Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, August 6

National League
Washington (48-63) @ Cincinnati (59-54)
— Irvin is 1-0, 5.48 in his last four starts.
— Nationals are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP in a 3-2 July 3 loss vs Cincinnati.

— Nationals are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Washington is 26-29 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 38-110
— record in first 5 innings: 41-57-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-3

— bullpen game

— Reds lost their last five games, giving up 54 runs.
— Cincinnati is 28-28 at home.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 39-112
— record in first 5 innings: 44-42-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-3.1

Atlanta (70-38) @ Cubs (56-54)
— Morton is 0-3, 6.60 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 5-5 in his road starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-1
— He is 4-6, 5.03 in 17 starts vs Chicago.

— Atlanta won six of its last eight games.
— Braves are 33-18 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 43-108
— record in first 5 innings: 64-30-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3.2

— Steele is 3-0, 3.93 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 12-4-4
— He is 1-0, 3.00 in two games (1 start) vs Atlanta.

— Cubs won 12 of last 15 games.
— Chicago is 31-28 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-110
— record in first 5 innings: 49-46-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-5.1

Pittsburgh (49-61) @ Milwaukee (60-52)
— Oviedo is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
— Pirates are 8-14 in his starts.
— under 10-3-1 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-4
— He is 1-2, 6.16 in five games (2 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Pirates are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Pittsburgh is 23-33 on road.
— over 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-110
— record in first 5 innings: 41-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-5.2

— Woodruff is 1-0, 0.79 in two starts.
— His last start was April 7th.
— Brewers are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 6-2, 3.70 in 13 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Brewers are 4-7 in last eleven games.
— Milwaukee is 0-6 in game following its last six wins.
— Milwaukee is 31-25 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 34-112
— record in first 5 innings: 46-50-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4

Colorado (43-67) @ St Louis (49-63)
— Gomber is 0-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 12-6 in his last 18 starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-3
— He is 0-1, 9.82 in three games (1 start) vs St Louis.

— Colorado is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
— Colorado is 18-37 on road.
— under 15-7 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-109
— record in first 5 innings: 40-56-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3.1

— bullpen game

— Cardinals are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— Cardinals are 25-32 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 37-111
— record in first 5 innings: 46-45-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-6-3

Los Angeles (63-46) @ San Diego (55-56)
— Lynn gave up 3 runs in 7 IP in his first start for LA.
— Lynn’s team is 9-7 in his last 16 starts.
— over 16-6
— allowed run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-2
— He is 4-3, 2.73 in nine starts vs San Diego.

— Dodgers won four of their last five games.
— Dodgers are 29-26 on road.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-109
— record in first 5 innings: 52-45-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.1-3.2

— Rich Hill is making his San Diego debut here.
— Hill was 0-1, 4.71 in his last four starts for Pittsburgh.
— Pirates were 10-12 in his starts.
— over 8-1-1 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-3
— He is 0-1, 2.45 in two starts vs Los Angeles (2007/2021).

— Padres are 11-6 in their last 17 games.
— San Diego is 0-10 in extra innings.
— San Diego is 30-26 at home.
— under 10-5-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-111
— record in first 5 innings: 53-46-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-2-4

American League
Tampa Bay (67-46) @ Detroit (49-61)
— Glasnow is 3-0, 2.00 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 7-5 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— This is his first start against Detroit.

— Tampa Bay is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Rays are 30-27 on road.
— under 14-6 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-113
— record in first 5 innings: 61-40-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3.2

— Manning is 0-2, 6.27 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 4-5 in his starts.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1
— He threw 7 shutout IP in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Detroit is 5-9 in its last 14 games.
— Tigers are 23-31 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 27-110
— record in first 5 innings: 39-53-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3.2

Houston (63-49) @ Bronx (58-53)
— Urquidy is 2-2, 5.02 in six starts.
— His last start was April 30
— JP France ix expected to piggy-back this start in relief.
— Houston is 3-3 in Urquidy’s starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He gave up 1 hit, 1 run in 7 IP, in his one start vs New York

— Astros are 13-7 in their last 20 games.
— Houston is 32-24 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 39-112
— record in first 5 innings: 53-40-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-1

— Rodon is 1-4, 6.29 in five starts.
— New York is 1-4 in his starts, scoring 10 runs
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He is 2-0, 1.55 in seven starts vs Houston.

— New York is 3-1 in its last four games.
— Bronx is 35-27 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 30-110
— record in first 5 innings: 49-41-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-5

White Sox (44-68) @ Cleveland (54-57)
— Scholtens is 0-1, 3.68 in three starts.
— White Sox are 0-3 in his starts
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He gave up a run in 6 IP, in two relief stints vs Cleveland

— Chicago is 8-20 in its last 28 games.
— White Sox are 21-39 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 28-112
— record in first 5 innings: 41-57-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-3.1

— bullpen game

— Guardians are 2-6 in their last eight games.
— Cleveland is 29-25 at home.
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 32-111
— record in first 5 innings: 47-43-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

Toronto (62-50) @ Boston (57-53)
— Bassitt is 2-1, 3.13 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 5-2 in his last seven starts
— under 6-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 7 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Toronto lost four of its last seven games.
— Blue Jays are 32-26 on road.
— under 22-6 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-112
— record in first 5 innings: 47-43-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2.1-3.1

— bullpen game

— Red Sox lost six of its last seven games.
— Boston is 30-25 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 35-109
— record in first 5 innings: 41-53-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-5

Seattle (59-52) @ LA Angels (56-56)
— Miller is 1-1, 6.88 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 8-7 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

— Seattle won 13 of last 16 games.
— Mariners are 28-26 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 33-111
— record in first 5 innings: 48-45-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

— Silseth is 2-1, 3.86 in three starts.
— Angels are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Angels are 2-7 in their last nine games.
— Angels are 29-26 at home.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 31-112
— record in first 5 innings: 47-45-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-4

Interleague games
Kansas City (36-76) @ Philadelphia (60-51)
— Greinke is 0-3, 5.32 in his last five starts.
— Kansas City is 2-11 in his last 13 starts.
— under 8-5 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 4-12-5
— He is 8-3, 2.76 in 12 starts vs Philly.

— Royals won seven of last eight games.
— Royals are 15-40 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 34-112
— record in first 5 innings: 34-61-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.1-4

— Walker is 1-1, 4.07 in his last four starts.
— Philly is 13-3 in his last 16 starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-4
— He is 0-1, 4.20 in three starts vs Kansas City.

— Phillies are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Phillies are 29-21 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-111
— record in first 5 innings: 46-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.2-4

NY Mets (50-60) @ Baltimore (69-42)
— Quintana is 0-2, 4.00 in three starts.
— Mets are 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He is 2-4, 3.74 in seven starts vs Baltimore.

— Mets are 0-5 since the trade deadline.
— Mets are 24-37 on road.
— under 20-12-3 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-108
— record in first 5 innings: 47-48-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2-3.1

— Bradish is 3-2, 2.73 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 12-8 in his starts
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

— Orioles are 20-6 in last 26 games.
— Baltimore is 34-21 at home.
— under 9-6 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-110
— record in first 5 innings: 51-39-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-2

Miami (58-54) @ Texas (65-46)
— Alcantara is 1-0, 0.53 in his last two starts.
— Marlins are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Miami is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— Marlins are 24-30 on road
— under 5-3 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-112
— record in first 5 innings: 47-43-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-5

— Heaney is 3-0, 2.95 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
— under 3-1 last four home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Texas won its last five games.
— Rangers are 39-20 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 35-110
— record in first 5 innings: 66-32-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3.2

Arizona (57-55) @ Minnesota (58-54)
— Gallen is 0-2, 5.18 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 4-8 in his road starts.
— under 4-1 last five road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 7 IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

— Arizona is 7-20 in its last 27 games.
— Arizona is 29-26 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 38-111
— record in first 5 innings: 44-45-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-2-5

— Keuchel is making his first 2023 start.
— Last year, he was 2-9, 9.20 in 14 starts for 4 teams.
— This year, he was in AAA.
— In his career, he is 101-91, 3.98 in 257 starts.
— He is 3-3, 3.86 in seven starts vs Arizona.

— Twins won four of their last five games.
— Minnesota is 32-24 at home.
— over 15-6 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-111
— record in first 5 innings: 46-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3

San Francisco (59-50) @ Oakland (31-80)
— Cobb is 1-1, 2.86 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 14-3 in his last 17 starts.
— under 15-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-5
— He is 5-3, 1.80 in 12 starts vs Oakland.

— Giants are 7-3 in their last ten games.
— San Francisco is 28-26 on road.
— under 14-3 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-108
— record in first 5 innings: 45-45-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-x-2.2

— Medina is 3-8, 5.35 in 15 games (11 starts).
— sometimes he starts, sometimes he is a bulk guy.
— He hasn’t pitched against the Giants

— A’s are 6-13 since All-Star break.
— Oakland is 16-39 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 30-111
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 30-62-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3

Umpires
Atl-Chi— Over is 6-3 in last nine Hudson games
Wsh-Cin—Over is 8-4-1 in last 13 Vondrak games
Pitt-Mil— Over is 18-4-1 in Tomlinson games.
Colo-StL— Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Gibson games.
LA-SD— Over is 12-8 in Morales games.

Hst-NYY— This is 2nd game of year for veteran ump Hernandez.
TB-Det— Over is 4-1 in last five Bellino games.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Tor-Bos— Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Whitson games.
CWS-Clev— Under is 3-1 in last four Scheurwater games.
Sea-LAA— Last five Valentine games stayed under total.

Mia-Tex— Over is 10-5 in last 15 Barber games
KC-Phil— Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Nelson games
NYM-Balt— Over is 9-5 in last 14 Rehak games
Az-Minn— Under is 7-3 in last ten Hamari games
SF-A’s— Road team won four of last five Additon games.
 
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Dunkel

Sunday, August 6

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Pending Picks​

SUNDAY, AUGUST 6​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TOR at BOS01:35 PMTOR -110
U 10.0		+500 +500
NYM at BAL01:35 PMBAL -200
U 8.5		+500 +500
HOU at NYY01:35 PMHOU +105
U 9.0		+500 +500
KC at PHI01:35 PMKC +175
O 9.5		+500 +500
TB at DET01:40 PMTB -165
O 8.5		+500 +500
WAS at CIN01:40 PMWAS +140
U 10.5		+500 +500
ARI at MIN02:10 PMARI -150
O 8.5		+500 +500
PIT at MIL02:10 PMMIL -210
U 8.0		+500 +500
COL at STL02:15 PMCOL +170
U 9.5		+500 +500
ATL at CHC02:20 PMCHC +105
O 8.5		+500 +500
MIA at TEX02:35 PMMIA +100
O 8.5		+500 +500
SF at OAK04:07 PMSF -192
U 8.0		+500 +500
SEA at LAA04:07 PMLAA -125
U 9.5		+500 +500
LAD at SD07:10 PMSD +110
O 9.5		+500 +500
 
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Pending Picks​

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Aug 6, 2023MLBMiami
Texas		-
-		02:35 PMTEX -120
 
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Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Aug 6, 2023MLBMiami
Texas		0
6		TEX -120Win
Aug 5, 2023MLBHouston
NY Yankees		1
3		Under 8.5Win
Aug 4, 2023MLBHouston
NY Yankees		7
3		Under 9.0Loss
Aug 3, 2023MLBSeattle
LA Angels		5
3		Under 8.5Win
Aug 2, 2023MLBArizona
San Francisco		2
4		Over 8.0Loss
Aug 1, 2023MLBTampa Bay
NY Yankees		5
2		Under 8.5Win
Jul 31, 2023MLBBaltimore
Toronto		4
2		Under 9.0Win
Jul 30, 2023MLBDetroit
Miami		6
8		Over 7.0Win
Jul 29, 2023MLBBoston
San Francisco		2
3		Under 8.5Win
 
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MLB AUGUST BEST BETS !

08/06/2023.............................12 - 7.............................63.15%..........................- 29.00
08/05/2023..............................9 - 12............................42.85%..........................- 33.25
08/04/2023..............................6 - 11............................35.29%.........................- 16.00
08/03/2023..............................5 - 9..............................35.71%..........................- 23.75
08/02/2023............................10 - 10...........................50.00%.........................+ 23.25
08/01/2023..............................7 - 12............................36.84%.........................- 28.50

TOTALS.................................. 49 - 61...........................44.54%..........................- 49.25
 
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Monday’s 6-pack:
NFL teams with the worst turnover ratios last year:
minus-13— Colts
minus-11— Saints
minus-8— Raiders
minus-7—Dolphins, Jets
minus-5— Cardinals, Washington
minus-4— Falcons, Panthers

Quote of the Day
“I think he’s (Anderson) been disrespecting the game for a while. I was telling him to stop doing that. After he tapped me really hard, more than needed, he said he wanted to fight and I had to defend myself.”
Cleveland 3B Jose Ramirez, after Saturday’s fracas with the White Sox

Monday’s quiz
Who was manager of the Texas Rangers when they made the World Series in 2010 and 2011?

Sunday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson is the last Baltimore Raven to run the ball for 1,000+ yards in a season.

Saturday’s quiz
In 1982, Joel Youngblood became the first major league player to get a hit for two different teams (Mets/Expos) in the same day, with the two games happening in different cities.

**********************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….​

— Blue Jays 13, Red Sox 1— Davis Schneider has nine hits, two home runs in his first three major league games this weekend, the first player ever to do that.
Toronto sweeps in Fenway; they’ve got a 2.5-game lead for the last AL Wild Card slot.

— Nationals 6, Reds 3— Lyon Richardson made his debut on the mound for Cincinnati; he started the season in freakin’ Class A ball, he just isn’t ready yet.
First two pitches Richardson threw were both hit over the fence, not sure I’ve ever seen that before. He gave up four runs in three innings.
Reds are 0-6 since the trade deadline, when they neglected to add any starting pitching.

— Orioles 2, Mets 0— Speaking of which, Mets are 0-6 since gutting their roster this week; they scored eight runs in their last five games.
Mets started this season with a $360M payroll, an all-time record; right now, since gutting the roster, they have the 11th highest payroll, for this season.

— Mariners 3, Angels 2 (10)— Angels are also 0-6 since the trade deadline; they’re seven games out of the last playoff spot. Seattle won 10 of its last 12 games; they’re within 2.5 games out of a playoff spot.

— Dodgers 8, Padres 2— LA is 7-2 against the San Diego this year; this will be the 13th year in a row the Dodgers have won the season series with San Diego, though the Padres did beat them in the playoffs last year.

— Rockies 1, Cardinals 0— Colorado wins a series in Busch Stadium for first time since 2009.

— Rangers 6, Marlins 0— Texas has won six in a row, leads AL West by 2.5 games, but they lost 3B Josh Jung in this game with a broken left thumb.

— Twins 5, Arizona 3
Kepler tied game with 9th inning HR. Waller won it with a walk-off blast.
Arizona was 2-11 with RISP, Twins 1-3.
Diamondbacks are 5-17 since the All-Star break.
Dallas Keuchel allowed a run in 5 IP, in his first 2023 start; he ended a streak where Minnesota had a right-handed starting pitcher 180 games in a row, over a year.

— Movie of the Day: Risky Business (1983)— A Chicago teenager is looking for fun at home while his parents are away, but the situation quickly gets out of hand.
Tom Cruise is the teenager, Rebecca DeMornay is the escort he hires on the phone to visit. Joe Pantoliano is the escort’s pimp, Shera Danese is the second escort— in real life, she was married to Peter Falk for 34 years, until he passed away.
They made a $57M profit on the movie, it was very popular.
Risky Business came out 40 years ago this week; typing that made me feel old
🙂

Speaking of which, Jay North turned 72 years old this week; he played Dennis the Menace on TV when I was a little kid. Funny show; always felt bad for Mr Wilson, the neighbor he tormented.

— College Football Trend of the Day: In his coaching career, Lincoln Riley is 23-15 ATS as a home favorite, 8-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Major league teams can’t trade their draft picks, the way they do in football, basketball. Would be better if baseball teams could trade their draft picks too, would make life a little more interesting.

— July was the hottest month in the history of Las Vegas; the average temperature was 97.3, more than one degree hotter than the previous record, which was set in July, 2010 (I was there for a week that month).
Temperatures in Las Vegas got to 110 degrees 17 times last month.

— Happy 83rd birthday to Roman Gabriel, the terrific quarterback who played for the Rams back in the late 1960’s. He got the Rams to the playoffs in 1967, 1969, back when it was a lot harder to make the playoffs.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Giants, Phillies, Chi/Cin
AL: Orioles, Twins, Rangers. Wild Cards: Rays, Astros, Blue Jays
 
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SAN DIEGO is 64-91 SU (-36.1 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 13-2 SU (10.8 Units) in road games against left-handed starters in the current season.

MIAMI is 21-35 SU (-17.5 Units) in road games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 34-17 Under (15.3 Units) in August games in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 8-0 SU (8 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the current season.

CHICAGO CUBS are 12-2 SU (9.8 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 67-92 SU (-34.2 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 19-7 Over (11.3 Units) after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 64-75 SU (-18.5 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 87-116 SU (-40.6 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 21-7 Under (13.3 Units) in the second half of the season in the current season.

TEXAS are 79-52 Over (21.8 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.
 
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Monday, August 7

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 7

National League
Los Angeles (64-46) @ San Diego (55-57)
— Gonsolin is 1-1, 4.87 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 3-5 in his road starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He is 5-0, 1.25 in six starts vs San Diego.

— Dodgers won five of their last six games.
— Dodgers are 30-26 on road.
— over 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-110
— record in first 5 innings: 53-45-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3.2-3

— Lugo is 1-1, 3.15 in his last three starts
— Padres are 3-10 in his last 13 starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He is 2-1, 3.24 in 11 games (16.2 IP), 1 start vs Los Angeles.

— Padres are 11-7 in their last 18 games.
— San Diego is 0-10 in extra innings.
— San Diego is 30-27 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 37-112
— record in first 5 innings: 53-47-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-6

Miami (58-55) @ Cincinnati (59-55)
— Garrett is 0-1, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 12-3 in his last 15 starts.
— over 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-8
— He is 0-2, 4.60 in three starts against the Reds.

— Miami is 2-7 in its last nine games.
— Marlins are 24-31 on road
— under 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-113
— record in first 5 innings: 47-44-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-5-2

— Williamson is 2-0, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 9-5 in his starts.
— under 4-3 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-7
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami

— Reds lost their last six games, giving up 60 runs.
— Cincinnati is 28-29 at home.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 39-113
— record in first 5 innings: 44-43-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-6

Washington (49-63) @ Philadelphia (61-51)
— Williams is 0-2, 6.08 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 6-6 in his road starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-13-2
— He is 1-1, 5.91 in two starts vs Philly this year.

— Nationals are 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Washington is 27-29 on road.
— under 9-2 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 39-111
— record in first 5 innings: 42-57-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-4.2

— Suarez is 1-1, 4.43 in his last four starts.
— Philly is 9-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7
— He is 6-1, 3.80 in 13 games (6 starts) vs Washington.

— Phillies are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Phillies are 30-21 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 32-112
— record in first 5 innings: 47-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-2

Atlanta (70-39) @ Pittsburgh (50-61)
— Strider is 1-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 8-2 in his road starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-5
— He threw 5.2 scoreless IP in his one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Atlanta won six of its last nine games.
— Braves are 33-19 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 43-109
— record in first 5 innings: 64-31-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-3.2

— bullpen game

— Pirates are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Pittsburgh is 26-28 at home.
— over 12-7 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-111
— record in first 5 innings: 42-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.2-2

Cubs (57-54) @ NY Mets (50-61)
— Smyly is 0-2, 8.35 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 3-7 in his last ten starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-2
— He is 4-0, 2.17 in five starts vs New York.

— Cubs won 13 of last 16 games.
— Chicago is 26-26 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-111
— record in first 5 innings: 50-46-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.1-3.1

— Senga is 0-1, 3.43 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 5-4 in his home starts.
— under 9-0 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-5
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP (106 PT) in a May 24 start at Wrigley.

— Mets are 0-6 since the trade deadline.
— Mets are 26-23 at home.
— under 8-2 last 10 home games
— scored run in first inning: 21-109
— record in first 5 innings: 47-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-2

Colorado (44-67) @ Milwaukee (60-53)
— Lambert is 1-1, 2.45 in four starts.
— Colorado is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Colorado is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Colorado is 19-37 on road.
— under 16-7 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-110
— record in first 5 innings: 41-56-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-3

— Peralta is 2-1, 3.52 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 8-4 in his home starts.
— under 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-3
— He is 2-1, 4.09 in four starts vs Colorado.

— Brewers are 4-8 in last dozen games.
— Milwaukee is 9-3 in game after their last 12 losses.
— Milwaukee is 31-26 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-113
— record in first 5 innings: 46-51-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-4

American League
Minnesota (59-54) @ Detroit (49-62)
— Lopez is 1-1, 2.50 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 5-6 in his road starts.
— over 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-3
— He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.

— Twins won five of their last six games.
— Minnesota is 26-30 on the road.
— over 15-7 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-112
— record in first 5 innings: 46-49-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-4

— Wentz is 0-3, 6.89 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— over 9-6
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-11-1
— He is 0-2, 4.91 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Detroit is 5-10 in its last 15 games.
— Tigers are 23-32 at home.
— under 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 27-111
— record in first 5 innings: 39-54-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-3.1

Kansas City (36-77) @ Boston (57-54)
— Ragans is 1-0, 0.82 in two starts (11 IP).
— Kansas City is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Royals won seven of last nine games.
— Royals are 15-41 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 35-113
— record in first 5 innings: 34-62-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-4

— Bello is 3-1, 5.59 in his last five starts.
— Boston is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-3
— He is starts vs Kansas City.

— Red Sox lost seven of its last eight games.
— Boston is 30-26 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 35-110
— record in first 5 innings: 41-54-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-9

Toronto (63-50) @ Cleveland (54-58)
— Ryu allowed 4 runs in 5 IP (80 PT) in his first ‘23 start.
— Blue Jays are 0-1 in his starts
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He is 2-0, 2.84 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— Toronto won four of its last five games.
— Blue Jays are 33-26 on road.
— under 22-7 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-113
— record in first 5 innings: 48-43-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3.1-2

— Williams is 0-2, 2.50 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 5-3 in his starts
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Guardians are 2-7 in their last nine games.
— Cleveland is 29-26 at home.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-112
— record in first 5 innings: 48-43-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

Bronx (58-54) @ White Sox (45-68)
— Cole is 1-0, 1.71 in his last four starts.
— New York is 16-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-6
— He is 3-1, 3.91 in four starts vs Chicago.

— New York is 3-2 in its last five games.
— Bronx is 23-26 on road.
— under 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 31-111
— record in first 5 innings: 49-41-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-6.1

— Cease is 0-2, 8.10 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 2-5 in his last seven starts
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-7
— He is 0-1, 9.45 in three starts vs New York.

— Chicago is 9-20 in its last 29 games.
— White Sox are 23-29 at home
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 29-113
— record in first 5 innings: 41-58-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-3

Texas (66-46) @ Oakland (32-80)
— Dunning is 1-2, 4.37 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 9-7 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He is 1-0, 3.65 in five starts vs Oakland.

— Texas won its last six games.
— Rangers are 26-26 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 35-111
— record in first 5 innings: 67-32-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-3.1

— Waldechuk is 2-7, 6.52 in 25 games (14 starts).
— sometimes he starts, sometimes he is a bulk guy.
— He is 0-0, 7.20 in two starts vs Texas.

— A’s are 7-13 since All-Star break.
— Oakland is 17-39 at home.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 31-112
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 30-63-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-5.2

Interleague game
San Francisco (59-51) @ LA Angels (56-57)
— Wood is 5-4, 4.83 in 17 games (11 starts).
— sometimes he starts, sometimes he’s a bulk guy
— He is 0-1, 7.41 in three starts vs Anaheim.

— Giants are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
— San Francisco is 28-27 on road.
— under 14-4 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-109
— record in first 5 innings: 46-45-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.2-3.2

— Sandoval is 2-1, 2.60 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 3-9 in his last 12 starts.
— under 19-3 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 4 IP, in his one start vs the Giants.

— Angels are 2-8 in their last ten games.
— Angels are 29-27 at home.
— under 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 32-113
— record in first 5 innings: 47-45-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-2
 
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MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 7

42XHoIu.png
 
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Cnotes53

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Pending Picks​

MONDAY, AUGUST 7​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LAD at SD04:10 PMSD -140
U 9.0		+500 +500
MIN at DET06:40 PMMIN -165
U 8.5		+500 +500
WAS at PHI06:40 PMWAS +185
O 9.5		+500 +500
MIA at CIN06:40 PMCIN +125
U 10.5		+500 +500
ATL at PIT07:05 PMATL -290
U 8.5		+500 +500
KC at BOS07:10 PMKC +167
O 10.0		+500 +500
CHC at NYM07:10 PMCHC -110
U 9.0		+500 +500
TOR at CLE07:10 PMTOR -130
U 8.5		+500 +500
NYY at CHW08:10 PMNYY -165
U 8.0		+500 +500
COL at MIL08:10 PMCOL +200
U 8.5		+500 +500
SF at LAA09:38 PMSF -115
U 8.5		+500 +500
TEX at OAK09:40 PMTEX -210
U 8.5		+500 +500
 
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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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48

Pending Picks​

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Aug 7, 2023MLBSan Francisco
LA Angels		-
-		09:38 PMOver 8.5

Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Aug 6, 2023MLBMiami
Texas		0
6		TEX -120Win
Aug 5, 2023MLBHouston
NY Yankees		1
3		Under 8.5Win
Aug 4, 2023MLBHouston
NY Yankees		7
3		Under 9.0Loss
Aug 3, 2023MLBSeattle
LA Angels		5
3		Under 8.5Win
Aug 2, 2023MLBArizona
San Francisco		2
4		Over 8.0Loss
Aug 1, 2023MLBTampa Bay
NY Yankees		5
2		Under 8.5Win
 
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Cnotes53

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Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Aug 7, 2023MLBSan Francisco
LA Angels		8
3		Over 8.5Win
Aug 6, 2023MLBMiami
Texas		0
6		TEX -120Win
Aug 5, 2023MLBHouston
NY Yankees		1
3		Under 8.5Win
Aug 4, 2023MLBHouston
NY Yankees		7
3		Under 9.0Loss
Aug 3, 2023MLBSeattle
LA Angels		5
3		Under 8.5Win
Aug 2, 2023MLBArizona
San Francisco		2
4		Over 8.0Loss
Aug 1, 2023MLBTampa Bay
NY Yankees		5
2		Under 8.5Win
 
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MLB AUGUST BEST BETS !

08/07/2023...............................8 - 8..............................50.00%..........................- 3.25
08/06/2023.............................12 - 7.............................63.15%..........................- 29.00
08/05/2023..............................9 - 12............................42.85%..........................- 33.25
08/04/2023..............................6 - 11............................35.29%.........................- 16.00
08/03/2023..............................5 - 9..............................35.71%..........................- 23.75
08/02/2023............................10 - 10...........................50.00%.........................+ 23.25
08/01/2023..............................7 - 12............................36.84%.........................- 28.50

TOTALS.................................. 57 - 69...........................45.23%..........................- 52.50
 
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Tuesday’s 6-pack:

— Giants 8, Angels 3— Giants scored seven runs in 9th inning.
— Dodgers 13, Padres 7— San Diego led 5-0 after the third inning.
— White Sox 5, New York 1— Dylan Cease threw 5.1 scoreless innings.
— Blue Jays 3, Guardians 1— Game was scoreless after seven innings.
— Brewers 12, Rockies 1— Freddy Peralta struck out 13 guys in 7 IP.
— Red Sox 6, Royals 2— Reyes hit a walk-off grand slam, after the 1st base ump didn’t call a 3rd strike on a check swing that would’ve ended the game for the Royals.

Quote of the Day
“I don’t know how you police the culture if there are no rules or guidelines to follow because everyone is doing their own thing.”
Ex-White Sox P Keynan Middleton, on issues within the Chicago clubhouse

Tuesday’s quiz
Who managed the Angels when they won their only World Series title?

Monday’s quiz
Ron Washington was manager of the Texas Rangers when they made the World Series in 2010 and 2011.

Sunday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson is the last Baltimore Raven to run the ball for 1,000+ yards in a season.

********************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Big X football knowledge​

Baylor
— last four years, Baylor is 31-19 SU (+33 in turnovers)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line; 2 of 3 starters will be transfers.
— junior QB has 15 starts.
— last two years, Bears are 7-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— last four years, Baylor is 8-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Bears are 3-2 SU in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of 5 games.

Brigham Young
— 29-9 SU last three years; this is their first year in Big X.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line— added transfers on OL
— senior QB Slovis has thrown 1,268 passes, 68 TD’s at USC/Pitt.
— under Sitake, BYU is 23-30 ATS as a favorite.
— since 2015, BYU is 14-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— BYU is 3-2 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.

Central Florida
— Last six years, UCF is 59-17 SU, 37-37-2 ATS.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line- good depth
— senior QB Plumlee has 22 starts between UCF/Ole Miss.
— last 10 years, Knights are 12-23 ATS coming off a loss.
— in his career, Malzahn is 9-5 ATS as a home underdog, 9-14 as a road dog.

— Central Florida is 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
Cincinnati
— Last 4 years, Bearcats were 53-11 SU/33-30-1 ATS
— New coach Satterfield was 26-24 SU/26-22-2 ATS at Louisville.
— 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 20 starts back on offensive line; not much experience.
— senior QB Jones started 7 games at Arizona State LY.
— last five years, Cincinnati was 18-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— in his career, Satterfield is 16-8 ATS as road favorite, 9-13-2 as a road dog.
— Cincinnati lost its last three bowls; favorites covered 4 of their last 5 bowls.

Houston
— went 20-7 last two years, after going 7-13 in 2019-20.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 140 starts back on offensive line- should be improved.
— junior QB Smith started 8 games at Texas Tech
— in his career, Holgorsen is 27-42-1 ATS in home games.
— under Holgorsen, Houston is 5-14 ATS at home.
— Cougars are 3-2 SU/2-2-1 ATS in last five bowl games.

Iowa State
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers has withdrawn from school (gambling charges)— Looks like starting QB will be a freshman.
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— Last five years, Cyclones are 11-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— since 2016, Iowa State is 11-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— since 2015, Iowa State is 29-15-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).

Kansas
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 18 games.
— last 10 years, Kansas is 21-32-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Jayhawks were 3-0 as a home favorite LY (4-11 from 2013-21)
— last four years, Jayhawks are 13-21-1 ATS in Big X games.
— Kansas won 3 of last 4 bowls (lost 55-53 (+2.5) to Arkansas LY)

— Movie of the Day: Tequila Sunrise (1988)— A drug dealer in Los Angeles tries to go straight, but his past and his underworld connections bring him into the focus of the DEA, the Mexican feds and the Mexican drug cartels.
Mel Gilson is the drug dealer, Kurt Russell/JT Walsh are two of the cops trying to curtail drug dealing, Michelle Pfeiffer owns a restaurant where everyone seems to hang out. Raul Julia is very good in this movie as a Mexican drug dealer.
Very good movie; Gibson/Russell characters are old friends, which complicates things.

— College Football Trend of the Day: Since 2016, Arizona State is 3-10 ATS as a road favorite.

Kansas State
— under Klieman, K-State is 30-20 SU, 32-18 ATS
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 108 starts back on offensive line; all 5 starters are back
— junior QB has started 15 games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 15-7 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 14-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Wildcats are 3-2 SU in last five bowls (favorite covered last four)

Oklahoma
— Sooners were 6-7 LY, after going 97-22 the previous nine years.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— junior QB Gabriel started 12 games LY, also started at UCF
— UCF visits Norman October 21st.
— last two years, Oklahoma is 2-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 10 years, Sooners are 23-15 ATS in non-conference games.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)

Oklahoma State
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Under Gundy, Cowboys are 47-31-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2016, OSU is 20-6 ATS outside the Big X.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.

Texas
— Texas is 13-12 last two years, after going 25-12 from 2018-20.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started 10 games last year.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 9-4 ATS at home, 3-6 on road.
— In his career, Sarkisian is 9-18 ATS as road dog, 10-5 as home dog.
— Since 2016, Texas is 17-7 ATS outside the Big X.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.

TCU
— TCU was 13-2 LY, after going 23-24 from 2018-21.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— Horned Frogs will have a new, less experienced QB this year.
— since 2020, TCU is 6-1-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— since 2014, TCU is 18-12-2 ATS outside the Big X.
— last ten years, Horned Frogs are 17-25 ATS coming off a loss.
— TCU won 3 of last 4 bowls, but lost national title game 65-7 in January.

Texas Tech
— Tech went 7-6/8-5 last 2 years (43-54 from 2013-20)
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 16 games
— last four years, Tech is 5-11 ATS as a road underdog.
— last two years, Red Raiders are 8-3 ATS coming off a loss.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.

West Virginia
— WVU is 22-25 SU/ATS in four years under Brown.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line
— whoever QB is will be inexperienced.
— Under Brown, WVU is 13-16 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Brown, WVU is 6-13 ATS coming off win, 14-10 off a loss.
— West Virginia is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in its last five bowls
 
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