CNOTES 2024-2025 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Thursday, December 19

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Trend Report
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Charlotte vs Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Utah vs Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Utah

Oklahoma City vs Orlando
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home
Orlando is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Chicago vs Boston
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Brooklyn vs Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 9 games when playing Toronto
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Golden State vs Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Golden State's last 13 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State

New Orleans vs Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing New Orleans

Atlanta vs San Antonio
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games

LA Clippers vs Dallas
LA Clippers is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Clippers's last 14 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Indiana vs Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing at home against Indiana
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

New York vs Minnesota
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

LA Lakers vs Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers

Denver vs Portland
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland's last 19 games when playing Denver


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Thursday, December 19

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 19​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHA at WAS07:00 PMWAS +4.5
O 226.0		+500 +500
OKC at ORL07:00 PMORL +6.5
U 210.5		+500 +500
UTA at DET07:00 PMDET -4.5
O 227.0		+500 +500
BK at TOR07:30 PMTOR -4.0
U 219.0		+500 +500
CHI at BOS07:30 PMCHI +14.0
O 241.0		+500 +500
GS at MEM08:00 PMMEM -2.5
U 236.5		+500 +500
NO at HOU08:00 PMHOU -9.0
U 217.5		+500 +500
ATL at SA08:00 PMATL +1.5
O 234.0		+500 +500
LAC at DAL08:30 PMLAC +4.0
U 223.5		+500 +500
IND at PHO09:00 PMPHO -6.0
U 235.0		+500 +500
NY at MIN09:30 PMMIN -2.5
U 215.0		+500 +500
DEN at POR10:00 PMPOR +8.5
O 235.5		+500 +500
LAL at SAC10:00 PMSAC -4.5
O 228.0		+500 +500
 
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NBA BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/19/2024.......................11 - 8 - 0.............................57.89%....................+ 11.00
12/17/2024.........................0 - 2 - 0.............................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/16/2024.........................2 -4 - 0..............................33.33%....................- 12.00
12/15/2024.........................5 - 6 - 0.............................45.45%....................- 3.00
12/14/2024.........................2 - 2 - 0..............................50.00%....................- 1.00
12/13/2024.........................4 - 3 - 0 .............................57.14%....................+ 3.50
12/12/2024.........................2 - 3 - 1..............................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/11/2024..........................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%.....................- 1.00
12/10/2024...........................2 - 2 - 0............................50.00%......................- 1.00
12/09/2024...........................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/08/2024...........................7 - 8 - 0............................46.66%......................- 9.00
12/07/2024...........................4 - 5 - 0............................44.44%......................- 7.50
12/06/2024............................5 - 6 - 0...........................45.45%.......................- 8.00
12/05/2024............................7 - 3 -0............................70.00%.......................+18.50
12/04/2024............................6 - 3 - 0............................66.66%.......................+ 13.50
12/03/2024............................7 - 9 - 0............................43.75%.......................- 14.50
12/02/2024............................4 - 4 - 0............................50.00%.......................- 2.00
12/01/2024...........................11 - 2 - 0............................84.61%......................+ 44.00

TOTALS.:.............................82 - 73 - 0............................52.90%.......................+ 13.50
 
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Friday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams with the best eFG% defense in country:
40.0%— Tennessee
41.0%— Houston
41.2%— Duke
41.4%— Illinois
42.2%— George Mason
42.2%— Cincinnati

Quote of the Day
“Great football game. Let’s talk about Cam Dicker and the free kick. It’s my favorite rule in football. I have been trying to get one in every game. When Cameron Dicker made it, it got the momentum back. This was our chance. This was our moment [to try it].”
Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh, talking about the 57-yard FG on a free kick

Friday’s quiz
What city is the Liberty Bowl football game played in every year?

Thursday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff are the two starting QB’s in the NFL who have fathers that played major league baseball.

Wednesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 NFL Draft.

*******************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

— Chargers 34, Broncos 27
Broncos’ first three drives: 28 plays, 212 yards, 21 points.
Denver led 21-13 at halftime.
Broncos last seven drives: 37 plays, 124 yards, 3 points.
Broncos are 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Denver’s team total: over 10-4-1
QB Herbert threw for 284 yards and two TD’s.
Chargers are 6-0 scoring 24+ points, 3-6 scoring 23 or fewer points.
Over is 5-0 in their last five home games.
Chargers are 5-1 ATS this season as home favorites.
Bolts are 8-4 ATS in last 12 AFC West home games.
Chargers got a 57-yard field goal at the end of the first half on a free kick after a fair catch by the punt returner; the last time that happened in the NFL was 1976.

— Sam Houston 31, Georgia Southern 26
Sam Houston scored on a pick-6 2:58 into the game.
Georgia Southern ran for 181 yards, outgained Bearkats 393-267.
Problem is, Sam Houston was +4 in turnovers (5-1)
Bearkats win their first-ever I-A bowl game.
Sam Houston still has 10 guys who were on 2021 team that won the 2021 national title at the I-AA level.

— When the Detroit Lions play in Chicago Sunday, it’ll be their second outdoor game this year, on freakin’ December 22. Very unusual.
Lions won their first outdoor game 24-14 at Green Bay in Week 9, but they were outgained 411-261. Detroit scored 34-42 points in their last two games, but those were both at home.

— Cardinals’ 3B Nolan Arenado vetoed a trade to Houston; at this point, the best St Louis can probably get for Arenado is most likely a mid-level prospect and for the other team to take on some of his salary (he will make $59M the next two years).
Does this mean Alex Bregman is leaving the Astros? Boston is rumored to be interested in him, as well as the Tigers.

— Sacramento A’s signed 33-year old IF Gio Urshela Thursday; he hit .250 last year, with nine homers, 52 RBI in a season split between Detroit/Atlanta.

— 31-year old Max Kepler signed a one-year, $10M deal with the Phillies; he’s played for the Twins the last 10 years, and was hampered by injuries LY, playing in only 105 games. Kepler is expected to play left field for Philadelphia.

— Washington Nationals signed P Mike Soroka for one year, $9M; Soroka was 17-8, 3.32 in 43 starts for Atlanta from 2018-23, but was 0-10, 4.74 in 25 games (nine starts) for a dreadful White Sox team last year. He is expected to be a starter again for Washington.

— Famous birthdays, December 20th:
Dick Wolf, 78 (executive producer, Law and Order)
Cecil Cooper, 75
Jenny Agutter, 72
Trent Tucker, 65
Tom Newberry, 62
Rich Gannon, 59
David DeJesus, 45
James Shields, 43
Jonah Hill, 41
Calvin Ridley, 30
Bryce Perkins, 28
De’Aaron Fox, 27
Friday would’ve been John Hillerman’s 92nd birthday.

— Cal-Irvine 92, Belmont 84
Anteaters were down 13 with 12:20 left to play.
Irvine scored 40 points in the last 10:00 of the game.
Anteaters were 24-26 on foul line, Belmont 5-8; game was at Belmont.
It is December 20; Irvine already has four true road wins. Impressive.

— How much does Patrick Mahomes’ status effect the pointspread?
When it was thought he was sitting Saturday’s game out, Houston was favored by 2.5 points.
Now that Mahomes is going to play, Kansas City is favored by 3.5 points.

— Duke QB Maalik Murphy bolted to Oregon State, which probably means the Beavers gave him a lot more $$$$ than Duke was. On the surface, bolting from the ACC to the Mountain West isn’t a brilliant move. Duke is 9-3 this year; Murphy threw 26 TD’s, 12 INTs before he bolted.
Washington State QB John Mateer is bolting to Oklahoma, where he will reunite with his old offensive coordinator, Ben Arbuckle, and quarterbacks coach John Kuceyesk from Wazzu.
Coogs are 8-4 this year, losing their last three games; Mateer threw 29 TD’s, 7 INT’s. It is safe to assume that Oklahoma gave him a boatload of $$$, too.

— NBA franchises that are worth the most $$$$:
Golden State $9.14B
NY Knicks $8.3B
LA Lakers $8.07B
Brooklyn $5.7B
LA Clippers $5.68B

— Steph Curry is getting paid $55,761,216 this season: he is expected to make another $90M or so off the floor, in endorsements. Same thing for Lebron James, who the Lakers are paying $48,728,845 this year (plus another $2M or so to his son).
Basketball is big business, but if the TV ratings keep tanking, will be interesting to see where the salary cap winds up the next few years.

— JJ Redick gave up the TV booth this year to coach Lebron and the Lakers, who are 15-12 as we speak, the #7-seed in the West. Redick had never coached before; they fired last year’s coach Darvin Ham even after the Lakers won the in-season tournament, which is probably an indictment of that event.
Would seem that coaching a big-market team with two big stars wouldn’t be an entry-level position, but this year, it is.

— Random stat: Los Angeles Chargers have lost their last 11 games that were decided by 3 or fewer points; the longest losing streak ever in that category is 13 (Buffalo, from 2001-06).

— Looks like Georgia Bulldogs QB Carson Beck is exploring surgery options on his injured throwing elbow; he isn’t expected to play in Georgia’s playoff games. Sophomore Gunner Stockton is expected to take his place- he was 12-16 for 71 yards in the SEC title game against Texas, which the Dawgs won 22-19 in overtime.
 
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Friday, December 20

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Trend Report
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Charlotte vs Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Milwaukee vs Cleveland
Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Oklahoma City vs Miami
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 20​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHA at PHI07:00 PMPHI -11.0
U 215.5		+500 +500
MIL at CLE07:30 PMMIL +9.0
O 222.5		+500 +500
OKC at MIA08:00 PMOKC +1.0
U 216.0		+500 +500
 
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NBA BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/20/2024.........................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%.....................+ 9.00
12/19/2024.......................11 - 8 - 0.............................57.89%....................+ 11.00
12/17/2024.........................0 - 2 - 0.............................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/16/2024.........................2 -4 - 0..............................33.33%....................- 12.00
12/15/2024.........................5 - 6 - 0.............................45.45%....................- 3.00
12/14/2024.........................2 - 2 - 0..............................50.00%....................- 1.00
12/13/2024.........................4 - 3 - 0 .............................57.14%....................+ 3.50
12/12/2024.........................2 - 3 - 1..............................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/11/2024..........................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%.....................- 1.00
12/10/2024...........................2 - 2 - 0............................50.00%......................- 1.00
12/09/2024...........................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/08/2024...........................7 - 8 - 0............................46.66%......................- 9.00
12/07/2024...........................4 - 5 - 0............................44.44%......................- 7.50
12/06/2024............................5 - 6 - 0...........................45.45%.......................- 8.00
12/05/2024............................7 - 3 -0............................70.00%.......................+18.50
12/04/2024............................6 - 3 - 0............................66.66%.......................+ 13.50
12/03/2024............................7 - 9 - 0............................43.75%.......................- 14.50
12/02/2024............................4 - 4 - 0............................50.00%.......................- 2.00
12/01/2024...........................11 - 2 - 0............................84.61%......................+ 44.00

TOTALS.:.............................86 - 75 - 0............................53.41%.......................+ 22.50
 
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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Some college basketball teams with a bad eFG% defense:
#361- VMI
#359- Stony Brook
#355- Seattle
#352- Oral Roberts
#350- Canisius
#348- Kansas City

Quote of the Day
“Joe does a great job at buying gifts that are extremely meaningful. The fact that he bought me a sword, it’s the most ancient form of respect.”
Bengals left tackle Orlando Brown, talking about the Christmas gifts QB Joe Burrow gave to his offensive linemen this week

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Patrick Mahomes play his college football?

Friday’s quiz
The Liberty Bowl football game played in Memphis.

Thursday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff are the two starting QB’s in the NFL who have fathers that played major league baseball.

************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….​

— Notre Dame 27, Indiana 17
Indiana scored two TD’s in last 2:00; final score is misleading.
Notre Dame scored on a 98-yard TD run on their second series.
Notre Dame was 7-13 on third down, Indiana 4-12
Notre Dame plays Georgia in the Elite 8 next week.

— Florida 33, Tulane 8
Tulane’s QB bolted to Duke; his backup didn’t play well.
Florida’s lead was only 6-0 at halftime.
Gators ran for 224 yards; they outgained Tulane, 529-194

— Ohio 30, Jacksonville State 27
Ohio U led this game 27-7 at halftime.
Ohio QB Navarro ran for 3 TDs, threw a 4th TD, all in first half.
Both head coaches in this game have bolted to bigger $$$ jobs.

— Indiana had 13 players who played for James Madison last year; despite that, JMU went 9-4 this year and won their bowl game. Lot of talent out there.

— Conference bowl records (SU/ATS)
AAC 1-1 SU/1-1 ATS

ACC 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

Big 18 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

Big X 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

C-USA 1-2 SU/1-2 ATS

MAC 1-1 SU/1-0-1 ATS

M West 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS

SEC 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS

Sun Belt 2-1 SU/1-1-1 ATS

Favorites: 4-3-1 ATS
Totals: under 5-3

— St John’s 72, Providence 70
Friars led 42-29 at halftime.
Red Storm survived going 11-26 on the foul line.
Providence lost six of its last eight games.

— Cincinnati 66, Dayton 59
Bearcats never trailed, led 16-4 midway thru first half.
Dayton shot 39.2% from floor.
9-1 Cincinnati has #6 eFG% defense in country.

— Famous birthdays, December 21st:
Dave Kingman, 76
Samuel L Jackson, 76
Ray Romano, 67
Andy Van Slyke, 64
Kiefer Sutherland, 58
LaTroy Hawkins, 52
Mike Alstott, 51
Chris Davis, 37
Kendall Graveman, 34
Mike Clevinger, 34

— Houston Astros signed 1B Christian Walker to a 3-year, $60M contract; 33-year old Walker hit 26 homers for Arizona last year, with an .803 OPS.

— A record nine MLB teams were over the luxury tax threshold for 2024, which resulted in $311M in penalties, with the Dodgers ($103,016,896), Mets ($97,115,609) and Bronx ($62,512,111) paying the biggest penalties.
Some questions for this week’s NFL games:

— Steelers lead the Ravens by a game in AFC North; they visit Baltimore Sunday. Pittsburgh has won eight of its last nine games against the Ravens, including an 18-16 win in Week 11..

— Lions @ Bears- December 22 and this is Detroit’s 2nd game outdoors all season; should be a bit nippy in Chicago for this one. Lions won their first outdoor game 24-14 in Green Bay.

— Giants @ Atlanta- Falcons are favored by 8.5 points; they’re playing a QB making his first-ever NFL start. Atlanta lost four of its last five games; Giants have lost nine in a row.

— Jaguars @ Raiders
Jacksonville lost six of its last seven games.
Las Vegas lost its last 10 games; their last win was September 29.
Please don’t bet on this game, but if you do, play the total.

— Patriots @ Bills- Weird scheduling— it is Week 16 and these division rivals haven’t met yet this season- they play again in two weeks.

— Vikings @ Seahawks- Both teams are scrambling for playoff position; Vikings have a short week after their win against the Bears Monday night. Minnesota is 7-1 this year in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
 
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Saturday, December 21

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Trend Report
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LA Lakers vs Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 12 games
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
Sacramento is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing LA Lakers

Miami vs Orlando
Miami is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Orlando is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home

Memphis vs Atlanta
Memphis is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Atlanta's last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing at home against Memphis

Utah vs Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Utah
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah

Boston vs Chicago
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chicago's last 19 games when playing at home against Boston

Philadelphia vs Cleveland
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

New York vs New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games

Washington vs Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Washington
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Golden State vs Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Golden State
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State

LA Clippers vs Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Clippers's last 15 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Portland vs San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games

Detroit vs Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home


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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 21​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LAL at SAC06:00 PMSAC -6.0
O 228.5		+500 +500
MIA at ORL07:00 PMORL -3.0
O 207.5		+500 +500
MEM at ATL07:30 PMMEM -1.5
O 242.0		+500 +500
UTA at BK07:30 PMBK -2.5
O 221.5		+500 +500
NY at NO08:00 PMNY -8.0
O 225.0		+500 +500
WAS at MIL08:00 PMWAS +11.5
O 223.0		+500 +500
PHI at CLE08:00 PMCLE -11.0
O 219.5		+500 +500
BOS at CHI08:00 PMCHI +12.0
O 243.0		+500 +500
GS at MIN08:00 PMMIN -3.0
U 213.0		+500 +500
POR at SA08:30 PMSA -6.5
O 226.0		+500 +500
LAC at DAL08:30 PMDAL -3.5
U 221.0		+500 +500
DET at PHO09:00 PMPHO -5.5
U 224.5		+500 +500
 
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