CNOTES 2024 - 2025 COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS-BEST BETS-OPINIONS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP !

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Tuesday, December 17


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Udog

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 17

5 of the day’s best college basketball games:

DePaul
@ St John’s (-12.5)
DePaul (8-2, 0-1)
KenPom rating: 88
Tempo: 163
Experience: 69
Continuity: 356 (lot of transfers)
DePaul is 1-35 in its last 36 Big East games.
Blue Demons have #12 eFG% in country.
DePaul is shooting 40.4% on arc, getting 46% of points on 3’s (#2)
Blue Demons are 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 14-7 points.
DePaul’s best win: 91-72 over #100 Wichita State

St John’s (8-2)
KenPom rating: 15
Tempo: 78
Experience: 76
Continuity: 264
St John’s have #56 eFG% defense in country.
Johnnies are 2-2 vs top 100 teams
St John’s best win: 88-71 over #69 Kansas State
Johnnies are #13 team team in country on offensive boards.


Florida vs North Carolina (-3.5) (@ Charlotte)
Florida (10-0)
KenPom rating: 7
Tempo: 96
Experience: 60
Continuity: 55
Florida is 3-0 vs top 100 teams (wins by 13-37-17 points)
Gators are grabbing 40.2% of their missed shots (#10)
Florida have four neutral court wins, also won at Florida State
Gators are shooting 58.3% inside arc (#30)

North Carolina (6-4)
KenPom rating: 28
Tempo: 5
Experience: 73
Continuity: 87
North Carolina is 1-4 against top 100 teams.
Tar Heels’ best win: 92-90 over #26 Dayton.
Opponents are shooting 47.2% inside arc (#73)
Tar Heels gave up 85+ points in all four losses.


So far this season, SEC teams are 26-3 SU vs ACC opponents


Clemson (-2.5) @ South Carolina
Clemson (9-2)
KenPom rating: 27
Tempo: 326
Experience: 11
Continuity: 92
Clemson lost its last game in OT to Memphis (led by 5 with 1:07 left)
Tigers are 4-2 vs top 100 teams (schedule #75)
Clemson lost 84-71 at Boise, won 65-55 at Miami.
Tigers are forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#41)

South Carolina (7-3)
KenPom rating: 68
Tempo: 264
Experience: 118
Continuity: 83
South Carolina is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 16-9 points.
Gamecocks’ best win: 70-60 over #143 Virginia Tech
South Carolina has #34 eFG% defense (vs schedule #264)
Gamecocks are getting 21.4% of points on foul line (#78)


So far this season, SEC teams are 26-3 SU vs ACC opponents


Seton Hall @ Villanova (-8.5)
Seton Hall (5-6)
KenPom rating: 135
Tempo: 360
Experience: 131
Continuity: 265
Seton Hall lost three of its last four games.
Pirates lost their only true road game, 66-63 at Rutgers.
Seton Hall has #300 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#319)
Pirates are 2-3 vs top 100 teams (beat VCU 69-66 in OT)

Villanova (7-4)
KenPom rating: 50
Tempo: 346
Experience: 30
Continuity: 249
Villanova won its last four games, scoring 80 ppg.
Wildcats are 1-1 vs top 100 teams (schedule #300)
Villanova’s best win: 68-60 over #24 Cincinnati
Wildcats are shooting 40.5% on the arc (#9)


Drake @ Kansas State (-1.5) (@ Kansas City)
Drake (9-0)
KenPom rating: 73
Tempo: 348
Experience: 358
Continuity: 311
Drake is 3-0 vs top 100 teams, all at Charleston tourney
Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#21)
Drake has four starters who were playing D2 ball last year.
Bulldogs’ best win: 81-70 over #62 Vanderbilt.

Kansas State (6-3)
KenPom rating: 69
Tempo: 135
Experience: 55
Continuity: 298
K-State hasn’t played in ten days.
Wildcats are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11-2-17 points.
K-State’s best win: 83-71 over #144 George Washington
Wildcats are shooting 37.5% on arc (#57) vs schedule #325
 

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 17

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
UNF at UNCA06:30 PMUNF +3.0
O 162.0
+500 +500
DEP at SJU06:30 PMDEP +11.5
O 150.0
+500 +500
JMU at WAKE07:00 PMJMU +8.0
O 136.0
+500 +500
GMU at DUKE07:00 PMDUKE -19.5
U 136.5
+500 +500
WIN at FSU07:00 PMWIN +11.5
U 158.5
+500 +500
WCU at TENN07:00 PMWCU +36.5
O 142.5
+500 +500
SOU at MISS07:00 PMSOU +24.0
O 143.5
+500 +500
SBON at SIE07:00 PMSIE +6.5
O 127.5
+500 +500
UNLV at DAY07:00 PMUNLV +11.0
U 141.0
+500 +500
FIU at ECU07:00 PMECU -7.5
O 143.0
+500 +500
UWG at CHAR07:00 PMCHAR -12.5
U 138.5
+500 +500
HC at QUIN07:00 PMQUIN -11.0
O 143.0
+500 +500
OAK at MSU07:00 PMOAK +16.5
U 133.5
+500 +500
TOWS at RMU07:00 PMRMU +1.5
O 131.0
+500 +500
UNC at AFA07:00 PMU 167.5+500
WEBB at GASO07:00 PMWEBB +3.0
O 152.5
+500 +500
CCAR at NCAT07:00 PMNCAT -4.0
O 146.5
+500 +500
SFPA at MD07:30 PMMD -34.5
U 146.5
+500 +500
JVST at MIZZ07:30 PMJVST +17.5
O 147.0
+500 +500
UMKC at WICH07:30 PMWICH -14.5
O 147.5
+500 +500
HALL at VILL07:30 PMVILL -8.5
O 127.0
+500 +500
CMU at MSST07:30 PMMSST -20.0
O 148.0
+500 +500
GAST at AUB08:00 PMAUB -39.5
O 156.5
+500 +500
VALP at OSU08:00 PMOSU -21.5
U 150.5
+500 +500
SEA at WKU08:00 PMWKU -6.0
O 149.5
+500 +500
DRKE at KSU08:00 PMKSU -1.5
U 136.0
+500 +500
LAM at USM08:00 PMLAM -2.0
O 139.0
+500 +500
TNTC at WIU08:30 PMTNTC +2.0
O 139.5
+500 +500
HBU at ULM08:30 PMHBU +3.5
O 138.0
+500 +500
STET at LSU09:00 PMLSU -23.5
U 150.0
+500 +500
FAMU at UTAH09:00 PMFAMU +32.5
O 151.5
+500 +500
UCSD at USU09:00 PMUSU -10.0
O 150.0
+500 +500
RAD at CSU09:00 PMRAD +13.0
U 137.0
+500 +500
TXSO at BSU09:00 PMTXSO +22.5
U 149.0
+500 +500
PV at UCLA09:30 PMUCLA -34.0
U 147.0
+500 +500
MW at STAN10:00 PMSTAN -15.5
U 136.0
+500 +500
SAC at ORST10:00 PMORST -20.5
U 131.0
+500 +500
DEN at CP10:00 PMCP -10.5
O 162.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/17/2024................13 - 16 - 0....................44.82%.............- 23.00
12/16/2024...................7 - 3 - 0.....................70.00%.............+ 18.50
12/15/2024.................12 - 16 - 0..................42.85%.............- 28.00
12/14/2024.................12 - 23 - 4..................34.28%..............- 66.50
12/13/2024.....................3 - 8 - 1...................27.27%..............- 29.00
12/12/2024.....................4 - 6 - 0...................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/11/2024...................12 - 8 - 1...................60.00%...............+ 16.00
12/10/2024...................10 - 15 - 0.................40.00%...............- 32.50
12/09/2024......................4 - 4 - 0.................50.00%................- 2.00
12/08/2024....................15 - 18 - 0................45.45%................- 24.00
12/07/2024...................43 - 21 - 1.................61.81%................+ 54.50
12/06/2024......................9 - 6 - 0.................60.00%................+ 12.00
12/05/2024......................5 - 5 - 1.................50.00%................- 5.00
12/04/2024...................19 - 20 - 1.................48.71%................- 15.00
12/03/2024...................20 - 19 - 0.................51.28%................- 4.50
12/02/2024......................2 - 8 - 0.................20.00%................- 34.00
12/01/2024..................... 4 - 6 - 0.................40.00%................- 13.00

TOTALS......................194 - 202 - 9.................48.98%................- 178.50
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
College hoop teams shooting the best on the foul line:
84.8%— Wisconsin
83.8%— Cal-Irvine
82.4%— Tex-San Antonio
82.2%— Valparaiso
81.5%— Canisius
81.3%— Campbell

Quote of the Day
“He’s got to play better. We have to find a way to get him to play better. We have to play better at the quarterback position.”
Falcons coach Raheem Morris, before he benched Kirk Cousins Tuesday

Wednesday’s quiz
Which NFL team drafted Kirk Cousins in 2012?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the NBA’s Oklahoma City Thunder, Russell Westbrook has scored the most points.

Monday’s quiz
25 years ago, the Rams won the Super Bowl for the first time, behind QB Kurt Warner, who was the backup during training camp. Trent Green was the Rams’ starting QB that summer, before he blew his knee out in an exhibition game.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……

— NFL teams who get the highest %age of their first downs on 3rd down plays:
33.3%- Chiefs
30.4%- Dolphins
29.4%- Broncos
28.8%- Eagles
28.5%- Steelers

— NFL teams who get the lowest %age of their first downs on 3rd down plays:
20.6%- Packers
22.0%- Browns
22.0%- Falcons
22.9%- Lions
23.1%- Vikings

— NFL screwed around with the Week 17 (next week) schedule, moving some games:
Saturday December 28:
Chargers @ Patriots, 1:00
Broncos @ Bengals, 4:00
Cardinals @ Rams, 8:00
Sunday, December 29:
Falcons @ Commanders, 8:20

— Minnesota Vikings are 12-2, having a great year; are they really going to let QB Sam Darnold walk next spring? The franchise tag for a QB figures to be around $41M next year, which would be a crimp in Minnesota’s salary cap, but quarterbacks are really important, and Darnold is leading a 12-2 team this season.
Rookie JJ McCarthy hasn’t played yet; he’s already had two knee procedures. Will Minnesota really let Darnold walk and let McCarthy take over, with Giants’ reject Daniel Jones as the #2 quarterback? Tough decision they’ll have to face after the season.

— Falcons are benching QB Kirk Cousins, will start rookie Michael Penix this week against the Giants, giving the rookie QB his first NFL start.
Tennessee Titans are benching QB Will Levis; Mason Rudolph is the likely starter- Trevor Siemian is their other QB. Rudolph has a 9-6-1 record as an NFL starter, mostly with Pittsburgh.
Cleveland Browns are benching QB Jameis Winston, will start #3 QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson against Cincinnati. Bailey Zappe is Cleveland’s other QB. Thompson-Robinson was 1-2 as a starter for Cleveland last year.

— Memphis 42, West Virginia 37
Tigers led 28-17 at halftime.
West Virginia outgained Memphis, 534-474
Mountaineers ran ball for 206 yards, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Memphis threw an 89-yard pass that wasn’t a TD; it was the longest pass play in the country this year that didn’t result in a touchdown.

— Ohio U is playing Jacksonville State in a bowl game in Orlando Friday; both teams have had really good years, so good that both head coaches have already bolted to greener pa$ture$.

Famous birthdays, December 18th:
Steven Spielberg, 78
Bobby Jones, 73 (basketball player)
Roy Howell, 71
Brad Pitt, 61
Charles Oakley, 61
Don Beebe, 60
Dan McGwire, 57
Byron Buxton, 31
Ronald Acuna, 27
Jayden Daniels, 24

— Chicago Cubs traded OF/1B Cody Bellinger to New York Tuesday, in exchange for P Cody Poteet- the Cubs are dumping most of Bellinger’s salary. Chicago will send $5M to New York as part of the deal, but Bellinger is going to make $52.5M the next two years, so the Cubs dump $47.5M in salary.
Bellinger hit 18 homers LY with a .751 OPS; his numbers figure to go up with the short right field fence in the Bronx.

— Baltimore Orioles signed P Tomoyuki Sugano to one-year, $13M deal; the 35-year old Sugano had a 1.67 ERA in 24 starts LY in Japan, but had only 111 strikeouts in 156.2 IP. Sugano has spent his entire 12-year pro career with the Yomiuri Giants.

— Bucks 97, Thunder 81
Milwaukee wins the NBA Cup championship; not sure what that means.
Lakers won its last year; they fired their coach after the season.
Bucks have won 11 of their last 13 games.

— WCC (Gonzaga’s league) is ranked #7 this year; this is the highest the league has been ranked in the last 25 years, partly because having Washington State/Oregon State for this year only has provided a boost.
Oregon State is 12-6, ranked #65; Wazzu is 11-7, ranked #72; they give the WCC more depth than it has had in quite a while.
Of course, Gonzaga is off to the Mountain West in a couple years, and Coogs/Beavers will be back in the Pac-12 then, so the WCC has darker days ahead.

— Florida 90, North Carolina 83
11-0 Gators outscored Carolina 13-3 over the final 4:03
Tar Heels were only 5-28 behind the arc.
SEC is 28-3 against the ACC this year, which is pretty amazing.

— South Carolina 91, Clemson 88 OT
Gamecocks led by 14 in first half; they shot 56% inside the arc.
Clemson led 69-67 with 5:09 left in the game.
Carolina has won five games in a row, after a 3-3 start.

— Drake 73, Kansas State 70 OT
Drake was up 29-9 in first half of this game.
K-State was up by a hoop with 1:19 left to play.
Drake is 10-0, with four starters who were playing D-2 ball last season.

— Dayton 66, UNLV 65
UNLV led 62-58 with 1:25 left in the game.
Dayton shot 63.3% inside the arc.

— Cal-San Diego 75, Utah State 73
Tritons of Big West have won eight in a row, are 10-2.
Cal-San Diego shot 70% inside arc; they were 23-27 on foul line.

Conference bowl records (SU/ATS)
AAC 1-0 SU/0-1 ATS
Big X 0-1 SU/1-0 ATS
MAC. 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS
Sun Belt 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS

Favorites: 1-1 ATS
Totals: under 1-1
 

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 18

5 of the day’s best college basketball games:

Creighton
(-3.5) @ Georgetown
Creighton (7-4)
KenPom rating: 40
Tempo: 94
Experience: 43
Continuity: 105
Creighton is 3-4 in its last seven games (schedule #57)
Bluejays are 2-4 against top 100 teams.
Creighton is shooting 61.1% inside arc (#5)
Bluejays lost only true road game, 83-75 at #8 Alabama.

Georgetown (8-2)
KenPom rating: 84
Tempo: 129
Experience: 176
Continuity: 258
Georgetown is 8-2, but against schedule #350.
Hoyas are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 21-13 points.
Georgetown is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#21)
Hoyas’ best win: 75-71 at #107 Syracuse.


Xavier @ UConn (-13.5)
Xavier (8-3)
KenPom rating: 61
Tempo: 111
Experience: 2
Continuity: 232
Xavier is 2-3 in last five games, after a 6-0 start.
Musketeers are 1-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 25-4-3 points.
Xavier’s best win: 75-66 over #66 South Carolina
Musketeers are shooting 39.4% on the arc (#18).

UConn (8-3)
KenPom rating: 13
Tempo: 309
Experience: 209
Continuity: 115
UConn won its last four games since the 0-3 trip to Maui.
Huskies are 3-3 vs top 100 teams, with two top 20 wins.
UConn is shooting 62.9% inside the arc (#1)
Opponents are shooting 42.3% inside the arc (#9).


Butler @ Marquette (-13.5)
Butler (7-4)
KenPom rating: 74
Tempo: 207
Experience: 17
Continuity: 30
Butler lost its last three games, after a 7-1 start.
Bulldogs are 3-2 vs top 100 teams (best win over #25 Miss State)
Butler is shooting 39.3% on the arc (#19)
Bulldogs lost only true road game, 79-51 at #4 Houston

Marquette (9-2)
KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 143
Experience: 125
Continuity: 14
Marquette lost two of last three games, after an 8-0 start.
Eagles are 5-2 vs top 100 teams (best win over #17 Maryland)
Marquette is forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#9)
Eagles are shooting 59% inside the arc (#22)


Oklahoma vs Michigan (-2.5) (@ Charlotte, NC)
Oklahoma (10-0)
KenPom rating: 38
Tempo: 206
Experience: 64
Continuity: 248
Oklahoma is 10-0, but against schedule #315
Sooners’ best win: 82-77 over #0 Arizona.
Oklahoma is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#19)
Sooners are shooting 57.5% inside the arc (#42)

Michigan (8-2)
KenPom rating: 22
Tempo: 69
Experience: 30
Continuity: 249
Michigan hasn’t played in 8 days, since 89-87 loss to Arkansas.
Wolverines are 4-1 vs top 100 teams (schedule #48)
Michigan is turning ball over 21.4% of time (#335)
Wolverines are shooting 61% inside the arc (#7)


VCU @ New Mexico (-2.5)
VCU (9-2)
KenPom rating: 42
Tempo: 214
Experience: 44
Continuity: 58
9-2 VCU won its last five games (schedule #292)
Rams have #7 eFG% defense in country.
Both of VCU’s losses were by 3 points (Seton Hall/Nevada)
Rams are 1-1 vs top 100 teams (best win over #95 Miami)

New Mexico (8-3)
KenPom rating: 70
Tempo: 5
Experience: 51
Continuity: 72
New Mexico is 4-3 in its last seven Division I games.
Lobos are 2-2 vs top 100 teams (best win over #14 UCLA)
New Mexico is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#20)
Lobos lost a home game to #201 New Mexico State, 89-83 in OT
 

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Wednesday, December 18


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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 18

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MEHST at BING05:00 PMBING -6.0
U 132.5
+500 +500
STONE at MASSL06:00 PMSTONE +14.5
O 148.5
+500 +500
SCST at SCUS06:00 PMSCST -1.5
U 153.5
+500 +500
FDU at LAS06:30 PMLAS -15.5
O 161.5
+500 +500
CREI at GTWN06:30 PMCREI -4.0
U 145.5
+500 +500
RICH at WM07:00 PMRICH +2.5
U 155.0
+500 +500
NE at MASS07:00 PMMASS -3.5
U 148.0
+500 +500
CCSU at FAIR07:00 PMFAIR +1.5
O 137.5
+500 +500
COOK at USF07:00 PMUSF -13.0
U 148.0
+500 +500
FGCU at UNCW07:00 PMUNCW -6.5
O 138.5
+500 +500
XAV at CONN07:00 PMXAV +13.5
U 146.5
+500 +500
MSM at LIU07:00 PMMSM +1.0
O 140.0
+500 +500
DAV at TEM07:00 PMDAV +1.5
O 149.0
+500 +500
MAN at WAG07:00 PMWAG -2.0
U 130.0
+500 +500
PEAY at OHIO07:00 PMPEAY +12.5
O 141.0
+500 +500
MURR at INST07:00 PMMURR -3.0
O 153.5
+500 +500
LAF at GW07:00 PMGW -13.0
U 144.0
+500 +500
M-OH at UVM07:00 PMUVM -4.5
O 130.0
+500 +500
ELON at ETSU07:00 PMELON +3.0
U 144.5
+500 +500
AMER at JOES07:00 PMAMER +13.5
O 141.5
+500 +500
MEM at UVA07:00 PMMEM -4.0
U 129.5
+500 +500
MER at QNC07:00 PMMER +1.0
O 161.0
+500 +500
DET at NKU07:00 PMDET +13.5
O 135.0
+500 +500
YSU at WRST07:00 PMWRST -7.0
U 144.0
+500 +500
LONG at CAMP07:00 PMLONG -3.0
U 143.5
+500 +500
AAMU at UAB07:30 PMUAB -23.0
O 159.0
+500 +500
UMBC at GT07:30 PMGT -15.5
U 159.5
+500 +500
SUU at UTRGV07:30 PMUTRGV -1.5
U 157.5
+500 +500
SF at BRAD08:00 PMSF +2.0
O 141.0
+500 +500
NIU at ILST08:00 PMNIU +14.0
O 140.0
+500 +500
TST at OKST08:00 PMTST +21.5
O 139.0
+500 +500
CIT at VAN08:00 PMCIT +29.0
O 149.0
+500 +500
TOL at HOU08:00 PMTOL +29.0
O 142.0
+500 +500
MVSU at UNT08:00 PMMVSU +36.5
U 123.0
+500 +500
WOF at SLU08:00 PMSLU -7.5
U 150.0
+500 +500
EVAN at UTA08:00 PMUTA -8.0
U 150.5
+500 +500
APP at ULL08:00 PMULL +1.5
U 135.5
+500 +500
VCU at UNM09:00 PMUNM -3.0
U 151.5
+500 +500
MICH at OKLA09:00 PMOKLA +4.0
O 149.0
+500 +500
NICH at GONZ09:00 PMNICH +36.0
U 156.0
+500 +500
SAM at ARIZ09:00 PMSAM +19.5
U 168.0
+500 +500
BUT at MARQ09:00 PMBUT +14.0
O 148.5
+500 +500
IDHO at UCD09:00 PMUCD -6.5
U 141.5
+500 +500
ALA at UND09:00 PMUND +24.5
O 167.5
+500 +500
UVU at IDST09:00 PMIDST +1.0
U 135.5
+500 +500
KENN at SCU10:00 PMKENN +15.0
O 157.5
+500 +500
CSB at PORT10:00 PMPORT +1.0
O 140.5
+500 +500
PRST at PAC10:00 PMPRST +4.0
O 148.0
+500 +500
UCSB at LMU10:00 PMUCSB +3.0
U 141.5
+500 +500
CSN at USC10:00 PMUSC -12.5
U 151.5
+500 +500
MTST at UCRV10:00 PMUCRV -2.0
U 143.5
+500 +500
WSU at WASH11:00 PMWASH -2.5
U 148.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/18/2024................25 - 21 - 1....................54.34%............+ 9.50
12/17/2024................13 - 16 - 0....................44.82%.............- 23.00
12/16/2024...................7 - 3 - 0.....................70.00%.............+ 18.50
12/15/2024.................12 - 16 - 0..................42.85%.............- 28.00
12/14/2024.................12 - 23 - 4..................34.28%..............- 66.50
12/13/2024.....................3 - 8 - 1...................27.27%..............- 29.00
12/12/2024.....................4 - 6 - 0...................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/11/2024...................12 - 8 - 1...................60.00%...............+ 16.00
12/10/2024...................10 - 15 - 0.................40.00%...............- 32.50
12/09/2024......................4 - 4 - 0.................50.00%................- 2.00
12/08/2024....................15 - 18 - 0................45.45%................- 24.00
12/07/2024...................43 - 21 - 1.................61.81%................+ 54.50
12/06/2024......................9 - 6 - 0.................60.00%................+ 12.00
12/05/2024......................5 - 5 - 1.................50.00%................- 5.00
12/04/2024...................19 - 20 - 1.................48.71%................- 15.00
12/03/2024...................20 - 19 - 0.................51.28%................- 4.50
12/02/2024......................2 - 8 - 0.................20.00%................- 34.00
12/01/2024..................... 4 - 6 - 0.................40.00%................- 13.00

TOTALS....................219 - 223 - 10.................49.54%................- 169.00
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Most TD passes thrown for the Buffalo Bills:
237— Jim Kelly
192— Josh Allen
181— Joe Ferguson
80— Ryan Fitzpatrick
77— Jack Kemp
55— Drew Bledsoe

Quote of the Day
“I mean, you really want to get me going today. Yeah, I think to be honest with you, I think that’s complete and total bullshit if you want my honest opinion. These guys are tough (bleep)ers, man, they go after it every day……I can’t even wrap my mind around how that would even be a conversation. I mean, just because we don’t win games doesn’t mean we’re soft.”
Titans coach Brian Callahan

Thursday’s quiz
Which two starting QB’s in the NFL have fathers who played major league baseball?

Wednesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 NFL Draft.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the NBA’s Oklahoma City Thunder, Russell Westbrook has scored the most points.

********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— James Madison 27, Western Kentucky 17
Dukes get their first-ever I-A bowl win.
Hilltoppers led 14-7 at halftime.
JMU ran ball for 212 yards, outgained WKU 394-318

— UNLV 24, California 13
Rebels get their first bowl win since 2000.
UNLV won despite completing only 6-19 passes.
Cal’s QB bolted; they used two backups in this game.

Conference bowl records (SU/ATS)

AAC 1-0 SU/0-1 ATS

ACC 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

Big X 0-1 SU/1-0 ATS

C-USA 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

MAC 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

MWest 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS

Sun Belt 2-0 SU/2-0 ATS

Favorites: 2-2 ATS
Totals: under 3-1

— UConn 94, Xavier 89 OT
Xavier shot 13-24 on arc; they led by 5 with 5:16 left.
UConn shot 55.6% inside the arc.

— Oklahoma 87, Michigan 86
11-0 Sooners were down 11 with 9:55 left to play.
Oklahoma was 12-25 on arc, Wolverines 4-28

— Memphis 64, Virginia 62
Virginia led by 11 early in second half.
PJ Haggerty played all 40:00, scored 27 points for 9-2 Memphis

— New Mexico 78, VCU 71
Donovan Dent scored 40 points for the Lobos.
VCU was only 13-24 on the foul line.

— Atlanta Falcons added kicker Riley Patterson to replace Younghoe Koo, who is on IR and is done for the regular season.

— As we speak, the Chicago White Sox win total for 2025 in 49.5, the lowest in recent memory. Last year, the A’s were supposed to suck; their win total was 57.5. White Sox were 41-121, an incredibly terrible season. The 2024 A’s wound up 69-93, by the way.

Famous birthdays, December 19:
Tim Reid, 80
Kevin McHale, 67
Bill Wegman, 62
Jennifer Beals, 61
Arvydas Sabonis, 60
Joe Slusarski, 58
Tom Gugliotta, 55
Alyssa Milano, 52
Warren Sapp, 52
Jake Plummer, 50

— When the Carolina Panthers were favored over the Cowboys Sunday, it was the first time in 34 games that the Panthers were favored to win. It didn’t go well.

— Former NFL QB Michael Vick is the new football coach at Norfolk State, which went 3-8/4-8 the last two years at the I-AA level.
Vick is 44 years old; he last played in the NFL in 2015 for Pittsburgh. He has no formal coaching experience, but he played QB in the NFL for 13 years and was a coaching intern for the Chiefs five years ago. He’ll need to hire experienced assistant coaches.

— Quarterback TJ Finley should write a book someday; he recently transferred to Tulane, which will be his fifth college team. He’’ll be 23 in March.
2020— started five games for LSU (2-3)
2021-22— started six games for Auburn (2-4)
2023— started the whole season at Texas State (8-5)
2024— started three games for Western Kentucky (2-1)
2025— Tulane.

— Wake Forest hired former Washington State coach Jake Dickert as its new football coach; he replaces Dave Clawson, who is a really good coach, but Wake Forest doesn’t have the resources that its competitors have, so Clawson resigned.
Dickert was 23-20 in three years at Wazzu, 8-4 this season. Washington State wasn’t in a league this year; they’ll eventually be in the re-configured Pac-12 with a lot of Mountain West teams.

— Vanderbilt QB Diego Pavia was granted eligibility for the 2025 season, very good news for the Commodores; he’s been arguing that junior college seasons should not count against NCAA eligibility, which could open up a whole new can of worms.

— Modern college football: Alabama poached the long snapper from the Cal Bears.

— In his excellent career, NBA star James Harden has scored 40+ points in 103 games.
 

Udog

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NCAAB

Thursday, December 19


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Trend Report
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5sQngK1.png



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Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 19

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ALST at NORF05:00 PMNORF -5.0
O 146.5
+500 +500
CHSO at UNA07:00 PMUNA -9.0
U 148.0
+500 +500
BUFF at UGA07:00 PMUGA -27.0
U 147.5
+500 +500
OAK at CLEV07:00 PMOAK -2.0
O 128.0
+500 +500
UTM at MORE07:30 PMMORE -5.5
O 145.0
+500 +500
LIP at MTU07:30 PMLIP +2.0
U 148.0
+500 +500
UCI at BEL07:30 PMBEL +2.0
U 153.0
+500 +500
GRAM at DSU07:30 PMDSU +5.0
O 142.0
+500 +500
SIUE at UALR08:00 PMSIUE +4.0
O 137.0
+500 +500
UNO at TEX08:00 PMTEX -33.5
U 149.0
+500 +500
TNST at USI08:30 PMUSI -5.0
O 150.0
+500 +500
TNTC at LINW08:30 PMLINW -2.0
U 145.0
+500 +500
EIU at SEMO08:30 PMSEMO -5.0
U 140.0
+500 +500
BELL at WYO08:30 PMWYO -14.0
O 140.0
+500 +500
LBSU at PEPP09:00 PMLBSU +6.5
O 139.0
+500 +500
CHS at GC09:00 PMCHS +30.5
U 149.0
+500 +500
SDAK at DSU09:00 PMSDAK -3.0
U 163.5
+500 +500
MW at SMC10:00 PMMW +20.5
O 128.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/19/2024................9 - 9 - 2.........................50.00%............- 4.50
12/18/2024................25 - 21 - 1....................54.34%............+ 9.50
12/17/2024................13 - 16 - 0....................44.82%.............- 23.00
12/16/2024...................7 - 3 - 0.....................70.00%.............+ 18.50
12/15/2024.................12 - 16 - 0..................42.85%.............- 28.00
12/14/2024.................12 - 23 - 4..................34.28%..............- 66.50
12/13/2024.....................3 - 8 - 1...................27.27%..............- 29.00
12/12/2024.....................4 - 6 - 0...................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/11/2024...................12 - 8 - 1...................60.00%...............+ 16.00
12/10/2024...................10 - 15 - 0.................40.00%...............- 32.50
12/09/2024......................4 - 4 - 0.................50.00%................- 2.00
12/08/2024....................15 - 18 - 0................45.45%................- 24.00
12/07/2024...................43 - 21 - 1.................61.81%................+ 54.50
12/06/2024......................9 - 6 - 0.................60.00%................+ 12.00
12/05/2024......................5 - 5 - 1.................50.00%................- 5.00
12/04/2024...................19 - 20 - 1.................48.71%................- 15.00
12/03/2024...................20 - 19 - 0.................51.28%................- 4.50
12/02/2024......................2 - 8 - 0.................20.00%................- 34.00
12/01/2024..................... 4 - 6 - 0.................40.00%................- 13.00

TOTALS....................228- 232 - 12.................49.56%................- 173.50
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams with the best eFG% defense in country:
40.0%— Tennessee
41.0%— Houston
41.2%— Duke
41.4%— Illinois
42.2%— George Mason
42.2%— Cincinnati

Quote of the Day
“Great football game. Let’s talk about Cam Dicker and the free kick. It’s my favorite rule in football. I have been trying to get one in every game. When Cameron Dicker made it, it got the momentum back. This was our chance. This was our moment [to try it].”
Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh, talking about the 57-yard FG on a free kick

Friday’s quiz
What city is the Liberty Bowl football game played in every year?

Thursday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff are the two starting QB’s in the NFL who have fathers that played major league baseball.

Wednesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 NFL Draft.

*******************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Chargers 34, Broncos 27
Broncos’ first three drives: 28 plays, 212 yards, 21 points.
Denver led 21-13 at halftime.
Broncos last seven drives: 37 plays, 124 yards, 3 points.
Broncos are 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Denver’s team total: over 10-4-1
QB Herbert threw for 284 yards and two TD’s.
Chargers are 6-0 scoring 24+ points, 3-6 scoring 23 or fewer points.
Over is 5-0 in their last five home games.
Chargers are 5-1 ATS this season as home favorites.
Bolts are 8-4 ATS in last 12 AFC West home games.
Chargers got a 57-yard field goal at the end of the first half on a free kick after a fair catch by the punt returner; the last time that happened in the NFL was 1976.

— Sam Houston 31, Georgia Southern 26
Sam Houston scored on a pick-6 2:58 into the game.
Georgia Southern ran for 181 yards, outgained Bearkats 393-267.
Problem is, Sam Houston was +4 in turnovers (5-1)
Bearkats win their first-ever I-A bowl game.
Sam Houston still has 10 guys who were on 2021 team that won the 2021 national title at the I-AA level.

— When the Detroit Lions play in Chicago Sunday, it’ll be their second outdoor game this year, on freakin’ December 22. Very unusual.
Lions won their first outdoor game 24-14 at Green Bay in Week 9, but they were outgained 411-261. Detroit scored 34-42 points in their last two games, but those were both at home.

— Cardinals’ 3B Nolan Arenado vetoed a trade to Houston; at this point, the best St Louis can probably get for Arenado is most likely a mid-level prospect and for the other team to take on some of his salary (he will make $59M the next two years).
Does this mean Alex Bregman is leaving the Astros? Boston is rumored to be interested in him, as well as the Tigers.

— Sacramento A’s signed 33-year old IF Gio Urshela Thursday; he hit .250 last year, with nine homers, 52 RBI in a season split between Detroit/Atlanta.

— 31-year old Max Kepler signed a one-year, $10M deal with the Phillies; he’s played for the Twins the last 10 years, and was hampered by injuries LY, playing in only 105 games. Kepler is expected to play left field for Philadelphia.

— Washington Nationals signed P Mike Soroka for one year, $9M; Soroka was 17-8, 3.32 in 43 starts for Atlanta from 2018-23, but was 0-10, 4.74 in 25 games (nine starts) for a dreadful White Sox team last year. He is expected to be a starter again for Washington.

Famous birthdays, December 20th:
Dick Wolf, 78 (executive producer, Law and Order)
Cecil Cooper, 75
Jenny Agutter, 72
Trent Tucker, 65
Tom Newberry, 62
Rich Gannon, 59
David DeJesus, 45
James Shields, 43
Jonah Hill, 41
Calvin Ridley, 30
Bryce Perkins, 28
De’Aaron Fox, 27
Friday would’ve been John Hillerman’s 92nd birthday.

— Cal-Irvine 92, Belmont 84
Anteaters were down 13 with 12:20 left to play.
Irvine scored 40 points in the last 10:00 of the game.
Anteaters were 24-26 on foul line, Belmont 5-8; game was at Belmont.
It is December 20; Irvine already has four true road wins. Impressive.

— How much does Patrick Mahomes’ status effect the pointspread?
When it was thought he was sitting Saturday’s game out, Houston was favored by 2.5 points.
Now that Mahomes is going to play, Kansas City is favored by 3.5 points.

— Duke QB Maalik Murphy bolted to Oregon State, which probably means the Beavers gave him a lot more $$$$ than Duke was. On the surface, bolting from the ACC to the Mountain West isn’t a brilliant move. Duke is 9-3 this year; Murphy threw 26 TD’s, 12 INTs before he bolted.
Washington State QB John Mateer is bolting to Oklahoma, where he will reunite with his old offensive coordinator, Ben Arbuckle, and quarterbacks coach John Kuceyesk from Wazzu.
Coogs are 8-4 this year, losing their last three games; Mateer threw 29 TD’s, 7 INT’s. It is safe to assume that Oklahoma gave him a boatload of $$$, too.

— NBA franchises that are worth the most $$$$:
Golden State $9.14B
NY Knicks $8.3B
LA Lakers $8.07B
Brooklyn $5.7B
LA Clippers $5.68B

— Steph Curry is getting paid $55,761,216 this season: he is expected to make another $90M or so off the floor, in endorsements. Same thing for Lebron James, who the Lakers are paying $48,728,845 this year (plus another $2M or so to his son).
Basketball is big business, but if the TV ratings keep tanking, will be interesting to see where the salary cap winds up the next few years.

— JJ Redick gave up the TV booth this year to coach Lebron and the Lakers, who are 15-12 as we speak, the #7-seed in the West. Redick had never coached before; they fired last year’s coach Darvin Ham even after the Lakers won the in-season tournament, which is probably an indictment of that event.
Would seem that coaching a big-market team with two big stars wouldn’t be an entry-level position, but this year, it is.

— Random stat: Los Angeles Chargers have lost their last 11 games that were decided by 3 or fewer points; the longest losing streak ever in that category is 13 (Buffalo, from 2001-06).

— Looks like Georgia Bulldogs QB Carson Beck is exploring surgery options on his injured throwing elbow; he isn’t expected to play in Georgia’s playoff games. Sophomore Gunner Stockton is expected to take his place- he was 12-16 for 71 yards in the SEC title game against Texas, which the Dawgs won 22-19 in overtime.
 

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Friday, December 20


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Trend Report
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Valparaiso vs Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Valparaiso's last 11 games on the road
Valparaiso is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Valparaiso's last 11 games on the road
Valparaiso is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road

Houston Baptist vs Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Texas A&M is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home

UIC vs Seattle
UIC is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UIC's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home

Defiance vs PFW
PFW is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of PFW's last 6 games at home

Rider vs Pennsylvania
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Rider's last 9 games on the road
Rider is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pennsylvania
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pennsylvania's last 9 games at home
Pennsylvania is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Rider

Delaware vs Saint Peter's
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Delaware's last 7 games on the road
Delaware is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Holy Cross vs Siena
Siena is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Holy Cross
Siena is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Holy Cross

Dillard vs Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 7 games at home
Tulane is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

St. John's vs Providence
St. John's is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. John's's last 9 games on the road
Providence is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. John's
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Providence's last 6 games when playing St. John's

South Dakota Mines vs North Dakota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Dakota's last 6 games at home
North Dakota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Appalachian State vs North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Appalachian State's last 5 games on the road
Appalachian State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
North Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Jackson State vs UTEP
UTEP is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
UTEP is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jackson State

Florida A&M vs BYU
BYU is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Southern vs Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Loyola Marymount's last 6 games at home



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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 20

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
VALP at WMU01:00 PMVALP +2.0
O 152.5
+500 +500
HBU at TAM02:00 PMTAM -33.0
U 141.5
+500 +500
NORF at GRAM04:00 PMNORF -6.0
U 137.5
+500 +500
UIC at SEA05:00 PMUIC +6.0
U 149.0
+500 +500
RID at PENN06:00 PMRID +5.0
O 135.5
+500 +500
DSU at ALST06:30 PMALST -5.0
U 147.5
+500 +500
LONG at NCCU07:00 PMLONG -3.0
O 145.0
+500 +500
HC at SIE07:00 PMHC +5.5
O 132.0
+500 +500
DEL at SPC07:00 PMSPC -2.5
U 142.5
+500 +500
YALE at AKR07:00 PMAKR +4.5
O 153.5
+500 +500
APP at UNT08:00 PMUNT -11.5
U 123.0
+500 +500
SJU at PROV08:00 PMPROV +6.5
O 142.0
+500 +500
DAY at CIN08:30 PMDAY +3.5
O 137.0
+500 +500
FAMU at BYU09:00 PMBYU -34.0
O 148.5
+500 +500
JKST at UTEP09:00 PMJKST +14.5
O 140.5
+500 +500
SOU at LMU10:00 PMSOU +8.0
O 138.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/20/2024...............12 - 7 - 1.......................63.15%............+ 21.50
12/19/2024................9 - 9 - 2.........................50.00%............- 4.50
12/18/2024................25 - 21 - 1....................54.34%............+ 9.50
12/17/2024................13 - 16 - 0....................44.82%.............- 23.00
12/16/2024...................7 - 3 - 0.....................70.00%.............+ 18.50
12/15/2024.................12 - 16 - 0..................42.85%.............- 28.00
12/14/2024.................12 - 23 - 4..................34.28%..............- 66.50
12/13/2024.....................3 - 8 - 1...................27.27%..............- 29.00
12/12/2024.....................4 - 6 - 0...................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/11/2024...................12 - 8 - 1...................60.00%...............+ 16.00
12/10/2024...................10 - 15 - 0.................40.00%...............- 32.50
12/09/2024......................4 - 4 - 0.................50.00%................- 2.00
12/08/2024....................15 - 18 - 0................45.45%................- 24.00
12/07/2024...................43 - 21 - 1.................61.81%................+ 54.50
12/06/2024......................9 - 6 - 0.................60.00%................+ 12.00
12/05/2024......................5 - 5 - 1.................50.00%................- 5.00
12/04/2024...................19 - 20 - 1.................48.71%................- 15.00
12/03/2024...................20 - 19 - 0.................51.28%................- 4.50
12/02/2024......................2 - 8 - 0.................20.00%................- 34.00
12/01/2024..................... 4 - 6 - 0.................40.00%................- 13.00

TOTALS....................240- 239 - 13.................50.10%................- 152.00
 
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