Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Odds to win this week’s British Open:
8-1— Rory McIlroy
10-1— Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler
12-1— Brooks Koepka
20-1— Jordan Spieth, Cameron Smith
22-1— Xander Schauffele
25-1— Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Viktor Hovland

Quote of the Day
“You just got lesson number one: don’t think. It can only hurt the ballclub.”
Kevin Costner, Bull Durham

Monday’s quiz
Which QB has thrown for the most yards in one season for the Chicago Bears?
Hints that won’t help much;
1) He went to college at NC State.
2) He also went to the same high school in California as former Braves’ catcher Biff Pocoroba.

Sunday’s quiz
Chicago Bears are the only one that has never had a QB throw for 4,000+ yards in a season.

Saturday’s quiz
Edgar Martinez has scored the most runs in Seattle Mariners’ history.

*******************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a summer Sunday

— One of many ways how baseball has changed over the years:
Justin Verlander will be a first ballot Hall of Famer; in his career, he has thrown 26 complete games total. His season high in innings pitched? 251 IP, in 2011.

In 1976, Padres had a pitcher named Randy Jones who started 40 games, and finished 25 of them; he threw 315.1 innings that year, going 22-14, 2.74 for a 73-89 San Diego team. That is 25 complete games, in one year.

Jones never had another winning season; after that year, he went 43-89 the rest of his career.

Like it or not, the modern approach to handling pitchers lets guys last longer, which is important when you’re paying them a boatload of $$$$.

— There were 15 baseball games Sunday; only six starting pitchers got a win. Lot of close games; four of them went to extra innings. Interesting day.

Astros 9, Angels 8— Another weird game between these division rivals:
Angels led 3-1 after six innings; Houston tied it.
Angels led 7-3 after seven innings; Astros scored 4 runs in the 9th to win it.
Chas McCormick hit two homers, knocked in three runs.
Kyle Turner ended game with a great diving catch in right field.

Phillies 7, Padres 6 (12)
San Diego led 4-1 in the 6th inning.
Schwarber walked it off with a 12th inning sac fly.
Padres, with their $250,806,874 payroll, are now 44-50- the ship be sinkin’

Giants 8, Pirates 4 (10)
San Francisco has now won five games in a row.
Pirates are calling up two more of their prospects to play Monday.

Mets 2, Dodgers 1 (10)
Max Scherzer allowed one hit in 7 IP
Guillorme walked it off with a 10th inning single.
Mets and their $362,985,805 payroll are now 43-50, 8.5 games out of a Wild Card slot.

Brewers 4, Reds 3
Milwaukee goes 5-1 against the Reds the last 10 days, takes over 1st in NL Central.
Reds scored total of 3 runs in this series; they’re bringing up Christian Encarnacion-Strand Monday. He is a 1B/3B who was hitting .331 in AAA.

From this point on, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will now be referred to as CES.

Rangers 6, Guardians 5
Texas scored four runs in bottom of the 8th for the comeback win and a series sweep.
Cleveland has a played a lot of one-run games (17-20).

Twins 5, A’s 4
Minnesota sweeps series; winning run in all three games scored from the 7th inning on.

Orioles 5, Marlins 4
Bradish threw 7.1 innings, didn’t give up any runs.
Baltimore has now won eight games in a row.

Colorado 8, New York 7
CJ Cron’s grand slam out Rockies up 5-3 in 8th inning.
New York tied game with two runs in 9th.
Jones/Trejo homered in the 11th; Jones’ 2-run blast tied the game.

— Movie of the Day: One on One (1977)— A small-town high school basketball star goes off to a big-time college and tries to impress his coach, tutor and teammates, not in that order, but he realizes that he has few skills outside of basketball.

Robby Benson is the player, a flashy passer whose overall game doesn’t impress his coach (then why did he recruit him???). GD Spradlin plays the coach; he also played Tom Landry in North Dallas Forty.

Annette O’Toole is the tutor; Melanie Griffith makes a cameo appearance at the start of the movie, as a hitch hiker.

I was a senior in high school when this movie came out; it seems kind of cheesy now, but I loved it when it came out.

The basketball scenes were filmed in Colorado State’s arena, which they still use today.

— College football Trend of the Day—
since 2013, UNLV is 32-18 ATS as a road underdog.
since 2013, UNLV is 10-18 ATS as a home underdog.

— Tennessee Titans are going to sign WR DeAndre Hopkins to a 2-year contract worth around $15M a year, if he hits his incentives.

Titans coach Mike Vrabel was the linebackers coach and later the defensive coordinator for the Houston Texans earlier in Hopkins’ career, so there is familiarity there.

— Phoenix Suns traded G Cameron Payne to San Antonio, will use the roster spot to sign Bol Bol. Phoenix saves more than $26M in luxury taxes for this season, but now they don’t have a traditional point guard on their roster.

— Tampa Bay Buccaneers are bringing back their creamsicle orange uniforms for a Week 5 game with Detroit.

— Tennessee avoided a bowl ban after the NCAA Committee on Infractions found the Vols’ football program responsible for more than 200 individual violations, including 18 Level I in violations— they were fined $8M, scholarships were reduced but they didn’t get a bowl ban, a big thing.

Former coach Jeremy Pruitt was hit with a six-year show cause order; in all probability, he’ll surface coaching in the XFL or USFL next spring.

— SEC football media days are this week in Nashville; four days of everyone putting their best foot forward for the media. Nick Saban might even smile once or twice.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Monday, July 17


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BALTIMORE is 27-9 SU (17.1 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 4-13 SU (-12.4 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in the current season.

CINCINNATI is 48-31 Over (13.9 Units) against NL West opponents in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 7-15 SU (-9.5 Units) in road games when playing on Monday in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 43-22 Under (18.8 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 38-18 SU (23.9 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 133-168 SU (-51.8 Units) against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 10-2 Under (7.8 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

OAKLAND is 348-277 Under (43.3 Units) in July games since 1996.

MINNESOTA is 23-53 SU (-35.3 Units) against AL West opponents in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Monday, July 17


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, July 17

National League
San Francisco
(52-41) @ Cincinnati (50-44)
— Webb is 1-1, 3.05 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 11-3 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-5
— He is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts vs Cincinnati (1 unearned run in 13 IP).

— Giants are 4-1 in their last five games.
— San Francisco is 24-19 on road.
— under 11-2-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-91
— record in first 5 innings: 41-35-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-3

— Williamson is 0-2, 4.80 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 7-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-4
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco

— Reds are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Cincinnati is 23-23 at home.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 30-93
— record in first 5 innings: 34-38-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

Miami (53-42) @ St Louis (40-53)
— Luzardo is 3-0, 1.14 in his last five starts.
— Miami is 13-6 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-3
— He is 1-1, 3.48 in two starts vs St Louis

— Miami is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Marlins are 23-24 on the road.
— over 7-2-2 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-95
— record in first 5 innings: 42-33-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-7.2

— Mikolas is 1-0, 3.63 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-7
— He is 3-1, 3.16 in seven starts vs Miami.

— Cardinals are 5-2 in last seven games.
— Cardinals are 19-26 at home.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 30-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-11.2-3

Washington (37-56) @ Cubs (43-49)
— Gore is 1-2, 5.66 in his last five starts.
— Washington is 3-13 in his last 16 starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-5
— He is 0-2, 7.00 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Nationals are 4-8 in last 12 games.
— Washington is 22-24 on the road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 31-93
— record in first 5 innings: 33-49-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-12-3

— Smyly is 0-2, 11.12 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1
— He is 2-0, 3.02 in seven starts vs Washington.

— Cubs are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Chicago is 2-8 in last ten home games.
— over 9-2 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-92
— record in first 5 innings: 40-39-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-3

American League
Tampa Bay
(60-36) @ Texas (55-39)
— McClanahan is 0-0, 8.10 in his last two starts.
— He was on the IL the last two weeks.
— Rays are 14-3 in his starts
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-1-4
— He gave up 3 runs in 7 IP, in his one start vs Texas.

— Tampa Bay lost seven of its last 10 games.
— Rays are 25-21 on the road.
— under 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 33-96
— record in first 5 innings: 54-32-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-10-5

— Dunning is 3-1, 2.97 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 7-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-2-2
— He is 0-0, 0.00 in two starts (9 IP) vs Tampa Bay.

— Texas won its last three games.
— Rangers are 30-18 at home.
— over 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 57-27-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-4

Detroit (41-51) @ Kansas City (27-67)
— Manning is 2-0, 3.09 in his last two starts.
— Tigers are 3-2 in his starts
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He is 1-0, 3.65 in three starts vs Kansas City.

— Detroit is 3-2 in its last five games.
— Tigers are 21-26 on the road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 23-92
— record in first 5 innings: 33-42-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-2.1

— Lyles is 1-1, 4.24 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 1-16 in his starts
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 11-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-4
— He is 1-2, 3.63 in five starts vs Detroit.

— Royals are 5-11 in their last 16 games.
— Royals are 14-33 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight
— scored run in first inning: 31-94
— record in first 5 innings: 25-54-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-1

Bronx (50-44) @ LA Angels (46-48)
— Severino is 1-2, 9.33 in his last six starts.
— New York is 4-5 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-3
— He is 0-1,3.52 in four starts vs Anaheim

— New York is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— Bronx is 22-21 on road.
— over 9-5-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-93
— record in first 5 innings: 42-34-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4.2

— Canning is 1-2, 4.79 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 8-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs New York.

— Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 games.
— Angels are 24-22 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 24-94
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-6

Boston (50-44) @ Oakland (25-70)
— bullpen game

— Red Sox won 10 of last 12 games.
— Boston is 24-22 on the road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 28-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-47-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3

— Blackburn is 1-1, 5.86 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-3
— He is 1-1, 6.10 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Boston.

— A’s lost their last seven games.
— Oakland is 12-35 at home.
— over 8-0 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-95
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 24-55-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-5-2.2

Minnesota (48-46) @ Seattle (46-46)
— Gray is 0-2, 4.56 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 3-9 in his last 12 starts.
— under 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
— He is 5-3, 2.73 in 14 starts vs Seattle.

— Twins are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Minnesota is 22-24 on the road.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 38-39-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3.1-3.2

— Gilbert is 3-1, 1.86 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 1-6 in his home starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 1-0, 0.82 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Seattle is 8-4 in its last 12 games.
— Mariners are 25-22 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 26-92
— record in first 5 innings: 42-37-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-4

Interleague games
Los Angeles
(53-39) @ Baltimore (57-35)
— Sheehan is 2-0, 4.22 in four starts.
— Dodgers are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He hasn’t pitched against the Orioles.

— Dodgers won seven of last nine games.
— Dodgers are 24-23 on the road.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-92
— record in first 5 innings: 45-36-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4.1

— Rodriguez is 0-2, 14.66 in his last three starts.
— His last start in the majors was May 26.
— Orioles are 7-3 in his starts
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.

— Orioles won their last eight games.
— Baltimore is 29-18 at home.
— over 12-6-3 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-92
— record in first 5 innings: 41-36-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-1.2

Cleveland (45-48) @ Pittsburgh (41-52)
— bullpen game

— Guardians lost their last four games.
— Cleveland is 21-26 on the road.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

— Priester is making his MLB debut here.
— He was 7-3, 4.31 in 18 AAA starts this year.
— He was 1-1, 3.86 in two AAA starts last year.
— He obviously hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Pirates are 2-10 in their last 12 games.
— Pittsburgh is 22-24 at home.
— over 7-2-1 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 22-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-42-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-7.1
 

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MONDAY, JULY 17​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at PIT07:05 PMCLE -125
O 9.0
+500 +500
LAD at BAL07:05 PMBAL -115
U 9.5
+500 +500
SF at CIN07:10 PMSF -145
O 10.0
+500 +500
MIA at STL07:45 PMMIA -110
O 8.5
+500 +500
TB at TEX08:05 PMTEX +100
O 9.0
+500 +500
WAS at CHC08:05 PMCHC -140
U 8.5
+500 +500
DET at KC08:10 PMDET -130
U 9.5
+500 +500
NYY at LAA09:38 PMNYY +110
O 9.0
+500 +500
BOS at OAK09:40 PMOAK +135
U 8.0
+500 +500
MIN at SEA09:40 PMMIN +115
O 7.0
+500 +500
 

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Pending Picks​

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Jul 17, 2023MLBTampa Bay
Texas
-
-
08:05 PMTEX +100

Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Jul 16, 2023MLBArizona
Toronto
5
7
Under 9.5Loss
Jul 15, 2023MLBBoston
Chi. Cubs
4
10
BOS -120Loss
Jul 14, 2023MLBLA Dodgers
NY Mets
6
0
NYM +100Loss
Jul 12, 2023WNBANew York
Indiana
95
87
NY -10.0Loss
Jul 9, 2023MLBColorado
San Francisco
0
1
Over 8.0Loss
 

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Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Jul 17, 2023MLBTampa Bay
Texas
2
3
TEX +100Win
Jul 16, 2023MLBArizona
Toronto
5
7
Under 9.5Loss
Jul 15, 2023MLBBoston
Chi. Cubs
4
10
BOS -120Loss
Jul 14, 2023MLBLA Dodgers
NY Mets
6
0
NYM +100Loss
Jul 12, 2023WNBANew York
Indiana
95
87
NY -10.0Loss
Jul 9, 2023MLBColorado
San Francisco
0
1
Over 8.0Loss
Jul 7, 2023WNBALas Vegas
Dallas
78
80
DAL +8.5Win
Jul 6, 2023MLBBaltimore
NY Yankees
14
1
BAL -130Win
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
07/18/20230-0-00.00%+0Detail
07/17/20238-10-044.44%-975Detail
07/16/202310-19-135.00%-7075Detail
07/15/202316-16-050.00%-200Detail
07/14/20237-16-131.25%-6175Detail
07/09/202313-14-148.21%-125Detail
07/08/202311-18-138.33%-5050Detail
07/07/202314-16-046.67%-2250Detail
07/06/20236-15-129.55%-5575Detail
07/05/202316-12-057.14%+1900Detail
07/04/202319-9-067.86%+5150Detail
07/03/202311-7-061.11%+1600Detail
07/02/202311-13-146.00%-3275Detail
07/01/202317-11-060.71%+2375Detail
 

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MLB JULY'S BEST BETS !

07/17/2023................. ....5 - 7 - 1..................................36.36%.........................- 17.25
07/16/2023.....................7 - 12 - 1.................................36.84%..........................- 32.00
07/15/2023...........................11 - 9.................................55.00%..........................+ 10.00
07/14/2023.............................7 - 12...............................25.00%..........................- 54.25
07/09/2023.............................7 - 8.................................46.66%..........................+ 4.25
07/08/2023.............................7 - 15...............................31.81%..........................- 52.75
07/07/2023.............................9 - 8.................................52.94%..........................+ 3.75
07/06/2023.............................4 - 11...............................26.66%.........................- 41.25
07/05/2023.............................7 - 10...............................41.17%.........................- 15.25
07/04/2023............................13 - 5................................72.22%.........................+ 44.75
07/03/2023..............................7 - 4................................63.63%........................+ 14.00
07/02/2023.........................7 - 9 - 1.................................43.75%.........................- 19.00
07/012023..............................12 - 6................................66.66%........................+ 29.00

TOTALS..........................103 -116 - 3..............................47.03%........................- 126.00
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Giants-Reds game was suspended by weather, resumes at 5:40 today.
— Texas 3, Tampa Bay 2— Rangers win on a walk-off wild pitch.
— Dodgers 6, Orioles 4— Loss snaps Baltimore’s 8-game winning streak.
— Tigers 3, Royals 2— Lyles threw 6 shutout IP, but KC is still 1-17 in his starts.
— Angels 4, New York 3 (10)— Bronx is 2-7 in its last nine games.
— Cavaliers 99, Rockets 78— Cleveland wins the NBA’s Summer League.

Quote of the Day
“When I came up to bat in the 9th inning with bases loaded and two outs, I looked in the visitors’ dugout and guys were already in their street clothes.”
Bob Uecker

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the host of Wheel of Fortune, before Pat Sajak?
Hint: He does a commercial on TV these days about buying gold.

Monday’s quiz
Erik Kramer threw for 3,838 yards in 1995, the most passing yards in one season for the Chicago Bears- they went 9-7 that year.

Sunday’s quiz
Chicago Bears are the only NFL team that has never had a QB throw for 4,000+ yards in a season.​

*********************************************************

Facts, trends for NFC teams……

Arizona Cardinals
Were 50-32-1 in five years under Bruce Arians; why did they fire him?
They’re 31-50-1 in five years since they fired him, 0-1 in playoff games.
Last four years, Cardinals are 5-12 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2013, Arizona is 9-20-1 ATS in NFC West home games.

Atlanta Falcons
Have had five straight losing seasons (32-50 SU/35-45-2 ATS)
Under Arthur Smith, Falcons are 4-10-2 ATS at home.
Since 2013, Atlanta is 18-34-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Smith, Falcons are 7-4-2 ATS in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Carolina Panthers
Haven’t made playoffs since 2017; haven’t won playoff game since 2015.
Frank Reich is the new coach; he was 41-35-1 SU in five years with the Colts.
Last three years, Carolina was 0-9 ATS as a favorite of 3 or less points.
Last three years, Carolina was 10-3 ATS as an underdog 3 or less points.

Chicago Bears
Made playoffs in 2018/2020; last playoff win was in 2010.
Last 10 years, they had one winning season, were 8-8 three times.
Last four years, Bears are 9-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 10 years, Chicago is 14-27-2 ATS as an underdog in divisional games.

Dallas Cowboys
Went 24-10 SU last two years, scoring 29.3 ppg; why fire the offensive coordinator?
Last two years, Cowboys are +24 in turnovers, 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 10 years, Dallas is 16-8 ATS as a home favorite in NFC East games.
Since 2010, Dallas is 116-94 SU in regular season, 3-4 in playoff games.

Detroit Lions
Last time Detroit won a playoff game? 1991.
Last time Lions made the playoffs? 2016.
Last 10 games last year, Detroit was 8-2 SU/9-1 ATS.
In his career, Jared Goff is 56-48-1 SU as a starting QB.

Green Bay Packers
Jordan Love is the new QB, Packers’ first new starting QB since 2008.
Last four years, Green Bay is +39 in turnovers.
Last 10 years, Green Bay is 39-24-2 ATS as a divisional favorite.
Last two years, Packers were 1-6-1 ATS on artificial turf.

Los Angeles Rams
Last year was Rams’ first losing season since 2016.
In six seasons, Sean McVay is 7-3 SU in playoff games.
Last two years, Rams are 4-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Under McVay, Rams are 8-4 ATS as a divisional road favorite.

— Movie of the Day: Double Jeopardy (1999)— A woman framed for her husband’s murder suspects he is still alive; she has already been tried for the crime, so she can’t be re-prosecuted if she finds and kills him.
Ashley Judd is the woman; Tommy Lee Jones is her parole officer who tries to find her— they’re both in New Orleans when she finds the man she had supposedly killed.

Minnesota Vikings
Vikings were 13-4 last year, their best regular season since 2009.
Vikings were 11-0 last year in games decided by 8 or less points.
Kirk Cousins is 47-35-1 SU as Minnesota’s quarterback.
Last 10 years, Minnesota is 43-29-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

New Jersey Giants
Went 9-7-1 LY, won playoff game, their first winning season since 2016.
Were 8-4-1 last year in games decided by 8 or less points.
In Daboll’s first season as coach, Giants were 8-2 ATS as an underdog.
Giants were +1 in turnovers last year; were minus-25 from 2020-22.

New Orleans Saints
Saints were 7-10 LY, their first year since 2005 without Sean Payton as coach.
New Orleans was minus-11 in turnovers LY (+31 from 2020-22).
New QB is Derek Carr; he was 63-80 as Raiders’ QB, 0-1 in playoff games.
Since 2014, Saints are 24-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

Philadelphia Eagles
Eagles made playoffs 5 of last 6 years; they won NFC title last year.
Under Sirianni, Philly is 9-3 ATS as a home favorite, 8-14 ATS in other games.
Last five years, Eagles are 7-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Sirianni, over is 12-5 in Eagle home games.

San Francisco 49ers
Last two years, 49ers went 23-11 in regular season, lost twice in NFC title game.
Last four years, Niners are 14-6 ATS on artificial turf.
SF was 7-1 ATS as a home favorite LY; they were 7-16-1 from 2018-22.
Who is QB going to be? Purdy? Lance? Darnold?

Seattle Seahawks
Finished over .500 10 of last 11 years; last six seasons, they’re 1-4 in playoff games.
In his NFL career, Pete Carroll is 18-8 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2016, Seahawks are 2-7-1 ATS as a divisional road favorite.
Seattle is 6-11 in its last 17 games that were decided by 8 or less points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
In 3 years with Brady at QB, Bucs went 32-18 in regular season, 5-2 in playoffs.
In his 5-year career, Baker Mayfield is 32-39 as an NFL starter, 1-1 in playoff games.
Last four years, Tampa Bay is 5-9-1 ATS as an underdog.
Last two years, under was 11-5 in Buccaneers’ road games.

Washington Commanders
Since 2006, Washington is 0-4 in playoff games.
Last time Washington finished over .500? 2016.
Since 2018, Commanders are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 10 years, Washington is 11-19 ATS in NFC East home games.
 

Udog

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PHILADELPHIA is 16-2 SU (13.8 Units) after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 19-2 Under (16.8 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 27-10 SU (16 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 11-3 Under (7.7 Units) after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more in the current season.

CINCINNATI is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games when playing on Tuesday in the current season.

CHI WHITE SOX is 18-30 SU (-15 Units) in road games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 466-360 Under (70 Units) on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1996.

MIAMI is 21-33 SU (-15.3 Units) in road games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 23-40 SU (-21 Units) in July games in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games when playing on Tuesday in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 158-167 SU (-25.7 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 34-18 SU (14.2 Units) in home games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span in the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 16-3 Under (12.7 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) when playing on Tuesday in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 23-54 SU (-36.4 Units) against AL West opponents in the last 3 seasons.
 

Udog

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MLB

Tuesday, July 18


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Trend Report
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Udog

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, July 18

National League
Milwaukee
(52-42) @ Philadelphia (51-42)
— Teheran is 0-1, 7.02 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 3-5 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5
— He is 6-4, 3.80 in 11 starts at Philadelphia.

— Brewers are 11-4 in their last 15 games.
— Milwaukee is 26-21 on the road.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 42-39-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-x

— Nola is 2-1, 3.70 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 4-2 in his home starts.
— over 6-3-1 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-1
— He is 5-1, 2.28 in ten starts vs Milwaukee.

— Phillies are 25-10 in their last 35 games.
— Phillies are 25-17 at home.
— over 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 39-43-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-2-x

San Francisco (52-41) @ Cincinnati (50-44)
Last night’s game was suspended by cruddy weather in 8th inning; it will resume at 5:40 Tuesday, with this game following it.

— DeSclafani is 0-2, 6.88 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9
— He is 1-1, 0.84 in two starts vs Cincinnati.
— He pitched for the Reds from 2015-20.

— Giants are 4-1 in their last five games.
— San Francisco is 24-19 on road.
— under 11-2-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-91
— record in first 5 innings: 41-35-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-3

— Weaver is 1-0, 8.31 in his last six starts.
— Reds won his last eight starts, scoring 61 runs.
— over 6-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-4
— He is 3-3, 3.13 in seven starts vs San Francisco

— Reds are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Cincinnati is 23-23 at home.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 30-93
— record in first 5 innings: 34-38-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

Arizona (52-42) @ Atlanta (61-31)
— Davies is 0-4, 8.90 in his last six starts.
— Arizona is 4-7 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-2
— He is 1-1, 4.98 in four starts vs Atlanta.

— Arizona is 2-8 in its last ten games.
— Arizona is 26-18 on the road.
— under 10-3-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-94
— record in first 5 innings: 41-37-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-x

— Elder is 2-1, 4.30 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 13-5 in his starts
— under 11-2 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Atlanta is 29-8 in its last 37 games.
— Braves are 31-17 at home.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-92
— record in first 5 innings: 55-25-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-7.1-x

Miami (53-43) @ St Louis (41-53)
— Miami hasn’t named a starter.

— Miami is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— Marlins are 23-25 on the road.
— over 8-2-2 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-96
— record in first 5 innings: 42-34-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-7.2-4

— Montgomery is 3-0, 1.82 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 4-2 in his last six starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-4
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Cardinals are 6-2 in last eight games.
— Cardinals are 20-26 at home.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 30-94
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 11.2-3-3

Washington (38-56) @ Cubs (43-50)
— Corbin is 2-1, 3.32 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 9-10 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-2
— He is 5-2, 4.01 in ten starts vs Chicago.

— Nationals are 5-8 in last 13 games.
— Washington is 23-24 on the road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 32-94
— record in first 5 innings: 34-49-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 12-3-2.2

— Taillon is 1-1, 5.50 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 3-12 in his starts.
— over 6-3-2 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He is 0-1, 4.32 in six starts vs Washington.

— Cubs are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Chicago is 2-9 in last eleven home games.
— over 10-2 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-93
— record in first 5 innings: 40-40-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

American League
Tampa Bay
(60-37) @ Texas (56-39)
— Bradley is 0-2, 11.68 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 3-7 in his last 10 starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs Texas.

— Tampa Bay lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Rays are 25-22 on the road.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 34-97
— record in first 5 innings: 55-32-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 10-5-2

— Eovaldi is 1-0, 3.75 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 1-4 in his last five starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 14-2-2
— He is 6-6, 4.17 in 14 starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Texas won its last four games.
— Rangers are 31-18 at home.
— over 3-2 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 57-28-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-2

Detroit (42-51) @ Kansas City (27-68)
— Skubal is 0-0, 0.00 in two starts (8 IP).
— Tigers are 0-2 in his starts
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 1-6, 4.60 in seven starts vs Kansas City.

— Detroit is 4-2 in its last six games.
— Tigers are 22-26 on the road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 23-93
— record in first 5 innings: 33-43-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2.1-3.1

— Lynch is 2-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 3-5 in his starts
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-2
— He is 2-3, 4.21 in seven starts vs Detroit.

— Royals are 5-12 in their last 17 games.
— Royals are 14-34 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine
— scored run in first inning: 31-95
— record in first 5 innings: 26-54-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-1-3

Bronx (50-45) @ LA Angels (47-48)
— German is 1-0, 2.33 in his last three starts.
— New York is 6-2 in his road starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-4
— He is 1-0, 2.57 in two starts vs Anaheim

— New York is 2-7 in its last nine games.
— Bronx is 22-22 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 42-34-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-3.2

— Sandoval is 0-1, 7.20 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 1-8 in his last nine starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-2
— He is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts vs New York.

— Angels are 3-11 in their last 14 games.
— Angels are 25-22 at home.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 24-95
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-4.1

Boston (51-44) @ Oakland (25-71)
— bullpen game

— Red Sox won 11 of last 13 games.
— Boston is 25-22 on the road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 36-47-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-3

— Medina is 2-7, 6.34 in 12 games (8 starts).
— Sometimes he starts, sometimes he is a bulk guy.
— He gave up 4 runs in 6 IP vs Boston July 7.

— A’s lost their last eight games.
— Oakland is 12-36 at home.
— over 8-1 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-96
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 24-56-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.2-3.1

Minnesota (48-47) @ Seattle (47-46)
— Ober is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 8-6 in his starts.
— under 11-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-4
— He is 1-0, 4.00 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Twins are 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— Minnesota is 22-25 on the road.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 38-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.2-2.1

— Woo is 1-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 4-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Seattle is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
— Mariners are 26-22 at home.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 26-93
— record in first 5 innings: 43-37-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-4

Interleague games

Los Angeles
(54-39) @ Baltimore (57-36)
— Grove is 0-0, 5.79 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 5-3 in his starts.
— over 3-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Orioles.

— Dodgers won eight of last ten games.
— Dodgers are 25-23 on the road.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-93
— record in first 5 innings: 45-37-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-4

— Wells is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 10-7 in his starts
— under 7-2 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-5
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.

— Orioles won eight of last nine games.
— Baltimore is 29-19 at home.
— over 13-6-3 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-93
— record in first 5 innings: 42-36-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-1.2-4

Cleveland (46-48) @ Pittsburgh (41-53)
— Allen is 0-0, 5.40 in his last four starts.
— His last start was June 28.
— Cleveland is 10-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh

— Guardians lost four of last five games.
— Cleveland is 22-26 on the road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-6

— Keller is 1-1, 2.52 in his last four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 1-4 in his last five starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-5
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Cleveland.

— Pirates are 2-11 in their last 13 games.
— Pittsburgh is 22-25 at home.
— over 8-2-1 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 22-94
— record in first 5 innings: 35-43-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-7.1-3.2

San Diego (44-50) @ Toronto (53-41)
— Musgrove is 5-0, 2.13 in his last six starts.
— Padres are 9-5 in his starts.
— over 5-0-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-1
— He is 1-0, 1.46 in three games (1 start) vs Toronto.

— Padres lost their last three games.
— San Diego is 19-27 on road.
— over 10-3-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-94
— record in first 5 innings: 43-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-2.2-x

— Manoah is 1-3, 9.22 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 5-9 in his starts.
— over 7-1 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-4
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Toronto won eight of their last nine games.
— Blue Jays are 26-18 at home.
— under 11-3-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-94
— record in first 5 innings: 38-39-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-x

White Sox (40-55) @ NY Mets (43-50)
— Giolito is 1-1, 4.06 in his last five starts.
— Chicago is 4-1 in his last five road starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-3
— He is 0-0, 3.07 in three starts against the Mets.

— Chicago is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
— White Sox are 19-30 on the road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 22-95
— record in first 5 innings: 35-46-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-x

— Carrasco is 1-1, 4.38 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 5-7 in his starts.
— over 6-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 10-12, 4.14 in 26 starts against the White Sox.

— Mets lost four of their last five games.
— Mets are 21-21 at home.
— under 12-5-3 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-93
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2

Houston (52-42) @ Colorado (36-57)
— Brown is 0-3, 7.23 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 2-5 in his last seven starts
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Astros are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Houston is 27-20 on road.
— over 4-0 last four road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-94
— record in first 5 innings: 47-33-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-x

— Colorado hasn’t named a starter yet.

— Colorado is 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Colorado is 22-25 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-93
— record in first 5 innings: 31-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-4-x

Umpires
— SF-Cin— Over is 11-6 in Morales games
— Mia-StL— Under is 9-5 in last 14 Randazzo games.
— Wsh-Chi— Favorites won last seven Libka games.

— TB-Tex— Home team is 10-1 in last 11 Blaser games
— Det-KC— Last four DeJesus games stayed under total.
— NYY-LAA— Under is 9-2 in last 11 Blakney games.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Bos-A’s— Underdogs are 5-5 (+220) in last 10 Hamari games.
— Min-Sea— Underdogs are 4-4 (+85) in last eight Muchlinski games

— LA-Balt— Under is 8-1-2 in last 11 Guccione games
— Clev-Pitt— Underdogs are 7-3 (+747) in last ten Gonzalez games
 

Cnotes53

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Pending Picks​

TUESDAY, JULY 18​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIL at PHI06:40 PMPHI -220
U 9.0
+500 +500
LAD at BAL07:05 PMBAL -125
U 9.5
+500 +500
CLE at PIT07:05 PMPIT -110
U 8.5
+500 +500
SD at TOR07:07 PMTOR -105
U 9.0
+500 +500
CHW at NYM07:10 PMCHW +100
U 9.0
+500 +500
SF at CIN07:10 PMSF -135
O 10.5
+500 +500
ARI at ATL07:20 PMATL -200
U 10.0
+500 +500
MIA at STL07:45 PMSTL -155
U 8.0
+500 +500
WAS at CHC08:05 PMCHC -170
O 9.0
+500 +500
TB at TEX08:05 PMTEX -140
U 9.0
+500 +500
DET at KC08:10 PMDET -145
O 8.5
+500 +500
NYY at LAA09:38 PMNYY -110
U 9.0
+500 +500
MIN at SEA09:40 PMSEA -125
O 7.5
+500 +500
BOS at OAK09:40 PMBOS -200
U 9.0
+500 +500
 
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