CNOTES 2024 - 2025 COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS-BEST BETS-OPINIONS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP !

Udog

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Saturday, March 8


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Trend Report
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Cnotes53

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Saturday, March 8

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
RAD at HP12:00 PMHP -10.0
O 141.5
+500 +500
SJU at MARQ12:00 PMMARQ -3.5+500
MER at CHAT12:00 PMCHAT -10.0+500
VAN at UGA12:00 PMUGA -5.0+500
UK at MIZZ12:00 PMMIZZ -6.5+500
YALE at BRWN02:00 PMBRWN +7.0+500
DART at HARV02:00 PMDART +1.0+500
CLMB at COR02:00 PMO 169.0+500
SCAR at TENN02:00 PMSCAR +15.5+500
STAN at LOU02:00 PMLOU -11.0+500
WIN at UNCA02:30 PMUNCA -1.0
O 164.5
+500 +500
ALA at AUB02:30 PMALA +7.5
U 178.0
+500 +500
KENN at JVST03:00 PMJVST -4.5+500
LIB at WKU03:00 PMLIB -3.5+500
BEL at DRKE03:30 PMBEL +7.5
O 132.5
+500 +500
JKST at MVSU03:30 PMJKST -23.0+500
OSU at IND03:45 PMIND -3.0+500
SHU at IONA04:00 PMIONA -4.5
U 148.5
+500 +500
PROV at XAV04:00 PMXAV -11.5+500
TXAM at LSU04:00 PMTXAM -7.5+500
GC at AC04:00 PMGC -7.5+500
HAMP at NE06:00 PMHAMP +1.0+500
GMU at RICH06:00 PMGMU -6.5+500
VT at CLEM06:00 PMCLEM -17.0+500
VALP at BRAD06:00 PMVALP +9.5+500
MISS at FLA06:00 PMFLA -13.0
U 158.0
+500 +500
MASSL at ME06:00 PMMASSL +1.0+500
MRSH at ARST06:30 PMARST -7.5+500
DUKE at UNC06:30 PMDUKE -10.0+500
QUIN at FAIR07:00 PMQUIN -7.0+500
CP at LBSU07:00 PMCP -3.5+500
TTU at ASU08:00 PMASU +11.0+500
OKLA at TEX08:00 PMOKLA +5.5+500
UVA at SYR08:00 PMO 138.0+500
UVU at TST08:00 PMUVU -5.5+500
SDAK at NEOM08:00 PMSDAK +4.5+500
HOF at MONM08:30 PMHOF -3.5+500
FUR at SAM08:30 PMFUR +3.0
O 156.5
+500 +500
PEPP at ORST09:00 PMORST -10.5+500
UCRV at CSF09:00 PMUCRV -14.5+500
SIUE at SEMO09:00 PMSEMO -2.5+500
ODU at TROY09:00 PMODU +11.5+500
SEA at DSU09:00 PMSEA -7.5+500
HOU at BAY10:00 PMU 131.0+500
UCI at UCSB10:00 PMUCI -3.5+500
UTAH at BYU10:00 PMBYU -12.0+500
NEV at SDSU10:30 PMNEV +6.0+500
UND at STT10:30 PMUND +8.0+500
UCSD at UCD11:00 PMUCSD -12.5+500
LMU at WSU11:30 PMLMU +3.0+500
 

Cnotes53

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NCAA COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

03/08/2025.................16 - 19 - 0.................45.71%.....................- 24.50
03/07/2025.................15 - 13 - 1.................53.57%.....................+ 3.50
03/06/2025.................18 - 16 - 2.................52.94%......................+ 2.00
03/05/2025....................7 - 8 - 0.................46.66%......................- 9.00
03/04/2025..................5 - 10 - 0.................33.33%.....................- 30.00
03/03/2025....................3 - 9 - 0.................25.00%......................- 34.50
03/02/2025....................4 - 5 - 0.................44.44%......................- 7.50
03/01/2025.................34 - 25 - 0.................57.62%......................+ 32.50

TOTALS:...................102 - 105 - 2.................49.27%......................- 67.50
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Teams who use their subs the least:
14% of minutes— Saint Louis 18-13
17.4%— Little Rock 19-14
17.9%— St Bonaventure 21-10
18.5%— North Alabama 24-9
18.8%— Central Michigan 14-17
19.1%— Saint Mary’s 27-4

Quote of the Day
“We need to fix it now for next year, and we need to get this program back to the standard and the performance level that we expect as a program, that he expects, the staff expects and our fans expect.”
Syracuse athletic director John Wildhack, putting basketball coach Adrian Autry on the hot seat for next season

Sunday’s quiz
In baseball, how wide is home plate?

Saturday’s quiz
Geno Smith played his college football at West Virginia.

Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, Edgar Martinez has scored the most runs (1,219)

********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college basketball Saturday……

Don’t forget to turn your clocks ahead an hour…….

— Alabama 93, Auburn 91 OT

Sears scored only 9 points, but had the game-winning shot at the buzzer.
Alabama is only 3-4 last seven games, after a 21-3 start.
Auburn has lost two in a row, after a 27-2 start.

— St John’s 86, Marquette 84 OT
Red Storm has won six in a row, 16 of last 17 games.
St John’s went 18-2 in Big East, despite shooting only 26.8% on arc.
Marquette went 4-6 in last ten games, after an 18-3 start.

— OVC Tournament
SIU-Edwardsville 69, SE Missouri State 48

Cougars are first team officially in the NCAA Tournament
Cougars out-rebounded SE Missouri State, 50-31
SIU-Edwardsville has #35 eFG% defense in country.

— WCC Tournament
Pepperdine 77, Oregon State 73

Waves win for 2nd night in row; after losing 8 of previous 9 games.
6-8 senior Todorovic scored 34 points, was 5-9 on arc.
Pepperdine advances to play Santa Clara Sunday night,

— SoCon Tournament
Three of the four underdogs won Saturday’s games.
VMI 64, NC-Greensboro 57

Keydets are only 9-11 SU in SoCon games, but are 15-5 ATS.
VMI played only three subs, who in a combined 21:00, went 0-1 from floor.
Teams combined to shoot 5-33 on the arc.

Upsets of the Day
Penn State (+11.5) 86, Wisconsin 75
Pepperdine (+10.5) 77, Oregon State 73
VMI (+10.5) 64, NC-Greensboro 57
LaSalle (+8.5) 81, St Joe’s 74
Alabama (+7.5) 93, Auburn 91 OT
Abilene Christian (+7.5) 82, Grand Canyon 81
Fairfield (+6.5) 83, Quinnipiac 74

— Arch Madness (MVC Tournament)
Drake 57, Belmont 50

Drake held its last seven opponents to 61 or fewer points.
Bulldogs are 17-1 in their last 18 games.

Bradley 70, Valparaiso 65
11-seed Valpo led by 11 points early on.
Braves won eight of their last nine games.
Drake-Bradley play for the MVC title Sunday.

— Summit Tournament
Omaha 100, South Dakota 75

Mavericks led 55-26 at halftime.
Omaha shot 71.8% inside the arc.

St Thomas 85, North Dakota 69
Game was tied at halftime.
St Thomas shot 12-29 on the arc.
Tommies are in only their 4th season as a D-I team.
Omaha-St Thomas play for the Summit title Sunday night.

— Kansas 83, Arizona 76
Big man Dickinson had 33 points in 34:00 for Kansas.
Arizona is 3-5 in last eight games, after a 14-6 start.
Last three games, Arizona gave up 84-100-83 points.

— Sun Belt Tournament
Arkansas State 77, Marshall 74

Marshall led 52-46 with 13:58 left to play.
Red Wolves advance to play South Alabama Sunday.

Troy 75, Old Dominion 59
Trojans won six of their last seven games.
Troy plays James Madison Sunday.

Famous birthdays, March 9th:
Bert Campaneris, 83
Dennis Harrah, 72
Linda Fiorentino, 67
Shooty Babitt, 66
Darrell Walker, 64
Terry Mulholland, 62
Sean Salisbury, 62
Brian Bosworth, 60
Benito Santiago, 60

— Notre Dame 112, California 110, 4 OT’s
Cal led 103-99 with 2:40 left in the 4th overtime.
6-0 soph Burton scored 43 points for Notre Dame
Notre Dame won its last three home games, by 4-2-2 points.

— Indiana 66, Ohio State 60
Indiana was 23-31 on foul line, Buckeyes 10-15
Hoosiers won five of last seven games, finished 10-10 in Big 18.
Ohio State led by 10 with 12:12 left in the game.

— Arkansas 93, Mississippi State 92
Hogs led by 16 with 11:41 left, trailed 89-87 with 1:46 left.
Arkansas shot 62.9% inside the arc.
Miss State lost four of its last five games.

— Duke 82, North Carolina 69
Tar Heels led by 6 with 15:44 left in the game.
Duke has won eight in row, 24 of last 25 games.
North Carolina is 1-11 in Quad-1 games, not ideal.
Bracketology has them as the second team outside the Field of 68

— CAA Tournament
Three of the four underdogs won Saturday’s games.
Drexel 91, Elon 74

Dragons were only CAA favorite to win Saturday
Drexel led 45-22 at halftime.
Drexel advances to play #1-seed Towson Sunday.
 

Udog

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 9

5 of Sunday’s best college basketball games:

Michigan
@ Michigan State (-7.5)
Michigan (22-8, 14-5)
KenPom rating: 28
Tempo: 64
Experience: 81
Continuity: 262
Michigan lost its last two games, after an 8-1 run.
Wolverines are 2-1 ATS as a Big 18 road underdog.
Michigan is shooting 58.3% inside the arc (#7)
Opponents are shooting 46.5% inside the arc (#25)
Michigan is turning ball over 20.1% of time (#335)

Michigan State (25-5, 16-3)
KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 156
Experience: 211
Continuity: 88
MSU won its last six games (5-1 ATS)
Spartans are 6-3 ATS as a Big 18 home favorite.
MSU was held under 70 points in all five losses.
Spartans have #13 eFG% defense in country.
MSU is shooting 54.3% inside arc (#66), 29.9% on arc (#342)

Spartans (+2.5) won 75-62 in Ann Arbor February 21
Michigan State won four of last five series games.


MVC tournament (@ St Louis)
Bradley vs Drake
Bradley (26-7, 15-5)
KenPom rating: 93
Tempo: 271
Experience: 124
Continuity: 24
Bradley won five in row, eight of last nine games.
Braves are playing for the third day in row
Bradley played four starters 30:00+ last night.
Braves are shooting 40.4% on arc (#1)
Bradley has #46 eFG% defense in country.

Drake (29-3, 19-3)
KenPom rating: 61
Tempo: 364
Experience: 358
Continuity: 338 (4 starters played together in D-II ball)
Drake has won six in row, 17 of last 18 games.
Bulldogs are also playing for the third day in row
Drake trailed 30-21 at halftime yesterday.
Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#11)
Drake is 5-0 in overtime games this season.

Road team won both meetings this season.
Drake beat Bradley in last two MVC tournaments.
Drake won six of last eight series games.


SoCon tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
Furman vs Chattanooga
Furman (24-8, 12-7)
KenPom rating: 137
Tempo: 252
Experience: 276
Continuity: 100
Furman won its last five games (4-1 ATS)
Paladins made 17-29 on arc Saturday, scored 1.34 ppp.
Three Furman starters played 32:00+ yesterday.
51.2% of Paladins’ shots are 3’s (35.6%, #78)
Furman won SoCon tournament two years ago.

Chattanooga (24-8, 16-3)
KenPom rating: 108
Tempo: 214
Experience: 192
Continuity: 199
Chattanooga won its last 12 games (10-2 ATS)
Mocs were down 34-28 at halftime yesterday.
Chattanooga played three starters 34:00+ yesterday.
Mocs have #12 eFG% offense in country.
Chattanooga won SoCon tourney in 2016/2022.

Chattanooga won both meetings this year, 75-71/85-72
Chattanooga won three of last four series games.


WCC Tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
Pepperdine vs Santa Clara
Pepperdine (12-21, 6-14)
KenPom rating: 227
Tempo: 70
Experience: 284
Continuity: 341
Pepperdine won last two nights, scoring 86-77 points.
PG Odum had 48 points, 21 assists in those games.
Before this week, Waves had lost 8 of previous 9 games.
Last 2 nites, Pepperdine outscored foes 96-68 in 2nd half.
WCC opponents are shooting 57.2% inside arc vs Pepperdine

Santa Clara (20-11, 12-6)
KenPom rating: 56
Tempo: 87
Experience: 103
Continuity: 6
Santa Clara hasn’t played since last Saturday.
Broncos won six of their last eight games.
Santa Clara has #28 eFG% offense in country.
Broncos’ last seven wins were all by 15+ points.
Last 5 years, SC in 4-1 in its first WCC tourney game (wins by 12+ points)

Santa Clara (-15) beat Waves 91-80 December 28
Broncos shot 15-33 on arc in that game.
Santa Clara won seven of last eight series games.


Summit Tournament (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Omaha vs St Thomas

Important:
Omaha is in NCAA Tournament no matter what; St Thomas can’t go to the NCAA’s, since this is only their 5th year as a D-I team. So win or lose here, Omaha is in.

Omaha (21-12, 15-3)
KenPom rating: 165
Tempo: 163
Experience: 168
Continuity: 91
Omaha won its last five games, scoring 84.2 ppg.
Mavericks played Thursday/Saturday, won easily yesterday.
Omaha has #75 eFG% offense, #297 eFG% defense.
Mavericks are 4-6 vs teams ranked in top 150.
Omaha played one guy more than 24:00 yesterday.

St Thomas (24-9, 14-4)
KenPom rating: 121
Tempo: 157
Experience: 257
Continuity: 76
St Thomas won its last four games, giving up 65.3 ppg.
Tommies have #3 eFG% offense in country.
St Thomas is #263 team in country on defensive boards.
Tommies played nine guys 12:00+ yesterday.
St Thomas is playing for a Summit title, that’s it; they’ll be going to a different tournament next week, since they’re not eligible for the NCAA’s.

Home team won both series games this season.
St Thomas is 6-2 in series games.
Neither team has ever won this tournament.
 

Udog

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Sunday, March 9


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Trend Report
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Michigan vs Michigan State
Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan

Drexel vs Towson
Drexel is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Towson
Drexel is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Towson
Towson is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Drexel
Towson is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Drexel

Iowa vs Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Iowa's last 8 games when playing Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games on the road
Nebraska is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nebraska's last 8 games when playing Iowa

Minnesota vs Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Rutgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rutgers's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games on the road
East Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
Florida Atlantic is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

North Texas vs Temple
North Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Temple's last 10 games at home
Temple is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

UAB vs Tulane
UAB is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulane
UAB is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tulane
Tulane is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 7 games when playing at home against UAB

Tulsa vs Wichita State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulsa's last 7 games when playing Wichita State
Tulsa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Wichita State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Tulsa
Wichita State is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Tulsa

Bradley vs Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Bradley's last 7 games when playing Drake
Bradley is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Drake's last 7 games when playing Bradley
Drake is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Bradley

Delaware vs William & Mary
Delaware is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing William & Mary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Delaware's last 5 games when playing William & Mary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of William & Mary's last 5 games when playing Delaware
William & Mary is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Delaware

Oregon vs Washington
Oregon is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Oregon

UTSA vs Charlotte
UTSA is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
UTSA is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against UTSA
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing UTSA

Furman vs Chattanooga
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Furman's last 18 games when playing Chattanooga
Furman is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Chattanooga
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chattanooga's last 18 games when playing Furman
Chattanooga is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Furman

Arkansas State vs South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 7 games when playing South Alabama
Arkansas State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing South Alabama
South Alabama is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Arkansas State
South Alabama is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arkansas State

Hampton vs UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hampton

VMI vs Wofford
Wofford is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing VMI
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Wofford's last 16 games when playing VMI

Weber State vs Northern Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Weber State's last 8 games when playing Northern Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northern Colorado's last 8 games when playing Weber State

Pepperdine vs Santa Clara
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pepperdine's last 6 games when playing Santa Clara
Pepperdine is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Santa Clara
Santa Clara is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pepperdine
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Santa Clara's last 6 games when playing Pepperdine

St. Thomas (MN) vs Nebraska-Omaha
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska-Omaha's last 5 games when playing St. Thomas (MN)
Nebraska-Omaha is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing St. Thomas (MN)

Northern Arizona vs Montana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 5 games when playing Montana
Northern Arizona is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Montana
Montana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Northern Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montana's last 5 games when playing Northern Arizona


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Cnotes53

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Sunday, March 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DREX at TOWS12:00 PMDREX +4.0
U 123.0
+500 +500
WIN at HP12:00 PMWIN +7.5
U 158.0
+500 +500
NAVY at BUCK12:00 PMBUCK -5.5
U 140.0
+500 +500
MICH at MSU12:00 PMMSU -7.5
U 148.0
+500 +500
IOWA at NEB12:30 PMNEB -7.5
O 155.5
+500 +500
MINN at RUTG01:00 PMRUTG -5.0
O 141.0
+500 +500
ECU at FAU01:00 PMFAU -5.0
O 151.5
+500 +500
UNT at TEM02:00 PMUNT -6.5
O 132.5
+500 +500
UAB at TULN02:00 PMTULN +3.0
U 157.5
+500 +500
COLG at AMER02:00 PMAMER -2.0
U 135.0
+500 +500
TLSA at WICH02:00 PMTLSA +12.0
O 143.5
+500 +500
UNA at LIP02:00 PMLIP -4.5
O 142.5
+500 +500
BRAD at DRKE02:10 PMDRKE -4.0
U 118.5
+500 +500
DEL at WM02:30 PMDEL +3.5
U 161.0
+500 +500
ORE at WASH03:00 PMWASH +7.5
O 146.5
+500 +500
UTSA at CHAR04:00 PMUTSA +1.5
U 147.0
+500 +500
FUR at CHAT04:00 PMFUR +2.0
U 144.0
+500 +500
HAMP at UNCW06:00 PMUNCW -8.5
U 136.0
+500 +500
ARST at USA06:00 PMUSA +5.0
U 136.5
+500 +500
HBU at AMCC06:00 PMAMCC -6.5
O 134.5
+500 +500
VMI at WOF06:30 PMVMI +9.5
O 138.0
+500 +500
WEB at UNCO07:30 PMUNCO -11.5
O 146.5
+500 +500
PEPP at SCU08:30 PMSCU -15.5
O 155.0
+500 +500
TROY at JMU08:30 PMJMU +1.5
U 131.5
+500 +500
MONM at COFC08:30 PMCOFC -8.0
U 146.0
+500 +500
IW at SELA08:30 PMSELA -3.5
O 138.0
+500 +500
STT at NEOM09:00 PMSTT -4.0
O 150.0
+500 +500
NAU at MONT10:00 PMMONT -6.0
O 146.0
+500 +500
WSU at SF11:00 PMSF -4.5
U 147.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NCAA COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

03/09/2025.................20 - 20 - 1.................50.00%.....................- 10.00
03/08/2025.................16 - 19 - 0.................45.71%.....................- 24.50
03/07/2025.................15 - 13 - 1.................53.57%.....................+ 3.50
03/06/2025.................18 - 16 - 2.................52.94%......................+ 2.00
03/05/2025....................7 - 8 - 0.................46.66%......................- 9.00
03/04/2025..................5 - 10 - 0.................33.33%.....................- 30.00
03/03/2025....................3 - 9 - 0.................25.00%......................- 34.50
03/02/2025....................4 - 5 - 0.................44.44%......................- 7.50
03/01/2025.................34 - 25 - 0.................57.62%......................+ 32.50

TOTALS:...................122 - 125 - 2.................49.39%......................- 77.50
 

Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Six of the teams who use their subs the most:
43% of minutes— Cal-Fullerton 6-26
42.8%— Colorado 12-19
42.2%— Oklahoma State 15-16
41.8%— BYU 23-8
41.3%— Michigan State 26-5
41.2%— Southern Utah 12-18

Quote of the Day
“I’m so glad he’s back, nor did it surprise me when Bochy came back. Don’t ask me why. I just know those guys and I knew they weren’t done…….It’s not just one thing, it’s all of it. It’s the passion for the game. I don’t think it ever leaves you. When you have the desire to stay in it, to stay in the fight, it feels good.”
Rockies manager Bud Black, talking about Terry Francona/Bruce Bochy returning to managing in the major leagues

Monday’s quiz
Where did Josh Allen play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
In baseball, home plate is 17 inches wide.

Saturday’s quiz
Geno Smith played his college football at West Virginia.

*****************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a surprisingly busy Sunday……..

NFL has an amazing capacity to stay in the headlines 50 weeks a year; here it is March 10 and they’re still getting headlines……..

— Buffalo Bills signed QB Josh Allen for six years/$330M, with $250M of that guaranteed; Allen is 83-40 as an NFL starter, 7-6 in playoff games.
Bills are opening a new stadium for the 2026 season; this announcement will encourage lot of fans to pay up for luxury suites and tickets.

— Buffalo released LB Von Miller Sunday, which opened $8.4M in salary cap space; Bills hope to re-sign the 35-year old Miller later this spring.

— Rams signed WR Davante Adams for two years, $46M; Adams caught 85 passes for 1,063 yards and 8 TD’s in 14 games for the Raiders/Jets last season.
This cements that the Rams will be trading WR Cooper Kupp.

— Seahawks got a 2nd-round pick from the Steelers for WR DK Metcalf, who caught 66 passes for 992 yards and 5 TD’s for Seattle last year. Metcalf will turn 28 in December, Kupp will be 32 in June, so Rams don’t figure to get a 2nd-round pick for him.

— Cleveland Browns gave DE Myles Garrett a 4-year, $160M contract extension, with $123.5M of that money guaranteed, making Garrett the highest-paid non-quarterback in NFL history.

— Minnesota Vikings signed RB Aaron Jones to a 2-year, $20M extension, with $13M of that money guaranteed. Jones had 1,138 rushing yards last year, another 408 yards receiving- he scored seven touchdowns in his first year with the Vikings.

— Atlanta Falcons signed LT Jake Matthews to a 2-year, $45M contract extension; the son of Hall of Famer Bruce Matthews, Jake Matthews has been a Falcon for his entire 11-year career.

Famous birthdays, March 10th:
Ron Mix, 87
Chuck Norris, 85
Austin Carr, 77
Sharon Stone, 67
Tim McCormick, 63
John Cangelosi, 62
Rod Woodson, 60
Jon Hamm, 54
Olivia Wilde, 41
Zach LaVine, 30
Justin Herbert, 27
Cole Kmet, 26

— WCC tourney
Pepperdine 78, Santa Clara 76

Waves post an upset win for third night in a row.
Santa Clara led 21-8 early on.
6-1 junior G Odum had 19 points, 13 assists; sad reality is that he has to be getting NIL offers from big $$$ schools.
Pepperdine will be a big underdog again Monday, vs Saint Mary’s.

— Atlantic Sun tourney
Lipscomb 76, North Alabama 65

Lipscomb shot 12-27 on the arc.
Bisons were 26-30 on foul line, North Alabama 15-24
Lipscomb is in NCAA’s for first time since 2018.

— Big South tourney
High Point 81, Winthrop 69

Winthrop led by 15 early in second half.
High Point’s bench outscored Winthrop’s subs, 50-15.
Panthers are going to NCAA Tournament for the first time.

— MVC tourney
Drake 63, Bradley 48

Drake allowed 50.3 ppg in its three Arch Madness wins.
Drake is in NCAA’s for third year in row, with a whole new team this year.
Bulldogs have won seven in row, 18 of last 19 games.

— Summit tourney
Omaha 85, St Thomas 75

St Thomas wasn’t eligible for NCAA’s this year; Omaha was in no matter what.
Omaha is in NCAA’s for first time; they joined Division I in 2011.
Mavericks shot 55.9% inside the arc.
Omaha is 22-12, after starting the season 4-9.

— SoCon tourney
Furman 80, Chattanooga 77 OT

Paladins shot 12-28 on arc as they upset the top-seeded Mocs.
Furman has won six games in row; they won SoCon tourney in 2023.
#5-seed Furman vs #6-seed Wofford is the SoCon final Monday night.

— Arkansas State 74, South Alabama 71
Final Four in Sun Belt all tied for first in regular season, so no real upsets here.
Arkansas State shot 12-33 on the arc, South Alabama was 2-13.
Red Wolves have #10 eFG% defense in country.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 10

5 of Monday’s best college basketball games:

Delaware
vs Towson State (-4.5) (@ Washington, DC)
Delaware (15-19, 8-13)
KenPom rating: 245
Tempo: 42
Experience: 297
Continuity: 222
Delaware won the last three nights, scoring 86.3 ppg
Blue Hens came into CAA tourney on a 1-11 bender.
Delaware has #36 eFG% offense, #266 eFG% defense.
Blue Hens are #305 team on defensive boards.
Delaware won CAA tourney in 2014/2022

Towson (22-10, 17-2)
KenPom rating: 149
Tempo: 349
Experience: 94
Continuity: 1
Towson won 16 of its last 17 games, after a 6-9 start.
Tigers had a six-game losing streak in December.
Towson is #33 team in country on offensive boards.
Tigers are playing their second game in this tourney.
Towson played only two guys more than 26:00 Sunday


Towson beat Delaware twice this year, 76-66/75-70
Towson won six of last nine series games.


Sun Belt tournament (@ Pensacola, FL)
Arkansas State vs Troy
Arkansas State (24-9, 15-5)
KenPom rating: 90
Tempo: 59
Experience: 117
Continuity: 111
ASU won its last five games, after a 1-4 skid.
Red Wolves won last two nights, by 3-3 points.
ASU’s point guard played 40:00 Sunday; another starter played 37:00.
Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#14)
ASU hasn’t been in NCAA’s since 1999.

Troy (22-10, 15-5)
KenPom rating: 98
Tempo: 240
Experience: 299
Continuity: 10
Troy won five in row, 11 of last 14 games.
Trojans are turning ball over 20.3% of time (#336)
Troy is #5 team in country on offensive boards.
Opponents are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#23)
Troy’s last two NCAA appearances: 2003/2017


Road team won both series games this year.
Troy is 5-3 in last eight series games.


SoCon tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
Furman (-2.5) vs Wofford
Furman (25-8, 13-7)
KenPom rating: 135
Tempo: 262
Experience: 276
Continuity: 99
Furman won its last six games (5-1 ATS)
Paladins made 17-29/12-28 on arc last two nights.
Four Furman starters played 33:00+ yesterday.
51.1% of Paladins’ shots are 3’s (35.9%, #73)
Furman won SoCon tournament two years ago.


Wofford (18-15, 12-8)
KenPom rating: 120
Tempo: 338
Experience: 109
Continuity: 11
Wofford won three of its last four games.
Terriers had fairly stress-free win over VMI Sunday.
Wofford is shooting 54.5% inside the arc (#60)
Terriers are a top 25 rebounding team in country.
Wofford hasn’t been in NCAA’s since 2019.


Road team won both series games this year.
Furman won 78-75 at Wofford, nine days ago.
Furman won six of last eight meetings.


WCC Tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
Pepperdine vs Saint Mary’s
Pepperdine (13-21, 7-14)
KenPom rating: 217
Tempo: 75
Experience: 284
Continuity: 341
Pepperdine won last three nights, scoring 86-77-78 points.
PG Odum had 67 points, 34 assists in those games.
Before this week, Waves had lost 8 of previous 9 games.
Last 3 nites, Pepperdine outscored foes 138-104 in 2nd half.
Pepperdine played three starters 38:00+ Sunday

Saint Mary’s (27-4, 17-1)
KenPom rating: 22
Tempo: 359
Experience: 201
Continuity: 82
Saint Mary’s won seven in row, 17 of last 18 games.
Gaels haven’t played a game in nine days.
Saint Mary’s is #2 team in country on offensive boards.
Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#13)
Gaels won first WCC tourney game last nine years, and 15 of last 16 years.


Saint Mary’s whacked Pepperdine twice this year, 74-50/71-41
Saint Mary’s won last seven series games.


Gonzaga vs San Francisco
Gonzaga (23-8, 14-4)
KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 48
Experience: 10
Continuity: 4
Gonzaga won seven of its last eight games.
Zags are shooting 58.2% inside arc (#8)
Gonzaga has #36 eFG% defense in country.
Zags are 2-8 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Gonzaga is 42-5 SU in its last 47 WCC tourney games.
Gonzaga hasn’t played a game in nine days.

San Francisco (24-8, 14-5)
KenPom rating: 64
Tempo: 163
Experience: 164
Continuity: 106
USF won eight of its last ten games.
Dons had 21 offensive rebounds in Sunday’s win over Wazzu.
USF has #83 eFG% defense in country.
Dons played only 2 starters more than 29:00 Sunday
USF is without senior G Williams, one of its best players.


Gonzaga has beaten USF 32 times in a row.
Zags beat USF 88-77/95-75 this season.
 

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Monday, March 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Delaware vs Towson
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Delaware's last 7 games when playing Towson
Delaware is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Towson
Towson is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Delaware
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Towson's last 7 games when playing Delaware

Oakland vs Robert Morris
Oakland is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Robert Morris
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Robert Morris
Oakland is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Robert Morris
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Robert Morris

Wofford vs Furman
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wofford's last 7 games when playing Furman
Wofford is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Furman
Furman is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wofford
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Furman's last 7 games when playing Wofford

Arkansas State vs Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 7 games when playing Troy
Arkansas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Troy's last 7 games when playing Arkansas State
Troy is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas State

Montana State vs Idaho State
Montana State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Idaho State
Montana State is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Idaho State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Idaho State's last 14 games when playing Montana State
Idaho State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Montana State

College of Charleston vs UNC Wilmington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of College of Charleston's last 5 games when playing UNC Wilmington
College of Charleston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing College of Charleston
UNC Wilmington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing College of Charleston

Pepperdine vs Saint Mary's-California
Pepperdine is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saint Mary's-California
Pepperdine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saint Mary's-California
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pepperdine
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pepperdine

Youngstown State vs Cleveland State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Youngstown State's last 7 games when playing Cleveland State
Youngstown State is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Cleveland State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland State's last 7 games when playing Youngstown State
Cleveland State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Youngstown State

Idaho vs Portland State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Idaho's last 7 games when playing Portland State
Idaho is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland State
Portland State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Idaho
Portland State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Idaho

San Francisco vs Gonzaga
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Gonzaga
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Gonzaga
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Gonzaga's last 5 games when playing San Francisco


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Monday, March 10

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DEL at TOWS06:00 PMDEL +6.5
O 144.5
+500 +500
AMCC at NWST06:00 PMNWST +3.5
O 129.5
+500 +500
WOF at FUR07:00 PMFUR -1.5
O 137.5
+500 +500
OAK at RMU07:00 PMOAK +3.5
U 141.0
+500 +500
ARST at TROY07:00 PMTROY +2.0
U 142.0
+500 +500
MTST at IDST07:30 PMMTST +1.5
O 139.0
+500 +500
COFC at UNCW08:30 PMUNCW -4.0
U 149.0
+500 +500
IW at NICH08:30 PMNICH -3.5
U 137.5
+500 +500
PEPP at SMC09:00 PMPEPP +19.0
U 135.5
+500 +500
YSU at CLEV09:30 PMYSU +3.0
O 138.0
+500 +500
IDHO at PRST10:00 PMPRST -4.5
O 143.0
+500 +500
SF at GONZ11:30 PMSF +14.5
U 153.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NCAA COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

03/10/2025.................12 - 5 - 0....................70.58%....................+ 32.50
03/09/2025.................20 - 20 - 1.................50.00%.....................- 10.00
03/08/2025.................16 - 19 - 0.................45.71%.....................- 24.50
03/07/2025.................15 - 13 - 1.................53.57%.....................+ 3.50
03/06/2025.................18 - 16 - 2.................52.94%......................+ 2.00
03/05/2025....................7 - 8 - 0.................46.66%......................- 9.00
03/04/2025..................5 - 10 - 0.................33.33%.....................- 30.00
03/03/2025....................3 - 9 - 0.................25.00%......................- 34.50
03/02/2025....................4 - 5 - 0.................44.44%......................- 7.50
03/01/2025.................34 - 25 - 0.................57.62%......................+ 32.50

TOTALS:...................134 - 130 - 2.................50.75%......................- 45.00
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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48
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Baseball teams with highest payrolls last year:
$333,262,507— Mets
$310,916,392— Bronx
$270,841,245— Dodgers
$249,094,493— Phillies
$244,875,028— Astros
$240,847,326— Rangers

Quote of the Day
“At first (retiring) was hard,. You didn’t know what to expect and you worry what people will say about you. You worry about that the first couple of years. But then you enjoy it. It takes time to get used to. I mean, for 20 years, you’re basically on the field and you’re working and spending more time with your teammates than your family.”
Former MLB catcher Yadier Molina

Tuesday’s quiz
In the TV show Friends, what was the name of the coffee shop where people hung out?

Monday’s quiz
Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming.

Sunday’s quiz
In baseball, home plate is 17 inches wide.

**************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Sun Belt Tournament
Troy 94, Arkansas State 81

Trojans were 33-39 on foul line, Ark State 19-24.
Red Wolves led by 8 with 9:50 left in game.
Trojans are in NCAA’s for first time since 2017.

— SoCon Tournament
Wofford 92, Furman 85

Wofford outscored Paladins 13-2 over the last 2:30 of game.
Wofford shot 14-28 on arc, scored 1.37 points/possession.
Terriers are in NCAA’s for first time since 2019.

— WCC Tournament
Saint Mary’s 74, Pepperdine 59

Midnight struck for the Cinderella Waves, which had won three days in a row.
Gaels out-rebounded Pepperdine, 45-22.
St Mary’s shot only 2-13 on arc, 14-24 on foul line.

— CAA Tournament
Delaware 82, Towson State 72

12-seed Blue Hens upset top-seeded Towson.
Delaware has won four days in a row to get to the finals.
Blue Hens came into the CAA tourney on a 1-11 skid.

NC-Wilmington 68, Charleston 67
Seahawks led this game 40-30 at halftime.
Charleston lost despite shooting 14-31 on the arc.
UNCW-Delaware play for the CAA title Tuesday night.

— Horizon Tournament
Robert Morris 79, Oakland 76 OT

Oakland led by 13 early in the second half.
Robert Morris has won nine in row, 15 of last 16 games.
Colonials are in NCAA’s for first time since 2015.

Youngstown 56, Cleveland State 54
Penguins won despite shooting 12-23 on foul line.
Youngstown won seven of its last nine games.
Robert Morris-Youngstown play for the Horizon title Tuesday.

— NC State won the ACC Tournament last year, then made an unlikely run to the Final Four, but they fired coach Kevin Keatts Sunday, after the Wolfpack went 12-19, 5-15 this season.
Keatts coached NC State for eight years, making three NCAA Tournaments; he was 151-113 with the Wolfpack, 69-84 in ACC games. He won’t be out of work long; before coming to Raleigh, he was 72-28 in three years coaching NC-Wilmington.

— Murray State fired basketball coach Steve Prohm, who was 45-52 in his second stint coaching the Racers; he was 104-29 in his first stint coaching Murray State, from 2012-15.
What was the difference? In Prohm’s first stint coaching Murray State, the Racers were a big fish in a smaller pond. Ohio Valley Conference isn’t nearly as good as the Missouri Valley.
MVC is a deeper pond; harder to win there. The over-educated geniuses who run these schools don’t understand that concept. Winning is fun; rich boosters like contributing $$$ to teams that win. When teams lose, contributions go down, and coaches get fired.

— Under was 10-1 in games in the Missouri Valley tournament last week.

— Luke Loucks, a 34-year old assistant for the Sacramento Kings, is the new basketball coach at Florida State. Before going to Sacramento, Loucks spent five years as a video coordinator and player development coach for Golden State, where he won two NBA championship rings.
Loucks was point guard for the 2012 FSU squad that won the ACC Tournament. Loucks’ dad was a walk-on football player for Bobby Bowden’s Seminoles; his wife also went to Florida State and was a swimmer there, so he is a good fit in Tallahassee.

Famous birthdays, March 11th:
Alex Kingston, 62
Peter Berg, 61
Bobby Abreu, 51
Cedric Henderson, 50
Elton Brand, 46
Dan Uggla, 45
Anthony Davis, 32
Jackson Chourio, 21

— Gerrit Cole is having Tommy John surgery Tuesday, is out for the year; Cole was 8-5, 3.41 in only 17 starts last year. With Cole done for the year and Luis Gil out until June, New York has issues with its starting rotation.

— Mariners’ P George Kirby has been shut down from throwing due to shoulder inflammation; Seattle says there is no structural damage, but he hasn’t felt well after throwing.

— Mets C Francisco Alvarez broke the hamate bone in his hand, is out 6-8 weeks; Alvarez hit .237 in 100 games last year, with a .710 OPS.

— Arizona Diamondbacks’ 1B/OF Pavin Smith was named after pro golfer Corey Pavin; Smith’s dad was a golf agent. Corey Pavin was one of his clients.

— Minor leaguers are faring better with the pitch challenge aspect of instant replay, because they have been doing it in the minor leagues the last few years.
Challenging ball/strikes is an experiment this spring, but it is going well and it seems like this will become a rule next year. Developing a strategy on what/when to challenge will be fun to follow.
Do you wait until the late innings?
Do you only challenge in two-out situations?
By the way, while I’m here, if you’re betting on spring training games (please don’t), keep in mind that the Reds are not challenging balls/strikes- Terry Francona said not to, because it isn’t a rule this year.
So the Reds aren’t challenging bad calls against them, while the other teams are challenging bad calls against them. Cincinnati is 8-7 in spring training games so far this year.

— A’s-Diamondbacks played two games in Las Vegas over the weekend, at the Aviators’ ballpark in Summerlin; they drew a sell-out crowd of 8,708 fans Saturday.
A’s have sold 6,500 season tickets for this season in Sacramento; they’ll be playing for three years in Sacramento, in a stadium with 10,624 seats and a capacity of 14,014, with standing room areas behind the outfield fence.

— Forgot to mention this couple weeks ago, but RIP to former world chess champion Boris Spassky, who passed away February 27th at age 88.
When I was in junior high school, I loved chess, was actually pretty good at it (finished 2nd in a tournament with 50 kids in it). Bobby Fischer was the man back then; he beat Spassky in 1972 to become the world champ.
There is a great movie with Joe Mantegna, Searching for Bobby Fischer, about a sportswriter whose kid is great chess, for no apparent reason. Ben Kingsley is in it too; very good movie.

Anyway, RIP to Boris Spassky, a chess grandmaster.
 
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