Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Saturday, September 16

 

[Udog]

COLORADO is 59-33 SU (22.7 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 24-29 SU (-13.9 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 56-68 SU (-18.8 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 9-24 SU (-22.4 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

TEXAS are 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in September games in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 10-0 SU (10 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 117-80 SU (29 Units) against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

NY METS are 39-23 Over (13.7 Units) in September games in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) in road games when playing with a day off in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 154-190 SU (-55 Units) against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 105-133 SU (-41.3 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 17-36 SU (-26.4 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in the current season.

ARIZONA is 164-131 SU (19.9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 59-33 SU (22.7 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 28-19 SU (7.1 Units) in home games against AL Central opponents in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 148-84 SU (55.6 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

MLB

Saturday, September 16

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, September 16

 

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, September 16

National League
San Francisco (75-72) @ Colorado (54-92)
— Winn is 1-2, 4.50 in three starts.
— Giants are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He beat Colorado Sunday night, giving up three runs in 6 IP.

— bullpen game

— Giants won five of last seven games.
— San Francisco is 32-40 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 42-147
— record in first 5 innings: 60-61-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-0.1

— Lambert is 0-3, 7.31 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 2-9 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-1
— He is 0-1, 6.95 in four starts vs San Francisco

— Freeland is 1-1, 5.70 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 3-8 in his last 11 starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-28
— record in first 5 innings: 9-15-4
— He is 7-6, 3.96 in 21 starts vs San Francisco.

— Colorado is 16-32 in its last 48 games.
— Colorado is 32-39 at home.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 42-147
— record in first 5 innings: 58-73-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-2

Atlanta (96-51) @ Miami (76-72)
— Shuster is 1-1, 5.79 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 5-5 in his starts.
— over 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Atlanta is 6-3 in its last nine games.
— Braves are 49-26 on road.
— over 9-3-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 57-147
— record in first 5 innings: 86-41-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3

— Hoeing is 2-2, 4.04 in 30 games (6 starts)
— sometimes he starts, sometimes he is a bulk guy.
— He is 0-2, 13.03 in four games (2 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Miami is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Marlins are 41-32 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-148
— record in first 5 innings: 60-64-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-5

Cincinnati (77-72) @ NY Mets (68-79)
— Abbott is 0-2, 6.62 in his last four starts.
— Cincinnati is 7-2 in his road starts.
— under 12-6
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against New York

— Reds won four of last five games.
— Cincinnati is 41-33 on road.
— under 3-2-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 45-149
— record in first 5 innings: 58-57-34
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.2-3.1

— Megill is 1-0, 2.20 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 7-4 in his home starts
— under 4-1-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Mets won three of last five games.
— Mets are 38-35 at home.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 32-145
— record in first 5 innings: 65-61-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3.1

Washington (65-83) @ Milwaukee (83-64)
— Williams is 0-3, 9.98 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 7-8 in his road starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 12-28
— record in first 5 innings: 8-18-2
— He is 4-3, 3.20 in nine starts vs Milwaukee.

— Nationals are 4-14 in their last 18 games.
— They’re 34-40 on road.
— under 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 50-148
— record in first 5 innings: 56-76-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-1.2-3.1

— Burnes is 0-2, 2.14 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee scored total of 5 runs in those three starts.
— Brewers are 6-4 in his home starts.
— under 9-2 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 9-13-7
— He is 0-0, 2.00 in four games (1 start) vs Washington.

— Brewers won 18 of last 25 games.
— Milwaukee is 44-29 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 44-147
— record in first 5 innings: 63-61-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-3.1

Philadelphia (80-67) @ St Louis (65-82)
— Suarez is 0-1, 3.63 in his last six starts.
— Phillies are 6-3 in his road starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis

— Phillies are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Phillies are 37-36 on road.
— under 3-2 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 46-147
— record in first 5 innings: 64-65-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-x-4.1

— Mikolas is 1-1, 5.50 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 6-9 in his home starts.
— over 9-5-1 last 15 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 12-31
— record in first 5 innings: 10-12-9
— He is 2-2, 3.98 in five starts vs Philadelphia.

— Cardinals are 9-6 in their last 15 games.
— Cardinals are 31-41 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 46-146
— record in first 5 innings: 64-60-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-4

Cubs (78-70) @ Arizona (77-72)
— Hendricks is 1-0, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 4-1 in his last five starts
— under 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-5
— He is 5-3, 3.77 in ten starts vs Arizona.

— Cubs lost six of last eight games.
— Chicago is 37-36 on road.
— under 15-3 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-148
— record in first 5 innings: 67-58-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-2

— Davies is 1-0, 5.00 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 3-7 in his home starts.
— over 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-2
— He is 8-7, 3.66 in 20 starts vs Chicago.

— Arizona is 2-4 in its last six games.
— Arizona is 39-35 at home.
— under 9-6 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-148
— record in first 5 innings: 61-58-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-3.2

American League
Tampa Bay (92-57) @ Baltimore (91-56)
— Glasnow is 3-1, 2.88 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-2
— He is 0-1, 6.94 in two starts vs Baltimore TY.

— Tampa Bay is 19-7 in its last 26 games.
— Rays are 41-32 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 53-148
— record in first 5 innings: 79-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-4-2

— Rodriguez is 3-1, 3.07 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 2-5 in his last seven home starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-6
— He is 1-0, 3.37 in two starts vs Tampa Bay TY.

— Orioles lost their last four games.
— Baltimore is 43-30 at home.
— over 16-8-2 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-146
— record in first 5 innings: 68-54-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2-5

Boston (74-74) @ Toronto (81-67)
— Sale is 1-1, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
— He is 8-5, 2.93 in 16 starts vs Toronto.

— Red Sox are 5-13 in their last 18 games.
— Boston is 36-36 on road.
— over 21-6-1 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-148
— record in first 5 innings: 56-72-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-11-2

— Bassitt is 2-1, 2.53 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 9-5 in his last 14 starts
— under 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-30
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-14-4
— He is 2-0, 1.93 in two starts vs Boston.

— Toronto lost four of last five games.
— Blue Jays are 39-34 at home.
— over 13-6-2 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-148
— record in first 5 innings: 60-58-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4.1-2

Texas (82-65) @ Cleveland (70-78)
— Dunning is 1-1, 6.43 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 1-4 in his last five starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-2
— He is 0-2, 9.82 in three starts vs Cleveland

— Texas won six of its last seven games.
— Rangers are 37-35 on road.
— over 18-4 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-147
— record in first 5 innings: 80-47-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.2-4.1

— Bibee is 1-1, 3.13 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 7-4 in his home starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-4
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP at Texas July 16.

— Guardians are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— Cleveland is 37-36 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 42-147
— record in first 5 innings: 59-62-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

Minnesota (78-70) @ White Sox (56-92)
— Lopez is 1-1, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— over 15-9-1 last 25 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-4
— He is 0-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Chicago TY.

— Twins are 2-3 in their last five games.
— Minnesota is 35-38 on road.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-147
— record in first 5 innings: 62-61-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-4

— Toussaint is 2-3, 8.44 in his last five starts.
— White Sox are 4-8 in his starts.
— under 9-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-9-1
— This is his first start vs Minnesota.

— Chicago is 9-23 in its last 32 games.
— White Sox are 29-44 at home
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 40-148
— record in first 5 innings: 53-77-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-5

Houston (83-65) @ Kansas City (47-101)
— France is 2-0, 4.32 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 11-2 in his last 13 starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Astros are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— Houston is 45-28 on the road.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 51-148
— record in first 5 innings: 71-56-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3

— Ragans is 3-0, 1.47 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 4-5 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
— He is 0-2, 5.56 in two starts vs Houston.

— Royals lost 13 of last 19 games.
— Royals are 27-46 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 42-148
— record in first 5 innings: 46-84-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-7

Detroit (68-79) @ LA Angels (68-80)
— Gipson-Long allowed two runs in 5 IP (73 PT) in his first start.
— Tigers are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels

— Detroit is 9-5 in its last 14 games.
— Tigers are 36-36 on road
— under 22-10 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-147
— record in first 5 innings: 56-68-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-2

— Anderson is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-6
— He is 2-0, 2.70 in two starts vs Detroit.

— Angels are 5-13 in their last 18 games.
— Angels are 35-38 at home.
— under 3-2-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 40-148
— record in first 5 innings: 57-66-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-3

Interleague game
Bronx (75-73) @ Pittsburgh (69-79)
— Weaver is 2-5, 6.77 TY in 26 games (22 starts) for Reds/Seattle.
— This is his first start for New York.
— He is 2-3, 4.53 in eight starts vs Pittsburgh.

— New York won five of its last six games.
— Bronx is 36-37 on road.
— under 11-6-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-148
— record in first 5 innings: 64-57-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-4

— Ortiz is 1-1, 4.91 in his last three starts.
— Pittsburgh is 4-2 in his home starts.
— over 4-2 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs New York.

— Pirates are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
— Pittsburgh is 37-39 at home.
— under 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 37-147
— record in first 5 innings: 55-72-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4

San Diego (70-78) @ Oakland (46-101)
— Waldron is 0-3, 6.75 in three starts.
— Padres are 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— This is his first start vs Oakland.

— Padres won three of last four games.
— San Diego is 31-42 on road.
— over 14-6-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-148
— record in first 5 innings: 68-64-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3

— bullpen game

— A’s are 12-11 in their last 23 games.
— Oakland is 24-48 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 39-147
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 43-80-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-6

Los Angeles (89-57) @ Seattle (81-66)
— Kershaw is 4-0, 1.80 in his last seven starts.
— Dodgers are 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
— under 4-1 last five road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-2
— He is 4-0, 2.33 in four starts vs Seattle.

— Dodgers are 6-8 in their last 14 games.
— Dodgers are 41-31 on road.
— over 16-5-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 61-146
— record in first 5 innings: 74-56-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3.1

— Miller is 0-1, 5.23 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 7-4 in his home starts.
— over 4-0 last four starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.

— Seattle is 6-10 in its last 16 games.
— Mariners are 41-31 at home.
— over 8-4-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-147
— record in first 5 innings: 72-52-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-3

Umpires
Atl-Mia— Over is 7-1 in last eight Johnson games
Cin-NYM— Last four Vanover games went over total.
Wsh-Milw— Under is 8-3 in last 11 Hanahan games
Phil-StL— Underdog is 5-2 in last seven Knight games
SF-Colo— Over is 6-1 in last seven Additon games.
Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Barksdale games.
Chi-Ariz— Under is 5-1 in last six Rehak games.

TB-Balt— Under is 12-5 in last 17 Hamari games
Bos-Tor— Over is 14-7-1 in last 22 Baker games.
Tex-Clev— Underdog is 9-6 in last 15 Drake games.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Minn-CWS— Under is 5-2 in last seven Tomlinson games.
Hst-KC— Favorite is 14-3 in last 17 Libka games.
Det-LAA— Over is 3-1 in last four Clemons games.

NY-Pitt— Under is 16-5 in last 21 Blakney games.
SD-A’s— Arrieta is rookie ump; this might be his first MLB game
LA-Sea— Favorite won six of last seven Moore games.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, September 16

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 16​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BOS at TOR	03:07 PM	TOR -136 O 8.0	+500 +500
SD at OAK	04:07 PM	OAK +126 O 9.0	+500 +500
ATL at MIA	04:10 PM	MIA +114 O 9.5	+500 +500
TEX at CLE	06:10 PM	TEX +111 O 8.0	+500 +500
NYY at PIT	06:35 PM	PIT +103 O 9.0	+500 +500
TB at BAL	07:05 PM	TB -119 O 7.5	+500 +500
MIN at CHW	07:10 PM	MIN -211 O 8.5	+500 +500
WAS at MIL	07:10 PM	MIL -267 U 8.0	+500 +500
HOU at KC	07:10 PM	HOU -143 U 9.5	+500 +500
CIN at NYM	07:10 PM	NYM +101 O 8.0	+500 +500
PHI at STL	07:15 PM	PHI -117 O 9.0	+500 +500
CHC at ARI	08:10 PM	ARI -102 O 9.0	+500 +500
DET at LAA	09:07 PM	DET -114 O 8.5	+500 +500
LAD at SEA	09:40 PM	LAD -138 U 8.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
09/16/2023	15-14-1	51.67%	-420	Detail
09/15/2023	14-15-1	48.33%	-1445	Detail
09/14/2023	6-6-0	50.00%	+0	Detail
09/13/2023	16-10-2	60.71%	+2910	Detail
09/12/2023	10-9-1	52.50%	+985	Detail
09/11/2023	11-9-0	55.00%	+835	Detail
09/10/2023	12-16-2	43.33%	-2800	Detail
09/09/2023	15-15-0	50.00%	-1435	Detail
09/08/2023	15-12-1	55.36%	+1375	Detail
09/04/2023	5-16-1	25.00%	-6740	Detail
09/03/2023	9-19-2	33.33%	-5950	Detail
09/02/2023	15-14-1	51.67%	-645	Detail
09/01/2023	10-18-0	35.71%	-5860	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/16/2023................................8 - 9.............................47.05%...........................- 6.80
09/15/2023................................9 - 13- 1........................40.90%...........................- 20.60
09/14/2023................................6 - 5.............................54.54%...........................+ 5.30
09/13/2023...............................14 - 8 - 2........................63.63%...........................+ 33.85
09/12/2023................................7 - 8 - 1.........................46.66%...........................+ 1.15
09/11/2023................................9 - 6..............................60.00%.........................+ 16.55
09/10/2023................................7 - 15 - 1........................31,81%............................- 47.50
09/09/2023................................8 - 12............................40.00%..........................- 31.70
09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1.........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10.............................33.33%..........................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1.........................23.80%...........................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1.........................57.14%...........................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14.............................33.33%...........................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ...........111 - 133 - 7.......................45.49%..........................- 134.70

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Rockies 9-5, Giants 5-2— Bad day for SF; they’re 2.5 games out of a playoff spot.
— Toronto 4, Boston 3 (13)— Whit Merrifield had the walk-off single.
— Orioles 8, Rays 0— Eight shutout innings for Grayson Rodriguez.
— Reds 3, Mets 2— Christian Encarnacion-Strand hit a 2-run homer.
— Dodgers 6, Seattle 2 (11)— Dodgers clinch the NL West.
— Brewers 9, Nationals 5— Mark Canha hit an 8th inning grand slam.

Quote of the Day
“We’re going to evaluate the guys that played today and we’re going to evaluate Jalen Milroe in terms of how he played [the first two games]. And we’ll decide this week who gives us the best opportunity to be successful.”
Nick Saban, talking about Alabama’s QB issues

Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of which Big Ten team?

Saturday’s quiz
Coastal Carolina’s teams are known as the Chanticleers.

Friday’s quiz
Hall of Fame coach Dick Vermeil was coach of the Philadelphia Eagles the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

****************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Missouri 30, Kansas State 27
Mizzou kicked a 61-yard FG at the gun, longest FG in SEC history
K-State was 8-17 on third down, Mizzou 3-13
Luther Burden III caught 7 passes for 114 yards and 2 TD’s.

I’m from Albany, NY; 50+ years ago, there was a great high school basketball player here, Luther (Ticky) Burden— he played in the ABA and NBA. I’m wondering if this is his grandson.

— Colorado 43, Colorado State 35 OT
This game ended at 2:25am here in the East.

Colorado (-23) drove 98 yards for game-tying TD with 0:36 left.
Colorado QB Sanders threw for 348 yards and four TD’s.
Colorado State QB Fowler-Nicolosi threw for 367 yards and three TD’s.
Rams had 16 penalties for 176 yards; Colorado 10 for 86.

— UNLV 40, Vanderbilt 37
Vandy led this game 17-0 early in second quarter.
UNLV then scored the next 30 points.
Freshman QB Maiava came off bench, threw for 261 yards.
Rebels kicked game-winning 36-yard FG with 0:05 left.

— So far this season, SEC teams are 2-7 ATS away from home in non-conference games.

— Alabama 17, South Florida 3
This game was 3-3 at halftime; there was also a weather delay.
Alabama has used three different QB’s this season, a red flag.
Total yardage was 310-264; Bama completed only 10-23 passes for 107 yards.

— Florida State 31, Boston College 29
Seminoles led 31-10 with 2:00 left in 3rd quarter, held on for dear life.
BC was 8-19 on third down, Florida State 1-9. Eagles were 4-5 on 4th down.

— Upsets of the Week:
Miami OH (+14). 31, Cincinnati 24 OT
BYU (+8) 38, Arkansas 31
South Alabama (+7) 33, Oklahoma State 7
Army (+7) 37, Texas-San Antonio 29
FIU (+7) 24, UConn 17
I-AA Sacramento State (+7) 30, Stanford 23
Florida (+5.5) 28, Tennessee 16

— Word of the Day— Narcissist— Someone who has an unreasonably high sense of their own importance.

— NFL Trend of the Day— Since 2018, Steelers are 7-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.

— Louisville 21, Indiana 14
Cardinals stopped Indiana at the 1-yard line with 4:38 left to preserve their win.
Louisville led this game 21-0 at halftime.

ACC non-conference home favorites are 8-4 ATS so far this season.

— Georgia 24, South Carolina 14
Gamecocks led 14-3 at halftime.
Georgia outgained South Carolina 458-309.
Gamecocks were minus-2 in turnovers, had 11 penalties for 73 yards.

— Florida 29, Tennessee 16
Volunteers lost their 10th straight visit to Gainesville.
Tennessee had five false start penalties.

— Washington 41, Michigan State 7— If you’re betting games, read the papers; Spartans and Northwestern have programs in chaos, because their coaches got caught up in off-the-field stuff. Wager against these teams.

— Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 13-6 ATS this season.

— South Alabama 33, Oklahoma State 7— Red flag for a Big X team to lose by 26 points at home to a Sun Belt team. Jaguars outgained Oklahoma State 395-208.

— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Cubs, Cin/Ariz
AL: Orioles, Twins, Astros. Wild Cards: Rays, Rangers, Blue Jays

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, September 17

 

[Udog]

BALTIMORE is 183-141 SU (27.9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 10-0 SU (10 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the current season.

TORONTO is 327-311 SU (-15.1 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

ATLANTA is 16-4 SU (11.6 Units) in road games against left-handed starters in the current season.

NY METS are 39-23 Over (13.7 Units) in September games in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 36-46 SU (-14.6 Units) in road games in day games in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) in road games when playing with a day off in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 67-50 SU (12 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 105-134 SU (-42.4 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 9-3 SU (5.7 Units) in home games when playing on Sunday in the current season.

COLORADO is 48-26 SU (19.4 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 16-6 Under (9.4 Units) when playing on Sunday in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 22-33 SU (-16.7 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

LA DODGERS are 22-6 SU (16.3 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

ARIZONA is 165-131 SU (20.9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

MLB

Sunday, September 17

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, September 17

 

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, September 17

National League
Atlanta (96-52) @ Miami (77-72)
— Morton is 4-1, 1.85 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 11-2 last 13 starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-1
— He is 2-0, 0.71 in two starts vs Miami TY.

— Atlanta is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Braves are 49-27 on road.
— over 10-3-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 58-148
— record in first 5 innings: 86-42-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-5

— Luzardo is 1-1, 3.13 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 5-29
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-5
— He is 2-3, 4.38 in five starts vs Atlanta.

— Miami is 3-1 in its last four games.
— Marlins are 42-32 at home.
— over 5-0 last five home games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-149
— record in first 5 innings: 61-64-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5-4.2

Cincinnati (78-72) @ NY Mets (68-80)
— Williamson is 0-2, 5.13 in his last five starts.
— Cincinnati is 6-4 in his road starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-9
— He hasn’t pitched against New York

— Reds won five of last six games.
— Cincinnati is 42-33 on road.
— under 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 45-150
— record in first 5 innings: 59-57-34
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.1-5.1

— Quintana is 1-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 2-8 in his starts
— under 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-2
— He is 4-4, 3.06 in 12 starts vs Cincinnati.

— Mets are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— Mets are 38-36 at home.
— under 6-3-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 33-146
— record in first 5 innings: 65-62-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-3.1

Washington (65-84) @ Milwaukee (84-64)
— Corbin is 1-2, 9.19 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 5-4 in his last nine starts.
— over 6-4 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 11-29
— record in first 5 innings: 10-16-3
— He is 4-7, 5.00 in 12 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Nationals are 4-15 in their last 19 games.
— They’re 34-41 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 50-149
— record in first 5 innings: 56-77-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-3.1-6

— Woodruff is 3-0, 0.96 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 7-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
— He is 4-0, 0.85 in four starts vs Washington.

— Brewers won 19 of last 26 games.
— Milwaukee is 45-29 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 45-148
— record in first 5 innings: 64-61-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-3.1

Philadelphia (81-67) @ St Louis (65-83)
— Walker is 2-0, 5.86 in his last four starts.
— Phillies scored 27 runs in those four games.
— Phillies are 8-4 in his road starts.
— over 4-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 12-28 (7 of last 7)
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-4
— He is 1-1, 3.00 in five starts vs St Louis

— Phillies are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Phillies are 38-36 on road.
— under 4-2 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 47-148
— record in first 5 innings: 65-65-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-3

— Hudson is 1-1, 7.16 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 6-3 in his starts.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3
— He is 1-2, 3.18 in four starts vs Philadelphia.

— Cardinals are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
— Cardinals are 31-42 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 46-147
— record in first 5 innings: 64-61-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3

San Francisco (75-74) @ Colorado (56-92)
— bullpen game

— Giants lost four of last five games.
— San Francisco is 32-42 on road.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-149
— record in first 5 innings: 60-63-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-0.1-13

— Flexen is 0-2, 7.85 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 3-6 in his starts.
— over 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He threw five shutout IP in his one start vs San Francisco

— Colorado won its last five games.
— Colorado is 34-39 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 43-149
— record in first 5 innings: 60-73-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-11

Cubs (78-71) @ Arizona (78-72)
— Wicks is 3-0, 1.99 in four starts.
— Cubs are 4-0 in his starts
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Cubs lost seven of last nine games.
— Chicago is 37-37 on road.
— under 15-4 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-149
— record in first 5 innings: 68-58-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3

— Nelson is 1-3, 10.69 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-26
— record in first 5 innings: 10-13-3
— He gave up a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Arizona is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Arizona is 40-35 at home.
— over 4-0-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 50-149
— record in first 5 innings: 61-59-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-5

American League
Tampa Bay (92-58) @ Baltimore (92-56)
— Littell is 0-2, 3.66 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 5-7 in his starts.
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— This is his first start vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay is 19-8 in its last 27 games.
— Rays are 41-33 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 53-149
— record in first 5 innings: 79-52-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-4

— Kremer is 2-0, 2.57 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 14-2 in his last 16 starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 11-29
— record in first 5 innings: 17-8-4
— He is 1-1, 3.00 in five starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Orioles lost four of last five games.
— Baltimore is 44-30 at home.
— over 17-8-2 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-147
— record in first 5 innings: 69-54-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-1

Boston (74-75) @ Toronto (82-67)
— Pivetta is 0-2, 6.28 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 6-7 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-3
— He is 2-4, 5.57 in 12 starts vs Toronto.

— Red Sox are 5-14 in their last 19 games.
— Boston is 36-37 on road.
— over 21-7-1 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-149
— record in first 5 innings: 56-73-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 11-2-6.2

— Ryu is 0-2, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 5-3 in his starts
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-3
— He is 2-2, 4.01 in six starts vs Boston.

— Toronto lost four of last six games.
— Blue Jays are 40-34 at home.
— over 13-7-2 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-149
— record in first 5 innings: 60-58-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-6

Texas (82-66) @ Cleveland (71-78)
— Rangers haven’t named a starter

— Texas won six of its last eight games.
— Rangers are 37-36 on road.
— over 18-5 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-148
— record in first 5 innings: 81-47-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-4.1-3

— Williams is 1-1, 6.06 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP at Texas July 15.

— Guardians are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
— Cleveland is 38-36 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 42-148
— record in first 5 innings: 59-63-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3.1

Minnesota (78-71) @ White Sox (57-92)
— Gray is 1-1, 2.25 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 6-8 in his road starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-29
— record in first 5 innings: 16-10-3
— He is 1-0, 1.54 in two starts vs Chicago TY.

— Twins are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Minnesota is 35-39 on road.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-148
— record in first 5 innings: 62-62-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3

— Cease is 2-0, 5.94 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 8-6 in his home starts.
— over 7-2 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-30
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 13-10-7
— He is 1-0, 4.50 in three starts vs Minnesota TY.

— Chicago is 10-23 in its last 33 games.
— White Sox are 30-44 at home
— under 5-4 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 41-149
— record in first 5 innings: 54-77-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-5-4

Houston (83-66) @ Kansas City (48-101)
— Valdez is 2-1, 3.60 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 2-5 in his last seven road starts.
— over 7-4 last eleven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-28
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-6
— He is 1-1, 5.40 in two starts vs Kansas City.

— Astros are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Houston is 45-29 on the road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 51-149
— record in first 5 innings: 71-57-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3.2

— Lyles is 1-3, 7.06 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 5-23 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 14-28
— record in first 5 innings: 9-16-3
— He is 2-2, 3.98 in six starts vs Houston.

— Royals lost 13 of last 20 games.
— Royals are 28-46 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 43-149
— record in first 5 innings: 47-84-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-3

Detroit (69-79) @ LA Angels (68-81)
— Tigers haven’t named a starter.

— Detroit is 10-5 in its last 15 games.
— Tigers are 37-36 on road
— under 22-11 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-148
— record in first 5 innings: 57-68-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5

— Detmers is 0-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— over 6-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-26
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-6
— He gave up four runs in 4.1 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.

— Angels are 5-14 in their last 19 games.
— Angels are 35-39 at home.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 40-149
— record in first 5 innings: 57-68-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-5

Interleague game
Bronx (76-73) @ Pittsburgh (69-80)
— Rodon is 2-1, 4.88 in his last five starts.
— New York is 3-8 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
— He is 3-1, 3.97 in four starts vs Pittsburgh.

— New York won six of its last seven games.
— Bronx is 37-37 on road.
— under 12-6-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-149
— record in first 5 innings: 65-57-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4-5

— bullpen game

— Pirates are 10-7 in their last 17 games.
— Pittsburgh is 37-40 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 38-148
— record in first 5 innings: 55-73-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-4.1

San Diego (71-78) @ Oakland (46-102)
— bullpen game

— Padres won four of last five games.
— San Diego is 32-42 on road.
— over 14-7-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 53-149
— record in first 5 innings: 69-64-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3.2

— bullpen game

— A’s lost their last three games.
— Oakland is 24-49 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 39-148
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 43-81-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-6-8

Los Angeles (90-57) @ Seattle (81-67)
— bullpen game

— Dodgers are 3-1 in their last four games.
— Dodgers are 42-31 on road.
— over 16-5-2 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 61-147
— record in first 5 innings: 74-56-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-7

— Gilbert is 3-0, 2.81 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
— over 8-3 last 11 starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 12-29
— record in first 5 innings: 17-9-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.

— Seattle is 6-11 in its last 17 games.
— Mariners are 41-32 at home.
— over 8-4-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-148
— record in first 5 innings: 72-52-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-6

Umpires
Atl-Mia— Over is 4-2 in last six Gonzalez games
Cin-NYM— Over is 20-8-1 in Moscoso games.
Wsh-Milw— Over is 11-5 in last 16 Hoberg games
Phil-StL— Favorite won six of last seven Merzel games
SF-Colo— Under is 8-3 in last 11 Wills games.
Chi-Ariz— Underdogs are 6-5 in last 11 Valentine games.

TB-Balt— Underdogs are 9-9 in last 18 Vondrak games
Bos-Tor— Under is 6-3 in last nine Gibson games.
Tex-Clev— Under is 6-1 in last seven Ortiz games.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Minn-CWS— Under is 5-2 in last seven Barber games.
Hst-KC— Favorite is 5-2 in last seven Thomas games.
Det-LAA— Under is 10-6 in last 16 Riggs games.

NY-Pitt— Over is 5-1 in last six Wendelstedt games.
SD-A’s— Under is 9-3 in last dozen Mackay games
LA-Sea— Road team won last seven Dreckman games.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 17

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 17​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TB at BAL	01:35 PM	BAL -115 U 8.5	+500 +500
NYY at PIT	01:35 PM	PIT +139 U 8.0	+500 +500
BOS at TOR	01:37 PM	BOS +125 U 8.5	+500 +500
ATL at MIA	01:40 PM	ATL -135 O 8.5	+500 +500
TEX at CLE	01:40 PM	CLE +106 O 8.0	+500 +500
CIN at NYM	01:40 PM	NYM -127 O 8.5	+500 +500
WAS at MIL	02:10 PM	WAS +230 O 8.0	+500 +500
HOU at KC	02:10 PM	KC +207 O 9.5	+500 +500
MIN at CHW	02:10 PM	MIN -152 O 8.5	+500 +500
PHI at STL	02:15 PM	PHI -125 U 9.0	+500 +500
SF at COL	03:10 PM	COL +145 U 12.0	+500 +500
SD at OAK	04:07 PM	OAK +150 U 9.0	+500 +500
DET at LAA	04:07 PM	DET +100 O 8.5	+500 +500
LAD at SEA	04:10 PM	SEA -136 U 8.5	+500 +500
CHC at ARI	07:10 PM	CHC -108 O 9.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
09/17/2023	13-17-0	43.33%	-2095	Detail
09/16/2023	15-14-1	51.67%	-420	Detail
09/15/2023	14-15-1	48.33%	-1445	Detail
09/14/2023	6-6-0	50.00%	+0	Detail
09/13/2023	16-10-2	60.71%	+2910	Detail
09/12/2023	10-9-1	52.50%	+985	Detail
09/11/2023	11-9-0	55.00%	+835	Detail
09/10/2023	12-16-2	43.33%	-2800	Detail
09/09/2023	15-15-0	50.00%	-1435	Detail
09/08/2023	15-12-1	55.36%	+1375	Detail
09/04/2023	5-16-1	25.00%	-6740	Detail
09/03/2023	9-19-2	33.33%	-5950	Detail
09/02/2023	15-14-1	51.67%	-645	Detail
09/01/2023	10-18-0	35.71%	-5860	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/17/2023...............................11 - 13..........................45.83%..........................- 5.05
09/16/2023................................8 - 9.............................47.05%...........................- 6.80
09/15/2023................................9 - 13- 1........................40.90%...........................- 20.60
09/14/2023................................6 - 5.............................54.54%...........................+ 5.30
09/13/2023...............................14 - 8 - 2........................63.63%...........................+ 33.85
09/12/2023................................7 - 8 - 1.........................46.66%...........................+ 1.15
09/11/2023................................9 - 6..............................60.00%.........................+ 16.55
09/10/2023................................7 - 15 - 1........................31,81%............................- 47.50
09/09/2023................................8 - 12............................40.00%..........................- 31.70
09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1.........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10.............................33.33%..........................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1.........................23.80%...........................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1.........................57.14%...........................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14.............................33.33%...........................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ...........122 - 146 - 7.......................45.52%..........................- 139.75

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
— Orioles beat Rays 5-4, clinched their first playoff spot since 2016.
— Giants 11, Rockies 10— San Francisco led 9-0 in the 6th inning.
— Twins 4, White Sox 0— Sonny Gray tossed seven shutout IP.
— Arizona 6, Cubs 2— Diamondbacks sweep the weekend series.
— Blue Jays 3, Red Sox 2— Toronto moves into #2 Wild Card slot in AL.
— Astros 7, Royals 1— Jose Altuve went 3-for-5, scored twice.

Quote of the Day
“I mean, I only got four touches. That’s why we struggled. It is what it is. We just got down early today and just abandoned the run. That type of stuff happens, you feel like you’ve have to get back in the game and it just slips away.”
Jets’ RB Breece Hall

Monday’s quiz
What famous actor got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere?

Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of the Indiana Hoosiers.

Saturday’s quiz
Coastal Carolina’s teams are known as the Chanticleers.

************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Commanders 35, Broncos 33
— Washington is 2-0 for the first time since 2011.
— Wilson threw 50-yard Hail Mary TD pass at 0:00; tying 2-point play failed.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 3-0 as an NFL starter
— Since 2018, Washington is 19-10-1 ATS coming off a win.

— Denver’s first three drives: 17 plays, 226 yards, 20 TD’s.
— Denver rest of game: 39 plays, 194 yards, 13 points.
— Second week in row a missed PAT proved costly.
— Broncos lost their first two games, by total of three points.

Seahawks 37, Lions 31
— Seahawks drove 75 yards on nine plays for game-winning TD in OT.
— Lockett caught 8 passes for 59 yards, two TD’s.
— Seattle scored a TD on its first drive of both games this season.
— Last 10+ years, Seattle is 33-23-3 ATS coming off a loss.

— Goff threw pick-6; Seattle led 31-21 with 8:14 left.
— Next two drives, Lions ran 16 plays, gained 105 yards, 10 points, tied game.
— Over is 22-10-1 in Detroit’s last 33 home games.
— Over is 12-2 in NFL games so far this weekend.

Titans 27, Chargers 24
— Last three games that counted, Chargers scored 30-34-24 points, lost all three.
— Chargers lost first two games this season by total of five points.
— WR Allen caught 8 passes for 111 yards, two TD’s.
— Bolts are 8-17-7 ATS in last 32 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

— Chargers tied game with 0:03 left on a 33-yard FG.
— Titans drove 38 yards, kicked 41-yard FG in rain for the OT win.
— Tennessee was 6-13 on third down, Chargers 2-14 (3-3 on 4th down).
— Last 2+ years, Titans are 9-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Giants 31, Cardinals 28
— Giants trailed this game 20-0 at halftime.
— Giants in 1st half: 26 plays, 76 yards, no points.
— Giants in 2nd half: 42 plays, 350 yards, 31 points.
— QB Jones was 26-37/321 with two TD passes.

— Cardinals’ first six drives: 46 plays, 341 yards, 28 points.
— Cardinals’ last four drives: 17 plays, 48 yards, no points.
— QB Dobbs is now 0-4 as an NFL starter.
— Cardinals lost their first two games by total of seven points.

Falcons 25, Packers 24
— Falcons drove 66 yards to kick game-winning 25-yard FG with 1:01 left.
— Atlanta outgained the Packers, 446-224.
— Falcons ran ball 45 times for 211 yards.
— Home side won last seven series games.

— Packers’ first two drives of 3rd quarter: 10 plays, 143 yards, two TD’s.
— Packers’ three drives rest of game: 10 plays, 7 yards, no first downs.
— Green Bay was 9-16 on 3rd down last week, 3-9 this week.
— Last 2+ years, Packers are 1-7-1 ATS on artificial turf.

Colts 31, Texans 20
— Colts scored 2 TD’s on Richardson’s 3 drives, then he left (concussion)
— Backup QB Minshew is better than he is (19-23/171 passing, with a TD)
— Colts scored a TD on four of their first six drives.
— Indianapolis is 6-1-1 SU in last series games.

— Opponents are 14-27 on 3rd down so far this season.
— WR Collins caught 7 passes for 146 yards and a TD.
— Texans are 16-24-1 ATS in last 41 games coming off a loss.
— Last 4+ years. Houston is 5-8 ATS in AFC South home games.

Buccaneers 27, Bears 17
— Down 20-17, Fields threw an awful pick-6 with 2:12 left.
— Fields is 5-22 SU as an NFL starter.
— Tampa Bay outgained the Bears 437-236.
— Last 2+ years, Chicago is 5-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— WR Evans caught six passes for 171 yards and a TD.
— First three drives: 27 plays, 197 yards, 10 points and a blocked FG.
— Last four years, over is 18-13 in Tampa Bay home games.
— Tampa Bay has outrushed opponents 193-108 in two games.

Bills 38, Raiders 10
— Buffalo ran 74 plays for 450 yards; Raiders ran 39 plays for 240 yards.
— Raiders were 3-7 on third down, Bills were 7-13.
— Las Vegas is 4-14 ATS in last 18 games on artificial turf.
— Over is 7-1 in last seven series games.

— Buffalo scored five TD’s on their eight drives.
— Josh Allen was 31-37/274 passing, with three TD’s.
— Bills are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
— Last four years, Bills are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.

Chiefs 17, Jaguars 9
— Chiefs’ first four drives: 19 plays, 81 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
— Chiefs’ next two drives: 14 plays, 131 yards, 14 points.
— Mahomes was 29-41/305 passing, with two TD’s.
— KC won last eight series games (6-2 ATS).

— Jaguars didn’t score a TD, kicked three FG’s on 11 drives.
— Chiefs had 12 penalties for 94 yards, Jaguars 2 for 10.
— Two games this season, Jaguars are 6-24 on third down.
— Under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.

Ravens 27, Bengals 24
— Ravens’ last two drives of first half: 22 plays, 102 yards, two FG’s.
— First two drives of second half: 16 plays, 137 yards, 14 points.
— First two games, Ravens converted 17-29 on third down.
— Baltimore has allowed two TD’s on opponents’ 19 drives this season.

— Bengals’ first TD came on an 81-yard punt return.
— Cincy’s first offensive TD this season came on their 19th drive.
— First two games, Bengals averaged 2.0/5.1 yards/pass attempt.
— First two games, Cincinnati was outgained 765-434.

49ers 30, Rams 23
— San Francisco ran for 159 yards (347 yards/two games).
— Moody’s 57-yard FG put SF up for good, 20-17.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 9-1 as NFL starter.
— Since beginning of LY, 49ers are +19 in turnovers (minus-15 in 2020-21)

— Rams’ first three drives: 32 plays, 198 yards, 17 points.
— Rams rest of game: 49 plays, 164 yards, 6 points.
— Rookie WR Nacua caught 15 passes for 147 yards.
— 49ers won nine of last ten series games.

Cowboys 30, Jets 10
— Jets’ only TD was a 68-yard pass from Wilson to Wilson.
— Jets in second half: 22 plays, 68 yards, 4 turnovers, no points.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.

— Cowboys were 9-18 on third down, Jets were 1-10.
— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 19-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Dallas outgained first two opponents, 647-386.
— Cowboys outscored first two opponents, 70-10.

Dolphins 24, Patriots 17
— Mostert ran ball 18 times for 121 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Tua Tagovailoa is 5-0 against New England.
— Dolphins in first half: 35 plays, 232 yards, 17 points.
— Opponents are 16-30 on third down this year.

— New England is 0-2 for the first time since 2001.
— Patriots averaged only 4.3 yards/pass play.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 3-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Since Brady left, NE is 25-27 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.

Don’t forget, there are two Monday night NFL games tonight.