CNOTES 2024-2025 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Cnotes53

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Monday, March 10

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LAL at BK07:30 PMU 216.0+500
UTA at BOS07:30 PMBOS -17.0
O 230.5
+500 +500
CHA at MIA07:30 PMCHA +9.0
U 217.0
+500 +500
PHI at ATL07:30 PMO 235.5+500
WAS at TOR07:30 PMWAS +7.0
U 231.0
+500 +500
DEN at OKC08:00 PMDEN +10.5
U 235.5
+500 +500
ORL at HOU08:00 PMHOU -4.5
O 212.0
+500 +500
PHO at MEM08:00 PMMEM -4.0
O 244.5
+500 +500
IND at CHI08:00 PMCHI +6.0
O 241.5
+500 +500
DAL at SA08:30 PMSA -7.0
U 231.5
+500 +500
POR at GS10:00 PMPOR +12.0
U 232.5
+500 +500
NY at SAC10:30 PMNY -3.0
U 220.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NBA BEST BETS FOR MARCH !

03/10/2025..................6 - 11 - 0....................32.29%..................- 30.50
03/09/2025....................7 - 5 - 0....................58.33%..................+ 7.50
03/08/2025....................5 - 8 - 0....................38.46%..................- 19.00
03/07/2025....................8 - 4 - 0....................66 .66%..................+ 18.00
03/06/2025....................4 - 5 - 0....................44.44%..................- 7.50
03/05/2025....................3 - 6 - 0....................33.33%..................- 18.00
03/04/2025....................3 - 4 - 0....................42.85%...................-7.00
03/03/2025....................3 - 4 - 0.....................42.85%..................- 7.00
03/02/2025....................6 - 3 - 0.....................66.66%..................+ 13.50
03/01/2025....................3 - 6 - 0......................33.33%..................- 16.50

TOTALS.......................48 - 56 - 0....................46.15%...................- 66.50
 

Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Baseball teams with highest payrolls last year:
$333,262,507— Mets
$310,916,392— Bronx
$270,841,245— Dodgers
$249,094,493— Phillies
$244,875,028— Astros
$240,847,326— Rangers

Quote of the Day
“At first (retiring) was hard,. You didn’t know what to expect and you worry what people will say about you. You worry about that the first couple of years. But then you enjoy it. It takes time to get used to. I mean, for 20 years, you’re basically on the field and you’re working and spending more time with your teammates than your family.”
Former MLB catcher Yadier Molina

Tuesday’s quiz
In the TV show Friends, what was the name of the coffee shop where people hung out?

Monday’s quiz
Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming.

Sunday’s quiz
In baseball, home plate is 17 inches wide.

**************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Sun Belt Tournament
Troy 94, Arkansas State 81

Trojans were 33-39 on foul line, Ark State 19-24.
Red Wolves led by 8 with 9:50 left in game.
Trojans are in NCAA’s for first time since 2017.

— SoCon Tournament
Wofford 92, Furman 85

Wofford outscored Paladins 13-2 over the last 2:30 of game.
Wofford shot 14-28 on arc, scored 1.37 points/possession.
Terriers are in NCAA’s for first time since 2019.

— WCC Tournament
Saint Mary’s 74, Pepperdine 59

Midnight struck for the Cinderella Waves, which had won three days in a row.
Gaels out-rebounded Pepperdine, 45-22.
St Mary’s shot only 2-13 on arc, 14-24 on foul line.

— CAA Tournament
Delaware 82, Towson State 72

12-seed Blue Hens upset top-seeded Towson.
Delaware has won four days in a row to get to the finals.
Blue Hens came into the CAA tourney on a 1-11 skid.

NC-Wilmington 68, Charleston 67
Seahawks led this game 40-30 at halftime.
Charleston lost despite shooting 14-31 on the arc.
UNCW-Delaware play for the CAA title Tuesday night.

— Horizon Tournament
Robert Morris 79, Oakland 76 OT

Oakland led by 13 early in the second half.
Robert Morris has won nine in row, 15 of last 16 games.
Colonials are in NCAA’s for first time since 2015.

Youngstown 56, Cleveland State 54
Penguins won despite shooting 12-23 on foul line.
Youngstown won seven of its last nine games.
Robert Morris-Youngstown play for the Horizon title Tuesday.

— NC State won the ACC Tournament last year, then made an unlikely run to the Final Four, but they fired coach Kevin Keatts Sunday, after the Wolfpack went 12-19, 5-15 this season.
Keatts coached NC State for eight years, making three NCAA Tournaments; he was 151-113 with the Wolfpack, 69-84 in ACC games. He won’t be out of work long; before coming to Raleigh, he was 72-28 in three years coaching NC-Wilmington.

— Murray State fired basketball coach Steve Prohm, who was 45-52 in his second stint coaching the Racers; he was 104-29 in his first stint coaching Murray State, from 2012-15.
What was the difference? In Prohm’s first stint coaching Murray State, the Racers were a big fish in a smaller pond. Ohio Valley Conference isn’t nearly as good as the Missouri Valley.
MVC is a deeper pond; harder to win there. The over-educated geniuses who run these schools don’t understand that concept. Winning is fun; rich boosters like contributing $$$ to teams that win. When teams lose, contributions go down, and coaches get fired.

— Under was 10-1 in games in the Missouri Valley tournament last week.

— Luke Loucks, a 34-year old assistant for the Sacramento Kings, is the new basketball coach at Florida State. Before going to Sacramento, Loucks spent five years as a video coordinator and player development coach for Golden State, where he won two NBA championship rings.
Loucks was point guard for the 2012 FSU squad that won the ACC Tournament. Loucks’ dad was a walk-on football player for Bobby Bowden’s Seminoles; his wife also went to Florida State and was a swimmer there, so he is a good fit in Tallahassee.

Famous birthdays, March 11th:
Alex Kingston, 62
Peter Berg, 61
Bobby Abreu, 51
Cedric Henderson, 50
Elton Brand, 46
Dan Uggla, 45
Anthony Davis, 32
Jackson Chourio, 21

— Gerrit Cole is having Tommy John surgery Tuesday, is out for the year; Cole was 8-5, 3.41 in only 17 starts last year. With Cole done for the year and Luis Gil out until June, New York has issues with its starting rotation.

— Mariners’ P George Kirby has been shut down from throwing due to shoulder inflammation; Seattle says there is no structural damage, but he hasn’t felt well after throwing.

— Mets C Francisco Alvarez broke the hamate bone in his hand, is out 6-8 weeks; Alvarez hit .237 in 100 games last year, with a .710 OPS.

— Arizona Diamondbacks’ 1B/OF Pavin Smith was named after pro golfer Corey Pavin; Smith’s dad was a golf agent. Corey Pavin was one of his clients.

— Minor leaguers are faring better with the pitch challenge aspect of instant replay, because they have been doing it in the minor leagues the last few years.
Challenging ball/strikes is an experiment this spring, but it is going well and it seems like this will become a rule next year. Developing a strategy on what/when to challenge will be fun to follow.
Do you wait until the late innings?
Do you only challenge in two-out situations?
By the way, while I’m here, if you’re betting on spring training games (please don’t), keep in mind that the Reds are not challenging balls/strikes- Terry Francona said not to, because it isn’t a rule this year.
So the Reds aren’t challenging bad calls against them, while the other teams are challenging bad calls against them. Cincinnati is 8-7 in spring training games so far this year.

— A’s-Diamondbacks played two games in Las Vegas over the weekend, at the Aviators’ ballpark in Summerlin; they drew a sell-out crowd of 8,708 fans Saturday.
A’s have sold 6,500 season tickets for this season in Sacramento; they’ll be playing for three years in Sacramento, in a stadium with 10,624 seats and a capacity of 14,014, with standing room areas behind the outfield fence.

— Forgot to mention this couple weeks ago, but RIP to former world chess champion Boris Spassky, who passed away February 27th at age 88.
When I was in junior high school, I loved chess, was actually pretty good at it (finished 2nd in a tournament with 50 kids in it). Bobby Fischer was the man back then; he beat Spassky in 1972 to become the world champ.
There is a great movie with Joe Mantegna, Searching for Bobby Fischer, about a sportswriter whose kid is great chess, for no apparent reason. Ben Kingsley is in it too; very good movie.

Anyway, RIP to Boris Spassky, a chess grandmaster.
 

Udog

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Dunkel

Tuesday, March 11


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NBA

Tuesday, March 11


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Trend Report
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Brooklyn vs Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Washington vs Detroit
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Washington
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Milwaukee vs Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

LA Clippers vs New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
New Orleans is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Clippers


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Cnotes53

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Tuesday, March 11

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BK at CLE07:00 PMBK +17.0
O 227.0
+500 +500
WAS at DET07:00 PMDET -15.0
O 235.0
+500 +500
MIL at IND07:30 PMIND +2.5
O 235.5
+500 +500
LAC at NO08:00 PMNO +7.0
U 222.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NBA BEST BETS FOR MARCH !

03/11/2025..................4 - 4 - 0......................50.00%.................- 2.00
03/10/2025..................6 - 11 - 0....................32.29%..................- 30.50
03/09/2025....................7 - 5 - 0....................58.33%..................+ 7.50
03/08/2025....................5 - 8 - 0....................38.46%..................- 19.00
03/07/2025....................8 - 4 - 0....................66 .66%..................+ 18.00
03/06/2025....................4 - 5 - 0....................44.44%..................- 7.50
03/05/2025....................3 - 6 - 0....................33.33%..................- 18.00
03/04/2025....................3 - 4 - 0....................42.85%...................-7.00
03/03/2025....................3 - 4 - 0.....................42.85%..................- 7.00
03/02/2025....................6 - 3 - 0.....................66.66%..................+ 13.50
03/01/2025....................3 - 6 - 0......................33.33%..................- 16.50

TOTALS.......................52 - 60 - 0....................46.42%...................- 68.50
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Baseball teams with lowest payrolls last year:
$66,467,058— A’s
$87,300,901— Pirates
$90,342,690— Rays
$98,142,446— Marlins
$101,035,919— Tigers
$105,416,838— Orioles

Quote of the Day
“We’ve had an inordinate amount of one-possession games. I think that’s why we’re such an interesting seed going into this NCAA Tournament. I think we were 350th in luck in Kenpom. We’ve had more banked 3s on us than I could ever, ever remember in my entire career. Whether it’s law of averages coming through or just a little resiliency … or maybe it’s just desperation by some seniors who don’t want this thing to end.”
Gonzaga coach Mark Few

Wednesday’s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments in college basketball, how many are held in Las Vegas?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the TV show Friends, the coffee shop where people hung out was called Central Perk.

Monday’s quiz
Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming.

*****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— WCC tournament
Gonzaga 58, Saint Mary’s 51
Zags were +14 in turnovers (18-4)
Teams combined to shoot a disturbing 1-31 on the arc.
Gonzaga is 43-5 SU in its last 48 WCC tourney games.
Gonzaga has won 11 of last 13 WCC tournaments.

— CAA tournament
NC-Wilmington 76, Delaware 72

#12-seed Delaware had won four days in a row to get to final.
Blue Hens played all five starters 37:00+ in this game.
UNCW has won six in a row, 15 of last 17 games.
Seahawks are in NCAAs for first time since 2017, when Kevin Keatts was coach.

— Horizon tournament
Robert Morris 89, Cleveland State 78

Robert Morris shot 11-22 on arc, scored 1.31 points/possession.
Colonials have won 10 in a row, 15 of last 16 games.
Colonials are in NCAAs for first time since 2015, when they were in the NEC.

— NEC tournament
St Francis 46, Central Connecticut 43

Red Flash are 16-17; they can pack their bags for Dayton/play-in game.
During regular season, St Francis lost to CCSU by 15-16 points.
Red Flash won this game, despite shooting 31.7% from floor.
This was first time this year St Francis beat a team ranked higher than #222.

— MAAC tournament
Rider 78, Siena 76

Siena led 58-45 with 13:31 left in the game.
Rider out-rebounded the Saints, 41-28, had 16 offensive boards.
Rider plays Quinnipiac for the MAAC title Wednesday night.

— California 82, Virginia Tech 72, 2OT
Cal was 29-40 on foul line, Tech 22-31.
Teams combined to shoot 8-51 on the arc.
Golden Bears came into ACC tournament on a 1-7 skid.
Local rivals Cal-Stanford play Wednesday, in Charlotte, NC. Oy.

— Maine 57, Vermont 42
Vermont had won five of last seven America East tournaments.
Vermont shot 28% from floor, was minus-14 in turnovers (17-3)
Maine visits Bryant for the league championship Saturday.
This is Black Bears’ first winning season since 2010.

— Famous birthdays, March 12th:
Barbara Feldon, 92
Jake Kupp, 84
Kent Nix, 81
Liza Minnelli, 79
Mark Moseley, 77
Dale Murphy, 69
Darryl Strawberry, 63
Titus Welliver, 63
Steve Finley, 60
Grant Long, 59
Aaron Eckhart, 57
JP Losman, 44

2025 NFL season officially begins today; lot of signings going on……..

— Seattle Seahawks are signing QB Sam Darnold to a 3-year deal worth $100.5M; Darnold led the Vikings to a 14-3 record last year- he is 35-39 as an NFL starter, 0-1 in playoff games.

— New Jersey Jets signed QB Justin Fields for two years, $40M; Fields has a 14-30 record as an NFL starter, running ball for 50.2 yards/game, second only to Lamar Jackson among QB’s.
Jets were 5-12 last year, have had nine consecutive losing seasons; they haven’t made it to the playoffs since 2010, when Rex Ryan was the coach, Mark Sanchez their QB.

— Daniel Jones sucks as an NFL QB; his record is 25-45-1, but he might get in the Business Hall of Fame someday. Indianapolis Colts signed him up for one year, $14M, giving the Colts two QB’s who can run but can’t throw the ball very well.
Anthony Richardson is 8-7 as an NFL starter, but he’s been hurt a lot, plus he completed only 47.7% of his passes last season.
Elsewhere in the world……..

— I’m not 100% sure what this means, but NBA star Stephen Curry has accepted a role with Davidson College (his alma mater) as an assistant general manager for the basketball program.
Curry will provide guidance to the men’s/women’s basketball teams based on his college and pro experience; a bunch of boosters have started an 8-figure fund to finance the two programs, so Davidson’s recruiting figures to get a lot better, very soon.

— Penn/Columbia both dumped their basketball coach this week.
Penn fired Steve Donahue, after 10 years; Quakers have made the NCAA’s once since 2007. From 1999-2007, Penn won the Ivy League seven times in nine years.
Columbia fired Jim Engles, after nine years; Lions started this season 11-1, with a win over Villanova, but they went 1-13 in the Ivy League. Lions haven’t been in the NCAA Tournament since 1968, so expectations are low, but not this low.

— LA Dodgers rewarded manager Dave Roberts with a 4-year contract worth $8.1M/year; Dodgers are 907-560 under Roberts, winning four NL pennants, two World Series titles.

— The pitch challenge aspect of instant replay will be interesting when it happens, which will probably be next year. Tuesday, the White Sox challenged the second pitch of the game, which is just a terrible idea, even more so because they lost the challenge.
You win the challenge, it doesn’t cost you anything; but you can only lose two challenges then you’re screwed the rest of the game.
 

Udog

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Wednesday, March 12


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Charlotte vs Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Charlotte is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games

Oklahoma City vs Boston
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Philadelphia vs Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Utah vs Memphis
Utah is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Utah's last 22 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games

Dallas vs San Antonio
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Phoenix vs Houston
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

LA Clippers vs Miami
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home

Minnesota vs Denver
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Denver is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games

New York vs Portland
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 8 games
Portland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home


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