CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Genesis Invitational golf tournament this week:
+950? Jon Rahm
+1200? Patrick Cantlay
+1600? Justin Thomas
+1800? Dustin Johnson
+2000? Collin Morikawa
+2200? Rory McIlroy

Quote of the Day
?Be yourself; everyone else is already taken.?
Oscar Wilde

Wednesday?s quiz
Where did Aaron Rodgers play his college football?

Tuesday?s quiz
Bob Huggins is best known for coaching Cincinnati/West Virginia; in between those two stops, he coached Kansas State for one season.

Monday?s quiz
In Matthew Stafford?s 12 years in Detroit, he played for three head coaches:
? Jim Schwartz 29-52
? Jim Caldwell 36-30
? Matt Patricia 13-29-1

**********************************

Wednesday?s Den: Conference tournament trends??..

College tournaments aren?t that far away; here are some trends for how teams have done in their tournaments.

13) Since 2004, Gonzaga is 37-4 in the WCC tournament; since 2010, Saint Mary?s is 17-9. BYU is 9-8 in their last 17 tourney games.

Other than those three teams, not lot of wins left in the WCC.

12) Despite playing the Big East tournament on its home floor at Madison Square Garden, since 2003, St John?s is 8-14 in Big East tournament.

Similar thing for UNLV, which hosts the Mountain West event; since 2009, Rebels are 11-13 in conference tournament games- they last won the tournament in 2009.

11) Since 2013, Iona is 24-3 in MAAC tournament games, 17-1 since 2016.

On other hand, Marist is 1-9 in last nine MAAC tourneys.

10) Since 2003, under five different coaches, VCU is 34-14 in conference tournament games.

9) Cincinnati is 10-2 in its last four conference tournaments, winning two of them.

8) Last eight conference tournaments, George Washington has gone W-L seven times.

7) 11 of the last 12 years, San Diego State has won at least two games in the Mountain West tournament; since 2009, they?re 27-9 in the conference tournament.

6) Last four years, Utah State is 10-2 in Mountain West tournament.

5) San Jose State is 0-8 in its last eight Mountain West tournaments, with last seven losses all by 13+ points.

4) From 2012-14, Louisville went 10-0 in winning three straight conference tournaments; since then, Cardinals are 2-5 in conference tournament games.

3) Last five years, Oklahoma is 0-4 in Big X tournament games.

2) Since 2015, Arizona is 11-2 in Pac-12 tournament games; since 2009, Washington State is 1-10 in tournament games.

1) Since 2015, Cal-Irvine is 13-4 in Big West tournament games; last five years, Hawaii is 0-4.
 

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NCAAB

Wednesday, February 16


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 16


St John?s @ Xavier
? St John?s (13-11, 5-8) ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #172
? Continuity: #244
? St John?s lost eight of its last 12 games.
? Red Storm are 4-2 ATS as Big East road underdogs.
? St John?s is #332 team in country on defensive boards.
? Over is 3-1 in last four Red Storm games.
? St John?s schedule, to this point: #79
? bench minutes: #115

? Xavier (17-7, 7-6) ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #106
? Experience: #126
? Continuity: #60
? Xavier is 3-4 in its last seven games.
? Musketeers are 1-6 ATS in Big East home games.
? Opponents are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#44)
? Over is 3-1 in Musketeers? last four games.
? Xavier?s schedule, to this point: #29
? bench minutes: #179

? Big East home favorites of 8 or less points are 10-11 ATS.
? Xavier won 12 of last 13 series games.
? St John?s lost its last six games in Cintas Center.

East Tennessee State @ Mercer
? East Tennessee State (13-14, 5-9) ranked #176 by KenPom
? Tempo: #294
? Experience: #258
? Continuity: #160
? ETSU lost six of its last seven games.
? Buccaneers are 2-4 ATS in SoCon road games.
? Opponents are shooting 55.7% inside arc (#347)
? Over is 7-4 in Buccaneers? last 11 games.
? East Tennessee State?s schedule, to this point: #113
? bench minutes: #281

? Mercer (14-13, 7-7) ranked #193 by KenPom
? Tempo: #280
? Experience: #127
? Continuity: #233
? Mercer lost five of its last seven games.
? Bears are 4-3 ATS in SoCon home games.
? Mercer has #319 eFG% defense.
? Bears? last four games went over the total.
? Mercer?s schedule, to this point: #120
? bench minutes: #313

? SoCon home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-9 ATS
? ETSU beat Mercer 72-64 at home January 19
? Buccaneers made 10-23 on arc in that game.
? ETSU won 13 of last 15 series games.
? Buccaneers won last six visits to Macon.

Illinois @ Rutgers
? Illinois (18-6, 11-3) ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #185
? Experience: #74
? Continuity: #138
? Illinois won five of its last six games.
? Illini is 3-4 ATS in Big 14 road games.
? Opponents are shooting 43.8% inside arc (#13)
? Over is 4-3 in Illini?s Big 14 road games.
? Illinois schedule, to this point: #16
? bench minutes: #256

? Rutgers (13-11, 5-7) ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #251
? Experience: #214
? Continuity: #133
? Rutgers won four of its last five games.
? Knights are 6-1 ATS in Big 14 home games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.4% inside arc (#25)
? Over is 3-1 in Knights? last four games.
? Rutgers schedule to this point: #9
? bench minutes: #163

? Big 14 single digit home underdogs are 13-19 ATS
? Rutgers got drilled 86-51 at Illinois December 3.
? Illinois won six of last eight series games.
? Illini lost 72-57/91-88 in last two visits here.

Mississippi State @ Alabama
? Mississippi State (14-10, 5-6) ranked #43 by KenPom
? Tempo: #279
? Experience: #215
? Continuity: #257
? Miss State lost five of its last six games.
? Bulldogs are 3-4 ATS in SEC road games.
? Miss State is 4-7 against top 100 teams.
? Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs? last five games.
? Mississippi State?s schedule, to this point: #48
? bench minutes: #217

? Alabama (16-9, 6-6) ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #15
? Experience: #240
? Continuity: #217
? Alabama split its last six games.
? Crimson Tide is shooting 28.6% on arc in SEC tilts (#11 of 12)
? Alabama is 0-6 ATS in SEC home games.
? Over is 8-4 in last 12 Crimson Tide games.
? Alabama?s schedule, to this point: #1
? bench minutes: #231

? SEC home favorites of 7 or less points are 17-9 ATS.
? Miss State beat Alabama 78-76 at home January 15.
? Alabama is 5-4 in last nine series games.
? Bulldogs lost last five visits to Tuscaloosa.

Miami @ Louisville
? Miami (18-7, 10-4) ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #159
? Experience: #158
? Continuity: #235
? Miami won four of its last six games.
? Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in ACC road games.
? Miami is shooting 54% inside arc (#39)
? Under is 7-3 in Hurricanes? last ten games.
? Miami?s schedule, to this point: #47
? bench minutes: #344

? Louisville (11-13, 5-9) ranked #127 by KenPom
? Tempo: #155
? Experience: #120
? Continuity: #302
? Louisville lost six in row, nine of last ten games.
? Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in ACC home games.
? Louisville is shooting 31.9% on arc (#264)
? Under is 6-3 in Cardinals? last nine games.
? Louisville?s schedule, to this point: #51
? bench minutes: #14

? ACC home teams are 13-21 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Louisville won three of last four series games.
? Miami lost last four visits to Louisville, by 32-5-17-16 points.

Pitt @ North Carolina
? Pitt (10-16, 5-10) ranked #178 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #188
? Continuity: #315
? Pitt won last two games, by total of seven points.
? Panthers are 3-5 ATS in ACC road games.
? Pitt is shooting 44.9% inside arc in ACC games (#15 of 15)
? Under is 7-4 in Panthers? last 11 games.
? Pitt?s schedule, to this point: #66
? bench minutes: #263

? North Carolina (18-7, 10-4) ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #38
? Experience: #213
? Continuity: #85
? North Carolina won six of its last seven games.
? Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in ACC home games.
? North Carolina is #4 team in country on defensive boards.
? Tar Heels? last five games went over the total.
? North Carolina?s schedule, to this point: #44
? bench minutes: #341

? ACC double digit home favorites are 9-10 ATS
? UNC won seven of last nine series games.
? Panthers lost four of last five visits to Chapel Hill.

Georgetown @ Marquette
? Georgetown (6-18, 0-13) ranked #210 by KenPom
? Tempo: #28
? Experience: #315
? Continuity: #269
? Georgetown lost its last fourteen games.
? Hoyas are 2-3-1 ATS in Big East road games.
? Georgetown is shooting 43.6% inside arc (#342)
? Over is 4-1 in Hoyas? last five games.
? Georgetown?s schedule, to this point: #58
? bench minutes: #193

? Marquette (16-9, 8-6) ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #42
? Experience: #349
? Continuity: #336
? Marquette lost three of its last four games.
? Eagles covered their last five home games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.4% inside arc (#27)
? Eagles? last three games went over the total.
? Marquette?s schedule, to this point: #8
? bench minutes: #111

? Big East double digit home favorites are 6-7 ATS
? Marquette won 92-64 at Georgetown January 7.
? Marquette won six of last eight series games.
? Hoyas lost four of last five visits to Milwaukee.

Loyola Chi @ Valparaiso
? Loyola (19-5, 10-3) ranked #23 by KenPom
? Tempo: #329
? Experience: #31
? Continuity: #49
? Loyola won five of its last seven games.
? Ramblers are 2-4 ATS in MVC road games.
? Loyola has #5 eFG% in country.
? Over is 9-5 in Ramblers? last 14 games.
? Loyola?s schedule, to this point: #102
? bench minutes: #112

? Valparaiso (11-14, 4-9) ranked #218 by KenPom
? Tempo: #305
? Experience: #119
? Continuity: #280
? Valparaiso lost eight of its last 11 games.
? Crusaders are 3-3 ATS in MVC road games.
? Five of their last 12 games went to overtime.
? Over is 10-3 in Crusaders? last 13 games.
? Valparaiso?s schedule, to this point: #131
? bench minutes: #90

? MVC home underdogs are 15-7 ATS.
? Loyola edged Valpo 81-74 at home in double OT January 11.
? Valpo led by 12 with 13:02 left in game.
? Loyola won 10 of last 11 series games.
? Ramblers won their last four visits to Valpo.

Seton Hall @ UConn
? Seton Hall (15-8, 6-7) ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #88
? Experience: #21
? Continuity: #168
? Seton Hall won three of its last four games.
? Pirates are 3-3-1 ATS in Big East road games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.4% inside arc (#24)
? Under is 6-2 in Pirates? last eight games.
? Seton Hall?s schedule, to this point: #17
? bench minutes: #80

? UConn (13-11, 8-4) ranked #202 by KenPom
? Tempo: #76
? Experience: #14
? Continuity: #128
? UConn lost three of its last five games.
? Huskies are 3-3 ATS in Big East home games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#4)
? Over is 9-3 in Huskies? last dozen games.
? UConn?s schedule, to this point: #221
? bench minutes: #351

? Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-7 ATS
? Seton Hall beat UConn 90-87 at home in OT January 8
? Huskies made 14-23 on arc in that loss.
? Pirates won two of last three series games.

Purdue @ Northwestern
? Purdue (22-4, 11-4) ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #234
? Experience: #219
? Continuity: #15
? Purdue is 21-0 if it scores 70+ points, 1-4 if it does not.
? Boilers are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
? Purdue has #3 eFG% in country.
? Over is 5-2 in Boilers? last seven games.
? Purdue?s schedule, to this point: #34
? bench minutes: #28

? Northwestern (12-11, 5-9) ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #174
? Continuity: #57
? Northwestern won three of its last four games.
? Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in Big 14 home games.
? Northwestern is shooting 46.2% inside arc in Big 14 tilts (#13)
? Over is 8-5 in Wildcats? last 13 games.
? Northwestern?s schedule, to this point: #32
? bench minutes: #37

? Big 14 home underdogs of 6 or less points are 12-14 ATS
? Purdue beat Wildcats 80-60 at home January 23.
? Boilers scored 1.33 ppp in that game.
? Purdue won last ten series games.
? Boilers won last four visits here, by 3-5-4-13 points.

Baylor @ Texas Tech
? Baylor (12-12, 5-7) ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #98
? Experience: #206
? Continuity: #66
? Baylor won six of its last eight games.
? Bears are 4-2 ATS in Big X road games.
? Baylor forces turnovers 24.3% of time (#10)
? Over is 10-6 in Bears? last sixteen games.
? Baylor?s schedule, to this point: #7
? bench minutes: #57

? Texas Tech (19-6, 8-4) ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #220
? Experience: #40
? Continuity: #298
? Texas Tech won nine of its last 12 games.
? Red Raiders are 6-0 ATA in Big X home games.
? Texas Tech is forcing turnovers 23.8% of time (#14)
? Over is 5-3 in Red Raiders? last eight games.
? Texas Tech?s schedule, to this point: #37
? bench minutes: #67

? Big X home teams are 11-4 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Texas Tech won 65-62 at Baylor January 11.
? Baylor led by 15 in first half.
? Baylor won four of last five series games.
? Bears won 57-52/68-60 in last two visits to Lubbock.

Vanderbilt @ Auburn
? Vanderbilt (13-11, 5-7) ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #212
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #190
? Vanderbilt won three of its last five games.
? Commodores force turnovers 21.7% of time (#38)
? Vanderbilt is 4-2 ATS in SEC road games.
? Commodores? last five games went over total.
? Vanderbilt?s schedule, to this point: #39
? bench minutes: #118

? Auburn (23-2, 11-1) ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #64
? Experience: #308
? Continuity: #277
? Auburn won 20 of its last 21 games.
? Tigers are 6-0 ATS in SEC home games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.6% inside arc (#6)
? Over is 8-4 in Tigers? last 12 games.
? Auburn?s schedule, to this point: #28
? bench minutes: #74

? SEC double digit home favorites are 9-10 ATS
? Auburn won last four series games.
? Vandy lost 93-81/83-79 in last two visits here.

UNLV @ Fresno State
? UNLV (14-11, 6-6) ranked #97 by KenPom
? Tempo: #210
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #330
? UNLV is 1-10 against teams in top 100.
? Rebels? best win: 88-74 at #33 Colorado State.
? UNLV covered four of its last five games.
? Over is 4-2 in Rebels? last six games.
? UNLV?s schedule, to this point: #86
? bench minutes: #75

? Fresno State (16-8, 6-5) ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #356
? Experience: #194
? Continuity: #35
? Fresno State lost four of its last seven games.
? Bulldogs are 3-2 ATS in MW home games.
? Fresno State is #10 team in country on defensive boards.
? Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs? last six games.
? Bulldogs?s schedule, to this point: #85
? bench minutes: #106

? Mountain West home faves of 6 or less points are 6-12 ATS
? Bulldogs won 73-68 at UNLV January 14.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Rebels lost four of last six visits to Fresno
 

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Illinois is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games.
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last six matchups against Illinois.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Illinois' last six games.
Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last five games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last eight matchups between Rutgers and Illinois.


The total has gone UNDER in six of Seton Hall's last eight games.
UConn is 4-1 ATS in its last five matchups against Seton Hall.
Seton Hall is 3-14 SU in its last 17 matchups against UConn.
UConn is 1-5 ATS in its last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups between UConn and Seton Hall.


Baylor is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
Texas Tech is 1-4 SU in its last five matchups against Baylor.
Baylor is 13-3 SU in its last 16 road games.
Texas Tech is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games.
 

Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 16
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


COLG at ARMY 06:00 PM
ARMY +6.5
O 142.5
+500 +500

PRE at SCUS 06:00 PM
PRE +1.0
O 139.0
+500 +500

SJU at XAV 06:30 PM
XAV -7.5
O 150.0
+500 +500

CAMP at RAD 06:30 PM
CAMP -4.0
U 122.5
+500 +500

**********************

GMU at STJOE 07:00 PM
STJOE +2.5
O 139.0
+500 +500

L-MD at LAF 07:00 PM
LAF +2.0
O 131.0
+500 +500

NCAT at HAMP 07:00 PM
NCAT -4.0
U 133.5
+500 +500

MASS at SBON 07:00 PM
MASS +11.5
O 145.5
+500 +500

WIN at WEBB 07:00 PM
WIN +3.5
O 136.0

+500 +500

UNCA at CHSO 07:00 PM
UNCA -7.5
U 138.5
+500 +500

NAVY at AMER 07:00 PM
NAVY -9.5
U 123.5
+500 +500

BU at HC 07:00 PM
HC +7.5
O 138.0
+500 +500

BC at ND 07:00 PM
ND -9.0
U 128.0
+500 +500

MIA at LOU 07:00 PM
U 143.0
+500

ILL at RUTG 07:00 PM
RUTG +3.5
O 135.0
+500 +500

KENN at FGCU 07:00 PM
FGCU -4.5
U 146.0
+500 +500

ETSU at MER 07:00 PM
MER -3.0
U 141.0

+500 +500

JAC at STET 07:00 PM
STET +2.0
O 127.0
+500 +500

UGA at LSU 07:00 PM
UGA +15.5
O 147.0

+500 +500

MSST at ALA 07:00 PM
ALA -5.5
+500

ALBY at BING 07:00 PM
ALBY +1.0
O 131.0
+500 +500

STON at UMBC 07:00 PM
STON +2.5
O 149.0
+500 +500

ME at HART 07:00 PM
ME +8.5
O 133.5
+500 +500

UVM at UNH 07:00 PM
UVM -8.0
U 133.5
+500 +500

FUR at WCU 07:00 PM
FUR -13.0
U 141.5
+500 +500

WOF at CIT 07:00 PM
CIT +6.0
O 148.5
+500 +500

UMASS at NJIT 07:00 PM
UMASS -4.0
U 131.5
+500 +500

GW at DUQ 07:30 PM
GW +3.0
O 136.5
+500 +500

NORAL at EKY 07:30 PM
EKY -6.0
U 144.5
+500 +500

CHS at SFA 07:30 PM
CHS +18.5
O 137.0
+500 +500

********************

LAS at SLU 08:00 PM
SLU -12.5
U 140.5
+500 +500

JVST at LIP 08:00 PM
JVST -4.5
U 146.5
+500 +500

GTWN at MARQ 08:00 PM
MARQ -12.5
U 153.0
+500 +500

PITT at UNC 08:00 PM
UNC -14.0
U 142.0
+500 +500

L-IL at VALP 08:00 PM
L-IL -10.0
U 130.0
+500 +500

BELL at CARK 08:00 PM
BELL -7.5
U 149.0
+500 +500

UVU at TST 08:00 PM
TST +2.5
O 125.5
+500 +500

SEA at UTRGV 08:00 PM
UTRGV +7.5
O 154.0
+500 +500

EVAN at DRKE 08:00 PM
EVAN +16.5
O 128.0
+500 +500

HALL at CONN 08:30 PM
CONN -5.5
U 136.0
+500 +500

*********************

BAY at TTU 09:00 PM
TTU -2.5
U 136.0
+500 +500

SMU at TEM 09:00 PM
SMU -5.0
U 135.5
+500 +500

MORE at UTM 09:00 PM
MORE -8.5
U 134.5
+500 +500

PUR at NW 09:00 PM
PUR -6.0
U 146.5
+500 +500

VAN at AUB 09:00 PM
VAN +13.5
O 143.0

+500 +500

DSTATE at NMSU 09:00 PM
DSTATE +16.0
O 145.5
+500 +500

BSU at AFA 10:00 PM
AFA +10.5
O 120.5
+500 +500

GRC at CALBA 10:00 PM
GRC -2.5
U 137.5
+500 +500

UNLV at FRES 10:30 PM
UNLV +6.0
O 126.0
+500 +500

GONZ at PEPP 11:00 PM
PEPP +31.5
O 163.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday?s 6-pack
? Texas Tech 83, Baylor 73? Baylor is 6-5 in its last 11 games, after a 15-0 start.
? Rutgers 70, Illinois 59? Rutgers won last four games, giving up 62.8 ppg.
? Pitt 76, North Carolina 67? Bad loss for UNC, a bubble team.
? UNLV 60, Fresno State 57? Rebels allowed 59.7 ppg in last three wins.
? UConn 70, Seton Hall 65? Pirates are only 6-8 in Big East play.
? Miami 70, Louisville 63? Cardinals have lost 7 in row, 10 of last 11 games.

Quote of the Day
?You have to be honest with people- brutally honest. You have to tell them the truth about their performance, you have to tell it to them face-to-face, and you have to tell it to them over and over again. Sometimes the truth will be painful, and sometimes saying it will lead to an uncomfortable confrontation. So be it.?
Bill Parcells

Thursday?s quiz
In the movie The Natural, where Robert Redford plays OF for the New York Knights, what famous actor was the manager of the Knights?

Wednesday?s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.

Tuesday?s quiz
Bob Huggins is best known for coaching Cincinnati/West Virginia; in between those two stops, he coached Kansas State for one season.

******************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) Definition of a bad day: Sunday, a gambler placed $1M on the Rams over 13.5 points in the first half (+115). Rams botched the snap on the extra point after their second TD- they didn?t score again that quarter, led 13-10 at the half. Under by half a point.

Guy lost $869,500 because they botched the snap on a PAT, only time they did it all season.

12) Definition of a good day: last fall, Juan Soto turned down a 13-year. $350M contract offer from the Washington Nationals. Soto can?t be a free agent for another three years; if he waits until then for a new contract, he?ll be expecting to break the bank then.

11) Speaking of the Nationals, Ryan Zimmerman retired this week, after a 16-year career; he hit 284 homers in his career, helped Washington win the 2019 World Series.

10) Used to discuss/argue with a friend of mine, what makes a QB great?

I thought about this a lot; concluded that lot of the things that make a QB great are things you and I cannot see, its behind the scenes stuff.
? Is the QB a good teammate? Do his teammate believe in him?
? Does he do a little extra on study/prep work?

Texas basketball coach Chris Beard says ?3:30 guys don?t win championships? His point is that players improve the most with the work they do before/after practices.

? Physical skills are obviously important; toughness is probably more important.
? When the offense gets in the huddle, 80-yards from the game-winning score, do his teammates believe that QB will lead them to a score? That seems to be the biggest thing.

Arizona Cardinals/Kyler Murray are having problems; it is unclear what they are exactly, but Murray?s body language during games isn?t good. You don?t seem him talking to teammates on the sideline very much. The QB is a leader, but the other players won?t follow unless they believe in the leader.

9) In college basketball, I think a team should have to finish at least .500 in their league to make the NCAA Tournament; you lose more than you win in league play, how do you get to compete for a national title?

1992 Iowa State Cyclones finished 5-9 in the Big 8, was still a 10-seed in March Madness, the worst conference record for any at-large team in the NCAA Tournament.

8) Three weeks to go in the Big Sky regular season, only one team has less than four losses; Montana State leads at 12-2, two games ahead of Weber State/Southern Utah/Northern Colorado. Going to be a very good conference tournament.

7) NFL teams that could have a new starting quarterback next year:
? Houston
? Washington
? Tampa Bay
? San Francisco
? Pittsburgh
? Indianapolis
? Denver

Deshaun Watson will be the first domino that causes the other ones to start falling.

6) We talked on Monday about Brycen Hopkins catching four passes for 47 yards in the Super Bowl, after being the Rams? fifth tight end to play this season. Turns out that Hopkins? dad is Brad Hopkins, who played against the Rams in Super Bowl XXXIV for Tennessee.

Brad Hopkins played offensive tackle for 13 years with the Oilers/Titans.

5) This season in the NFL, there were an average of 11.8 penalties per game, for 102.1 yards. During the playoffs, penalties dropped to 9.4 per game, for 75.4 yards.

4) Super Bowl TV ratings were up 14% this year from last year.

3) NFL is very good at staying in the spotlight; March 3-6, the rookie combine will be on the NFL Network, in primetime. If you like to watch guys run the 40-yard dash or do shuttle drills, you?ll enjoy watching that.

2) Cincinnati Bearcats gave football coach Luke Fickiell $5M a year thru 2028; Cincinnati is moving up to the Big X, with Texas/Oklahoma moving to the SEC.

1) I went to college at UAlbany, spent lost of time in the campus center there, where there used to be lot of protests. Various things, some more serious than others. I was more interested in watching game shows in the TV lounge, but there were a lot of protests.

Prices in the vending machines were lower than most places; when they tried to raise the prices once, a protest happened. Politicial issues, protests. Labor issues, protests. You get the idea.

One day I?m walking past a protest and it occurred to me; there was a core of people who seemed to be at all of these protests, like they were professional protestors, so from that point on, always looked for those people and sure enough, most times they were there.

Wonder what the going rate was for being a protestor?
 

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NCAAB

Thursday, February 17


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 17


Towson @ NC-Wilmington
? Towson (19-7, 10-3) ranked #81 by KenPom
? Tempo: #328
? Experience: #63
? Continuity: #212
? Towson won 10 of its last 12 games.
? Tigers is 3-2-1 ATS in CAA road games.
? Towson is grabbing 35.2% of its misses (#14)
? Under is 4-2 in Tigers? last six games.
? Towson?s schedule, to this point: #223
? bench minutes: #197

? NC-Wilmington (18-7, 12-2) ranked #192 by KenPom
? Tempo: #222
? Experience: #72
? Continuity: #253
? UNCW won 15 of its last 17 games.
? Seahawks are 6-1 ATS in CAA home games.
? UNCW is forcing turnovers 20.4% of time in CAA games (#1)
? Over is 7-3 in Seahawks? last ten games.
? NC-Wilmington?s schedule, to this point: #272
? bench minutes: #307

? CAA home dogs of 5 or less points are 9-5 ATS
? UNCW won 81-77 in OT at Towson January 22.
? Towson led by 12 with 14:44 left in game.
? Towson won five of last six series games.
? Tigers won 77-76/67-60 in last two visits to Wilmington.

Troy @ Appalachian State
? Troy (17-8, 8-4) ranked #166 by KenPom
? Tempo: #164
? Experience: #299
? Continuity: #104
? Troy won four of its last five games.
? Trojans are 4-3 ATS in Sun Belt road games.
? Troy is turning ball over 21.6% of time (#334)
? Under is 8-3 in Trojans? last 11 games.
? Troy?s schedule, to this point: #214
? bench minutes: #2

? Appalachian State (16-11, 10-4) ranked #165 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #42
? Continuity: #8
? App State won eight of its last ten games.
? ASU is 3-4 ATS in Sun Belt home games.
? App State has #288 eFG% in country.
? Under is 3-1-1 in ASU?s last five games.
? Appalachian State?s schedule, to this point: #136
? bench minutes: #339

? Sun Belt home favorites of 5 or less points are 15-22 ATS
? Troy beat App State 68-53 at home January 8.
? Teams split last ten series games.
? Troy lost four of last five visits to App State.

Michigan @ Iowa
? Michigan (13-10, 7-6) ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #290
? Experience: #294
? Continuity: #243
? Michigan split its last six games SU.
? Wolverines are 3-4 ATS in Big 14 road games.
? Michigan is shooting 52.7% inside arc (#72)
? Wolverines? last three games stayed under total.
? Michigan?s schedule, to this point: #7
? bench minutes: #320

? Iowa (17-7, 7-6) ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #48
? Experience: #231
? Continuity: #192
? Iowa won last three games, scoring 93 ppg.
? Hawkeyes are 3-4 ATS in Big 14 home games.
? Iowa is worst team in Big 14 games on defensive boards.
? Over is 9-3 in Hawkeyes? last 12 games.
? Iowa?s schedule to this point: #86
? bench minutes: #44

? Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 16-10 ATS
? Michigan won six of last eight series games.
? Wolverines lost 74-59/90-83 in last two trips to Iowa.

Wichita State @ Cincinnati
? Wichita State (13-9, 4-6) ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #309
? Continuity: #81
? Wichita won three of its last four games.
? Shockers are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games.
? Wichita is shooting 42.7% inside arc in AAC tilts (#12 of 12)
? Under is 10-7 in Shockers? last 17 games.
? Wichita State?s schedule, to this point: #82
? bench minutes: #138

? Cincinnati (16-9, 6-6) ranked #87 by KenPom
? Tempo: #138
? Experience: #112
? Continuity: #155
? Cincinnati lost four of its last six games.
? Bearcats are 2-4 ATS in AAC home games.
? Cincinnati has #278 eFG% in country.
? Bearcats? last four games went over the total.
? Cincinnati?s schedule, to this point: #123
? bench minutes: #70

? AAC home teams are 5-7 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Bearcats won 61-57 at Wichita January 16.
? Both teams shot under 40% inside arc in that game.
? Cincinnati won eight of last nine series games.
? Shockers lost 72-62/67-64 in last two visits here.

North Texas @ Florida Atlantic
? North Texas (18-4, 11-1) ranked #45 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #147
? Continuity: #189
? North Texas won its last ten games.
? Mean Green is 3-1-1 ATS in C-USA road games.
? North Texas is shooting 37.6% on arc (#27)
? Under is 3-1-1 in UNT?s C-USA road games.
? North Texas?s schedule, to this point: #148
? bench minutes: #347

? Florida Atlantic (15-10, 8-4) ranked #120 by KenPom
? Tempo: #216
? Experience: #327
? Continuity: #136
? FAU won seven of its last nine games.
? Owls are 6-0 ATS in C-USA home games.
? Opponents are shooting 37.1% on arc (#330)
? Owls? last six games went over the total.
? Florida Atlantic?s schedule, to this point: #254
? bench minutes: #182

? C-USA home teams are 6-12 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? FAU won three of last four series games.
? North Texas lost 74-54/57-47 in last two visits here.

Texas-El Paso @ Louisiana Tech
? Texas-El Paso (14-10, 7-5) ranked #181 by KenPom
? Tempo: #232
? Experience: #275
? Continuity: #111
? UTEP lost last two games, after a 6-0 run.
? Miners are 2-3 ATS in C-USA road games.
? UTEP is shooting 45.8% inside arc (#314)
? Miners? last four games went over the total.
? Texas-El Paso?s schedule, to this point: #210
? bench minutes: #109

? Louisiana Tech (18-6, 9-3) ranked #96 by KenPom
? Tempo: #93
? Experience: #320
? Continuity: #150
? Louisiana Tech split its last six games.
? Bulldogs are 3-3 ATS in C-USA home games.
? C-USA foes are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#1)
? Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs? last six games.
? Louisiana Tech?s schedule, to this point: #186
? bench minutes: #295

? C-USA home favorites of 9+ points are 14-9 ATS.
? Tech won 64-52 in El Paso January 6.
? Miners shot 33.3% from floor in that game.
? Tech won four of last five series games.
? Miners lost their last five visits to Ruston.

Oregon @ Arizona State
? Oregon (17-8, 10-4) ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #171
? Experience: #60
? Continuity: #311
? Oregon won 11 of its last 13 games.
? Ducks are 3-3 ATS in Pac-12 road games.
? Oregon has #2 eFG% in Pac-12 games.
? Under is 5-3 in Ducks? last eight games.
? Oregon?s schedule, to this point: #78
? bench minutes: #296

? Arizona State (8-15, 4-9) ranked #137 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #225
? Continuity: #325
? Arizona State split last four games, after a 1-7 skid.
? Sun Devils are 2-2-2 ATS in Pac-12 home games.
? Arizona State is shooting 28.2% on arc in Pac-12 games (#12)
? Over is 3-1 in Sun Devils? last four games.
? Arizona State?s schedule, to this point: #2
? bench minutes: #123

? Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-6 ATS
? ASU won 69-67 in OT at Oregon December 5.
? Ducks led by 4 with 1:37 left in regulation.
? Oregon won five of last seven series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Colorado @ California
? Colorado (16-9, 8-7) ranked #93 by KenPom
? Tempo: #180
? Experience: #313
? Continuity: #238
? Colorado won last three games, scoring 85.7 ppg.
? Buffs are 4-3 ATS in Pac-12 road games.
? Colorado is shooting 38.5% on arc in Pac-12 play (#1)
? Buffs? last three games went over the total.
? Colorado?s schedule, to this point: #90
? bench minutes: #88

? California (11-15, 4-11) ranked #127 by KenPom
? Tempo: #320
? Experience: #80
? Continuity: #82
? California won last two games, after an 0-10 skid.
? Bears are 4-3 ATS in Pac-12 home games.
? California is shooting 48% inside arc (#244)
? Over is 6-2 in Bears? last eight games.
? California?s schedule, to this point: #56
? bench minutes: #236

? Pac-12 home teams are 12-12 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Colorado won seven of last nine series games.
? Buffs lost 76-62/71-62 in last two visits to Berkeley.

San Francisco @ Saint Mary?s
? San Francisco (21-6, 8-4) ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #102
? Experience: #73
? Continuity: #144
? USF won five of its last six games.
? Dons are 3-0-1 ATS in WCC road games.
? USF is shooting 55% inside arc (#24)
? Under is 4-0 in USF?s WCC road games.
? San Francisco?s schedule, to this point: #102
? bench minutes: #208

? Saint Mary?s (20-6, 8-3) ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #336
? Experience: #87
? Continuity: #19
? Saint Mary?s won eight of its last ten games.
? Gaels are 2-2 ATS in WCC home games.
? Saint Mary?s is #6 team in country on defensive boards.
? Over is 6-2 in Gaels? last eight games.
? Saint Mary?s schedule, to this point: #80
? bench minutes: #308

? WCC teams are 8-6 ATS if spread was 4 or less.
? Saint Mary?s won 72-70 at USF January 27.
? USF led this game 38-15 in first half.
? Gaels won last five series games.
? USF lost its last 17 games in Moraga.

Cal-Fullerton @ Cal-Santa Barbara
? Fullerton (14-8, 7-3) ranked #157 by KenPom
? Tempo: #201
? Experience: #75
? Continuity: #142
? Fullerton lost last three road games, by 13-10-17 points.
? Titans are 3-3 ATS in Big West road games.
? Fullerton has #288 eFG% in country.
? Under is 5-1 in Titans? last six games.
? Fullerton?s schedule, to this point: #220
? bench minutes: #226

? UCSB (11-9, 3-4) ranked #124 by KenPom
? Tempo: #247
? Experience: #140
? Continuity: #141
? UCSB won last three games, giving up 58 ppg.
? Gauchos are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.
? UCSB is forcing turnovers 22.5% of time in Big West play (#1)
? Under is 4-2 in Gauchos? last six games.
? UCSB?s schedule, to this point: #307
? bench minutes: #137

? Big West home favorites of 6 or less points are 12-8 ATS.
? UCSB lost 79-73 at Fullerton January 15.
? Gauchos led by 12 in first half.
? UCSB won four of last five series games.
? Titans lost their last five visits to Santa Barbara,

Creighton @ DePaul
? Creighton (16-8, 8-5) ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tempo: #196
? Experience: #310
? Continuity: #341
? Creighton won four of its last five games.
? Bluejays are 4-3 ATS in Big East road games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.6% inside arc (#6)
? Under is 4-2 in Bluejays? last six games.
? Creighton?s schedule, to this point: #55
? bench minutes: #314

? DePaul (12-12, 3-11) ranked #107 by KenPom
? Tempo: #107
? Experience: #96
? Continuity: #306
? DePaul lost 11 of its last 14 games.
? Blue Demons lost last two games, by 3-2 points.
? DePaul is 4-3 ATS in Big East home games.
? Blue Demons? last three games went over total.
? DePaul?s schedule, to this point: #64
? bench minutes: #212

? Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 2-6 ATS.
? Creighton beat DePaul 60-47 at home January 22.
? Blue Demons led by 10 early in second half.
? Creighton won last 14 series games.
? Bluejays won their last eight visits to DePaul.

Washington State @ UCLA
? Washington State (14-10, 7-6) ranked #43 by KenPom
? Tempo: #254
? Experience: #271
? Continuity: #161
? Wazzu lost last three games, scoring 58 ppg.
? Coogs are 4-2 ATS in Pac-12 road games.
? Wazzu has #30 eFG% defense in country.
? Under is 13-2 in Coogs? last fifteen games.
? Washington State?s schedule, to this point: #93
? bench minutes: #84

? UCLA (23-2, 11-1) ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #237
? Experience: #99
? Continuity: #10
? UCLA lost three of its last four games.
? Bruins covered their last three home games.
? UCLA is shooting only 30% on arc in Pac-12 tilts (#11 of 12)
? Under is 6-3 in Bruins? last nine games.
? UCLA?s schedule, to this point: #25
? bench minutes: #152

? Pac-12 home favorites of 9+ points are 7-12 ATS
? UCLA won seven of last nine series games.
? Coogs lost their last ten games in Pauley Pavilion.

Washington @ USC
? Washington (13-10, 8-5) ranked #130 by KenPom
? Tempo: #57
? Experience: #23
? Continuity: #284
? Washington lost two of last three games, after a 6-1 run.
? Huskies are 4-3 ATS in Pac-12 road games.
? Washington is shooting 45.3% inside arc (#324)
? Huskies? last five games went over the total.
? Washington?s schedule, to this point: #81
? bench minutes: #268

? USC (16-8, 6-5) ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #230
? Experience: #193
? Continuity: #116
? USC won seven of its last nine games.
? Trojans are 3-4 ATS in Pac-12 home games.
? Opponents are shooting 40.9% inside arc (#2)
? Under is 5-2 in Trojans? last seven games.
? USC?s schedule, to this point: #99
? bench minutes: #229

? Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 6-12 ATS.
? USC won last three series games, by 6-27-15 points
? Huskies lost five of last six games in Galen Center.
 

Udog

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Michigan is 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
Michigan is 2-5 ATS in the past seven road games.
Michigan is 1-4 ATS in the past five following a SU loss.
Iowa is 31-15-3 ATS in the past 49 home games.
Iowa is 9-4 ATS in the past 13 following a SU win.
The OVER is 11-5 in the past 16 games overall for Michigan.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight road games for Michigan.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five for Michigan after an ATS loss.
The OVER is 19-6-1 in the past 26 games overall for Iowa.
The OVER is 18-7-1 in the past 26 home games for Iowa.
The OVER is 6-1-1 in the past eight for Iowa after an ATS win.
The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.
The home team is 18-6 ATS in the past 24 meetings.
The home team is 7-0 SU in the past seven meetings.


Washington State is 10-4-1 ATS in the past 15 road games.
UCLA is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four home games.
UCLA is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five games following a SU loss.
The UNDER is 16-5 in the past 21 games overall for Washington State.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four vs. winning teams for Washington State.
The OVER is 12-5 past 17 road games vs. teams with winning home record for Washington State.
The OVER is 7-0 in the past seven vs. winning teams for UCLA.
The UNDER is 7-1 past eight home games vs. teams with winning road record for UCLA.
The home team is 12-4 ATS in the past 16 meetings.
The underdog is 9-4 ATS in the past 13 meetings.
 

Cnotes53

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Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
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THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 17
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

BUFF at EMU
EMU +10.5
O 153.5
+500 +500

MINN at PSU
MINN +5.0
+500

********************

TOWS at UNCW 06:00 PM
UNCW +2.5
+500

TROY at APP 06:30 PM
APP -3.5
+500

**********************

ODU at MRSH 07:00 PM
ODU +2.0
+500

JMU at COFC 07:00 PM
JMU +6.5
+500

DREX at CWM 07:00 PM
DREX -8.0
+500

GASO at GSU 07:00 PM
GASO +10.0
+500

DEL at ELON 07:00 PM
DEL -3.5
+500

WAG at SH 07:00 PM
SH +8.5
+500

SFBK at MSM 07:00 PM
MSM -6.5
+500

CCSU at BRY 07:00 PM
BRY -13.0
+500

FDU at MW 07:00 PM
MW -7.5
+500

INDPU at RMU 07:00 PM
RMU -14.5
+500

NIU at AKR 07:00 PM
AKR -12.0
+500

PEAY at MURR 07:00 PM
MURR -18.5
+500

USA at CCU 07:00 PM
USA -1.0
+500

MTU at FIU 07:00 PM
MTU -4.0
+500

UNT at FAU 07:00 PM
FAU +2.0
+500

WICH at CIN 07:00 PM
WICH +2.0
+500

ECU at USF 07:00 PM
USF -1.0
+500

MICH at IOWA 07:00 PM
IOWA -5.0
+500

UIC at YSU 07:00 PM
YSU -5.5
+500

UNCG at CHAT 07:00 PM
CHAT -8.5
+500

ULL at ULM 07:30 PM
ULL -2.5
+500

ORST at ARIZ 07:30 PM
ARIZ -24.0
+500

UTEP at LT 07:30 PM
LT -9.5
+500

ACU at SHSU 07:30 PM
SHSU -1.5
+500

***************************

CHAR at WKU 08:00 PM
CHAR +8.5
+500

VMI at SAM 08:00 PM
SAM -2.0
+500

EIU at BEL 08:00 PM
EIU +27.0
+500

ARST at TXST 08:00 PM
ARST +5.5
+500

DEN at NEOM 08:00 PM
NEOM +1.5
O 148.0
+500 +500

UALR at UTA 08:00 PM
UTA -10.0
+500

ORU at NDSU 08:00 PM
NDSU -1.0
O 153.5
+500 +500

KC at UND 08:00 PM
KC -4.5
O 141.0

+500 +500

WIU at SDST 08:00 PM
SDST -13.0
O 162.5

+500 +500

UTSA at USM 08:00 PM
USM -2.0
O 136.5
+500 +500

RICE at UAB 08:00 PM
UAB -14.0
+500

MCNS at NICH 08:00 PM
NICH -9.5
+500

SIUE at TNST 08:30 PM
TNST -5.0
O 133.5

+500 +500

SEMO at TNTC 08:30 PM
TNTC -4.0
O 151.0
+500 +500

SELA at AMCC 08:30 PM
AMCC -5.0
+500

NWST at IW 08:30 PM
IW -1.0
+500

**********************

LONG at HP 09:00 PM
HP +3.5
O 135.5

+500 +500

ORE at ASU 09:00 PM
ASU +4.5
+500

UCF at HOU 09:00 PM
UCF +13.5
+500

UNCO at IDST 09:00 PM
UNCO -7.5
+500

CSUS at WEB 09:00 PM
WEB -15.5
+500

MONT at IDHO 09:00 PM
MONT -6.5
+500

MTST at EWU 09:00 PM
MTST -2.0
+500

CSU at UNM 09:00 PM
CSU -7.5
O 152.0
+500 +500

COLO at CAL 09:30 PM
CAL +2.0
O 130.0
+500 +500

***********************

SF at SMC 10:00 PM
SF +2.5
+500

SCU at LMU 10:00 PM
SCU -5.5
+500

USD at PORT 10:00 PM
PORT -2.5
+500

CSF at UCSB 10:00 PM
UCSB -5.5
+500

CSB at UCRV 10:00 PM
UCRV -7.0
+500

LBSU at CSN 10:00 PM
CSN +6.0
+500

CREI at DEP 10:00 PM
DEP -2.5
+500

NAU at PRST 10:00 PM
NAU +6.0
+500

HAW at UCSD 10:00 PM
HAW -2.5
+500

WSU at UCLA 11:00 PM
WSU +9.5
+500

UTAH at STAN 11:00 PM
STAN -4.0
+500

WASH at USC 11:30 PM
USC -11.5
+500

NEV at SJSU 11:59 PM
SJSU +8.0
+500
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Friday?s 6-pack
Draft order for the USFL, which starts play in April
1) Michigan Panthers
2) Tampa Bay Bandits
3) Philadelphia Stars
4) New Jersey Generals
5) Houston Gamblers
6) Birmingham Stallions
7) Pittsburgh Maulers
8) New Orleans Breakers

Jeff Fisher is Michigan?s coach; expect them to draft a defensive player first

Quote of the Day
?You have to be honest with people- brutally honest. You have to tell them the truth about their performance, you have to tell it to them face-to-face, and you have to tell it to them over and over again. Sometimes the truth will be painful, and sometimes saying it will lead to an uncomfortable confrontation. So be it.?
Bill Parcells

Friday?s quiz
in the original USFL (1983-85), which team did Steve Spurrier coach?

Thursday?s quiz
In the movie The Natural, where Robert Redford plays OF for the New York Knights, Wilford Brimley played the manager of the Knights.

Wednesday?s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.

***************************************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) If your favorite NFL teams needs a quarterback, would you want them trading for Deshaun Watson? He?s going to get traded somewhere this year, just a question of where.

Watson has a 28-25 W-L record in four years; he didn?t play this past season, has a mountain of legal problems to deal with, but if he gets past those (since he is rich he probably will), he?s better than most NFL QB?s.

Very curious to see where all this ends up; Houston figures to net a bonanza of draft picks to build back its roster when they trade Watson- they need the help.

12) The quality of play in college basketball has taken a dive; the transfer portal has to be at least partially responsible. Teams being cobbled together in the offseason; there are more than a few teams with 10+ new players from last season. Hard to have cohesive play that way, with players changing teams almost on the fly.

Makes handicapping teams lot harder; teams are more erratic.

11) Speaking of transfers, Arizona State QB Jaylen Daniels, who started the last three years for the Sun Devils, entered the transfer portal this week. Bad news for Herm Edwards? ASU squad.

10) Gonzaga has been the #1 basketball team in the country in 17 of last 31 top 25 polls; they?re not going to lose any WCC games the rest of this season, which makes them a tough team to gauge heading into March Madness. Does playing in a mid-major league hurt their chances of winning it all?

Since 2015, Gonzaga is 16-6 in NCAA?s; they haven?t lost a first round game since 2008.

Under Mark Few, here is how Gonzaga has fared in the NCAA?s:
? 1st round: 18-3
? 2nd round: 8-10
? regional semis: 4-6
? regional final: 2-2
? national semis 2-0
? national title games: 0-2

9) This season, Gonzaga won its first three WCC road games by by 32-30-33 points, so the guys who set the odds in Las Vegas made them minus-31 at Pepperdine Wednesday. Sportsbooks are obviously tired of taking bets on the Zags, who won 86-66.

Very seldom is a road team ever favored by 31 points in a conference game.

8) New York State took in $2B in wagers for their first month with the mobile betting app; took the politicians lot of time to make sports betting mobile, but they finally did and with a taxation rate 51% of the proceeds, the state is starting to rake in big $$$$.

7) Michigan signed football coach Jim Harbaugh to a $7M/year contract; he is 61-24 in seven years at Michigan, 42-17 in conference games, 1-5 in bowls.

6) Happy to report that Showtime?s excellent series Billions was renewed for a 7th season; very good show to watch, if you have access to Showtime.

5) Minnesota Vikings introduced Kevin O?Connell as their new head coach; funny how teams go from a defense-oriented coach to an offense-oriented one and vice versa. Vikings went 72-56-1 under the last coach, Mike Zimmer (2-3 in playoff games), but Zimmer had six different offensive coordinators the last six years. Now Minnesota has an offensive-minded leader.

4) Just read stuff on the Interweb about how the Kansas City Chiefs, and how Eric Bieniemy hasn?t gotten a head coaching job, despite 15 interviews with various teams.

Turns out that Bieniemy doesn?t get along that well with Patrick Mahomes; during AFC title game, Andy Reid wanted to overrule one of Bieniemy?s play calls, Mike Kafka the QB coach says ?We?re blowing this game? and Mahomes says ?Call a bleeping play or I will?

If an assistant coach (on offense) doesn?t get along with Mahomes, I?m guessing the coach will wind up on the highway leaving town.

3) Miami 111, Charlotte 107 OT? Hornets are 0-6 in overtime games this season.

2) Samford 100, VMI 99, OT? VMI made 16-34 on arc, scored 1.36 ppp, which is really good, but they still lost. That almost never happens. Samford was 12-24 on the arc.

47.4% of shots in SoCon games are 3?s, highest %age of any league in country.

1) Long time ago, maybe 2003 or 2004, I was in Florida, watching AAU national tournament at Disney?s Wide World of Sports; had a media pass, so I was sitting amongst the coaches under the basket on one of the six courts in the building.

Think the kid?s name was Devan Downey; he was a good guard, and lot of coaches were there to see him play. Only seat empty was the chair on my right.

I hear a voice say ?Anyone sitting here?? It was Tubby Smith, who was then Kentucky?s coach. He sits next to me; few minutes later I ask him if he minded if I asked him a few questions for this blog I write? I promised him they would be easy questions.

?There are no easy questions? he says, smiling, but he politely answered five questions and I had a big part of this space for the next day. For the first four years of this blog, that day was the day with most traffic, so thanks to coach Smith.

Tubby Smith retired this week, passing on the head coaching mantle at High Point to his son; Tubby Smith finished with 642 wins at seven different schools, winning the 1998 national title at Kentucky. Really good coach; his teams were fun to watch.

Enjoy your retirement coach; appreciate you talking with me.
 

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PENNSYLVANIA is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games in the current season.

N KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

MONMOUTH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

SIENA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the current season.

BROWN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after 3 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBIA is 4-22 ATS (-20.2 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

KENT ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

DARTMOUTH is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

IUPU-FT WAYNE is 11-4 ATS (6.6 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the current season.

MARYLAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a combined score of 125 points or less in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NCAAB

Friday, February 18


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Trend Report
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Butler @ St. John's
Butler
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Butler's last 6 games on the road
Butler is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. John's
St. John's is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Butler
St. John's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Butler

Princeton @ Brown
Princeton
Princeton is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Brown
Princeton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Brown
Brown
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brown's last 5 games when playing at home against Princeton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brown's last 5 games at home

Pennsylvania @ Yale
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Yale
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 6 games when playing Yale
Yale
Yale is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Pennsylvania
Yale is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Saint Peter's @ Fairfield
Saint Peter's
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Peter's's last 5 games when playing Fairfield
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saint Peter's's last 11 games when playing on the road against Fairfield
Fairfield
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fairfield's last 5 games when playing Saint Peter's
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Fairfield's last 11 games when playing at home against Saint Peter's

Rider @ Monmouth
Rider
Rider is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rider's last 5 games on the road
Monmouth
Monmouth is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Rider
Monmouth is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Rider

Marist @ Siena
Marist
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Marist's last 5 games when playing on the road against Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Marist's last 5 games when playing Siena
Siena
Siena is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Marist
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 5 games when playing at home against Marist

Northern Kentucky @ Detroit
Northern Kentucky
No trends to report
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Northern Kentucky

Columbia @ Harvard
Columbia
Columbia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Harvard
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbia's last 5 games when playing Harvard
Harvard
Harvard is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Harvard's last 5 games when playing Columbia

Richmond @ VCU
Richmond
Richmond is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Richmond is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
VCU
VCU is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Richmond
VCU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Richmond

Ohio @ Kent State
Ohio
Ohio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Ohio's last 14 games on the road
Kent State
Kent State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ohio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kent State's last 6 games when playing Ohio

Missouri @ Mississippi State
Missouri
Missouri is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Missouri is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Missouri
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Missouri

Cornell @ Dartmouth
Cornell
Cornell is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dartmouth
Cornell is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dartmouth
Dartmouth
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dartmouth's last 9 games when playing at home against Cornell
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dartmouth's last 7 games when playing Cornell

Cleveland State @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Cleveland State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

PFW @ Wisconsin-Green Bay
PFW
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of PFW's last 5 games on the road
PFW is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Wisconsin-Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 6 games at home
Wisconsin-Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Wright State @ Oakland
Wright State
Wright State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
Wright State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Wright State

Maryland @ Nebraska
Maryland
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
Nebraska
Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Maryland


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 18


Butler @ St John?s
? Butler (13-13, 6-9) ranked #129 by KenPom
? Tempo: #341
? Experience: #183
? Continuity: #68
? Butler won last two games, after a 2-7 skid.
? Bulldogs are 4-2 ATS in Big East road games.
? Butler is shooting 29.9% on arc in Big East play (#11 of 11)
? Over is 8-2 in Bulldogs? last ten games.
? Butler?s schedule, to this point: #21
? bench minutes: #94

? St John?s (14-11, 6-8) ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #172
? Continuity: #243
? St John?s split its last eight games.
? Red Storm is 2-3-1 ATS in Big East home games.
? Opponents are shooting 46% inside arc (#35)
? Over is 4-1 in last five Red Storm games.
? St John?s schedule, to this point: #59
? bench minutes: #118

? Big East home favorites of 8+ points are 7-14 ATS
? St John?s won 75-72 at Butler 13 days ago.
? St John?s outscored Butler 21-4 on foul line, on the road.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Butler lost four of last five road series games.

Penn @ Yale
? Penn (11-12, 8-2) ranked #189 by KenPom
? Tempo: #138
? Experience: #276
? Continuity: #n/a
? Penn won last five games, scoring 78 ppg.
? Quakers are 3-1 ATS in Ivy League road games.
? Ivy opponents are shooting 48.8% inside arc (#1)
? Under is 6-3 in Quakers? last nine games.
? Penn?s schedule, to this point: #138
? bench minutes: #45

? Yale (14-9, 8-1) ranked #143 by KenPom
? Tempo: #76
? Experience: #149
? Continuity: #n/a
? Yale won last six games, giving up 57.7 ppg in last three.
? Bulldogs are 1-3 ATS in Ivy League home games.
? Yale won those four home games, by 27-13-3-3 points.
? Bulldogs? last three games stayed under total.
? Yale?s schedule, to this point: #206
? bench minutes: #99

? Ivy League home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-9 ATS.
? Penn beat Yale 76-68 at home January 22.
? Home side won last seven meetings.
? Penn won six of last nine series games.
? Quakers lost last three visits here, by 1-13-3 points.

Northern Kentucky @ Detroit
? Northern Kentucky (15-10, 11-5) ranked #228 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #240
? Continuity: #66
? NKU won/covered nine of its last ten games.
? Norse is 5-3 ATS in Horizon road games.
? NKU forces turnovers21.3% of time (#49)
? Over is 5-1 in last six Norse games.
? Northern Kentucky?s schedule, to this point: #341
? bench minutes: #237

? Detroit (17-7, 7-6) ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #48
? Experience: #231
? Continuity: #192
? Detroit is 2-0 in Horizon home games, scoring 85-80 points.
? Opponents are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#325)
? Detroit is 8-5 ATS in its last thirteen games.
? Over is 3-1-2 in Titans? last six games.
? Detroit?s schedule to this point: #86
? bench minutes: #44

? Horizon home teams are 13-16 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Detroit won 74-68 at NKU February 1.
? NKU won nine of 11 series games.
? Norse won three of four games at Detroit.

Rider @ Monmouth
? Rider (10-14, 6-8) ranked #258 by KenPom
? Tempo: #149
? Experience: #64
? Continuity: #155
? Rider won four of its last five games.
? Broncs are 6-1 ATS in MAAC road games.
? Rider has #349 eFG%
? Under is 7-4 in Broncs? last 11 games.
? Rider?s schedule, to this point: #273
? bench minutes: #247

? Monmouth (16-9, 8-6) ranked #134 by KenPom
? Tempo: #8
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #133
? Monmouth split its last six games.
? Hawks are 2-4 ATS in MAAC home games.
? Monmouth is shooting 29.4% on arc in MAAC tilts (#12 of 12)
? Under is 13-3 in Hawks? last sixteen games.
? Monmouth?s schedule, to this point: #139
? bench minutes: #318

? MAAC home favorites of 7+ points are 5-10 ATS.
? Monmouth won five of last seven series games.
? Rider lost last three visits here, by 14-4-6 points.

Marist @ Siena
? Marist (11-13, 6-9) ranked #174 by KenPom
? Tempo: #231
? Experience: #158
? Continuity: #76
? Marist won last three games, scoring 77 ppg.
? Red Foxes are 4-3 ATS in MAAC road games.
? Marist has 52.6% eFG% in MAAC games (#1)
? Over is 6-1-1 in Red Foxes? last eight games.
? Marist?s schedule, to this point: #271
? bench minutes: #28

? Siena (12-9, 9-4) ranked #253 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #118
? Continuity: #296
? Siena won six of its last seven games.
? Saints are 5-2 ATS in MAAC home games.
? Siena has #2 eFG% defense in MAAC games.
? Under is 5-2-1 in Saints? last eight games.
? Siena?s schedule, to this point: #261
? bench minutes: #211

? MAAC home sides are 11-10 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Siena won 67-60 at Marist January 14.
? Saints trailed 50-33 with 12:20 left in game.
? Siena won seven of last eight series games.
? Marist lost its last seven visits to Albany.

Saint Peter?s @ Fairfield
? Saint Peter?s (11-10, 9-5) ranked #168 by KenPom
? Tempo: #222
? Experience: #177
? Continuity: #31
? Saint Peter?s lost last two games, scoring 49-61 points.
? Peacocks covered six of their last seven road games.
? Saint Peter?s is shooting 43.4% inside arc (#344)
? Peacocks? last three games stayed under the total.
? Saint Peter?s schedule, to this point: #219
? bench minutes: #17

? Fairfield (12-14, 6-9) ranked #214 by KenPom
? Tempo: #326
? Experience: #80
? Continuity: #4
? Fairfield split its last eight games.
? Stags are 2-6 ATS in MAAC home games.
? Fairfield is 1-8 against teams ranked in top 200.
? Stags? last three games went over total.
? Fairfield?s schedule, to this point: #298
? bench minutes: #180

? MAAC home sides are 11-10 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Peacocks lost last three visits here, by 9-3-10 points.

Ohio @ Kent State
? Ohio (22-4, 13-2) ranked #96 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #143
? Continuity: #157
? Ohio won eight of its last nine games.
? Bobcats are 4-3 ATS in MAC road games.
? Ohio forces turnovers 21.3% of time (#48)
? Over is 10-3 in Bobcats? last 13 games.
? Ohio?s schedule, to this point: #306
? bench minutes: #328

? Kent State (16-9, 11-4) ranked #148 by KenPom
? Tempo: #272
? Experience: #174
? Continuity: #123
? Kent State won its last seven games.
? Golden Flashes covered its last four home games.
? MAC opponents are shooting 46.6% inside arc (#1)
? Golden Flashes? last three games stayed under.
? Kent State?s schedule, to this point: #217
? bench minutes: #265

? MAC teams are 11-13 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Ohio U beat Kent 80-72 at home January 8.
? Ohio shot 60% inside arc, 10-25 on arc (1.16 ppp)
? Bobcats won three of last four series games.
? Ohio lost its last six visits to Kent State.

Richmond @ VCU
? Richmond (17-9, 8-5) ranked #86 by KenPom
? Tempo: #170
? Experience: #19
? Continuity: #14
? Richmond won seven of its last nine games.
? Spiders are 4-2 ATS in A-14 road games.
? Richmond is shooting 52.9% inside arc (#65)
? Under is 7-1 in Spiders? last eight games.
? Richmond?s schedule, to this point: #103
? bench minutes: #238

? VCU (17-7, 10-3) ranked #81 by KenPom
? Tempo: #114
? Experience: #234
? Continuity: #119
? VCU won 14 of its last 17 games.
? Rams are 3-3 ATS in A-14 home games.
? VCU is turning the ball over 22.3% of time (#345)
? Rams? last five games went over the total.
? VCU?s schedule, to this point: #70
? bench minutes: #75

? A-14 home teams are 10-16 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? VCU won 64-62 at Richmond January 29.
? Spiders were 4-22 on arc, 14-21 on foul line.
? VCU won five of last seven meetings in this crosstown rivalry.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Missouri @ Mississippi State
? Missouri (10-15, 4-8) ranked #137 by KenPom
? Tempo: #282
? Experience: #235
? Continuity: #331
? Missouri lost six of its last eight games.
? Tigers are 3-2-1 ATS in SEC road games.
? Missouri turns ball over 21.3% of time (#323)
? Over is 3-1 in Tigers? last four games.
? Missouri?s schedule, to this point: #12
? bench minutes: #202

? Mississippi State (14-11, 5-7) ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #263
? Experience: #216
? Continuity: #257
? Miss State lost four in row, six of last seven games.
? Bulldogs covered five of six SEC home games.
? Miss State grabs 34.1% of their misses (#29)
? Under is 3-1 in Bulldogs? last four games.
? Mississippi State schedule, to this point: #40
? bench minutes: #214

? SEC double digit home favorites are 10-10 ATS.
? Miss State won last five series games.
? Tigers lost their last five visits to Starkville

Cleveland State @ Milwaukee
? Cleveland State (17-7, 13-4) ranked #196 by KenPom
? Tempo: #129
? Experience: #2
? Continuity: #55
? Cleveland State split its last six games.
? Vikings lost their last game in triple OT Monday.
? Cleveland State is 2-3 ATS in Horizon road games.
? Vikings? last six games went over the total.
? Cleveland State?s schedule, to this point: #353
? bench minutes: #287

? Milwaukee (9-18, 7-11) ranked #328 by KenPom
? Tempo: #188
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #204
? Milwaukee won its last two games, after an 0-6 skid.
? Panthers are 5-4 ATS in Horizon home games.
? Milwaukee has #291 eFG% in country.
? Under is 6-2 in Panthers? last eight games.
? Milwaukee?s schedule, to this point: #320
? bench minutes: #65

? Horizon home underdogs are 14-15 ATS.
? Cleveland State beat Milwaukee 84-71 at home February 6.
? Vikings won five of last six series games.
? Cleveland State lost five of last six visits to Milwaukee.

Fort Wayne @ Green Bay
? Fort Wayne (16-10, 11-6) ranked #255 by KenPom
? Tempo: #111
? Experience: #20
? Continuity: #58
? Fort Wayne won its last five games.
? Mastodons are 4-2 ATS in Horizon road games.
? Fort Wayne is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time in league games (#1)
? Under is 5-2 in Mastodons? last seven games.
? Fort Wayne?s schedule, to this point: #355
? bench minutes: #284

? Green Bay (4-21, 3-13) ranked #345 by KenPom
? Tempo: #336
? Experience: #356
? Continuity: #256
? Green Bay lost its last eight games.
? Phoenix is 4-5 ATS in Horizon home games.
? Green Bay is shooting 27.4% on the arc (#353)
? Under is 6-3 in last nine Phoenix games.
? Green Bay?s schedule, to this point: #288
? bench minutes: #89

? Horizon home underdogs are 14-15 ATS.
? Fort Wayne beat Green Bay 71-55 at home February 6,
? Mastodons shot 66.7% inside arc that game.
? Teams split last four meetings.
? Fort Wayne lost two of last three visits here.

Wright State @ Oakland
? Wright State (15-12, 12-6) ranked #200 by KenPom
? Tempo: #71
? Experience: #268
? Continuity: #70
? Wright State lost last two games by 3-4 points.
? Raiders are 4-5 ATS in Horizon road games.
? Wright State is shooting 53.1% inside arc (#63)
? Under is 5-2-1 in Raiders? last eight games.
? Wright State?s schedule, to this point: #343
? bench minutes: #355

? Oakland (18-8, 11-4) ranked #140 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #340
? Continuity: #139
? Oakland split its last six games.
? Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in Horizon home games.
? Oakland is shooting 29.5% on arc (#334)
? Under is 3-1 in Grizzlies? last four games.
? Oakland?s schedule, to this point: #235
? bench minutes: #357

? Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 13-10 ATS
? Wright State beat Oakland 75-64 at home February 6.
? Oakland led by 8 with 13:36 left in game.
? Wright State won nine of last ten series games.
? Raiders won four of last five visits to Oakland.

Maryland @ Nebraska
? Maryland (11-14, 3-11) ranked #91 by KenPom
? Tempo: #206
? Experience: #101
? Continuity: #210
? Maryland lost its last five games.
? Terps are 4-2-1 ATS in Big 14 road games.
? Maryland is shooting 46.2% inside arc in league games (#12)
? Under is 4-2 in Terps? last six games.
? Maryland?s schedule, to this point: #16
? bench minutes: #313

? Nebraska (7-18, 1-13) ranked #167 by KenPom
? Tempo: #10
? Experience: #300
? Continuity: #263
? Nebraska lost 11 of its last 12 games.
? Huskers are 6-2 ATS in Big 14 home games.
? Nebraska is shooting 30.7% on arc (#311)
? Over is 9-4 in Huskers? last 13 games.
? Nebraska?s schedule, to this point: #29
? bench minutes: #146

? Big 14 home teams are 16-11 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Maryland won five of last six series games.
? Terrapins won three of last four visits to Lincoln.
 

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Richmond is 6-3 ATS in the past nine games overall.
Richmond is 4-1 ATS in the past five road games.
Richmond is 1-3 ATS in the past four as an underdog.
VCU is 14-6 ATS in the past 20 games overall.
VCU is 5-3 ATS in the past eight home games.
VCU is 2-4 ATS in the past six as a favorite.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the past eight for Richmond.
The UNDER is 9-3 in the past 12 road games for Richmond.
The OVER is 5-0 in the past five games for VCU.
The favorite is 6-3-1 ATS in the past 10 meetings.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five meetings.
 
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