CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Udog]

NCAAB

Monday, February 7

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 7

NC-Wilmington @ Hofstra
? NC-Wilmington (16-6, 10-1) ranked #207 by KenPom
? Tempo: #216
? Experience: #77
? Continuity: #249
? UNCW won 13 of its last 14 games.
? Seahawks are 12-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
? UNCW is last in CAA on the defensive boards.
? Over is 5-2 in Seahawks? last seven games.
? NC-Wilmington?s schedule, to this point: #285
? bench minutes: #287

? Hofstra (14-9, 6-4) ranked #118 by KenPom
? Tempo: #112
? Experience: #87
? Continuity: #287
? Hofstra won five of its last seven games.
? Pride is shooting 56.9% inside arc (#9)
? Opponents are shooting 38.3% on arc (#339)
? Pride?s last three games went over the total.
? Hofstra?s schedule, to this point: #105
? bench minutes: #257

? CAA home favorites of 7+ points are 0-14 ATS.
? UNCW beat Hofstra 78-69 at home, nine days ago.
? Hofstra led that game 22-7 early, shot 61% inside arc.
? Hofstra won four of last five series games.
? UNCW lost last three visits to Hofstra, by 20-15-14 points.

Chattanooga @ Mercer
? Chattanooga (19-5, 9-2) ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #326
? Experience: #92
? Continuity: #44
? Chattanooga won six of its last seven games.
? Mocs are 2-3 ATS as a SoCon road favorite.
? Chattanooga is grabbing 34.6% of its misses (#25)
? Over is 12-5 in Mocs? last 17 games.
? Chattanooga?s schedule, to this point: #158
? bench minutes: #311

? Mercer (13-11, 6-5) ranked #218 by KenPom
? Tempo: #292
? Experience: #129
? Continuity: #232
? Mercer lost four of its last six games.
? Bears won five of their six SoCon home tilts.
? Mercer has #308 eFG% defense in country.
? Under is 7-1 in Bears? last eight games.
? Mercer?s schedule, to this point: #137
? bench minutes: #304

? SoCon home underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-7 ATS
? Chattanooga beat Mercer 77-68 at home Saturday.
? Both teams shot 62% inside arc.
? Chattanooga is 7-6 vs Mercer as SoCon rivals.
? Teams split six meetings played here.

NC-Greensboro @ Western Carolina
? NC-Greensboro (13-10, 5-6) ranked #181 by KenPom
? Tempo: #10
? Experience: #30
? Continuity: #226
? UNCG is 3-5 in its last eight games.
? Spartans last four wins were by 4 or less points.
? UNCG is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time in SoCon tilts (#1)
? Three of Spartans? last four games went over.
? NC-Greensboro?s schedule, to this point: #147
? bench minutes: #119

? Western Carolina (9-15, 3-8) ranked #288 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #128
? Continuity: #332
? Western Carolina lost six of its last seven games.
? 52.8% of Catamounts? shots are 3?s (32%, #257)
? Western Carolina has #310 eFG% defense.
? Under is 5-1 in Catamounts? last six games.
? Western Carolina?s schedule to this point: #186
? bench minutes: #195

? SoCon home underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-7 ATS
? NC-Greensboro won last nine meetings.
? Spartans won last four visits here, by 8-11-3-14 points.

Virginia @ Duke
? Virginia (14-9, 8-5) ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #358
? Experience: #150
? Continuity: #260
? Virginia won three of its last four games.
? Cavaliers are 2-3 ATS as an ACC road dog.
? Virginia is 4-3 in games decided by 5 or less points.
? Over is 5-1 in Cavaliers? last six games.
? Virginia?s schedule, to this point: #86
? bench minutes: #342

? Duke (19-3, 9-2) ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #336
? Continuity: #238
? Duke won its last five games.
? Blue Devils are 3-3 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
? Duke is shooting 55.4% inside arc (#24)
? Under is 7-3 in Blue Devils? last ten games.
? Duke?s schedule, to this point: #78
? bench minutes: #284

? ACC double digit home favorites are 7-8 ATS.
? Duke won six of last eight series games.
? Virginia lost 11 of last 12 visits to Durham.

Furman @ East Tennessee State
? Furman (17-8, 9-3) ranked #67 by KenPom
? Tempo: #254
? Experience: #113
? Continuity: #95
? Furman won eight of its last ten games.
? Paladins are 2-0-1 ATS as a SoCon road favorite.
? Furman is shooting 38.3% on the arc (#14)
? Under is 6-1 in Paladins? last seven games.
? Furman?s schedule, to this point: #173
? bench minutes: #294

? East Tennessee State (17-7, 8-3) ranked #55 by KenPom
? Tempo: #219
? Experience: #138
? Continuity: #91
? ETSU lost its last five games, all by 4 or less points.
? Buccaneers split their six SoCon home games (0-1 ATS as HU)
? SoCon opponents are shooting 57.8% inside arc (#10 of 10)
? Over is 6-3 in Buccaneers? last nine games.
? East Tennessee State?s schedule, to this point: #165
? bench minutes: #275

? SoCon home underdogs are 8-9 ATS.
? Furman beat ETSU 78-69 at home January 12.
? ETSU led by six points with 11:02 left.
? Teams split last dozen series games.
? Furman lost last three visits to ETSU, by 23-9-9 points.

James Madison @ Drexel
? James Madison (13-8, 4-6) ranked #217 by KenPom
? Tempo: #57
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #105
? James Madison lost five of its last seven games.
? Dukes are 2-0 ATS as a CAA road underdog.
? Opponents are shooting 56.9% inside arc (#355)
? Over is 10-1 in Dukes? last 11 games.
? James Madison?s schedule, to this point: #235
? bench minutes: #178

? Drexel (10-10, 5-5) ranked #147 by KenPom
? Tempo: #208
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #103
? Drexel is 4-5 in its last nine games.
? Dragons split four CAA home games (1-2 ATS as home favorite)
? Drexel is shooting 42% on arc in CAA games (#1)
? Over is 10-8 in last 18 Dragon games
? Drexel?s schedule, to this point: #160
? bench minutes: #39

? CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-11 ATS.
? Drexel won 88-82 at JMU January 27.
? Drexel made 12-24 on arc, Dukes 10-22.
? Dragons won six of last eight series games.
? JMU lost last three trips to Drexel, by 2-5-11 points.

George Mason @ Richmond
? George Mason (11-9, 4-3) ranked #106 by KenPom
? Tempo: #305
? Experience: #90
? Continuity: #280
? George Mason lost last two games, by 2-5 points.
? Patriots are shooting 41.2% on arc in A-14 games (#1)
? George Mason is #15 team in country on defensive boards.
? Four of Patriots? last five games went over.
? George Mason?s schedule, to this point: #159
? bench minutes: #344

? Richmond (15-8, 6-4) ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #164
? Experience: #24
? Continuity: #19
? Richmond won five of its last six games.
? Spiders are 1-4 ATS as an A-14 home favorite.
? Richmond is shooting 29.6% on arc in A-14 games (#14)
? Spiders? last five games stayed under total.
? Richmond?s schedule, to this point: #326
? bench minutes: #188

? A-14 home favorites of 8+ points are 7-10 ATS.
? Richmond won five of last six series games.
? Patriots lost 81-67/65-50 in last two visits to Richmond.

Pitt @ Virginia Tech
? Pitt (8-15, 3-9) ranked #184 by KenPom
? Tempo: #329
? Experience: #189
? Continuity: #320
? Pitt lost five of its last six games.
? Panthers are 2-4 ATS as ACC road underdogs.
? Pitt is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#320)
? Over is 7-5 in Panthers? last dozen games.
? Pitt?s schedule, to this point: #73
? bench minutes: #300

? Virginia Tech (13-10, 5-7) ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #341
? Experience: #99
? Continuity: #92
? Virginia Tech won last three games, scoring 80.7 ppg.
? Hokies are 1-3 ATS as an ACC road underdog.
? Virginia Tech is shooting 41.8% on arc (#2)
? Hokies? last six games went over the total.
? Virginia Tech?s schedule, to this point: #51
? bench minutes: #92

? ACC double digit home favorites are 7-8 ATS.
? Tech won 76-71 in Pittsburgh Saturday.
? Hokies made 14-26 on arc, were up 27 at halftime.
? Tech won six of last seven series games.
? Panthers lost last three visits here, by 3-14-10 points.

Montana State @ Idaho State
? Montana State (17-5, 9-2) ranked #125 by KenPom
? Tempo: #184
? Experience: #20
? Continuity: #288
? Montana State won its last eight games.
? Bobcats are 2-2 ATS as a Big Sky road favorite.
? Big Sky opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#1)
? Bobcats? last four games stayed under the total.
? Montana State?s schedule, to this point: #90
? bench minutes: #290

? Idaho State (4-16, 2-9) ranked #340 by KenPom
? Tempo: #317
? Experience: #230
? Continuity: #10
? Idaho State lost five of last six, but upset Montana Saturday
? Bengals are 1-2 ATS as a Big Sky home underdog.
? Idaho State is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#332)
? Over is 6-1 in Bengals? last seven games.
? Idaho State?s schedule, to this point: #238
? bench minutes: #52

? Big Sky double digit favorites are 7-8 ATS.
? Montana State waxed ISU 60-40 at home New Year?s Day
? That game was only 23-19 at halftime.
? Montana State won last five series games.
? Bobcats won last three visits to Pocatello, by 11-8-11 points.

Southern Utah @ Montana
? Southern Utah (15-6, 9-2) ranked #170 by KenPom
? Tempo: #94
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #1
? Southern Utah won last four games, scoring 80.5 ppg.
? Thunderbirds are 1-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
? SUU is rebounding 28.8% of its misses in Big Sky games (#1)
? Over is 6-2 in Thunderbirds? last eight games.
? Southern Utah?s schedule, to this point: #322
? bench minutes: #260

? Montana (9-12, 3-7) ranked #236 by KenPom
? Tempo: #199
? Experience: #49
? Continuity: #13
? Montana lost last two games, giving up 80-86 points.
? Grizzlies are 4-0 in Big Sky home games, winning by 24-2-19-2 points.
? Opponents are shooting 38.1% on the arc (#336)
? Over is 10-6 in Grizzlies? last sixteen games.
? Montana?s schedule, to this point: #206
? bench minutes: #215

? Big Sky home teams are 4-9 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Southern Utah won last three series games.
? Thunderbirds lost five of last six visits to Missoula.

Kansas @ Texas
? Kansas (19-3, 8-1) ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #79
? Experience: #140
? Continuity: #61
? Kansas won seven of its last eight games.
? Jayhawks won four of five Big X road games.
? Kansas is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#15)
? Jayhawks? last three games stayed under the total.
? Kansas schedule, to this point: #3
? bench minutes: #218

? Texas (17-6, 6-4) ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #347
? Experience: #16
? Continuity: #264
? Texas won four of its last five games.
? Longhorns won four of its five Big X home games.
? Texas is forcing turnovers 25% of time (#6)
? Under is 12-9 in Longhorn games this season.
? Texas schedule, to this point: #75
? bench minutes: #147

? Big X home teams are 9-4 ATS if spread was 4 or less.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Kansas won five of last seven visits to Austin.

Arizona @ Arizona State
? Arizona (19-2, 9-1) ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #355
? Continuity: #200
? Arizona won eight of its last nine games.
? Wildcats are 3-1 ATS as Pac-12 road favorites.
? Opponents are shooting 39.6% inside arc (#1)
? Under is 7-1 in Wildcats? last eight games.
? Arizona?s schedule, to this point: #72
? bench minutes: #189

? Arizona State (7-13, 3-7) ranked #133 by KenPom
? Tempo: #183
? Experience: #225
? Continuity: #325
? ASU lost seven of its last nine games.
? Sun Devils beat UCLA in triple OT Saturday night.
? ASU has #344 eFG% in country.
? Under is 9-2 in Sun Devils? last 11 games.
? Arizona State?s schedule, to this point: #2
? bench minutes: #137

? Pac-12 double digit favorites are 7-12 ATS.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Arizona won four of last six visits to Tempe.

Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado
? Northern Arizona (8-14, 4-7) ranked #325 by KenPom
? Tempo: #234
? Experience: #337
? Continuity: #177
? NAU lost five of its last seven games.
? Lumberjacks are 2-1-1 ATS as Big Sky road dogs.
? NAU is shooting 45% inside arc in Big Sky games (#11 of 11)
? Under is 4-1-1 in Lumberjacks? last six games.
? Northern Arizona?s schedule, to this point: #286
? bench minutes: #227

? Northern Colorado (11-11, 6-4) ranked #223 by KenPom
? Tempo: #66
? Experience: #14
? Continuity: #129
? Northern Colorado lost three of its last four games.
? Bears are 0-3-1 ATS as Big Sky home favorites.
? Northern Colorado is shooting 55.9% inside arc (#17)
? Over is 12-2-1 in Bears? last fifteen games.
? Northern Colorado?s schedule, to this point: #179
? bench minutes: #352

? Big Sky double digit home favorites are 6-7 ATS.
? Northern Colorado won 74-71 at NAU Saturday.
? Bears were down 12 with 13:39 left in game.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Lumberjacks won 89-78/64-58 in last two visits to Greeley.

 

[Udog]

Virginia is 2-8 ATS in the past 10 following a SU win.
Virginia is 10-25-1 ATS in the past 35 following an ATS win.
Duke is 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
Duke is 5-2 ATS in the past seven vs. winning teams.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games overall for Virginia.
The OVER is 5-0-1 in the past six road games for Virginia.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games overall for Duke.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for Duke.
The underdog is 23-8-1 ATS in the past 32 meetings.
The road team is 21-7-1 ATS in the past 29 meetings.


Kansas is 1-4 ATS in the past five following a SU win.
Kansas is 1-4 ATS in the past five following a cover.
Kansas is 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 road games vs. teams with a winning home record.
Texas is 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
Texas is 2-5 ATS in the past seven vs. winning teams.
Texas is 3-11 ATS in the past 14 home games vs. teams with a winning road record.
The OVER is 12-5 in the past 17 road games for Kansas.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for Texas.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven following a SU win for Texas.
The road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 7
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

UNCW at HOF 05:00 PM
UNCW +6.0
+500

HART at UMASS 06:00 PM
UMASS -4.0
+500

GMU at RICH 07:00 PM
RICH -7.0
+500

TEM at USF 07:00 PM
TEM -3.5
+500

UTSA at MTU 07:00 PM
MTU -12.5
+500

PITT at VT 07:00 PM
VT -13.0
+500

NCCU at SCST 08:00 PM
NCCU -2.5
+500

UTEP at UNT 08:00 PM
UNT -10.0
+500

MTST at IDST 08:00 PM
MTST -10.0
+500

SDAK at NDSU 08:00 PM
NDSU -7.0
O 137.5
+500 +500

KU at TEX 09:00 PM
KU -1.5
+500

ARIZ at ASU 09:00 PM
ASU +12.0
+500

AAMU at GRAM 09:00 PM
GRAM -4.5
+500

NAU at UNCO 09:30 PM
UNCO -10.0
U 149.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

FEBRUARY'S NCAA BASKETBALL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

02/07/2022...............8-7-1.............53.13%.................+1.50
02/04/2022............11-23-0.............32.35%................-71.50
02/03/2022............30-34-2.............46.97%................-37.00
02/02/2022............18-17-0.............51.43%................-3.50
02/01/2022............13-15-1.............46.42%................-17.50

TOTALS..................80-96-4.............45.45%................-128.00



BEST BETS:

02/07/2022.............8-6-0...............57.14%..............+ 7.00
02/04/2022.............9-14-0.............39.13%...............-32.00
02/03/2022.............6-13-0.............31.57%...............-41.50
02/02/2022............12-11-0............52.17%.................-0.50
02/01/2022............10-10-1............50.00%.................-5.00

TOTALS..................45-54-1............45.45%................-72.00


UPDATED 02/07/22

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday?s 6-pack
? Houston Texans are expected to name Lovie Smith their new coach.
? New Orleans Saints are expected to name Dennis Allen their new coach.
? Virginia 69, Duke 68? Cavaliers were +10 in turnovers (5-15)
? Texas 79, Kansas 76? Texas outscored Kansas 7-0 in last minute.
? Montana State 72, Idaho State 53? Bobcats have won nine in a row.
? Tennessee?s 3rd-leading scorer, Oliver Nkamhoua, is out for year (ankle)

Quote of the Day
?It?s all over the place. It can get hot because we?re passionate about this. I?m passionate about finding a way to address the issues, and I?m passionate about the sport. If that means someone raises their voice or uses a word that is four letters long, so be it. But ultimately we?re meeting, we?re talking. Sometimes it?s prettier than others.?
Pitcher Andrew Miller, talking about the MLB labor negotiations

Tuesday?s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon played college football for which school?

Monday?s quiz
In last ten NCAA tournaments, Gonzaga has been a #1-seed four times.

Sunday?s quiz
In the movie Dave, Kevin Kline played the President of the United States.

********************************

Tuesday?s Den: Sampling of Super Bowl prop bets

Keep in mind, the menu of prop bets put out by the Westgate SuperBook is 40-45 pages. Ton of stuff, traditional bets and weird stuff. Lot of action.

13) Rams are -4.5, with total of 48.5

Money line is Rams -200, Bengals +175

12) Over/under for Rams? points: 26.5, Bengals 21.5.

11) Will either team score three straight times?
Yes -190. No +170

10) What will happen first, a touchdown (-125) or a sack (-105)?

9) Will either team score in first 6:30 of the game?
Yes even, No -120

8) Will either team score in last 2:00 of first half?
Yes -310, No +260

7) Will either team score in last 3:30 of game?
Yes -165, No +145

6) Longest touchdown of the game: 42.5 yards (-110 both ways)

5) Will there be a lead change in 4th quarter?
Yes +250, No -300

4) Longest made field goal of game: 46.5 yards (-110 both ways)

3) Distance of the first touchdown of the game: 7.5 yards (-110 both ways)

2) Largest lead of game, by either team: 14.5 points (-110 both ways

1) Passing yards for Matthew Stafford: 285.5 yards

Again, you can bet on just about anything Sunday; over/under on the length of the national anthem, to start with. Just about anything.

Be careful with your money, please.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 8

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 8

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 8

North Carolina @ Clemson
? North Carolina (16-6, 10-1) ranked #207 by KenPom
? Tempo: #216
? Experience: #77
? Continuity: #249
? North Carolina won four of its last five games.
? Tar Heels split their six ACC road games.
? North Carolina is shooting 45.9% inside arc in ACC games (#14 of 15)
? Over is 5-1 in last six Tar Heel games
? North Carolina?s schedule, to this point: #285
? bench minutes: #287

? Clemson (14-9, 6-4) ranked #118 by KenPom
? Tempo: #112
? Experience: #87
? Continuity: #287
? Clemson lost five of its last seven games.
? Tigers split their four ACC home games.
? Clemson is shooting 38% on arc (#15)
? Under is 7-4 in Tigers? last 11 games.
? Clemson?s schedule, to this point: #105
? bench minutes: #257

? ACC home teams are 12-17 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Clemson won three of last four series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Marquette @ UConn
? Marquette (16-7, 8-4) ranked #23 by KenPom
? Tempo: #42
? Experience: #350
? Continuity: #337
? Marquette won eight of its last nine games.
? Eagles are 4-0 ATS as a Big East road underdog.
? Opponents are shooting 45.1% inside arc (#24)
? Under is 5-1 in Eagles? last six games.
? Marquette?s schedule, to this point: #7
? bench minutes: #107

? UConn (15-6, 6-4) ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #229
? Experience: #121
? Continuity: #37
? UConn lost its last two games, after a 5-0 run.
? Huskies are 2-3 ATS as a Big East home favorite.
? UConn is rebounding 38.2% of its misses (#2)
? Over is 7-2 in Huskies? last nine games.
? UConn?s schedule, to this point: #83
? bench minutes: #168

? Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 8-5 ATS
? UConn won 78-70 at Marquette December 21
? Huskies won two of three Big East games vs Marquette.

Ohio @ Toledo
? Ohio (19-3, 10-1) ranked #88 by KenPom
? Tempo: #188
? Experience: #134
? Continuity: #153
? Ohio won five in row, 14 of last 15 games- loss was vs Toledo.
? Bobcats are 2-0 ATS as a MAC underdog.
? Ohio is shooting 56.9% inside arc in MAC games (#1)
? Over is 8-1 in Bobcats? last nine games.
? Ohio?s schedule, to this point: #305
? bench minutes: #330

? Toledo (18-5, 10-2) ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #64
? Experience: #317
? Continuity: #192
? Toledo won nine of its last ten games.
? Rockets are 5-0 ATS as a MAC home favorite.
? MAC opponents are shooting 46.8% inside arc (#1)
? Rockets? last five games went over the total.
? Toledo?s schedule to this point: #191
? bench minutes: #353

? MAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 2-6 ATS
? Toledo won 87-68 at Ohio January 21.
? Rockets won six of last seven series games.
? Bobcats lost last three trips to Toledo, by 8-23-17 points.

Wisconsin @ Michigan State
? Wisconsin (18-4, 9-3) ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #198
? Experience: #288
? Continuity: #225
? Wisconsin won 10 of its last 12 games.
? Badgers are 2-2 as a Big 14 road underdog.
? Wisconsin is shooting 31.3% on arc in Big 14 games (#14)
? Under is 3-1 in Badgers? last four games.
? Wisconsin?s schedule, to this point: #9
? bench minutes: #306

? Michigan State (19-3, 9-2) ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #336
? Continuity: #238
? Michigan State split its last six games.
? Spartans are 2-3 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
? Michigan State is shooting 39.3% on arc (#9)
? Over is 10-4 in Spartans? last 14 games.
? Michigan State?s schedule, to this point: #78
? bench minutes: #284

? Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-7 ATS
? Wisconsin won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
? Badgers snapped an 0-12 skid in East Lansing last year.

Iowa State @ West Virginia
? Iowa State (16-7, 3-7) ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #206
? Experience: #96
? Continuity: #338
? Iowa State is 1-4 on Big X road (three losses by 12+)
? Cyclones are 1-4 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
? Big X opponents are shooting 56% inside arc (#10)
? Under is 4-1 in Cyclones? last five games.
? Iowa State?s schedule, to this point: #29
? bench minutes: #200

? West Virginia (13-9, 2-7) ranked #61 by KenPom
? Tempo: #171
? Experience: #64
? Continuity: #182
? West Virginia lost its last seven games.
? WVU is 1-2 as a Big X home favorite.
? West Virginia is #350 in country on defensive boards.
? Over is 9-2 in WVU?s last 11 games.
? West Virginia?s schedule, to this point: #11
? bench minutes: #153

? Big X home teams are 6-3 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? West Virginia won last five series games.
? Iowa State lost five five visits to Morgantown.

Oklahoma State @ TCU
? Oklahoma State (11-11, 4-6) ranked #56 by KenPom
? Tempo: #105
? Experience: #210
? Continuity: #68
? Oklahoma State lost four of its last five games.
? Cowboys are 2-4 ATS as Big X road underdogs.
? Oklahoma State is turning ball over 21.3% of time (#323)
? Over is 3-1 in Cowboys? last four games.
? Oklahoma State?s schedule, to this point: #6
? bench minutes: #42

? TCU (15-15, 4-4) ranked #58 by KenPom
? Tempo: #259
? Experience: #283
? Continuity: #308
? TCU split its last six games.
? Horned Frogs lost three of four Big X home games.
? TCU is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#316)
? Horned Frogs are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
? Horned Frogs? last four games went over.
? TCU?s schedule, to this point: #65
? bench minutes: #104

? Big X home teams are 6-3 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Cowboys beat TCU 57-56 at home January 19.
? TCU led by 9 with 3:16 left in game.
? TCU won seven of last nine series games.
? Cowboys lost last four trips to TCU, by 20-2-12-9 points.

Auburn @ Arkansas
? Auburn (22-1, 10-0) ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #75
? Experience: #306
? Continuity: #279
? Auburn won its last nine games.
? Tigers are 2-2 ATS as SEC road favorites.
? Opponents are shooting 43.3% inside arc (#12)
? Over is 7-3 in Tigers? last ten games.
? Auburn?s schedule, to this point: #28
? bench minutes: #79

? Arkansas (18-5, 7-3) ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #16
? Experience: #74
? Continuity: #283
? Arkansas won its last eight games.
? Razorbacks are 4-2 ATS as SEC home favorites.
? Arkansas is #14 team in country on defensive boards.
? Under is 5-3 in Razorbacks? last eight games.
? Arkansas schedule, to this point: #93
? bench minutes: #274

? SEC home teams are 9-4 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Auburn lost six of last eight trips to Arkansas.

LSU @ Texas A&M
? LSU (16-7, 4-6) ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #88
? Experience: #332
? Continuity: #302
? LSU lost six of its last seven games.
? Tigers are turning ball over 23.7% of time in SEC tilts (#14)
? LSU lost last four road games, by 3-14-9-9 points.
? Tigers? last four games went over the total.
? LSU?s schedule, to this point: #21
? bench minutes: #171

? Texas A&M (13-10, 5-7) ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #341
? Experience: #99
? Continuity: #92
? Texas A&M lost its last six games, after a 15-2 start.
? Aggies lost last three home games, by 6-11-4 points.
? In SEC games, A&M has been worst in league on defensive boards.
? Aggies? last five games went over the total.
? Texas A&M?s schedule, to this point: #51
? bench minutes: #92

? SEC home teams are 9-4 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? LSU beat Texas A&M 70-64 at home January 26.
? That is LSU?s only win in their last seven games.
? Tigers outscored A&M 24-13 on foul line that night.
? LSU won last nine series games.
? Tigers won last four visits here, by 1-15-4-12 points.

Villanova @ St John?s
? Villanova (17-6, 10-3) ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #354
? Experience: #60
? Continuity: #40
? Villanova won 10 of its last 12 games.
? Wildcats? star Gillespie hurt ankle last game (check status)
? Villanova is 4-3 in its last seven road games.
? Under is 12-7 in Wildcats? last 19 games.
? Villanova?s schedule, to this point: #90
? bench minutes: #290

? St John?s (4-16, 2-9) ranked #340 by KenPom
? Tempo: #317
? Experience: #230
? Continuity: #10
? St John?s is 1-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Red Storm is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#29)
? Opponents are shooting 45% inside arc (#23)
? Over is 10-6 in Red Storm?s last 16 games.
? St John?s schedule, to this point: #238
? bench minutes: #52

? Big East home dogs of 5 or less points are 6-10 ATS
? Villanova beat St John?s 73-62 at home January 29
? Wildcats made 11-23 on arc that day.
? Villanova won four of last five series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Utah State @ Wyoming
? Utah State (15-9, 6-5) ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #195
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #228
? Utah State won its last five games.
? Aggies are shooting 57.4% inside arc (#6)
? Utah State lost three of its five MW road tilts.
? Under is 8-4 in Aggies? last 12 games.
? Utah State?s schedule, to this point: #63
? bench minutes: #229

? Wyoming (19-3, 8-1) ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #241
? Experience: #191
? Continuity: #88
? Wyoming won 10 of its last 11 games.
? Cowboys are shooting 57.2% inside arc (#8)
? Wyoming is 2-2 ATS as a MW home favorite.
? Cowboys? last five home games went over.
? Wyoming?s schedule, to this point: #87
? bench minutes: #342

? Mountain West home teams are 5-8 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Wyoming won 71-69 at Utah State January 15.
? Utah State had won previous six series games.
? Utah State won 71-55/68-45 in last two visits to Laramie.

Illinois @ Purdue
? Illinois (19-3, 8-1) ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #79
? Experience: #140
? Continuity: #61
? Illinois won four in row, 10 of last 12 games.
? Illini has #34 eFG% in country.
? Illinois is grabbing 35.4% of its misses (#15)
? Under is 6-4 in last ten Illini games.
? Illinois schedule, to this point: #3
? bench minutes: #218

? Purdue (17-6, 6-4) ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #347
? Experience: #16
? Continuity: #264
? Purdue won five in row, eight of last nine games.
? Last five games, Boilers scored 82.8 ppg.
? Purdue has #2 eFG% in country.
? Over is 9-2 in Boilers? last 11 games.
? Purdue?s schedule, to this point: #75
? bench minutes: #147

? Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 12-9 ATS
? Purdue won 96-88 in 2OT at Illinois January 17
? Boilers outscored Illinois 26-15 on foul line.
? Illini had won previous three series games.
? Illinois lost seven of last eight visits to Purdue.

UCLA @ Stanford
? UCLA (19-2, 9-1) ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #355
? Continuity: #200
? UCLA lost last two games, after a 16-2 start.
? Bruins are 1-3 ATS as a Pac-12 road favorite.
? Opponents are shooting 46.6% inside arc (#59)
? Under is 5-2 in Bruins? last seven games.
? UCLA?s schedule, to this point: #72
? bench minutes: #189

? Stanford (7-13, 3-7) ranked #133 by KenPom
? Tempo: #183
? Experience: #225
? Continuity: #325
? Stanford won four of its last six games.
? Cardinal is turning ball over 22.7% of time (#346)
? Stanford is 6-7 against top 100 teams.
? Under is 7-2 in last nine Cardinal games.
? Stanford?s schedule, to this point: #2
? bench minutes: #137

? Pac-12 home underdogs of 8 or less points are 5-9 ATS
? UCLA whacked Stanford 66-43 at home January 29.
? Teams combined to make 7-49 on arc in that game.
? Teams split last six series games.
? UCLA lost its last three visits to Maples Pavilion.

Saint Mary?s @ Santa Clara
? Saint Mary?s (19-4, 7-1) ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #337
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #20
? Saint Mary?s won its last seven games.
? Gaels won last four road tilts, by 15-32-2-21 points.
? Saint Mary?s is forcing turnovers 21% of time in WCC tilts (#1)
? Over is 4-1 in Gaels? last five games.
? Saint Mary?s schedule, to this point: #286
? bench minutes: #227

? Santa Clara (11-11, 6-4) ranked #223 by KenPom
? Tempo: #66
? Experience: #14
? Continuity: #129
? Santa Clara won five of its last six games.
? Broncos won their last four home games.
? Santa Clara is shooting 54% inside arc (#42)
? Over is 4-2 in Broncos? last six games.
? Santa Clara?s schedule, to this point: #179
? bench minutes: #352

? WCC home teams are 7-6 ATS if spread was 5 or less.
? Gaels beat Santa Clara 73-65 at home January 20.
? Saint Mary?s won 10 of last 12 series games.
? Gaels won its last five visits to Santa Clara.

 

[Udog]

Marquette is 9-0 ATS in past nine games overall.
Marquette is 9-0 ATS in past nine vs. winning teams.
Marquette is 6-0 ATS in past six road games.
Marquette is 8-0 ATS in past eight following a cover.
Marquette is 7-0 ATS in past seven following a SU win.
UConn is 8-2 ATS in past 10 games played on a Tuesday.
The UNDER is 5-1 in past six games overall for Marquette.
The UNDER is 4-1-1 in past six road games for Marquette.
The UNDER is 5-0 in past five following a SU win for Marquette.
The OVER is 4-1 in past five vs. winning teams for Marquette.
The OVER is 7-2 in past nine games overall for UConn.
The OVER is 24-9 in past 33 home games for UConn.
The OVER is 8-3 in past 11 vs. winning teams for UConn.
The favorite is 4-0 ATS in past four meetings.
The road team is 7-2 ATS in past nine meetings.


Wisconsin is 0-5 ATS in past five games overall.
Wisconsin is 6-2 ATS in past eight road games vs. team with winning home record.
Wisconsin is 0-4 ATS in past four following ATS loss.
Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in past five home games.
Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in past four following SU loss.
The OVER is 9-3 in past 12 games for Wisconsin.
The OVER is 4-1 in past five road games for Wisconsin.
The OVER is 8-1 in past nine for Wisconsin following SU win.
The UNDER is 5-2-1 in past eight vs. winning teams for Wisconsin.
The OVER is 5-2-1 in past eight home games for Michigan State.
The OVER is 3-1-1 in past five after SU loss for Michigan State.
The underdog is 7-3 ATS in past 10 meetings.


Auburn is 19-7 ATS in the past 26 games overall.
Auburn is 13-3 ATS in the past 16 vs. winning teams.
Auburn is 23-8-1 ATS in the past 32 games after a SU win.
Auburn is 5-2 ATS in the past seven following an ATS loss.
Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in the past five home games.
Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in the past six vs. winning teams.
Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in the past six following an ATS win.
Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in the past four following a SU win.
The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 games overall for Auburn.
The road team is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 games overall.


Illinois is 5-1 ATS in the past six as an underdog.
Illinois is 5-0 ATS in the past six as a road underdog.
Illinois is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 vs. winning teams.
Purdue is 2-5 ATS in the past seven home games.
Purdue is 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a home favorite.
The OVER is 12-5-1 in the past 18 games overall for Illinois.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight as a 'dog for Illinois.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four games overall for Purdue.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four as a favorite for Purdue.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six home games for Purdue.
The home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Baltimore Orioles:
1) Adley Rutschman, C
2) Grayson Rodriguez, P
3) DL Hall, P
4) Gunnar Henderson, SS
5) Colton Cowser, OF
6) Jordan Westburg, SS

Quote of the Day
?We all run our own race, whatever that may be. It?s part of the journey and this year obviously was a tough experience, winning three games and all that, but it?s all part of the journey. My time will come, whenever that may be, to get another crack at it.?
Jared Goff

Wednesday?s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner played the GM of the Cleveland Browns, who played the coach of the Browns?

Tuesday?s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon was a quarterback at UCLA.

Monday?s quiz
In last ten NCAA tournaments, Gonzaga has been a #1-seed four times.

******************************

Wednesday?s Den: mid-week musings??..

13) Arkansas 80, Auburn 76 OT:
? #1 team in country loses a tough game, ending their 19-game win streak.
? Auburn led by 5 with 2:40 left to play.
? Foul line: Arkansas 26-32, Auburn 8-17
? After this game ended, students stormed the court; Auburn?s team had very little protection as they tried to get to the locker room. This was a potentially dangerous thing; Arkansas needs to do better to protect its guests.

12) When the conference tournaments start in a few weeks, obviously teams have to win three or four days in a row to get into the NCAA Tournament. You need some depth to get thru games 3-4 days in a row.

Here are a few teams that lack depth, and may struggle to win their conference tournament because of that:
#358 in bench minutes- St Bonaventure
#357- Oakland
#356- Wright State
#353- Toledo
#351- North Texas

11) Why would anyone trade for Ben Simmons? Guy is very talented, one of the best passers I?ve ever seen, but your best players have to be good guys, team guys, not entitled, selfish people who care only about themselves.

Simmons hasn?t played a minute this year and he?s healthy; he?s offended because the 76ers? coach didn?t fly cross-country to beg him to play this season. He?s opted out of $24M this year because his feelings got hurt (he still gets $8M this year for doing nothing)

Four years ago, Showtime aired a documentary about Simmons, which was filmed after his one college year, but before the NBA Draft; he didn?t come across well.

Four years with the 76ers, they won lot of regular season games, but went 19-19 in playoff games and never got the Eastern Conference finals. One year at LSU and they didn?t even get into the NCAA Tournament.

You pay someone $30M a year, you want a team leader and Simmons doesn?t seem to be one.

10) After the NCAA Tournament, we?ll get into this more, but there will be lot of conference shuffling next year. Conference USA will look almost totally different; CAA is adding three teams, lot of the mid-major leagues are juggling teams.

Loyola Chi is going to the A-14, which becomes the A-15 I guess.

9) Major league umpire Phil Cuzzi was on MLB Network the other day; he said he?s worked two no-hitters behind the plate and in both games, he wasn?t aware that the pitcher had a no-hitter until the last batter.

Not sure how that happens; these stadiums have very large scoreboards, but he concentrates on his job I guess, and wasn?t aware of it.

8) Purdue 84, Illinois 68:
? Boilers sweep Illinois; this was a pretty good beating.
? One of the newer things I try to do now is identify the legit NBA prospects who are still in college, and then lean on them in March. Purdue?s Jaden Ivey seems like one of those guys, but I?m not a big Matt Painter fan. Purdue has size and some diverse scorers, though, and that wins lot of games in March.

7) Wyoming 78, Utah State 76 OT:
? Cowboys won five games in row, four by 2 points or in OT.
? Last six years, Wyoming was 34-68 in conference games; now they?re 20-3, 9-1 in league and Jeff Linder deserves some mention for National Coach of the Year.

6) NFL coach stuff:
? Saints named Dennis Allen their new coach
? Texans named Lovie Smith their new coach
? Green Bay named Rich Bisaccia their special teams coach
? Giants named Don Martindale their defensive coordinator

5) It is amazing to me that there are still states where high school basketball doesn?t have a shot clock. Basketball without shot clocks can be strangled by stubborn coaches who won?t come out of zone defenses, and by coaches who refuse to play against zones (if they?re ahead).

In the late 70?s, there was a Duke-North Carolina game that was 7-0 at halftime. Seriously.

Putting the shot clock into college ball was a great move that helped make the game a lot more popular.

4) If you like to wager on pro golf, note that Patrick Cantlay is 97-under par in his last five tournaments, with a birdie-or-better % of 34.4%.

3) Washington Wizards? star Bradley Beal is out for the year, with a left wrist injury.

2) Colorado Rockies extended manager Bud Black?s contract thru the 2023 season.

1) Dodgers? P Trevor Bauer will not be criminally charged by Los Angeles prosecutors after a woman charged him with assault/other stuff, so now the big question is, what do the Dodgers do with him. Will they cut him? Trade him? Play him?

Bauer hasn?t committed a crime and the Dodgers owe him $64M over the next two seasons, but the baseball commissioner, who is currently involved with trying to screw up the sport with its labor dysfunction, has the autonomy to hand out suspensions under the domestic violence policy, so Bauer could still be suspended this season.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

Xavier is 1-7 ATS in the past eight games overall.
Xavier is 1-6 ATS in the past seven vs. winning teams.
Seton Hall is 1-4 ATS in the past five home games.
Seton Hall is 2-5 ATS in the past seven vs. winning teams.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six games overall for Xavier.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five road games for Xavier.
The UNDER is 20-8 in the past 28 games overall for Seton Hall.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for Seton Hall.
The underdog is 13-3 ATS in the past 16 meetings.
The road team is 5-0 ATS in the five meetings.


Ohio State is 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
Ohio State is 13-6 ATS in the past 19 road games.
Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in the past six home games.
The OVER is 13-5 in the past 18 games overall for Ohio State.
The OVER is 21-6 in the past 27 road games for Ohio State.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four vs. winning teams for Ohio State.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four vs. winning teams for Rutgers.
The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.
The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings.

 

[Udog]

I've got appointments with doctors all morning. Back later.....

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 9

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 9

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 9

Richmond @ George Mason
? Richmond (16-8, 7-4) ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #173
? Experience: #22
? Continuity: #17
? Richmond won six of its last seven games.
? Spiders won their last four road games.
? Richmond is shooting 53.2% inside arc (#62)
? Spiders? last six games stayed under the total.
? Richmond?s schedule, to this point: #95
? bench minutes: #246

? George Mason (11-10, 4-4) ranked #104 by KenPom
? Tempo: #305
? Experience: #94
? Continuity: #281
? George Mason lost last three games, by 2-5-3 points.
? Patriots won five of their last six home games.
? George Mason is shooting 40.3% on arc in A-14 games (#1)
? Over is 4-2 in Patriots? last six games.
? George Mason?s schedule, to this point: #105
? bench minutes: #257

? A-14 home teams are 7-11 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Richmond nipped GMU 62-59 at home Monday night.
? Spiders outscored George Mason 11-2 over final 5:25.
? Richmond won six of last seven series games.
? Spiders won three of last four visits to Fairfax.

Ohio State @ Rutgers
? Ohio State (14-5, 7-3) ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #240
? Experience: #186
? Continuity: #210
? Ohio State won four of its last five games.
? Buckeyes split their six Big 14 road games.
? Ohio State is shooting 56.2% inside arc (#13)
? Over is 5-2 in Buckeyes? last seven games.
? Ohio State?s schedule, to this point: #14
? bench minutes: #138

? Rutgers (13-9, 7-5) ranked #89 by KenPom
? Tempo: #292
? Experience: #121
? Continuity: #37
? Rutgers lost three of its last five games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#23)
? Rutgers is 3-3 against top 50 teams.
? Under is 5-3 in Scarlet Knights? last eight games.
? Rutgers?s schedule, to this point: #83
? bench minutes: #168

? Big 14 home underdogs of 4 or less points are 8-10 ATS
? Ohio State won last five series games.
? Buckeyes won three of last four visits to the Garden State.

Xavier @ Seton Hall
? Xavier (16-6, 6-5) ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #99
? Experience: #126
? Continuity: #64
? Xavier lost three of its last five games.
? Musketeers are 1-0 ATS as a Big East dog this year.
? Opponents are shooting 46.6% inside arc (#60)
? Under is 5-1 in Musketeers? last six games.
? Xavier?s schedule, to this point: #33
? bench minutes: #161

? Seton Hall (14-7, 5-6) ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #77
? Experience: #20
? Continuity: #172
? Seton Hall won last two games, giving up 63-55 points.
? Pirates are 1-3 ATS as a Big East home favorite.
? Seton Hall has #276 eFG% in country.
? Pirates? last six games stayed under the total.
? Seton Hall?s schedule to this point: #25
? bench minutes: #55

? Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 2-4 ATS.
? Teams split last ten meetings.
? Xavier won last three visits to Seton Hall, by 9-1-12 points.

Houston @ SMU
? Houston (20-2, 9-0) ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #198
? Experience: #288
? Continuity: #225
? Houston won its last 12 games SU
? Cougars are 3-2 ATS as an AAC road favorite.
? Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
? Over is 6-3 in Cougars? last nine games.
? Houston?s schedule, to this point: #9
? bench minutes: #306

? SMU (16-5, 7-2) ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #136
? Experience: #35
? Continuity: #237
? SMU won 13 of its last 15 games.
? Mustangs split their six games vs top 100 teams.
? Opponents are shooting 44.4% inside arc (#16)
? Under is 7-1 in Mustangs? last eight games.
? SMU?s schedule, to this point: #78
? bench minutes: #284

? AAC home underdogs of 7 or less points are 3-7 ATS
? Houston won seven of last eight series games.
? Cougars won three of last four visits to SMU.

Yale @ Harvard
? Yale (12-9, 6-1) ranked #150 by KenPom
? Tempo: #73
? Experience: #144
? Continuity: #n/a
? Yale won last four games, last three by 6-3-3 points.
? Bulldogs are 10-3 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
? Yale has 45.8% eFG% defense in Ivy games (#1)
? Over is 3-1 in Bulldogs? last four games.
? Yale?s schedule, to this point: #195
? bench minutes: #109

? Harvard (11-8, 3-4) ranked #196 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #219
? Continuity: #n/a
? Harvard lost three of its last four games.
? Crimson lost both of its Ivy home games, to Brown/Penn
? Harvard forces turnovers 21.5% of time (#44)/
? Under is 4-1 in last five Crimson games.
? Harvard?s schedule, to this point: #256
? bench minutes: #93

? Ivy League home teams are 6-3 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Yale held off Harvard 58-55 at home Saturday.
? Teams combined to go 6-32 on arc.
? Harvard won six of last eight series games.
? Yale lost last four visits here, by 13-15-16-14 points,

Missouri State @ Drake
? Missouri State (17-8, 8-4) ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #226
? Experience: #139
? Continuity: #93
? Missouri State won six of its last eight games.
? Bears have #21 eFG% in country.
? Missouri State won four of its five MVC road games.
? Over is 9-4 in Bears? last 13 games.
? Missouri State?s schedule, to this point: #6
? bench minutes: #42

? Drake (17-7, 8-3) ranked #91 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #36
? Continuity: #25
? Drake won four of its last five games.
? Three of those five games went to overtime.
? Drake is 3-7 against top 100 teams this season.
? Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs? last six games.
? Drake?s schedule, to this point: #149
? bench minutes: #181

? MVC home teams are 5-7 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Missouri State beat Drake 61-56 at home January 2.
? Drake led by 11 early; they shot 1-16 on arc that day.
? Missouri State won last two meetings, after losing previous five.
? Bears lost last three visits to Drake, by 3-11-2 points.

Baylor @ Kansas State
? Baylor (19-4, 7-3) ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #6
? Experience: #211
? Continuity: #236
? Baylor split its last eight games, after a 15-0 start.
? Bears lost their last two road games, at Alabama/Kansas.
? Big X opponents are shooting 55.9% inside arc (#10)
? Over is 9-5 in Bears? last 14 games.
? Baylor?s schedule, to this point: #29
? bench minutes: #70

? Kansas State (12-10, 4-6) ranked #56 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #216
? Continuity: #132
? K-State is 4-3 SU in its last seven games.
? Wildcats lost last five times they gave up 70+ points.
? Opponents are shooting 26.8% on arc this year (#3)
? Over is 7-4 in Wildcats? last 11 games.
? Kansas State?s schedule, to this point: #15
? bench minutes: #154

? Big X home underdogs of 6+ points are 2-4 ATS.
? Baylor whacked K-State 74-49 at home January 25.
? Bears shot 73.3% inside arc that day.
? Baylor won last six series games.
? Bears won 73-67/100-69 in last two visits to Manhattan.

Tulane @ Memphis
? Tulane (10-10, 7-4) ranked #106 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #353
? Continuity: #77
? Tulane won three of its last four games.
? Green Wave is 4-0 ATS as an ACC road underdog.
? Tulane covered seven of last eight games, overall.
? Over is 3-1 in last four Green Wave games.
? Tulane?s schedule, to this point: #94
? bench minutes: #286

? Memphis (12-8, 6-4) ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #21
? Experience: #260
? Continuity: #187
? Memphis won last three games, scoring 80.7 ppg.
? Tigers turn ball over 22.9% of time (#348)
? Opponents are shooting 44.3% inside arc (#15)
? Under is 4-2 in Tigers? last six games.
? Memphis schedule, to this point: #52
? bench minutes: #1

? AAC home favorites of 9+ points are 3-8 ATS
? Tulane upset Memphis 85-84 at home on December 29
? Memphis won 11 of last 12 series games.
? Green Wave lost 13 of last 14 visits to Memphis,

Alabama @ Ole Miss
? Alabama (14-9, 4-6) ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #17
? Experience: #236
? Continuity: #215
? Alabama lost six of its last nine games.
? Crimson Tide lost last four road tilts, giving up 88 ppg.
? Alabama is shooting 26.5% on arc in SEC games (#14 of 14)
? Over is 7-3 in Crimson Tide?s last ten games.
? Alabama?s schedule, to this point: #1
? bench minutes: #260

? Ole Miss (12-11, 3-7) ranked #102 by KenPom
? Tempo: #291
? Experience: #168
? Continuity: #218
? Ole Miss won three of its last five games.
? Rebels are turning ball over 23% of time in SEC games (#13 of 14)
? Ole Miss is 2-2 ATS as an SEC home underdog.
? Under is 4-1 in Rebels? last five games.
? Ole Miss schedule, to this point: #238
? bench minutes: #52

? SEC home underdogs are 14-10 ATS
? Alabama won last four series games.
? Crimson Tide lost three of last four visits to Oxford.

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma
? Texas Tech (15-9, 6-5) ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #195
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #228
? Texas Tech won eight of its last ten games.
? Red Raiders force turnovers 23.5% of time (#16)
? Texas Tech lost three of its five Big X road games.
? Over is 4-2 in Red Raiders? last six games.
? Texas Tech?s schedule, to this point: #63
? bench minutes: #229

? Oklahoma (13-10, 3-7) ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #264
? Experience: #54
? Continuity: #276
? Oklahoma lost seven of its last eight games.
? Sooners are turning ball over 23.5% of time in Big X games (#9 of 10)
? Oklahoma is 3-6 this season vs top 50 teams.
? Three of Sooners? last four games went over the total.
? Oklahoma?s schedule, to this point: #20
? bench minutes: #299

? Big X home teams are 9-3 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Texas Tech won six of last seven series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Loyola @ Bradley
? Loyola (18-4, 9-2) ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #323
? Experience: #33
? Continuity: #49
? Loyola won 13 of its last 15 games.
? Ramblers are 2-3 ATS as an MVC road favorite.
? Loyola has #9 eFG% in country.
? Over is 8-4 in Ramblers? last 12 games.
? Loyola?s schedule, to this point: #111
? bench minutes: #107

? Bradley (13-11, 7-5) ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #175
? Experience: #16
? Continuity: #264
? Bradley won five of its last six games.
? Braves won last three home games, giving up 53.7 ppg.
? Bradley has best eFG% defense in MVC games.
? Under is 3-1 in Braves? last four games.
? Bradley?s schedule, to this point: #75
? bench minutes: #147

? MVC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-5 ATS
? Loyola beat Bradley 78-71 in OT at home January 8.
? Bradley led by 6 with 2:39 left in regulation.
? Loyola won 10 of last 13 series games.
? Ramblers lost two of last three visits to Peoria.

Tennessee @ Mississippi State
? Tennessee (16-6, 7-3) ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #129
? Experience: #291
? Continuity: #201
? Tennessee won five of its last six games.
? Volunteers force turnovers 24.9% of time (#7)
? Tennessee lost its #3 scorer/#2 rebounder for season.
? Over is 3-1 in Volunteers? last four games.
? Tennessee?s schedule, to this point: #10
? bench minutes: #44

? Mississippi State (14-8, 5-4) ranked #43 by KenPom
? Tempo: #289
? Experience: #217
? Continuity: #261
? Miss State lost four of its last six games.
? Bulldogs are 5-0 SU at home, 0-4 on road in SEC games.
? Miss State is 4-6 against top 100 teams.
? Over is 9-2 in Bulldogs? last eleven games.
? Mississippi State?s schedule, to this point: #70
? bench minutes: #222

? SEC home teams are 9-5 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Tennessee won five of last six series games.
? Teams split last four meetings in Starkville.

California @ Oregon State
? California (9-15, 2-11) ranked #139 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #78
? Continuity: #80
? California lost its last ten games.
? Bears are 0-6 on Pac-12 road, scoring 58.2 ppg.
? California is shooting 47.8% inside arc (#251)
? Over is 5-1 in Bears? last six games.
? California?s schedule, to this point: #46
? bench minutes: #237

? Oregon State (3-17, 1-9) ranked #223 by KenPom
? Tempo: #216
? Experience: #104
? Continuity: #152
? Oregon State lost its last seven games.
? Beavers lost three of four Pac-12 home games.
? Opponents are shooting 55.2% inside arc (#334)
? Over is 9-1 in Beavers? last ten games.
? Oregon State?s schedule, to this point: #35
? bench minutes: #26

? Pac-12 home teams are 10-11 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Cal beat Oregon State 73-61 at home December 2.
? Cal is 6-4 in last ten series games.
? Bears lost last three visits to Corvallis, by 8-18-9 points.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday?s 6-pack
Six top teams in roster continuity (of teams we track here):
1) Southern Utah
4) South Dakota State
6) Appalachian State
7) St Bonaventure
8) North Dakota State
9) Fairfield

Quote of the Day
?I really like him. I?m really excited. I?m really excited for the future. I?ve spoken with him a couple of times, really just impressed by who he is. I think, personality-wise, we?re going to gel really well. I think we?re pretty similar. Just knowing he played the position.?
Trevor Lawrence, talking about Doug Peterson, his new coach

Thursday?s quiz
Where did Kawhi Leonard play his college basketball?

Wednesday?s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner played the GM of the Cleveland Browns, Denis Leary played the coach of the Browns.

Tuesday?s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon played college football at UCLA.

********************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) SMU 85, Houston 83:
? Houston?s first loss in ten AAC games; they had won 12 games in a row.
? Mustangs made 12-23 on arc; they?re 14-2 in their last 16 games.
? SMU starts five seniors; this win will carry weight on Selection Sunday.

12) Oklahoma 70, Texas Tech 55:
? Sooners were 13-28 on arc, Tech 2-17.
? Only second win in last nine games for Oklahoma.
? Last two games, Red Raiders are 6-38 on the arc.

11) We talked some the other day about Marquette coach Shaka Smart, how he?s struggled in NCAA Tournament games the last few years, but he?s done very well in conference tournaments, going 17-7 as a head coach in conference tournament games, winning three tournaments.

10) Over the last eight years, six different schools won the Mountain West tournament, and none of them was UNLV, which hosts the tournament. San Diego State/Utah State split the last four years- four other teams won the four years before that.

9) Of the last 14 teams to win the national title in college basketball, 11 of them were favored by 20+ points in their first round game. Last 15 national champs went 12-3 ATS in their first round games.

8) Atlantic 14 is looking like a one-bid league, so their conference tournament will be fun to follow; last time the #1-seed won the A-14 was way back in 2013. Top four teams in A-14 this season are pretty well-matched.

7) Portland (+18) 69, San Francisco 68? This game was late Tuesday and it might hurt the WCC?s chances of getting four teams in March Madness. Horrific loss for USF, losing to a 12-12 Pilots squad that is 3-6 in the WCC. Bubble teams can?t be losing to stiffs.

6) Big thing in handicapping college basketball, for me at least, has become identifying college players who would be playing in the NBA if they were there. Those players figure to dominate college games, right?
? Jabari Smith, Auburn
? Jaden Ivey, Purdue
? Chet Holmgren, Gonzaga

Those are three guys I would put in that class right now.

5) Was watching a replay of the 2000 World Series between the two New York teams, and one of the FOX analysts was former big league catcher Bob Brenly. These days, Brenly is the TV analyst for Arizona Diamondback games.

But in 2001, right after his World Series stint on TV, Brenly took over as the Diamondbacks?s manager? he won the World Series in his first year as a skipper. He went 303-262 in 3+ years managing in Arizona.

4) Brooklyn Nets lost their last nine games, going 1-8 ATS; they had players making a combined $129M this season sitting out their last game with injuries.

3) Rutgers 66, Ohio State 64? Rutgers outscored the Buckeyes 10-0 over final 3:12 of game. When you shoot 10-18 on arc and lose, that?s a bad loss- OSU was 13-39 inside the arc.

2) I?m thinking the increased reliance on the 3-point shot has made handicapping college basketball more difficult- there are way more long rebounds in games with missed 3?s- teams get streaky, both good and bad.

Arizona was 16-1 at one point, then they went 10-51 on the arc over a 2-game stretch, losing at UCLA and struggling to beat rival Arizona State. Wildcats have good size, they run like hell, but knocking down 3?s is what makes them an excellent team.

In three games since that first ASU game, Arizona has recovered to go 19-51 on arc.

1) Notre Dame 63, Louisville 57? Louisville has lost nine of its last ten games, has already fired their coach- they?re 11-13, 5-9 in the ACC. Once late March/April rolls around, who they hire as their new coach will be a very interesting topic.

 

[Udog]