Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

Udog

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Sunday, September 3


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, September 3

National League
Cubs
(72-64) @ Cincinnati (71-67)
— Taillon is 0-3, 9.15 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 5-6 in his road starts
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 10-24
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-3
— He is 1-0, 5.59 in two starts vs Cincinnati TY.

— Cubs are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Chicago is 35-33 on road.
— under 6-0 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-135
— record in first 5 innings: 62-52-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-12-1.2

— Cincinnati hasn’t named a starter.

— Reds are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— Cincinnati is 33-35 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 42-136
— record in first 5 innings: 53-52-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-11-3.2

Miami (68-67) @ Washington (62-75)
— Alcantara is 2-3, 4.59 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 6-8 in his road starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-2
— He is 6-6, 3.53 in 14 starts vs Washington

— Miami is 5-11 in its last 16 games.
— Marlins are 31-36 on the road.
— under 9-4 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-136
— record in first 5 innings: 57-55-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6.1-4

— Gray is 0-2, 8.18 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 4-6 in his home starts.
— over 6-2 last eight home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 8-14-4
— He is 1-3, 4.47 in nine starts vs Miami.

— Nationals are 1-6 in their last seven games.
— They’re 29-39 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 44-137
— record in first 5 innings: 52-69-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-5

Philadelphia (74-61) @ Milwaukee (76-59)
— Suarez is 0-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 5-3 in his road starts.
— under 2-0-1 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8
— He is 0-0, 2.31 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

— Phillies lost their last three games.
— Phillies are 33-35 on road.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-135
— record in first 5 innings: 57-69-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3.1

— Miley is 1-1, 5.06 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four home outings.
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
— He is 3-1, 3.55 in six starts vs Philly.

— Brewers won 11 of last 13 games.
— Milwaukee is 40-27 at home.
— under 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 41-135
— record in first 5 innings: 56-59-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4.2

Pittsburgh (62-73) @ St Louis (57-78)
— Oviedo is 2-0, 0.64 in his last two starts.
— Pirates are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 5-2 last seven starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 10-27
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-4
— He is 1-1, 1.50 in two starts vs St Louis TY.

— Pirates won their last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 31-37 on road.
— over 28-16 last 44 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-136
— record in first 5 innings: 50-67-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-6.2

— Thompson is 1-2, 4.00 in four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 2-0, 4.15 in seven games (2 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Cardinals lost 12 of last 16 games.
— Cardinals are 30-40 at home.
— over 4-2-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 40-135
— record in first 5 innings: 55-58-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4.1

San Francisco (70-66) @ San Diego (64-73)
— Cobb is 1-1, 3.20 in his last three starts.
— He threw a 131-pitch, one-hitter in his last start.
— Giants are 9-5 in his road starts.
— under 7-3 last ten starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 9-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-5
— He is 1-1, 4.38 in five starts vs San Diego.

— Giants lost their last three games.
— San Francisco is 32-35 on road.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 38-136
— record in first 5 innings: 56-55-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.1-2.1

— Lugo is 1-0, 1.96 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-4
— He is 2-2, 3.03 in 14 games (3 starts) vs San Francisco

— Padres are 10-18 in their last 28 games.
— San Diego is 0-10 in extra innings.
— San Diego is 37-34 at home.
— over 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 47-137
— record in first 5 innings: 63-58-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

Atlanta (90-45) @ Los Angeles (83-52)
— Morton is 4-0, 0.38 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 7-6 in his road starts.
— under 10-1 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-1
— He is 1-3, 5.85 in six starts vs Los Angeles.

— Atlanta is 20-5 in its last 25 games.
— Braves are 46-23 on the road.
— over 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 53-135
— record in first 5 innings: 81-36-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3

— Miller is 2-1, 3.54 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 5-3 in his home starts.
— over 10-3 last 13 starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He allowed a run in 5 IP in a May 23 start vs Atlanta.

— Dodgers lost their last three games.
— Dodgers are 46-24 at home.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 56-135
— record in first 5 innings: 68-51-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-5

American League
Tampa Bay
(82-54) @ Cleveland (66-70)
— Bradley is 0-3, 6.87 in his last four starts.
— His last start was July 29.
— Tampa Bay is 6-10 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Tampa Bay is 10-4 in its last 14 games.
— Rays are 37-31 on road.
— over 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 47-136
— record in first 5 innings: 72-48-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-1-5

— Curry is 0-2, 9.00 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 2-6 in his starts.
— over 3-1 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP at Tampa Bay August 11.

— Guardians are 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Cleveland is 33-37 on road.
— under 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-136
— record in first 5 innings: 54-59-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-5

Minnesota
(71-64) @ Texas (75-59)
— Maeda is 0-0, 8.31 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 3-6 in his road starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-2
— He is 2-0, 2.70 in three starts vs Texas.

— Twins are 6-5 in their last eleven games.
— Minnesota is 31-36 on road.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 37-135
— record in first 5 innings: 59-57-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-6.2

— Gray is 0-2, 4.76 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 7-2 in his last nine home starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-4
— He gave up 5 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

— Texas is 3-12 in its last 15 games.
— Rangers are 42-26 at home.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 38-135
— record in first 5 innings: 74-44-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-6.1

Boston (70-66) @ Kansas City (42-95)
— Sale is 0-2, 6.43 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 10-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 12-10, 2.73 in 24 starts vs Kansas City.

— Red Sox are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Boston is 34-33 on the road.
— over 15-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-136
— record in first 5 innings: 52-65-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.2-4

— Greinke is 0-5, 6.43 in his last six starts.
— Royals are 2-13 in his last 15 starts.
— under 9-6 last 15 starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 4-14-5
— He is 2-6, 5.33 in nine starts vs Boston.

— Royals lost seven of last eight games.
— Royals are 24-44 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 40-137
— record in first 5 innings: 40-80-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1-6.1

Detroit (62-74) @ White Sox (53-83)
— Skubal is 1-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 3-7 in his starts.
— under 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He is 3-2, 6.11 in six starts vs Chicago.

— Detroit is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
— Tigers are 33-34 on road.
— under 15-6 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-135
— record in first 5 innings: 51-65-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-2

— Kopech is 0-2, 9.37 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 3-10 in his last 13 starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-25
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-13-2
— He is 1-1, 3.63 in six starts vs Detroit.

— Chicago is 6-14 in its last 20 games.
— White Sox are 28-39 at home
— over 13-7-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-136
— record in first 5 innings: 51-69-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-5

Bronx (67-69) @ Houston (77-60)
— bullpen game

— New York is 7-4 in last eleven games.
— Bronx is 31-37 on the road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 37-136
— record in first 5 innings: 61-52-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-5

— Javier is 2-0, 6.14 in his last six starts.
— Houston is 18-7 in his starts.
— over 7-3-1 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-2
— He is 1-0, 1.83 in three starts vs New York.

— Astros won five of their last seven games.
— Houston is 35-33 at home.
— over 17-7-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-137
— record in first 5 innings: 65-51-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-5

LA Angels (64-72) @ Oakland (41-95)
— Anderson is 0-3, 9.64 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 2-7 in his last nine starts
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-6
— He is 3-0, 0.79 in four starts vs Oakland.

— Angels are 7-21 in their last 28 games.
— Angels are 32-39 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 39-135
— record in first 5 innings: 54-59-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-2

— Muller is 0-2, 10.00 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 4-8 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-1
— He allowed a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Anaheim.

— A’s are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Oakland is 22-45 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 37-136
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 40-75-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4

Interleague games
Seattle
(77-58) @ NY Mets (62-74)
— Kirby is 1-0, 2.60 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
— under 8-4 last 12 starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-6
— He gave up 3 runs in 4 IP, in his one start against the Mets.

— Seattle is 31-9 in its last 40 games.
— Mariners are 38-29 on road.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 42-135
— record in first 5 innings: 65-48-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1.1-4

— Megill is 1-3, 5.96 in his last five starts.
— New York is 2-9 in his last 11 starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Mets are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— Mets are 34-33 at home.
— under 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-134
— record in first 5 innings: 58-59-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-5

Toronto (74-62) @ Colorado (50-84)
— Gausman is 1-2, 6.61 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 3-7 in his last ten starts
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-26
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-4
— He is 2-1, 4.19 in six starts vs Colorado.

— Toronto won three of last five games.
— Blue Jays are 39-32 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 33-135
— record in first 5 innings: 56-52-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3.1

— Anderson is 0-4, 11.10 in his last six starts.
— His last start was July 22.
— Colorado is 6-6 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He is 1-1, 7.56 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Colorado is 12-25 in its last 37 games.
— Colorado is 29-37 at home.
— over 8-2 last 10 home games
— scored run in first inning: 39-136
— record in first 5 innings: 54-67-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-3

Baltimore (84-51) @ Arizona (70-66)
— Flaherty is 1-2, 6.41 in four starts for Baltimore.
— Orioles are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 0-2, 4.13 in four starts vs Arizona.

— Orioles are 12-7 in their last 19 games.
— Baltimore is 42-25 on road.
— over 9-4-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-135
— record in first 5 innings: 63-50-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2.1-3

— Gallen is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 10-2 in his home starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-28
— record in first 5 innings: 17-8-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Arizona is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Arizona is 36-33 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 45-136
— record in first 5 innings: 56-53-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5.2

Umpires
Mia-Wsh— Over is 5-1 in last six Morales games
Chi-Cin— Favorite is 20-5 in Estabrook games
Phil-Mil— Last six Blaser games went over.
Pitt-StL— Last seven Torres games went over.
SF-SD— Under is 6-2 in last eight Wills games.
Atl-LA— Last three Livensparger games went over.

LAA-A’s— Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Drake games.
TB-Clev— Under is 5-2 in last seven May games.
Bos-KC— Over is 17-7 in Wolf games.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Det-Chi— Over is 9-4 in last 13 Little games.
NY-Hst— Under is 5-1 in last six Rehak games
Minn-Tex— Under is 6-2 in last eight Gonzalez games.

Sea-NY— Favorite is 11-2 in last 13 Mahrley games.
Tor-Colo— Favorite is 12-3 in last 15 Libka games.
Balt-Az— Over is 5-2 in last seven O’Nora games.
 

Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 3

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHC at CIN12:10 PMCIN +134
O 10.0
+500 +500
PHI at MIL01:05 PMMIL -102
O 9.5
+500 +500
MIA at WAS01:35 PMMIA -161
U 9.0
+500 +500
SEA at NYM01:40 PMSEA -151
U 9.0
+500 +500
DET at CHW02:10 PMCHW +131
O 9.0
+500 +500
BOS at KC02:10 PMKC +177
O 10.0
+500 +500
PIT at STL02:15 PMSTL -135
O 9.5
+500 +500
MIN at TEX02:35 PMTEX -136
U 8.5
+500 +500
TOR at COL03:10 PMCOL +223
U 11.5
+500 +500
LAA at OAK04:07 PMLAA -127
U 9.0
+500 +500
BAL at ARI04:10 PMBAL +126
O 8.0
+500 +500
ATL at LAD04:10 PMATL -110
U 9.0
+500 +500
SF at SD04:10 PMSF +126
O 7.5
+500 +500
TB at CLE04:10 PMTB -140
O 9.5
+500 +500
NYY at HOU07:10 PMHOU -136
O 8.5
+500 +500
 

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Pending Picks

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Sep 3, 2023MLBAtlanta
LA Dodgers
-
-
04:10 PMATL -109

Completed Picks

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Sep 2, 2023MLBSan Francisco
San Diego
1
6
Under 7.5Win
Sep 1, 2023NCAAFLouisville
Georgia Tech
39
34
GT +7.0Win
 

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Completed Picks

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Sep 3, 2023MLBAtlanta
LA Dodgers
1
3
ATL -109Loss
Sep 2, 2023MLBSan Francisco
San Diego
1
6
Under 7.5Win
Sep 1, 2023NCAAFLouisville
Georgia Tech
39
34
GT +7.0Win
 

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SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1..........................23.80%............................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1..........................57.14%............................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14..............................33.33%............................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ............24 - 39 - 2...........................38.09%............................- 84.90
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
best records in one-run games:
28-12- Marlins
27-13- Brewers
24-12- Orioles
20-15- Braves
23-18- Phillies
30-25- Reds

Quote of the Day
“It’s your job to keep the score down, not mine.”
Bobby Bowden, the old coach at Florida State, when an opposing coach complained that Bowden’s Seminoles ran the score up on his team.

Monday’s quiz
What city hosts the Sugar Bowl every year?

Sunday’s quiz
In the classic TV show Magnum PI, Thomas Magnum grew up in Virginia.

Saturday’s quiz
Major League Baseball switched to divisional play in 1969; Atlanta Braves won the National League West that season—they were in the Western Division until 1994.

*************************************************

Monday’s Den: Happy Labor Day, everyone……..

— I’m watching the HBO show on the 1980’s Laker teams— it is Winning Time, and this is the second season. Magic Johnson/Kareem- they had great teams, but they also had three head coaches in Magic Johnson’s first three seasons, before they struck gold by promoting Pat Riley to head coach.
Paul Westhead was the second of the three Laker coaches; he was the head coach when LA won the 1980 NBA title, but he was fired less than two years later. The last couple episodes dealt with all that. No one in the Laker front office seemed to know what to do at the time, but he and Magic Johnson couldn’t co-exist, and in the NBA, star players always win that battle.
Westhead is 84 now; he lives in Philadelphia. I’m wondering what he thinks of how he was shown in this series.
Four years after the Lakers fired him, Westhead was hired by Loyola Marymount, and he turned that program into a great national story in 1989-90, getting to the finals of the West Region in 1990, even after one of his best players collapsed/died on the court during a conference tournament game. That was an amazing team.
If Winning Time lasts long enough to get to 1990, I wonder if Westhead will get a mention for the great work he did at LMU.

— Why do big-time college football teams play I-AA opponents? It is stealing money from their fans, charging them to watch glorified scrimmages against inferior opponents:
Georgia 48, UT-Martin 7
Ole Miss 73, Mercer 7
Arkansas 56, Western Carolina 13
Maryland 38, Towson State 6
Oklahoma State 27, Central Arkansas 13
Cincinnati 66, Eastern Kentucky 13
Notre Dame 56, Tennessee State 3
Syracuse 65, Colgate 0
Pittsburgh 45, Wofford 7
How does this help? It helps the I-AA teams; they get big paychecks for getting their butts kicked, but not sure how much it helps the home side.

— Florida State 45, LSU 24
LSU led 17-14 at halftime.
Florida State scored the next 31 points.
Seminoles were 9-14 on third down, LSU 3-10.
More early returns from college football:

— Pac-12 teams are 8-2 against the spread. This is the first time every team in the Pac-12 won its season opener since 1932.

— Big X teams are 2-6 ATS, 2-5 as favorites; Houston’s first game as a Big X member was a 17-14 win over Texas-San Antonio— not impressive.

— Big 14 teams are 2-5 ATS as a home favorites.

— Terry Bradshaw turned 75 years old this week; if a guy could win four Super Bowls and still be underrated, this was Bradshaw. He parlayed his act as a dumb guy into a long, lucrative career on TV. No one plays as well as Bradshaw did if he was dumb.
Random trivia; Bradshaw played QB in college at Louisiana Tech; the QB at Louisiana Tech just before Bradshaw was Phil Robertson, the father on Duck Dynasty.

— Westgate SuperBook listed some prop bets for this year’s NFL:
Will the NFL record for passing yards by a QB be broken? No -550, Yes +400
Will the NFL record for passing TD’s by a QB be broken? No -1400, Yes +800
Will the NFL record for rushing yards be broken? No -1220, Yes +700
Will the NFL record for receiving yards be broken? No -650, Yes +450

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards- Phillies, Cubs, SF/Az/Cin/Miami all tied
AL: Orioles, Twins, Mariners. Wild Cards- Rays, Astros, Rangers

— Under is 13-5 in games when Laz Diaz umpires behind the plate.

— Mookie Betts hit .455 in August, with 51 hits, 11 of them home runs. He’s the 3rd player since 1900 to have a .450 average with 50 hits and 10 HR in a month- Babe Ruth (July 1923-24) and Lou Gehrig (June 1930) are the others.

— Seattle Mariners 77-59 this year, but only 21-24 in one-run games. The last two years, Seattle was 34-22/33-19 in one-run games.

— Cubs 15, Reds 7
Game was 5-5 after seven innings; Cincinnati has serious pitching issues. They also have COVID related issues; four players are on that list right now.

— A’s 10, Angels 6
Oakland didn’t have any hits in the first five innings.
In innings 6-7, A’s scored 10 runs on 10 hits.

— Rangers 6, Twins 5
Mitch Garver homered twice for Texas.
Adolis Garcia hit a walk-off homer for the Rangers.

— There were 30 baseball games Saturday/Sunday; of the 60 starting pitchers, only 14 of them finished the sixth inning.

— Montenegro has a team in the FIBA basketball tournament; they were playing the American team last week and I felt like an idiot— if you had given me $100 to find Montenegro on a map, I would’ve had no idea where to look first. I was much smarter 45 years ago than I am now.
Turns out Montenegro is kind of in between Serbia and Albania, on the Adriatic Sea.
 

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CHI WHITE SOX is 20-35 SU (-18.5 Units) in road games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 18-11 SU (10.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

TEXAS are 14-5 SU (8.5 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

TORONTO is 44-62 SU (-24.2 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 13-4 SU (8.6 Units) in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 58-40 SU (14 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 19-5 SU (13.5 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 38-14 SU (22.6 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 10-0 SU (10 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 8-20 SU (-14 Units) in road games in September games in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in road games as a favorite of -150 or more in the current season.
 

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Monday, September 4


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, September 4

National League
San Francisco
(70-67) @ Cubs (73-64)
— Webb is 0-2, 3.94 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 3-5 in his last eight starts.
— under 7-3 last ten starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-9
— He is 2-0, 4.85 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Giants lost their last four games.
— San Francisco is 32-36 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 38-137
— record in first 5 innings: 56-56-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2.1-5

— Steele is 6-0, 3.86 in his last eight starts.
— Cubs are 12-1 in his last 13 starts
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-25
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 16-4-5
— He is 0-2, 4.15 in two starts vs San Francisco.

— Cubs are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Chicago is 37-31 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-136
— record in first 5 innings: 62-53-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 12-1.2-3.1

Colorado (50-86) @ Arizona (70-67)
— Freeland is 1-1, 7.56 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 2-7 in his last nine starts.
— over 4-1-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 8-14-4
— He is 0-2, 6.17 in two starts vs Arizona TY.

— Colorado is 12-26 in its last 38 games.
— Colorado is 21-48 on road.
— over 12-4-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-137
— record in first 5 innings: 54-67-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-5

— Pfaadt is 1-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 3-7 in his last ten starts.
— under 10-2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 1-8-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Arizona is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— Arizona is 36-34 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 46-137
— record in first 5 innings: 56-53-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-3.2

Milwaukee (76-60) @ Pittsburgh (63-74)
— Burnes is 0-1, 3.82 in his last six starts.
— Brewers are 7-7 in his road starts.
— under 7-2 last nine starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 9-27
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-6
— He is 1-0, 2.77 in two starts vs Pittsburgh TY.

— Brewers won 11 of last 14 games.
— Milwaukee is 46-24 on road.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 42-136
— record in first 5 innings: 57-59-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-2.2

— Pirates haven’t named a starter.

— Pirates won five of their last six games.
— Pittsburgh is 32-36 at home.
— over 29-16 last 45 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-137
— record in first 5 innings: 50-68-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6.2-4.1

Philadelphia (75-61) @ San Diego (65-73)
— Walker is 1-1,5.17 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 16-4 in his last 20 starts.
— under 4-2-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-26 (5 of last 5)
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-4
— He is 4-3, 2.51 in eight starts vs San Diego.

— Phillies lost three of last four games.
— Phillies are 34-35 on road.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-136
— record in first 5 innings: 57-61-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-5

— Hill is 0-3, 8.80 in four starts for San Diego.
— Padres are 0-4 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 2-2, 3.54 in seven starts vs Philadelphia.

— Padres won their last three games.
— San Diego is 38-34 at home.
— over 7-3-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 48-138
— record in first 5 innings: 64-58-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

American League
White Sox
(53-84) @ Kansas City (42-96)
— Scholtens is 0-3, 6.20 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 1-7 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Chicago is 6-15 in its last 21 games.
— White Sox are 25-44 on road
— over 5-0-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 39-137
— record in first 5 innings: 51-69-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5-7.1

— Ragans is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 6-1.
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
— He gave up an unearned run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Royals lost eight of last nine games.
— Royals are 24-45 at home.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 40-138
— record in first 5 innings: 40-81-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-6.1-5.1

Houston
(77-61) @ Texas (76-60)
— France is 5-2, 4.29 in his last seven starts.
— Houston won his last four road starts.
— over 6-4 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-2
— He gave up a run in 7 IP, in a July 25 start vs Texas.

— Astros lost their last three games.
— Houston is 42-27 on road.
— over 17-8-1 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 47-138
— record in first 5 innings: 66-51-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3

— Heaney is 0-0, 4.30 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 15-6-5
— He is 4-4, 3.20 in 14 starts vs Houston.

— Texas is 4-12 in its last 16 games.
— Rangers are 43-26 at home.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 39-136
— record in first 5 innings: 74-44-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6.1-4

Toronto (75-62) @ Oakland (42-95)
— Berrios is 0-3, 6.55 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 1-5 in his last six starts
— under 9-1-1 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-27
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-6
— He is 2-3, 3.81 in nine starts vs Oakland.

— Toronto won four of last six games.
— Blue Jays are 40-32 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 33-136
— record in first 5 innings: 56-52-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-5

— Waldichuk is 2-7, 5.92 in 30 games (19 starts).
— sometimes he starts, sometimes he’s a bulk guy.
— This is his first start vs Toronto.

— A’s are 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— Oakland is 23-45 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 37-137
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 40-76-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-5

Boston (71-66) @ Tampa Bay (83-54)
— Bello is 2-1, 2.55 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 10-4 in his last 14 starts.
— over 5-0 last five road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-3
— He is 0-2, 7.71 in three starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Red Sox are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— Boston is 35-33 on the road.
— over 15-1-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-137
— record in first 5 innings: 53-65-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-4-4

— Civale is 2-0, 2.95 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 1-1, 4.66 in two starts vs Boston.

— Tampa Bay is 11-4 in its last 15 games.
— Rays are 45-23 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 47-137
— record in first 5 innings: 72-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-5-4

Minnesota (71-65) @ Cleveland (66-71)
— Lopez is 4-1, 2.25 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— over 10-6-1 last 17 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-3
— He is 0-1, 6.94 in two starts vs Cleveland TY.

— Twins split their last 12 games.
— Minnesota is 31-37 on road.
— over 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-136
— record in first 5 innings: 59-57-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6.2-3

— Giolito is making his first start for Cleveland.
— He was 7-11, 4.45 in 27 starts for White Sox/Angels.
— over 4-1 in his last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 11-27
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— He is 0-1, 1.00 in three starts vs Minnesota TY.

— Guardians are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Cleveland is 35-34 at home.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 39-137
— record in first 5 innings: 54-59-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3.2

Baltimore (85-51) @ LA Angels (64-73)
— Rodriguez is 2-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-6
— He gave up 8 runs in 3.1 IP vs Anaheim May 15.

— Orioles are 13-7 in their last 20 games.
— Baltimore is 43-25 on road.
— over 10-4-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-136
— record in first 5 innings: 63-50-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-4.1

— bullpen game

— Angels are 7-22 in their last 29 games.
— Angels are 32-33 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 39-136
— record in first 5 innings: 55-59-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-2.2

Interleague games
Seattle
(77-59) @ Cincinnati (71-68)
— Woo is 1-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.
— Mariners are 7-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Seattle is 2-3 in its last five games.
— Mariners are 38-30 on road.
— under 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 42-136
— record in first 5 innings: 65-49-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-4-5

— bullpen game

— Reds are 4-7 in their last 11 games.
— Cincinnati is 33-36 at home.
— under 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-137
— record in first 5 innings: 54-52-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 11-3.2-5
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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48

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHW at KC02:10 PMCHW +136
O 10.0
+500 +500
SF at CHC02:20 PMSF +126
O 9.0
+500 +500
HOU at TEX04:05 PMTEX -105
O 9.5
+500 +500
TOR at OAK04:07 PMOAK +171
U 8.5
+500 +500
COL at ARI04:10 PMCOL +225
O 8.5
+500 +500
BOS at TB04:10 PMTB -123
U 8.5
+500 +500
SEA at CIN04:10 PMSEA -156
O 10.5
+500 +500
MIN at CLE06:10 PMMIN -127
U 8.0
+500 +500
MIL at PIT06:35 PMMIL -190
U 8.5
+500 +500
PHI at SD06:40 PMSD -114
O 9.0
+500 +500
BAL at LAA09:38 PMLAA +167
O 9.0
+500 +500
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Duke 28, Clemson 7— Tigers were a 12-point road favorite.
Cubs 5, Giants 0— Justin Steele tossed 8 shutout IP.
Astros 13, Rangers 6— Jose Altuve hit two home runs.
Arizona 4, Rockies 2— Merrill Kelly struck out 12 in 7 IP.
Phillies 9, Padres 7— Rich Hill is 0-4, 11.34 in five starts for San Diego.
Royals 12, White Sox 1— Cole Ragans tossed six shutout IP.

Quote of the Day
“We have a conference next year, yes we do…..…
we have a conference next year, how about you?”
San Jose State fan, taunting the Oregon State bench during Sunday’s game

Tuesday’s quiz
San Diego Padres have played in two World Series; who were their managers?
Hint: One is in the Hall of Fame, the other will be.

Monday’s quiz
New Orleans hosts the Sugar Bowl every year.

Sunday’s quiz
In the classic TV show Magnum PI, Thomas Magnum grew up in Virginia.

*********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Thoughts, questions about the upcoming NFL season

— Its been 20 years since a team won consecutive Super Bowls; can the Chiefs go back/back this season? They’ve been in three of last four Super Bowls, winning twice.

— Eric Bieniemy was the offensive coordinator for those teams, but now he’s moved on to the same job with the Washington Commanders- they are rumors that Bieniemy/Patrick Mahomes didn’t get along too well, and we know who wins those battles.

So now Bieniemy is the OC for a team with a 2nd-year QB who started one game last year- Sam Howell. Howell made his first career start in the last game of his rookie year, just like Patrick Mahomes did.

— Since 1995, only one time has the Super Bowl loser gotten back to the Super Bowl the next season; can the Philadelphia Eagles break that cold spell?

By the way, the last 20 years, the Super Bowl loser is 4-16 ATS in Week 1 the next year.

— Three teams (Colts, Panthers, Texans) are expected to start rookie QB’s this week; two of those three teams also have rookie head coaches, the third head coach (Frank Reich) is in his first year with that team.

— Last seven years, Indianapolis Colts have started a different QB every year in Week 1:
2017— Scott Tolzien
2018— Andrew Luck
2019— Jacoby Brissett
2020— Philip Rivers (he started against them in Week 1, 2019)
2021— Carson Wentz
2022— Matt Ryan
2023— Anthony Richardson

Colts haven’t won in Week 1 since 2013; they tied Houston LY, as 7-point favorites.

— Detroit Lions are favored to win the NFL North; they’ve been in the playoffs three times in this century, with last time in 2016. Lions haven’t won a playoff game since 1991. Last time Detroit won this division was 1993; would you bet on them this year?

— Sean Payton is the new coach in Denver, where his #1 project is to revive Russell Wilson’s career. Broncos’ QB coach is Davis Webb, who seven months ago was the #3 QB for the Giants- they started him the last regular season game last year, then he retired.

So the most valuable player on your team is being coached by a 28-year old first time coach, who started one NFL game. This should be interesting.

— Dallas Cowboys told OC Kellen Moore to take a hike, after going 13-6 LY; HC Mike McCarthy will call plays now. About 10 minutes after Dallas fired Moore, the Chargers hired him as their new OC (actually it was the next day),

Chargers’ OC last year was Joe Lombardi, who now works for Denver; Charger-Bronco games figure to be interesting this year.

— Word of the Day— Mentor— an experienced and trusted adviser.

— NFL Trend of the Day— Over last 10 years, Cincinnati Bengals are 45-30-6 ATS as an underdog.

— Jordan Love is the new QB in Green Bay; since 1992, the Packers’ starting QB has been either Brett Favre or Aaron Rodgers. No pressure there, following those two Hall of Famers.

Think about the contrast:
Packers have had two #1 QB’s the last 31 years.
Colts have had seven #1 QB’s the last seven years.

— You may have heard; Aaron Rodgers has moved on to the Jets, who haven’t made the playoffs since 2010. Jets already have a good defense; this should be interesting.

— Los Angeles Rams are taking their salary cap medicine this year; their defense may be the youngest one in the NFL this century. They still have Aaron Donald on the line, but this is a very young defense.

Did they fix the offensive line? If so, they can run the ball enough to take the pressure off that defense, or Matthew Stafford can try to outscore teams.

— New England went 8-9 LY, playing a 2nd-year QB; Patriots’ offensive coaches were terrible. Matt Patricia, Joe Judge; are you kidding me? This year, New England brought Bill O’Brien back to be Jones’ QB guru; Patriots haven’t won a playoff game (0-1) since tom Brady left town.

Hmmm……..

— Lamar Jackson got a boatload of $$$ from the Ravens, and they changed OC’s, to find a more explosive offensive for Jackson to run; now he has to be available in December.

In 2021, Jackson didn’t play after Week 13.
Last year, Jackson didn’t play after Week 12.

One of the most important abilities is availability; Ravens are 1-3 in his playoff starts, scoring 13 ppg. Now is the time for Jackson to produce and earn all that $$$.

— Arizona Cardinals have an over/under win total of 3.5 this year; no other team has a win total under 6.5 wins- they’ve already traded a couple players away, for draft picks. Kyler Murray won’t be ready to start the season; Joshua Dobbs (0-2 as an NFL starter) gets the nod this week for the Redbirds, against Washington.

— NFL Sunday Ticket switches from DirecTV to YouTube TV; I made the switch myself back in January, so I’m looking forward to seeing how they do it. Apparently, four games on one screen will be their thing. Baseball package on YouTube has been fine, so I’m optimistic.
 

Udog

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MINNESOTA is 13-25 SU (-14.5 Units) in road games when playing on Tuesday in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 10-0 SU (10 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the current season.

LA DODGERS are 23-5 Over (17.5 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 58-40 SU (14 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 74-40 SU (30 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 49-80 SU (-39 Units) in home games in night games in the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 5-20 SU (-17 Units) in home games after 6 or more consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 12-25 SU (-15.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 15-4 Under (10.6 Units) when playing on Tuesday in the current season.

CHI WHITE SOX is 20-35 SU (-18.5 Units) in road games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 8-2 SU (5.8 Units) in home games when playing on Tuesday in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 44-23 Over (18.7 Units) when playing on Tuesday in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 7-0 SU (7 Units) in home games as a favorite of -175 to -250 in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 28-49 SU (-25.9 Units) when playing on Tuesday in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 44-62 SU (-24.2 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.
 

Udog

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MLB

Tuesday, September 5


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