CNOTES 2024 - 2025 COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS-BEST BETS-OPINIONS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP !

Udog

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Sunday, January 26


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Udog

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Sunday, January 26


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Trend Report
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Maryland vs Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Maryland's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Maryland
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Maryland

Duquesne vs Fordham
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duquesne's last 6 games when playing on the road against Fordham
Duquesne is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Fordham's last 8 games at home
Fordham is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Duquesne

Chicago State vs Central Connecticut State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago State's last 8 games on the road
Chicago State is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago State's last 8 games on the road
Chicago State is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road

Nebraska vs Wisconsin
Nebraska is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games when playing at home against Nebraska

UAB vs Memphis
UAB is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against UAB
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against UAB

Florida Atlantic vs North Texas
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
North Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 6 games at home

Northwestern vs Illinois
Northwestern is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games on the road
Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northwestern
Illinois is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home

Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma State's last 11 games when playing Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas Tech's last 11 games when playing Oklahoma State

Wichita State vs Tulsa
Wichita State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Tulsa
Wichita State is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Tulsa
Tulsa is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulsa's last 6 games when playing Wichita State


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Udog

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Monday’s 6-pack:

— Maryland 79, Indiana 78- Terps outscored Indiana 5-0 over final 0:38.
— Texas Tech 64, Oklahoma State 54- Tech shot 58.3% inside the arc.
— Illinois 83, Northwestern 74- Illinois out-rebounded Wildcats, 50-27
— North Texas 77, FAU 64- Florida Atlantic led 34-27 at halftime.
— Tulsa 84, Wichita State 77- Tulsa shot 13-21 on the arc.
— Fordham 65, Duquesne 63- Rams were 20-24 on foul line, Dukes 8-14.

Quote of the Day
“You think of all the ups and downs and around you went through during the season. The injuries, all those things. Things have to happen the right way. The margin of winning or losing in this league is so small. Parity is unbelievable…….”
Chiefs coach Andy Reid

Monday’s quiz
Andy Reid’s first year as an NFL coach was 1999 with the Eagles; which QB started the most game for the Eagles that year?

Sunday’s quiz
The last time the Chiefs didn’t play in the AFC Championship game, the two QB’s were Tom Brady and Blake Bortles (Jaguars)

Saturday’s quiz
UAlbany’s basketball team are known as the Great Danes.

**************************************************

Monday’s Den: My 13 favorite Super Bowls……..

Before we get into the list of my favorite Super Bowls, I’d like to recommend a golf simulator/sports bar you should visit.

The Bunker recently opened another location in Latham, on Route 2 next to the Scarlet Knife restaurant. It is a very good place; they have golf simulators, good food, a ton of TVs to watch ballgames. The people are great; book your next party there, you’ll be glad you did.

Now, on to my 13 favorite Super Bowls……not the 13 BEST, my 13 FAVORITE Super Bowls

13) Super Bowl XV (1980 season)
Raiders 27, Eagles 10

One of two Super Bowl wins for Jim Plunkett.
Oakland was +4 in turnovers.
Kenny King caught an 80-yard TD pass to put Oakland up 14-0.

Dick Vermeil coached the Eagles in this game; had Philadelphia won, he might not have come back to coaching in 1997, after a 15-year absence— he won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 1999. More on that later…….

12) Super Bowl XXXVII (2002)
Buccaneers 48, Oakland 21

Jon Gruden coached the Bucs in this game; he coached the Raiders from 1998-2001.
Not often a coach works a Super Bowl against the team he coached the year before.
Tampa Bay led 20-3 at halftime.
Buccaneers ran three INT’s back for touchdowns.

11) Super Bowl LII (2017)
Eagles 41, Patriots 33

Eagles outscored New England 9-0 over the final 2:21.
Nick Foles threw for 373 yards, 3 TD’s; he even caught a TD pass.
Corey Clement caught four passes for 100 yards and a TD.
Tom Brady threw for 505 yards in a losing cause.

10) Super Bowl IV (1969)
Chiefs 23, Vikings 7

KC coach Hank Stram was miked for this game by NFL Films.
“Keep on matriculating the ball down the field, boys!!!”
Chiefs were a 12-point underdog in this game.
Minnesota turned ball over five times (minus-4)

9) Super Bowl XLII (2007)
Giants 17, Patriots 14

New England would’ve had a perfect 19-0 season if they won this game.
Patriots led 7-3 after three quarters.
Plaxico Burress caught a 13-yard TD pass with 0:35 left for the win.
Giants outgained New England, 338-274

8) Super Bowl LVII (2022)
Chiefs 38, Eagles 35

Chiefs kicked a 27-yard FG with 0:08 left for the win.
Philly led 24-14 at halftime.
Eagles were 11-18 on 3rd down, 2-2 in 4th down.
Eagles outgained Kansas City, 417-340

7) Super Bowl XXXV (2000)
Ravens 34, Giants 7

Got my dad a ticket to see this game, on the condition that he call me when he got back to the condo he was renting in Florida. He said he a good time, even though he was a Giants’ fan, and that made it worth every penny.

Famous birthdays, January 27th:
John Lowenstein, 78
Mimi Rogers, 69
Cris Collinsworth, 66
Matt Stover, 57

Bruce Gradkowski, 42
Julio Teheran, 34
Bryan Reynolds, 30
Luis Ortiz, 26

6) Super Bowl LIV (2019)
Chiefs 31, 49ers 20

Any day the 49ers lose is a good day in my house.
49ers led 20-10 after the third quarter.
Damien Williams had 133 total yards, two TD’s.

5) Super Bowl LVIII (2023)
Chiefs 25, 49ers 22 OT

Four years later: same teams, same result.
Brock Purdy was SF’s QB; Jimmy Garoppolo was the QB in 2019.
49ers led 10-3 at halftime.
Chiefs forced OT on a field goal with 0:03 left.

4) Super Bowl XLIII (2008)
Steelers 27, Cardinals 23

Pittsburgh led 17-7 at the half, after a 100-yard pick-6.
Kurt Warner threw 64-yard TD pass with 2:35 left; Arizona led 23-20.
Steelers scored TD with 0:35 left for the win.
Cardinals outgained Pittsburgh, 407-292.

3) Super Bowl XIV (1979)
Steelers 31, Rams 19

Rams led 19-17 after three quarters.
It was only 54 degrees in Pasadena for this game.
Rams were +2 in turnovers, but were outgained, 393-301.
This was Steelers’ 4th Super Bowl title in six years.

2) Super Bowl LVI (2021)
Rams 23, Bengals 20

Bengals led 20-16 after three quarters.
Stafford threw TD pass to Kupp with 1:25 left for the win.
Rams won despite being minus-2 in turnovers.
Game was played at SoFi Stadium, the Rams’ home field.

1) Super Bowl XXXIV (1999)
Rams 23, Titans 16

Hall of Fame Kurt Warner threw 73-yard TD pass to Hall of Famer Isaac Bruce with 1:25 left.
Warner threw for 404 yards and two TD’s.
Rams led 16-0 late in third quarter; Titans tried game with 2:12 left.
Rams led 9-0 at the half, with three field goals, all less than 30 yards.
 

Udog

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Monday, January 27


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Trend Report
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Southern Mississippi vs Troy
Southern Mississippi is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Troy
Southern Mississippi is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Troy
Troy is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
Troy is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Southern Mississippi

Penn State vs Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Penn State's last 10 games on the road
Penn State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Michigan
Michigan is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Penn State
Michigan is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Nicholls State vs UTRGV
UTRGV is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe
South Alabama is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
South Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games when playing at home against South Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games when playing South Alabama

Iowa vs Ohio State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Iowa's last 11 games when playing on the road against Ohio State
Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ohio State's last 11 games when playing at home against Iowa

North Carolina State vs Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 5 games when playing Duke
North Carolina State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Duke
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games when playing North Carolina State

Towson vs Northeastern
Towson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northeastern
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Towson's last 6 games when playing on the road against Northeastern
Northeastern is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Northeastern is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Towson

UCLA vs USC
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of UCLA's last 8 games when playing on the road against USC
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of UCLA's last 11 games when playing USC
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of USC's last 8 games when playing at home against UCLA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of USC's last 6 games at home

Iowa State vs Arizona
Iowa State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home


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Udog

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:

NFL coaching changes so far this winter:
— Chicago- Ben Johnson
— Dallas- Brian Schottenheimer
— Jacksonville- Liam Coen
— Las Vegas- Pete Carroll
— New England- Mike Vrabel
— New Jersey Jets- Aaron Glenn

New Orleans’ Saints job is still open.

Quote of the Day
“…..I want them playing on the edge. It’s a violent game. They have to be that way. I want them to play that way. So that’s where it starts. If we can get that out of these guys, I think we’ll be moving in the right direction.”
Jaguars coach Liam Coen

Tuesday’s quiz
When was the last time an SEC team won the college basketball national title?

Monday’s quiz
Andy Reid’s first year as an NFL coach was 1999 with the Eagles; former Eagles/Jaguars coach Doug Pederson started the most games at QB for Philadelphia that year.

Sunday’s quiz
The last time the Chiefs didn’t play in the AFC Championship game, the two QB’s were Tom Brady and Blake Bortles (Jaguars)

*******************************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Arizona 86, Iowa State 75 OT
Arizona’s Caleb Love hit a half-court shot at buzzer to force OT
Arizona’s bench outscored Iowa State’s subs, 31-7.
Wildcats take over 2nd place in Big X, a game behind Houston.

— Do ballplayers tell their agents what they want, or do they just let the agent do their thing, figuring the agent will get them the most $$$?

I’m thinking of Alex Bregman/Pete Alonso, who are both represented by Scott Boras; if Bregman told Boras he’ll take the six-year, $156M offer from the Astros, would Boras try to talk him out of it?

These negotiations would be great reality TV; baseball needs a Hard Knocks-type program.

— Jimmy Butler is getting paid $48,798,677 to play basketball this year, which amounts to $595,105.81 per game- he’s already been suspended for nine games, so he has already lost $5,355,952.35 in fines this season.

Butler went to the Heat’s shoot-around Monday, was told that he won’t be starting anymore; he walked out, and was suspended indefinitely by the team. Not good.

Miami has five games before next week’s trade deadline; if he doesn’t get traded until the last minute, he gets fined another $2,975,529, bringing the total to $8,331,481.40.

Just show up, do what they want you to do and you pocket an extra $8 MILLION!!!! What is difficult about this?

My next/last question is this: are the Heat so spiteful that they wouldn’t trade the 35-year old Butler, suspend him for the rest of the year, which would force him to turn down his player option for next year, which is over $50M???? Stay tuned.

— Championship Week figures to be very busy this year, but in the ACC and Big 18, only 15 of their 18 teams will be playing in their conference tournaments.

I’m guessing the six head coaches who miss the conference tournaments are on the hot seat, as far as their future employment is concerned.

— There were 14 overtime games in college basketball Saturday, the most in any day since 2020.

Michigan 76, Penn State 72
Wolverines outscored Penn State 9-0 over the final 2:07.
Nittany Lions lost six of their last seven games.
Michigan is 7-2 in the Big 18; they were 3-15 last year.

UCLA 82, USC 76
Bruins win their fourth straight game.
UCLA scored 1.26 points/possession.
USC was 11-31 on the arc, 16-24 inside arc.

Eastern Illinois 56, Little Rock 54
EIU outscored Little Rock 10-1 over the final 1:56.
Tony Romo’s alma mater snaps a 7-game losing skid.
Loss snaps the Trojans’ 5-game winning streak.
Eastern Illinois was a 10.5-point underdog.

UL-Monroe 77, South Alabama 66
Warhawks snap a 10-game losing skid; they were a 12-point home dog.
ULM was 24-26 on foul line, Jaguars were 8-13.
South Alabama shot 34.3% from the floor.

Famous birthdays, January 28th:
Alan Alda, 89
Harley Jane Kozak, 68
Michael Cage, 63
Tom Hodson, 58

Jermaine Dye,, 51
Magglio Ordóñez, 51
Mark Madsen, 49
Daunte Culpepper, 48

Andre Iguodala, 41
Hunter Renfroe, 33
Ke’Bryan Hayes, 28
Payton Pritchard, 27

Eagles 55, Commanders 23
Philly scored a TD on four of five first half drives.
Eagles ran ball 36 times for 229 yards (6.4 yards/carry)
Washington turned ball over four times (minus-4)
Eagles outgained the Commanders, 459-350

Chiefs 32, Bills 29
Chiefs kicked 35-yard FG with 3:37 left for the win.
Kansas City led 21-16 at halftime.
Buffalo converted 4-6 fourth down plays.
Bills failed on a pair of 2-point conversions.

— Since 2020, Bills-Chiefs have met four times in the playoffs:
2020: Chiefs 38-24 (-3.5)
2021: Chiefs 42-36 (-2.5)
2023: Chiefs 27-24 (+2.5)
2024: Chiefs 32-29 (-2.5)

During that same time (2020-24), Buffalo went 4-1 against the Chiefs in regular season games, which doesn’t make a whole lot of sense.

— Baseball writer Melissa Lockard was on TV Monday; she thinks there is a less than a 50% chance that the A’s wind up in Las Vegas, which is disappointing to me. We’ll see how all this plays out, but leaving Oakland for Sacramento doesn’t seem ideal.

— Favorites went 9-2 ATS in the college football playoffs this season.

If you care about such things, Ohio State is favored by 9.5 points over Michigan in their football matchup next November.

— An 11-year old kid from Los Angeles found the one-of-a-kind baseball card featuring Pirates’ P Paul Skenes that was in some cards he bought; the card has Skenes’ autograph and a patch from a game-worn jersey with it. Apparently it is worth a lot of $$$.

Not sure why, but the Pirates tried to buy the card back from the kid, putting together a package that included 30 years’ worth of season tickets behind home plate at PNC Park and the chance to play a softball game on the field in exchange for the card.

Why would an 11-year old from Los Angeles want tickets for ballgames in Pittsburgh?

The kid’s family decided to put the card up for auction on Fanatics Collect in March; the curious side of me wants to know more about the kid’s family.
 

Udog

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 28

5 of Tuesday’s best college basketball games:

St John’s
(-4.5) @ Georgetown
St John’s (17-3, 8-1)
KenPom rating: 18
Tempo: 56
Experience: 72
Continuity: 268
St John’s won its last six games (4-2 ATS)
Red Storm is 3-1 SU on Big East road, 2-1 ATS as road favorite.
St John’s is 8-3 vs top 100 teams.
Red Storm has #31 eFG% defense in country.
St John’s is #11 team in country on offensive boards.

Georgetown (13-7, 4-5)
KenPom rating: 77
Tempo: 168
Experience: 189
Continuity: 278
Georgetown lost 5 of last 6 games, after a 12-2 start.
Hoyas are 2-2 at home in Big East, 1-1 ATS as a home dog.
Georgetown is 3-6 against top 100 opponents.
Hoyas are turning ball over 20.7% of time in Big East games (#11 of 11)
Georgetown is worst team in Big East on defensive boards.


St John’s (-9) beat Hoyas 63-58 at home two weeks ago.
Georgetown led that game by 10 at the half.
Red Storm won last eight series games
Big East home underdogs are 5-8 ATS in conference games.


Kentucky @ Tennessee (-9.5)
Kentucky (14-5, 3-3)
KenPom rating: 22
Tempo: 34
Experience: 4
Continuity: 355
Kentucky lost its last two games, after a 14-3 start.
Wildcats are 1-2 SU on SEC road, 1-0 ATS as a road dog.
Kentucky is 5-5 against top 50 teams.
Wildcats are shooting 39.9% on arc in SEC games (#1)
Three of their five losses were by 5 or fewer points.

Tennessee (17-3, 4-3)
KenPom rating: 6
Tempo: 335
Experience: 16
Continuity: 160
Tennessee split its last six games, after a 14-0 start.
Vols are 3-0 SU/ATS as a SEC home favorite.
Tennessee is 6-3 against top 50 opponents.
Vols are shooting only 43.5% inside arc in SEC tilts.
Tennessee has #1 eFG% defense in country.


Kentucky won three of last four series games.
SEC home favorites are 23-17 ATS in conference games.


Wake Forest @ Louisville (-7.5)
Wake Forest (15-5, 7-2)
KenPom rating: 73
Tempo: 5
Experience: 105
Continuity: 47
Wake Forest won six of its last seven games.
Deacons are 3-0 ATS as a road dog in ACC games.
Wake Forest is 4-5 against top 100 opponents.
Deacons are forcing turnovers 20.4% of time in ACC tilts (#1)
Wake Forest is shooting 27.7% on arc (#353)


Louisville (15-5, 8-1)
KenPom rating: 25
Tempo: 134
Experience: 6
Continuity: 352
Louisville won its last nine games.
Cardinals are 3-1 SU in ACC home tilts, 2-1 ATS as home favorites.
Louisville is 7-5 against top 100 teams.
Cardinals are shooting 56.6% inside arc (#33)
Louisville is #2 team in ACC on defensive boards in ACC tilts.

Wake Forest won last three meetings, by 22-8-25 points.
ACC home favorites are 26-19 ATS in conference games.


North Carolina @ Pitt (-3.5)
North Carolina (13-8, 6-3)
KenPom rating: 38
Tempo: 14
Experience: 86
Continuity: 83
UNC won five of its last seven games.
Their last three games were decided by 1-1-6 points
UNC is 2-2 SU on ACC road, 1-1 ATS as a road dog.
Tar Heels are shooting 55.5% inside arc (#52)
UNC has #1 eFG% defense in ACC conference games.

Pitt (13-6, 4-4)
KenPom rating: 34
Tempo: 187
Experience: 36
Continuity: 66
Pitt lost four of last five games, after a 12-2 start.
Panthers are 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
Pitt is 4-6 against top 100 opponents.
Panthers lost last two home games, by 4-3 points.
Pitt has been worst team on defensive boards, in ACC games.


Teams split their last six meetings.
ACC home favorites are 26-19 ATS in conference games.


Oregon State @ Gonzaga (-13.5)
Oregon State (16-6, 6-3)
KenPom rating: 59
Tempo: 324
Experience: 238
Continuity: 262
OSU won four of its last five games.
Beavers are 1-3 SU on WCC road, 1-1 ATS as a road dog.
OSU is 3-5 against top 100 opponents.


Beavers are shooting 60.3% inside arc in WCC games.
OSU has only one loss by more than 12 points (@ LMU)

Gonzaga (15-6, 6-2)
KenPom rating: 13
Tempo: 38
Experience: 10
Continuity: 2
Gonzaga lost two of its last three games.
Zags are 3-1 SU/0-4 ATS as a WCC home favorite.
Gonzaga is 5-6 against top 100 opponents.
Zags are shooting 57.7% inside the arc (#17)
Gonzaga is 0-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points, or in overtime.


Beavers (+9.5) upset Gonzaga 97-89 in OT 12 days ago.
Oregon State was 29-37 on foul line in that game.
WCC home favorites are 16-14 ATS in conference games.
 

Udog

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Tuesday, January 28


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Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Six teams who get lot of their points on 3-point shots:
46.3% of points— North Dakota State (16-6)
42.6%— IU Indy (7-15)
41.1%— Cal Poly (7-14)
40.7%— Furman (16-5)
40.6%— Akron (15-5)
40.5%— Princeton (14-5)

Quote of the Day
“Don’t mistake kindness for weakness.”
Al Capone

Wednesday’s quiz
Which active NBA player has scored the most points in the history of the Toronto Raptors?

Tuesday’s quiz
2012 was the last time an SEC team won the college basketball national title, when John Calipari’s Kentucky team won the championship.

Monday’s quiz
Andy Reid’s first year as an NFL coach was 1999 with the Eagles; former Eagles/Jaguars coach Doug Pederson started the most games at QB for Philadelphia that year.

*********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Kentucky 78, Tennessee 73
Wildcats were 12-24 on the arc, Tennessee 11-45.
This was 2nd-most 3’s Tennessee has ever taken in a game.
All five Kentucky starters scored in double figures.
Tennessee is 4-4 in the SEC, after a 13-0 pre-conference mark.

— Louisville 72, Wake Forest 59
Louisville led this game 45-21 at halftime.
Cardinals are 16-5, 9-1 in ACC games; last three years, they were 25-71, 11-49 in ACC games, so a tremendous coaching job being done by Pat Kelsey.

— BYU 93, Baylor 89 OT
BYU led this game 44-36 at halftime.
BYU shot 64.9% inside the arc.
Baylor shot 13-28 on the arc.
Both teams are 5-4 in the Big X.

— Pittsburgh 73, North Carolina 65
Pitt played only seven guys and the 7th guy played four minutes.
Tar Heels led 44-42 at the half, were outscored 31-21 in second half.
North Carolina lost three of its last four games.
Pitt was 16-20 on foul line, North Carolina 6-9.

— Kansas 91, Central Florida 87
Jayhawks pounded UCF 99-48 when they played in Florida January 5th.
Knights led this game by 9 early in second half.
Kansas was 25-29 on foul line, UCF 15-17.
Jayhawks shot 47.6% on the arc, 41.9% inside the arc.

— Wyoming 83, Fresno State 72 OT
Bad Beat of the Night, if you had Fresno State +8.5
Fresno led by 4 with 0:41 left in regulation.
Wyoming was 17-36 on the arc, Bulldogs 5-22.

— Marquette 78, Butler 69
Butler led 42-35 at halftime.
Marquette shot 59% inside the arc.
Marquette is 18-3, 9-1 in Big East, tied with St John’s for first place.

Famous birthdays, January 29th:
Katherine Ross, 85
Tom Selleck, 80
Ann Jillian, 75
Oprah Winfrey, 71
Terry Kinney, 71
Steve Sax, 65
Mike Aldrete, 64
Aeneas Williams, 57
Sara Gilbert, 50
Jose Abreu, 38
Ka’imi Fairbairn, 31
Quentin Lake, 26

— Baltimore Ravens signed former Colts’ Chuck Pagano as their secondary coach; Pagano was 56-46 in six years as coach of the Colts, 3-3 in playoff games.

— 19 major leaguers hit 20+ home runs last year, while also stealing 20+ bases.

— P Trevor Bauer signed a contract to pitch for the Yokohama BayStars in the Japanese League this coming year. He had a 2.76 ERA for the BayStars LY; he hasn’t pitched in the major leagues since 2021, when he went 8-5, 2.59 in 17 starts for the Dodgers.

— Chicago White Sox lost 23 games last year that they led after six innings; they had a dismal season, going 41-121. Their over/under win total for this year is 51.5.

— Pittsburgh Pirates signed 2B/OF Adam Frazier for one year, $1.525M. Frazier was an all-star in 2021, but this will be his 4th team in four years since then.

— New York Mets made the playoffs last year; they had 14 players on that team who were/are free agents this winter. Detroit Tigers also made the playoffs LY; they didn’t have any players who were free agents this winter.

— LA Dodgers signed reliever Kirby Yates for one year, $13M; Yates had 33 saves last year, for the Texas Rangers.
 

Udog

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 29

5 of Wednesday’s best college basketball games:

Wisconsin
@ Maryland (-4.5)
Wisconsin (16-4, 6-3)
KenPom rating: 17
Tempo: 150
Experience: 40
Continuity: 81
Wisconsin won eight of its last nine games,.
Badgers are 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS in Big 18 road games.
Wisconsin is 10-4 vs top 100 teams, 3-4 vs top 50 clubs.
Badgers have #30 eFG% in the country.
Wisconsin is shooting 85.3% on foul line, best in country.

Maryland (16-5, 6-4)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 76
Experience: 111
Continuity: 245
Maryland won five of its last six games.
Terps are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS as a Big 18 home favorite.
Maryland is 7-5 against top 100 opponents.
Terps are forcing turnovers 21.4% of time (#28)
Maryland has #34 eFG% offense, #59 eFG% defense


Badgers beat Maryland 87-56 in Big 18 tournament last year.
Big 18 home favorites are 30-22 ATS in conference games.


Xavier @ Creighton (-5.5)
Xavier (13-8, 5-5)
KenPom rating: 46
Tempo: 138
Experience: 2
Continuity: 232
Xavier won four of its last five games.
Musketeers are 2-3 SU/2-2 ATS as Big East road dogs.
Xavier is 5-8 vs top 100 teams.
Musketeers are getting 22.5% of points on foul line (#39)
Xavier is shooting 38.3% on the arc (#20)

Creighton (14-6, 7-2)
KenPom rating: 33
Tempo: 145
Experience: 39
Continuity: 89
Creighton won its last five games (3-2 ATS)
Bluejays are 3-2 SU/1-2 ATS as Big East home favorites.
Creighton is 6-6 against top 100 teams.
Bluejays are shooting 60.2% inside arc (#5)
Creighton is in bottom 5 in country at forcing turnovers.


Xavier is 5-4 in last nine series games (0-2 LY).
Big East home favorites are 16-18 ATS in conference games.


Alabama (-1.5) @ Mississippi State
Alabama (17-3, 6-1)
KenPom rating: 8
Tempo: 1
Experience: 14
Continuity: 97
Alabama won 11 of its last 12 games.
Crimson Tide is 3-0 SU/1-0 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
Alabama is 13-3 against top 100 teams, 8-3 vs top 50 foes.
Crimson Tide is shooting 60.7% inside the arc.
Alabama is #20 team in country on offensive boards.


Mississippi State (16-4, 4-3)
KenPom rating: 23
Tempo: 176
Experience: 80
Continuity: 128
Miss State is 2-3 in last five games, with both wins in OT
Bulldogs are 2-1 SU in SEC home games, 0-2 ATS as an SEC dog.
Miss State is 9-4 vs top 100 teams, 5-3 vs top 50 opponents.
Bulldogs are shooting 55.7% inside arc (#49) 32.1% on are (#251)
Miss State is forcing turnovers 20.2% of time (#54)

Alabama won last six series games
SEC home underdogs are 9-4 ATS in conference games.


Texas @ Ole Miss (-6.5)
Texas (14-6, 3-4)
KenPom rating: 36
Tempo: 219
Experience: 19
Continuity: 278
Texas won three of its last four games.
Longhorns are 1-2 SU/ATS as an SEC road underdog.
Texas is 5-6 vs top 100 teams, 3-6 vs top 50 clubs.
Longhorns are shooting 29.4% on arc in SEC games.
Texas is #14 of 16 SEC teams on defensive boards in SEC tilts.

Ole Miss (15-5, 4-3)
KenPom rating: 22
Tempo: 161
Experience: 3
Continuity: 138
Ole Miss lost its last three games, by 3-1-8 points.
Rebels are 2-1 SU/ATS as an SEC home favorite.
Ole Miss is 7-5 vs top 100 teams, 4-5 vs top 50 squads.
Rebels are forcing turnovers 23% of time (#9)
Ole Miss has #54 eFG% defense in the country.


SEC home favorites are 24-19 ATS in conference games.


Saint Mary’s (-4.5) @ Santa Clara
Saint Mary’s (18-3, 8-0)
KenPom rating: 25
Tempo: 356
Experience: 209
Continuity: 86
Saint Mary’s won its last eight games (6-1 ATS last seven)
Gaels are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS as a WCC road favorite.
Saint Mary’s is 5-3 against top 100 teams.
Gaels are #2 team in country on the offensive boards.
Saint Mary’s has #29 eFG% defense in country.

Santa Clara (14-8, 6-3)
KenPom rating: 63
Tempo: 128
Experience: 105
Continuity: 8
Santa Clara split its last four games, after a 9-1 run.
Broncos are 4-0 SU at home in WCC, 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
Santa Clara is 7-6 against top 100 opponents.
Broncos scored 77+ points in their last ten wins.
Santa Clara is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#40)


Saint Mary’s won last six series games.
WCC home favorites are 17-14 ATS in conference games.
 

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NCAAB

Wednesday, January 29


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Udog

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Guys,

I have to leave for a melanoma removal. I should be back in plenty of time to get the rest of Dunkel posted before tipoff.
 

Albatross

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Well, I'm back but Dunkel is down.
Yeah I was just trying to get on and it keeps timing out.

Thanks for posting this stuff! It is really helpful and way faster than navigating their site.
 

Udog

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Yeah I was just trying to get on and it keeps timing out.

Thanks for posting this stuff! It is really helpful and way faster than navigating their site.
No problem, Albatross! I've got em now.
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
:
Average salary in major leagues, the last six years:
2019- $4,051,490
2020- $3,881,021
2021- $3,679,335
2022- $4,222,193
2023- $4,525,718
2024- $4,655,366

Quote of the Day
“There will constantly be challenges that arise that you don’t expect. The better you handle those unexpected situations, the more successful your life will turn out.”
Dean Smith

Tuesday’s quiz
Which NFL team drafted Hall of Fame QB John Elway?

Wednesday’s quiz
DeMar DeRozan has scored the most points in the history of the Toronto Raptors.

Tuesday’s quiz
2012 was the last time an SEC team won the college basketball national title, when John Calipari’s Kentucky team won the championship.

**********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Wrapping up a full night of college basketball

— SEC
Alabama 88, Mississippi State 84

Crimson Tide shot 15-31 on the arc; Miss State was 8-25.
Alabama was only 11-20 on the foul line.
5-11 G Hubbard scored 38 points for Miss State.

Ole Miss 72, Texas 69

Texas led by 13 late in first half.
Ole Miss had only 4 turnovers (+7) in a 67-possession game.
Longhorns are 3-5 in their last eight games.
Ole Miss coach Beard beats team he coached three years ago.
SEC home underdogs are 11-6 ATS; home favorites are 24-19.
Bracketology has 13 SEC teams in the NCAA Tournament.

— Missouri Valley
Ill-Chicago 93, Bradley 70

UIC trailed 22-9 early on, but made 14-27 shots on the arc.
UIC was picked for last in MVC in the preseason; they’re tied for 3rd now.
Flames have won 10 of their last 13 games.
Loss snapped Bradley’s 5-game winning streak.
Drake/Bradley are now tied for first in the Valley, at 9-2.
MVC home favorites are 14-28 ATS; home underdogs are 12-11.

— Big East
UConn 72, DePaul 61

Blue Demons led 28-14 early on.
Tarris Reed had 16 points, six rebounds in 24:00 off the bench.
UConn is only 3-3 in its last six games.

Creighton 86, Xavier 77

Bluejays have won six games in a row.
Creighton shot 59.4% inside the arc.
Creighton is shooting 60.1% inside arc (#6)
Big East home favorites are 16-20 ATS; home underdogs are 8-11.
Bracketology has four Big East teams in the NCAA Tournament.

— Big X
Houston 63, West Virginia 49

Houston led this road game 39-19 at halftime.
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in the country.
Cougars have won 13 games in a row; their last loss was November 30th.
Big X home underdogs are 4-14 ATS; home favorites are 24-24
Bracketology has eight Big East teams in the NCAA Tournament.

— Upsets of the Night:
VMI (+12.5) 74, Wofford 67
Old Dominion (+11.5) 78, Appalachian State 77
Virginia Tech (+10.5) 76, Florida State 66
Ill-Chicago (+8.5) 93, Bradley 70
Rutgers (+7.5) 79, Northwestern 72
Fordham (+4.5) 88, LaSalle 72
Evansville (+4.5) 78, Murray State 74

— Saint Mary’s 67, Santa Clara 54

Gaels have won nine games in a row.
Saint Mary’s led 61-33 with 5:52 left in the game.
Santa Clara shot 35.3% from the floor.
WCC home favorites are 17-14 ATS; home underdogs are 9-10
Bracketology has Saint Mary’s/Gonzaga in the NCAA Tournament.

— Southern
Furman 72, Samford 70

Paladins survived shooting 11-21 on foul line.
Furman never trailed; they led by 12 with 10:57 in the game.
Cooper Bowser was 8-8 from floor, scored 21 points.
Samford has three starters who are playing at their third different college.
SoCon home favorites are 11-18 ATS; home underdogs are 9-7.

— Big 18
Rutgers 79, Northwestern 72

6-10 freshman Bailey scored 37 points.
Rutgers shot 57.1% inside arc, 57.1% (8-14) on the arc.
Northwestern lost six of its last eight games.
Big 18 home favorites are 31-29 ATS; home underdogs are 12-10
Bracketology has nine Big 18 teams in the NCAA Tournament.

— Mountain West
Utah State 76, UNLV 71

Utah State shot 60% inside the arc.
UNLV was only 4-20 on the arc.
Rebels lost their last three games, by 2-2-5 points.
Mountain West home favorites are 15-20 ATS; home underdogs are 11-9.
Bracketology has three Mountain West teams in NCAA Tournament.

— ACC
Virginia 82, Miami 71

Miami has lost 10 in a row, 17 of last 18 games.
Hurricanes have #360 eFG% defense in country.
Virginia scored 1.37 points/possession in this game.
ACC home favorites are 28-28 ATS; home underdogs are 11-16
Bracketology has five ACC teams in the NCAA Tournament.

— Famous birthdays, January 30th:

Gene Hackman, 95
Davey Johnson, 82
Phil Collins, 74
Charles Dutton, 74
Nolan Cromwell, 70
Michael Thompson, 70
Jalen Rose, 52
Jorge Cantú, 43
Kodai Senga, 32
Bryan Woo, 25

— Atlantic Sun
Florida Gulf Coast 83, Jacksonville 79

Dolphins led 56-32 early in second half.
Dolphins led by 9 with 2:46 left in the game.
FGCU shot 55.8% inside the arc.
Both teams are 7-2 in ASUN

— American
Temple 90, Charlotte 89, 2 OTs

Charlotte led by 5 with 4:05 left in regulation.
Jamal Mashburn Jr scored 34 points for Temple.
Owls were 24-27 on the foul line.
7-1 North Texas leads 6-1 Memphis by half-game atop AAC standings.
AAC home favorites are 11-19 ATS; home underdogs are 8-6

— Atlantic 15
George Mason 58, Loyola Chi 53 OT

Patriots won despite shooting 11-22 on the foul line.
Mason has won six in a row; 2 of their last 3 wins came in overtime.
Teams combined to shoot 9-48 on the arc.
George Mason leads VCU/Saint Louis by a game atop A-15 standings.
A-15 home favorites are 14-21 ATS; home underdogs are 16-9

— Summit
South Dakota 91, Omaha 87

Omaha led 64-49 with with 14:56 left in the game.
Loss snaps Mavericks’ 8-game win streak vs D-I teams.
South Dakota outscored Omaha 54-37 in second half.
Omaha/St Thomas are tied for first atop the Summit standings.
Summit League home favorites are 9-11 ATS; home underdogs are 6-8.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 30

5 of Thursday’s best college basketball games:

South Dakota State
@ North Dakota State (-2.5)
South Dakota State (14-8, 5-2)
KenPom rating: 110
Tempo: 85
Experience: 332
Continuity: 273
SD State won its last four games.
Jackrabbits are 1-2 SU/ATS in Summit road games.
Underdogs are 3-0 ATS in their Summit road games.
Jackrabbits are 2-5 vs teams ranked in top 150.
SD State is #1 team in country on defensive boards.

North Dakota State (16-5, 6-4)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 76
Experience: 111
Continuity: 245
ND State won five in row, 12 of last 14 games.
Bison is 2-2 SU/0-4 ATS in Summit home games.
ND State is 3-3 vs teams ranked in top 150.
Bison is shooting 40.6% on the arc (#1)
ND State forces fewest turnovers of any team in country.


South Dakota State is 5-4 in last nine series games.
Summit home favorites are 9-11 ATS in conference games.


Cleveland State @ Fort Wayne (-4.5)
Cleveland State (16-6, 10-1)
KenPom rating: 164
Tempo: 252
Experience: 165
Continuity: 189
Cleveland State won its last 10 games vs D-I teams.
Vikings are 4-1 SU on Horizon road, 3-1 ATS as a road dog.
Cleveland State is 2-5 vs teams ranked in top 200.
Vikings are forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#6)
Cleveland State is #329 team in country on defensive boards.

Fort Wayne (15-7, 8-3)
KenPom rating: 133
Tempo: 97
Experience: 145
Continuity: 4
Fort Wayne won five of its last six games.
Mastodons are 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS as Horizon home favorites.
Fort Wayne is 3-5 vs teams ranked in top 200.
Mastodons are shooting 40% on the arc (#2)
Fort Wayne is getting 40% of its points on the arc (#11)


Cleveland State won last four series games.
Horizon home favorites are 18-21 ATS in conference games.


Cal-Northridge (-1.5) @ Cal-Santa Barbara
Cal-Northridge (13-7, 5-4)
KenPom rating: 141
Tempo: 10
Experience: 159
Continuity: 222
CSUN lost three of last five games, after an 11-4 start.
Matadors are 3-2 SU on Big West road, 2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
CSUN is 3-5 against top 200 opponents.
Matadors are forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#29)
CSUN is #3 team in country on defensive boards.


Cal-Santa Barbara (13-7, 5-4)
KenPom rating: 156
Tempo: 311
Experience: 51
Continuity: 169
UCSB lost two of its last three games.
Gauchos scored 63 or fewer points in its last five losses.
UCSB is 2-2 SU in Big West home games this season.
Gauchos are 3-4 vs teams ranked in top 200.
UCSB has #44 eFG% offense in country.

Northridge won three of last four series games
Big West home underdogs are 8-9 ATS in conference games.


Cal-Davis @ Cal-Riverside (-5.5)
Cal-Davis (12-8, 6-3)
KenPom rating: 227
Tempo: 121
Experience: 219
Continuity: 70
Cal-Davis won its last three games, giving up 60 ppg.
Aggies are 2-2 SU/ATS as a Big West road underdog.
Cal-Davis is 4-5 against top 200 opponents.
Aggies have the #346 eFG% offense in country.
Cal-Davis is forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#11)

Cal-Riverside (13-8, 6-3)
KenPom rating: 160
Tempo: 174
Experience: 279
Continuity: 34
Cal-Riverside won its last three games, scoring 84 ppg.
Highlanders are 2-2 SU at home in Big West, 0-2 as home favorite.
Underdogs were 4-0 ATS in their Big West home games.
Highlanders are 4-1 vs teams ranked outside the top 200.
Cal-Riverside has #277 eFG% offense in the country.


Cal-Riverside won four of last five series games.
Big West home favorites are 18-16 ATS in conference games.


Oregon @ UCLA (-4.5)
Oregon (16-4, 5-4)
KenPom rating: 29
Tempo: 117
Experience: 36
Continuity: 124
Oregon lost two of last three games, after a 15-2 start.
Ducks are 3-1 SU on Big 18 road, 1-0 ATS as a road dog.
Oregon is 10-4 against top 100 opponents.
Ducks are 7-3 in games decided by 8 or less points, or in OT.
Big 18 opponents are shooting 37.8% on arc vs Oregon (#16 of 18)

UCLA (15-6, 6-4)
KenPom rating: 32
Tempo: 275
Experience: 86
Continuity: 190
UCLA won its last four games, scoring 81.5 ppg.
Bruins are 3-1 SU at home in Big 18, 1-3 ATS as a home favorite.
UCLA is 8-6 vs top 100 teams, 4-4 vs top 50 opponents.
Bruins are forcing turnovers 24.1% of time (#3)
In Big 18 games, UCLA’s eFG% defense is #15 of 18.


UCLA (+3.5) won 73-71 at Oregon December 8th.
Bruins shot 12-23 on the arc in that game.
UCLA won five of last seven series games.
Big 18 home favorites are 31-29 ATS in conference games.
 
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