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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, January 31
Harvard won its last eight games, with wins at Cal/USF; Crimson is experience team #45 that is 12-4 vs schedule #178- they?re 6-4 vs teams ranked in top 200, 6-1 in true road games, with loss by 5 at Northeastern. Penn lost three of last four games, losing twice to Princeton by 14-5 points; Quakers are experience team #108 that is 7-7 vs schedule #94. Home side won nine of last 11 Harvard-Penn games; Harvard won 10 of last 14 games with Penn, beating Quakers three times LY, by 7-6-8 points; Crimson lost four of last five visits to the Palestra.
Akron is 6-2 in MAC, 4-0 on road, with three of those wins by 21+ points; Zips lost last game by 3 to Buffalo Tuesday- they?ve made 44.2% of their 3?s in MAC games, 39.9% for season (#5 in country). Akron is 5-2 overall on road, with losses at West Va/Louisville. Akron-Kent State split their last eight meetings; Zips lost five of last six visits to Kent, losing last two by 10-3 points. Golden Flashes are 5-3 in MAC, 2-1 at home; they won last two games, both on road. Kent is 0-2 in top 100 games, losing by 19 at Ohio State, 28 at Mississippi State.
Buffalo won 11 of last 12 games with Bowling Green, winning last eight meetings played here; Bulls beat BG 87-73 in LY?s MAC tourney. Buffalo won five of its last six games; they split four MAC home games. Buffalo is 13-2 this season when they score 74+ points, 0-4 when they score less than 74. Bulls are experience team #130 that is playing pace #6. Bowling Green won its last seven games, with six of the wins by 6 or fewer points- they won all three MAC road games, scoring 84.3 ppg. Falcons are #2 in country at protecting ball (turnovers 14.2% of time).
Yale won seven of last eight games with Columbia, but Lions covered last three trips to New Haven, upsetting Bulldogs 83-75 (+12) here LY. Columbia lost seven of its last nine games, splitting pair of Ivy games with Cornell; Lions are experience team #109 that is 5-12 vs schedule #267, 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 18-19-36 points. Yale won 10 of its last 11 games, with pair of Ivy wins over Brown; Bulldogs are experience team #46 that is 12-4 vs schedule #95- this is only their fourth D-I home game this season- they won first three, by 11-13-14 points.
Iona split its last six games after a 2-7 start; Gaels are 3-5 in MAAC, 2-3 at home, with two of three home losses by one point. Iona is experience team #3 but they?re playing without coach Cluess, who is battling an illness this season. Iona is 17-5 in its last 22 games with Siena, but Saints won two of last three visits to New Rochelle, with both wins by a basket. Iona beat Siena in four of last five MAAC tourneys. Siena is 0-9 on road, 9-0 at home, losing MAAC road games by 8-12-1-10 points; over last three years, they?re 5-11 ATS as a road underdog, 0-2 TY.
Princeton won 10 of last 11 games with Dartmouth; Big Green lost its last ten games in Jadwin Gym, covering one of last four. Dartmouth lost its last five games, losing pair of Ivy games with Harvard by total of nine points; Big Green is experience team #69 that is 6-10 vs schedule #209, losing last three road games, by 2-14-5 points. Dartmouth is 1-7 vs top 200 teams, with only win over Buffalo in season opener. Princeton won five of its last six games, beating Penn twice by total of nine points; this is their first D-I game in three weeks.
Niagara-Marist split their last dozen games; teams split last four meetings played here. Favorites covered last three series games. Niagara split its first eight MAAC games; they?re 3-1 at home, with only loss by 5 to Manhattan. Purple Eagles are worst rebounding team in country; their last three wins were by total of four points. Niagara is experience team #286 that is 6-13 vs schedule #145; they changed coaches during preseason practice. Marist split its last six games after a 1-11 start; Red Foxes lost three of four MAAC road games, losing by 6-8-13 points.
Rider won its last three games with Fairfield, the last two by total of three points; teams split last six series games played in Broncs? Zoo. Fairfield split its eight MAAC games, losing three of four on road, with lone win 46-42 at Canisius; Stags are turning ball over 22.4% of time- their eFG% is 44.9% in MAAC play, worst in league. Rider won its last two games by four points each; they are 5-4 in MAAC, 3-1 at home, with lone loss by 3 to Iona. MAAC opponents are shooting 55.3% inside arc against Rider, worst in MAAC.
Manhattan won its last three games with Saint Peter?s, winning last two visits to Jersey City, by 11-2 points. Jaspers lost their last three games, by 7-2-4 points; they?re 4-4 in MAAC, splitting four road games, losing by 8 at Fairfield, 2 at Marist. Manhattan is shooting only 45.2% inside arc; their eFG% is #297 in country. Saint Peter?s won three of its last four games after a 5-9 start; they?re 5-4 in MAAC, 3-1 at home, with all four home games decided by 6 or less points- their only home loss was by 4 to Canisius. Peacocks are turning ball over 25.3% of time (#350).
Cornell-Brown split their last six games; underdogs covered four of last five series games. Big Red lost two of their last three visits to Brown, losing by 20-3 points. Cornell is 2-11- they also have two D-3 wins, which don?t really count. Big Red split pair of Ivy games with Columbia; they are 0-9 in true road games, with three losses by 4 or less points. Big Red is shooting 27.3% on arc for season (#341). Brown lost five of its last six games, losing pair of games with Yale by 14-11 points. Bears are turning ball over 23.5% of time (#343), have #302 eFG%.
Quinnipiac lost three of last four games; they?re 5-3 in MAAC, losing last two road games, by 12 at Manhattan, 23 at Siena. Bobcats are shooting only 42.8% inside arc in MAAC tilts. Canisius lost its last two games, scoring 60.5 ppg; they?re 3-6 in MAAC, winning last two home games, by 10-9 points over Siena/Rider. Griffins are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#318), making only 30.7% of their 3?s (#287). Canisius won eight of last 11 games with Quinnipiac, winning last three meetings played here, by 6-7-5 points. Underdogs are 9-4 ATS in last 13 series games.
Rhode Island outscored VCU 19-8 on foul line in its 65-56 upset win in Richmond Jan 11; VCU shot 31.3% from floor. URI won six of last seven series games; winning last two meetings here, by 10-6 points. Underdogs covered four of last five series games. VCU won its last four games, winning games at LaSalle/St Joe?s; VCU is 6-2 in A-14, scoring 56-65 points in losses to URI, Dayton. Rhode Island won its last seven games, winning last three home games by 11-3-22 points; they?re forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#66), have #61 eFG% defense in country.
Green Bay won 73-59 at Northern Kentucky Dec 30; Norse made just 5-26 shots on arc. NKU is 5-2 in Horizon meetings, winning last two visits to Green Bay, by 12-4 points. Norse won five of last six games, losing last game by 32 at Wright State last Friday; NKU is 6-3 in Horizon, scoring 79.3 ppg in the wins, 60 ppg in losses. Norse is shooting 54.4% inside arc, 30.8% outside arc in Horizon games. Green Bay won three of last four games, all of which were decided by 4 or fewer points; Phoenix are 5-4 in Horizon, splitting their four road games.
Wright State made 11-19 on arc in its 82-70 home win over Milwaukee Dec 30; Raiders won eight of last ten series games, winning three of last four visits here, with all three wins by 2 or 3 points. Wright won three in row, 11 of last 12 games; they?re 8-1 in Horizon, 3-1 on road, with only loss by 4 at UIC. Raiders have #57 eFG% defense in country; opponents are shooting only 29.9% on arc against them. Milwaukee won five of its last seven games after starting season 3-9; five of their last six wins were by 5 or fewer points.
Detroit won three of last four games after starting season 3-15; Titans are 4-5 in Horizon, 3-1 at home, with only loss by point to Wright State. Detroit is shooting only 43.8% on arc (#339)- their eFG% is #319. Oakland is only 2-7 in Horizon, but one of wins was 78-69 at home over Detroit Dec 28; Grizzlies led by 20 at half, shot 62.5% inside arc. Oakland is 11-2 in Horizon meetings, winning last four trips to the Motor City, by 4-9-6-6 points. Oakland lost four in row, 11 of last 13 games overall.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, January 31
Harvard won its last eight games, with wins at Cal/USF; Crimson is experience team #45 that is 12-4 vs schedule #178- they?re 6-4 vs teams ranked in top 200, 6-1 in true road games, with loss by 5 at Northeastern. Penn lost three of last four games, losing twice to Princeton by 14-5 points; Quakers are experience team #108 that is 7-7 vs schedule #94. Home side won nine of last 11 Harvard-Penn games; Harvard won 10 of last 14 games with Penn, beating Quakers three times LY, by 7-6-8 points; Crimson lost four of last five visits to the Palestra.
Akron is 6-2 in MAC, 4-0 on road, with three of those wins by 21+ points; Zips lost last game by 3 to Buffalo Tuesday- they?ve made 44.2% of their 3?s in MAC games, 39.9% for season (#5 in country). Akron is 5-2 overall on road, with losses at West Va/Louisville. Akron-Kent State split their last eight meetings; Zips lost five of last six visits to Kent, losing last two by 10-3 points. Golden Flashes are 5-3 in MAC, 2-1 at home; they won last two games, both on road. Kent is 0-2 in top 100 games, losing by 19 at Ohio State, 28 at Mississippi State.
Buffalo won 11 of last 12 games with Bowling Green, winning last eight meetings played here; Bulls beat BG 87-73 in LY?s MAC tourney. Buffalo won five of its last six games; they split four MAC home games. Buffalo is 13-2 this season when they score 74+ points, 0-4 when they score less than 74. Bulls are experience team #130 that is playing pace #6. Bowling Green won its last seven games, with six of the wins by 6 or fewer points- they won all three MAC road games, scoring 84.3 ppg. Falcons are #2 in country at protecting ball (turnovers 14.2% of time).
Yale won seven of last eight games with Columbia, but Lions covered last three trips to New Haven, upsetting Bulldogs 83-75 (+12) here LY. Columbia lost seven of its last nine games, splitting pair of Ivy games with Cornell; Lions are experience team #109 that is 5-12 vs schedule #267, 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 18-19-36 points. Yale won 10 of its last 11 games, with pair of Ivy wins over Brown; Bulldogs are experience team #46 that is 12-4 vs schedule #95- this is only their fourth D-I home game this season- they won first three, by 11-13-14 points.
Iona split its last six games after a 2-7 start; Gaels are 3-5 in MAAC, 2-3 at home, with two of three home losses by one point. Iona is experience team #3 but they?re playing without coach Cluess, who is battling an illness this season. Iona is 17-5 in its last 22 games with Siena, but Saints won two of last three visits to New Rochelle, with both wins by a basket. Iona beat Siena in four of last five MAAC tourneys. Siena is 0-9 on road, 9-0 at home, losing MAAC road games by 8-12-1-10 points; over last three years, they?re 5-11 ATS as a road underdog, 0-2 TY.
Princeton won 10 of last 11 games with Dartmouth; Big Green lost its last ten games in Jadwin Gym, covering one of last four. Dartmouth lost its last five games, losing pair of Ivy games with Harvard by total of nine points; Big Green is experience team #69 that is 6-10 vs schedule #209, losing last three road games, by 2-14-5 points. Dartmouth is 1-7 vs top 200 teams, with only win over Buffalo in season opener. Princeton won five of its last six games, beating Penn twice by total of nine points; this is their first D-I game in three weeks.
Niagara-Marist split their last dozen games; teams split last four meetings played here. Favorites covered last three series games. Niagara split its first eight MAAC games; they?re 3-1 at home, with only loss by 5 to Manhattan. Purple Eagles are worst rebounding team in country; their last three wins were by total of four points. Niagara is experience team #286 that is 6-13 vs schedule #145; they changed coaches during preseason practice. Marist split its last six games after a 1-11 start; Red Foxes lost three of four MAAC road games, losing by 6-8-13 points.
Rider won its last three games with Fairfield, the last two by total of three points; teams split last six series games played in Broncs? Zoo. Fairfield split its eight MAAC games, losing three of four on road, with lone win 46-42 at Canisius; Stags are turning ball over 22.4% of time- their eFG% is 44.9% in MAAC play, worst in league. Rider won its last two games by four points each; they are 5-4 in MAAC, 3-1 at home, with lone loss by 3 to Iona. MAAC opponents are shooting 55.3% inside arc against Rider, worst in MAAC.
Manhattan won its last three games with Saint Peter?s, winning last two visits to Jersey City, by 11-2 points. Jaspers lost their last three games, by 7-2-4 points; they?re 4-4 in MAAC, splitting four road games, losing by 8 at Fairfield, 2 at Marist. Manhattan is shooting only 45.2% inside arc; their eFG% is #297 in country. Saint Peter?s won three of its last four games after a 5-9 start; they?re 5-4 in MAAC, 3-1 at home, with all four home games decided by 6 or less points- their only home loss was by 4 to Canisius. Peacocks are turning ball over 25.3% of time (#350).
Cornell-Brown split their last six games; underdogs covered four of last five series games. Big Red lost two of their last three visits to Brown, losing by 20-3 points. Cornell is 2-11- they also have two D-3 wins, which don?t really count. Big Red split pair of Ivy games with Columbia; they are 0-9 in true road games, with three losses by 4 or less points. Big Red is shooting 27.3% on arc for season (#341). Brown lost five of its last six games, losing pair of games with Yale by 14-11 points. Bears are turning ball over 23.5% of time (#343), have #302 eFG%.
Quinnipiac lost three of last four games; they?re 5-3 in MAAC, losing last two road games, by 12 at Manhattan, 23 at Siena. Bobcats are shooting only 42.8% inside arc in MAAC tilts. Canisius lost its last two games, scoring 60.5 ppg; they?re 3-6 in MAAC, winning last two home games, by 10-9 points over Siena/Rider. Griffins are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#318), making only 30.7% of their 3?s (#287). Canisius won eight of last 11 games with Quinnipiac, winning last three meetings played here, by 6-7-5 points. Underdogs are 9-4 ATS in last 13 series games.
Rhode Island outscored VCU 19-8 on foul line in its 65-56 upset win in Richmond Jan 11; VCU shot 31.3% from floor. URI won six of last seven series games; winning last two meetings here, by 10-6 points. Underdogs covered four of last five series games. VCU won its last four games, winning games at LaSalle/St Joe?s; VCU is 6-2 in A-14, scoring 56-65 points in losses to URI, Dayton. Rhode Island won its last seven games, winning last three home games by 11-3-22 points; they?re forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#66), have #61 eFG% defense in country.
Green Bay won 73-59 at Northern Kentucky Dec 30; Norse made just 5-26 shots on arc. NKU is 5-2 in Horizon meetings, winning last two visits to Green Bay, by 12-4 points. Norse won five of last six games, losing last game by 32 at Wright State last Friday; NKU is 6-3 in Horizon, scoring 79.3 ppg in the wins, 60 ppg in losses. Norse is shooting 54.4% inside arc, 30.8% outside arc in Horizon games. Green Bay won three of last four games, all of which were decided by 4 or fewer points; Phoenix are 5-4 in Horizon, splitting their four road games.
Wright State made 11-19 on arc in its 82-70 home win over Milwaukee Dec 30; Raiders won eight of last ten series games, winning three of last four visits here, with all three wins by 2 or 3 points. Wright won three in row, 11 of last 12 games; they?re 8-1 in Horizon, 3-1 on road, with only loss by 4 at UIC. Raiders have #57 eFG% defense in country; opponents are shooting only 29.9% on arc against them. Milwaukee won five of its last seven games after starting season 3-9; five of their last six wins were by 5 or fewer points.
Detroit won three of last four games after starting season 3-15; Titans are 4-5 in Horizon, 3-1 at home, with only loss by point to Wright State. Detroit is shooting only 43.8% on arc (#339)- their eFG% is #319. Oakland is only 2-7 in Horizon, but one of wins was 78-69 at home over Detroit Dec 28; Grizzlies led by 20 at half, shot 62.5% inside arc. Oakland is 11-2 in Horizon meetings, winning last four trips to the Motor City, by 4-9-6-6 points. Oakland lost four in row, 11 of last 13 games overall.
