Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Leaders among active major leaguers in triples:
58— Charlie Blackmon, Colo
53— Kevin Kiernaier, Tor
51— Mike Trout LAA/Starling Marte NYM
50— Elvis Andrus, CWS
49— Andrew McCutchen, Pitt
47— David Peralta, LA

Quote of the Day
“I don’t even know where to start. It’s been a long time coming, a lot of hard work. I’ve been through a lot, and I’m not just talking about basketball … it feels good. I don’t know what to say. It’s amazing.”
76ers’ Joel Embiid, after winning the NBA’s MVP award

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, what famous actress plays George Clooney’s ex-wife?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, the Rams win the Super Bowl with Warren Beatty’s character playing quarterback- he wore number 16 (Ron Jaworski was the Rams’ QB at the time).

Monday’s quiz
Klay Thompson played his college basketball at Washington State.

************************************************** ****

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— NFL schedule comes out next week, so we’ve started to identify trends and things that could point us towards picking some winners.

Over the last 20 years, the defending Super Bowl champ is 11-6-3 ATS in their Week 1 game the next season, 9-4-3 as a favorite, 2-2 as an underdog- they’re 16-4 SU.

During that same time, Super Bowl losers are 4-16 ATS in their Week 1 game the next season, 4-13 as a favorite, 0-3 as an underdog- they’re 9-11 SU.

— Odd fact: Last time the Super Bowl loser was an underdog in their Week 1 game the next year was 2011, it was the Steelers.

— Green Bay Packers/QB Jordan Love agreed on a one-year contract extension worth up to $22.5M (including $13.5M fully guaranteed). Had Green Bay picked up his 5th-year option instead of giving him the extension, Love would’ve earned a guaranteed $20.272M for 2024, after making $2,298,655 in 2023, which will be his first season as the starter.

— Interesting night of baseball Tuesday; in 7 of the 14 games, the winning run scored from the 7th inning on.

— Under was 10-4 in baseball Tuesday; five starting pitchers didn’t allow a run, only one of them got the win in his game.

Red Sox 7, Blue Jays 6— Boston is 12-6 in its last 18 games. Toronto lost its last three games, all in their opponent’s last turn at bat.

Dodgers 13, Phillies 1— Dodgers won their last five games, scoring 40 runs. Bryce Harper returned from Tommy John surgery, went 0-4 with three strikeouts as the DH.

Orioles 11, Tigers 7— Baltimore is 20-9, but they’re still 3.5 games out of first place; Mountcastle homered twice, knocked in five runs.

Rangers 6, Arizona 4— Zac Gallen’s scoreless streak ended at 28 innings, but he left the game with a 4-3 lead after five innings, which didn’t last long.

Angels 5, Cardinals 1— St Louis lost 11 of its last 14 games; the natives are getting restless.

— Major League personnel moves:
Marlins put OF Avasail Garcia on the IL
A’s put SS Aledmys Diaz (hamstring) on the IL
Astros put P Luis Garcia (elbow) on the IL
Royals put SS Nicky Lopez (appendicitis) on the IL

— Random trivia: 21 years ago this week, Mike Cameron/Brett Boone hit back-to-back home runs twice for Seattle……in the same inning. It was the first time ever that teammates went back-to-back twice in the same game, much less the same inning.

— Orioles are 10-0 in series openers; Cardinals are 0-10.

— Who makes Arkansas’ football schedule? Razorbacks have a ridiculously hard 4-game stretch coming up this fall:
September 23: @ LSU
September 30, vs Texas A&M at the Cowboys’ Stadium in Arlington
October 7, @ Ole Miss
October 14, @ Alabama

None of the games are at home; no off-weeks in between. Yikes.

— Next October, Dallas Mavericks/Minnesota Timberwolves will be play two NBA preseason games in Abu Dhabi.

— December 16 in Atlanta, there is a pretty good college basketball twinbill:
Kentucky-Ohio State, then UCLA-North Carolina.

— NHL was a six-team league until they expanded to 12 teams for the 1967-68 season; Toronto Maple Leafs won the Stanley Cup in 1967, the last year the NHL had six teams.

They haven’t won the Stanley Cup since then, the only Original Six team that hasn’t.

Knicks 111, Heat 105
Brunson scored 30 points, made 6-10 3-pointers.
Heat’s star Butler (ankle) sat this game out.
Miami was 17-49 on the arc, 21-36 inside the arc.
Knicks outscored Miami 35-28 in fourth quarter.
Series is tied, 1-1

Lakers 117, Warriors 112
Davis had 30 points, 23 rebounds in LA’s upset win.
Schroder scored 19 points off the bench for LA.
Lakers lead series, 1-0.
 

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ARIZONA is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 302-282 SU (-8.2 Units) in home games in day games since 1996.

LA DODGERS are 57-51 SU (0.9 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 in the last 3 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 18-41 SU (-27.1 Units) in home games in day games in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 7-0 SU (7 Units) in road games in night games in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 89-80 SU (18.3 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the last 3 seasons.

NY METS are 36-21 SU (12.9 Units) in May games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 13-1 SU (11.9 Units) in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 10-34 SU (-27.4 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 43-33 SU (16.7 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 36-20 SU (14 Units) in May games in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 78-103 SU (-35.3 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 27-44 SU (-21.4 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 38-19 SU (17.1 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

OAKLAND is 9-28 SU (-21.8 Units) in home games in May games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Dunkel

Wednesday, May 3


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Udog

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, May 3


National League
Philadelphia (15-16) @ Los Angeles (18-13)

— Nola is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 2-0, 3.57 in seven starts vs Los Angeles.

— Phillies lost their last three games.
— Phillies are 7-11 on road.
— under 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-17-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4.2-4.2

— Stone is making his first MLB start.
— He was 2-2, 4.74 in six starts at AAA.
— over 0-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 games.
— Dodgers are 11-6 at home.
— over 8-2-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 15-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4.1-2

Cincinnati (13-17) @ San Diego (16-15)
— Cessa is 1-3, 9.55 in five starts.
— Reds are 1-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— This is his first start against San Diego.

— Reds won six of their last eight games.
— Cincinnati is 4-11 on the road.
— under 6-3 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 10-16-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-4

— Lugo is 0-2, 4.91 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 17.1 IP in 14 games (1 start) vs Cincinnati.

— Padres are 8-4 in their last dozen games.
— San Diego is 8-9 at home.
— under 7-4-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 11-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-16-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

Atlanta (20-10) @ Miami (16-14)
— Wright is 0-1, 5.40 in four starts.
— Braves are 2-2 in his starts
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 2-2, 3.33 in six starts vs Miami.

— Atlanta won six of its last eight games.
— Braves are 13-3 on road.
— over 16-7 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-30
— record in first 5 innings: 21-6-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.2-2

— Garrett is 1-0, 1.89 in four starts.
— Marlins are 4-0 in his starts
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He is 0-2, 2.70 in four starts vs Atlanta.

— Miami won four of its last five games.
— Marlins are 10-7 at home.
— Marlins are 10-0 in one-run games.
— over 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-30
— record in first 5 innings: 10-15-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-5

Cubs (15-14) @ Washington (11-18)
— Stroman is 0-2, 3.47 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 1-1, 4.50 in seven starts vs Washington.

— Cubs are 4-8 in their last dozen games.
— Chicago is 7-6 on road.
— under 6-1-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-2

— bullpen game

— Nationals lost four of last six games.
— Washington is 4-12 at home.
— under 9-4 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 11-15-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3.2

Milwaukee (18-11) @ Colorado (10-20)
— Lauer is 3-2, 5.19 in five starts.
— Brewers are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 0-5, 15.91 in six starts at Colorado.

— Brewers won three of last five games.
— Milwaukee is 6-2 in last eight road games.
— under 5-1-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 7-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-10-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-2

— Freeland is 0-3, 9.82 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 3-2, 2.32 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Rockies are 5-14 in their last 19 games.
— Colorado is 5-9 at home.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 10-16-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3.2

American League
Cleveland (14-16) @ New York (16-15)

— Bieber is 2-1, 3.11 in his six starts.
— Guardians are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 2-1, 4.76 in four starts vs New York

— Guardians are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— Cleveland is 10-8 on road.
— under 14-4 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.2-2.2

— Schmidt is 0-3, 7.54 in his last three starts.
— New York is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-2
— He is 0-0, 7.50 in two games (1 start) vs Cleveland.

— New York is 4-8 in its last dozen games.
— Bronx is 10-8 at home.
— under 14-4 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 16-10-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-0.2-3

Toronto (18-12) @ Boston (17-14)
— Manoah is 0-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Blue Jays are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-3
— He is 4-0, 1.46 in six starts vs Boston.

— Toronto lost its last three games.
— Blue Jays are 9-9 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 6-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-10-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.2-3.2

— Pivetta is 1-1, 5.95 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-2
— He is 1-4, 5.83 in 11 starts vs Toronto.

— Red Sox are 12-6 in their last 18 games.
— Boston is 11-7 at home.
— over 9-4 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 12-31
— record in first 5 innings: 9-18-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.2-3

Baltimore (20-9) @ Kansas City (7-23)
— Gibson is 4-0, 3.89 in six starts.
— Orioles are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 5-1, 4.25 in his last 13 starts vs Kansas City.

— Orioles are 19-7 in their last 26 games.
— Baltimore is 11-5 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight
— scored run in first inning: 6-29
— record in first 5 innings: 15-10-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-3

— Greinke is 0-4, 6.32 in six starts this year.
— Royals are 1-5 in his starts.
— over 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-2
— He is 3-2, 4.65 in ten starts vs Baltimore.

— Royals lost 17 of their last 21 games.
— Royals are 1-13 at home.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 11-32
— record in first 5 innings: 5-21-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-x-5.1

Minnesota (17-13) @ White Sox (9-21)
— Varland allowed 3 runs in 6 IP (83 PT) in his first start.
— He was 1-2, 3.81 in five starts last year.
— Twins are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 1-0, 1.80 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Twins won six of last nine games.
— Minnesota is 1-5 in last six road games.
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— scored run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3.2

— Cease is 0-1, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 4-4, 4.83 in ten starts vs Minnesota.

— Chicago lost 18 of its last 24 games.
— White Sox are 5-9 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 11-16-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-4

Seattle (13-16) @ Oakland (6-24)
— Kirby is 2-1, 2.05 in his last four starts
— Mariners are 2-3 in his starts
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 1-0, 4.43 in four starts vs Oakland.

— Seattle lost four of its last six games.
— Mariners are 6-7 on the road.
— under 7-3 last 10 road games
— scored run in first inning: 9-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-x-3

— Sears is 0-2, 6.23 in five starts.
— A’s are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-1
— He is 2-0, 0.56 in three games (2 starts) vs Seattle

— A’s lost 24 of their last 29 games.
— Oakland is 3-13 at home
— over 19-11
— scored run in first inning: 11-30
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-17-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3

Interleague games
NY Mets (15-12) @ Detroit (10-17)

— Lucchesi is 1-0, 2.19 in his first two starts.
— Mets are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit

— Scherzer is 2-1, 3.72 in four starts.
— Mets are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 2-1, 1.23 in three starts vs Detroit
— He pitched for the Tigers from 2010-14.

— Mets lost five of their last six games.
— Mets are 5-5 at home.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 3-27 (0 for last 18)
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-x

— Lorenzen is 0-1, 7.07 in three starts.
— Tigers are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He is 1-1, 2.83 in 12 games (2 starts) against the Mets.

— Wentz is 0-3, 6.45 in five starts.
— Tigers are 1-4 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

— Detroit lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Tigers are 5-7 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-5-x

Arizona (16-14) @ Texas (17-11)
— Pfaadt is making his MLB debut.
— He was 2-1, 3.91 in five starts in AAA.
— under 0-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Arizona won three of its last five games.
— Arizona is 8-8 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 11-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3

— Heaney is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Texas won its last four games.
— Rangers are 12-5 at home.
— under four of last six games
— scored run in first inning: 12-29
— record in first 5 innings: 18-9-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3.2

Pittsburgh (20-10) @ Tampa Bay (24-6)
— Keller is 3-0, 2.90 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay

— Pirates are 19-8 in their last 27 games.
— Pittsburgh is 11-6 on road.
— over 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 12-30
— record in first 5 innings: 17-7-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-x-2.1

— McClanahan is 5-0, 2.12 in six starts.
— Rays are 6-0 in his starts.
— over 3-0-2 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 6-0
— He gave up a run in 7 IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Tampa Bay is 10-3 in its last thirteen games.
— Rays are 15-2 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 13-30
— record in first 5 innings: 20-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-8.1

LA Angels (16-14) @ St Louis (10-20)
— Ohtani is 4-0, 1.85 in six starts.
— Angels are 5-1 in his starts.
— under 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 6-0
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis.

— Angels are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Angels are 8-9 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 10-30
— record in first 5 innings: 18-8-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-4

— Mikolas is 1-0, 3.12 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He is 1-2, 3.07 in four games (2 starts) vs Anaheim

— Cardinals are 3-11 in their last 14 games.
— Cardinals are 5-9 at home.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 13-30
— record in first 5 innings: 7-16-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-4

San Francisco (12-17) @ Houston (16-14)
— Webb is 1-1, 2.63 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 1-5 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in two starts vs Houston.

— Giants lost four of their last five games.
— San Francisco is 5-10 away from home
— under 5-2 last seven games away from home
— scored run in first inning: 10-29
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-1

— Valdez is 1-2, 4.95 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 2-4 in his starts
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs San Francisco.

— Astros are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Houston is 8-10 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 11-30
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-9-4.2
 

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MLB

Wednesday, May 3


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Trend Report
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NY Mets @ Detroit
NY Mets
NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Detroit is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Mets

Arizona @ Texas
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Texas
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

San Francisco @ Houston
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games

Philadelphia @ LA Dodgers
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Cincinnati @ San Diego
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing San Diego
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

NY Mets @ Detroit
NY Mets
NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Detroit is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Mets

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Cleveland @ NY Yankees
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Chi Cubs @ Washington
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Washington is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Chi White Sox
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chi White Sox's last 15 games at home
Chi White Sox is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Baltimore @ Kansas City
Baltimore
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Kansas City is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Baltimore

LA Angels @ St. Louis
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 15 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels

Milwaukee @ Colorado
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Colorado is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Seattle @ Oakland
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Completed Picks
May 3, 2023NHLNew Jersey
Carolina
1
5
CAR -115Win
May 2, 2023NBAL.A. Lakers
Golden State
117
112
GS -4.5Loss
May 1, 2023MLBSan Francisco
Houston
3
7
Over 8.5Win
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
Leaders among active major leaguers in doubles:
610— Miguel Cabrera
453— Joey Votto
424— Evan Longoria
422— Freddie Freeman
397— Andrew McCutchen
393— Paul Goldschmidt

Quote of the Day
“Most teammates I know who don’t love basketball are the really (bleep)ing good ones — are the most skilled ones. It’s the wildest shit in the world. Preparation is different when you got so much skill. You could just show up to the game and get a mother-bleeping 30, 40. That might work against other teams who aren’t that good. But you can’t do that in the playoffs.”
NBA player Patrick Beverley

Thursday’s quiz
Max Scherzer has been in the major leagues for 16 years; what team did he break into the major leagues with?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, Julia Roberts plays George Clooney’s ex-wife.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, the Rams win the Super Bowl with Warren Beatty’s character playing quarterback- he wore number 16 (Ron Jaworski was the Rams’ QB at the time).

*************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud

— So I’m at the post office Wednesday; the guy in front of me is mailing two crates that apparently had live birds in them. Who knew you could mail birds at the post office?

— If you like baseball, and you’re on Twitter, follow @homerunreport Every time a home run is it in the major leagues, they post:
Launch angle
Exit velocity
distance
how many MLB ballparks it would’ve been a home run in.

I’m a big fan of seeing how many ballparks a home run would’ve gone out of; good stuff.

Red Sox 8, Blue Jays 3— Toronto went 16-3 against the Red Sox last year; they’re 0-3 so far this season. Sloppy game for the Blue Jays; they made four errors.

Tigers 6-8, Mets 5-1— Apparently $375M doesn’t buy as much as it used to; Mets out-spent everyone this winter, but now they’ve lost eight of their last 10 games, are 16-15, five games behind Atlanta in the AL East.

Mariners 7, A’s 2 (10)— AJ Pollock was hitting .140 this season when he tied the game with a 9th inning home run. Whatever Mark Kotsay is making this year for managing the A’s, it isn’t enough— what a cruddy team they gave him to run.

That said, in the A’s last four games, the winning run scored from the 7th inning on; they’re competing, but they still lose most every night.

Dodgers 10, Phillies 6
Max Muncy hit a walk-off grand slam.
Dodgers scored 36 runs in sweeping this series, the most runs they’ve ever scored in a 3-game series at Dodger Stadium.
Bryce Harper was 3-3 with two walks in his second game back from the injured list.

Braves 14, Marlins 6— I watched this game to see if I wanted to pick up Marlins’ P Braxton Garrett for my fantasy team; he gave up 11 runs in 4.1 IP.

Talk about taking one for the team.

New York 4, Cleveland 3 (10)— Willie Calhoun tied the game with a 9th inning single, Jose Trevino won it with a walk-off hit in the 10th. Unlikely heroes.

Royals 6, Orioles 0— Zack Greinke needed only 44 pitches to get thru 5 IP, but they took him out anyway— they didn’t want him facing the Orioles’ lineup a third time. Go figure.

Baltimore starter Kyle Gibson faced 28 hitters; he didn’t walk or strike out any of them; that doesn’t happen a lot. He got only one whiff on the Royals’ 39 swings against him.

Arizona 12, Texas 7— Christian Walker homered twice for the Diamondbacks. Josh Jung homered twice for Texas. Arizona’s bullpen threw 3.1 scoreless innings.

Tampa Bay 8, Pittsburgh 1— Rays are 25-6, 4.5 games ahead in the AL East. Pirates lost their last three games, after a 20-8 start, but they still lead the NL Central.

— Colorado Rockies’ P German Marquez (Tommy John surgery) is out for the year.

— Good college basketball doubleheader in Toronto December 9th; Purdue-Alabama, then TCU-Clemson.

— There have been 59 coaching changes in college basketball this spring; roughly 16% of teams in Division I have changed head coaches.

Celtics 121, 76ers 87— Boston made 20-51 on the arc; series is tied 1-1.

— WR Randall Cobb signed with the Jets, re-uniting with Aaron Rodgers. Nine of his 12 years in the NFL have come with Rodgers as his QB.
 

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WASHINGTON is 11-2 SU (8.8 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

DETROIT is 56-35 SU (17.5 Units) in home games in day games in the last 3 seasons.

KEVIN CASH is 14-3 SU (10.7 Units) in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better (Manager of TAMPA BAY)

ST LOUIS are 367-373 SU (-43.3 Units) in home games in day games since 1996.

CHI WHITE SOX is 37-20 SU (15 Units) in May games in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 78-104 SU (-36.4 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 38-19 SU (17.1 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

OAKLAND is 15-6 SU (8.4 Units) in home games as an underdog of +175 to +250 in the last 3 seasons.

BRIAN SNITKER is 22-31 SU (-12.1 Units) in road games when playing on Thursday (Manager of ATLANTA)

BOSTON is 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) against division opponents in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 4


National League
Cubs (15-15) @ Washington (12-18)

— Taillon is 0-2, 5.14 in three starts.
— Cubs are 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 0-1, 3.86 in five starts vs Washington.

— Cubs are 4-9 in their last 13 games.
— Chicago is 7-7 on road.
— under 7-1-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3

— Corbin is 0-2, 5.19 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 5-2, 4.19 in nine starts vs Chicago.

— Nationals won three of last four games.
— Washington is 5-12 at home.
— under 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 11-15-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.2-4.2

Milwaukee (18-12) @ Colorado (11-20)
— Miley is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He is 9-3, 4.25 in 16 starts vs Colorado.

— Brewers lost their last three games.
— Milwaukee is 6-3 in last nine road games.
— under 6-1-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3.1

— Seabold is making his first ‘23 start.
— He was 0-4, 10.97 in six starts for Boston in 2021-22.
— He’s allowed 8 runs in 13.2 IP in seven relief stints this year.
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Rockies are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
— Colorado is 6-9 at home.
— under 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 11-16-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-4

Atlanta (21-10) @ Miami (16-15)
— Dodd is 1-1, 7.71 in his first two starts.
— Braves are 1-1 in his starts
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Atlanta won seven of its last nine games.
— Braves are 14-3 on road.
— over 17-7 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-31
— record in first 5 innings: 22-6-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-2-7

— Luzardo is 0-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 5-1 in his starts
— under 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 2-2, 4.26 in four starts vs Atlanta.

— Miami won four of its last six games.
— Marlins are 10-8 at home.
— Marlins are 10-0 in one-run games.
— over 7-3 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-31
— record in first 5 innings: 10-16-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-4.2

American League
Baltimore (20-10) @ Kansas City (8-23)

— Rodriguez is 1-0, 4.13 in five starts.
— Orioles are 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Orioles are 19-8 in their last 27 games.
— Baltimore is 11-6 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine
— scored run in first inning: 6-30
— record in first 5 innings: 15-11-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-1.1

— Lyles is 0-3, 7.50 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 0-6 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-5-1
— He is 0-3, 4.26 in three games (2 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Royals lost 17 of their last 22 games.
— Royals are 2-13 at home.
— under 6-3-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 11-33
— record in first 5 innings: 6-21-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5.1-4

Minnesota (17-14) @ White Sox (10-21)
— Lopez is 1-2, 7.31 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He allowed 2 runs in 7.2 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Twins lost three of last four games.
— Minnesota is 1-6 in last seven road games.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— scored run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-3.1

— Giolito is 1-2, 2.45 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 1-5 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He is 8-9, 4.03 in 21 starts vs Minnesota.

— Chicago won its last three games.
— White Sox are 6-9 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 11-32
— record in first 5 innings: 11-16-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

Seattle (14-16) @ Oakland (6-25)
— Kirby is 2-1, 2.05 in his last four starts
— Mariners are 2-3 in his starts
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 1-0, 4.43 in four starts vs Oakland.

— Seattle won its last three games.
— Mariners are 7-7 on the road.
— under 7-4 last 11 road games
— scored run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4

— Rucinski allowed 5 runs in 5.2 IP (89 PT) in his first ‘23 start.
— A’s are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle

— A’s lost 25 of their last 30 games.
— Oakland is 3-14 at home
— over 20-11
— scored run in first inning: 11-31
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-17-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4

Toronto (18-13) @ Boston (18-14)
— Gausman is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (14 IP).
— Blue Jays are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He is 7-8, 4.01 in 21 starts vs Boston.

— Toronto lost its last four games.
— Blue Jays are 9-10 on road.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 6-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.2-4

— Bello is 0-1, 6.57 in three starts.
— Red Sox are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 0-2, 7.62 in three starts vs Toronto.

— Red Sox are 13-6 in their last 19 games.
— Boston is 12-7 at home.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-32
— record in first 5 innings: 10-18-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-3

Interleague games
NY Mets (15-14) @ Detroit (12-17)

— Verlander is making his first ‘23 start.
— He was 18-4, 1.75 in 28 starts for Houston last year.
— over 0-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He is 2-2, 3.10 in four starts vs Detroit
— He pitched for the Tigers from 2005-17.

— Mets lost seven of their last eight games.
— Mets are 10-9 on the road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 4-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-14-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 11.1-x-8.2

— Rodriguez is 2-0, 0.67 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 4.1 IP, in one start against the Mets.

— Detroit is 7-4 in its last 11 home games.
— Tigers are 7-7 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 7-29
— record in first 5 innings: 8-13-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-5

Pittsburgh (20-11) @ Tampa Bay (25-6)
— Velasquez is 4-0, 1.08 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 0-1, 4.02 in three starts vs Tampa Bay

— Pirates lost their last three games.
— Pittsburgh is 11-7 on road.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 12-31
— record in first 5 innings: 17-8-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.1-3

— Eflin is 3-0, 3.00 in four starts.
— Rays are 4-0 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
— He is 1-1, 2.08 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Tampa Bay is 11-3 in its last 14 games.
— Rays are 16-2 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 13-31
— record in first 5 innings: 21-8-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-8.1-3

LA Angels (17-14) @ St Louis (10-21)
— Canning is 1-0, 4.11 in three starts.
— Angels are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He gave up two runs in 5.1 IP in one start vs St Louis.

— Angels are 7-3 in their last ten games.
— Angels are 9-9 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 18-9-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

— Flaherty is 1-2, 6.48 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

— Cardinals are 3-12 in their last 15 games.
— Cardinals are 5-10 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 14-31
— record in first 5 innings: 8-16-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3.1
 

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MLB

Thursday, May 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chi Cubs @ Washington
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home
Washington is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games

NY Mets @ Detroit
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Pittsburgh is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home

LA Angels @ St. Louis
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Baltimore @ Kansas City
Baltimore
Baltimore is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
Baltimore is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 13 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Kansas City is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Milwaukee @ Colorado
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 23 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

Seattle @ Oakland
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
Atlanta is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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THURSDAY, MAY 4
CHC at WAS01:05 PMWAS +158
U 8.5
+500 +500
PIT at TB01:10 PMPIT +171
O 8.0
+500 +500
NYM at DET01:10 PMDET +151
O 7.5
+500 +500
LAA at STL01:15 PMLAA +147
U 8.5
+500 +500
BAL at KC02:10 PMBAL -173
O 9.5
+500 +500
MIN at CHW02:10 PMCHW +113
O 8.0
+500 +500
MIL at COL03:10 PMMIL -143
U 12.0
+500 +500
SEA at OAK03:37 PMSEA -242
U 8.5
+500 +500
ATL at MIA04:10 PMMIA -107
O 8.5
+500 +500
TOR at BOS06:10 PMTOR -164
O 8.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
30,277
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MAY'S MLB BEST BETS !

05/04/2023...............................5 - 4...............................53.53%............ .........................+ 9.40
05/03/2023...............................5 - 1...............................83.33%............ .........................+ 18.30
05/02/2023...............................6 - 9...............................40.00%............ ........................- 24.30
05/01/2023...............................5 - 2...............................71.42%............ .......................+ 15.70

TOTALS...................................21 -16.............................50.00%............. ......................+ 19.10
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
30,277
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Completed Picks
May 4, 2023NBAL.A. Lakers
Golden State
100
127
GS -6.5Win
May 3, 2023NHLNew Jersey
Carolina
1
5
CAR -115Win
May 2, 2023NBAL.A. Lakers
Golden State
117
112
GS -4.5Loss
May 1, 2023MLBSan Francisco
Houston
3
7
Over 8.5Win
 
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