Armadillo Sports
Saturday’s Den: Early notes for Week 1 NFL games……..
Thursday’s game
Ravens @ Chiefs
Last 8 years, Baltimore is 7-1 SU/ATS in Week 1
Since 2008, Ravens are 11-5 ATS in their road opener.
Last 7 years, Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in Week 1.
Last 3 years, Kansas City is 0-3 ATS in its home opener.
Chiefs won five of last six meetings.
Chiefs won 17-10 in Baltimore, in LY’s playoffs.
Ravens are 3-2 in Arrowhead, losing last two visits.
Friday’s game (@ San Paulo, Brazil)
Packers vs Eagles
Last 6 years, Packers are 2-4 ATS in Week 1.
Green Bay hasn’t opened at home since 2018.
Last 8 years, Eagles are 7-1 SU/5-3 ATS in Week 1.
Last 5 years, over is 3-1-1 in their season opener.
Teams split their last six series games.
Eagles won last meeting 40-33, two years ago.
Sunday’s games
Steelers @ Falcons
Steelers OC Smith was Atlanta’s head coach the last three years (21-30 W-L)
Pittsburgh won/covered its last four road openers.
Steelers’ last seven road opener stayed under the total.
Last 7 years, Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their home opener.
This is fifth year in a row Atlanta has opened season at home.
Pittsburgh won last four series games.
Falcons’ last series win was 41-38 in 2006, in OT.
Steelers are 8-2 SU in Atlanta.
Cardinals @ Bills
Last 5 years, Arizona is 3-2 SU/5-0 ATS in Week 1.
Under is 5-1 in their last six road openers.
Last 5 years, Buffalo is 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in its home opener.
Last 8 years, Bills are only 4-4 SU in their season opener.
Under is 4-1 in their last five season openers.
Bills won six of last eight meetings.
Cardinals lost four of five visits to Buffalo.
Cardinals’ only win here was in first visit, in 1971.
Titans @ Bears
Last 7 years, underdog is 7-0 ATS in Titans’ Week 1 games.
Last 11 years, Tennessee is 9-2 SU/8-3 ATS in its road opener.
Titans’ last five season openers stayed under the total.
Since 2003, QB’s taken with #1 pick in draft are 0-14-1 SU/1-14 ATS in their first start.
Last 10 years, Bears are 2-8 SU/4-6 ATS in Week 1 games.
Last 10 years, Chicago is 0-3 ATS as a Week 1 favorite.
Tennessee won three of last four meetings.
Titans won four of six visits to Chicago.
Patriots @ Bengals
Last 3 years, New England is 0-3 SU/ATS in Week 1.
Last 9 years, Patriots are 6-3 ATS in road openers.
Last 8 years, Bengals are 2-6 SU/ATS in home openers.
Since 2016, Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS as a favorite in a home opener.
New England won seven of last nine series games.
Patriots won four of last six visits to Cincinnati.
Texans @ Colts
Last 7 years, Texans are 5-2 ATS in road openers.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine road openers.
Last 10 years, Colts are 0-9-1 SU/1-8-1 ATS in Week 1.
Since 2011, Colts are 2-5 ATS as a favorite in home openers.
Houston is 2-1-1 in last four meetings.
Texans won 32-21/23-19 in last two visits to Indy.
Jaguars @ Dolphins
Last 7 years, Jaguars are 3-4 SU/5-2 ATS in road openers.
Jacksonville’s last four road openers went over the total.
Since 2013, Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in Week 1 games.
Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home openers.
Over is 12-3 in their last fifteen home openers.
Jacksonville won three of last four series games.
Jaguars won two of three visits to Miami.
Famous birthdays, August 10:
Rocky Colavito, 91
Don Buse, 74
Rosanna Arquette, 65
Billy Ray Smith, 63
John Starks, 59
Angie Harmon, 52
Spergon Wynn, 46
Dalvin Cook, 29
Ja Morant, 25
Panthers @ New Orleans
Last 5 years, Carolina is 1-4 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2009, Panthers are 5-10 ATS in road openers.
Last 10 years, Saints are 4-6 SU/1-9 ATS in Week 1 games.
Last 9 years, New Orleans is 1-8 ATS in home openers.
Saints are 7-3 in last ten series games.
Panthers lost seven of last nine visits to New Orleans.
Vikings @ Giants
Last 7 years, Minnesota is 0-6-1 SU/0-7 ATS in road openers.
This is only 2nd time in last 8 years, Vikings are opening on road.
Under is 13-7 in their last 20 road openers.
Last 13 years, Giants started season 0-1 eleven times.
Since 2012, Giants are 2-10 SU/1-11 ATS in home openers.
Giants’ last ten home openers stayed under the total.
Minnesota won four of last five series games.
Giants won last meeting, 31-24, in ’22 playoffs.
This is Vikings’ first visit to New Jersey since 2019.
Raiders @ Chargers
Raiders won their season opener four of last five years.
Since 2007, Raiders are 12-4-1 ATS in road openers.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven road openers.
Chargers also won their season opener four of last five years.
Last 7 years, Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their home opener.
Home team won last six series games.
Raiders won last meeting 63-21 last year.
Raiders lost last three visits to SoFi, by 14-5-7 points.
Broncos @ Seahawks
Last 7 years, Denver is 1-6 SU/2-5 ATS in road openers.
Under is 4-2 in their last six road openers.
Since 2009, Seattle is 13-2 SU/10-5 ATS in home openers (3-5 ATS last 8).
Under is 10-3 in their last 13 home openers.
Seahawks won three of last four meetings.
Broncos lost last two visits to Seattle, 26-20/17-16.
Cowboys @ Browns
Last ten years, Dallas is 4-6 SU in Week 1 games.
Cowboys covered four of their last five road openers.
Cleveland won last 2 season openers (1-21-1 from 1999-2021)
Over is 4-1 in Browns’ last four home openers.
Dallas won four of five series games.
Browns won last meeting, 49-38 in 2020.
Cowboys won their last three visits to Cleveland.
Commanders @ Buccaneers
Last 5 years, Washington allowed 30+ points in road openers (1-4 SU/2-3 ATS)
Over is 4-1 in those five road openers.
Last four years, Tampa Bay is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Over is 3-1 in their last four home openers.
Washington won three of last four series games.
Commanders won last two visits to Tampa; their last loss here was in 2007.
Rams @ Lions
Under McVay, Rams are 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS in road openers.
Over is 4-1 in their last five road openers.
Last 9 years, Detroit is 2-7 SU/4-5 ATS in home openers.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven home openers.
Last six years, Lions are 1-4-1 SU in Week 1 games.
Detroit beat LA 24-23 in LY’s playoffs.
Rams are 3-2 in last five series games.
Rams lost four of last five visits to Detroit.
Rams QB Stafford played for Detroit from 2009-20.
Lions QB Goff played for Rams from 2017-20.
Monday’s game
Jets @ 49ers
Last 8 years, Jets are 2-6 SU/3-4-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
Last 7 years, 49ers are 3-4 SU/2-5 ATS in Week 1 games.
Under is 8-2 in their last ten home openers.
49ers are 11-3 in series games.
Jets are 2-4 in road meetings, winning last one 23-17 in OT in last one, in 2016.