CNOTES 2024 2025 NHL NEWS BEST BETS AND OPINION !

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NHL BEST BETS MARCH !

03/14/2025................3 - 5 - 2....................37.50%...............- 13.85
03/13/2025................6 -7 - 0.....................46.15%...............- 8.35
03/12/2025...............4 - 4 - 0.....................50.00%...............+ 1.45
03/11/2025...............7 - 10 - 0...................41.17%................- 12.25
03/10/2025.................4 - 2 - 0...................66,66%................+ 12.50
03/09/3035.................5 - 6 - 1...................45.45%................- 2.20
03/08/2025.................5 - 9 - 1...................35.71%................- 14.65
03/07/2025.................5 - 6 - 0...................45.45%................- 6.00
03/06/2025.................5 - 7 - 1...................41.66%................- 11.50
03/05/2025.................4 - 5 - 0...................44.44%................- 3.60
03/04/2025.................6 - 9 - 0...................40.00%................- 9.45
03/03/2025.................7 - 5 - 0...................58.33%................+ 10.25
03/02/2025.................4 - 4 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
03/01/2025.................7 - 7 - 0...................50.00%.................+ 3.35

TOTALS....................72 - 86 - 3...................45.56%.................- 53.30
 
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Saturday’s 6-pack:
According to ESPN’s Bracketology, these are last six teams in Field of 68:
63) West Virginia
64) Vanderbilt
65) San Diego State
66) Xavier
67) Boise State
68) North Carolina

Quote of the Day
“We went 30-4 against the ACC. Put their high-end teams in our league, and they’re in a very different place. You do that with the Big 12, they’re in a very different place.”
SEC commissioner Greg Sankey, campaigning for his league’s teams to get into the NCAA’s

Saturday’s quiz
Bruce Pearl has been Auburn’s basketball coach for 11 years; what other SEC team has he coached?

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Jets played in a playoff game, Mark Sanchez was their quarterback.

Thursday’s quiz
Toronto Blue Jays won back/back World Series in 1992/1993; Cito Gaston was their manager.

******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a Friday full of basketball…….​

Lot of conference tournaments going on; here is what we know:

— SEC
Alabama 99, Kentucky 70
Crimson Tide outscored 54-35 in second half.
Alabama had three subs score in double figures
Crimson Tide is shooting 59.9% inside the arc (#3)

Auburn 62, Ole Miss 57
Fewest points Auburn has scored since January 25 vs Tennessee
Game was tied with 6:26 left; then Auburn went on a 10-1 run.
Teams shot a combined 10-44 on the arc.

Saturday’s semi-finals:
Auburn-Tennessee…….Florida-Alabama

— Big X
Arizona 86, Texas Tech 80
Caleb Love scored 27 points for Arizona.
Wildcats shot 8-16 on the arc, scored 1.26 points/possession.
Texas Tech’s best player was sick, barfing during timeouts.

Saturday’s final: Arizona-Houston

— ACC
Duke 74, North Carolina 71
Duke star Flagg didn’t play, is done for the weekend.
Duke led 45-24 at halftime.
Teams combined to shoot 8-39 on the arc.
Blue Devils are 26-1 since Thanksgiving.

Louisville 76, Clemson 73
Cardinals led 69-54 with 3:24 left, held on for dear life.
Lousiville’s wins last two nights were by 2-3 points.
Cardinals have won 11 games in a row.
Loss snaps Clemson’s nine-game winning streak.

Duke-Louisville is Saturday’s ACC final

— Big East
St John’s 79, Marquette 63
6-9 Ejiofor scored 33 points, had nine rebounds.
Marquette led 24-9 early on, 37-35 at halftime.
Marquette is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
St John’s is in Big East final for first time in 25 years.

Creighton 71, UConn 62
Bluejays had only 4 turnovers, scored 1.27 points/possession.
Creighton was 13-18 on foul line, UConn 2-4
Creighton is shooting 60.6% inside arc (#1 in country)

St John’s-Creighton is the Big East final Saturday

— Big 18
All four games Friday were decided by 10+ points.
Wisconsin 86, UCLA 70
Badgers shot 19-32 on arc, 12-17 in first half.
UCLA split its last eight games.

Saturday’s semi-finals:
Wisconsin-Michigan State
Michigan-Maryland

— Mountain West
Boise State 72, New Mexico 69
#1-seed New Mexico led 34-28 at halftime.
Boise State shot 64% inside the arc.
Broncos won 11 of their last 13 games.

Saturday’s final is Boise State-Colorado State

— Big West
Cal-San Diego 69, Cal-Santa Barbara 51
Gauchos led 27-26 at halftime.
Cal-San Diego shot 62.5% inside the arc.
Tritons have won their last 14 games.

Saturday’s final is Cal-San Diego/Cal-Irvine.

— Famous birthdays, March 15th:
Judd Hirsch, 90
Mike Kruczek, 72
Clay Matthews, 69
Stump Mitchell, 66
Harold Baines, 66
Terry Cummings, 64
Eva Longoria, 50
Kevin Youkilis, 46
Tavon Austin, 35
Nick Ahmed, 35
Taylor Heinicke, 32
Matt Gay, 31

— American
Memphis 83, Wichita State 80
Wichita led 20-10 early in the game.
PJ Haggerty scored 42 points, shot 16-23 inside arc.
Tigers have won six in row, 14 of last 15 games.
Bubble teams all over America are rooting for Memphis; if they lose in this tournament, whoever wins AAC tournament would be a bid stealer.

Saturday’s semi-finals:
Memphis-Tulane…….North Texas-UAB

— MAC
Miami OH 72, Kent State 64
Kent State led by a hoop with 4:57 left to play.
Golden Flashes were only 11-21 on the foul line.
Miami is 19-4 in its last 23 games.

Saturday’s final is #1-seed Akron vs Miami.

— Atlantic 15
St Joe’s 73, Dayton 68 OT
Dayton led by 4 with 0:18 left in regulation.
St Joe’s was 20-28 on foul line, Flyers 7-11.
Hawks have won seven of their last eight games.

Saturday’s semi-finals: Saint Louis-VCU…….St Joe’s-George Mason

— Conference USA
Jacksonville State 70, Middle Tennessee 68
Middle Tennessee played a 2pm game, after playing a 2OT game Thursday nite
Blue Raiders shot 11-24 on arc, but were only 9-17 on foul line.
Jax State senior G Pierre played all 40:00, scored 19 points.

Saturday’s final: #1-seed Liberty vs Jacksonville State

— WAC
Grand Canyon 75, Cal Baptist 66
Grand Canyon led 25-16 at half; 2nd half had a faster pace.
Grand Canyon is trying to win WAC tourney for third year in a row.
Antelopes have won eight of their last nine games.

Saturday’s final: Utah Valley-Grand Canyon

— Metro Atlantic
Iona 81, Quinnipiac 73
Iona shot 59.2% inside arc, upsets top-seeded Quinnipiac
Iona has been in six of last eight NCAA tournaments.
Quinnipiac shot 9-29 on arc; for year, they’re shooting 29.8% on arc (#346)

Saturday’s final: Iona-Mount St Mary’s
 
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Saturday, March 15

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Trend Report
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Vegas vs Buffalo
Vegas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vegas
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas

New Jersey vs Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home

Washington vs San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing San Jose
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing Washington
San Jose is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Tampa Bay vs Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

NY Rangers vs Columbus
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 8 games
Columbus is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Columbus is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers

Florida vs Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Montreal's last 13 games when playing Florida

Carolina vs Philadelphia
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Philadelphia is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Carolina

Ottawa vs Toronto
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Nashville vs Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Nashville

St. Louis vs Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of St. Louis's last 12 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
St. Louis is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games

Chicago vs Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Vancouver is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Chicago


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Saturday, March 15​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NJ at PIT03:00 PMNJ -140
O 5.5		+500 +500
WAS at SJ05:00 PMSJ +208
U 6.5		+500 +500
NYR at CLB07:00 PMCLB +121
U 6.0		+500 +500
CAR at PHI07:00 PMCAR -164
U 5.5		+500 +500
FLA at MON07:00 PMMON +169
U 5.5		+500 +500
OTT at TOR07:00 PMOTT +124
U 6.0		+500 +500
TB at BOS07:00 PMTB -174
U 5.5		+500 +500
NAS at LA08:00 PMNAS +190
U 5.5		+500 +500
STL at MIN08:00 PMSTL -106
O 5.5		+500 +500
CHI at VAN10:00 PMVAN -265
U 5.5		+500 +500
 
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NHL BEST BETS MARCH !

03/15/2025................9 - 5 - 1....................64.28%...............+ 28.65
03/14/2025................3 - 5 - 2....................37.50%...............- 13.85
03/13/2025................6 -7 - 0.....................46.15%...............- 8.35
03/12/2025...............4 - 4 - 0.....................50.00%...............+ 1.45
03/11/2025...............7 - 10 - 0...................41.17%................- 12.25
03/10/2025.................4 - 2 - 0...................66,66%................+ 12.50
03/09/3035.................5 - 6 - 1...................45.45%................- 2.20
03/08/2025.................5 - 9 - 1...................35.71%................- 14.65
03/07/2025.................5 - 6 - 0...................45.45%................- 6.00
03/06/2025.................5 - 7 - 1...................41.66%................- 11.50
03/05/2025.................4 - 5 - 0...................44.44%................- 3.60
03/04/2025.................6 - 9 - 0...................40.00%................- 9.45
03/03/2025.................7 - 5 - 0...................58.33%................+ 10.25
03/02/2025.................4 - 4 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
03/01/2025.................7 - 7 - 0...................50.00%.................+ 3.35

TOTALS....................81 - 91 - 3...................47.09%.................- 24.65
 
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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Teams with the best 2-point shooting %age defense:
42.6%— Hofstra 15-18
43%— Cal-Irvine 28-5
43.4%— Duke 31-3
43.9%— Houston 30-4
44.1%— VCU 27-6
44.5%— George Mason 26-7

Quote of the Day
“I have to look at it like, hey, I can pitch at that velocity [from 2018]. It is less stress on your body. You get out there and you’re throwing pitches at 100 miles an hour for however many pitches it is — it’s a lot of stress. It’s something that I’m going to look into — using it when I need it, backing off and just trusting that I can locate the ball.”
Jacob deGrom

Sunday’s quiz
Which NBA team did Dick Vitale coach?

Saturday’s quiz
Bruce Pearl has been Auburn’s basketball coach for 11 years; he has also coached Tennessee in the SEC.

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Jets played in a playoff game, Mark Sanchez was their quarterback.

***************************************

Sunday’s Den: Thinking out loud as we wait for the brackets……..​

Have watched a ton of college basketball this week; the teams that win are really happy, the teams that don’t win tend to fire their coach……..

— UNLV fired Kevin Kruger, who was 77-65/40-34 in four years with the Rebels. UNLV hasn’t been in the NCAA’s since 2013, when UNLV alum Dave Rice was the coach, but only four of those 12 years were with Kruger as coach.

UNLV’s point guard/best player Dedan Thomas missed the last seven games this year, but UNLV went 7-3 in its last ten games, played hard until the end. I’m not sure who they’re going to hire to replace Kruger, but this seems like a bad decision.

Why? Because UNLV’s coach next year will be their 7th head coach in 16 years; this isn’t 1990 anymore, when the Rebels were like Gonzaga is now, a huge fish in a shallow pond (Big West wasn’t a great league and UNLV dominated it).

Plus, back when Jerry Tarkanian’s Rebels were awesome, UNLV had Las Vegas to itself; now there is an NHL team in Las Vegas, an NFL team in a domed stadium. UNLV basketball isn’t as big a deal as it used to be in Las Vegas. A coach goes 23-15 in league games over two seasons, not really sure why he got fired.

— Iowa fired Fran McCaffery, who was at Iowa for 15 years; he made the NCAA’s seven times, going 4-7 in NCAA Tournament games.

— Villanova fired Kyle Neptune, who was 54-47/31-29 in three years there, taking over for Jay Wright, who quit after leading the Wildcats to the Final Four three years ago.
Villanova made the NCAA’s 16 of last 17 years with Wright as coach; they haven’t made it back since he left. This will be an interesting hire; does Villanova spend a lot of NIL money????

— Minnesota fired coach Ben Johnson, who was 56-71/19-57 in four years- they went 19-15 last year, but the Big 18 is a really tough league. Gophers have finished over .500 in conference play once in the last 19 years; this isn’t a good job.

— How is Mark Schmidt still the coach at St Bonaventure? The guy wins at a place that is a few miles past the middle of nowhere.

Seriously, go on MapQuest and look up Olean, NY, then draw a 50-mile circle around it.
Lot of trees, maybe some hockey players, not many, if any basketball players, but Schmidt has won fairly consistently with the Bonnies- they don’t get on TV very often.

Over the last ten years, Bonnies are 111-65 in conference games; they’ve made the NCAA’s three times since 2012. Someone (you listening UNLV???) Should give the guy a chance.

— Movie of the Day:
The Ides of March– A campaign’s press secretary becomes involved in a scandal that threatens his candidate’s chance to get elected.
Excellent cast: George Clooney, Marisa Tomei, Ryan Gosling, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Paul Giamatti…….I’ve become exhausted with all the political BS, but this is a very good movie.

— WR Cooper Kupp was the 69th player taken in the 2017 draft; he was awesome for eight years, the MVP of the Super Bowl three years ago when the Rams beat Cincinnati.

But the NFL is a business, and Kupp turns 32 in June. He’s missed 18 games the last three years; Seattle Seahawks signed him this week for three years, $45M.

In his eight years with the Rams, Kupp caught 634 passes, for 12.3 yards/catch, with 57 TDs. He went to college at Eastern Washington, so now he goes home to finish his career.

Kupp’s father and grandfather both played in the NFL; his dad played one game at QB for the Cardinals in 1991, his grandfather was an offensive lineman for 12 years, mostly with the Saints.

— Atlanta Falcons are keeping QB Kirk Cousins for now; they had to pay him $27.5M next fall whether they kept him or not, but now he is guaranteed another $10M in 2026.
You get the idea there is a battle of wills going on within the Falcons’ organization; they drafted Michael Penix with the 8th pick of the ’24 draft- he started three games and did pretty well last year, but not well enough for them to let Cousins walk.

— Backup QB news

Chiefs signed up Gardner Minshew to be the backup QB; Minshew has started 46 NFL games for four teams. Fans in Kansas City pray that they never get to see him play.

Steelers brought back Mason Rudolph to be their backup QB; they have zero idea who their starting QB will be this fall, but Rudolph is 8-4-1 as a Steeler backup over the years- he was 1-4 starting for Tennessee last season.

49ers gave former Patriots/Jaguars’ QB Mac Jones $7M to be their backup QB the next couple years. Jones was 18-24 in three years as a starter in Foxboro, replacing Tom Brady.

— It is odd that Russell Wilson/Aaron Rodgers are free agents; Wilson will be 37 in November; he is going to be on his fourth team in five years.
Rodgers tore his achilles in 2023; he’ll be 42 in December, will be on his third team in four years.

— Famous birthdays, March 16th:
Erik Estrada, 76
Kate Nelligan, 75
Joe DeLamielleure, 74
Sammy White, 71
Ozzie Newsome, 69
Rodney Peete, 59
Todd Heap, 45
Curtis Granderson, 44
Blake Griffin, 36
Tim Hardaway Jr, 33
Joel Embiid, 31
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 26

— Random bet for this baseball season:
Will any pitcher win more than 19.5 games?
Over last four years, only three pitchers have won 20+ games in a season.

— Two more baseball prop bets:

Will the Dodgers get the most regular season wins?
Yes -200/No +175

Will the White Sox get the most regular season losses?
Yes -200/No +175

— St John’s star Kadary Richmond had a triple-double vs Marquette March 8th; it was the first triple-double for a St John’s player since Ron Artest, in 1999.

— Next year, Delaware is bolting from the CAA to Conference USA, which is bad for basketball as they ramp up their football program.
UMass is going from the Atlantic 15 to the Mid-American Conference, which is good for their basketball program.

— UFL starts up in two weeks; an 8-team league with a 10-game regular season. Going to be a lot of stuff going on in two weeks; second weekend of the NCAA’s, first weekend of baseball, plus the NBA, NHL and UFL. Should be a lot of fun.
 
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Sunday, March 16​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
VEG at DET01:00 PMDET +108
U 6.0		+500 +500
DAL at COL03:30 PMDAL +124
O 6.0		+500 +500
EDM at NYR07:00 PMEDM -160
O 6.5		+500 +500
FLA at NYI07:30 PMFLA -154
O 5.5		+500 +500
ANA at STL08:00 PMSTL -170
O 5.5		+500 +500
UTAH at VAN08:00 PMVAN +117
U 5.5		+500 +500
WIN at SEA09:00 PMSEA +151
O 5.5		+500 +500
 
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NHL BEST BETS MARCH !

03/16/2025................5 - 5 - 0....................50.00%...............-, 0.60
03/15/2025................9 - 5 - 1....................64.28%...............+ 28.65
03/14/2025................3 - 5 - 2....................37.50%...............- 13.85
03/13/2025................6 -7 - 0.....................46.15%...............- 8.35
03/12/2025...............4 - 4 - 0.....................50.00%...............+ 1.45
03/11/2025...............7 - 10 - 0...................41.17%................- 12.25
03/10/2025.................4 - 2 - 0...................66,66%................+ 12.50
03/09/3035.................5 - 6 - 1...................45.45%................- 2.20
03/08/2025.................5 - 9 - 1...................35.71%................- 14.65
03/07/2025.................5 - 6 - 0...................45.45%................- 6.00
03/06/2025.................5 - 7 - 1...................41.66%................- 11.50
03/05/2025.................4 - 5 - 0...................44.44%................- 3.60
03/04/2025.................6 - 9 - 0...................40.00%................- 9.45
03/03/2025.................7 - 5 - 0...................58.33%................+ 10.25
03/02/2025.................4 - 4 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
03/01/2025.................7 - 7 - 0...................50.00%.................+ 3.35

TOTALS....................86 - 96 - 3...................47.25%.................- 25.25
 
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Monday’s 6-pack:
Six highest-rated teams who missed the NCAA Tournament:
— Ohio State 17-15
— Northwestern 17-16
— SMU 23-10
— Indiana 19-13
— Boise State 24-10
— West Virginia 19-13

Quote of the Day
“I’d rather steal 30 (bases) and play the whole season as opposed to trying to steal 70, injuring myself and missing the whole year.”
Ronald Acuna Jr, on his plans when he comes back in May from his second ACL tear

Monday’s quiz
Which college basketball team has had only two head coaches since 1976?

Sunday’s quiz
Dick Vitale coached the Detroit Pistons for 94 games from 1978-80.

Saturday’s quiz
Bruce Pearl has been Auburn’s basketball coach for 11 years; he has also coached Tennessee in the SEC.

*********************************************

Monday’s Den: Quick thoughts/facts after my first look at the brackets……​

We’ll get into the games more as the week goes on, but here are some quick thoughts, facts after seeing the brackets/Field of 68.

— #8-seeds are a prominent group: UConn, Gonzaga, Louisville, Mississippi State.
How would you like to be a #1-seed and see the two-time champ Huskies in your bracket?
Auburn-Louisville would be in Lexington, KY; Bruce Pearl must be thrilled with that.
Gonzaga has made nine straight Sweet 16’s; they’re going to have to upset Houston to make it ten in a row.

— Brackets came out out between 6-7 pm; Maryland coach Kevin Willard was on a CBS brackets show at 8:30- he said his team had already had a film session on Grand Canyon, their first round opponent in Seattle Friday.
These teams don’t waste any time studying their opponents.

— Iowa State point guard Keshon Gilbert is out for the NCAA Tournament; he missed four of the Cyclones’ last seven games, and Iowa State went 1-3 in those games.

— Clemson-McNeese State is a first round game; McNeese coach Will Wade was a student manager at Clemson, later a grad assistant coach there.
Wade’s Wikipedia page says that he is the new coach at NC State, which might be wishful thinking by whoever posted that note.

— Teams that played on Sunday who have a tournament game this Thursday:
VCU, Yale, Michigan, Wisconsin, all in Denver, in high altitude. Tennessee plays in Kentucky.
Sunday/Thursday is a quick turnaround, especially if a lot of travel is involved.

— Arkansas-Kansas; John Calipari vs Bill Self, with the winner probably playing against Rick Pitino’s St John’s team. Lot of Hall of Famers in that bracket.
St John’s hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000, which is also the last time they won the Big East tournament (before this week).

— With no Pac-12 this season or next, there was an extra at-large bid this season; two years from now, the Pac-12 will be back, and the tournament will have one fewer at-large team.

— Famous birthdays, March 17th:
Cito Gaston, 81
Patrick Duffy, 75
Kurt Russell, 74
Gary Sinise, 70
Danny Ainge, 66
Arye Gross, 65
Sam Bowie, 64
Rob Lowe, 61
Kyle Korver, 44
Juan Lagares, 36
Cordarrelle Patterson, 34
Rhys Hoskins, 32

— 14 of 16 SEC teams made the tournament; Texas was the lowest ranked of the 14- they play Xavier in a play-in game in Dayton.

— #1-seeds won 17 of the 31 conference tournaments this year.
Some trends on conferences in the NCAA’s:

— Since 2019, Mountain West teams are 3-14 SU/2-15 ATS in first round games.
New Mexico, Utah State, Colorado State, San Diego State are in this year’s tournament.

— Since 2010, Ivy League teams are 10-3 ATS in first round games; Yale is a 7.5-point underdog against Texas A&M Thursday.

— CAA teams are 0-11 SU in the last 11 NCAA Tournaments, 0-5 ATS in the last five. NC-Wilmington is a 15.5-point underdog against Texas Tech Thursday night.

— Big West teams are 7-3 ATS in their last ten first round games; the last five years, five different schools have represented the Big West.
Was surprised to see that Cal-San Diego is only a 3.5-point underdog vs Michigan in their first round game. This is the first year the Tritons were eligible for March Madness- they’re 30-4 and have won their last 15 games. They’re 3-2 vs teams ranked in the top 100.

— There must be a lot of $$$ involved with the advertising involved in these bracket pools; ESPN pushes their contest pretty hard.

— I’m off to do more studying; will be back tomorrow with some more knowledge.
 
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Monday, March 17​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BUF at BOS07:00 PMBOS -105
U 6.0		+500 +500
NJ at CLB07:00 PMNJ -139
U 6.0		+500 +500
PHI at TB07:00 PMPHI +264
O 5.5		+500 +500
CAL at TOR07:30 PMTOR -200
U 5.5		+500 +500
LA at MIN08:00 PMMIN +136
O 5.5		+500 +500
 
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NHL BEST BETS MARCH !

03/17/2025................5 - 4 - 0....................55.55%...............+ 5.55
03/16/2025................5 - 5 - 0....................50.00%...............- 0.60
03/15/2025................9 - 5 - 1....................64.28%...............+ 28.65
03/14/2025................3 - 5 - 2....................37.50%...............- 13.85
03/13/2025................6 -7 - 0.....................46.15%...............- 8.35
03/12/2025...............4 - 4 - 0.....................50.00%...............+ 1.45
03/11/2025...............7 - 10 - 0...................41.17%................- 12.25
03/10/2025.................4 - 2 - 0...................66,66%................+ 12.50
03/09/3035.................5 - 6 - 1...................45.45%................- 2.20
03/08/2025.................5 - 9 - 1...................35.71%................- 14.65
03/07/2025.................5 - 6 - 0...................45.45%................- 6.00
03/06/2025.................5 - 7 - 1...................41.66%................- 11.50
03/05/2025.................4 - 5 - 0...................44.44%................- 3.60
03/04/2025.................6 - 9 - 0...................40.00%................- 9.45
03/03/2025.................7 - 5 - 0...................58.33%................+ 10.25
03/02/2025.................4 - 4 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
03/01/2025.................7 - 7 - 0...................50.00%.................+ 3.35

TOTALS...................91 -100 - 3...................47.64%.................- 19.70
 
C

Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NIT games scheduled for tonight:
— Kent State @ St Bonaventure (-4.5)
— Jacksonville State @ Georgia Tech (-5.5)
— Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee (-2.5)
— Saint Louis @ Arkansas State (-4.5)
— Wichita State @ Oklahoma State (-5.5)
— Cal-Northridge @ Stamford (-6.5)
— Cal-Riverside @ Santa Clara (-10.5)

Quote of the Day
“I’m not perfect, but I’m grateful for being here right now, including all the imperfections. I’m also really thankful to the people in America who helped develop and bring baseball to Japan.”
Shohei Ohtani

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Chicago Cubs’ manager when they won the 2016 World Series?

Monday’s quiz
Michigan State has had only two basketball coaches since 1976.

Sunday’s quiz
Dick Vitale coached the Detroit Pistons for 94 games from 1978-80.

**********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: NCAA Tournament trends…….​

— Final Four by seed, the last five tournaments:
2024- 1-1-4-11 (NC State was #11)
2023- 4-5-5-9 (Florida Atlantic was #9)
2022- 1-2-2-8 (North Carolina was #8)
2021- 1-1-2-11 (UCLA was #11)
2019- 1-2-3-5

Last five tournaments, only six #1-seeds made the Final Four

— Final Four by conference, the last five tournaments:
2024- ACC, Big East, Big 18, SEC
2023- ACC, Big East, C-USA, Mountain West
2022- ACC (2), Big East, Big X
2021- AAC, Big X, Pac-12, WCC
2019- ACC, Big 18, Big X, SEC
5- ACC
3- Big East, Big X
2- Big 18, SEC
1- AAC, C-USA, Mountain West, Pac-12, WCC

First round trends…….
— Last four years, #1-seeds are 9-7 ATS in first round games.

— Last three years, #2-seeds are 8-4 ATS

A #2-seed has been upset in first round in three of last four years.

— Last five years, #3-seeds are 13-7 ATS.

Last seven years, only 2 of 28 #3-seeds lost in first round.

— Last six years, underdogs are 16-8 ATS in 4-13 first round games.

— Last five years, underdogs are 11-9 ATS in 5-12 games.

— Last six years, the underdog is 6-0 SU/ATS in the 6-11 game in the Midwest region; this year, #6-seed Illinois will play the Texas-Xavier play-in winner.

— Last six years, underdogs are 14-10 SU/20-4 ATS in 8-9 games.

— Famous birthdays, March 18
Jeff Mullins, 83
Dwayne Murphy, 70
Vanessa Williams, 62
Pat Terrell, 57
Andre Rison, 57
Rob Johnson, 52
Brian Griese, 50
Adam Levine, 46
JT Realmuto, 34
Trey Mancini, 33

Conference trends:
— Last three years, ACC teams are 11-4 ATS in first round
Since 2018, ACC teams are 18-8 ATS in second round.

— No team from the A-15 has made the Sweet 16 since Dayton in 2014.

— Last three years, Big East teams are 9-5 ATS in first round
Last three years, Big East had a team in Final Four (Villanova-UConn-UConn)

— Since 2006, Big Sky teams are 0-17 SU/3-13-1 ATS in first round games.
Last Big Sky team to win an NCAA game: Montana 87, Nevada 79 in 2006.

— Last three years, Big 18 teams are 13-8-1 ATS in first round
Last four years, Big 18 teams are 9-12 ATS in second round.
Last four years, only one Big 18 team made the Final Four (Purdue LY)
Last Big 18 team to win a national title? Michigan State, in 2000.

— Since 2019, Big X teams are 21-11 ATS in first round
Since 2021, Big X teams are 6-16 ATS in second round

— Since 2015, Big West teams are 7-3 ATS in first round

— Since 2013, CAA teams are 0-11 SU/5-6 ATS in first round

Last five years, CAA teams are 0-5 ATS

— Since 2015, U-USA teams are 6-3 ATS in first round

— Last three years, Horizon teams are 5-0 ATS in play-in/first round games.

— Since 2010, Ivy League teams are 10-3 ATS in first round.

— Since 2010, MAAC teams are 3-12 ATS in first round (3-2 in last five)

— Since 2017, MAC teams are 6-2 ATS in first round

— Last three years, MVC teams were 0-3 ATS in first round

From 2013-21, MVC teams were 11-3 ATS in first round

— Since 2019, Mountain West teams are 3-14 SU/2-15 ATS in first round

— Last three years, SEC teams are 9-12 ATS in first round

Since 2016, SEC teams are 11-18 ATS in second round

— Last six years, SoCon teams are 5-1 ATS in first round.

— Last five years, WAC teams are 2-3 SU?5-0 ATS in first roun
 
Udog

Udog

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NHL

Tuesday, March 18

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Trend Report
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Ottawa vs Montreal
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Calgary vs NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Rangers's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games

NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Detroit vs Washington
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Anaheim vs Dallas
Anaheim is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Anaheim is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Anaheim

St. Louis vs Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing St. Louis

Seattle vs Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing Chicago
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Utah vs Edmonton
Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

Winnipeg vs Vancouver
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Vancouver's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg


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