NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, January 8
Maryland won its last three games, is 3-1 in Big 14 games, with only loss by hoop at Purdue- they won other road game, by 14 at Rutgers. Terrapins are turning ball over 21.8% of time in league games. Minnesota won its last six games, is 2-1 in Big 14, beating Nebraska by 7 in only home game. Gophers get 25% of their points on foul line, #6 in country. Maryland is 3-2 vs Minnesota in Big 14 games, splitting two games played here. Terps are 9-5 vs spread in last 14 games as Big 14 road underdogs; Minnesota is 9-6 in its last 15 games as home favorites.
Iowa State won its last five games, beat Kansas Saturday and is getting healthier; Cyclones forced turnovers 26% of time in first two Big X games, winning by 6 at Oklahoma St in only road game. Baylor split its last six games, is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, beating Arizona/Oregon. Home side won last five Iowa State-Baylor games; Cyclones lost last five visits to Waco, by 13-1-9-2-20 points. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight meetings. Last eight years, Baylor is 2-6 as Big X home underdogs; under Prohm, Cyclones are 9-7 as home favorites.
Texas won five of last six games, allowing 50.5 ppg in winning first two Big X games, with a 67-47 win at K-State. Longhorns are 10-4 vs schedule #34; their defensive eFG% is #31. Home side won five of last six Texas-Oklahoma State games; Longhorns lost five of last six visits to Stillwater, losing 84-71/65-64 in last two. Cowboys lost six of last eight games, lost first couple Big X games by 6-10 points, scoring 63.5 ppg. Under Smart, Texas is 2-1-1 as road favorites; OSU is 4-2 in its last six games as home underdogs.
Kentucky is 3-2 in its last five games after a 7-1 start; Wildcats are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, beating UNC/Louisville. Kentucky is #350 experience team that rebounds 38.4% of its own misses (#8). Texas A&M lost its last two games, is 6-6 vs schedule #167- they?re 1-5 in top 100 games, with best win by 3 over Oregon State in Portland. Kentucky is 7-3 vs A&M in SEC games; Aggies lost last three visits to Rupp Arena, by 17-1-42 points. Last three years, Kentucky is 17-10 as SEC home favorites; Aggies are 5-10 in last 15 games as SEC road underdogs.
Tennessee won its last eight games, last five by 10+ points; Vols won their only true road game by 10 at Memphis. Tennessee is in top 20 in country in eFG%, both offense/defense. Missouri won its last six games, is 3-3 vs top 100 teams; Tigers are experience team #279 that turns ball over 20.5% of time (#258). Home side won all seven Tennessee-Missouri SEC games; Vols lost last three trips to Mizzou, by 5-11-4 points. Under Barnes, Tennessee is 12-6 vs spread in SEC road games; this is first time under Martin that Mizzou is SEC home underdog.
Villanova won 19 of last 21 games with St John?s, but Red Storm won 79-75 (+17) here LY. Underdogs covered five of last seven series games; Johnnies covered four of last five visits to Philly. St John?s split its first two Big East road games, which were decided by total of 5 points. Red Storm bench plays 4th-fewest minutes in country. Villanova beat DePaul/Providence in its first two Big East games, by 5-6 points; Wildcats Villanova is 11-8 in its last 19 games as Big East home favorite (0-1 this year); under Mullin, St John?s is 13-12 as road underdogs.
Southern Illinois won five of last seven games with Drake; they won four of last six visits to Des Moines. SIU won its first two MVC games by 5-7 points; they?re 4-2 in true road games, losing at Kentucky/Buffalo. Salukis are 2-5 vs teams in top 150. Drake lost its first two Valley games by 5-11 points; they lost senior G Norton to injury; two of their last three D-I games went to OT. Bulldogs? first two MVC foes shot 58.1% inside arc. Salukis are 10-5 in last 15 games as MVC road underdogs; Drake is 11-7-1 vs spread in last 18 MVC home games.
Mississippi State-South Carolina split last six series games; Bulldogs lost four of last five visits to Columbia- they won 81-76 here LY. State won its last nine games, with wins over Cincinnati, South Carolina; Bulldogs haven?t played in 10 days, are #9 team in MC that is shooting 38.2% on arc. Carolina came back from 14 down with 10:44 left to win at Florida Saturday; Gamecocks are 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with all five losses by 9+ points. This is only 3rd time in 6+ years that MSU is an SEC road favorite; Gamecocks are 2-5 in last seven games as home underdogs.
North Carolina won nine of last 11 games with NC State, winning four of last five visits to Raleigh. Tar Heels covered four of last five series games. Carolina won its last three games, all by 20+ points; they?re 3-1 in true road games, with loss by 17 at Michigan. State won its last seven games; they?re 4-1 vs top 100 teams, are shooting 40.9% on arc (#8). Wolfpack subs play a lot (#14 minutes); they force turnovers 24.5% of time (#7). Last 5+ years, UNC is 3-10-1 vs spread as an ACC road underdog, 1-0 this year; Wolfpack is 12-7 in its last 19 games as a home favorite.
Home side won last six Oklahoma-Texas Tech games; Sooners lost last three visits to Lubbock, by 2-8-10 points. Oklahoma won eight of its last nine games, is 12-2 vs schedule #3- Sooners are 3-2 in true road games, winning in OT at Northwestern, losing by 7 at Kansas. Tech is 13-1 vs schedule #302, with only loss to Duke in NYC; Red Raiders have #1 eFG% in country; teams are shooting only 24.1% on arc- Tech is forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#3). Oklahoma is 10-8-1 in last 19 games as road underdogs; under Beard, Tech is 7-9 as home favorites.
Alabama won last five games with LSU, winning last three visits here, by 7-15-8 points. Crimson Tide won its last five games, upsetting Kentucky at home Saturday; Bama split two true road games, losing by 6 at UCF, winning at SF Austin. Alabama is 6-1 vs top 100 teams. LSU won five of its last six games; they?re 3-3 vs top 100 teams, with best win over St Mary?s. Tigers are #330 experience team that forces turnovers 22.4% of time- they haven?t played in 11 days. Under Johnson, Bama is 12-12 as SEC road underdogs; under Wade, LSU is 4-2-1 as home favorites.
Michigan State won its last eight games, winning first four Big 14 games, all by 9+ points; State forces 4th-fewest turnovers in country but their defensive eFG% is #7 in country- opponents are shooting 40.1% inside arc against them (#4). Purdue won last three games after a 6-5 start; to this point, they?ve played #9 schedule in country. Purdue is 3-2 in its last five games with MSU, but lost four of last five visits to East Lansing, with lone win two years ago. Purdue is 0-4-2 in its last six games as road underdogs; Spartans are 20-5-2 in last 27 games as a home favorite.
New Mexico thrashed Nevada by 27 Saturday; Lobos are 7-6 vs schedule #153, are 6-2 vs teams ranked outside top 100. UNLV won at Hawai?i, lost by 3 at Illinois in only true road games; they are shooting 29.1% on arc, are turning ball over 20.9% of time. Rebels lost six of last nine games with New Mexico; last five of which were all decided by 5 or fewer points. Rebels won three of last five visits to Albuquerque- road team won seven of last ten series games. UNLV is 8-19 vs spread in last 27 MW road games; last 7+ years, Lobos are 35-19-1 vs spread as home favorites.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, January 8
Maryland won its last three games, is 3-1 in Big 14 games, with only loss by hoop at Purdue- they won other road game, by 14 at Rutgers. Terrapins are turning ball over 21.8% of time in league games. Minnesota won its last six games, is 2-1 in Big 14, beating Nebraska by 7 in only home game. Gophers get 25% of their points on foul line, #6 in country. Maryland is 3-2 vs Minnesota in Big 14 games, splitting two games played here. Terps are 9-5 vs spread in last 14 games as Big 14 road underdogs; Minnesota is 9-6 in its last 15 games as home favorites.
Iowa State won its last five games, beat Kansas Saturday and is getting healthier; Cyclones forced turnovers 26% of time in first two Big X games, winning by 6 at Oklahoma St in only road game. Baylor split its last six games, is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, beating Arizona/Oregon. Home side won last five Iowa State-Baylor games; Cyclones lost last five visits to Waco, by 13-1-9-2-20 points. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight meetings. Last eight years, Baylor is 2-6 as Big X home underdogs; under Prohm, Cyclones are 9-7 as home favorites.
Texas won five of last six games, allowing 50.5 ppg in winning first two Big X games, with a 67-47 win at K-State. Longhorns are 10-4 vs schedule #34; their defensive eFG% is #31. Home side won five of last six Texas-Oklahoma State games; Longhorns lost five of last six visits to Stillwater, losing 84-71/65-64 in last two. Cowboys lost six of last eight games, lost first couple Big X games by 6-10 points, scoring 63.5 ppg. Under Smart, Texas is 2-1-1 as road favorites; OSU is 4-2 in its last six games as home underdogs.
Kentucky is 3-2 in its last five games after a 7-1 start; Wildcats are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, beating UNC/Louisville. Kentucky is #350 experience team that rebounds 38.4% of its own misses (#8). Texas A&M lost its last two games, is 6-6 vs schedule #167- they?re 1-5 in top 100 games, with best win by 3 over Oregon State in Portland. Kentucky is 7-3 vs A&M in SEC games; Aggies lost last three visits to Rupp Arena, by 17-1-42 points. Last three years, Kentucky is 17-10 as SEC home favorites; Aggies are 5-10 in last 15 games as SEC road underdogs.
Tennessee won its last eight games, last five by 10+ points; Vols won their only true road game by 10 at Memphis. Tennessee is in top 20 in country in eFG%, both offense/defense. Missouri won its last six games, is 3-3 vs top 100 teams; Tigers are experience team #279 that turns ball over 20.5% of time (#258). Home side won all seven Tennessee-Missouri SEC games; Vols lost last three trips to Mizzou, by 5-11-4 points. Under Barnes, Tennessee is 12-6 vs spread in SEC road games; this is first time under Martin that Mizzou is SEC home underdog.
Villanova won 19 of last 21 games with St John?s, but Red Storm won 79-75 (+17) here LY. Underdogs covered five of last seven series games; Johnnies covered four of last five visits to Philly. St John?s split its first two Big East road games, which were decided by total of 5 points. Red Storm bench plays 4th-fewest minutes in country. Villanova beat DePaul/Providence in its first two Big East games, by 5-6 points; Wildcats Villanova is 11-8 in its last 19 games as Big East home favorite (0-1 this year); under Mullin, St John?s is 13-12 as road underdogs.
Southern Illinois won five of last seven games with Drake; they won four of last six visits to Des Moines. SIU won its first two MVC games by 5-7 points; they?re 4-2 in true road games, losing at Kentucky/Buffalo. Salukis are 2-5 vs teams in top 150. Drake lost its first two Valley games by 5-11 points; they lost senior G Norton to injury; two of their last three D-I games went to OT. Bulldogs? first two MVC foes shot 58.1% inside arc. Salukis are 10-5 in last 15 games as MVC road underdogs; Drake is 11-7-1 vs spread in last 18 MVC home games.
Mississippi State-South Carolina split last six series games; Bulldogs lost four of last five visits to Columbia- they won 81-76 here LY. State won its last nine games, with wins over Cincinnati, South Carolina; Bulldogs haven?t played in 10 days, are #9 team in MC that is shooting 38.2% on arc. Carolina came back from 14 down with 10:44 left to win at Florida Saturday; Gamecocks are 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with all five losses by 9+ points. This is only 3rd time in 6+ years that MSU is an SEC road favorite; Gamecocks are 2-5 in last seven games as home underdogs.
North Carolina won nine of last 11 games with NC State, winning four of last five visits to Raleigh. Tar Heels covered four of last five series games. Carolina won its last three games, all by 20+ points; they?re 3-1 in true road games, with loss by 17 at Michigan. State won its last seven games; they?re 4-1 vs top 100 teams, are shooting 40.9% on arc (#8). Wolfpack subs play a lot (#14 minutes); they force turnovers 24.5% of time (#7). Last 5+ years, UNC is 3-10-1 vs spread as an ACC road underdog, 1-0 this year; Wolfpack is 12-7 in its last 19 games as a home favorite.
Home side won last six Oklahoma-Texas Tech games; Sooners lost last three visits to Lubbock, by 2-8-10 points. Oklahoma won eight of its last nine games, is 12-2 vs schedule #3- Sooners are 3-2 in true road games, winning in OT at Northwestern, losing by 7 at Kansas. Tech is 13-1 vs schedule #302, with only loss to Duke in NYC; Red Raiders have #1 eFG% in country; teams are shooting only 24.1% on arc- Tech is forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#3). Oklahoma is 10-8-1 in last 19 games as road underdogs; under Beard, Tech is 7-9 as home favorites.
Alabama won last five games with LSU, winning last three visits here, by 7-15-8 points. Crimson Tide won its last five games, upsetting Kentucky at home Saturday; Bama split two true road games, losing by 6 at UCF, winning at SF Austin. Alabama is 6-1 vs top 100 teams. LSU won five of its last six games; they?re 3-3 vs top 100 teams, with best win over St Mary?s. Tigers are #330 experience team that forces turnovers 22.4% of time- they haven?t played in 11 days. Under Johnson, Bama is 12-12 as SEC road underdogs; under Wade, LSU is 4-2-1 as home favorites.
Michigan State won its last eight games, winning first four Big 14 games, all by 9+ points; State forces 4th-fewest turnovers in country but their defensive eFG% is #7 in country- opponents are shooting 40.1% inside arc against them (#4). Purdue won last three games after a 6-5 start; to this point, they?ve played #9 schedule in country. Purdue is 3-2 in its last five games with MSU, but lost four of last five visits to East Lansing, with lone win two years ago. Purdue is 0-4-2 in its last six games as road underdogs; Spartans are 20-5-2 in last 27 games as a home favorite.
New Mexico thrashed Nevada by 27 Saturday; Lobos are 7-6 vs schedule #153, are 6-2 vs teams ranked outside top 100. UNLV won at Hawai?i, lost by 3 at Illinois in only true road games; they are shooting 29.1% on arc, are turning ball over 20.9% of time. Rebels lost six of last nine games with New Mexico; last five of which were all decided by 5 or fewer points. Rebels won three of last five visits to Albuquerque- road team won seven of last ten series games. UNLV is 8-19 vs spread in last 27 MW road games; last 7+ years, Lobos are 35-19-1 vs spread as home favorites.