CNOTES 2024 - 2025 COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS-BEST BETS-OPINIONS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Sweet 16 games this week:
— Alabama (-5.5) vs BYU
— Florida (-6.5) vs Maryland
— Duke (-8.5) vs Arizona
— Texas Tech (-5.5) vs Arkansas

— Michigan State (-2.5) vs Ole Miss
— Tennessee (-4.5) vs Kentucky
— Auburn (-8.5) vs Michigan
— Houston (-7.5) vs Purdue

Quote of the Day
“If God wanted me to walk, he would’ve made me a mailman.”
Former big league OF Willie Wilson, who walked 425 times in his 19-year career, but stole 668 bases, scored 1,169 runs. He was really fast.

Tuesday’s quiz
From 1954-1996, the Dodgers had only two managers, Walter Alston and Tommy Lasorda; who replaced Lasorda as the Dodgers’ manager?
(Hint: he played for the Dodgers)

Monday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Mets, David Wright has scored the most runs.

Sunday’s quiz
Before Florida’s win Sunday, New Mexico State was the last team to beat Connecticut in the NCAA Tournament.

*******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..​

— Tennessee-Kentucky are SEC rivals playing in the Sweet 16, only the fifth time in the last 20 years that conference rivals have met in the Sweet 16:
2015- 4- Louisville (-2.5) 75-65 over 8- NC State
2018- 2- Duke (-11) 69-65 0ver 11- Syracuse
2019- 1- Duke (-7) 75-73 over 4- Virginia Tech
2021- 7- USC (-2) 82-68 over 6- Oregon (favorites 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS)
2025- 2- Tennessee (-4.5) ??-?? vs 3- Kentucky

In the Elite 8, underdogs have fared better vs conference rivals, but we’ll get into that over the weekend.

— March Madness is down to 16 teams, the Sweet 16; this year, only four leagues will have teams playing this weekend, the fewest ever. 7 of 14 SEC teams are still alive.
Things go in cycles; Florida Atlantic was in the Final Four two years ago; in three of the last six tournaments, an 11-seed made it to the Final Four. This year, #10-seed Arkansas is the only team left that is seeded lower than 6th.

— Monday was the first day the college basketball transfer portal was open; at 3:30, there were already 500 names in the portal. Trying to keep up with what players are on what team, you wind up like Linda Blair in The Exorcist, with your head spinning all over the place.

— Speaking of which, a 6-4 guard named Devin Askew is in the portal:
2021- Kentucky- scored 6.5 ppg in 28.9 minutes/game
2022- Texas- scored 2.1 ppg in 14.9 minutes/game
scored 3 points in 24:00 in his only two NCAA Tourney games
2023- California- scored 15.5 ppg in 31.8 minutes/game
2024- California- scored 6.2 ppg in 24.3 mpg, in only six games.
2025- Long Beach State- Long Beach lost their last fifteen games this season.
Will be interesting to see where he re-surfaces in the fall.

— College basketball coaching carousel:
Minnesota hired alum Niko Medved as its new coach; Medved was a student manager for the Gophers. He was 143-85/78-50 at Colorado State, making NCAAs three of the last four years in Fort Collins, after also coaching at Furman, Drake.

Iona hired NBA assistant coach Dan Geriot to replace Tobin Anderson; Geriot has worked the last nine years for the Cavaliers/Pelicans- he was also a head coach in the G League for a year.

Ryan Miller is the new coach at Murray State; he’s been an assistant coach at seven different schools, most recently Creighton.
Racers have gone 29-31 in their three years in the Missouri Valley Conference- they made the NCAA’s three of the last five years they played in the OVC.

— Iowa Hawkeyes signed up former Drake coach Ben McCollum as their new coach, after he led the Bulldogs 31-4 record this year. McCollum won four national titles in six years at the D2 level.

— Rick Pitino is a GREAT basketball coach, one of the best ever. St John’s was 31-5 this year, winning the Big East tournament and an NCAA tourney game, both for the first time since 2000, but they lost 75-66 to Arkansas Saturday, and we live in a fickle society.
Late in the game, down by 2 points, Pitino benched one of his best players, who was 3-17 from the floor in that game. Since then, certain media members have criticized the coach, because, well it was Monday and they had to have something to talk about.
But Jalen Rose did it on live TV Saturday night, then again Sunday night, over 24 hours after the game ended. Almost like Jalen Rose has a vendetta against Pitino.

— Famous birthdays, March 25th:
Bonnie Bedelia, 77
Lee Mazzilli, 70
Avery Johnson, 60
Sarah Jessica Parker, 60
Tom Glavine, 59
Dale Davis, 56
Travis Fryman, 56
Domenick Lombardozzi, 49
Kyle Lowry, 39
Mike White, 30
Hyun Jin Ryu, 28
Pete Crow-Armstrong, 23

— Long time ago, maybe ten years or so, I’m at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas for the first week of the NCAA Tournament. The early games on Thursday tip off (really early, it was 9am in Las Vegas) and before the second TV timeout, a guy hits a 3-pointer from the right side, and his team is winning 15-9.

(MGM Sportsbook is excellent, by the way; good place to hang out and watch games, with good food options very close by)
Three young guys sitting to my left start yelling, hugging each other; I asked one of them “Was that your brother who made that shot??”
“No, man, they got to 15 first; that was our bet!!!”

I had no idea that was a thing, that you could bet on which team got to 15 points first. Every now and then, I still debate researching this and keeping track of it, but it seems kind of random to me, so I haven’t done it.

— When the San Francisco Giants play Thursday night, they’ll be starting their 19th different left fielder over the last 19 Opening Days, the longest-such streak by any team at one position in the last 120 years.

— Cleveland Guardians signed P Tanner Bibee for five years, $48M; he was 12-8, 3.47 in 31 starts last year, his second year in the majors.

— World Champion Dodgers used 17 starting pitchers last year; also-ran Angels used 18 starting pitchers. Takes a lot of quality depth in your organization to have a winning team.

— Kansas City Royals acquired 36-year old OF/1B Mark Canha from Milwaukee, in exchange for a player to be named later.
Canha has played for five teams in his 10-year career; he could see some time at 1B for Kansas City, with Vinnie Pasquantino out with a bad hamstring.

— Angels acquired P Ian Anderson from the Braves, in exchange for lefty reliever Jose Suarez.
Anderson 22-13, 3.97 in 52 starts for Atlanta, but he missed the last two years after he had his elbow operated on. He walked 18 batters in 17 IP this spring; he was out of options, so Halos had to trade him or risk losing him via waivers.

— Tigers ace Tarik Skubal was getting interviewed last week, and someone asked him how he dealt with analytics. Skubal gave analytics their due, then referred to the office the analytics guys for Detroit used as……..”the nerd room”

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 25

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 25

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Trend Report
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Chattanooga vs Bradley
Chattanooga are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chattanooga's last 5 games.
Chattanooga are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games.
Chattanooga are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chattanooga's last 6 games against an opponent in the Missouri Valley conference.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chattanooga's last 6 games played in March.
Chattanooga are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games played on a Tuesday.
Chattanooga are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played on a Tuesday when playing on the road.

Bradley are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Bradley's last 7 games.
Bradley are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
Bradley are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home.
Bradley are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Southern conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Bradley's last 8 games played in March.
Bradley are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Tuesday.
Bradley are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Tuesday when playing at home.


North Texas VS Oklahoma State
North Texas are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
North Texas are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games.
North Texas are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games against Oklahoma State.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Texas' last 7 games on the road.
North Texas are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State.
North Texas are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.

Oklahoma State are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games.
Oklahoma State are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home.
Oklahoma State are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against North Texas.
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Oklahoma State's last 18 games against an opponent in the American Athletic Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma State's last 8 games played in March.


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[Cnotes53]

Tuesday, March 25​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
ILST at IW	07:00 PM	IW +6.5 U 148.0	+500 +500
CHAT at BRAD	07:00 PM	BRAD -3.5 O 152.5	+500 +500
FGCU at CLEV	09:00 PM	FGCU +6.0 U 137.5	+500 +500
UNT at OKST	09:00 PM	UNT +1.5 U 137.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAA COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

03/25/2025................4 - 2 - 0.....................66.66%...................+ 12.00
03/24/2025................2 - 3 - 0.....................40.00%...................- 6.50
03/23/2025..............14 - 13 - 1...................51.85%..................- 1.50
03/22/2025................10 - 6 - 1...................62.50%..................+ 17.00
03/21/2025...............10 - 16 - 0...................38.46%..................- 38.00
03/20/2025...............11 - 14 - 0....................44,99%..................- 22.00
03/19/2025...................8 - 6 - 1....................57.14%...................+ 7.00
03/18/2025...................5 - 8 - 0....................38.46%...................- 19.00
03/16/2025...................4 - 6 - 0....................40.00%...................- 13.00
03/15/2025.................12 - 11 - 1.................52.19%...................- 0.50
03/14/2025.................22 - 10 - 1.................68.75%...................+ 55.00
03/13/2025.................15 - 14 - 0.................51.72%....................- 2.00
03/12/2025.................16 - 18 - 0.................47.05%....................- 19.00
03/11/2025.................15 - 15 - 0..................50.00%....................- 7,50
03/10/2025.................12 - 5 - 0....................70.58%....................+ 32.50
03/09/2025.................20 - 20 - 1.................50.00%.....................- 10.00
03/08/2025.................16 - 19 - 0.................45.71%.....................- 24.50
03/07/2025.................15 - 13 - 1.................53.57%.....................+ 3.50
03/06/2025.................18 - 16 - 2.................52.94%......................+ 2.00
03/05/2025....................7 - 8 - 0.................46.66%......................- 9.00
03/04/2025..................5 - 10 - 0.................33.33%.....................- 30.00
03/03/2025....................3 - 9 - 0.................25.00%......................- 34.50
03/02/2025....................4 - 5 - 0.................44.44%......................- 7.50
03/01/2025.................34 - 25 - 0.................57.62%......................+ 32.50

TOTALS:...................292 - 272 - 9.................51.77%......................- 83.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Over/under win totals for this year:
105.5— Dodgers
93.5— Braves
90.5— Mets, Phillies
88.5— Bronx
86.5— Arizona, Orioles, Red Sox, White Sox, Astros, Texas
85.5— Padres, Mariners

Quote of the Day
“It’s not going to be a live game, but nobody really has live scrimmages anymore. So, you make it a full thud like we’re doing and practice against them, just like they do in the NFL.”
Oklahoma State football coach Mike Gundy, suggesting an OSU-Oklahoma spring scrimmage, to raise $$$ for NIL payments to players

Wednesday’s quiz
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar played the last 14 years of his great career for the Lakers; who did he play for, in the first six years of his career?

Tuesday’s quiz
From 1954-1996, the Dodgers had only two managers, Walter Alston and Tommy Lasorda; former Dodgers SS Bill Russell replaced Lasorda as the Dodgers’ manager, in 1997.

Monday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Mets, David Wright has scored the most runs.

*****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— New Jersey Giants signed QB Russell Wilson for one year, $21M, with $10.5M of that $$$ guaranteed; Wilson will be playing for his fourth team in five years. He is 130-85-1 as an NFL starter, 9-8 in playoff games, but he is also 23-32 the last four years.
Giants signed QB Jameis Winston last week, would appear that they’re out of the market for a QB in next month’s draft.

— New England Patriots signed WR Stefon Diggs for three years, $69M; Diggs caught 47 passes for 496 yards in only eight games for Houston last year, after six straight seasons with 1,000+ receiving yards. New England will be his third team in three years.

— Last three years in the NCAA Tournament, #1 seeds are 4-5 SU/2-7 ATS in their Sweet 16 games. From 2016-21, #1-seeds were 11-1 SU/7-5 ATS in Sweet 16 games, so 9-12 ATS over an 8-year span isn’t very good.

— Arkansas is the only team seeded 9th or worse still alive in March Madness; since 2017, #9 or lower seeds are 9-3 ATS when they play in a Sweet 16 game.

— St Francis PA lost 70-68 in a play-in game to Alabama State, after winning the NEC tourney, but this week they announced they’re dropping down to D-III sports, much like Hartford did a couple years ago. Some schools have no desire/ability to compete with bigger-money schools for good players.

— Drake star Bennett Stirtz is following his coach Ben McCollum to Iowa; Drake was 31-4 this year, won a first-round NCAA Tourney game. McCollum won four DII national titles in his days at Northwest Missouri. The question: how good is Iowa’s NIL program?

— UNLV signed former Memphis/Georgia Tech coach Josh Pastner as their new coach; Pastner followed John Calipari at Memphis, went 130-44 the first five years, but only 2-4 in the NCAA tourney. When Memphis faded the next two years, they fired him and he went to Georgia Tech, a much harder job.

Pastner was 109-114 at Tech, making NCAA’s once in seven years. He spent the last two years as a studio analyst on ESPN. Pastner will he UNLV’s 7th coach in 16 years.

— Xavier is hiring Richard Pitino as its new coach; Pitino was 75-30/35-21 the last three years at New Mexico, winning a game in this year’s tournament.

— Sacramento State named former NBA star Mike Bibby its new head coach; Bibby was on the Sacramento Kings for 6+ seasons. He scored 14.7 ppg in his NBA career.
Sac State will be on its fifth coach in six years; their last winning season in Big Sky games was in 2015. Hornets have never played in the NCAA Tournament.

— Famous birthdays, March 26th:
Martin Short, 75
Catherine Keener, 66
Marcus Allen, 65
Mike Warren, 64
John Stockton, 63
Kevin Seitzer, 63
Keira Knightley, 40
Cristian Javier, 28

— Seattle Mariners signed C Cal Raleigh to a six-year deal worth $105M; Raleigh has hit 91 home runs the last three years.

— Arizona P Jordan Montgomery is going to have Tommy John surgery, is out for at least a year; he had a 6.23 ERA in 21 starts last season. He won’t be back until late in the 2026 season.

— NIT
Chattanooga 67, Bradley 65
Bradley led 38-25 at halftime.
Honor Huff played all 40:00, shot 5-13 on arc, scored 21 points.
Bradley lost, despite shooting 66.7% inside the arc.

North Texas 61, Oklahoma State 59
Mean Green led 27-22 at halftime.
Cowboys shot 4-15 on the arc, only 9-16 on the foul line.

— CBI
Illinois State 78, Incarnate Word 73
Redbirds outscored the Cardinals 17-9 over the final 5:00.
Chase Walker scored 27 points, had 8 rebounds for Illinois State.
Three players on Incarnate Word played all 40:00.

Cleveland State 72, Florida Gulf Coast 65
Vikings led 36-29 at halftime.
Cleveland State was 20-23 on foul line, FGCU 8-14.
Cleveland State was +5 in turnovers (13-8)

— Kentucky Wildcats are the only team in the last 20 years to make the Sweet 16, when they had zero returning points from the year before- kudos to them for that. Mark Pope rebuilt his roster and the Wildcats are

— I’m wondering what its like to be traded; you make a lot of money playing ball, but you get the call that you have to pack up and move somewhere else. Has to be weird, especially for guys who have a family.

— My brain is tired; have watched a ton of college basketball, spring training games and also a lot of fantasy baseball podcasts. Looking forward to watching a lot of baseball that counts on Thursday, as well as the four Sweet 16 games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 26

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 26

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Trend Report
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Kent State VS Loyola-Chicago
Kent State are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games.
Kent State are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kent State's last 15 games on the road.
Loyola-Chicago are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Loyola-Chicago's last 12 games.
Loyola-Chicago are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Loyola-Chicago are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games at home.

UAB VS UC Irvine
UAB are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UAB's last 6 games.
UAB are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
UAB are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
UC Irvine are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of UC Irvine's last 12 games.
UC Irvine are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.
UC Irvine are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home.


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[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Over/under win totals for this year:
54.5— White Sox
59.5— Colorado
63.5— Marlins
70.5— Washington
71.5— A’s
72.5— Angels

Quote of the Day
“Yeah, I expect to be the starter and come in here and be ready to rock and roll every day. I think this team’s really looking for somebody to lead them in every way.”
Russell Wilson

Thursday’s quiz
When was the last time all four #1-seeds made the Final Four?

Wednesday’s quiz
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar played the last 14 years of his great career for the Lakers; he played his first six years for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Tuesday’s quiz
From 1954-1996, the Dodgers had only two managers, Walter Alston and Tommy Lasorda; former Dodgers SS Bill Russell replaced Lasorda as the Dodgers’ manager, in 1997.

***********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Baseball trends for Opening Day……..​

Recent trends for major league teams……..

National League

Arizona- Missed playoffs six of last seven years, but in that one year, they got to the World Series, losing to Texas in five games. Last two years, Arizona was 84-78/89-73.

Atlanta- Made playoffs the last seven years, but made only one World Series in those years, beating Houston in six games in 2021. Braves’ last losing season? 2017.

Cubs- Missed playoffs last four years, went 83-79/83-79 the last two years. From 2015-20, they made the playoffs five times in six years, winning 2016 World Series.

Cincinnati- Missed playoffs 10 of last 11 years, losing 2-0 to Atlanta in Wild Card round in 2020. Hiring Terry Francona as manager figures to be a huge upgrade for the Reds.

Colorado- Missed playoffs the last six years, losing 101/103 games the last two years. Since they got swept in the 2007 World Series, Rockies have made playoffs three times in 17 years.

Dodgers- Made playoffs the last 12 years, winning World Series in 2020/2024, losing Series in 2017/2018. Their last losing season was in 2010, when they were 80-82.

Miami- Marlins made playoffs twice in last four years, ending a 17-year drought; they went 62-100 last year, after making playoffs in 2023. They have their third manager in four years.

Milwaukee- Made playoffs six of last seven years; their last losing season in a 162-game schedule was 2016. Brewers won 92+ games in three of their last four seasons.

Mets- Made playoffs two of last three years, have made playoffs only four times since 2007. Mets fans are lucky to have a very wealthy owner who is also a fan and really wants to win.

Phillies- Made playoffs the last three years, ending a 10-year drought; From 2013-20, Phillies weren’t over .500 in any season. Phillies lost World Series to Houston in six games in 2022.

Pittsburgh- Missed playoffs the last nine years, after making it three years in a row under Clint Hurdle, from 2013-15. Won 76/76 games last two years, after winning 61/62 in 2021-22.

St Louis- Missed playoffs last two years, after making it four years in a row before that; they’ve made the playoffs eight times in 13 years since winning the 2011 World Series.

San Diego- Made playoffs three of last five years, lost NLDS 3-2 to the Dodgers last year. Their owner died last year; is still unclear if the new ownership will still be spending $$$.

San Francisco- Made playoffs once in last seven years; they were 107-55 in 2021, haven’t been over .500 since then. Made playoffs twice in last 10 years, since winning 3 WS in five years.

Washington- Won 2019 World Series, have had five losing seasons in a row since, but still have same manager/GM. They let Bryce Harper/Juan Soto/Trey Turner walk.

— Famous birthdays, March 27th:
Dick Ruthven, 74
Cliff Stoudt, 70
Randall Cunningham, 62
Quentin Tarantino, 62
Ed Pinckney, 62
Buster Posey, 38
Clay Holmes, 32
Brandon Nimmo, 32
Brycen Hopkins, 28
Tyler Kolek, 24

American League

Baltimore— Won 101-91 games the last two years; four years ago, they were 52-110, so a huge turnaround down by manager Brandon Hyde. Last World Series title: 1983.

Boston— Missed playoffs last three years, winning 78-78-81 games; they’ve made playoffs once in six years, since winning 2018 World Series- they’ve won four World Series since 2004.

White Sox— Were 41-121 last year, a historically bad season; they lost 101 games the year before, two years after they went 93-69, losing the ALDS. LY, they were 13-29 in one-run games.

Cleveland— Guardians made playoffs six of last nine years; they finished over .500 in 10 of their last 12 seasons. Cleveland was 10-3 in extra-inning games last year.

Detroit— Made playoffs last year for first time in 10 years; they were 21-12 vs lefty starters, 65-64 vs RHP. Detroit was 21-10 when Tarik Skubal was the starting pitcher.

Houston— Made playoffs the last eight years, winning World Series in 2017, 2022. Changed up some this year; Altuve will play LF, Christian Walker 1B, Paredes 3B.

Kansas City— Made playoffs last year for first time since winning 2015 World Series; last year, Royals were 33-19 against AL Central rivals, 53-55 vs everyone else.

Angels— Have had nine straight losing seasons; Mike Trout has been in big leagues 14 years, has played in three playoff games. They still owe Anthony Rendon $77M+ the next two years.

Minnesota— Missed playoffs three of last four years; since 2006, they’re 3-18 in playoff games. Last year, Twins were 18-28 vs NL teams, 10-21 vs AL East, 29-23 vs AL Central rivals.

Bronx— Made playoffs 12 of last 16 years; lost World Series LY, their first WS since 2009. Last year, they were 73-46 vs lefty starters, only 21-23 vs lefties.

A’s— Last three years, lost 102-112-93 games; they were in the playoffs in 2020. .Will play home games the next three years in Sacramento. LY, from July 1st on, A’s were 39-37.

Seattle— Have made playoffs once since 2001; losing 3-0 to Astros in ALDS. Last year, Mariners were 32-20 vs AL West rivals, 53-57 vs everyone else- they missed the playoffs by a game.

Tampa Bay— Missed playoffs LY for first time in six years; they were 80-82, 30-22 in one-run games. This year, Rays are playing in a spring training stadium in Tampa; their dome got shredded by a hurricane this winter..

Texas— Made playoffs once in last eight years, winning 2023 World Series. Bruce Bochy has won four World Series, in his last 12 years as a manager. Rangers were 9-2 in extra innings LY.

Toronto— Made playoffs three of last five years, but went 0-6 in playoffs; last year, Blue Jays were 14-22 vs lefty starters, 19-30 in one-run games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 27

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 27

Thursday’s games
BYU vs Alabama (-5.5) (@ Newark, NJ)
BYU (26-9, 14-6. T3)
KenPom rating: 24
Tempo: 178
Experience: 130
Continuity: 133
BYU won 11 of its last 12 games.
Cougars are 11-2 in non-conference games.
BYU has #6 eFG% offense in country.
Cougars are #31 team in country on defensive boards.
BYU is in Sweet 16 for first time since 2011.
BYU is 8-5 vs teams in the top 50.
BYU lost to Ole Miss of SEC in overtime in November.

Alabama (27-8, 13-5. 3rd)
KenPom rating: 6
Tempo: 1
Experience: 9
Continuity: 111
Alabama is 4-1 in last five games, 6-5 in its last eleven.
Crimson Tide is shooting 60% inside the arc (#3)
Alabama is 18-8 vs teams in the top 50.
Crimson Tide has #35 eFG% defense in country.
Alabama plays the fastest-paced games in country.
Alabama beat Houston of Big X in overtime in November.


Alabama’s subs play #33 minutes, BYU’s #12 minutes
SEC is the #1 league, Big 18 is the #2 league.
Last six NCAA’s, #2-seeds are 8-6 ATS in this round.


Maryland vs Florida (-6.5) (@ San Francisco)
Maryland (27-8, 14-6. T2nd)
KenPom rating: 10
Tempo: 64
Experience: 96
Continuity: 235
Maryland won 14 of its last 17 games.
Terps are 12-1 out of conference (NC sked #359)
Maryland is 11-7 vs teams ranked in the top 50.
Terps have #21 eFG% defense in country.
Maryland forces turnovers 20% of time (#43)
Terps are in Elite 8 for first time since 2002.

Florida (32-4, 14-4. 2nd)
KenPom rating: 3
Tempo: 61
Experience: 62
Continuity: 43
Florida won eight in row, 14 of last 15 games.
Gators are 15-0 out of conference (NC sked #239)
Florida is 16-4 vs teams ranked in the top 50.
Gators have #5 eFG% defense in country.
Florida is #5 team on offensive boards.
Gators are in Elite 8 for first time since 2017.


Big 18 is the #2 league this year, SEC is the #1 league.
Last three years, #1-seeds are 2-7 ATS in Sweet 16 games.


Arizona vs Duke (-9.5) (@ Newark, NJ)
Arizona (24-12, 14-6. T3rd)
KenPom rating: 13
Tempo: 49
Experience: 30
Continuity: 150
Arizona is 4-1 in last five games, after a 3-5 skid.
Wildcats are 8-5 in non-conference games (NC SOS #51)
Arizona is 8-10 vs teams ranked in the top 50.
Wildcats are shooting 55% inside arc (#47), 33.4% on arc (#195)
Opponents are shooting 47.1% inside arc (#41)
Wildcats haven’t been in Elite 8 since 2015, losing last three Sweet 16 games.

Duke (33-3, 19-1. 1st)
KenPom rating: 1
Tempo: 270
Experience: 128
Continuity: 268
Duke won their last 13 games.
Blue Devils are shooting 58.5% inside the arc (#5)
Duke is #48 team on offensive boards.
Blue Devils have the #1 eFG% defense in country.
Duke is 10-3 vs top 50 opponents.
Blue Devils won their last four Sweet 16 games.

Duke won 69-55 at Arizona in November.
SEC is #1 league, ACC is #5 league.
Last three years, #1-seeds are 2-7 ATS in Sweet 16 games.


Arkansas vs Texas Tech (-5.5) (@ San Francisco)
Arkansas (22-13, 8-10. T9th)
KenPom rating: 36
Tempo: 67
Experience: 220
Continuity: 323
Arkansas won seven of its last nine games.
Hogs are 13-2 outside the SEC.
Arkansas is 10-11 vs top 50 opponents.
Hogs have #59 eFG% defense in country.
Since 2010, Calipari is 6-1 SU in Sweet 16 games.
Arkansas was in Elite 8 in 2021, 2022, under Eric Musselman.
Hogs lost 72-67 to Baylor of Big X in November.

Texas Tech (27-8, 15-5. 2nd)
KenPom rating: 8
Tempo: 262
Experience: 42
Continuity: 144
Texas Tech won six of its last seven games.
Red Raiders are 6-5 vs teams ranked in the top 50.
Texas Tech has #29 eFG% in the country.
Red Raiders are getting 37.4% of points on 3’s (#47)
Texas Tech is 11-2 outside the Big X.
Red Raiders are in Sweet 16 for third time since 2018.


Big X is the #3 league this year, SEC is the #1 league.
Since 2017, #9 or lower seeds are 9-3 ATS in Sweet 16 games.




NCAAB

Thursday, March 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU VS Alabama
BYU are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of BYU's last 6 games.
BYU are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games.
BYU are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Alabama are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Alabama's last 12 games.
Alabama are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
Alabama are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.

Maryland VS Florida
Maryland are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Maryland's last 8 games.
Maryland are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
Maryland are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Florida are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida's last 9 games.
Florida are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Florida's last 15 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

Arizona VS Duke
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games.
Arizona are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
Arizona are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games played in March.
Duke are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Duke's last 12 games.
Duke are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games against Arizona.

Arkansas VS Texas Tech
Arkansas are 11-2-2 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas' last 6 games.
Arkansas are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Arkansas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Texas Tech.
Texas Tech are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 7 games.
Texas Tech are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games against Arkansas.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday, March 27​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BYU at ALA	07:09 PM	ALA -5.0 O 176.0	+500 +500
MD at FLA	07:39 PM	FLA -6.0 U 156.0	+500 +500
ARIZ at DUKE	09:39 PM	ARIZ +9.5 O 154.5	+500 +500
ARK at TTU	10:09 PM	TTU -5.5 U 147.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAA COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

03/27/2025................3 - 3 - 0.....................50.00%..................- 1.50
03/25/2025................4 - 2 - 0.....................66.66%...................+ 12.00
03/24/2025................2 - 3 - 0.....................40.00%...................- 6.50
03/23/2025..............14 - 13 - 1...................51.85%..................- 1.50
03/22/2025................10 - 6 - 1...................62.50%..................+ 17.00
03/21/2025...............10 - 16 - 0...................38.46%..................- 38.00
03/20/2025...............11 - 14 - 0....................44,99%..................- 22.00
03/19/2025...................8 - 6 - 1....................57.14%...................+ 7.00
03/18/2025...................5 - 8 - 0....................38.46%...................- 19.00
03/16/2025...................4 - 6 - 0....................40.00%...................- 13.00
03/15/2025.................12 - 11 - 1.................52.19%...................- 0.50
03/14/2025.................22 - 10 - 1.................68.75%...................+ 55.00
03/13/2025.................15 - 14 - 0.................51.72%....................- 2.00
03/12/2025.................16 - 18 - 0.................47.05%....................- 19.00
03/11/2025.................15 - 15 - 0..................50.00%....................- 7,50
03/10/2025.................12 - 5 - 0....................70.58%....................+ 32.50
03/09/2025.................20 - 20 - 1.................50.00%.....................- 10.00
03/08/2025.................16 - 19 - 0.................45.71%.....................- 24.50
03/07/2025.................15 - 13 - 1.................53.57%.....................+ 3.50
03/06/2025.................18 - 16 - 2.................52.94%......................+ 2.00
03/05/2025....................7 - 8 - 0.................46.66%......................- 9.00
03/04/2025..................5 - 10 - 0.................33.33%.....................- 30.00
03/03/2025....................3 - 9 - 0.................25.00%......................- 34.50
03/02/2025....................4 - 5 - 0.................44.44%......................- 7.50
03/01/2025.................34 - 25 - 0.................57.62%......................+ 32.50

TOTALS:...................295 - 275 - 9.................51.75%......................- 84.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
States with the most Waffle Houses:
433— Georgia
185— Florida
183— North Carolina
171— South Carolina
153— Alabama
134— Tennessee

Quote of the Day
“My biggest concerns in life right now, I don’t know who my boss is going to be. The guy that brought me here — who I really like, but appreciative of him bringing me to College Park — is not here anymore and I don’t know who we’re going to hire and in today’s day and age that worries me a little bit.”
Maryland basketball coach Kevin Willard

Friday’s quiz
Colorado Rockies have played in one World Series; who was their manager?
(Hint: He was also the Pirates’ manager, last time they had a winning season)

Thursday’s quiz
2008 was the last time all four #1-seeds made the Final Four.

Wednesday’s quiz
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar played the last 14 years of his great career for the Lakers; he played his first six years for the Milwaukee Bucks.

*****************************************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday​

— Texas Tech 85, Arkansas 83 OT
Arkansas led by 16 with 11:00 left in the game.
Tech tied it up on a 3-pointer with 0:09.7 left in regulation.
Tech out-rebounded Arkansas, 51-39
Red Raiders move on to play #1-seed Florida Saturday.

— Duke 100, Arizona 93
Duke shot 11-19 on the arc.
Blue Devils are 30-1 since Thanksgiving.
Arizona started season 17-6, went 7-7 in their last 14 games.
Duke is in Elite 8 for third time in four years.

— Florida 87, Maryland 71
Gators led 40-38 at halftime.
Florida out-rebounded Maryland, 42-20.
Gators shot 59.4% inside the arc.
Florida has won nine in row, 15 of last 16 games.

— Alabama 113, BYU 88
Alabama shot 25-51 on the arc, scored 1.43 points/possession.
BYU shot 6-30 on arc, 64.3% inside arc, and lost by 25.
Crimson Tide scored 62 points in the second half.
Alabama scored 94.3 ppg in its three NCAA tourney wins.

— Famous birthdays, March 28th
Rick Barry, 80
Len Elmore, 73
JK McKay, 72
Reba McIntyre, 70
Glenn Davis, 64
Byron Scott, 64
Vince Vaughn, 55
Chris Long, 40
Stefani Germanotta, 39 (Lady Gaga)
Christian Walker, 34
Derek Carr, 34
Will Smith, 30 (Dodgers’ catcher)

— Orioles 12, Blue Jays 2
Tyler O’Neill homered on Opening Day for the sixth year in a row.

— Padres 7, Braves 4
Padres took the lead with four runs in 7th inning.
Jackson Merrill drove in four runs for San Diego.

— Astros 3, Mets 1
Mets had 6 hits, drew 6 walks, were 0-6 with RISP.
Framber Valdez threw seven shutout IP (90 PT)

— Marlins 5, Pirates 4
Pittsburgh led 4-2 in the eighth inning.
Kyle Stowesr had a walk-off single to send 31,590 fans home happy.

— Bronx 4, Brewers 2
Freddy Peralta gave up two home runs in his 5 IP:
Austin Wells’ homer would’ve only been a home run in this stadium.
Anthony Volpe’s homer would’ve been a homer in only 9 of 30 MLB stadiums.
In other words, Peralta gave up two cheap home runs.
(There is an app that says how many ballparks each home run would’ve gone out of)

— Word of the Day— Over-reaction- Responding to something with too strong an emotion.
Example: the nine hitters in my fantasy baseball lineup went 4-32 Thursday; the guys on my bench went 10-22. A lesser person would’ve over-reacted and be annoyed by that

— Guardians 7, Royals 4 (10)
Kyle Manzardo was 3-4, scored twice, had four RBI
Royals led 3-0 early, tied game in bottom of ninth

— Giants 6, Reds 4
Wilmer Flores hit a 3-run homer in the ninth inning.
Jeimer Candelario knocked in three runs for the Reds.

— Red Sox 5, Rangers 2
Wilyer Abreu hit a 3-run tater in 9th inning, his second homer of the day.
Boston’s bullpen threw four shutout innings.

— Dodgers 5, Tigers 4
Detroit was 0-15 with runners in scoring position.
Ohtani hit another home run, is off to a 5-12 start at the plate.

— White Sox 8, Angels 1
Sean Burke tossed six shutout innings for Chicago.
Andrew Benintendi hit a 3-run homer.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 28

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 28

Friday’s games
Ole Miss vs Michigan State (-3.5) (@ Atlanta)
Ole Miss (24-11, 10-8. T6th)
KenPom rating: 20
Tempo: 132
Experience: 3
Continuity: 134
Ole Miss is 5-2 in its last seven games.
Rebels are 13-2 in non-league games (NC sked #194)
Ole Miss is 13-11 vs opponents in top 50.
Rebels are forcing turnovers 20.3% of time (#33)
Ole Miss lost 80-78 to Big 14’s Purdue back in November.
Rebels are in Sweet 16 for first time since 2001
Coach Beard is 2-0 in Sweet 16 games.

Michigan State (29-6, 17-3. 1st)
KenPom rating: 7
Tempo: 171
Experience: 214
Continuity: 83
MSU won 10 of its last 11 games.
Spartans are 11-2 in non-league games.
MSU is 14-4 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Spartans have #12 eFG% defense in country.
MSU is #8 team in country on defensive boards.
Since 2016, Spartans are 1-1 in Sweet 16 games.


Big 18 is #2 league, SEC the #1 league
Last six NCAA’s, #2-seeds are 8-6 ATS in this round.


Kentucky vs Tennessee (-4.5) (@ Indianapolis)
Kentucky (24-11, 10-8. T6th)
KenPom rating: 15
Tempo: 26
Experience: 7
Continuity: 355
Kentucky is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
Wildcats are 13-11 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Kentucky was 10-8 in SEC games this season.
Wildcats have #22 eFG% offense in country.
Kentucky is #27 team on defensive boards.
Since 2010, Wildcats are 7-1 in Sweet 16 games.

Tennessee (29-7, 12-6. 4th)
KenPom rating: 5
Tempo: 346
Experience: 14
Continuity: 164
Tennessee won 12 of its last 15 games.
Vols are 12-6 vs SEC teams this season.
Tennessee is #27 team on offensive boards.
Vols have #2 eFG% defense in the country.
Tennessee is 16-7 vs top 50 teams.
Since 2007, Vols are 2-5 SU in Sweet 16 games.


Kentucky beat Tennessee twice this year, 78-73/75-64.
Last six NCAA’s, #2-seeds are 8-6 ATS in this round.
Last four times conference rivals met in Sweet 16, favorites were 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS


Michigan vs Auburn (-9.5) (@ Atlanta)
Michigan (27-9, 14-6. T2nd)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 58
Experience: 78
Continuity: 265
Michigan is 13-4 in its last seventeen games.
Wolverines are 10-3 in non-conference games.
Michigan is shooting 57.3% inside arc (#15)
Wolverines have #14 eFG% defense in country.
Michigan turns ball over 19.6% of time (#324)
Since 2017, Wolverines are 2-3 in Sweet 16 games.
Michigan is 1-2 vs SEC teams TY, losing by 1-2 points.

Auburn (30-5, 15-3. 1st)
KenPom rating: 4
Tempo: 147
Experience: 25
Continuity: 40
Auburn won three of its last four games.
Tigers are 14-1 outside the SEC.
Auburn is 20-5 vs top 50 opponents.
Tigers have #15 eFG% defense in country.
Auburn is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#30)
Auburn is 2-0 vs Big 18 teams TY, winning by 38-18 points.
Tigers are in Sweet 16 for second time since 2003.


SEC is the #1 league, Big 18 the #2 league
Last three years, #1-seeds were 2-7 ATS in Sweet 16 games.


Purdue vs Houston (-8.5) (@ Indianapolis)
Purdue (24-11, 14-7, T4)
KenPom rating: 16
Tempo: 299
Experience: 184
Continuity: 41
Purdue won five of its last seven games.
Boilers are 10-3 in non-conference games.
Purdue has #18 eFG% offense in country.
Opponents are shooting 56.2% inside arc (#341)
Purdue is 9-10 vs top 50 opponents.
Since 2017, Boilers are 2-3 in Sweet 16 games.

Houston (32-4, 19-1. 1st)
KenPom rating: 3
Tempo: 360
Experience: 39
Continuity: 8
Houston won its last fifteen games.
Cougars have #4 eFG% defense in country.
Cougars are forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#18)
Houston is shooting 39.8% on the arc (#1)
Cougars are 9-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Last four years, Houston is 2-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.


Big 18 is the #2 league this year, Big X #3.
Last three years, #1-seeds were 2-7 ATS in Sweet 16 games.




NCAAB

Friday, March 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ole Miss VS Michigan State
Mississippi - Ole Miss are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Mississippi - Ole Miss' last 8 games.
Mississippi - Ole Miss are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Mississippi - Ole Miss' last 9 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Michigan State are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Michigan State's last 12 games.
Michigan State are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games.
Michigan State are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.

Kentucky VS Tennessee
Kentucky are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
Kentucky are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Kentucky are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Tennessee.
Kentucky are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games.
Tennessee are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games against Kentucky.

Michigan VS Auburn
Michigan are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
Michigan are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
Michigan are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Michigan are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in March.
Auburn are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Auburn's last 16 games.
Auburn are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games.
Auburn are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

Purdue VS Houston
Purdue are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Purdue's last 8 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Purdue are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games played in March.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Purdue's last 8 games played on a Friday.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games.
Houston are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
Houston are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games played in March.
Houston are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games played on a Friday.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, March 28​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MISS at MSU	07:09 PM	MISS +3.5 O 145.0	+500 +500
UK at TENN	07:39 PM	TENN -4.5 O 144.5	+500 +500
MICH at AUB	09:39 PM	MICH +9.0 O 155.0	+500 +500
PUR at HOU	10:09 PM	HOU -8.5 U 133.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAA COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

03/28/2025................3 - 5 - 0....................37.50.....................- 12.50
03/27/2025................3 - 3 - 0.....................50.00%..................- 1.50
03/25/2025................4 - 2 - 0.....................66.66%...................+ 12.00
03/24/2025................2 - 3 - 0.....................40.00%...................- 6.50
03/23/2025..............14 - 13 - 1...................51.85%..................- 1.50
03/22/2025................10 - 6 - 1...................62.50%..................+ 17.00
03/21/2025...............10 - 16 - 0...................38.46%..................- 38.00
03/20/2025...............11 - 14 - 0....................44,99%..................- 22.00
03/19/2025...................8 - 6 - 1....................57.14%...................+ 7.00
03/18/2025...................5 - 8 - 0....................38.46%...................- 19.00
03/16/2025...................4 - 6 - 0....................40.00%...................- 13.00
03/15/2025.................12 - 11 - 1.................52.19%...................- 0.50
03/14/2025.................22 - 10 - 1.................68.75%...................+ 55.00
03/13/2025.................15 - 14 - 0.................51.72%....................- 2.00
03/12/2025.................16 - 18 - 0.................47.05%....................- 19.00
03/11/2025.................15 - 15 - 0..................50.00%....................- 7,50
03/10/2025.................12 - 5 - 0....................70.58%....................+ 32.50
03/09/2025.................20 - 20 - 1.................50.00%.....................- 10.00
03/08/2025.................16 - 19 - 0.................45.71%.....................- 24.50
03/07/2025.................15 - 13 - 1.................53.57%.....................+ 3.50
03/06/2025.................18 - 16 - 2.................52.94%......................+ 2.00
03/05/2025....................7 - 8 - 0.................46.66%......................- 9.00
03/04/2025..................5 - 10 - 0.................33.33%.....................- 30.00
03/03/2025....................3 - 9 - 0.................25.00%......................- 34.50
03/02/2025....................4 - 5 - 0.................44.44%......................- 7.50
03/01/2025.................34 - 25 - 0.................57.62%......................+ 32.50

TOTALS:...................298 - 280 - 9.................51.55%......................- 97.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six least valuable MLB franchises:
30) Marlins $1.05B
29) Rays $1.25B
28) Royals $1.3B
27) Reds $1.325B
26) Pirates $1.35B
25) Guardians $1.4B

Quote of the Day
“Real generosity toward the future lies in giving all to the present.”
Albert Camus

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Major League, what actor plays the catcher for Cleveland?

Friday’s quiz
Colorado Rockies have played in one World Series; Clint Hurdle was their manager.

Thursday’s quiz
2008 was the last time all four #1-seeds made the Final Four.

****************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….​

— Michigan State 73, Ole Miss 70
Ole Miss led by 9 with 12:15 left in the game.
Michigan State was 19-22 on foul line, Rebels 9-10
Michigan State won 11 of its last 12 games.
Spartans are Elite 8 for first time since 2019.

— Tennessee 78, Kentucky 65
Tennessee shot 63.2% inside arc, led 43-28 at halftime.
Vols lost to Kentucky twice during the regular season.
Vols out-rebounded Kentucky, 34-24.
Tennessee is one win away from its first-ever Final Four.

— Auburn 78, Michigan 65
Auburn led 30-29 at halftime.
Pettiford scored 20 points in 29:00 off the bench.
Michigan shot 38.1% inside the arc.
Auburn out-rebounded the Wolverines, 48-33

— Houston 62, Purdue 60
Milos Uzan’s layup on an inbounds play with 0:00.9 left was the game-winner.
Uzan scored 22 points, had 6 assists, shot 6-9 on the arc.
Cougars led by 10 points with just under 8:00 left to play.
Houston is a #1-seed for third year in a row; they lost in Sweet 16 the last two years.

— Mountain West Player of the Year Donovan Dent bolted from New Mexico to UCLA; Lobos lost their coach earlier this week, when Richard Pitino bolted to Xavier.

— Drake hired South Dakota State coach Eric Henderson as its new coach; Henderson led the Jackrabbits to two NCAA tourneys the last four years- he won 20+ games in four of his six years at South Dakota State.

— Penn Quakers hired former Iowa coach Fran McCaffery as their new coach; last two years, Quakers were 7-21 in the Ivy League- they haven’t make NCAA Tournament since 2-18.
McCaffery is a Penn alum, graduating in 1982; he coached Iowa for the last 15 years.

— Famous birthdays, March 29th
Denny McLain, 81
Walt Frazier, 80
Ed Ratleff, 75
Earl Campbell, 70
Billy Beane, 63
Brian Jordan, 58
Chad Pinder, 33
Matt Olson, 31

— A’s 7, Mariners 0
A’s have played two games; starting P’s threw 12 scoreless innings.
Rookie IF Max Muncy’s first big league hit was a home run.
Last year, Seattle scored 3 or fewer runs in 16 of Luis Castillo’s 30 starts.

— Dodgers 8, Tigers 5 (10)
Detroit scored twice in top of 10th, Dodgers scored five runs.
Mookie Betts hit a 3-run homer for the game-winning hit.
Gleyber Torres got hurt hitting a home run in the third inning.
Earlier this week, Pirates’ 1B Nick Gonzales broke his ankle, also while hitting a home run. He hobbled around the bases, but is on the injured list now.

— Rays 3, Rockies 2
Rookie Kameron Misner hit a walk-off homer for Tampa Bay: he is the first player EVER whose first MLB home run was a walk-off homer on his team’s Opening Day.

— Mets 3, Astros 1
Juan Soto hit his first home run for the Mets.
Tylor Megill allowed only four baserunners, one run in five IP.
Houston had only three hits.

— Padres 4, Braves 3
Tatis, Cronenworth homered for the Padres.
San Diego’s bullpen threw 4.2 scoreless IP.
San Diego won the first two games in this series.

— Rangers 4, Red Sox 1
Jonah Heim homered twice for Texas.
Jack Leiter threw 5 IP, got his first MLB win.
Five Texas relievers got the last 12 outs, didn’t allow a run.

— Arizona Diamondbacks signed P Brandon Pfaadt to a 5-year, $45M contract; Pfaadt was 11-10, 4.71 in 32 starts last year, his second in the big leagues.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 29

Saturday’s games
Texas Tech vs Florida (-6.5) (@ San Francisco)
Texas Tech (28-8, 15-5. 2nd)
KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 268
Experience: 42
Continuity: 144
Texas Tech won seven of its last eight games.
Red Raiders are 7-5 vs teams ranked in the top 50.
Texas Tech has #37 eFG% in the country.
Red Raiders are getting 37.2% of points on 3’s (#50)
Texas Tech is 12-2 outside the Big X.
Tech won in OT Thursday, after trailing by 16 with 9:50 left.
Five Red Raiders played 37:00+ Thursday.
Red Raiders are in Elite 8 for first time since 2019.

Florida (33-4, 14-4. 2nd)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 61
Experience: 62
Continuity: 42
Florida won nine in row, 15 of last 16 games.
Gators are 16-0 out of conference (NC sked #238)
Florida is 17-4 vs teams ranked in the top 50.
Gators have #5 eFG% defense in country.
Florida is #5 team on offensive boards.
Florida played four guys 31:00+ in Thursday’s 87-71 win
Gators are in Elite 8 for first time since 2017.


Big X is the #3 league this year, SEC is the #1 league.
Last four years, #1-seeds are 5-1 ATS in Elite 8 games.


Duke (-6.5) vs Alabama (@ Newark, NJ)
Duke (34-3, 19-1. 1st)
KenPom rating: 1
Tempo: 266
Experience: 128
Continuity: 268
Duke won their last 14 games.
Blue Devils are shooting 58.6% inside the arc (#6)
Duke is #50 team on offensive boards.
Blue Devils have the #1 eFG% defense in country.
Duke is 11-3 vs top 50 opponents.
Blue Devils played four starters 32:00+ in Thursday’s 100-93 win
Duke shot 11-21 on arc in that game, scored 1.41 points/possession.
Duke is 1-3 in last four Elite 8 games; their last Final 4 was 2022.

Alabama (28-8, 13-5. 3rd)
KenPom rating: 6
Tempo: 1
Experience: 9
Continuity: 111
Alabama is 5-1 in its last six games.
Crimson Tide is shooting 60.1% inside the arc (#3)
Alabama is 19-8 vs teams in the top 50.
Crimson Tide has #37 eFG% defense in country.
Alabama plays the fastest-paced games in country.
Alabama shot 25-51 on arc, won 113-88 Thursday.
Crimson Tide played only one guy more than 28:00 in that 79-possession game.

SEC is the #1 league, ACC is the #5 league.
Last four years, #1-seeds are 5-1 ATS in Elite 8 games.




NCAAB

Saturday, March 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas Tech VS Florida
Texas Tech are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games.
Texas Tech are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
Texas Tech are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Florida are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Florida's last 10 games.
Florida are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games.
Florida are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.

Alabama VS Duke
Alabama are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 7 games.
Alabama are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
Duke are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Duke's last 13 games.
Duke are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
Duke are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.


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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 29

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday, March 29​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TTU at FLA	06:09 PM	FLA -7.0 O 157.0	+500 +500
ALA at DUKE	08:49 PM	DUKE -7.0 U 174.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAA COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

03/29/2024................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..................+ 9.50
03/28/2025................3 - 5 - 0....................37.50.....................- 12.50
03/27/2025................3 - 3 - 0.....................50.00%..................- 1.50
03/25/2025................4 - 2 - 0.....................66.66%...................+ 12.00
03/24/2025................2 - 3 - 0.....................40.00%...................- 6.50
03/23/2025..............14 - 13 - 1...................51.85%..................- 1.50
03/22/2025................10 - 6 - 1...................62.50%..................+ 17.00
03/21/2025...............10 - 16 - 0...................38.46%..................- 38.00
03/20/2025...............11 - 14 - 0....................44,99%..................- 22.00
03/19/2025...................8 - 6 - 1....................57.14%...................+ 7.00
03/18/2025...................5 - 8 - 0....................38.46%...................- 19.00
03/16/2025...................4 - 6 - 0....................40.00%...................- 13.00
03/15/2025.................12 - 11 - 1.................52.19%...................- 0.50
03/14/2025.................22 - 10 - 1.................68.75%...................+ 55.00
03/13/2025.................15 - 14 - 0.................51.72%....................- 2.00
03/12/2025.................16 - 18 - 0.................47.05%....................- 19.00
03/11/2025.................15 - 15 - 0..................50.00%....................- 7,50
03/10/2025.................12 - 5 - 0....................70.58%....................+ 32.50
03/09/2025.................20 - 20 - 1.................50.00%.....................- 10.00
03/08/2025.................16 - 19 - 0.................45.71%.....................- 24.50
03/07/2025.................15 - 13 - 1.................53.57%.....................+ 3.50
03/06/2025.................18 - 16 - 2.................52.94%......................+ 2.00
03/05/2025....................7 - 8 - 0.................46.66%......................- 9.00
03/04/2025..................5 - 10 - 0.................33.33%.....................- 30.00
03/03/2025....................3 - 9 - 0.................25.00%......................- 34.50
03/02/2025....................4 - 5 - 0.................44.44%......................- 7.50
03/01/2025.................34 - 25 - 0.................57.62%......................+ 32.50

TOTALS:...................302 - 281 - 9.................51.80%......................- 87.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Highest MLB tax payrolls in 2024:
$399M- Dodgers
$328M- Mets
$310M- Bronx
$304M- Phillies
$267M- Blue Jays
$265M- Padres

Quote of the Day
“Life is like riding a bicycle. To keep your balance, you must keep moving.”
Albert Einstein

Sunday’s quiz
Which NFL team has gone the longest since the last time they drafted a quarterback in the first round?

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Major League, Tom Berenger plays the catcher for Cleveland.

Friday’s quiz
Colorado Rockies have played in one World Series; Clint Hurdle was their manager.

**************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..​

— Florida 84, Texas Tech 79
Red Raiders led by 9 with 3:14 left in the game.
Florida was 25-27 on foul line, Tech was 7-13.
Gators are in Final Four for first time since they won the 2007 title.

— Duke 85, Alabama 65
Blue Devils led 46-37 at halftime.
Alabama shot 35.4% from floor, 8-32 on arc.
Duke is going to the Final Four for the 18th time.

— This year’s Elite 8: three games between #1-#2 seeds, and a #1-#3 seed game, making it the chalkiest Elite 8 since 2007, when the same thing happened.
In 2009, there were two 1-2 matchups, two 1-3 matchups.
In 2008, all four #1-seeds advanced to the Final Four, the last time that happened; that year, there was a #10-seed in the Elite 8. Davidson had some kid named Steph Curry.

— Final Four of the NIT this week will be in Hinkle Fieldhouse, home of the Butler Bulldogs and site of the climactic scene in Hoosiers, the great Gene Hackman movie.

Semi-finals Tuesday:
North Texas vs Cal-Irvine and Chattanooga vs Loyola-Chicago.

— Does winning the NIT or CBI help a team the next season? Interesting question……..
Last six teams to win the CBI didn’t go to any postseason tournament the next year, so that’s a big no for the CBI, although in 2011, VCU made the Final Four the year after they won it, but that was 14 years ago. Since then, Pitt (2012), Nevada (2016) are only teams who made the NCAA’s the year after winning the CBI

Of the last nine NIT champs, only three made the NCAA’s the next year; Xavier made the Sweet 16 in 2022, Memphis (2021), TCU (2017) are the other two teams.

Since 2008, the 15 NIT champs are a combined 5-6 in NCAA Tourney games the next year.

— Memphis Grizzlies fired coach Taylor Jenkins this week, despite the team’s 44-29 record; Jenkins coached the Grizzlies to a 259-228 record, 9-14 in playoff games. This will be their fourth winning season in five years.
Memphis is 28-15 this year when Ja Morant plays, 16-14 when he doesn’t; this whole situation seems pretty strange- there must be an interesting backstory we don’t know about.

— Fordham Rams hired Cal-Riverside coach Mike Magpayo as its new coach; Riverside was 55-32 in Big West games during his time at Riverside, 89-63 overall.

Fordham was 25-8 two years ago, their only winning season since 2016.
— Arkansas State’s coach bolted to South Florida after the Red Wolves’ 25-11 season that ended in the 2nd round of the NIT; Ark State’s new coach is Ryan Pannone, an assistant coach at Alabama, just like the previous coach (Bryan Hodgson) was.

— Famous birthdays, March 30th
John Astin, 95
Warren Beatty, 88
Jerry Lucas, 85
Dave Chapple, 78
Paul Reiser, 69
Lomas Brown, 62
Celine Dion, 57
Chris Sale, 36
Alex Bregman, 31
Jacob Wilson, 23

— If you like baseball and you’re on Twitter, Umpire Scorecards is a good follow; they post a chart for every game, showing how accurate the home plate umpire was in that game, and where the pitches were that he missed. The one thing you learn is, these guys are pretty, pretty good.

— Padres 1, Braves 0
Pinch-hitter Yuli Gurriel knocked in the only run with a 7th inning single.
Braves are off to an 0-3 start, scoring total of seven runs.

— Angels 1, White Sox 0
Jose Soriano allowed only four baserunners, no runs in 7 IP (73 PT)
Angels’ TV guys even said that it seemed weird that they took him out.
Yoan Moncada’s 8th inning infield hit knocked in the game’s only run.

— Bronx 20, Brewers 9
Nestor Cortes returned to New York and gave up home runs to the first three hitters he faced, on the first three pitches he threw. Aaron Judge hit three homers, knocked in eight runs.
Weird game; Bronx hit eight home runs in first four innings, made five errors in the first five innings.

— Astros 2, Mets 1
Jeremy Pena homered for Houston.
Mets had only one hit, a Juan Soto double.
First three games of this series, total of only 11 runs have scored.

— Marlins 5, Pirates 4 (12)
Dane Myers’ RBI single was a walk-off winner.
Myers, Otto Lopez, Kyle Stowers had three hits apiece.
Marlins are 2-1 this weekend, with two walk-off wins.

— Rangers 4, Red Sox 3
Adolis Garcia was 3-3, with a double, two-run homer.
Texas used six pitchers, none of whom got more than six outs.
Wilyer Abreu is 6-9 this week, but Boston pinch-hit for him in 8th inning, because God forbid he hit against a lefty pitcher.