Josh McDaniels.

McDaniels is now 20-33 in two head coaching stops, Las Vegas/Denver; he didn’t finish his second season in either place. Another guy who got rich because he knows Tom Brady, who ironically, is now a minority owner of the Raiders.

— Central Michigan 37, Northern Illinois 31
Chippewas led 24-3 at halftime on a snowy night in Michigan.
Northern Illinois gained 506 yards, but was 0-10 on third down.
CMU ran the ball 47 times for 331 yards; they were +3 in turnovers.

— Toledo 31, Buffalo 13
Toledo ran the opening kickoff back 97 yards for a TD.
Rockets are 8-1; they turned ball over four times, were 3-10 on third down.
Buffalo completed only 14-41 passes on a snowy night in Ohio.

— NFL trading deadline was Tuesday- there were 15 trades:
Arizona traded QB Joshua Dobbs to the Vikings, who lost Kirk Cousins for the year Sunday. This week, Cardinals will probably start rookie QB Clayton Tune in Cleveland.

Washington traded DE Chase Young to the 49ers for a 3rd round draft pick.

Washington also traded DE Montez Sweat to Chicago for a 2nd round pick— Commanders now have five picks in the first three rounds of April’s draft, the first time in the last 60 years they’ve had that many draft picks in Rounds 1-3.

Minnesota traded G Ezra Cleveland to the Jaguars for a 6th-round pick.

— Word of the Day: precipice— a situation in which someone is very close to disaster or failure.

Diamondbacks are on the precipice of defeat today, down 3-1 in World Series.

— Time flies; college basketball season starts Monday. Earlier this week, Louisville lost an exhibition game to D2 Kentucky Wesleyan 71-68, which hasn’t increased the optimism for the upcoming season any.

Louisville was 4-28 last year after an 0-9 start; they were 24-7 under Chris Mack only four years ago, so the natives are restless. This is a school with a tremendous basketball tradition; another dismal season like last year, and it would seem that a coaching change will happen.

— Spurs 115, Warriors 114— San Antonio stole the ball and got a layup with 0:01.2 left, giving the Spurs a great comeback win— they trailed by 20 points at one time. The layup/steal was the only time the whole game San Antonio was in the lead.

— Now that James Harden has been traded, here is a look at some of the highlights of the 76ers’, Clippers’ payrolls:

76ers
Joel Embiid $47,600,000
Tobias Harris $39,270,150
Marcus Morris $17,116,279— doesn’t start
Nicolas Batum $11,710,818— doesn’t start
Robert Covington $11,692,308— figures to start

Clippers
Paul George $45,640,084
Kawhi Leonard $45,640,084
James Harden $35,640,000
Norman Powell $18,000,000- doesn’t start
Ivica Zubac $10,933,333

If you have a son with some athletic ability, buy him a hoop, a ball and tell him to practice. A lot.

— They announced the college football playoff rankings Tuesday night:
Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, Florida State

Then there are the Caesar’s Palace odds to win the playoff:
Michigan, Georgia, Florida State, Ohio State

— If the NFL Draft were today, the first five picks would be:
Cardinals
Bears (from Carolina)
Bears
Giants
Patriots

— Showtime wrapped up the great series Billions over the weekend: seven seasons over eight years, 84 episodes. Excellent series; if you haven’t seen it, it is worth finding on Showtime Anytime.

I’m envious that the writers are so creative, they come up with great story lines and references from all walks of life. Has to be difficult to decide how to end a series like this; they chose the nice way- the two main characters hated each other for 80 episodes, then were civil with each other the last 3-4 shows, which seemed odd.

— Raiders’ WR Davante Adams was targeted seven times Monday night, caught only one pass for 11 yards. To put it mildly, he wasn’t happy on the sidelines, which is probably a factor in the coaching/GM change that happened in Las Vegas Tuesday night.
 
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BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.

CALGARY is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 97-100 ATS (-13 Units) on the road when the total is >=6 since 1996.

ARIZONA is 22-27 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 1

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NHL

Wednesday, November 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Buffalo @ Philadelphia
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Buffalo's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing Buffalo

Dallas @ Calgary
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Colorado
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

Arizona @ Anaheim
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Anaheim is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 1​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BUF at PHI07:00 PMPHI -102
O 6.5		+500 +500
DAL at CAL08:30 PMDAL -140
O 5.5		+500 +500
STL at COL09:30 PMCOL -215
U 6.5		+500 +500
ARI at ANA10:00 PMANA +112
O 6.5		+500 +500
 
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NHL NOVEMBERS BEST BETS !

11/01/2023.................................5 - 1 - 0..............................83.33%...........................+ 20.50

TOTALS.......................................5 - 1 - 0..............................83.33%...........................+ 20.50
 
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Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in net punting yardage:
47.0— AJ Cole, LV
45.3— Michael Dickson, Sea
45.1— Bryan Anger, Dal
44.6— Mitch Wishnowsky, SF
44.2— Johnny Hekker, Caro
44.0— Logan Cooke, Jax

Quote of the Day
“I mean, obviously it sucks that we have to travel nine hours for a home game when Arrowhead is right down the street. But obviously we do have other fans that are all over the world, not just in the United States. So it gives them the opportunity to see some of their favorite players play.”
Chiefs WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, on traveling to Germany for this week’s game

Thursday’s quiz
Who was the first manager of the Texas Rangers, in 1972?
Hint: I guarantee you’re heard of him, but as a player

Wednesday’s quiz
Raiders lost the Super Bowl after the 2002 season; since then, they’ve had 20 head coaches, not including interim coaches. Next year’s coach will be #21.

Tuesday’s quiz
On the old TV show Friends, Morgan Fairchild played Chandler’s mother.

*************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….​

— Rangers 5, Diamondbacks 0
Texas won despite not having a hit in the first six innings.
Eovaldi tossed six shutout innings for the Rangers.
Semien hit a two-run homer; Seager was Series MVP. .
Rangers get their first-ever World Series title.
— Fourth World Series ring as a manager for Bruce Bochy, who needs to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, like tomorrow. He has a career record of 20-10 in one-run games in the playoffs.

— Bowling Green 24, Ball State 21
Falcons kicked a 22-yard FG with 3:14 left for the win.
Bowling Green led 14-7 at halftime.
Ball State was 8-13 on 3rd down, Falcons were 4-13.
Bowling Green was +2 in turnovers.

— Akron 31, Kent State 27
1-8 Kent State led 26-10 after three quarters.
Zips drove 57 yards, scored 5-yard TD with 0:26 left for the win.
Kent State averaged 10 yards/pass attempt.
Akron QB Undercuffer was 23-39/298 passing, with 2 TD’s.

— Raiders are starting rookie QB Aiden O’Connell against the Giants Sunday, his 2nd NFL start. So, in the last 72 hours, Raiders have……….
Fired their coach
Fired their GM
Fired their offensive coordinator.
Benched their quarterback.
Somehow, they’re favored against the Giants this week.

— Since 2003, 35 NFL head coaches have been fired during the season; teams that fired the coach are 16-19 SU/19-16 ATS in their first game with the interim coach, but I’m guessing most of them were underdogs.

— Word of the Day: Integrity— being honest and having strong principles.

— Falcons have benched QB Desmond Ridder; Taylor Heinicke will start at home this week against the Vikings. Heinicke has a 12-12-1 record as an NFL starter.

— college football teams who have gone over the total the most this year:
8-0— LSU
8-1— USC, Vanderbilt
7-1— New Mexico
6-1-1— Boston College
7-2— UMass

— college football teams with best records ATS:
7-1— Arizona, UNLV
6-1-1— Oregon, Rutgers
4-2— Miami, OH

— Odds on the Clippers to win the NBA title dropped from 22-1 to 14-1 after they acquired James Harden this week.

— West Virginia’s new point guard, Kerr Kriisa, is suspended for the first nine games this season, after he admitted to accepting impermissible benefits at Arizona. Kriisa scored 9.9 ppg and dished out 5.1 assists/game for the Wildcats last year.

— I’m looking forward to voting next week, but not because of elections or politics or any of that nonsense; we have a new polling place this year, the grade school I graduated from 50 years ago, and it’ll fun to be in the old building again.
Plus, lot of times they have bake sales at polling places; bake sales are a good thing.

— From the “time flies” department: College basketball season starts Monday night, so things will get very busy at Armadillo World HQ. November is a fun time of year.
 
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DETROIT is 29-14 Over (13.6 Units) in home games after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

CAROLINA is 19-7 Over (11.3 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last...

COLUMBUS are 19-14 ATS (3.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 25-13 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 7-1 Under (5.9 Units) after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 91-68 ATS (16.2 Units) on the road when the total is >=6 since 1996.

WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 40-24 Over (13.6 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 14-46 ATS (-36.6 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.
 
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